Q4 2021 Alliant Energy Corp Earnings Call
Good morning, and welcome to Alliant Energy's conference call for fourth quarter and year end 2021 results.
Call is being recorded for rebroadcast.
At this time all lines are in a listen only mode.
I'd now like to turn the call over to your host Zach sealed lead Investor Relations.
Analyst at Alliant energy.
Good morning.
I'd like to thank all of you on the call and on the webcast for joining US today. We appreciate your participation.
Joining me on this call are John Larsen Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Robert Durian, Executive Vice President and CFO .
Solid prepared following prepared remarks by John and Robert We will have time to take questions from the investment community.
We issued a news release last night announcing Alliant Energy's fourth quarter and year end 2021 financial results and updated our 2022 earnings guidance.
This release as well as an earnings presentation will be referenced during today's call.
Are available on our investors page of our website at Www Dot Alliant energy Dot com.
Before we begin I need to remind you that the remarks, we make on this call and our answers to your questions include forward looking statements.
These forward looking statements are subject to risks that could cause actual results to be materially different.
Those risks include among others matters discussed in Alliant Energy's press release issued last night and in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
We disclaim any obligation to update these forward looking statements.
In addition, this presentation contains references to non-GAAP financial measures. The reconciliation between non-GAAP and GAAP measures are provided in the earnings release, which is available on our website.
At this point I'll turn the call over to John .
Thank you Jack Hello, everyone and thank you for joining us.
2021 was another successful year of growth solid operations and strong financial performance.
I want to thank our talented and dedicated employees for all they do to help us deliver on our purpose to serve customers and build stronger communities.
It shows how we work each day and in our results.
<unk> by their efforts and proud to be part of the Alliant energy team.
Sincere thank you to our team.
Yesterday, we announced 2021 GAAP earnings of $2 63 per share compared to $2 47 per share in 2020, finishing the year at the top of our guidance range.
Excluding temperature of non reoccurring items, our earnings per share were up 7% from 2020.
This was our third straight year of delivering 7% EPS growth in the 19th year of consecutive dividend increases.
This consistent growth driven by solid execution and operational results showcases the resilience and flexibility of our employees our strategy and our company.
I'll highlight a few of our many strategic and operational achievements from the year, then turn it over to Robert who will provide more details on our solid financial and regulatory outcomes.
From the start of last year with winter storm Uri to the heat waves experienced during the summer months, our employees, whether it each and every storm to keep delivering safe reliable and affordable energy to our customers.
And our customers noticed as we earned the second highest increase in year over year J D. Power's residential electric customers satisfaction scores among large utilities.
2021 was also the first full year of operations for our 1100 50 megawatts of new wind delivering clean reliable and affordable electricity for our customers.
Our forward thinking and renewable investments also led us to develop our comprehensive clean energy blueprint for Iowa, and for Wisconsin, which continue to showcase our commitment to providing a thoughtful path to a clean energy future.
Also in 2020 , one we made tremendous progress on advancing the solar and energy storage aspects of our clean energy blueprint.
The customer focused and transparent planning by our teams led to successful regulatory outcomes and positions us well for straightforward execution.
We received approval for our first certificate of authority for 675 megawatts of solar in Wisconsin and have advanced into the construction phase.
We also filed for an additional 414 megawatts of solar for our customers in Wisconsin, and 475 megawatts of solar and solar and battery storage for our customers and was in Iowa. Both filings are expected to be decided in 2022.
I'd also like to note that our teams were well prepared and continue to navigate through difficult global supply chain issues.
While these supply chain issues are not over the proactive efforts by our talented team along with leveraging our strong partnerships have resulted in solid progress on panel in equipment deliveries, resulting in an increase in our capital investment plan Robert will be sharing more details about this positive news later in the call.
Our efforts to build stronger communities were also on full display this past year. While there are many examples I could share all take a little time and highlight a few for you now.
Alliant energy was once again named the top utility and economic development by site selection magazine.
Site selection credits, our economic development team in collaboration with local regional and state partners with delivering more than $900 million in new capital investment and more than 2200 jobs in 2020 one.
