Q1 2023 Moog Inc Earnings Call

Speaker 2: Please stand by.

Speaker 3: Good morning and welcome to the Moog first quarter fiscal year 2023 earnings conference call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Aaron Astrakhan. Please go ahead, sir. Good morning and thank you for joining Moog's first quarter 2023 earnings release conference call. I'm Aaron Astrakhan, Director of investor relations.

Speaker 4: With me today is Pat Roach, our new Chief Executive Officer, Jennifer Walter, Chief Financial Officer, and Anne Lohr, Manager Investor Relations. I'm excited to join Anne as we serve the information needs of the investor community.

Speaker 5: We've taken Pats' first investor call as an opportunity to update the format of our repair remarks. Pats will share his perspective on our strategic direction, priorities, and the business' performance. Well, Jennifer will provide further commentary on the court's results and guidance for the year. You may notice our repair remarks are shorter than they have been in the past.

Speaker 6: as we are now focusing on the key drivers of our results. We released our results earlier this morning. Our results and our supplemental financial schedules are available on our website. Our earnings press release, our supplemental financial schedules, and remarks made during our call today contain adjusted non-GAAP results.

Speaker 7: Reconciliations for these adjusted results to get results are contained within the provided materials.

Speaker 8: Lastly, our comments today may include statements related to expected future results and other forward looking statements. These are not guarantees as our actual results may differ materially from those described in our forward looking statements. And are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties that are described in our earnings press release and in our other filing.

Speaker 9: Now, I am pleased to turn the call over to Pat.

Speaker 10: Hello and good morning to you all. It is an honor and a privilege for me to lead our amazing company. I look forward during this call to share my thoughts on the future and together with Jennifer, reflect on a great quarter and the year that it's holding together nicely.

Speaker 11: Before I proceed, I would like to acknowledge John's leadership. Over the last 11 years, John has led with passion, conviction and integrity.

Speaker 12: Under his guidance, we have become financially stronger with sales growth from 2.3 to 3 billion dollars

Speaker 13: and more innovative, which has led to new startup opportunities.

Speaker 14: John's compassion for our people shone through in his leadership through the global pandemic, with a focus on protecting the wellbeing of our employees and the financial health of our company.

Speaker 15: On behalf of all Morgan Cloyes, thank you, John , for your wonderful contributions.

Speaker 16: Now, turning to the future, I want to highlight my thoughts on our vision for the company and my key priorities.

Speaker 17: Over the last 23 years with the company, I've been inspired by the energy, passion and creativity that our talented staff apply in solving real world problems for our customers.

Speaker 18: It all started with a spark of inspiration, Bill Mokes, innovative servo valves, and an application to defend naval ships and crew members.

Speaker 19: Over the last 70 years our positive impact on people and our planet has grown significantly.

Speaker 20: At heart, we are a technology company with deep capabilities in motion control systems and critical components.

Speaker 21: Our highly collaborative culture delivers innovative solutions for our customers' most difficult technical challenges.

Speaker 22: We target applications when performance really matters across a range of end markets.

Speaker 23: Today, our people, products and technologies affect the lives of millions across the globe.

Speaker 24: Mold solutions are critical to our national security, to safe transportation, to reducing factory emissions, and to enhancing patients' lives, just to name a few.

Speaker 25: To continue on our path of growth and success, I see our talented people making a difference together by building a sustainable Moog for current and future generations.

Speaker 26: We will do that by concentrating on three areas.

Speaker 27: customer focus,

Speaker 28: People, community and planet.

Speaker 29: people, community and planet, financial strength.

Speaker 30: I'll share some brief details on each.

Speaker 31: First customer focus.

Speaker 32: Customer focus is about meeting our commitments.

Delivering programs on schedule, shipping products on time.

It's about creating value now and in the future by being responsive to changing needs.

It's about having a clear advantage over our competitors and being able to sustain that advantage.

Second, people, community and planet.

Our culture defines us as a company. It enables great collaboration with customers and across the company. Our culture is a competitive advantage for Moog and a key attraction for our employees.

