Q2 2022 Primo Water Corp (Pre Reincorporation) Earnings Call

Good morning ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the Prima Water Corporation's second quarter 2022 earnings release conference call.

At this time, all lines are in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. If at any time during this call you require immediate assistance, please press star-zero for the operator. This call is being recorded on Thursday, August 11, 2022. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Mr. John Cottle. Please go ahead.

Welcome to Prima Water Corporation's second quarter 2022 earnings conference call. All participants are currently in listen-only mode. This call will end no later than 11 o'clock a.m. Eastern Time.

The call is being webcast live on Primo's website at www.primowatercorp.com and will be available for playback there for two weeks.

This conference call contains forward-looking statements, including statements concerning the company's future financial and operational performance. These statements should be considered in connection with cautionary statements and disclaimers contained in the Safe Harbor statements in this morning's earnings press release and the company's annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and other filings with securities regulators.

The company's actual performance could differ materially from these statements, and the company undertakes no duty to update these forward-looking statements, except as expressly required by applicable law.

A reconciliation of any non-GAAP financial measures discussed during the call, with the most comparable measures in accordance with GAAP when the data is capable of being estimated, is included in the company's second quarter earnings announcement released earlier this morning or on the investor relations section of the company's website at www.primawatercorp.com.

I am accompanied by Tom Harrington, Primo's Chief Executive Officer, and Jay Wells, Primo's Chief Financial Officer.

As a part of this conference call, we have included a deck online at www.primowatercorp.com that was designed to assist you throughout our discussion. Tom will start today's call by providing a high-level review of the second quarter and our progress on PRIMO's strategic initiatives.

Then Jay will review our segment level performance and we'll discuss our second quarter performance in greater detail and offer our outlook on the third quarter and full year 2022 before handing the call back to Tom to provide a long term view ahead of Q&A.

With that, I will now turn the call over to Tom.

Thank you, John , and good morning, everyone.

I'm pleased to announce on behalf of all Primo Associates worldwide, the results of another strong quarter for Primo Water.

As we continue to transform and reshape our company, we are a fundamentally stronger and more streamlined business than ever before.

We have made significant strides over the past couple of years to focus on our core competency as a pure play water company.

As a result, we have a healthy balance sheet, a compelling long-term top-line growth outlook, and an attractive margin profile.

We are confident in our outlook for 2024, which includes high single-digit organic revenue growth.

Annualized adjusted EVDA approaching $525 million and adjusted EVDA margins of 21-22%. The PRIMO team is delivering results.

This supports our planned multi-year dividend step-up, which will return an incremental $36 million to shareholders through 2024, in addition to the opportunistic share repurchase program of $100 million announced yesterday.

This is on top of our previously announced plans to invest in opportunities that support our growth outlook and EBITDA margin expansion.

Turning to the second quad.

We've delivered robust revenue and adjusted EPRDA growth, punctuating a solid birth-to-health performance that gives us confidence to increase our full-year guidance.

a full year 2022 guidance on revenue to 12 to 14 percent growth and adjusted EVA to between $415 and $425 million.

Our business, like others, is facing macro headwinds.

Our team is resilient and our commercial execution establishes a firm foundation for ongoing success.

Some of these challenges include the translational effect of a significant devaluation of the euro in the unprecedented inflationary environment. We remain focused on what we can control as we continue to build on our core competencies to achieve our multi-year objectives.

In addition to us showing financial performance in a quarter, we exited our single-use bottled water retail business in North America.

published our inaugural ESG report, and exited our operations in Russia.

In the second quarter, consolidated revenue increased 9% to $571 million, driven by strong consumer demand. Price increases, particularly in our North America water direct business, increased dispenser revenue strategic initiatives with retailers.

robust growth of Mountain Valley, and continued improvements in the customer experience.

Adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter increased 9% to $108 million supported by higher volume, increased pricing, and effective expense management that helped offset the impact of inflation.

Consolidated revenue, excluding the single-use bottle water retail business in North America, and the impact of foreign exchange grew 16%.

In the Global Water Direct business, our customer base increased over 3% to more than $2.3 million for the second quarter.