We were honored to receive the award and proud of all we've accomplished to help bring new jobs and continued investment to our communities.
Another way, we're making things better and our communities.
Is there a pledge to plant 1 million trees by the end of 'twenty 30. These trees will grow to provide shade reduce greenhouse gases and improve water quality.
And we're off to a great start planting thousands of trees at community events from Ripon, Wisconsin to Cedar Rapids, Iowa.
It's just another way we are living our value of acting for tomorrow.
We also helped to build stronger communities by nurturing a culture of diversity equity and inclusion.
This past year, we earned a perfect score on the corporate equality index issued by the Human Rights campaign Foundation, and they named US a best place to work for the fifth year in a row.
And we were proud to be named to Newsweek magazine's most responsible companies for the second year in a row and we made Forbes' America's best midsized size employers list for the fourth year in a row.
2021 was an excellent year for our company our customers and our communities. We look forward to building on that momentum in 2022.
And thank you for your continued interest in Alliant energy and I'll now turn the call over to Robert.
Thanks, John Good morning, everyone.
Yesterday, we announced 2021 GAAP earnings of $2 63 per share compared to $2 47 per share in 2020.
On an adjusted basis, which excludes the impacts of temperatures and nonrecurring adjustments.
Earnings per share increased 7% from 2020.
Looking year over year increases in 2021 were driven by higher revenue requirements, primarily due to increasing rate base at our Wisconsin, and Iowa utilities and higher electric sales due to strong demand from commercial and industrial customers and the impacts of warmer summer temperatures.
These favorable drivers were partially offset by higher depreciation and lower allowance for funds used during construction.
Our temperature normalized retail electric sales grew 3% in 2021, when compared to 2020 Pri.
Primarily driven by a resurgence of our commercial and industrial customers as our state economies have strengthened from the worst impacts of the pandemic in 2020.
This recovery was more robust in 2021 than initially forecasted led by stronger industrial sales, resulting in total commercial and industrial sales levels for the year, roughly 1% higher than 2019 levels.
As customers across our service territories have gradually been returning to their workplaces, we have seen some decline in residential sales.
Residential sales were modestly higher than 2019 levels.
The strong sales we experienced in 2021 were bolstered by a great year from our economic development efforts.
As our team was able to assist with several key industrial customer additions and expansions.
Ultimately, adding about 75 megawatts of load to our system.
Additionally, we saw one of the strongest years of incremental customer growth in the past decade.
We are announcing an update to our capital expenditure plans for 2022 through 2025.
Our new plan is summarized on slide six of our earnings presentation.
There are two primary drivers for the updated plans.
The first relates to recent progress made with our solar equipment suppliers.
Allow us to receive equipment and materials earlier than previously anticipated.
These efforts have allowed us to pull forward approximately $300 million of renewable expenditures into 2022.
This enables us to complete these clean energy investments earlier than planned with.
With 325 megawatts now scheduled to go into service in 2022 for our Wisconsin customers.
The balance of our previously announced solar and battery projects are expected to go in service in 2023 and 2024.
The second driver of the updated capital expenditure plans involves accelerating clean energy investments into 2023 through 2025.
To address capacity needs, resulting from <unk> proposed use of a resource adequacy construct.
For those who may not be familiar lifestyle is proposed to a credit generation capacity on a seasonal basis under this new construct versus the current state where capacity to their credit on an annual basis.
The additive investments included in our updated capital expenditure plans will help satisfy our anticipated seasonal capacity requirements and support reliability for our customers.
Our capital expenditure plans also continue to include investments to replace the capacity from the anticipated exercise of options by work energy and M journey to purchase a portion of our west Riverside natural gas facility.
We anticipate making a certificate of authority filing with the PSC W. In the first half of this year for additional capacity resources to replace the capacity expected to be lost with the exercise of these options.
We plan to share more details about these resources as we get closer to making that filing.
Turning to this year's earnings guidance with the updates to our capital expenditures plans, we are increasing our 2022 earnings guidance and remain well positioned for consistent 5% to 7% earnings growth going forward.
The midpoint of our updated guidance range is $2 74 per share, which represents a 6% increase over 2021 adjusted earnings.
