Q4 2022 Qurate Retail Inc Earnings Call

Speaker 1: Welcome to the Qrate Retail Inc. 2022 year-end earnings call. During the presentation, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. Afterwards, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. At that time, if you have a question, please press star-one on your telephone. This reminder of this conference will be recorded March 1.

Speaker 2: I will now turn the call over to Shane Kleinstein, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead. Good morning. Before we begin, we'd like to remind you that this call includes certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Security Obligation Reform Act of 1995. Actual events or results could differ materially due to a number of risks and uncertainties, including those mentioned in the most recent form 10K filed by our company and QDC with the FCC. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this call and Curate Retail has expressly disclaimed any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statement contained herein to reflect any change in Curate Regals expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions, or circumstances on which any such statement is based. Please note that we have published slides to accompany this earnings release. On today's call, we will address certain non-GAAP financial measures, including adjusted OIBA, adjusted OIBA margins, free cash flow, and constant currency. Information regarding the comparable GAAP metrics along with required definitions and reconciliations, including preliminary notes and schedules 1 through 4, can be found in the earnings press release issued today or our earnings presentation, which are available on our website. Today, speaking on the earnings call, we have Curate Retail's President and CEO , David Rawlinson, Curate Retail Group Interim CFO , Jim Hathaway, and Curate Retail Executive Chairman, Greg Messe. Now, we'll hand the call over to David Rawlinson.

Speaker 2: the call over to Shane Kleinstein, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead. Good morning. Before we begin, we'd like to remind you that this call includes certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Security litigation reform act of 1995. Actual events or results could differ materially due to a number of risks and uncertainties, including those mentioned in the most recent form 10K filed by our company and QVC with the FCC. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this call and Curate Retail don't expressly disclaim any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statement contained herein to reflect any change in Curate Retail's expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. Please note that we have published slides to accompany this earnings release. On today's call, we will address certain non-GAAP financial measures, including adjusted OABA, adjusted OABA margins, recash flow and constant currency. Information regarding the comparable GAAP metrics, along with required definitions and reconciliations, including preliminary notes and schedules 1 through 4, can be found in the earnings press release issued today or our earnings presentation, which are available on our website. Today, speaking on the earnings call, we have Curate Retail President and CEO David Rawlinson, Curate Retail Group Interim CFO Jim Hassellay, and Curate Retail Executive Chairman Greg Messe. Now I will hand the call over to David Rawlinson.

Speaker 3: Thank you, Shane, and good morning to everyone. Thank you for joining us today and for your interest in Curate Retail. 2022 was a challenging year for our company. We announced and began our work on Project Athens, a multiyear strategic plan aimed at material financial improvement in the coming quarters. We are taking aggressive cost action and have new processes in place, infusing cost discipline in the company. Yesterday we announced headcount reductions at QXH that I will outline shortly, on top of the restructuring action at Zulily we took last year. Importantly, we worked through downstream impacts of the Rocky Mount Fire and took aggressive action to address excess inventory balances. We set up multiple new business units to capitalize on future growth opportunities in streaming and live shopping. And we bolstered our balance sheet and increased liquidity with attractive sources of financing and various sale and lease-back transactions. We also made critical additions to our leadership team, including today's announcement of our new Curate Retail Group CFO , and we have the talent needed to execute our plan. When I announced Project Athens, we best based everything off of a 2022 base year. We are on track to deliver on these financial outcomes, which I'll speak more about. I would like to thank all of our teams for their hard work amidst what I know was a challenging retail backdrop. Focusing on Q4 results, today company revenue declined, I'm sorry, total company revenue declined 10% in constant currency, primarily due to lower unit volume and less shipping and handling revenue. Our top line was impacted by inventory reduction efforts and receipt management, primarily at QXH, as well as continued macroeconomic challenges weighing on consumer sentiment.

Speaker 3: In addition, I'll remind you that QXH experienced an increase in advanced orders in Q3 of 2021 that were shipped in Q4 of 2021. This shipment timing benefited Q3 2022 reported revenue and was a slight headwind in Q4 2022. Total company adjusted Oybeda declined 60% in constant currency in Q4 nearly half attributed to lower-product margins from promotions and clearance as well as fulfillment center challenges as we work to reduce our inventory. Adjusted Oybeda in the quarter was also pressured by higher fixed expenses and continued supply chain inefficiencies including inflationary pressures and fulfillment, detention and demurus charges as well as sales delivery throughout the PNL. DIMHATH away our interim CFO will provide more details for each of our four business units momentarily. Project Athens is key to our strategy and represents a path to better customer relationships, operating distance, and the cost of the company. Customer relationships, operating discipline, cost control, margin expansion and streaming growth over the 2023 to 2024 period. We identified hundreds of initiatives that are anticipated to generate material.