This was an increase of more than 75,000 customers compared to the same quarter last year through a combination of organic customer additions.

customer base acquisition through our top-end strategy, and an adjusted customer retention rate of just over 86% on a trailing 12-month basis.

Our water exchange business is also performing well. We are increasing distribution across several large key accounts, expanding our product offering with our alkaline product called Primo Plus, as well as improving the customer experience through increased delivery frequencies.

In our water refill business, we're beginning to see improved performance. Revenue increased in a quarter, and we're seeing this improvement continue into the third quarter.

We believe this progress is a result of improving machine uptime coupled with new points of distribution.

We are pleased with the performance of a water dispenser business this quarter, with a sell-through volume of more than 225 dispensers.

We continue to see growth in volume through increased promotional activity.

successful initiatives with retailers, and increase penetration with our existing customer base.

We are on target to exceed dispense of sell-through of over 1 million units in 2022.

We continue to optimize our digital operations in Europe with the goal of being the number one e-commerce water dispenser provider across our 21 country footprint.

While selling water dispensers is not the key driver of our growth, it is a key enabler of our future growth.

Water dispensers are an entry point to the bottled water category that drives our household penetration where we can capitalize on our recurring razor blade model.

The recurring purchase behavior generates organic water revenue and remains one of our key strategic advantages.

Speaking of dispensers,

We continue to monitor the potential for tariff relief, and we believe there is a high likelihood that we'll see a roughly 90% reduction in tariff to bottled water and filtration dispensings.

A reduced tariff should enable us to lower the average selling price of dispensers, thus accelerating dispenser sell-through and water connectivity.

In other words, we plan to pass through most of the benefit from lower tariffs to our customers to buy a water dispenser.

We believe the reduced prices will result in an increase in household penetration that would provide incremental water sales in the years to come.

A lower tire will also reduce cat-backs on water dispensers dispensers that we purchase and rent to water direct and water filtration customs. The water direct and water filtration customs.

Any benefits related to reduced tariffs and refunds are not included in our outlook at this time.

As it relates to the cost environment, inflation continued at an elevated rate during the second quarter, then increases in fuel, freight, and labor costs.

To address the higher costs during the quarter, our commercial teams implemented pricing actions North America in addition to the two price increases taken in the first quarter.

Given what we are seeing today, we believe that these pricing actions are sufficient to cover the higher operating costs and incremental investments in the customer experience.

In addition, we have recently implemented price increases in our European operations. The benefit of these actions will be realized later in our third quarter, and the full benefit will be realized in our fourth quarter.

These pricing actions, along with improved service metrics, put us in a better position to offset the unprecedented inflation we are facing and support our decision to increase our revenue and adjusted even the outlook for 2022.

Importantly, as it relates to price elasticity, customer pushback related to the higher pricing has been minimal.

We monitor this closely through a combination of metrics, including customer growth, call center activity, and customer retention, all of which remain healthy.

In addition, we continue to invest in route optimization to improve customer service, enhance the customer experience, and better manage costs.

We are at our targeted staffing levels and continue to be staffed at more than 98% in route delivery in North America.

We believe the long-term benefits, including any improved customer experience and increased customer retention, outweigh any short-term investments we choose to make.

With the macroeconomic uncertainty, we want to highlight the recession resilience of the bottled water industry in our business.

Slide 9 in the supplemental deck shows overall bottle water consumption growth and resilience to economic downturns.

The chart shows a consistent increase over time in terms of gallons of water sold and per capita consumption increases. Generally, the long-term health of the industry has been unaffected by periods of recession.

As we continue to transform our business, we have shed the overwhelming majority of our commodity-linked exposure by exiting our former soft drink, juice, and coffee businesses, as well as a single-use bottled water retail business in North America.

We've also increased energy and delivery surcharges to pass through increased operational and delivery costs.

Finally, I want to reiterate that our strategy is working.

We are confident in our ability to deliver our 2022 guidance and achieve our long-term 2024 outlook of high single-digit organic revenue growth with adjusted EBITDA approaching $525 million.

I'll now turn the call over to our CFO Jay Wells to review our second quarter financial results in greater detail.

Thank you, Tom, and good morning, everyone.

Starting with our second quarter results, consolidated revenue increased 9% to $571 million compared to $526 million.

