Q3 2022 Airspan Networks Holdings Inc Earnings Call
[music].
Operator: Greetings, and welcome to the Airspan Networks Holdings Third Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A brief question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.
At this time all participants are in a listen only mode.
A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation.
Operator: If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.
As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.
Operator: It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, David Brant, Chief Financial Officer. Thank you. You may begin.
David Bryan Chief Financial Officer. Thank you you may begin.
David Brant: Thank you very much. The following discussion will include forward-looking statements. Comments that are not a statement of fact, including projections of future financial results and other items are considered forward-looking and involve risks and uncertainties. The risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual financial and operating results to differ significantly from our forward-looking statements are detailed in our SEC filings available on our Investor Relations website at ir.airspan.com.
The following discussion will include forward-looking statements. Comments that are not a statement of fact, including projections of future financial results and other items are considered forward-looking and involve risks and uncertainties. The risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual financial and operating results to differ significantly from our forward-looking statements are detailed in our SEC filings available on our Investor Relations website at ir.airspan.com.
The risks and uncertainties that could cause our finance actual financial and operating results to differ significantly from our forward looking statements are detailed in our SEC filings available on our Investor Relations website at IR Dot ASP on Dot com.
David Brant: We encourage you to review our earnings release and our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended September 30, 2022, which are available on our website. On this call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures. To the identification of non-GAAP financial measures, the most directly comparable financial measure and a reconciliation between the 2, see our earnings release and our quarterly report on Form 10-Q. The Q3 2022 investor presentation is available for use on our website and will be referred to as points during this call. I'll now turn the call over to Airspan Chairman and CEO, Eric Stonestrom.
David Brant: On this call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures. To the identification of non-GAAP financial measures, the most directly comparable financial measure and a reconciliation between the 2, see our earnings release and our quarterly report on Form 10-Q. The Q3 2022 investor presentation is available for use on our website and will be referred to as points during this call. I'll now turn the call over to Airspan Chairman and CEO, Eric Stonestrom.
The Q3 2022 Investor presentation is available for reference on our website and will be in effect to a points during this cold.
I'll now turn the call over to Airspan Chairman and CEO, Eric Stonestrom.
Eric Stonestrom: Thank you, David. Good morning and thank you for joining us for Airspan's Third Quarter Earnings Call. Before we begin, I'd like to extend a warm welcome to our shareholders joining us today. I would also like to thank the analysts on the call for following the progress in our business.
Eric Stonestrom: Good morning and thank you for joining us for Airspan's Third Quarter Earnings Call. Before we begin, I'd like to extend a warm welcome to our shareholders joining us today. I would also like to thank the analysts on the call for following the progress in our business.
Before we begin I'd like to extend a warm welcome to our shareholders joining us today.
I would also like to thank the analysts on the call for following the progress in our business.
Eric Stonestrom: Our plan for today is to update you on the general market trends and explain what makes Airspan so well positioned to monetize these trends and opportunities. I will start with a review of our progress in the last months and with some general comments on the 5G worldwide rollout cycle. Glenn Laxdal and David Brant will add color on markets, operations and financials. Then we will take your questions in a Q&A session.
I will start with a review of our progress in the last months and with some general comments on the <unk> worldwide rollout cycle.
Landmark sale and David Brent will add color on markets operations and financials.
Then we will take your questions in a Q&A session.
Yeah.
Eric Stonestrom: Regarding the third quarter results, while disappointed at the supply chain issues that caused a slight shortfall to the lower end of our guidance range, we are encouraged by very strong bookings and shippable backlog. We received the largest number of new orders since pre-pandemic periods, including orders from significant existing customers and an ever-growing list of new customers.
The lower end of our guidance range, we are encouraged by very strong bookings and shippable backlog.
We received the largest number of new orders since pre pandemic period, including orders from significant existing customers.
And an ever growing list of new customers.
Eric Stonestrom: At a recent trade show, the interest level in the portfolio was very strong with a discernible interest and increase both in the evolution of the market launch of private 5G and the positioning of Airspan within this encouraging trajectory. I will describe some background in terms of market drivers for the private networks area. Despite economic headwinds globally, the need for enterprise infrastructure to improve operations for cost savings and labor shortage purposes is strong and growing. Re forcing functions are fueling this increased focus on private networks. First, managed services for major carriers are expensive in a time where cost cutting is essential.
An increase both in the evolution of the market launch a private side.
And the positioning of air span within this encouraging trajectory.
I will describe some background in terms of market drivers for the private networks area.
Eric Stonestrom: Despite economic headwinds globally, the need for enterprise infrastructure to improve operations for cost savings and labor shortage purposes is strong and growing. Re forcing functions are fueling this increased focus on private networks. First, managed services for major carriers are expensive in a time where cost cutting is essential.