Speaker 3: net run rate, Oyba.opportunities through cost savings, margin enhancements, and revenue. Our efforts in 2023 mainly focus on cost savings and gross margin initiatives, which will impact financial results more materially in the back half of the year and reach full impact in 2024. We expect revenue initiatives will be implemented and impact results more significantly in 2024 and beyond. This year, we are focused on building capabilities to drive customer loyalty and eventually customer and advancing our analytics capabilities to optimize on their programming. Starting with additional detail on cost actions, we actively manage our inventory balances down in the fourth quarter, which was necessary to improve our operating position for 2023, but did impact financial results. From a top-line perspective, leaning into clearance impacted our ability to put fresh product on air

Speaker 3: as we dedicated airtime to inventory reduction. We know product over rotation impacts demand as well as customer counts, particularly among best customers who are key drivers of our business and drawn to the thrill of discovery. Throughout 2022, we pulled back on the receipts due to a lack of space in our fulfillment centers following the fire at Rocky Mount. This receipt management impacted our ability to offer customers fresh merchandise. In Q4, it affected several categories, but particularly on home, accessories, and apparel at QVC and apparel, accessories, and jewelry at HSN and of our top customers who index to these categories.

Speaker 3: In addition, promotion and clearance pricing had a material impact on product margins, on top of substantial detention and demurage costs that we incurred. I'm happy with the team's work to rebalance our inventory position. At our June investor day last year, I said we had an effort underway to improve networking capital over the next 18 months and reduce QVC-US and HSN inventory by 20 to 30%. We delivered well ahead of plan on our inventory reduction commitments. QVC-US and HSN ended the year down 27% from June 30, hitting the goal a year ahead of our commitment. In the year and year over year, we reduced its inventory balances 25% are 270 million. We are beginning 2023 and a significantly cleaner

Speaker 3: healthier inventory position. This enabled us to be more flexible with our product offering, re-infuse fresh merchandise, and operate our fulfillment centers more efficiently. Cleaner inventory benefits both the top and bottom line. While early, we are starting to see this translate into better demand. We have been taking aggressive action to control cost and improve adjusted OIVA. We are undertaking an organizational cost reduction and yesterday announced layoffs at QBCUS and HSN as well as in certain global functions. While we recognize headcount reductions or hard decisions, we know we balancing our workforce is right for our business going forward.

Speaker 3: We're eliminating over 400 positions, primarily at QBCUS and HSN, are about 12 percent of corporate headcount. We expect this plan will generate 60 million of fully loaded run rate savings, of which approximately 50 million will benefit in 2023. Since these actions do not take effect until March, we do not anticipate they will have a meaningful impact on quarterly results until the second quarter. We have committed resources to supporting impacted team members with fair severance and other transition services, as well as resources for our remaining employees who will be impacted by this loss as well. We have implemented a discipline process to manage non-merchandise discretionary costs. While we are in the early earnings, we anticipate the process will generate meaningful savings over time. More importantly, it is added a heightened discipline toward cost management into our company culture. Freakashlow is a key metric. As we laid out in the 2022 investor day, our Freakashlow in 2022 was burdened by several discrete items, including approximately 150 to 200 million and working capital headwinds. From payables.

Speaker 3: catching up to prior year inventory purchases. We expect this headwind to reverse in the first half of 2023 from our inventory reduction actions. On top of this, we anticipate that Project Aspen's initiatives will continue to benefit working capital and lead to run rate free cash flow growth, although some initiatives will take time to show up in the P&L. For example, I work with vendor partners to acquire fresh merchandise at better prices can take several quarters to flow through the P&L. We continue to believe we are positioned to generate $300 to $500 million of run rate free cash flow due to Project Aspen's initiatives. We expect these will ramp in the second half of 2023 and reach full scale in 2024 as articulated in November .

Speaker 3: The other piece of Project Athens is revenue and margin enhancements driven by better serving a very loyal customer base. QXH customer count declined 14% to 8.9 million for the last 12 months ended December 2022. The biggest drivers of our customer count decline are continued impacts of cord cutting on the numbers of linear homes we reach and customer experience relative to competition, especially shipping and product availability which was impacted by Rocky Mount. And more recently, the impact of dampened consumer sentiment on discretionary spending. We have done extensive work on our customer file, understanding their pain points and where we have fallen short. The demographic and loyalty of our customer base remains a huge differentiator in retail. We are hyper focused on reenergizing our customer acquisition and retention. First, we are investing in our video commerce and streaming offerings and the addition of free over the air homes.