Excluding the impact of the exit of our single-use bottled water retail business in North America and foreign exchange, revenue increased by 16%.

These gains were largely driven by growth in our water direct and exchange businesses to increase demand in both the residential and B2B channels, pricing, and the continued return to work across our footprints.

consolidated organic revenue, excluded the impact of FX, and adjusted for the X of the single use bottled water retail business in North America increased 14% in the quarter.

Adjusted EBITDA grew 9% to $108 million. Excluded the impact of foreign exchange, adjusted EBITDA grew 11%.

As Tom discussed, the effect of price increases, volume growth, and strong demand grow profitability.

During the quarter, we maintain targeted staffing levels and have more than 98% of our route delivery positions filled in North America. We are confident that the incremental investments in our people will enable us to deliver our increased full year 2022 revenue growth target of 12-14%.

We also experience inflationary cost pressures in other areas of our business.

The major buckets of higher costs included materials associated with our single-use bottled water retail business in North America, which we have now exited, fuel, freight, and labor. The additional pricing action taken in the second quarter has offset these increased costs.

Before I review our second quarter segment level results, I wanted to mention that we are changing our segment structure to include North America and Europe .

The former rest of the world segment is now going to be divided and European water operations will be recorded in the Europe segment

and results of operations for Israel and AMIA, as well as our corporate costs, will be labeled as other.

The new segment classifications are in alignment with US GAAP.

In July , we completed the plan exit of our operations in Russia.

As a result of the Russia exit and real alignment of our segment structure, we performed a fair value assessment during the quarter.

As a result, we recorded a pre-tax, non-cash and pyramid charge of $29 million.

Turning to our segment level performance for the quarter, North America revenue increased 10% to $437 million compared to $397 million.

Excluding the impact of foreign exchange and the exit of the single-use bottled water retail business in North America, revenue increased by 17%.

The increase was driven by 21% growth in our Water Direct and Exchange businesses, which included 15% price mix.

5% volume and 1% acquisition growth.

Adjusted EBITDA in North America increased 15% to $97 million.

Turning to our Europe segment, revenue increased by 9% to $70 million.

Excluding the impact of foreign exchange, revenue increased by 22%.

The increase was driven by our water direct business with growth in our residential customer base and B2B volume as Europeans returned to work.

Adjusted EBITDA and the Europe segment decreased 8% to $12 million as the devaluation of the euro to the dollar more than offset the benefit of higher revenues.

Excluding the impact of foreign exchange, adjusted EBITDA increased by 3%.

As Tom mentioned, we have recently implemented price increases in our European operations to mitigate the increased cost of inflation in these markets.

The benefit of these actions will start to be recognized later in our third quarter, and the full benefit will be recognized in our fourth quarter.

As I mentioned, we have officially completed the exit of the single-use bottled water retail business in North America.

In 2021, these products accounted for revenue of approximately $142 million.

Through the first half of 2022, we recorded revenue of approximately $41 million as we efficiently wound down the business.

Turning to our Q3 and full year outlook, revenue and adjusted EBITDA is off to a strong start through the first half of the year and the beginning of Q3 with strong customer demand and price increases to offset cost increases in fuel, freight and labor.

We're also confident in our ability to offset the completed exit of the business in Russia, which will create a one-time headwind as we lap $14 million of revenue and $3 million of adjusted EBITDA from this business on an annualized basis.

Based on the information we have available to us as of today, we expect...

from continuing operations for the third quarter to be between five hundred and seventy million dollars and 590 million dollars and that our third quarter adjusted either will be in the range of a hundred and fifteen million dollars to 120 million dollars.

For the full year 2022, overall revenue growth is projected to be 12 to 14 percent, adjusted for the exit of the single-use bottled water retail business in North America.

We expect full year 2022 adjusted EBITDA to be between $415 million and $425 million.

For the year, we expect around $10 million of cash taxes, $60 million of interest expense, as well as capital expenditures of approximately $200 million.

The capital expenditure forecast includes incremental spending as we discussed during our investor day last November , which is being used to support our growth outlook and even margin expansion.

In addition to earnings generated from normal course of business, we are exploring an opportunity to sell a few parcels of real estate in California that have seen significant appreciation of value.