The expected drivers of this increase in earnings include higher earnings on increasing capital investments and higher if you do see benefits from our solar projects under construction.
More details on our 2022 earnings guidance I provided on slide seven of our earnings presentation.
In 2022, we estimate a consolidated effective tax rate of 4%.
With substantial production tax credits generated by our large wind portfolio, helping us maintain the low effective tax rate for the upcoming year and several more years to come.
The benefits from these production tax credits are passed onto our electric customers to help manage customer bills and therefore are largely earnings neutral.
Moving onto the financing plans for 2022, we plan to issue long term debt of up to $1 $4 billion in total for W. P L and Alliant energy finance the.
The proceeds from the new debt will be used largely to finance investments in solar projects as well as the refinance $625 million of debt maturities in 2022.
We also expect to receive approximately $25 million of new common equity under our drip plan in 2022.
Lastly, we have included this year's key regulatory initiatives on slide eight.
Related to our customer investments.
In Wisconsin, we anticipate a decision on our approval request for 414 megawatts of solar in the first half of this year.
And in Iowa, our advanced rate, making filing for 475 megawatts of solar and battery is progressing as expected.
Yeah, well utilities board issued a procedural schedule last month, which can be found on slide nine.
We anticipate a decision on this advanced ratemaking filing in the second half of this year.
In Wisconsin, We also filed a joint application for the sale of a portion of our west Riverside natural gas generating facility to work energy and M journey at the end of January .
We anticipate a decision on this application in either late 2022 or early 2023.
These regulatory initiatives are an important part of executing our strategy and we are thankful for their continued constructive relationships with our regulators in both of our state jurisdictions.
As we conclude another successful year with solid financial results and constructive regulatory outcomes I want to express my optimism for the year.
We've demonstrated the flexibility of our Capex plan to shift quickly to opportunities in the solar projects supply chain.
We have a regulatory certainty for the next couple of years with no major rate reviews planned.
And we have dedicated Intel as employees working hard every day to serve our customers and shareowners.
We appreciate your continued support of our company.
We look forward to meeting with many of you virtually and in person in the coming months.
As always we will make our investor relation materials available on our website.
At this time I'll turn the call back over to the operator to facilitate the question and answer session.
Thank you Mr. Gagnon at this time the company will open the call to questions from members.
In that community.
If you would like to ask a question. Please.
Star one on your telephone keypad.
Thank you.
Speaker phone. Please make sure your mute function is turned off.
No.
Right.
Once again that is star one if you would like to ask a question.
Well take our first question from Julien Dumoulin Smith with Bank of America.
Hi, Good morning, everyone. It's Darius on for Julian to Thank you for taking my question.
I just wanted to at the outset ask a more high level as far as your long term EPS CAGR. It seems like in the last few years, you've had pretty good success in achieving growth at AR.
The upper end of that range. So as we look ahead in the context of your your increased Capex plan I guess, what kind of what would you see happen that would potentially see growth at the lower end of that CAGR just trying to think of the various scenarios are again in the context of the increased investment plan.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Appreciate the question and and you know, we're still very comfortable with the five to seven you know think of it as sales would be one of those drivers are for being either on the upper or lower end of that.
And certainly we've got a strong focus on controlling costs O&M. So those would be you know.
Always along with with weather, but those are the primary drivers.
Okay, Great I appreciate that.
And I guess.
More on the potential legislation.
I think they know the.
The environment has changed a little bit and we were talking about potential direct pay.
Getting passed a few months ago. Just curious how are you thinking about that prospectively, how would your financing or ethical metrics change assuming that kind of direct a.
Legislation or provisions were passed in coming months.
Yeah. There is this is Robert Yeah. So first off I just want to reiterate our strategy was created without the expectation of build back better or any type of clean energy legislation. So no.
No impact to our strategy if that does not pass, but if it does we are evaluating the opportunities to switch.
Switch from tax equity partnership structures to a full ownership.
As a result of that we would expect I think somewhere in the neighborhood of a little over $1 billion of additional capital expenditures in our plan over the next four years.
We would expect to maintain our capital structure is consistent with what our regulatory bodies are approved in both states and therefore, you would see probably a mix of both debt and equity issued.
