Q3 2023 Conn's Inc Earnings Call
Speaker 2: That.
Speaker 3: My name is Daryl and I will be your operator today. During the presentation, all participants will be in the listen-only mode. After the speaker's remarks, you will be invited to participate in the question and answer session. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. The company's earning release dated December 6, 2022, was distributed before market.
Speaker 4: loss, adjusted net loss per share, and net debt. Please refer to the company's earnings release that was issued today for reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to their most comparable GAAP measures.
Speaker 5: I must remind you that some of the statements made in this call are forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements represent the company's present expectations or beliefs concerning future events.
Speaker 6: These are forward-looking statements made in this call are forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements represent the company's present expectations or beliefs concerning future events. The company cautions.
Speaker 7: that such statements are necessarily based on certain assumptions which are subject to risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated today. We move on to the next slide.
Speaker 8: Your speakers today are Norm Miller, the company's interim CEO , and George Bracero, the company's CFO . I would now like to turn the conference call over to Mr. Miller. Please go ahead. Music playing
Speaker 9: Good morning and welcome to CON's third quarter fiscal year 2023 earnings conference call. I'll start today's call with a review of the quarter and an update on our strategic priorities before turning the call over to George who will review our financial results in more detail.
Speaker 10: I am excited to rejoin the company's leadership team, and I look forward to re-engaging with our shareholders and analysts.
Speaker 11: As a reminder, I previously served as CON's CEO and President from 2015 to 2021 and have been a member of the Board since 2015.
Speaker 12: After a little more than a month since being appointed interim CEO and President, I want to start today's call with my assessment of the business.
Speaker 13: I believe CONDS continues to benefit from a strong foundation, committed management team, and powerful value proposition.
Speaker 14: We also have a compelling strategic growth plan focused on strengthening our core retail business, leveraging our credit business, and accelerating e-commerce growth.
Speaker 15: However, Khan's business model is complex and requires leadership, focus, and discipline, which is especially critical in today's macroeconomic environment.
Speaker 16: With the renewed focus on execution, I believe our financial performance will improve and we can re-establish a disciplined approach to profitable and sustained growth.
Speaker 17: I am also confident in Khan's core value proposition and as one of the company's largest individual shareholders I am committed to creating lasting value for all the company stakeholders.
Speaker 18: CONZ is in a much different position today compared to when I joined the company as CEO back in 2015 where we lacked the platform to successfully manage our complex business model, digest the rapid growth we had experienced, and effectively operate our credit segment.
Speaker 19: To respond to the challenges in 2015, we built a proper infrastructure, focused on profitability, and developed a foundation for growth.
Speaker 20: The successful execution of these actions expanded the company's operating margins from 7% to 12% and increased the company's book value by 40%.
Speaker 21: Today, I believe our business is supported by a sophisticated credit operation and experienced leadership team.
Speaker 22: We are quickly re-establishing a disciplined approach to growth and profitability.
Speaker 23: This includes taking actions to reduce our cost structure and enhance our cash flow while managing inventory levels and optimizing our business.
Speaker 24: We are also refocusing our efforts to better serve our core credit constrained customers, and we believe our differentiated credit offerings are needed now more than ever.
Speaker 25: As you will hear later in my prepared remarks, we remain focused on pursuing the growth strategies already underway while expanding our focus on the Conn's core financed customer.
Speaker 26: Finally, to our shareholders, customers, and team members listening to today's call, I believe cons will return to a profitable and growing organization as our execution improves.
Speaker 27: So, with this overview, I'd like to review our third quarter performance in more detail before updating you on our strategic priorities.
Speaker 28: Our retail sales performance was disappointing, as multiple factors caused same-store sales to decline 27% during the third quarter.
Speaker 29: First, we continued to lap atypically strong retail results from last year, which benefited from stimulus programs and pull forward of demand.
Speaker 30: Second, we believe current year demand is being impacted by changing consumer behavior as inflationary pressures and recessionary fears have caused consumers, especially lower income consumers, to shift spending away from the discretionary, home-related products we sell.
Speaker 31: Finally, lower year-over-year lease-to-own sales and a shift of focus away from our core customer compounded the external challenges we faced during the third quarter.