Speaker 3: as an office of an offences and deepens of play against core cutting. Efforts here focus both on expanded platform distribution as well as boosting engagement and retention on these new platforms. Our streaming services now have a larger distribution reach than our linear TV. We are generating revenue through our streaming platforms from both existing and new customers and while early are pleased with the results. The total minutes viewed by our app based streaming services on Roku, Amazon Fire, Apple TV, Comcast, Android TV, Samsung TV, COPS and our QVC Plus and HSN Plus websites increased 10% sequentially in quarter four.

Speaker 3: As we continue to expand distribution in quarter 4, launching on two of the largest free ad supported streaming TV are fast channels, the Roku channel and Pluto TV. Second, we have moved to dedicated merchandise leads at QVC and HSN focused on curating a fresh relevant merchandise portfolio differentiated by brand. This is critical to keeping our loyal customer base engaged. Stacy Bo, our new chief merchant at QVC joined in September and we are very pleased with her progress and encouraged by early signs of demand improvement in 2023. Merchandising work will take time to fully impact our results due to product lead times and curating newer merchandise. In January , we worked tenaciously to bring fresh receipts to customers. During our premiere week, we launched a campaign around new shows, brands and items. We brought back excitement to our studios with a 24 hour master beauty class that included a 360 degree marketing campaign.

Speaker 3: across streaming, digital, linear, and social platforms. We hosted the first live audience show in two years with the end of the kitchen with David show, which exceeded sales expectations. We are also seeing strength in newer subcategories, including color blazers, French Terry and private label sweaters and apparel, healed sandals, pumps and wedges and footwear, led their handbags and accessories, gourmet food and diamonds, gemstones, and earrings in jewelry. Finally, but importantly, now that we have meaningfully advanced our inventory reduction and cost management actions, we can focus more directly on the customer experience and operational execution. We are using advanced analytics to better align product, price, and air time.

Speaker 3: to bolster real-time pricing and promotion adjustments occurring at the product level. We're also reducing order to delivery times by increasing fulfillment center efficiency with enhanced systems and more optimized inventory and leaning more heavily into personalization. We're tracking the success of these efforts across cohorts and through multiple time periods. And closing, 2022 was a challenging year and which we made hard but necessary decisions that lead us better positioned to execute. As we look forward, we are intensely focused on executing project Athens in our own track to deliver the 2023 and 2024 outcomes.

Speaker 3: Before I turn it to Jim to discuss each of our businesses, we are excited to welcome Bill Woffer, who has been named Chief Financial Officer of QA Retail Group, starting March 20th. Bill brings more than 25 years of experience in corporate finance, management consulting, and executive leadership across retail, consumer goods, and digital commerce businesses.

Speaker 3: He joins curate from Everlane, a digitally native apparel footwear and accessories brand where he was CFO . Prior to that, Bill was CFO of JC Penny and the vitamin shop and previously served in various executive management, consulting and finance roles. We will leverage his strategic insight, deep experience with transformations, financial discipline, and executive leadership. We are excited to add Bill's experience and talent to lead our finance team. I want to thank Jim Halfaway for his service as interim CFO .

Speaker 3: and maintaining a high level of focus and attention to the business as we have pursued Project Athens. Once Bill joins Curate, Jim will become CFO of QVCUS, our largest operating division. Now I'll turn the call over to Jim to discuss the details of each business unit. Thank you, Jim. Thank you, David, and good morning, everyone. Unless otherwise noted, my comments compare financial performance...

Speaker 3: for the three months and the December 31st, 2022, to the same period in 2021. Starting with QXH, revenue declined 11%, primarily on lower unit volume and reduced shipping and handling revenue.

Speaker 3: e-commerce revenue decline 12%, essentially in line with overall revenue performance. We took action to reduce our inventory in Q4 through promotions and clearance actions as well as reduced receipts. We pulled back on receipts which affected our ability to offer customer's fresh merchandise. This affected demand in several categories but primarily impacted the home, accessories, and apparel categories.

Speaker 3: last year. The Q4 softness was primarily in classic and contemporary apparel.

Speaker 3: Beaded a client 6% against a 4% gain in Q4 last year. I'd also like to note that Q4 2022 performance was an improvement from the second and third quarters. The decline was primarily due to weakness in hair care and bath and body, partially offset by gains in colors and nails. Accessories declined 10%, primarily due to lower demand for lounge wear and casual footwear.

Speaker 3: Electronics revenue declined 14% primarily due to softness for computers, home office, smart home and tablets partially offset by growth in audio. Adjusted Oibita experienced material pressure declining 60% with adjusted Oibita margin decreasing 810 basis points. Looking at the main components of the margin compression.

Speaker 3: Gross margin declined 430 basis points, primarily reflecting unfavorable product margins. Product margins decreased largely due to promotional activity to clear through the excess inventory and remain price competitive in a promotional landscape. Lower shipping and handling revenue also contributed to the decline as it ran increased shipping and handling promotions at both QVC and HSN.