Three forcing functions are fueling this increased focus on private networks first managed services for major carriers are expensive and a time where cost cutting is essential.
Eric Stonestrom: New spectrum options allow enterprises to build their own networks independent of the carriers. Second, Wi-Fi solutions for necessary automation are stretched to their limits as new applications need more bandwidth and lower latency. And third, propagation indoors of the 5G macro network are not sufficient in many cases to provide the connectivity required. So a local 5G infrastructure is the most straightforward path to modernization. Our 87 third quarter project wins in private networks reflects both the demand trends and our strong position.
Second Wi Fi solutions for necessary automation are stretched to their limits as new applications need more bandwidth and lower latency.
And third propagation indoors of the <unk> macro network are not sufficient in many cases to provide the connectivity required.
Eric Stonestrom: So a local 5G infrastructure is the most straightforward path to modernization. Our 87 third quarter project wins in private networks reflects both the demand trends and our strong position.
Our 87 third quarter project wins in private networks.
Most of the demand trends and our strong position.
Eric Stonestrom: In addition to the private network growth, Airspan's order intake increase was fueled by several $10 million-plus orders driven by new products for existing fixed wireless and mobile Tier 1 networks and versatile smart city platforms, combining mobile and fixed technologies to offer low-cost gigabit interconnect on urban infrastructure. We also see broadband stimulus money beginning to hit projects about connecting the underserved, whether in urban areas like the Smart City award in Florida or in rural areas where fiber remains expensive and faces increasing inflationary and shortage issues.
Our existing fixed wireless and mobile tier one networks.
And versatile smart city platforms, combining mobile and fixed technologies to offer low cost gigabit interconnect on urban infrastructure.
Eric Stonestrom: We also see broadband stimulus money beginning to hit projects about connecting the underserved, whether in urban areas like the Smart City award in Florida or in rural areas where fiber remains expensive and faces increasing inflationary and shortage issues.
Eric Stonestrom: In the face of this growing demand, we have made several new additions to the product portfolio to further our product differentiation, as announced last week with our new industry-leading all-in-one products. We have also focused on increasing R&D and sales efficiency, achieving operating expense savings of $4 million in the quarter, while introducing new products at record pace and hitting multiyear bookings highs as our growing network of hyperscalers, systems integrators and distributors brings a force multiplier to the sales process. Let me turn the call over to President and Chief Operating Officer, Glenn Laxdal, to go into more detail.
Eric Stonestrom: We have also focused on increasing R&D and sales efficiency, achieving operating expense savings of $4 million in the quarter, while introducing new products at record pace and hitting multiyear bookings highs as our growing network of hyperscalers, systems integrators and distributors brings a force multiplier to the sales process.
Leaving operating expense savings of $4 million in the quarter, while introducing new products at record pace and hitting multiyear bookings highs as our growing network of Hyperscale or systems integrators and distributors brings a force multiplier to the sales process.
Eric Stonestrom: Let me turn the call over to President and Chief Operating Officer, Glenn Laxdal, to go into more detail.
Glenn Laxdal: Thanks, Eric. I will cover some of the details regarding our business in Q3 and year-to-date. The third quarter results reflected a challenging supply chain environment with revenue just below our guidance range due to component supply, while gross margins came in at the high end of the range. To illustrate the supply chain challenge, we had a small number of critical component decommits which puts about $3 million of revenue into Q4.
The third quarter results reflected a challenging supply chain environment with revenue just below our guidance range due to component supply while gross margins came in at the high end of the range to illustrate the supply chain challenge, we had a small number of critical component decommit, which pushed about $3 million of revenue into Q4.
Glenn Laxdal: Having said that, global demand across our lead customers remains strong. We had our strongest quarter in terms of bookings in over 2 years and over $35 million in bookings from our 3 largest customers. We are also seeing good progress in the developing private networks market. In the third quarter, we added 87 private network wins across 4G and 5G, and this is up 40% compared to the previous quarter and brings our total to over 400 private network wins.
We're also seeing good progress in the developing private networks market.
The third quarter, we added 87 private network wins.
Across <unk> and this is up 40% compared to the previous quarter and brings our total to over 400 private network wins.
Glenn Laxdal: We've extended our customer base with a significant multiyear contract with a smart cities consortium, booking a purchase order for $10 million for the first market to be rolled out. In the air of the ground market, we're continuing the deployment of the 5G network for Gogo, and we've deployed 150 5G ground stations and are in the development of the related 5G Aircard, which go in the plane.
In the air to ground market, we're continuing the deployment of the <unk> network for Gogo and we've deployed 150 <unk> ground stations owner and are in the development of the related by the Aircard, which go into planes.