I want to ensure that we remain true to our values, that we have a clear sense of purpose across the company and that we create the opportunities to challenge and develop our people.

Furthermore, I believe that our workforce should be more diverse and reflective of the communities that host us. I'm convinced that this will strengthen our company.

Turning attention to our planet, I believe that we all share a moral responsibility to be good stewards of our planet for the next generations.

The solutions we develop for our customers are part of our contribution to a better planet.

And in addition, we will do more to reduce emissions from our own manufacturing operations.

Third, financial strength.

I believe that we must do better financially and that we have a clear view of how to do it.

Our focus is on enhancing our operating margins.

We will simplify our business.

We will focus on businesses, customers and products where the value that we create is reflected in the profits we make. We will focus our manufacturing capability by end market located as necessary to serve our customers and of sufficient scale to be economically sound.

We will drive further profitability through continuous improvement activities and the convergence of systems and processes.

We will grow revenue through established businesses and new areas of activity.

We have a solid core with positive growth drivers, higher defense spending, the recovery of commercial travel, more investment in energy efficiency and ever increasing health spending.

In addition, we have really exciting growth opportunities beyond the core. We're entering new markets and redefining our position within existing markets.

We will also focus on our cash generation. We will work to reduce the amount of cash it takes to run the business. For example, we see opportunities to increase our inventory terms.

Now, let me briefly summarize. We're building a sustainable business that has a positive impact on people and planets for generations to come.

We have three areas of focus with our immediate priorities in each being as follows.

Customer focus, enhancing our operational performance.

People, community and planet, driving employee engagement and workforce diversity. Real strength, driving business simplification.

I look forward to sharing more specific information on our key initiatives and on our long-term goals during an investor day to be held later this year.

Now, let me turn our attention to the quarter.

First, from a macroeconomic perspective, the war in Ukraine, close to one year on, has strengthened the resolve of Western governments to support Ukraine and to increase domestic spending on the fence.

The deployment of increasingly sophisticated defence systems to Ukraine could boost sales of our existing defence components and systems.

The planned increase in defense spending long term will lead to increased sales of existing platforms and increased development activity.

The recovery of global air travel continues. Wide body aircraft flight hours are already above pre-pandemic levels, demonstrating the value of these efficient aircraft to the airline industry.

The opening of travel to and from China should further accelerate that recovery.

We were pleased to see the resumption of 737 MAX flights in China, and on another note, KOMAC C919 achieved flight certification in China during the first quarter.

The potential impact of recession in our major industrial markets appears to have lessened.

being either less severe or less imminent than first anticipated.

Several risk factors have diminished.

European economic activity appears more resilient to the pressures of inflation, high interest rates, energy constraints and war.

China could rebound now that it has abandoned its zero COVID policy.

Inflation appears to have peaked in the US, UK and Europe .

On the other hand, industrial markets have begun to soften following a post-pandemic surge, with the Manufacturing Purchasers Managers Index for our main industrial markets indicating contraction.

industrial markets have begun to soften following a post-pandemic surge, with the manufacturing purchases managers index for our main industrial markets indicating contraction. On balance…

Given our increased backlog quarter over quarter, we are confident in our FY23 forecast.

Next, from an operational perspective, winter storms in western New York led to the closure of our manufacturing operations for a few days in the quarter.

We estimate this at a seven cent EPS drag on our performance.

We managed to overcome that impact through other operational gains.

Supply chain challenges are a continuing cause of uncertainty that is no better or worse than 90 days ago. While some component constraints have eased, sporadic decommits interfere with production shipments and productivity.

We continue to diligently work these issues in order to meet customer commitments, but recognize the impact on both past due and inventory.

We anticipate that supply chain constraints will begin to ease later in FY23.

Labour attrition has slowed over the last number of months.

But we do see some specific hiring challenges.

As supply chain constraints are resolved, the ability to quickly clear past due is somewhat constrained by labor.

Turning our attention to notable events in the quarter, Del Textron won the Future Long-Range Assault Aircraft Award from the US Army on December 5th.

We have been part of the Bell Textron team for nine years and we are excited by this success.