Speaker 3: These pressures were partially offset by favorable returns. Fulfillment expenses reflect higher freight rates, fuel and surcharges, largely due to inflation, $16 million of incremental rent from the sale and lease back transactions in Q4, detention and demerge costs, and sales to leverage. These headwinds were partially offset by savings from decommissioning our Lancaster, Pennsylvania, and Roanoke, Virginia fulfillment centers, as well as lower wages, as we didn't have the same incentive pay in our fulfillment centers in 2022. Inventory obsolescence pressure has improved sequentially.

Speaker 3: but still increase year-over-year, primarily due to reserves on remaining inventory balances, not illiquidated, partially offset by reduced inventory levels. Operating expenses were on favorable 70 basis points, primarily due to commissions, which reflected expanded over the air distribution ion, Tegna, scripts, and next star. S-GNA was unfavorable, approximately 300 basis points. Fix cost pressure was primarily due to sales, leverage, investments in video commerce ventures, and 7 million of corporate rent post the sale and then back. Marketing expense increased year-over-year, primarily due to retention, marketing, and investments to expand our commerce platforms, which were partially offset by reduced advertising spend.

Speaker 3: Moving on to QVC International, my comments will focus on constant currency results. Revenue declined 4% primarily on lower unit volume and reduced shipping and handling revenue. Our largest European businesses, Germany and the UK, declined in the low double digits and experienced weakened consumer sentiment from historic inflation, particularly energy. QVC Japan was less impacted by these factors and grew mid to high single digits. Like QXH, inventory reduction actions impacted sales, particularly in the home categories. QVC International experienced declines across all categories except for apparel. Adjusted oivita decreased 26% and adjusted oivita margin declined 510 basis points.

Speaker 3: The primary factors for the margin compression were lower gross margin and higher fixed costs. Gross margin declined 290 basis points. Product margins declined, reflecting inventory reduction actions and lower shipping handling revenue due to reduced unit volume and free shipping and handling promotions. Fulfilling costs reflect sales to leverage and higher labor costs caused by an increased minimum labor rates and COVID-related staffing challenges, as well as higher freight rates in European markets. For more information, visit www.fulfilling.com

Speaker 3: Inventory-opt-salessence reflected higher provisions for aged inventories in our European markets. Operating expenses were unfavorable, reflecting the leverage of commissions. S-GNA was unfavorable primarily due to sales the leverage in higher fixed costs, which rose due to higher wages and benefits, as well as software and IT project costs.

Speaker 3: reflected higher provisions for aged inventories in our European markets. Operating expenses were unfavorable, reflecting deleverage of commissions. SG&A was unfavorable primarily due to sales to leverage and higher fixed costs, which rose due to higher wages and benefits, as well as software and IT project costs. Moving to Cornerstone.

Speaker 3: Revenue declined 3% reflecting softness in certain categories such as outdoor furniture, seasonal Halloween products, and women's apparel. These pressures were partially offset by record fourth quarter revenue at Ballard Designs. It's noteworthy to mention that for the full year Cornerstone generated record revenue at each of its brands. Adjusted OIBA decreased $41 million due to higher inbound transportation costs and detention and demerge fees for storage and handling, which are largely driven by delays in the construction of our new Phoenix fulfillment center at Cornerstone. We expect this fulfillment center to be operational by the end of the second quarter. Looking at Zulily, revenue declined 28% primarily due to lower unit volume and shipping and handling revenue reflecting decreased traffic to the site.

Speaker 3: These pressures were partially offset by improved availability of national brand product in the fourth quarter. Adjusted OIBA declined $26 million primarily due to lower product margins, higher marketing expenses, and deleverage of fixed costs. These pressures were partially offset by lower fulfillment costs. Turning to the balance sheet and cash flow, total capital expenditures were $268 million for 2022, and we spent $45 million on renewals of our TV distribution contracts. Total free cash flow for the year ended December 31st.

Speaker 3: 2022 was a use of $9 million versus a source of cash of $611 million last year. The year-over-year decline was attributed to lower cash from operations driven by our weaker operating results as well as unfavorable working capital headwinds partially offset by lower payments for TV distribution rights. As David said, 2022 free cash flow included approximately $150 to $200 million of working capital headwinds related to payables aligning with prior year inventory purchases.