Speaker 32: Efforts underway to refocus on our core finance customer are supported by the investments we have made to build and manage a leading credit organization.
As a result, the underlying quality of the portfolio remains stable even as we experience normalizing credit trends.
In fact, we have seen continued improvements in the weighted average credit score of both originations and outstanding balances, reflecting our ability to target a more favorable mix of higher-credit quality customers.
In addition, the carrying value of reaged accounts continues to improve and remains at one of the lowest levels since 2014.
However, the decline in retail sales has reduced our portfolio balance, which has impacted finance charges and other revenue, and will temporarily impact delinquency and loss rates.
To offset the reduction in retail sales and credit revenue, we are aggressively managing costs and we have taken actions over the past six months that are expected to generate annualized cost savings of approximately $20 million to $30 million.
We are working to mitigate the impact this will have on profitability, and we expect the cost-saving actions implemented this fiscal year will help partially offset higher incremental operating costs next year.
Additionally, we are carefully managing inventory levels and we have delayed or eliminated certain previously planned capital expenditures including our rebranding initiative.
As a result of these actions, we anticipate CapEx for fiscal year 2023 to be between $70 to $80 million compared to expected CapEx of $90 to $100 million, which we disclosed at the start of the fiscal year.
Keep in mind, we believe operating costs will increase next fiscal year because of store and distribution center expansion plans already committed.
This includes a new distribution center in the southeast, the relocation of a Texas distribution center, and the addition of approximately 10 new standalone locations next fiscal year.
As a reminder, it takes approximately 12 months to open a new store, while a new distribution center takes approximately 18 months to open.
We also recently worked with our supportive bank partners to amend our credit facility, which resulted in six quarters of covenant relief.
This will provide us with additional flexibility to turn around our financial performance and implement our in-house lease-to-own strategy.
As a result, we believe we have the financial resources needed to simultaneously navigate near-term retail conditions and stabilize the business while supporting our long-term growth initiatives.
While there is work to be done to drive top line growth, transform our cost structure, and return to profitability, I believe CONS underlying value proposition continues to resonate with our core customers and supports a significant growth opportunity.
In fact, Khan's unique credit retail business model was built over 50 years ago to help customers purchase products for their homes during challenging boom and bust cycles in the Texas oil and gas market.
Our business model has successfully proven itself time and time again throughout multiple business cycles.
As we refocus on our core customer, I believe our legacy of performance and unwavering support for our customers during times of hardship will drive sales opportunities and generate lifetime customer value.
We are also entering a period of tightening throughout the credit markets, which we believe will drive higher credit quality customers to cons.
Furthermore, we expect consumers' credit scores will start to decline as government stimulus programs have ended and consumers are faced with higher inflation and greater economic uncertainty.
As these market trends increase the need for the financing options we provide, I am confident we have significant opportunities to capture customers across the credit spectrum.
Actions underway to re-emphasize our core value proposition are focused on enhancing our marketing efforts, leveraging the sophistication of our credit platform, and ensuring our retail strategies and sales execution support customers along their in-store and online journeys with cons.
I also want to be clear that we will remain disciplined in our underwriting approach.
In fact, I believe we are better positioned today than any time in our history to simultaneously support retail sales while managing credit risk.
This is due to our best-in-class credit offerings, which includes our private label credit card, our in-house financing option, our lease-to-own program, and our new layaway payment plan.
The integration of the in-house leased to owned platform we acquired in the first quarter is progressing and we expect to originate our first in-house leased to owned sales early next calendar year.
The transition to an in-house leased owned platform is a key growth initiative and as the program matures We expect it will be highly accretive to profitability
In addition, we believe this program will support our lease-to-own sales growth expectations while allowing cons to maintain discipline underwriting standards.
As a result, we believe our in-house lease-to-own platform has the potential to be a transformational driver of future growth and profitability.
Overall, we believe our best-in-class credit offerings support a powerful and differentiated platform.
As our attention returns to this area of the business, I am confident in the multiple levers we have across our internal and external credit offerings to drive profitable sales growth.
Next, I want to provide an update on the progress we are making transforming our ecommerce business.
Throughout the year, we have completely replatformed our website to a modern, cloud-based infrastructure that offers consumers updated search, browse, and checkout features.
