Q4 2022 Nerdy Inc Earnings Call

Speaker 1: After the speakers remarks we will conduct a question and answer session.

Speaker 1: The.

Speaker 1: To ask a question at this time please press start followed by the number 1 on your telephone keypad.

Speaker 1: If you change your mind at any time please press star 2.

Speaker 1: And for operator assistance at any point it's the star and zero key. Thank you. I'll now turn the call over to TJ to begin today's call.

Speaker 2: So TJ, you may begin. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us for Nerdy's fourth quarter 2022 earnings call. With me are Chuck Cohn, founder, chairman, and chief executive officer of Nerdy, and Jason Pellow, chief financial officer.

Speaker 1: Here that.

Speaker 2: Before I turn the call over to Chuck, I'll remind everyone that this discussion will contain forward-looking statements, including but not limited to expectations with respect to NERVI's future financial and operating results.

Speaker 2: strategy, opportunities, plans, and outlook.

Speaker 2: These forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expected results.

Speaker 2: Any forward-looking statements are made as of today's date, and NERDI does not undertake or accept any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect any change in expectations or any change in events, conditions, or circumstances on which any such statement is based. Please refer to the disclaimers in today's shareholder letter announcing NERDI's fourth quarter.

Speaker 1: I.

Speaker 2: Thanks, DJ, and thank you to everyone who has joined us today.

Speaker 2: Over the last 10 months, we've been working to transition our products and revenue model toward long-term, recurring, always-on relationships with our customers.

Speaker 2: All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. And after the speakers remarks we will conduct a question and answer session.

Speaker 2: We believe this change would benefit our consumer and institutional customers and our business model by shifting to longer-term relationships that support an evolving learner need space.

Speaker 2: To ask a question at this time please press start followed by the number 1 on your telephone keypad.

Speaker 2: To ask a question at this time please press star followed by the number 1 on your telephone keypad. If you change your mind at any time please press star 2.

Speaker 2: We created new subscription and recurring revenue products, including learning memberships for consumers and on-demand and teacher-assigned products for institutional customers that were built specifically to address the ongoing support we believe both types of customers desired.

Speaker 2: And for operator assistance at any point, it's the star zero key. Thank you. I'll now turn the call over to TJ to begin today's call.

Speaker 3: So TJ, you may begin. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us for Nerdy's fourth quarter 2022 earnings call. With me are Chuck Cohn, founder, chairman, and chief executive officer of Nerdy, and Jason Pellow, chief financial officer.

Speaker 2: We shared that this new focus would require a short-term hit to revenue recognition because our package model has a more front-loaded revenue recognition associated with it than the Learning Membership model where subscription revenue is recognized linearly over time. We estimated that by month 6 for a given Learning Membership customer, the learning membership

Speaker 3: Before I turn the call over to Chuck, I'll remind everyone that this discussion will contain forward-looking statements, including but not limited to expectations with respect to NERVI's future financial and operating results, strategy, opportunities, plans, and outlook.

Speaker 2: the cumulative revenue would catch up and surpass that of a given package customer, a phenomenon we call the J-curve.

Speaker 2: We expected that by the start of the second quarter in 2023, the cubulous build of recurring revenue from learning membership customers would cause us to return to growth in our consumer business as well as for the total company. But now with a product suite and revenue model we believed would position us for higher levels of growth.

Speaker 3: These forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expected results. Any forward-looking statements are made as of today's date, and NERDI does not undertake or accept any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements.

Speaker 2: profitability, and predictability in the years to come.

Speaker 3: to reflect any change in expectations or any change in events, conditions, or circumstances on which any such statement is based.

Speaker 2: I am pleased to share that we have made substantial progress in the fourth quarter and our shift to an always-on business model is ahead of plan.

Speaker 3: Please refer to the disclaimers in today's shareholder letter announcing nerdy fourth quarter results in the company's filings with the FCC for discussion of the risks.

Speaker 2: Learning membership adoption continues to exceed our expectations, demonstrating higher conversion, engagement, and customer retention than our former package model, which in turn has led to meaningfully higher customer lifetime value and operating leverage.

Speaker 3: Not all of the financial measures that we will discuss today are prepared in accordance with GAAP. Please refer to today's shareholder letter for reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures.

Speaker 3: financial measures that we will discuss today are prepared in accordance with GAAP. Please refer to today's shareholder letter for reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures. With that, let me turn the call over to Chuck.