Speaker 3: With the inventory actions we have taken, we anticipate a working capital benefit from the normalization of our accounts payable in the first half of 2023. Our 2022 free cash flow includes $693 million of sale and lease-back proceeds and $280 million of insurance proceeds related to Rocky Mount. While 2022 cash flow is pressured, we anticipate a working capital benefit from the normalization

Speaker 3: We are in a better starting position going into 2023. I want to reiterate that we are confident in our ability to generate 300 to 500 million of run rate free cash law opportunities driven by Project Athens work streams. We expect they will ramp in the second half of 2023 and reach scale in 2024. We anticipate capital expenditures are approximately 260 million in 2023.

Speaker 3: On December 31, 2022, we had $1.1 billion drawn on the QVC Revolver with $215 billion of incremental availability. Our leverage ratio, as defined by the QVC revolving credit facility, was 2.8 times. We took significant action throughout 2022 to create liquidity.

Speaker 3: and position ourselves to execute on our strategic priorities. We believe our debt level is manageable and have sufficient cushion relative to 4.5 times maximum net leverage covenant threshold in our credit facility. This net leverage covenant includes the adjusted orbit of QBC.

Speaker 3: Cornerstone and Zulily and also includes the gains on sale and lease back transactions for the four quarters following such transactions. As of December 31, 2022, Curate Retail has total cash of $1.3 billion. With that, I'll turn the call over to Greg.

Speaker 3: Thank you Jim. So there's no doubt that in 2022 this business navigated a lot. Somewhere outside its control like the Rocky Mountain Fire and the continued downstream impacts, supply shortages which quickly turned into excess inventory, record inflation in freight, and an enduring negative consumer sentiment around retail and the changing macro environment.

Speaker 3: Some were definitely under our control, including underserving our core and best customers, over-rotating product, and overbuying with constrained inventory capacity. We acknowledge this as a turnaround story. 2022 was a horrible year.

Speaker 4: First, we take an action that's gymbed up on the balance sheet to clean up and provide us more room. We had 693 million of total sale in Eastback Proceeds in 2022 and an additional 182 million in 2023 from our European properties. We also took a series of actions in the fourth quarter resulting in a redistribution of our cash.

Speaker 4: 187,000,000 at the corporate level, excluding the modest incremental cash at Zillili and CBI. Of which 500 million is a QRI to satisfy multiple years corporate level obligations and 375 million is at LILC for debt service. We also have 357 million at QBC Inc.

Speaker 4: We are, as I said, in a turnaround story. We believe this team has taken hundreds of actions, some of which have been mentioned here, to address cost controls including the headcount actions that were taken which are waiting for this year and other revenue opportunities which will be for 2024 in the years ahead. We think we've bought ourselves time to implement this turnaround story.

Speaker 1: And with that, we'll open it up for questions. Thank you. The floor is now open for questions. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad at this time. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up the handset before pressing the star keys. Once again, that's star 1 to register a question at this time. The first question today is coming from Jason Haas of Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Speaker 4: Hey, good morning and thanks for taking my questions. So maybe starting with the long-term guidance for, I believe it's relatively stable revenue growth and double-digit orbit growth for this year and next year, is that a good framework to use for this year or is the cadence going to be, I don't know if it will be softer than that in this year and then get better in 2024? And then any help by segment would also be great. I know you're entering this year with a lower customer count, at least in the main segment QXH. So just curious about sort of like the cadence through this year as well. Thank you. Yeah, thank you, Jason. I appreciate both questions. So the cadence we set out for the Project Athens initiative, the project is going to be posted at the 2nd annual H pelican. We take it from April to April , and we will try and get progress on some of the projects

Speaker 3: 2022 over Q1 2021. Q1 2021 was one of the strongest Q1s in recent years. Total customers in Q1 2021 grew 10% new customers grew 32%. And in fact it was the largest year over year of the Clon and customer count for Q1 in 2022.

Speaker 3: than any other quarter. And so the biggest driver was this abnormally big increase in Q1 2021 versus Q1 2022. Obviously, that will fall off the next time we report 12 months trailing. So that's hiding a lot of the moderation we've had in the customer count decline since then. And I think now we're seeing customer counts decline around or a little bit ahead of the improvement that we see and revenue declines. The second thing I'd say about customer count is that our existing customer count has been more stable than our new customer count.

Speaker 3: in new customers, the new customer year-over-year decline was partially a result of a conscious decision we made in the fourth quarter to concentrate on existing customers, especially because we were doing so much clearance action and so we weren't going to have

Speaker 3: a lot of the ideal merchandise that new customers who we attracted would want to see. Final note I'll make is that over the course of the year we saw sequential improvement in existing customers, new customers, and reactivating customers. And we're continuing to see that moderation continue into the beginnings of 2023. So I think the customer story is a little bit better than you can read looking at the trailing 12 months.