We have also expanded our online assortment, leveraged our next day white glove delivery capabilities,
and provided in-store associates with the capabilities to add online-only items to in-store transactions.
Year-to-date ecommerce sales have increased 16.7% to $55.1 million, while third quarter sales declined 8.9% to $17.5 million as a result of a shift of focus from our Conz Core Finance Customer.
and the replatforming actions we completed during the quarter.
I am pleased to announce that we are nearly finished with our e-commerce transformation and we are working on implementing the last phase which is focused on enhancing the digital application process.
With all online transactions now running on our new platform, we have seen ecommerce sales improve, with sales for the month of November up year over year.
Going forward, we believe we have a large opportunity to grow online sales and we are committed to driving traffic and increasing conversion.
In addition, we are focused on creating a best-in-class e-commerce platform that offers credit constrained consumers the ability to apply for and get approved for credit online.
We believe that with the terms of our in-house financing program, our 100% digital approval process will be unlike any other credit offering in the marketplace, once fully implemented.
As a result, we expect our new e-commerce platform to produce sustainable growth over the next several years.
Turning to our partnership strategy.
We believe our unique capabilities are attractive to a variety of retailers looking to leverage our core strengths while providing opportunities to expand our addressable market.
During the third quarter we added 15 Belk store-within-a-store locations, bringing the total number of Belk locations to 19.
In addition, we launched an e-commerce experience on velk.com, which completes the initial rollout under this pilot program.
While our test with Belk is just getting started, this partnership provides us with a potentially efficient way to grow our footprint into new markets and serve more fast and reliable consumers.
As you can see, we are quickly implementing actions to refocus our efforts and better serve our core credit constrained customers and control costs as we continue to make progress against our strategic initiatives.
As we focus on successfully executing against these priorities, we believe we will significantly improve our financial results.
Finally, with a little over 30 days since rejoining the leadership team, and in lieu of official guidance, I want to provide some details on our fourth quarter performance.
Same-store sales for the month of November were down 24.8%, better than the third quarter, and represents two consecutive months of same-store sales improvements.
Heading into the final weeks of the calendar year, we believe our merchandising and marketing strategies are aligned with our refocused credit approach and consumer trends.
In addition, we continue to prudently control inventory.
As of October 31, 2022, inventory has declined 1.5% year over year, despite a 5% increase in the number of cons, locations, and the rollout of 19 store-within-a-store locations at Belk.
Before I turn the call over to George to share more details on our financials, I want to reiterate my strong confidence in our business.
CONSS continues to have a unique value proposition, solid foundation and compelling future.
I believe we have the right strategies in place to drive top line sales and improve our financial results especially as retail trends normalize.
We can and should win in any environment, and the leadership team and I will hold the company accountable to this belief.
As we refocus on execution in the business, I am confident we can turn around our financial and operating results.
I have a deep conviction that our business resonates with our customers and a strong belief in our leadership team's ability to deliver on our strategic priorities.
With this overview, I'll turn the call over to George.
Thanks Norm. Before I begin, I want to welcome Norm back to the company's leadership team.
On behalf of everyone at cons, we look forward to Norm's focus on execution as we work hard, turn around our performance and create sustainable value for our customers, team members, communities and shareholders.
On a consolidated basis, total revenues were $321.2 million for the third quarter of fiscal year 2023, representing a 20.8% decrease from the same period last fiscal year.
For the third quarter, the company reported a gap net loss of $1.04 per diluted share compared to net income of $0.60 per diluted share for the same period last fiscal year.
On a non-GAAP basis, adjusting for certain charges and credits, we reported a net loss of 78 cents per diluted share for the third quarter compared to net income of 60 cents per diluted share for the same period last fiscal year.
Reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures are available in our third quarter earnings press release that was issued this morning.
looking at our retail segment in more detail.
Total retail revenues for the third quarter were $254.6 million.
The 24% year-over-year decline in retail revenue was driven primarily by the trends Norm discussed in his prepared remarks, including an atypically strong retail results last year, the impacts inflationary pressures and recessionary fears are having on consumers' behavior this year, and writes to companies like
Lower year over year lease to own sales and a shift of focus away from our core customer.