Preliminary estimates indicate a combined selling price of approximately $125 million.

Net proceeds will be used to fund share repurchase chances.

Turning to capital deployment, as yesterday, our board of directors authorized a quarterly dividend of seven cents per common share.

Our growth outlook and increased recash flow generation can fund our growth as well as an increase in our annual dividends.

Our path to a multi-year dividend step up and increase in our dividend per share by one cent in 2022, another in 2023, and another in 2024.

The increase in dividend will return over 6 million incremental dollars to shareholders in 2022.

Additionally, our Board of Directors authorized a new $100 million share of purchase program, which expires on August 14, 2023.

The authorization of the repurchase program reflects the board's confidence in our future performance and our continued long-term cash flow generation, and demonstrates our ongoing commitment to providing fundamental value for our shareholders.

Other aspects of capital deployment include continuing our Tuck-In M&A. For 2022, we continue to target $40 to $60 million of Tuck-In and remain focused on executing a robust pipeline of Tuck-In opportunities.

Our long-term organic growth outlook has not changed. We remain confident in our outlook for 2024 as we forecast high single-digit percentage organic revenue growth.

Targeted adjusted EBITDA approaching $525 million. Adjusted EBITDA margins of 21 to 22%.

Adjusted earnings per share of $1.10 to $1.20 per share.

net leverage of less than 2.5 times, and return on invested capital greater than 12%. I will now turn the call back to Tom. Thanks, Jay.

Looking ahead, as we continue executing our differentiated Water Your Way platform and focusing on a few key priorities, we will leverage our Pure Play water model to drive revenue growth of 12 to 14 percent in 2022, adjusting for the exit of the single-use bottled water retail business in North America.

We will deliver organic revenue growth in a range of 10-12%.

We will continue to execute our razor razor blade model with growth in the number of dispensers sold driving top line and earnings growth through the sales water products.

We are more than pleased with the first half of the year's results and are excited about our future.

With so much uncertainty in the market, we think the Primo water investment thesis is compelling.

We are the only public pure-play consumer water platform with leading national and local brands of North America and Europe with a predictable, recession-resistant revenue base and attractive high single-digit long-term organic growth targets supported by multiple favorable tailwinds such as increased consumer attention to health and wellness and aging water infrastructure.

I want to reiterate, we are a fundamentally stronger and more streamlined business than ever before.

We've made significant strides over the past couple of years to focus on our core competency as a pure play water company.

As a result, we have a healthy balance sheet, a compelling long-term top-line growth outlook, and an attractive margin profile.

We are confident in our outlook for 2024, which includes high single-digit organic revenue growth, annualized adjusted EBITDA approaching $525 million, and adjusted EBITDA margins of 21 to 22%. The Preen is delivering results.

Once again, I'd like to thank the Pima Water Associates across the business for their tireless efforts to serve our customers. With that, I'd like to thank the Pima Water Associates, the Pima Water Associates, and

I'd like to turn the call back over to John for Q&A.

Thanks Tom. During the Q&A to ensure we can hear from as many of you as possible.

We would ask for a limit of one question and one follow-up per person. If you have additional questions, please re-enter the queue. Thank you.

Operator, please open the line for questions.

Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. If you have a question, please press star followed by one on your touch tone phone. You will hear a three tone prompt acknowledging your request and your questions will be pulled in the order they are received. Should you wish to decline from the polling process, please press star followed by two. And if you're using a speakerphone, please lift your handset before pressing any keys. One moment for your first question.

Your first question comes from Daniel Moore with CJS Securities. Please go ahead.

Good morning, Tom. Good morning, Jay. Good morning, Tom.

No worries, come on.

Start with the updated guide. Just let me talk about the volume growth assumptions underpinning your updated revenue guide and then qualitatively you know just the confidence in the level of the the updated annual outlook. What are you seeing so far in Q3? You know any clouds at all on the horizon as it relates to the consumer you know just a little bit more detail color there would be great.

Yeah, I'll take the qualitative and use the quantitative to Jay.

Obviously a very strong Q2, right? So customer growth, customer retention, volume growth, pricing elasticity, customer base is steady, teams are executing or managing expenses. We are seeing that same performance in Q3.

which only further builds my confidence that we'll deliver on this guide, as well as, frankly, the 2020 book.