Speaker 4: Thank you. That's helpful. Just to follow up on the first front of my question, just to make sure I understood correctly, is flat revenue in double digit or even other right framework to use for 2023? And then what's the cadence of that through the year that revenue down in the beginning and then opt in the second half? Yeah, so I think we said, I don't think we said flat. I think we said stable. And so I think stable revenue in 2023 is the right way to think about it. And I think you'll see some relative improvement on the year over year compared to the year. Got it. Thank you. That's helpful. And then I wanted to follow up. I think you gave the sequential a quarter of a quarter number for streaming minutes viewed. But I know in the past, you've given sort of like an overall minutes viewed number. So it screws how that trended. And ultimately, a question again, that a lot is just on how much of the revenue declines has been, is it a court cutting issue versus?

Speaker 3: Is it something else? Is it the merchandising, or supply chain issues that you face? So if you could just kind of help parse it out, it would be helpful for a lot of people. Thanks. David? Yeah, that's great. So we have in the past talked in streaming about monthly active users. I think we will selectively talk about that. One of the things we've seen is that the monthly active users numbers we get from a lot of our mainstreaming apps, things like Roku and Amazon Fire. Increasingly what we are seeing growing is our fast channels. And we don't get monthly active users from the fast channels. The most common metric across all the streaming platforms is minutes viewed. So that's why I talked about a minutes viewed.

Speaker 3: number here. We've continued to see encouraging signs on monthly active users as well as we've gone through the year as that's also been on a growth path. In terms of the drivers of the decline, I would say cord cutting has definitely been there and obviously we have to eventually get the customer count up. I would also say in terms of revenue, we didn't get a lot of price this year and that was partially impacted by clearance actions and so on the revenue line that was also a headwind. I would say in the last 12 to 18 months given the supply chain challenges, our business is so sensitive to driving a purchase occasion at the moment you're looking at the television screen or at the moment you're looking at a computer or mobile screen of something you want.

Speaker 3: And so we are disproportionately, have been disproportionately impacted in 2022 by some of the supply chain challenges. And as I think I've admitted to before, I think we over the past periods did get not as crisp in executing some of the core pieces of our value proposition which we are working on improving now. So I wouldn't put percentages to it, but I think all of those are drivers, have been drivers. Got it. Thank you.

Speaker 1: Thank you. The next question is coming from Carla Cacela of JP Morgan. Please go ahead. I am a couple of housekeeping items. You typically disclose the deferred tax liability at year end. Can you just give us where that or approximately where that sits today? I believe what we disclosed at year end was approximately 850 million.

Speaker 5: I'll refer you to the investor date line. I think I heard you correctly. You said you have $1.3 billion of cash, but I missed the time frame of that. I'm wondering how much of it is at QVC versus Q rate.

Speaker 5: or the parent company and how you think about, you know, do you hold more, do you plan to hold more cash at the parent level, given you have the potential for this charter to venture payment in October or anything else or will that cash go down to pay down the heavy drawing on the revolver at QVC? Sure, Carla, it's Ben Oran. So just to clarify, we've got, after some actions we took in Q4, $875 million of cash at the corporate level. That's split into 500 million at the QRI level, 375 million at Liberty Interactive.

Speaker 6: and some small amounts at cornerstone and zoole as of 1231. The benefit of having that cache in the various tiers is to address our various dead obligations and contractual obligations at each tier. We expect to continue to use cache and borrowings at the QVC level or the QRG level to fund that service at Liberty Directive. And we actually did have some exchanges of the 1 and 3 quarter percent chart.

Speaker 5: was funded by the identification from Liberty Broadband. OK, and then did you say where the cash to those numbers that you gave, that wouldn't include the proceeds from the cell lease back that was completed in the UK and Germany? Did you give it to perform the cash?

Speaker 5: We did not give the pro forma cash. The cash that was received for the sale lease back was used to repay Revolver debt. Okay, that's great. I was surprised to hear comments about demurrage costs in 4Q. I felt like that was something that we'd be lapping. Can you just talk about what the demurrage was in 4Q versus 3Q?

Speaker 6: first of last year and when will that sunset or do we see more of that in the first half of the 23? Great. This is Jim Hathaway, Carla. Great question. We saw a significant amount of attention to merge in the first half of the year driven by three things. One is the marketplace increases on trailer storage. Second was post-the-tragic Rocky Mount. We needed additional storage. That was the thousands of trailers that we spoke to. And then the third thing was we did have some attention to merge in CBI that I was referring to as we were standing up the Phoenix location.