The award was protested by Lockheed.

We look forward to a favorable ruling by the Government Accountability Office in April .

FLARA will drive development activity over the next few years and substantial production orders throughout the 2030s and beyond.

Hopefully, we can start to ramp our activities in April , albeit three months later than originally anticipated.

Our customer NASA successfully launched the uncrewed Artemis I on November 15.

This restarts lunar exploration with many more launches anticipated over the next decade.

Moog components play a crucial role in thrust vector control of the Artemis rocket and environmental control within the Orion crew module.

Space market expansion is driven by exploration, commercialization and defense, and we are seeing growth in our core component business and space vehicle business.

Our partner, Komatsu, exhibited a full electric wheel loader in October at BAUMA, the world's largest construction trade show held every three years in Germany.

This demonstrates another original equipment manufacturer in the construction industry turning to mold for solutions.

as electrification and autonomy continue to disrupt that market. We see construction as a significant growth opportunity for Moog.

Finally, financial headlines.

I would now like to turn our attention to the strong performance in the quarter.

Organic sales grew 9% and adjusted ETS grew 14%.

We delivered in line with our forecast due to strong operational performance.

Our sales growth was driven by robust commercial aftermarket, higher reconfigurable integrated weapons platform production, and stronger industrial automation activity.

Adjusted margins improved 130 basis points year over year. This was supported by increased industrial systems volumes,

sales mix in aircraft and operational improvements.

Adjust the DPS was in line with forecast at $1.25, an increase of $1.15, sorry an increase of 15 cents or 14% versus prior year $1.10.

Our cash flow was pressured due to continuing supply chain challenges already mentioned, leading to increased past due and higher inventory as we purchased additional stock in certain circumstances to partly mitigate material lead time and availability issues.

Now, I'll hand over to Jennifer for a more detailed analysis of our performance in the quarter and the outlook for the year.

Thank you, Pat. I'll begin with the review of our first quarter financial performance. I'll then provide an update on our guidance for all of FY23. It was a great start to the year from an operational performance perspective. We achieved our adjusted earnings per share guidance of $1.25, overcoming the negative impact from the storms in western...

Still increased in each of our segments.

The largest increase in segment sales was in industrial systems.

Sales of 232 million dollars increased 9% over the same quarter a year ago. Excluding foreign currency movements and the divestiture of an offshore energy business last year, sales were up an impressive 17%.

Sales increased in each of our markets, most notably in industrial automation, and simulation and task.

The growth and sales reflect the recovery from the effects of the pandemic on our business.

Demand for our industrial products remains solid while we continue to face supply chain challenges.

Sales and space and defense controls of $218 million increased 5% over the first quarter last year.

Adjusting for the divestiture of a security business last year, sales increased 8%.

The sales growth was driven by the ramp-up in production on the reconfigurable turret program which is now running at full rate production levels.

Aircraft control sales were also up this quarter increasing 2% to $310 million.

Adjusting for the sales of the Navigation Aids business and foreign currency movement, sales were up 5%.

The commercial aftermarket sales in the quarter were particularly strong, driven by market recovery in live-body platforms. Airlines are bringing the most efficient airplanes back into service first, and we're seeing higher utilization of a 787 and A350 aircraft fleet. They expect this trend to continue throughout 2023.

We also benefited from retrofit activity for the 787 program, boosting aftermarket sales this quarter.

Military aircraft sales declined in the first quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The military sales decreased largely reflects supply chain pressures as incoming materials were delayed.

In addition, B2A development activity on the FLARA program decreased due to the timing of starting the next phase of the program post award.

We'll now shift to operating margin.

Adjusted operating margin of 10.4% in the first quarter increased 130 basis points from the first quarter last year. Adjustments of quarter consisted of a $10 million gain on the sale of two building and $2 million of restructuring and other charges.

Adjustments for last year's first quarter consisted of a 16 million dollar gain on the sale of an offshore energy business and 2 million dollars of an inventory write-down.

Adjusted operating margins increased in industrial systems and aircraft controls and decreased in space and defense controls.