As a result of that to maintain the current credit ratings that we have and have a strong balance sheet and the strong metrics that we can currently entertaining.
Okay, great. Thank you if I could just sneak one more in here just a point of clarification on the updated Capex plan. Obviously you can appreciate that the renewable spend went up as you alluded to it looked like the other the nonrenewable bucket on generation ticked down a little bit can you just.
Speak to I guess, what got either reduced or or moved out in the in that bucket.
Yes, there is.
Of that as we continue to look at our resource plan as we go through the process and I would characterize as we have more confidence in our ability to execute on renewable projects going forward. So you'll see that that's our primary focus along with our electric distribution spend so.
The nice thing about our spend is it's very flexible and so weak and constantly evaluate it and look for different opportunities and right. Now we see renewables is kind of the best opportunities. When we think about both renewables and storage for the future of our customers. We're always trying to balance the needs of our customers, which are focused largely on clean energy reliable energy and affordable.
We see that as a really a big focus on solar storage and even some wins as we as we think into the future and that's what made us pivot a little bit to that.
Yeah.
Okay, Great I appreciate those responses I'll pass it along here. Thank you.
Well take our next question from Andrew Weisel.
With Scotiabank.
Thank you good morning, everybody.
I'd like to ask a question about the CAGR in a different way.
Similar ideas, though you're reiterating five to seven in the past you've talked about a bias toward the midpoint I believe the guidance midpoint for 22, 6%.
Just given the historical strength I know you are sticking with the range, but is there a bias toward the high end in 'twenty, two and beyond or do you really think that 6% is the more realistic number I know you are conservative, but how to think about that.
Well, Thanks, Andrew I think you might have captured my my answer a response back.
Perhaps a bit of of Ah I guess conservatism in there, but we do plan for the 6% for the long term and right in the middle of our five to seven so that will remain.
Okay got it then on equity I see the $25 million and 22, that's a number you've talked about for kind of the foreseeable future. I believe is that still the case given the increase to the capex plan or might there be some upward pressure on equity needs.
Variable too of course, but given what you know today.
Yeah, given what we have today is still you know be.
Besides the drip no other equity plan.
Okay and remind us what.
The 25 right.
Yes, yes.
Okay perfect. Thank you very much.
Youre welcome Thanks, Andrew.
Well now take our next question from Peter Gordon.
Uh huh.
Good morning, John and Robert Thanks for taking my question.
Peter Good morning.
So on the solar Capex pull forward is that for Iowa, or Wisconsin, and then secondly, how should we be thinking about the recovery of that spend.
Yeah, that's all for our Wisconsin projects that pull forward represents that CA, one that we referred to that for 675 megawatts or about half of that in 2022, and 'twenty three and so we've gone through the regulatory process for that one.
And you would think of it in the normal course of our regulatory proceedings.
Okay, and then the additional 300 million to that same period does that have any regular regulatory approvals tied to it.
Yes, Peter I think of that as it's mainly for the CA one projects that we're constructing in 2022 and as part of the 'twenty two 'twenty three rate review that was approved by the PSU W. In December .
They've approved those projects and allowed us to get a recovery on those costs as well as to earn a F. D C. As we're constructing those those facilities.
So we will have to prove prudency with those given the costs were about 7% to 10% higher than what we originally filed for when we received approval for that but we feel confident with the execution of those projects and the prudency of the spend.
That will be supported we've been keeping the PSC Adobe informed all along with updates on the capital expenditure costs for the solar projects in both CA wanted to and feel well positioned to get recovery of those costs.
Okay I appreciate that detail and then just.
Just one other separate one from me can you just kind of give us an update on the west Riverside Energy Center.
Ownership options is there still a cash inflow expected for 2022 or is that pushed into a later year.
Yes, I think we would expect more in the 2023 for that.
Think of that regulatory proceeding right now that we file jointly.
Think we're thinking end of this year, maybe early 'twenty three so we would expect the cash infusion in 'twenty three.
Yeah, and just as a reminder, Peter that yeah, there's two pieces to that Theres actually the first half of it as John indicated we will see for the first time in 2023 and there is also a 2024 piece so.