Speaker 3: Chuck? Thanks, DJ, and thank you to everyone who has joined us today. Over the last 10 months, we have been working to transition our products and revenue model toward long-term, recurring, always-on relationships with our customers. We believe this change would benefit our consumer and institutional customers and our business model by shifting to longer-term relationships.

Speaker 2: We delivered revenue of $41.8 million in the fourth quarter, above our guidance range of $39-41 million.

Speaker 2: These results reflect stronger than anticipated active learning membership counts, which totaled over 20,000 as of year end.

Speaker 2: Also, we saw continued strength and lifetime value performance from learning membership customers.

Speaker 3: that supported evolving learner needs states. We created new subscription and recurring revenue products including learning memberships for consumers, and on demand and teacher assigned products for institutional customers that were built specifically to address the ongoing support we believe both types of customers desired.

Speaker 2: This progress, combined with operating efficiencies gained from the business model evolution, provides us increased confidence in achieving adjusted EBITDA profitability by the end of 2023, as previously communicated.

Speaker 2: In the fourth quarter, we delivered on our commitment to enhance learning memberships by providing unlimited access to three new products.

Speaker 3: We shared that this new focus would require a short-term hit to revenue recognition because our package model has a more front-loaded revenue recognition associated with it than the learning membership model where subscription revenue is recognized linearly over time.

Speaker 2: Codeverse, Tutor Chat, and Essay Review.

Speaker 2: With the addition of these formats, we were able to grow the percentage of customers engaging in a non-tutoring format in their first month to over 30% in December .

Speaker 3: We estimated that by month 6 for a given learning membership customer, the cumulative revenue would catch up and surpass that of a given package customer, a phenomenon we call the J-curve.

Speaker 2: Multi-format engagement has historically been highly correlated with higher retention, higher lifetime value, and higher customer satisfaction. Learning membership revenue continues to grow at a rapid pace. Revenue recognized in the fourth quarter from learning memberships grew to $20.8 million, a $15 million increase from the third quarter to the third quarter.

Speaker 3: We expected that by the start of the second quarter in 2023, the cubulative build of recurring revenue from learning membership customers would cause us to return to growth in our consumer business as well as for the total company. But now with the product suite and revenue model we believed would position us for higher levels of growth, profitability and predictability in the years to come.

Speaker 2: representing 50% of total company recognized revenue in the quarter, up from just 2% of total recognized revenue in the second quarter, and 18% in the third quarter.

Speaker 3: I am pleased to share that we have made substantial progress in the fourth quarter and our shift to an always-on business model is ahead of plan.

Speaker 2: In fact, learning membership revenue has reached an annualized run rate of more than $87 million as of year end, an increase from $50 million as of the end of the third quarter, providing us with increased forecasting visibility into future revenues.

Speaker 3: Learning membership adoption continues to exceed our expectations, demonstrating higher conversion, engagement, and customer retention than our former package model, which in turn has led to meaningfully higher customer lifetime value and operating leverage.

Speaker 2: The rapid transition of learning memberships is also allowing us to deliver gross margin expansion and a more scalable and efficient operating model.

Speaker 2: During the fourth quarter, gross margin of 70.5% was approximately 230 bps higher than the gross margin of 68.2% during the comparable period of 2021.

Speaker 3: We delivered revenue of $41.8 million in the fourth quarter, above our guidance range of $39 to $41 million.

Speaker 3: These results reflect stronger than anticipated active learning membership counts, which totaled over 20,000 as of year end.

Speaker 2: As we shift towards a higher proportion of learning membership customers and revenue, we expect continued gross margin expansion in 2023.

Speaker 3: Also we saw continued strength in lifetime value performance from learning membership customers.

Speaker 2: Ordering memberships also enabled further marketing yield optimization during the fourth quarter with marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue improving by approximately 370 basis points year over year driving further efficiencies in our consumer business.

Speaker 3: This progress, combined with operating efficiencies gained from the business model evolution, provides us increased confidence in achieving adjusted EBITDA profitability by the end of 2023, as previously communicated.

Speaker 3: In the fourth quarter, we delivered on our commitment to enhance learning memberships by providing unlimited access- the three new products- to adverse tutor, chat and essay reviewwith the addition of the formats, we were able to grow the percentage of customers engaging in a non-tutoring format in their first month to over 30% in December .

Speaker 2: Higher engagement and retention among learning membership customers, and an average revenue per learning membership of approximately $350 per month during the fourth quarter, combined to drive continued lifetime value expansion and an accelerated marketing payback period.