Industrial systems generated a significant improvement in margins, increasing over 400 basis points to 12.3%.

Incremental margin from strong sales drove the increase, along with favorable sales next.

Operating margin in aircraft controls increased to 9.6% in the first quarter from 8.5% in the same quarter a year ago.

The 110 basis point increase resulted from a favorable sales mix driven by strong commercial aftermarket sales along with lower R&D expenses.

Operating margin in space and defense controls was 9.4%, down from 11.0% a year ago. We incurred charges on space vehicle programs for the second quarter in a row and continue to feel supply chain pressures.

Interest expense is another area that's impacting our financial results. In the first quarter, interest expense was $13 million, up $5 million over the first quarter last year.

The increase in interest expense relates to higher interest rates and is consistent with our forecast from a quarter ago.

Putting it all together, adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.25 in line with our guidance from a quarter ago.

The $1.25 adjusted earnings per share this quarter is up 14% over the same quarter a year ago.

Let's shift over to cash flow. For the quarter, we had a use of free cash flow of $22 million. The negative free cash flow this quarter was driven by working capital growth.

Working capital grew this quarter related to supply chain pressures, our production decision on the 787, and delayed milestones for billing.

Supply chain constraints continue to impact our inventory level. We purchase certain components in advance of requirements to reduce the risk of shipment delays. Despite that, we've experienced situations in which we couldn't ship product because a necessary component wasn't available.

We continue to prioritize meeting customer commitment.

Also, we're maintaining a steady level of production on the 787 program to ensure our supply chain remains healthy and to keep our facilities operating efficiently. This level of production exceeds the rate at which Boeing is taking deliveries, which puts pressure on our working capital.

In addition, reaching milestones in our space, vehicle business was delayed, associated with our challenges met business, and caused a growth in our receivables.

Capital expenditures came in at a relatively light $30 million, which is about 4% of sales. Over the past several quarters, and we look as we look to the rest of this year, we're spending closer to 4.5% of sales.

Our focus continues to be on investment in facilities and infrastructure to support our growth and investment in next-generation manufacturing capabilities to drive efficiencies. The lighter quarters simply reflects timing of these major activities.

Our leverage ratio calculated on a net depth basis was 2.3 times at the end of our first quarter. Our leverage ratio continues to be around the low end of our target range of 2 and a quarter time, so it's 2 and 3 quarter times.

Our capital deployment priorities, both long-term and near-term, are unchanged. We are committed to our dividend policy and, as just announced, we're increasing our quarterly dividend by 4% to $0.27 per share.

We look to have a balanced approach to capital deployment, growing our business both organically and through acquisition, while also returning capital to shareholders in the form of dividends as well as share repurchases.

We're building up new businesses that we believe have huge potential, like the electrification of construction equipment. We're also investing in our core businesses. Capital expenditures are part of these investments. We'll continue to look for strategic acquisitions to complement our portfolio, and we will continue to be disciplined from a financial perspective. We'll now shift over to guidance for the full year. We are reiterating our fiscal year 2023 guidance for sales, adjusted operating margin, and adjusted earnings per share.

Our backlog is strong and our performance is on track to achieve these results. Let's take a more detailed look at our guidance.

We're projecting sales of 3.2 billion dollars in FY23. That's a 5% increase over FY22 and 6% when we adjust for divestitures over the past year.

We expect sales growth in each of our segments with the biggest drivers being commercial aircraft and space in defense.

Aircraft control sales are projected to increase 6% to $1.3 billion. The increase is all on the commercial side of the business. Commercial OE will be up across the board with growth on Boeing aircraft, Airbus platform, business jobs, and the genesis business we acquired a couple of years ago. Aircraft control sales are projected to increase 7% to $1.3 billion.

We'll also see growth in an already strong commercial aftermarket business.

To account for a very strong start to the year, we're increasing our commercial aftermarket forecast sales by $15 million.