That roughly $200 million to $250 million of cash will come in pretty evenly between those two years.
Okay perfect. Thanks for the detail.
Okay.
Okay.
Thank you final reminder, that is star one if you would like to ask a question.
We'll now take our next question from Michael Sullivan with Wolfe Research.
Hey, everyone. Good morning.
Good morning.
Wanted to follow up with that last question there on the 7% to 10% cost increase that that as I recall is the number you've already pointed too so no no additional change since our prior communications on on costs.
That's correct Michael correct Michael.
Okay great.
Just from a total.
Incremental megawatts perspective so.
Think you pulled some forward in that that drove some of the capex increase but.
In the back end of the plan and I don't know what's tied to this.
So capacity construct change how should we think about that from a from a megawatt standpoint.
Yeah, Michael maybe I'll kick it off here. So there is actually two pieces is theres about up to 300 megawatts of capacity needs. We expect as a result of the west Riverside options being exercised so think of us as making a filing a like I said sometime here in 2022 for that most likely here in the first half of the year.
And then as we think about the forward curve.
Passenger requirements as a result of the MISO seasonal construct a keep in mind that is still in a proposed state and so we're working through some of the details on that so we don't have specific information, but most likely expect to have something later this year, we will provide more details regarding the exact megawatts and the nature of the the.
The resources that we're gonna use between renewables and storage.
Okay great.
Thank you and then my last one was just.
What are you embedding for.
Sales growth in 2022 guidance any color on that.
Yeah.
Yes think of it as maybe flat to.
Maybe half a percent long term is generally what we have for our sales we did see a nice too.
2020 to 2021 increase.
But we're not assuming that to be necessarily go forward. So back to what our typical half a percent type of overall growth.
Very helpful. Thanks, Thanks, a lot.
Okay.
Well take our next question from Ross Sandler with UBS.
Good morning, John how are you.
Good.
Just following up on the on the 7% to 10% increase in Capex.
Pointed to that never before.
Yeah, that's a little bit of cost pressure on the solar side, but you were able to pull it forward into this year and I, just step back and I juxtapose that against some others in the industry that are actually pushed out so our projects because of cost and supply chain issues. So maybe maybe just delving into you know.
The details of your agreements there with your suppliers that allow you to pull that forward and then second part of the question is are you seeing further sort of cost pressures or supply chain issues beyond that 7% to 10% as I think about future years for solar in particular.
Yeah. Thanks, Ross, maybe couple of parts of that and I'll ask Robert if he wants to add a bit here. So we've got a good portion of the materials for the first part of our.
CA that we're gonna be constructing here in 2022, so we feel good about having those pieces of equipment panels onsite if you will.
We've got more solar to build so we certainly know the supply chain issues arent over with but the team has done a lot of great work and proactive planning, we do partner with some very strong suppliers as well. So we did a lot of work back and.
Earlier years as well into 2021 that really put us in a pretty good shape here for carrying that out in 'twenty. Two so those were the.
Probably no more detailed and besides we picked some very strong partners to work with we were able to navigate that for our first CA.
No the supply chain issues will continue for a while so we continue to monitor it but we're in a we're in good shape for our first solar coming out and that's why we've been able to be more confident about having that completed in 'twenty, two and 'twenty three.
Anything to add Robert.
Yes, maybe just relatively speaking in November we pushed out some of those projects knowing that there was some supply chain constraints, but the team has done an amazing job over the past few months to remedy that situation. So.
We're pretty much close to the original planned.
In service dates that we had towards the earlier part of 2021, so just to keep that in mind.
To keep as a reference point.
Okay. Thanks, that's great.
And it appears there are no further questions at this time.
This.
<unk>, the Alliant Energy's fourth quarter and year end earnings call a replay will be available on our investor website.
Thank you for your continued support of Alliant energy and feel free to contact me with any follow up questions.
And once again that does conclude today's conference. We thank you all for your participation you may now disconnect.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yes.
Yeah.
Yes.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Hum.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah.
[music].
Hum.
Yeah.
Hum.
Yeah.
Yeah.
[music].