So everything is going according to what we would expect. It continues through the month of July , which really puts us in a good place to deliver on our commitment. Yeah, I think Tom said it well. You look at what I called out in my prepared remarks that our water direct business in North America is just driving the 21% growth, 15% price mix, but 5% volume, organic volume, and 1% acquisition. We have continued to see that performance in this part of our business into Q3.

really are continuing into the third quarter, very similar to what we reported in Q2, not a little better.

Perfect. Very helpful. Any more color on the commercial B2B volume recovery, particularly in Europe and the momentum you're seeing there?

Yes, so we're seeing pretty consistent growth across the board. Jade's got some more detail color on, you know, how it's breaking down by second.

I mean, you look at both in North America and in Europe , you know, we are seeing good return, you know, that you look at B2B volume over in Europe , our revenue was at 8%, our pricing was relatively flat, so that was mostly volume driven. Residential, which we continue to add good residential was, you know, that revenue was up 14%. So that's very good. And you look at...

In North America, I've talked about our growth and our B2B revenue is up 23% year over year, with our residential up 14%. So, as we talked about, we are seeing things normalize on the B2B side while continuing to grow our residential side. As we said, we don't think it's a one for one swap that things are turned to normal and our numbers are showing it. So both channels on both sides of the Atlantic are enjoying good.

volume growth and pricing growth. Excellent. I'll sneak one more in and jump back and queue, but just timing questions. One on, you know, timing of potential benefits on the tariffs, and then two, at some nice property you've got there in California, any sense of timing when, you know, that those sales or sales might be completed. Thanks.

I'll take the tariff and I'll give the real estate to Jay. You know, we're cautiously optimistic that it'll move from the 25%, frankly, down to a 2.7% as the alarm as opposed to tariff. That could happen any day. We're not forecasting it, you know, so it will be upside to us. And then as we referenced in our comments, we're gonna convert that into the sale of more dispensers.

to fuel our future growth. And lower capex for what we rent. And then the flip side is we'll also get some reduced capex investment for the ones that we rent. So we're optimistic, but until it's signed and sealed, Dan, we're not counting on it. But we obviously pay a great deal of attention to this and are in fact cautiously optimistic.

And on the real estate sale, we have one large parcel under contract. We'll hopefully close and plan to close this quarter, with the remainder being probably later in the year, beginning of next.

Perfect, thank you again.

Thanks, Dan. Thanks, Dan. I appreciate it.

Your next question comes from Andrea Tachira with JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Hi, Andrea. Good morning and welcome. How are you? So I have a question about...

I have a question and a follow-up, please. On the guidance you beat EDI by three million and I guess you raised by five, you raised top line almost 70 million, seven zero, and you beat second quarter by around 20. So I'm just trying to see how it's not flowing through. Is that because of the incremental profitability that you may see headwinds with the Euro depreciation or maybe...

You were just baking in some co-services into the back end. And then I have a follow-up on you.

There's multiple factors that we're dealing with. Number one, there is inflation. So part of our price increase, as we talked about, is to offset increased costs of fuel freight and labor. So that's number one. Number two, the euro to the dollar has significantly weakened. So we have not changed our four-year guidance on EBITDA as we have seen the weakening of the euro.

We've also exited the Russia business, which as I said, you know, early on that, you know, it's 3 million of EBITDA that we were lapping. So we are lapping, you know, a lot of headwinds that have come up since the beginning of the year and upping our guidance. So you know, that's really how you've got to deal with it.

And then on Europe , I guess the one thing is the exit rate. Of course, you're very positive in the answers to the first question, right? The numbers speak for themselves. But I'm just thinking as you exit the quarter with energy prices the way they are and potentially you're lapping the easy costs at some point, are you seeing any signs of elevated churn, any deceleration on new customer ads or anything we should be.

more people go back to work in the commercial segment in Europe . We're seeing that manifest itself with good revenue and volume growth and Jay reference largely by growth.

And then we continue to generate new customers on the residential side.