We're projecting $25 million of sales for the FLARA program, down from our previous forecast of $40 million due to the delay associated with the protests. Base and defense control sales are projected to increase 5% to $920 million. Adjusting for the divestiture of a security business late last fiscal year, sales will be up 8%. When looking at our numbers within this segment, it's helpful to remember that we shifted the product line from defense into space at the beginning of our first quarter. Adjusting for the shift, we're expecting nice increases in both space and defense.

The increase in space sales relates to launch vehicles and our growing integrated space vehicle products.

The increase in defense sales reflects a production ramp for the reconfigurable turret and growth across all major areas of the business.

Our sales forecast reflects a $10 million decrease from our previous forecast.

Industrial system sales are projected to increase 2% to $925 million. Adjusting for the sale of the offshore energy business, the increase is 3%.

Growth will come from each of our submarkets, reflecting our strong backlog.

Our sales forecast is up 10 million dollars from our previous forecast on our strong start to the year.

We're forecasting an 11.0 percent adjusted operating margin in FY23, up from 10.2 percent in FY22.

We're expecting stronger performance in each of our segments. Industrial systems will increase 140 basis points to 10.9%, largely due to capturing efficiencies on the higher level of sales and realizing benefits associated with our portfolio shaping activities.

Base and defense controls will increase 110 basis points to 12.0% on higher sales.

Aircraft controls will increase 20 basis points to 10.3%.

will benefit from factory utilization of sales and the commercial OE business increase. However, this benefit will largely be offset by an unfavorable mix with a relative increase in commercial OE.

Higher interest expense and a higher tax rate will depress earnings per share by 64 cents relative to FY22. For FY23, we're projecting adjusted earnings per share of $5.70 plus or minus 20 cents, which is up 3% over FY22.

Adjusting for interest in taxes, EPS would be $6.34 and increase 14%, reflecting strong operational performance.

We're forecasting earnings for share for our second quarter to be $1.40 plus or minus 15 $1.40 plus or minus 15.

We're projecting free cash flow for FY 23 to be $100 million, representing a 55% conversion ratio.

Our cash flow generation reflects working capital requirements associated with an increase in sales and a deliberate investment in capital expenditures.

It all reflects the reduction in working capital associated with operational improvement.

We've decreased our free cash flow forecast from a quarter ago by $30 million as we've changed the measure of function related to the repeal of the R&D Expand Samaritization Law.

While there still seems to be bipartisan support for innovation, the challenges of Congress getting a bill passed are becoming more evident.

As always, our aim is to share a forecast that represents a balanced outlook for the year. We're assuming that supply chain disruptions continue but moderate in the back half of the year. Other external factors such as the geopolitical landscape could also impact our performance.

Overall, we had a good start to the year and our outlook for the rest of the year looks strong. We're positioned nicely from a liquidity and leveraged standpoint, enabling us to invest for future growth in our business.

Overall, we had a good start to the year and our outlook for the rest of the year looks strong. We're positioned nicely from a liquidity and leverage standpoint, enabling us to invest for future growth in our business. With that, we'll open it up to questions.

Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star 1 on your telephone keypads. If you're using a speaker phone, make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. And again, that is star 1. We'll pause for just a moment.

We'll take our first question from Christine LaWick from Morgan Stanley .

Hey, good morning guys.

Hi, Christine.

Great, and Pat, congratulations on your role. So maybe one of the things that you mentioned in your press release and also in your prepared remarks, you touched on optimizing the business to expand margins. In the past few years, Moog has been restructuring costs and improving the supply chain to a much higher margin.

Can you provide a little bit more color on how you think about cost optimization and how your approach is different?

Okay, thanks for the question, Christine. I mean, as you know, I've been in the chief operating world for the last year and I've had quite an opportunity to work with the leaders of each of the businesses and get to understand where these opportunities might be. I believe that we can simplify how we work within the organization and through that simple

optimization, focused factories, and they add on to what we have been doing for years in continuous improvement and lean. So where you have seen progress being made on taking businesses out such as the NavAids business back in quarter...

I think that was quarter 1 of fiscal 22 to the offshore business that we divested in this current quarter. We have begun to take out businesses that we feel are not strategically aligned. So there are examples of that that will continue into the future. We continue to review the portfolio of businesses that we have.