We opened two new standalone stores during the third quarter, bringing the total store count to 165 in 15 states.
During the fourth quarter, we plan to open four additional locations which will add a total of 11 new standalone locations in fiscal year 2023.
We also opened 15 store-within-a-store pilot locations with Belk during the third quarter.
The 19 store within a store locations we've opened this fiscal year reflects our initial pilot with Belk and we look forward to continuing to test our retail partnership strategy.
Retail gross margin for the third quarter was 33.2% compared to 36.8% for the same period last fiscal year.
A decline of 360 basis points.
The year-over-year decrease in retail gross margin was primarily driven by deleveraging of fixed distribution costs from lower sales and higher freight costs.
While we expect retail gross margin to remain under pressure over the near term, as retail sales recover and we realize the benefit of lower international shipping costs, we expect retail gross margin to improve over time.
SG&A expenses in our retail segment decreased by 6.7%, driven by declines in variable costs, bonus expense, and advertising and labour costs as a result of cost savings initiatives.
These decreases were partially offset by an increase in occupancy and operational costs due primarily to new store growth.
Due to lower retail sales, SG&A expenses were 37% of retail sales for the third quarter compared to 30.2% for the same period last fiscal year.
For the three months ended October 31, 2022, retail segment operating loss was $17.7 million compared to retail segment operating income of $22.5 million for the same period last fiscal year.
On an on-gap basis, adjusted retail segment operating loss for the third quarter
was $9.7 million after excluding a charge for employee severance.
This compares to non-GAAP adjusted retail segment operating income of $22.5 million for the same period last fiscal year.
Turning to our credit segment, finance charges and other revenues were $66.6 million for the third quarter, a 5.7% decline from the same period last fiscal year.
The decrease in finance charges and other revenues was primarily due to a 7.3% decrease in the average outstanding balance of the customer accounts receivable portfolio, as well as a decline in insurance commissions.
The decrease was partially offset by an increase in late fee revenues.
Recent credit trends reflect a smaller portfolio balance which is impacting delinquency and charge-off rates.
In addition, recent credit performance is up against large-scale stimulus programs which supported better payment, delinquency, and charge-off performance over the past two years.
As we navigate these normalizing trends, we believe underlying credit quality remains stable and reflects our conservative credit underwriting approach.
As a percent of the portfolio, the 60-plus day past due balance was 12.2% at October 31, 2022, which was impacted by the decline in our portfolio balance, normalizing credit trends and a more restrictive re-age policy.
This compares to 8.8% for the same period last fiscal year, which benefited from stimulus programs.
The balance of reaged accounts as a percent of the portfolio was 16.5% compared to 18.3% for the same period last fiscal year.
For the third quarter, annual net charge-offs as a percent of the average portfolio balance were 13.7% compared to 8% for the same period last fiscal year.
We estimate the decline in our portfolio balance had around 100 basis point impact on the 60-plus day delinquency and charge-off rates at the third quarter ended October 31, 2022.
Despite higher annualized net charge-offs during the third quarter, our credit spread for the three months ended October 31, 2022 was 9.8% compared to 14.6% for the same period last year.
We expect our credit spread will decline in the near term as a result of a smaller portfolio and as credit trends continue to normalize.
During the third quarter of fiscal year 2023, the credit provision for bad debts was $34.8 million compared to $26.5 million for the same period last fiscal year.
The $8.3 million increase in credit provision for bad debts was primarily driven by a smaller year-over-year decline in the allowance for bad debts and a year-over-year increase in net charge-offs.
The company reported a credit segment loss before taxes of $11.8 million compared to credit segment income of $1.8 million for the same period lost fiscal year.
The reduction in credit segment income before taxes was primarily due to lower credit segment revenue, a higher provision for bad debts, and an increase in interest expense partially offset by lower SG&A expenses.
Turning now to our balance sheet.
At October 31, 2022, we had $538.7 million in net debt compared to $424.1 million for the same period last fiscal year.
Net debt as a percent of the ending portfolio balance was approximately 52.2% at the end of the third quarter, which remains below pre-pandemic levels.
In addition, we have no near-term debt maturities and earlier this year we successfully completed our 11th ABS transaction since re-entering the ABS market in 2015.