Glenn Laxdal: Our 5G Aircard launch has been delayed from Q4 this year to the middle of 2023 due to a delay in the 5G chipset from one of our key suppliers. Regarding new product introduction, we're now ramping our new fixed wireless access 6 series product for commercial launch and the response has been very strong. This product delivers wireless bandwidth of over 4 gigabits per second in field deployment and therefore, qualifies for the gigabit tier of RDOF funding. Our fixed wallet access product bookings to date in 2022 reflects a 75% growth over 2021.
Regarding new product introduction, we're now ramping our new fixed wireless access fixed series product for commercial launch and the response has been very strong this product delivers wireless bandwidth of over four gigabits per second in field deployment, and therefore qualifies for the gigabit tier of <unk> funding.
Glenn Laxdal: Our fixed wallet access product bookings to date in 2022 reflects a 75% growth over 2021.
Glenn Laxdal: On the supply chain side, we're continuing to deal with component shortages, decommits and price increases, which impacted our gross margins in Q3. To offset some of this impact, we've been able to secure price increases with our key customers, which take effect in Q4. We expect to see continued impacts from the supply chain into the middle of 2023 with long lead times across the board. Now let me turn it over to David to walk through the financial results.
We expect to see continued impacts from the supply chain into the middle of 2023 with long lead times across the board.
Now, let me turn it over to David to walk through the financial results.
David Brant: Thanks, Ryan. Turning to Slide 11 in the investor presentation. We saw strong bookings in the quarter. We saw revenue for the third quarter of $41.1 million, down 12% sequentially from the second quarter and up 6% from the same period last year. Gross margin was 39.8%, essentially flat on the 41.1% last quarter, down from 40% in the last year's third quarter, with the majority of the year-over-year variance due to product revenue mix with higher average margin nonrecurring engineering revenues in the year ago quarter.
David Brant: Turning to Slide 11 in the investor presentation. We saw strong bookings in the quarter. We saw revenue for the third quarter of $41.1 million, down 12% sequentially from the second quarter and up 6% from the same period last year. Gross margin was 39.8%, essentially flat on the 41.1% last quarter, down from 40% in the last year's third quarter, with the majority of the year-over-year variance due to product revenue mix with higher average margin nonrecurring engineering revenues in the year ago quarter.
We saw revenue for the third quarter of $41 1 million down 12% sequentially from the second quarter and up 6% from the same period last year.
Gross margin was 39, 8% essentially flat from the 41, 1%, one 1% last quarter down from 40% in the last years third quarter with a majority of the year over year variance due to product revenue mix with higher average margin nonrecurring engineering revenues in the year ago quarter.
David Brant: Second quarter net loss was $23.3 million compared to a net loss of $21 million last quarter and a net loss of $27 million in the third quarter of 2021. Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $10 million compared to a loss of $12.3 million last quarter and a loss of $10.4 million in the year ago period.
Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $10 million compared to a loss of $12 3 million last quarter and a loss of $10 4 million in the year ago period.
David Brant: Demand for our products is strong, though the supply chain challenges continue to be dominated by long lead times and transportation availability. However, we are seeing an easing of transportation costs in previous quarters. We continue to work hard to mitigate lead time challenges by finding alternative components, technological design changes and working closely with our partners. We anticipate such supply chain challenges to extend into the middle of 2023. As stated last quarter, in order to address the need to satisfy the company's continuing obligations and realize its long-term strategy, we've taken steps to reduce operating expenses, which resulted in approximately $4 million of reduction in the third quarter from the second quarter '22.
However, we are seeing an easing of transportation costs in previous quarters.
We continue to work hard to mitigate lead time challenges by finding alternative components technological design changes and working closely with our partners, we anticipate such supply chain challenges to extend into the middle of 2023.
David Brant: As stated last quarter, in order to address the need to satisfy the company's continuing obligations and realize its long-term strategy, we've taken steps to reduce operating expenses, which resulted in approximately $4 million of reduction in the third quarter from the second quarter '22.
David Brant: We've made significant progress here with third quarter operating expenses already exceeding our 10% reduction target and additional savings are expected by year end. To improve our working capital requirements, we've been successful in accelerating certain of our customer receivables, and we'll continue with these discussions in the fourth quarter. SBA ended the quarter with $27.3 million of cash. Third quarter cash use was $9 million, primarily due to the loss in the quarter.
David Brant: To improve our working capital requirements, we've been successful in accelerating certain of our customer receivables, and we'll continue with these discussions in the fourth quarter. SBA ended the quarter with $27.3 million of cash. Third quarter cash use was $9 million, primarily due to the loss in the quarter.
We'll continue with these discussions in the fourth quarter.
<unk> ended the quarter with $27 $3 million of cash.
Third quarter cash use was $9 million, primarily due to the loss in the quarter.
David Brant: Turning to our debt facilities. As detailed in our Form 10-Q filing, the company was not in compliance with certain financial covenants under the Fortress credit agreement and the Fortress convertible note agreement as of and subsequent to September 30, 2022. In addition, based on management's forecast, the company has concluded it's probable that the company would not be in compliance with certain of its prospective financial covenants during certain periods of the next 12 months.