So clearly, you know, the tailwind of high quality drinking water matters on both sides of the Atlantic and you know We're beginning to unearth that residential opportunity and we would expect that that would continue Keep in mind our customers over in Europe are predominantly Contractual based customers unlike we have over here in North America So it has taken us more time to put the pricing through to offset the cost so our results

Q2 really have no price to offset the cost increases as you're seeing on just 3% EVA growth, but we have taken the pricing through at this point. So we will have the additional benefit of the pricing to offset the cost inflation in the back half of the year.

And then the only other small question that was inside your question was customer retention in Europe is Is equal to or better than it has been the past so we're not seeing any changes in the turn that give us any worry

Oh, that's super helpful. Thank you, Ocasio. I'm going to come back for more.

Thank you.

Your next question comes from Kevin Grundy with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Good morning, Kevin. Great. Thank you. Hey, good morning, everyone. Hey, Kevin. A follow-up on—hey, good morning.

Tom and Jay. So follow up on the sale of the land and thoughts on buybacks in general. So number one, just ability to monetize any other holdings other than what you have outlined, I think would be of interest. And then number two, maybe just help me a bit with the recently announced 100 million share repurchase program from the board.

That would seemingly be financed largely from the the real estate proceeds They're sort of setting aside the opportunity to deploy free cash flow Post the dividend post tuck in M&A maybe just help me with that Is there an opportunity above and beyond what the board has already outlined?

Yeah, let me, I'll start with your property question and I'll give the second part of your question to Jay.

We own Wall Flay in North America, 72 locations.

So this is a small number that we focused on in California, like four to be specific.

And, you know, part of our team is working on a view that says it is, yes, it's about taking advantage of its meaningful appreciation of these properties, but we're also looking at where should our distribution centers for the future be.

to maximize or minimize depending on how you look a lot, right? Is get the logistics, minimize our cost and have distribution centers that better match our current and future customer base.

So the work that we started in California, we will extend across the US over time. It's a thorough, thoughtful process that gets to what's the right footprint for the next five or seven years, if you will.

So that's in real time California's the first piece and you know the team of now move on to other markets

And I'm not sure about your second half, but we saw an opportunity. We didn't have a share or purchase program. And at this time, we believe our stock is at a very good value. I saw the inflow of cash starting in this quarter that we have available. And we talked to the board and made the decision that best use of that inflow of proceeds from the sale land is to do share buybacks. And that's why we got approval to do so this quarter.

And importantly, we'll continue with our other uses of capital. So it's not instead of.

We're going to continue to make the investments we articulated back in November of last year on our investor day about how we grow the top line high single digit and get that EBITDA margin expansion that we promised.

Very good. I'll follow up offline as well. But thank you guys. Congrats again on the quarter.

Thanks, Kevin. Appreciate it.

Your next question comes from Derek Lessard with TD Securities. Please go ahead.

Good morning. This is Cheryl calling in for Derek and thanks for taking my question. So maybe just a follow up on Europe . We're just curious if you have seen any pressures on volume routes or even supply chain particularly in countries or maybe neighboring Ukraine.

Well, if you think about our...

Footprint. Plants are in local countries.

And we didn't have any meaningful raw materials sourced from the Ukraine. So that we avoided that with no dependence on that market. So other than ocean freight and elevated, you know, the impact of inflation, you know, we're in good stead in terms of raw materials and our ability to supply our customers.

No, and if you look at Europe , it's a little bit different than North America.

the fuel costs over there has a significant amount of excise taxes in it. So as fuel costs go up there, it's actually a lower percentage of cost increase than it is here relative. So, you know, that's really the main thing that could have been affected by what's going on in Ukraine, but it actually, because of the different amount of excise tax they put on their fuel, it's actually a smaller percentage than you would think effect on our business. And as I said, we've taken price to cover that now and it will benefit us in the back half of the year.

Okay, thanks so much for that. And then maybe as a follow up on capital allocation, just curious how you think about balancing the return of cash to shareholders and your commitment on progress towards lowering your leverage. Yeah, so, you know, it's two parts to that question. So again, this is an opportunistic share repurchase based on two opportunities.

What we believe is a meeting from the lower stock price today.

So to do a share repurchase one based on that and secondly because of our work on our real estate portfolio Which frees up which creates the ability to do this share repurchase We will continue to invest

on the incremental capital to drive growth and support the high single-digit revenue growth we've committed through 2024, and also invest on other ways to enhance our heat without margin.