Our ABL group continues to be supportive of our business and the strategies we are pursuing to improve our performance and re-establish our growth trajectory.
We recently worked with our bank partners to amend our credit facility to provide us with the additional flexibility to successfully turn around our financial performance and navigate the current retail environment.
This resulted in six quarters of covenant relief, which also provides us with enough time to complete the transition of our in-house lease-to-own strategy.
In addition, to enhance our liquidity profile, we recently sold the 2022 Class C Note.
As of November 30th, our cash plus availability under our ABL was $222.2 million compared to $163.8 million at October 31st.
Overall, we continue to believe our liquidity and access to capital provides us with the flexibility to support the current needs of our business while investing in our long-term growth initiatives. We continue to believe our liquidity and access to capital provides us with the flexibility to support the current needs of our business while investing in our long-term growth initiatives.
As part of the leadership change and continued macroeconomic and retail uncertainty, we previously withdrew our Fiscal Year 2023 Financial Guidance.
We are confident in the company's value proposition and the priorities we are pursuing to turn around our financial performance and drive profitable and sustainable growth.
Finally, I want to share my thanks to all our team members for their continued hard work, service and dedication.
So with this overview, Norm and I are happy to take your questions.
Operator, please open the call up to questions.
Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad.
A confirmation phone will indicate your line is in the question queue.
You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue.
For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys.
One moment please while we poll for your questions.
Our first question has come from the line of Kyle Joseph with Jefferies. Please proceed with your questions.
Hey, good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. A lot of moving parts, obviously, with macro and kind of the mix shifts in the book, but just kind of want to get your expectations for near-term and intermediate-term credit performance and how you see net charge-offs kind of shaking out versus historical averages. So we're doing this very small...
George, you can chime in after I finish. What I would tell you, Kyle, is we are pretty pleased with where, you know, as I have come back and really dug into the portfolio, pretty pleased with the performance of the portfolio. Really we're seeing a normalizing of credit trends.
from the atypical performance we saw a year ago. But when we look at the delinquency buckets and the roll rates, pretty pleased with what we're seeing from a historical comparison standpoint. You know, typically in the fourth quarter, we see, you know, historically more elevated charge-offs.
That's typical with seasonality and the timing from the tax season when those accounts roll off at the end of the year. I would say we're seeing that similarly here, but as I look at the early part of the buckets, pretty bullish. Obviously, the macroeconomic piece can change.
portfolio and the impact that has on the charge-off rate. So in the fourth quarter specifically, even though we're not providing formal guidance, we would expect to see the charge-off rate to be higher than it was in the third quarter for the factor that Norm just described around seasonality as well as the denominator effect.
I was just going to say, and as George said in his prepared remarks, that denominator effect with the shrinking cons portfolio is a material impact on the rates. We're estimating it's 100 basis points impact you see from a rate.
Now, frankly, I focus more on the actual dollar amount of charge offs because that's the real driver at the end of the day. But clearly, we need to, as we refocus on the cons customer, we need to see our portfolio start to grow again. And not only will fix
Got it helpful. And then moving over to to Belk, you know, any numbers you can share? I know it's relatively early, but you rolled out another 15 locations and just give us a sense for what, you know, the potential is with Belk. And then remind me if you guys are able to offer cons credit in these locations. So what I would say is it's very, I mean, literally 15 of them, the 19 rolled out here in the third quarter and the Belk.com, the website, our products being available on their website only went live in the month of October .
to increase our addressable market. And then the question on cons financing, we don't currently offer that in the stores. They do have a high credit quality offering, but no cons credit or no lease to own opportunity in the Belk stores. But that is something as we continue to see the test unfold.
that could be potential opportunity down the road as we work with our bulk partner.
One last one for me on the lease to own product. You guys think about beginning to originate your own transaction. Just give us a sense for how this would compare to the product offering of third parties. What are you guys going to offer?
early buyouts and any kind of differences in terms of economics to the consumer there.
No, I think you'll, and again, we'll share as we expect to start writing our first lease agreements here in the first quarter, we'll share particulars on what that financial agreement, what the consumer will be, but we have patterned it very similarly to what you see with other Wall thank you
virtual and bricks and mortar leased to own products that are out there in the marketplace. We recognize that we are competing with them with that product.