David Brant: In addition, based on management's forecast, the company has concluded it's probable that the company would not be in compliance with certain of its prospective financial covenants during certain periods of the next 12 months.
The company has concluded its probable that the company would not be in compliance with Sesame. This perspective financial covenants during certain periods over the next 12 months.
David Brant: We are in discussion with the lenders related to this situation. Accordingly, while the company is seeking waivers from compliance with the applicable covenants in connection with such breaches, the company is also pursuing alternative sources of capital so that we will be able to satisfy prospective minimum liquidity obligations. As a result, the company has classified its debt as current on the balance sheet.
Accordingly, while the companies seeking waivers from compliance with the applicable covenants in connection with such breaches. The company is also pursuing alternative sources of capital so that we will be able to satisfy perspective minimum liquidity obligations.
The company is also pursuing alternative sources of capital so that we will be able to satisfy perspective minimum liquidity obligations.
As a result, the company is classified as debt as current on the balance sheet.
David Brant: Looking forward, we expect Q4 '22 revenue of approximately $49 million to $57 million, representing an increase of between 19% and 38% over the third quarter '22, with gross margin between 42% and 46%. These views may be impacted by, among other things, component availability related to expenses and challenges from COVID-19 restrictions in Asia. With that, Eric, Glenn and I will open it up to your questions. Operator, please prompt for questions.
Representing an increase of between 19 and 38% over the third quarter 2002.
With gross margin between 42 and 46%.
These fees may be impacted by among other things components availability related expenses and challenges from COVID-19 restrictions in Asia.
With that Eric Glen and I will ask me talk to your questions. Operator, please prompt for questions.
Okay.
Operator: Thank you. We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment please while we poll for questions.
We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue.
If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue.
A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue.
You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue.
Operator: For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment please while we poll for questions.
Maybe necessity to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys.
One moment please while we poll for questions.
Yeah. Okay. Alright.
Okay.
Alright.
Okay. Yes.
Yes.
Operator: Our first question is from the line of Ben Harwood from New Street Research. Please state your question.
Is from the line of Ben hardwood from New Street Research. Please state your question.
Okay.
Ben Harwood: Thanks for taking my question. I just have a couple on your partnerships. So first on your partnership with Rakuten and Symphony, are you seeing that accelerate and increased confidence in Open RAN among your Telco customers? And have you won deals based upon being on the platform? And then secondly, how are your partnerships with hyperscalers and large enterprise networking partners progressing? Where are you seeing wins in these partnerships? Is it mainly with Telcos? Or is it in 5G enterprise applications? And what do you see that these partnerships provide you? What benefits? Thank you.
<unk> the questions I just have a couple on your partnerships.
First on your partnership.
With Rakuten and Symphony <unk>.
Are you seeing that et cetera, and increased confidence in Aitken Ryan among your telco customers and.
Have you won there was based upon being on the platform and then secondly.
How are your partnerships with hyper scale and large enterprise networking.
<unk> is progressing.
Where are you seeing wins in these partnerships is it mainly with telcos or is in five key enterprise applications. What do you see that these partnerships provide you will benefits. Thank you.
What do you see that these partnerships provide you will benefits. Thank you.
Eric Stonestrom: Yes. Good morning and thanks for the question. First, the Rakuten relationship. We are in a very deep, as you know, relationship rolling out the Open RAN technology in Japan. We've been very pleased with the network performance. Very pleased with continued purchase commitments from Rakuten and very pleased in the third quarter, particularly with the adoption of several new products. So in Japan, the relationship has been very healthy and buoyant for us.
First the rapid turn.
The relationship we are in a.
Our very deep relationship rolling out the open ran technology in Japan, we've been very pleased with the network performance very pleased with continued.
Purchase commitments from Rocco Tan and very pleased in the third quarter, particularly with the adoption of.
Several new products. So in Japan, the relationship has been very healthy and buoyant for us.
Eric Stonestrom: As we work across the globe with Symphony, we continue to look at opportunities. Together with them, I think the adoption rate will be something more significant in the coming period than what's happened to date so far. But it's a very encouraging demonstration of real-life Open RAN in Japan. The network performance criteria is being hit. We're getting very good operational models for the customer, and we're very, very committed to Open RAN.
Together with them I think.
The adoption rate will be.
Something more significant in the coming period than what's happened to date, so far but it's a very.
Very encouraging demonstration of real life open ran in Japan and network performance.
Criteria is being hit we're getting very good operational models for the customer.
And we're very very committed to open ran.