Speaker 6: Right now we can say with the inventory actions that David spoke to is we're back down to a normal trailer level and a fairly normal level in our FCs. And so the detention of the merge I was speaking about that we may see to some degree in 2023 is just as we stand up the Phoenix location in CBI, which we anticipate to be done by the second quarter. Okay, great. And then can you talk about you mentioned your inventory as much cleaner as will be my last question. The impact on

Speaker 6: say with the inventory actions that David spoke to is we're back down to a normal trailer level and a fairly normal level in our FCs. And so the detention of the emergency I was speaking about that we may see to some degree in 2023 is just as we stand up the Phoenix location in CBI which we anticipate to be done by the second quarter. Okay great. And then can you talk about you mentioned your inventory as much cleaner as will be my last question. The impact on twenty two.

Speaker 3: does that give you the ability to lean in on any specific categories? Are there others where you're kind of holding back on leaning in on either because of the environment or just what's going on in the channel? Yeah, I would say what it allows us to do is to be more varied in our mix as much as anything and to be more properly allocated in our mix. We are part of the project. Athens' work is a set of programming work to better optimize our programming. We couldn't get to that optimization in the fourth quarter because we had to devote so much of our resources to getting through the inventory. It also allows us to do some pushes of things like we have Selma Blair. We think there's a big opportunity in adaptive, and so we're going to be working with her to bring some new items in and tell some new stories to our customers. There are a number of other initiatives like that that we think are going to be very attractive to our customers, but we were not able to get to given the inventory backlog. That's what we do think.

Speaker 3: We do think we will be able to bring back some demand because of being able to more squarely meet the moment for our customers. I think the other places you'll see us lean into now that we have a cleaner, or inventory position. We're going to be leaning into jewelry. We think there's a pretty big opportunity there. We're going to be leaning into wellness. We're going to be looking to continue to grow fashion, especially private label brand penetration. The last thing I will say is I think you'll also see us be able to work on average sale price as we go through the year without the margin pressure of having to do as much clearance and promotion. Okay, great. Thank you. Thank you. The next question is coming from Robert Routh of FBN Securities. Please go ahead. I can't agree and thanks for taking my questions. Just two quick ones. The campus that you have in Pennsylvania is obviously quite large. Do you own all that land? If so, is there any estimates to the value of that land? So I think it's worth a small fortune and not reflected in your stock price.

Speaker 6: Thanks, Ben Orin. The campus in Westchester, Pennsylvania was part of sale and lease bank transactions Okay, great. The second question I would be for Greg, if you still there is a few years ago, I think you filed an AK. You tried to buy Dr. Malone's controlling B shares at 14 and the company exercised there right at first refusal on that. And now taking a look at where both the A and B shares are, I'm just curious if you still would have interested in getting that block of stock if it was ever possible or getting control of the entity and kind of how you view that transaction that years ago in hindsight, how you're viewing the company. I'm still here. The, you know, those transactions were a while ago.

Speaker 6: And the net effect of that was to retire those shares, and they're really not available to be purchased at this point. Obviously, that price is substantially above the current market price, which probably in hindsight was better I didn't get to buy them in 2014. I guess, and one last 25 May is, given the personalities you have to distribution and your reputation in terms of, you know, people feel secure buying things online from QBC and HSN, more than some other platforms. Is there any opportunity to partner with any larger entity, a maycees or a bigger entity that doesn't do quite as well online as you folks do given what you have in the infrastructure you have built? Because it would seem that there'd be a lot of opportunities to do that to enhance your operating results moving forwarders. That's something you're not interested in exploring. But I would say we're...

Speaker 3: propositions and retailer brands and relationships to light for our customers, but it's something we're actively thinking about and actively having conversations about.

Speaker 3: and retailer brands and relationships to life for our customers, but it's something we're actively thinking about and actively having conversations about. Great. Thank you very much.

Speaker 4: Thank you. The next question is coming from Hale Holden. The Barclays, please go ahead. Good morning. Thank you. The $500 million that's at the QRI level for debt service is that predominantly to set aside the preferred coupon or because it doesn't look like you have a ton of maturities coming up in the next couple of years there. That's right, Hale. It'll service the dividend payments for the preferred and any overhead at the QRI level.

Speaker 4: Thank you. The next question is coming from Hale Holden of Barclays. Please go ahead. Good morning. Thank you. The $500 million that's at the QRI level for debt service is that predominantly to satisfy the preferred coupon or because it doesn't look like you have a ton of maturities coming up in the next couple of years there. That's right, Hale. It'll service the dividend payments for the preferred and any overhead at the QRI level.

Speaker 3: And then for kind of how your core customer is thinking about the world, you know, QVC is a lot of self-gifting and you've been sort of unable to refill the customer's funnel, I guess, with new customers over the last 12 months as you kind of roll down the pandemic bulge. I was just wondering if you could kind of give us a state of play of how you think your customers are feeling about the world and how they're spending with looking, you know, to get a sense of how we get to that flatish revenue number for the year. Yeah, make a number of comments and think we have seen some depression and consumer sentiment. I think you can see that in a lot of the sentiment studies whether it's the Deloitte University of Michigan and of others, although it seems to have largely leveled out, I would say it appeared to me to be getting dramatically worse. I do think you do see some discretionary spending drawing back. I think that's partly inflation. I think that's partly...