Got it. That's all my questions. Thanks for answering all of them.
Thanks, Kyle.
Thank you. Our next questions come from the line of Brian Nagel with Oppenheimer. Please proceed with your questions.
Thank you. Our next questions come from the line of Brian Nagle with Oppenheimer. Please proceed with your questions. Good morning.
Good morning, Brian . So Norm, welcome back.
Thank you. I'm glad to be back.
So that's my really that's my kind of opening to my first question it's it's you've been around the business for a while you absolutely be on the board.
I guess I'll make it a two-part. I mean, what brought you back to an operational role? And as you look at the business now, obviously against a
very fluid macro backdrop. You know, from your vantage point, again, given your knowledge of business, what are the levers that...
you know you and the team can pull here to you know to stabilize the business and It getting given all this going on
Yeah, thanks, Brian . What brought me back, obviously, as we've reported the performance of the company this quarter and over the past couple of quarters, it certainly has not met the board's expectations performance wise. And frankly, we believe, and I believe strongly that
macro environment, having lived it before with this consumer back in the Great Recession of 2008 and 2009, it should create opportunities for us from a sales standpoint as people look for more opportunities from a credit standpoint.
Now having said all that, a number of the things that have been put in place strategy-wise, such as to grow that fast and reliable, that high credit quality customer, I still think that that's a strong, that we offer a strong value proposition for that consumer as well with our products and our pricing. So it's not about......
trading one for the other. You know, that's been part of our struggle here over the past year. We certainly have grown that fast and reliable, but have lost the level of focus on the cons, core finance customer and the least owned customer. So really our mission going forward, especially in this.
macroeconomic environment is how do we continue to capture that high credit quality customer but also double down on where our bread is buttered which is the cons core finance customer and as we bring lease to own in house and are able to create the synergy with cons financing and lease to own. All these heat his own. All these applied principles.
That should be 60-65% of our business and growing. That refocus on that customer in this environment is just a significant opportunity for us.
Oh god, that's really helpful. I guess.
It's a follow-up to that, with that the core, the legacy business of cons.
Has anything changed competitively?
for the better or for the worse, that could interrupt the ability of cons to push more aggressively, more constructively back into that market.
What I would, yeah that's a great question Brian , what I would say is there certainly from when I came to the company back in 2015 there are certainly more credit offerings across the credit spectrum especially on the lower end the lease to own side of the house.
And I would say even a greater emphasis on credit options at the higher credit quality as well. So that is on both ends of the spectrum. That is far more competitive. I would say than it was back seven or eight years ago. Consumers are aware of more options on both ends of those.
many credit options there. That's still a significant differentiator for us in the marketplace. Now as part of the reason bringing lease to own in-house is because of the competitive nature that's out there, our ability to leverage our credit infrastructure and be able to bring that lease to own in-house and couple it with a
cons financing we think it's going to be greater than one plus one. It's a multiple effect when you bring those two together under the same underwriting model and enable us to offer a variety of credit options for those consumers certainly below the 650 FICO. Now we'll still have the high credit quality options.
with our Synchrony partner and the cash option as well. But our differentiator is going to continue to still exist in the marketplace in that sub 650 FICO score and below. And that will be, I think, stronger once we have that in-house.
LTO offering to couple with our cons financing. Now guys, that's really helpful. I appreciate all the color. Thank you.
Thanks Brian , appreciate it.
Thank you. Our next questions come from the line of Vincent Kantic with Stevens. Please proceed with your questions.
Thanks for taking my questions, Norm. It's great to hear all the details of the strategic focus, especially on the finance customer. I was wondering if you could maybe go into some of the near-term priorities, in particular any milestones that we can be looking for in the near to medium term, especially as we're going through this. Number 3, what have you heard from the
in a fluid macro environment. Sure. Hi Vincent. So what I would say is from a near-term standpoint as we mentioned in the prepared remarks, you know the two key strategic initiatives that we're executing on right now is the e-commerce platform transition which...
as we said in the prepared remarks, is almost complete. We're in the very, very last phase. All of our transactions as of the first part of November are now being transacted on the new platform and very pleased with what we're seeing performance-wise there.