When I think about the footprint that we operate, we have grown over the years through acquisition to have quite a diverse collection of operations around the world and we have an opportunity to do things more efficiently. And we are working on that. That involves product line transfers from some sites to other sites.

So that we can consolidate volumes of like products. So we get all our defense products into a defense factory. We have our industrial products and industrial factory. And through that focus, we believe that we can drive efficiency in those manufacturing plants.

So it's a collection of different approaches, Christine, which all together will help drive the margin improvement. I think if we think about our approach to it as a leadership team, it is our number one focus as a leadership team to improve those margins. We're looking at how we organize the business and how we get decisions done within each of those business to allow.

those to fruition. Thanks Pat and looking forward to learning more about that after investor day. Maybe if I could do a follow-up on cash. You know Jennifer on free cash flow you mentioned that you know there was a change in milestones that kind of put pressure on free cash flow generated in the quarter.

Can you provide more details on that? Was that a contractual change in milestone payments of when you get the cash or was that just your ability to hit these milestones? And as a 787 ramps back up to 10 per month, how should we think of the flows of cash?

Yeah, so actually the biggest driver of cash flow is actually inventory. And so we described that before and that's very similar, just the buying ahead or missing components that things get caught up in inventory. So that was the biggest driver. But we also did have un-billed growth on the 787 productions. We are continuing to have that same level forecasted for the remainder of this year for ours.

But as Boeing ramps up, we will ramp up at a slower rate. And so that will provide us the opportunity to liquidate some of those physical inventories that we've been building up over the last 2 years or so. So that's definitely a benefit when we're able to do that. We will see some benefit on that as we move forward in the year.

You started off with the delayed milestones in space vehicles. That is basically due to some of the progress that we have been making on those contracts where we've just achieved them later than we had anticipated achieving them. So we will meet those milestones and be able to collect cash for those.

As we look for the year, we are holding our guidance. There's a few things that are going into that. We're holding our operational guidance. We did make the adjustment for the cash taxes for the R and D amortization. But we will see benefit and receivables as we move through the year. There's another thing that you see. It's actually a growth up that shows up in...

we didn't see any benefit from that in Q1, but we will see that benefit in Q2. So that's another thing that's going forward. So overall, we're feeling that things will be better for the remainder of the year. We're gonna see less pressure from less growth and receivables from.

supply chain pressures, but still making sure that we've got commitments to our customers as our number one priority. And then we'll also see some benefit and receive both related supply chain and some of these other receive goals are collected in their contractual terms. Thank you.

Thank you Pat. Thank you, Jennifer. I really appreciate the time.

Thank you.

And our next question comes from Kai Von Rumer from Cowen. Please go ahead. We have some on on the chat in the right operator is

Yes, thanks so much and Pat, welcome.

much and Pat welcome.

So Jennifer maybe give us a little more color. The seven cent hit from the storms in the Buffalo area. You know, where did it hit? You know, sales, earnings, you know, rough color.

Yeah, so we had storms. We actually had storms in the Thanksgiving and right before Christmas time. And so different facilities were closed for a different amount of time. But on average, I would say we had three days in Western New York that we were basically shut down in operations. And so basically, if you think of it, its production basically stops.

During that time, there's no work that is being progressed, but you still have costs associated with that. However, you're not moving product forward. And so it's really just a loss of that gets delayed into the next period, but those are things really just hard to catch up on.

So it does impact sales because of our input that goes through. And we quantified it from a margin perspective. Well we've quantified it from an EPS perspective, but it goes into our margins. And it's an aircraft in space and defense because that's where we've got more of a concentrated effort on our Western New York campus.

there but if I look at your numbers it looks like you're assuming you know things slow down as we go through the year so I mean

What was there anything special to get to that 50 million in the 1st quarter and is that a conservative number or what are you assuming there?

Yeah, so with respect to commercial aftermarket, it was really nice. We've got a really good growth in that business right now. We did have some retrofit activity. It's about $5 million that we had in the quarter. And that's expected to continue at a much lower level in the next couple of quarters. So maybe it gets...

is sometimes very hard to predict because it comes in in short, late times, but we're really happy with what we're seeing in the commercial aftermarket business.