So it's again, it's not instead of, it's in addition to based on our ability to modify some of these valuable assets. So we are, as Tom said, we are not changing the plan we had at the beginning of the year to the leverage under our plans. The leveraging, we were just using this incremental proceeds from the sale of our land. And we believe based on where our share price currently is, that was the best deployment of that incremental cash that we're getting from the land sales.

Okay, that's very helpful. Thanks so much for taking my questions.

Your next question comes from John Zamparo with CIBC. Please go ahead.

Morning John , good morning guys.

Good morning, guys.

I wanted to ask about net customer growth. I think you mentioned the number year over year in Q2 was 75,000. I think that was 100,000 in Q1. So I was wondering if you could share what it was quarter to quarter. Is there typically any seasonality on net customer ads? I know you have a few different initiatives on that. So just wondering if you could add some color there.

Yes, there is certainly seasonality. So, you know, Q2 and Q3 would be higher quarters historically for customer ads.

There is real seasonality to that. Obviously, there is the ad side and net is all around customer retention. So we continue to make progress and investments on the customer experience, whether it's digital, whether it's what we call on time and full, which is are we delivering on time with everything you ask for. So those initiatives are in place and will impact net growth historically.

or as we go forward? Right at my fingertips John , I don't have the movement from Q1 to Q2. I can get back to you, but you know, I know it's sequentially higher. I just can't give you an exact sequentially growth up at the top of my head. Sorry John .

Yeah, that's okay. Appreciate the color there. And then as my follow up, I wonder if we could get an update on your plans for PrimoFresh or OnTheGo. How close are you to launching this service in the US and anything you can share as you're developing this program?

Yes, I think in the last panel we talked about finding the supply chain and the appropriate manufacturing footprint. We've made good progress there. I would expect — Charging fun out with touchy

sometime in Q3 that will have units in market. I would call it tests.

Right, so this is units, frankly, both in Europe and North America.

on the on-the-go solution that we want, you know, this is the opportunity to make sure that it does exactly what it does mechanically and from a tech perspective. And then once we have comfort that the solution does what we need it to do, then we'll begin to scale up. So we've made progress. We'll plug some units in before Q3 is over.

We remain bullish about where that can bring us.

But again, I got to get the units in the field to really understand the opportunity here, but we're excited about it and happy that we can execute some in Q3. Okay, understood. Thank you very much.

Thanks, Jeff. Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, if you do have any questions, please press star 1. Your next question comes from Graham Price with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

I

Good morning. Thanks. Thanks for taking my question First one, you know, maybe on the

Just regulatory front now that California is voted to start regulating single-use plastics was wondering if you anticipate any boost to demand from that market or just general read through from that.

Yes, we would expect it moves to more of a talent for us because people don't look for solutions.

We have the appropriate one in terms of the ability to refill, reuse, and recycle hours.

It's frankly this legislation supports our decision to have exited the North American Water Retail Business.

So, you know, this just further supports our strategy to move to more environmentally friendly and sustainable solutions and we think that becomes a tailwind for us over time.

Got it. Got it. Good to hear. And then for my follow-up, I know in general we're seeing more and more businesses looking into or actually purchasing electric trucks, which seem like a great use case for your business as well. Just curious if you're looking at that and maybe just more broadly kind of trends you're seeing on fuel costs.

Yeah, so we continue to execute our conversion of our larger North American fleet from diesel,

We continue to execute our conversion of our larger North American fleet from diesel to propane.

And it certainly has a positive impact on greenhouse gas emissions, but also it's a significant reduction in nitrous oxide.

So that's a positive. We'll continue that action. We haven't found an economical electric solution yet for the larger route truck side. We continue to look, we're actively in that space.

But the capital cost so far is at least 3x.

What we are though, however, working through is how do we convert the smaller assets? So think about service fans as an example, both in North America and in Europe , about how we can convert those to EV.

And you know, that's in our, I call it early stage planning, but that would be our intent to begin that migration.

And then fuel cost is, you know, depends on where you are, right? So, you know, it has not moved down as much as unleaded.

if you look at it. And the good news is our energy surcharge just goes up and down so it covers that cost.