Speaker 3: interest rate expense. We also have a reasonably sized home business that is a little bit downstream of fewer home sales and new homes opening. That's a place that might be a touch softer. But I would say overall we're seeing relative stability now and the behaviors of our customers, our retention rates still seem to be holding up pretty well with our best customers. And we are starting to see some ability to get some price and take some price with our customers. So I think our customers are, I wouldn't say that they're on an upward slope, but I'd say they're hanging in there at a pretty stable level.

Speaker 3: And for our best customers, we're seeing relatively similar levels of frequency of purchase data from the brand, our main brand as well. So it looks reasonably stable right now. I got it. And then my last question is, given the price that some of your bombs are trading and the high liquidity that company has, over the next six to then a month, so you guys sort of focused on just head down operations or is there the potential to accelerate to leveraging to take advantage of market prices?

Speaker 6: It's been orange again. I think for now what we've done is put in place a, you know, cash at every tier such that we don't have any risk of amendments or violations of covenants and give the company the time to realize the project happens, saves. And once we do that, it should be back to much healthier balance. She doesn't mean we won't look at opportunities between now and then. But for now, that's why we've taken the actions we did in 22.

Speaker 6: on the balance sheet both the CELIS backs and the looms of cash to create maximum flexibility. That first is going to be dedicated towards the turnaround, which we believe is underway, but it also does provide flexibility to manage our balance sheet as we see fit when we have more certainty about some of the elements of the term. Great. Thank you, I appreciate it. Thank you. The next question is coming from Jason. As a matter of city, please go ahead. I would say a question on a free cash and liquidity. Is there anything that you'd call out as unusual for 2023 in terms of free cash generation? I'm just thinking things like CapEx or TV distribution rights or green energy. In other words, once we get our EBITDAF forecast, is there anything no worthy that you'd call out there?

Speaker 3: I would just give a quick comment then I'll have been follow up as well. Two quick things. One is on CAPEX. We actually are projecting a slightly lower CAPEX for 2023 versus 2022. We made decisions and offsets to ensure that we could fully from project Athens related admissions with CAPEX. We will have also slightly elevated distribution in commissions related to CAPEX. But that's imagined in the number that I just gave you. It averaged to about $100 million. But this will be an up year compared to last year. Yeah, and I just say this was a little bit embedded in your question. I covered this a little bit earlier. This is David. A number of things are going on as we go into this year in terms of cash flow. The first thing is what we pointed out in terms of the working capital reversal from last year. That's material to the free cash flow. So I'll look the second. I Jim talked earlier a little bit about some of the storage detention and the mortgage costs. But there are also some other rocking mount costs. I talked about that at the Liberty Investor Day last year.

Speaker 3: that we expect to start falling out of the PNL this year and relative to last year should give us some tailwinds in terms of cash flow. And then as we've talked about in this call in the second half, we start to get the benefit from some of the actions we're taking in project Athens on cash flow going through 2023. Okay, and then just one follow up on liquidity. Should we anticipate anything on top of all of the actions you've taken related to the sale lease banks? Or do you think that's we're sort of done with tapping pools of liquidity from sort of in assets now? Okay, thank you. Thank you. The next question is...

Speaker 7: expectations.

Speaker 8: All right. And then in terms of the shifting of your today's special values, is that something that still continues to happen based upon supply chain disruption or are you now able to put whatever products you want when you want to show them?

Speaker 3: Yeah, it's less than very substantially from the height of the flat chain difficulty. It still happens for time to time, but we're getting pretty close now back to a much normal expectation of being able to execute our plans for TSBs as planned.

Speaker 8: Okay, and then just let my last question. You mentioned you had a goal of 20 to 30 percent inventory reduction. We're down 27 percent. Should we continue to expect that working capital will be a source of cash? Or at this point should it be kind of flatish throughout 2023?

Speaker 3: Yeah, we're going to, we built, we've not only reduced inventory, we built a system of checks and controls and buying procedures that will help us in the future keep it high to rain on the inventories. We think we're around back to a reasonable inventory level. Now we're going to continue the manages aggressively so you might see.

Speaker 9: Thank you.

Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation. This concludes today's event. You may disconnect your lines or log off the webcast at this time and enjoy the rest of your day.

Speaker 10: The.

Q4 2022 Qurate Retail Inc Earnings Call

Demo

QVC Group

Earnings

Q4 2022 Qurate Retail Inc Earnings Call

QVCGA

Wednesday, March 1st, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Transcript

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