Eric Stonestrom: In general, we are seeing a lot of Open RAN demand throughout the globe, and we're continuing to strengthen our portfolio there as we introduced with some of the new products. So watch this space for other significant announcements. On Hyperscalers, the relationships have been strengthening throughout the year. We recently participated in one of the Hyperscalers projects that focused on a very scalable set of networks, which involves provisioned by the Hyperscaler as network as a service, and we turned that live late in the third quarter.
Strengthen our portfolio of their ads introduced with some of the new products.
So watch this space for other other significant announcements.
Eric Stonestrom: On Hyperscalers, the relationships have been strengthening throughout the year. We recently participated in one of the Hyperscalers projects that focused on a very scalable set of networks, which involves provisioned by the Hyperscaler as network as a service, and we turned that live late in the third quarter.
The relationships have been strengthening throughout the year. We recently participated in one of the Hyperscale or <unk>.
Projects.
That focused on a very scalable.
Set a set of networks, which involves.
Provision by the Hyperscale or as network as a service and we turn that live in late in the third quarter.
Eric Stonestrom: We also have with other large partners in the ecosystem, for instance, folks who make cores, we have been very deeply engaged in market launch. So we have a very nice position in the portfolios with some of our partners as they bring private 5G and 4G to networks around the world, specifically, both folks who make infrastructure in the server area and infrastructure in the core area have been instrumental in this expansion.
With other large partners in the ecosystem for instance, folks who makes cores we have been very deeply engaged in market launch. So we have a very nice position in the portfolios with some of our partners.
As they bring private <unk> networks around the world.
Specifically.
Both folks who make infrastructure in the server area and infrastructure in the core area have been instrumental in this expansion.
Eric Stonestrom: In addition, one of the Hyperscalers has disordered again an additional transfer building for us. So that's for the internal builds that they are doing, and that's contributed to revenue in 2Q, contributed in 3Q. We expect acceleration of that relationship. So Hyperscalers are giving the market scale, whether it's where they acquire the equipment and run it on their balance sheet as network-as-a-service or it's a bundled pass-through or it's us working through their systems integration partners in a very constructive way. It's all contributing to the massive increase we're seeing in private networks.
One of the Hyperscale or.
Has disordered again.
An additional tranche of building for.
So thats for them internal build that they are doing and that's contributed to revenue and <unk> contributed in <unk>, we expect acceleration of that relationship so hyperscale or are giving the market scale whether it's.
Where they acquire the equipment and run it on their balance sheet as network as a service or it's a bundled pass through or its us working through their systems integration partners in a very.
Constructive way.
It's all contributing to the massive increase we're seeing in private networks.
Ben Harwood: That's great. Thanks, Eric.
Operator: Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Tim Savageaux from Northland Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Operator: Our next question is from the line of Tim Savageaux from Northland Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Tim Savageaux: Hi, good morning, and congrats on the bookings in particular. That's really kind of part of the question I wanted to ask, which is, you called out bookings from your major customers, assuming there are some other 4G, 5G carrier bookings on top of that. But just working from that base, it seems like if you look at private networks and fixed wireless access, could that be as much as a 3rd of your bookings in the quarter? And the question beyond that is how is that translating to revenue currently as you look at this year? And if you want to aggregate those fine or break them out, that's fine as well. And then what sort of growth might you be looking at? I mean you talked about bookings growth in fixed wireless access. Are those sorts of numbers reasonable to think about for revenue growth next year in these emerging enterprise and fixed wireless markets? Thanks.
Really kind of part of the question I wanted to.
To ask which is.
You had called out.
Bookings from your major customer assuming there are some other.
<unk> carrier bookings on.
On top of that but.
Just working from that base. It seems like if you look at private networks and fixed wireless access.
Could that be as much as a third of your bookings.
In the quarter and the real question. The question beyond that is how is that translating to revenue currently as you look at this year.
And if you want to aggregate those finer break them out.
That's fine as well and then what sort of growth from what you'd be looking Adam you talked about bookings growth in fixed wireless access.
Are those sorts of numbers reasonable to think about for revenue growth next year in these emerging enterprise and fixed wireless markets. Thanks.
Eric Stonestrom: Yes, Glenn, do you want to take that?
Glenn Laxdal: Yes. So I think that the booking strength is across really all 3 of the markets that we planned. We had really strong bookings in Q3 from the 3 largest mobile operator customers that we have. We had -- I mentioned strong bookings performance, up 75% year-to-date on the fixed roles access that comes directly from the introduction of the new 6 Series products that we're just launching right now. And then really good bookings performance as well on the private network side with the one significant order on the smart cities engagement that we talked about. So pretty uniformly distributed. And then I think that to address this from a revenue perspective, we expect that we're sitting on over $100 million of shippable backlog right now. So we're set up pretty well for the next couple of quarters that will fall into revenue over the next 2 to 3 quarters. And then when you look at it from -- if we tunneled into the fixed wells access piece, for example, yes, the bookings performance this year will translate into revenue growth next year across fixed rolls access. That's a given.