As you know, anytime you go through an e-commerce transition from a platform standpoint, there's typically a significant disruption. We clearly saw our e-commerce sales down 9% for the quarter, but from a positive standpoint, as we look at just the month of November , we're seeing a lot of growth in the e-commerce industry.
When all the transactions were on, we actually had slightly positive growth in e-commerce sales in November . So as we continue to, as we finish that transition and continue to build on that going forward, we think we have significant opportunity for that to be a huge growth driver for us.
not only in the next fiscal year, but over the next two to three years, as you look at our conversion rates for the key products we carry versus the rest of the marketplace. The second key initiative is really around the lease to own, bringing it in house.
Even prior to my leaving and stepping back on the board back in 15 months ago I was a strong believer on the board and and proponent of moving to an in-house at least to own Solution because I believe with our differentiated
credit infrastructure and the team we've built from both an underwriting and a collection standpoint, bringing that critical segment of the customer base which should be 10 to 15 percent at a minimum of our sales in line with our cons financing.
and being able to underwrite that all as one group, I think creates significant opportunity for us from a growth standpoint. If I refer you to the investor deck presentation that we released earlier today, and slide five that shows our sales funnel, and if you see out of the trailing 12 months.
1.1 million people submitted credit applications, whether online or in our stores, and we approved 460,000. But that means 58 percent we declined, or 640,000 applications. Those are ripe opportunities that...
We're capturing some of those with our lease-to-own partner, but we think with an in-house product that we'll be able to capture materially more of those 500 and or 640,000 declined applications. So those are the two key short mile markers, if you will.
is that infrastructure already in place and so we should be seeing that roll in pretty soon or there are other investments that should be made.
No, I mean it's all the IT, that's the work that's being done right now, but our expectation as we said in the prepared remarks is we expect our first lease agreements to be written in the first quarter of this calendar year. So over the next couple of months we're...
I would say we're rounding the top of the bend and coming toward the finish line there to be able to really start executing on that business. The infrastructure from an underwriting, from a model standpoint, from a collection standpoint, we already have that in place with our cons in-house and we have...
beef that up in anticipation of this new credit offering that, you know, we expect to really start accelerating throughout next year. And Vincent, it's going to be a ramp throughout the, mostly the first half of next year, from when we originate our first lease-to-own contract to when we're...
originating more than half of our leases in-house. And I would say we have a great partner with AFF that works with us now that we would expect, at least through this next calendar year, they'll continue to get a portion of the business.
There's value for us to do that from a champion challenger standpoint and to have another look on what's happening from a performance and a credit standpoint. But the vast majority of the lease-to-own business, ultimately we will transfer that.
and start underwriting that in-house. Okay, great. Thanks very much for that. And the second topic on the funding side of the business, it's great to hear about the credit amendment and getting an additional six months of room. Just wondering if you could talk broadly about
your strategy and if there's anything else that you would like to change in the capital structure. And then two kind of quick questions just if the amended credit agreement limits the stock buybacks and then if there's any impact earning some impact from selling the notes that was sold this quarter. Thank you.
Yes, so Vincent obviously the ABS market remains a critical aspect of our business from a funding standpoint. We just sold the Class C bond from the 2022 transaction this past month in
most subordinated tranche of that class and we were able to execute that in a challenging market from an AVS standpoint. So I would tell you that that gives us the confidence that we continue to access the market, that particular market, which is important for us from a funding standpoint.
The other thing I would note is that we ended the month of November with $222 million of liquidity. So even with the liquidity buffer that's in that DABL amendment, we believe we have enough access to capital to be able to not only fund the
the operating needs of the business, but also to invest in the growth going forward. Related to your last question about the earnings impact, yes, there will be, relative to Q3, our interest expense will be higher in Q4 as a result of the sale of the classy bond.
Okay, very helpful. Thanks very much.
Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I would now like to hand the call back over to management for any closing remarks.
Well, I want to thank everybody for their participation on the call and their interest in the company. I'm glad to be back. The leadership team is excited to execute on our priorities and be able to deliver stronger results going forward. So look forward to talking with everyone on our next call. Have a great day.
Thank you. This does conclude today's teleconference. We appreciate your participation. You may disconnect your lines at this time.
Enjoy the rest of your day.