Great. And then Pat, you talked about more portfolio shaping, footprint adjustment. You've done a fair amount already, certainly compared to Moog's history. Can you give us some sense as to where are we in this process? Have you done two-thirds of it? Have you done... Some burgundy?

10%, you know, and I don't know if you could give any sort of rough color in terms of the operating margin potential you could get out of that.

Well, thanks for the question, Kai. I referred to the portfolio shaping as an ongoing process for us. It's not a once and done activity. I think we've been at it for a number of years now, as you've referenced. Over that time, over the last 3 years, actually, we've divested about 7 businesses, our product lines.

which had a combined annual sales of about $80 million. And my expectation is that we continue that process. You were asking, how far are we through it? I wouldn't characterize it at the low end, that we're 10% through. I think we've taken quite a broad look at our business when we started into this process. And...

made some decisions around that. There are a number of others that remain open that we're working through, but I would say we're more further through it maybe than at least halfway.

Got it. And then what sort of can you give any color in terms of you mentioned the potential to improve margins, any sort of rough sense how we should think about that.

and the means by which we're going to get them. And I think that will help give a good holistic picture at that time rather than giving parts of it now. I think it would answer maybe some of the questions Christine was asking earlier as well of how each of these elements contribute towards the overall goal. Right. And then the last one, so you generate more cash as a result if you achieve that. Maybe give us some color in terms of relative priorities of what you do with the cash. So in the short term, we would be looking to just pay down debt. But besides that, we want to make sure that we're optimized from a capital structure as well.Pop

Right now we're still seeing the opportunities in our organic business. There's facilities, there's things of that nature, next generation manufacturing, really suck us up for the future as we grow the business. So that's definitely where our priority is. So that's definitely where we're still seeing the opportunities in our organic business.

And then certainly we said the dividend policy as we announced today, we just increased 4% from where we were before. So that's a planned part of our capital structure. And when it makes sense, share repurchase as well. But overall right now, our focus is on growth in our core businesses.

I'm just building on.

That would be my focus. Excellent. Thank you so much. You're welcome. Thank you. Our next question comes from Peter Osterlein from Truist. Hey, good morning. I'm on for Mike Trimoli this morning. Thanks for taking our question. First, I was just wondering if you could parse out about how much of the year-over-year margin decline that you saw on space and defense in the corridor was driven by supply chain pressures. It looks like from the guidance that margins should be recovering in that segment going forward. Is supply chain recovery the main driver of your expectations there or is there anything else you could call out there?

The biggest driver in space vehicles when we look at this year's margins compared to a year ago is due to the challenges that we had on our space vehicle program. So that's the main driver when we're looking at that. We did have challenges. They were actually much larger in the previous quarter to quarter.

on progress and cutting in the right direction on that front. We are seeing supply chain pressures. That's not the biggest part of the reason for the march and things, but we certainly are having long lead components and challenges from that standpoint that we need to make sure that we're focusing on as we move forward. Thank you, Peter.

us and we're getting towards the end line with these development activities. And so the risk associated with it diminishes as we progress through the project and what we are seeing here is something that I might describe as our tuition fees as we're getting into a new business area.

That's helpful, Carlos. Thanks. And then just wanted to get an update on the commercial arrow production rates. Are you still generally aligned with the underlying OEM build rates, aside from the 787 and are you planning to continue producing at a rate of four a month on the 787 for the rest of the year? Yeah. For the 787 through fiscal 23, we are continuing at four ship sites per month. have the same model

We have no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn it back to Pat

So thanks everyone for listening in to our quarterly call. We had a strong quarter. We're very pleased that our performance over the course of the quarter, we look forward to giving you an update again in 90 days time.

Thank you.

Thank you and ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude today's conference. We appreciate your participation and have a wonderful day.

Q1 2023 Moog Inc Earnings Call

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Q1 2023 Moog Inc Earnings Call

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Friday, February 3rd, 2023 at 3:00 PM

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