The three largest mobile operator customers that we have we had.
You mentioned strong bookings performance up 75% year to date on the fixed wireless access.
That comes directly from the introduction of the of the New six series products that were that were just launching right now and then.
Good bookings performance as well on the private network side with the one significant order on the smart cities engagement that we talked about so pretty uniformly distributed and then I think that to address.
Just from a revenue perspective, we expect that we're sitting on over $100 million of shippable.
Backlog right now so we're set up pretty well for the next couple of quarters that will that.
That will fall into revenue over the next.
Two to three quarters.
And then when you look at it from.
We tunneled into the fixed wireless access piece for example, yes. The bookings performance. This year will translate into revenue growth next year across fixed royalty growth.
That's a given.
Okay.
Tim Savageaux: Okay. Thanks. And last question for me is on the operating expense side. You saw a nice reduction here in Q3 and I think you mentioned some prospects for further declines in Q4. I wonder if you could maybe put some kind of magnitude on that in terms of what sort of baseline we should be thinking about from an OpEx run rate perspective?
Okay. Thanks, and then.
Last question for me is on the operating expense side, you saw a nice reduction here in Q3.
I think you mentioned some prospects for <unk>.
Further declines in Q4, I'm wondering if you could maybe put some.
And what kind of magnitude on that in terms of what sort of baseline we should be thinking about opex run rate perspective.
David Brant: Yes, Tim, this is David. So the majority of the OpEx reductions have been executed and have been reflected into our Q3 numbers. Additional reductions, I would expect approximately $1 million -- that sort of level down from Q3 into Q4. And I think it's important while we've streamlined our organization, we've also focused on delivering these Q3 bookings and introduced new products in the third quarter, whilst executing these cost reductions. So to your point, I think, about $1 million.
Yes, the majority of the Opex reductions have been executed into being reflected into our Q3 numbers and additional reductions.
I would expect approximately a $1 million that sort of level down from that from Q3 into Q4 and I think it's important while we know we've streamlined our organization and we are also focused on delivering these Q3 bookings and introduced new products in in the third quarter, whilst executing these.
These cost reductions so to your point I think.
About $1 million.
Tim Savageaux: Okay. Thanks very much.
David Brant: Thanks, Tim.
Operator: Thank you. Our next question is from the line of George Notter from Jefferies. Please go ahead, state your question.
Our next question is from the line of George Notter from Jefferies. Please go ahead state your question.
Unknown Speaker: Hi, guys. This is Blake on for George Thanks, very much for taking the question. Just touching on the Gogo opportunity. It sounds like you've completed the base station shipments. And then on the 5G line cards, is the expectation to begin shipping those in mid-2023 or is that shipping with volume in mid-2023? And then are there any issues with the 4G line cards?
Just touching on the Gogo opportunity it sounds like you've completed the base station shipments and then on the <unk> line cards with the expectation to begin shipping those in mid 2023 or is that shipping with volume in mid 2023, and then are there any issues with the <unk> line cards.
Eric Stonestrom: So let's break that down into 2 parts. So on the 5G Aircards, we expect to begin shipping those in the middle of 2023 in the early Q3 time frame 2023 and then ramping through the second half of next year. And then with respect to the 4G Aircards, no problem at all. We've been shipping the 4G Aircards actually through the course of 2022. We'll continue to ship into -- at a steady rate actually into Q4 and all the way through into the entire 2023 time frame. So the 4G Aircards continue to ship, and the 5G Aircards will begin to ship in the middle of 2023.
My Dear cards, we expected to.
To begin shipping those in the middle of 2023.
In the early Q3 timeframe 2023, and then ramping through the second half of next year.
And then with respect to the <unk> Aircard no problem at all we've been shipping the <unk> cards actually through the course of 2022.
Continue to ship into at a steady rate actually into Q4, and all the way through into.
The entire 2023 time frame.
<unk> continue to ship and the <unk> cards will begin to ship in the middle of 2023.
Unknown Speaker: Okay. Thank you. That's helpful. And then are you seeing any slowdown with any customers or any macro weakness to call out from certain geographies and markets?
Glenn Laxdal: I would say the opposite. We had a good third quarter in terms of bookings across the board. The growth we've been concerned about is in the enterprise space because obviously, there's a major economic pullback. But as I spoke in my prepared remarks, we're actually seeing the opposite.
A good third quarter in terms of bookings across the board.
The growth.
Yet we've been.
Concerned about is in the enterprise space, because obviously there is a major economic pullback, but as I spoke in my prepared remarks, we're actually seeing the opposite.