So we're a bit insulated from that, but I'd prefer that it went down for the record.

But we have insulated ourselves with what we do with our energy surcharge and frankly delivery costs.

Don't worry, please. Excuse me.

Got it. Makes sense. Thank you very much.

Thank you. Thank you. Your next question is a follow-up from Andrea Tichera with JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Thank you for taking my follow-up. So I was just hoping if you can elaborate a little bit more on the initiatives that go with more water sales and connectivity. I know you have the app and you also have some redeemable coupons and coolers and I guess the cooler numbers that you gave are also encouraging. So I was wondering if you can talk about marketing dollars and how you are seeing this as an an opportunity.

and also kind of the promotional environment going forward. Go ahead.

I'm sorry, Andrew.

Look, we're confident where we're going to grow our dispenser business. We'll sell over a million units this year.

What we've begun to now execute is, you know, as an example, you can walk in some retailers and you'll see the coupon on the box in a...

many of the retailers that sell our dispensers. And that is, you know, we've begun to see some increases in connectivity.

We have not conquered the connectivity curve yet. When we talk about building out our digital plan and our investments, this is one of the areas that we are working on and need to do more work on is to drive that connectivity from where it is today to a new number tomorrow. Why? Because we know those water dispensers convert into the razor blade and drive our future growth.

So it's core to our future marketing plans and we've got to work out all those details. We've made progress. We haven't made enough. Or there's more to do. Let's do better shed perhaps.

If I talk about the way, and it's quite encouraging to hear that, in terms of when you come back to the great financial crisis or the last recession, and hopefully we're not going to get into that point, but just to give investors some comfort.

Should we see, can you inform us how it happened and what was the impact at least at that point in terms of your engagement and attrition or anything that you may help us engage?

I'll give you a piece of it and I'll let Jay elaborate. What are the key actions we took out of the recession that happened?

you know, back in the late 2000s, we implemented the energy surcharge. We reap the benefit of that today. And I was here then. So before that recession, diesel was 250 gallon. I went to, I remember, high of 456.

which is actually not the high today. But we put the energy surcharge in place which insulates us.

from that spike in fuel and our charge goes up and down. So that was a key learning that makes it different.

Because back then I had no reason, right? We didn't take the action, you know, it was a key learning coming up. So that's a key change in terms of from to. The other thing we did is, we also tighten our credit policy.

right, which matters. And we've had that same credit policy in place. So, you know, that's an important number in our business. It's a cost. And we mitigated that by the changes we made a decade ago, frankly, that has worked to insulate us from downturns in terms of people who forget to pay their bill.

Now if you want to look at the numbers, if you look at our US business from 2007 to 2010, so the heart of the recession, our direct business the revenue went down 3% over that period of time. If you look at purely organic it went down 4%.

So, you know, it was benefited by some acquisitions, but more importantly, when you look at coming out of the recession, and you look at 2010 to 2013, our revenue kegger for growth was 7%, and again, 4% organically coming out. So we did very well going, and even better coming out of the last recession. So, you know, that's why we say we are recession resilient or resistant because yes, we are affected, but you know.

It's not a material effect and we do rebound quickly. And as the chart on, I think it was slide nine of our deck, it really shows overall the bottled water industry is resilient during these economic events. And I just, I'll add on or pile on if you will. We had this thing called the pandemic.

And you know, I think this company exhibited the highly variable nature of our cost structure and we acted in a month.

So, you know, hopefully investors have the confidence to say, we have the ability and the agility to adjust in real time to these challenges when we're faced with them. So we have the tale of what happened back then, and we have more recent experience with the actions that companies took during the pandemic.

Super helpful. Thank you and congrats again.

Thank you. Appreciate it.

There are no further questions at this time. Please proceed.

This concludes PRIMO's second quarter results call. Thank you all for attending.

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. We thank you for participating and ask that you please disconnect your lines. Have a great day!

Q2 2022 Primo Water Corp (Pre Reincorporation) Earnings Call

Demo

Primo Brands

Earnings

Q2 2022 Primo Water Corp (Pre Reincorporation) Earnings Call

PRMW.TO

Thursday, August 11th, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Transcript

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