Glenn Laxdal: There's a real focus on cost reduction and increased automation, things as diverse as airports needing to do a better job on baggage clearing. We see opportunities with large big-box stores who are sadly are suffering from product losses and they need better monitoring within the store, and that's driving a need for connectivity. So we're not seeing a slowdown at all in any of our segments. I think the real growth here is as businesses converge in this new world that we're in now, how much more technology they need on the automation side? And then just to call out Europe because that was another area of concern, we actually had a very significant uptick in bookings in Europe in the third quarter from the private network side, and we can expect that to continue here through the rest of the year. So that was an area where, obviously, there's economic challenge across the board. But the commitment to enterprise automation seems as robust as ever.
And increase automation.
Thanks.
As diverse as airports needing to do a better job on baggage clearing.
See opportunities with large big box stores.
Sadly for suffering from product losses, and they need better monitoring within the store.
And that's driving a need for connectivity. So so we're not we're not seeing a slowdown.
At all on any of our segments I think the.
The real.
Both years as businesses converge.
In this new world that we're in now how much more technology they need on the automation side of it and then just to call out Europe , because that was another area of concern we actually had a a very significant uptick in bookings in Europe in the third quarter from the private network side and we can expect that to continue here.
Through the rest of the year, so that was an area, where obviously there is economic.
<unk> across the board, but but the commitment to enterprise automation teams is as robust as ever.
Unknown Speaker: Okay. Great. And then in terms of time line of those discussions with the creditors to seek waiver and kind of finance or to see financing, is there sort of an end date as you look out to the end of this year and say, that's when you want something figured out? Or how should we expect those conversations to evolve over time?
This refinancing is there.
Sort of in that data.
Look out for them in this year.
That's when you want something figured out or how should we expect those conversations to evolve overtime.
Okay.
David Brant: That was with our lenders.
Unknown Speaker: Sorry, yes. Your lenders.
David Brant: I'm so sorry. Yes, of course, with our lenders. Yes, we're in discussions now with them and we're talking about a breach of covenants that we had at the end of the quarter and then subsequent to the quarter. So I expect those conversations to continue through the coming weeks and until we get resolution.
Without that yes, we are in discussions we are in discussions now with them and.
We are talking about a breach of the breach of covenants that that.
We had at the end of the quarter and then subsequent to the quarter. So I expect those conversations continue this.
Through to the coming weeks.
And until we get resolution.
Glenn Laxdal: Yes. Let me just add that the relationship with Fortress is very good. We're deeply involved here on a solution on the covenants, and this is focused mainly on contractual covenants at the debt level as opposed to liquidity or issues like that. So there's a path through this. We're very, very optimistic, and we're obviously working with it full speed here to get something resolved and out in the public eye.
And this is focused mainly on <unk>.
Contractual covenants at the debt level as opposed to liquidity.
Or issues like that so there's a there's a path through this we're very very optimistic and we're obviously working with it.
Full speed here to get something.
It's all been out in.
In the public eye.
Operator: Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Franco Granda with D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.
Thank you.
Operator: Our next question is from the line of Franco Granda with D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.
Davidson. Please go ahead.
Franco Granda: Hi, good morning everyone. Hoping you guys are all doing okay. Congrats on the quarter. It seems like the momentum were coming back and the only challenge is the supply chain as per usual. You guys have done a good job in the quarter at trimming your OpEx line for the second half of the year. And you just talked about the supply chain challenges extending through around the middle of next year. Can you quantify what percentage of the savings are more permanent versus what you expect, what return once you have a little more flexibility in the model?
Sure.
You guys have done a good job in the quarter at trimming your Opex line.
For the second half of the year and you just talked about the supply chain challenges extending through.
Around the middle of next year can you quantify what percentage of the savings are more permanent versus what you expect would return once you have a little more flexibility in the model.
Yes.
Eric Stonestrom: All the changes we announced are permanent. These were workforce strategic alignment and optimization of where we're doing things. So we don't anticipate an uptick in OpEx. We tend to run this business with what we call cash OpEx. So that strips out the issues of warrant accounting and so forth stock compensation, and we're pretty encouraged by where we got through so far, while keeping up the business momentum. And as David said, we expect that to continue to move downward. So we don't see an uptick in OpEx specific to an increase in sales, but we're getting through the improved supply chain as well as a much better order book here.
Workforce strategic alignment.
And optimization of where we're doing things.
So we don't anticipate.
An uptick in Opex, we tend to run this business with what we call cash opex, so that strips out the.
The issues.
Warrant accounting.
And so for stock compensation, and we're we're pretty pretty encouraged by where we got to so far while keeping up the business momentum and as David said, we expect that to continue to move downwards. So we don't see an uptick in opex.
Specific to an increase in sales that we're getting through the b.
The improved supply chain as well as a much better order book here.
Franco Granda: I appreciate that color. And then you talked about, I guess, in one of the earlier questions, you mentioned that the bookings from this year should turn into revenues next year. Is that the case across the entire portfolio? Or is that just in reference to private networks?
And then you talked about.
I guess one of the earlier questions.
You mentioned that the bookings from this year should turn into revenues next year is that the case across the entire portfolio with that just in reference to private networks.
Eric Stonestrom: No, no, that's across. We wouldn't be announcing bookings that had a lead time or an execution window more than 12 months. So it's across everything here. Realization of this, we don't book frame contracts and announce the realization of this revenue is in the pipe. Now it's just to give you an example, we'll have a new product and someone will buy $8 million of it, we get the order in August, and it's a 6-month lead time to get some of the components on that product. And that's just as Glen has explained, the reality of the market we're in now. And so that's the reason there's a lag, and we're not converting $100 million of shippable backlog into $100 million of revenue this quarter. But the programs are all substantial and there's a momentum with the clients, product absorption and taking the products. And so we feel pretty confident in that getting everything realized in the next year.
Lead time are alright, and execution window more then.
At 12 months, so it's across everything here.
Elevation of this but we don't book frame contracts and announced the realization of this revenue is is in the pipe now it is just.
To give you an example.
Well, the new product intermodal by $8 million of it and we get the order in August and it's a six month lead time to get some of the components on that product and that's just as Glenn has explained the reality of the market. We're in now.
And so.
So that's the reason theres a lag we're not converting a $100 million of.
Shippable backlog into a $100 million of revenue this quarter, but but the programs are all substantial and and there is a momentum with the client.
Absorption in taking the products and so we feel pretty confident in that getting everything realized in the next year.
Franco Granda: Okay. That's great. And then lastly, David, as you look at your guidance, what are your perhaps quantitative assumptions when it comes to supply chain constraints at the moment? Like how much do you think your -- or is being left on the table at the moment just from a timing perspective, while you can navigate through these?
And then lastly.
David as you look at your guidance what are your perhaps quantitative assumptions when it comes to.
Supply chain constraints at the moment like how much I think your alright is being left on the table at the moment just from a timing perspective.
You can navigate through this.
David Brant: I think that's in our guidance of $49 to $57 million, if we didn't have supply chain constraints, certainly and also -- I mean there's 2 things. One is supply chain constraints and the other is the long lead time of components. If they were -- if components were back to the 2, 3 years ago and timelines of 13 to 16 weeks, we would be able to ship more of that $100 million in Q4. But the reality is that it isn't. And so the 49% to 57% sort of dimensions where we think that the supply chain impacts will be worked and have that variance for us. So our 49-57 guidance it delivers where we feel the supply chain will deliver to us.
Sure.
If we didn't have supply chain constraints certainly.
I mean, two things one is supply chain constraints and the other is the.
The long lead time of components, if they were if can.
So we're back to the two three years ago.
Lines of 13 to 16 weeks, we would be able to ship more of that $100 million.
In Q4, but the reality is that it isn't.
And so the 4900 57 sort of dimension, where we think that Sam.
The supply chain impacts will will.
The west and have that Varian stores so.
40, 4900 67 guidance.
It.
Deliveries, where we feel the supply chain will deliver to us.
Franco Granda: Great. I appreciate all your comments.
David Brant: Thank you, Franco.
Operator: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on the telephone keypad.
Hi. Yes. Okay.
Yes.
Okay.
Operator: There are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the floor back over to the management for closing comments.
Eric Stonestrom: Okay. Thank you. Our business outlook remains encouraging, and we are excited by the plant product demand. We are confidently moving closer to breakeven in 4Q, and we have a product portfolio that is gaining wide acceptance across a wide range of major technology partners, end users and markets. 5G continues unabated even with the economic headwinds facing the world economy.
Our business outlook remains encouraging and we are excited by the plant product demand.
Confidently moving closer to breakeven in <unk>.
And we have a product portfolio that is gaining wide acceptance across a wide range of major technology partners and users and markets.
<unk> continues unabated, even with the economic headwinds facing the world economy.
Eric Stonestrom: Governments remain committed to alternative domestic supply paths for critical network infrastructure and are willing to invest to ensure network equipment supply chain diversity. Lastly, our operational model improves as extraordinary supply chain and logistics challenges ease, and we have been able to reduce operating costs through efficiency measures. One last note, we will be participating in broker conferences and one-on-one meetings in the coming months, including upcoming conferences with New Street Research and Oppenheimer & Company. We look forward to engaging with investors at these events. Thank you again for your interest and support. This concludes our call.
Lastly, our operational model improves as extraordinary supply chain and logistics challenges.
And we have been able to reduce operating costs through efficiency measures.
One last note, we will be participating in broker conferences and one on one meetings in the coming months, including upcoming conferences with New Street research and Oppenheimer and company.
We look forward to engaging with investors at these events.
Thank you again for your interest and support.
This concludes our call.
Operator: This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
You may disconnect your lines at this time, thank you for your participation.
Yeah.
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