Speaker 2: In fact, recent monthly cohort's cumulative learning membership, average revenue per customer continues to expand and separate from the historical amount an average consumer customer would spend over time under our historical package model by the third or fourth month after starting.

Speaker 3: Multi-format engagement has historically been highly correlated with higher retention, higher lifetime value, and higher customer satisfaction. Learning membership revenue continues to grow at a rapid pace. Revenue recognized in the fourth quarter from learning memberships grew to $20.8 million, a $15 million increase from the third quarter, representing 50% of total company recognized revenue in the quarter, up from just 2% of total recognized revenue in the second quarter, and 18% in the third quarter.

Speaker 2: These results clearly demonstrate the superior lifetime value of our Learning Membership bottle and the higher average value of the consumer customers we are adding to the platform.

Speaker 2: During the fourth quarter, Varsity Tutor School delivered on a major milestone in our product evolution with the go live of both on demand and teacher assigned.

Speaker 3: In fact, learning membership revenue has reached an annualized run rate of more than $87 million as of year-end, an increase from $50 million as of the end of the third quarter, providing us with increased forecasting visibility into future revenues. The rapid transition of learning memberships is also allowing us to deliver gross margin expansion and a more scalable and efficient operating model. During the fourth quarter, gross margin of 70.5%

Speaker 2: These two new products are oriented toward providing district-wide solutions that can be deployed across entire student and teacher populations.

Speaker 2: significantly widening the impact we can have with our school district partners.

Speaker 2: Additionally, these new offerings aligned to a school district's in-class curriculum are embedded into the school's workflow and, importantly, are directed by teachers who we believe are ideally suited to assess their own students' learning needs. We executed over 70 contracts including...

Speaker 3: was approximately 230 bps higher than gross margin of 68.2% during the comparable period of 2021.

Speaker 2: 15 on-demand contracts with our first teacher-assigned partnership, an important milestone as we transition to our more expansive partnership model with larger school districts.

Speaker 3: As a shift towards the higher proportion of learning membership, customers and revenue, we expect continued gross margin expansion in 2023. woring membershpes also enabled further marketing yield optimization during the fourth quarter, with marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue improving by.

Speaker 2: Collectively, these contracts resulted in a record $11.3 million of bookings during the fourth quarter.

Speaker 2: We believe these results clearly demonstrate that our new Always On product offerings are resonating with school district partners.

Speaker 3: approximately 370 basis points year over year, driving further efficiencies in our consumer business. Higher engagement and retention among learning membership customers and an average revenue per learning membership of approximately $350 per month during the fourth quarter, combined to drive continued lifetime value expansion and an accelerated marketing payback period.

Speaker 2: especially when bundled together or combined with our existing high dosage tutoring products. These strong results and continued momentum to start the year provide us increased confidence that varsity tutors for schools is well positioned to provide solutions that administrators, teachers, and students are seeking to support their evolving needs. Looking ahead to 2023, I wanted to share our plans for how we'll continue to work with our students.

Speaker 3: In fact, recent monthly cohort's cumulative learning membership, average revenue per customer continues to expand and separate from the historical amount an average consumer customer would spend over time under our historical package model by the third or fourth month after starting. These results clearly demonstrate the superior lifetime value of our learning membership model.

Speaker 2: memberships by the end of 2023.

Speaker 2: With the completion of this transition, we will have shifted 100% of our consumer business to always-on recurring revenue subscription products.

Speaker 2: With a strong foundation in place, we believe we can continue to drive higher levels of learning membership growth across all of our consumer audiences through further product enhancements and testing. Specifically, we plan to iterate on the pricing and the structure of learning memberships to broaden their appeal at the top of the funnel and drive further growth and conversion in customer acquisition. We also plan to create more flexibility for customers to manage their membership and to...

Speaker 3: products are oriented toward providing district-wide solutions that can be deployed across entire student and teacher populations, significantly widening the impact we can have with our school district partners. Opening Music

Speaker 3: Additionally, these new offerings, aligned to a school districts in-class curriculum, are embedded into a school's workflow and importantly, are directed by teachers who we believe are ideally suited to assess their own student foring needswe executed over 70 contracts, including 15 on-demand contracts, with our first teacher designed partnership.

Speaker 3: an important milestone as we transition to our more expansive partnership model with larger school districts.

Speaker 3: Collectively, these contracts resulted in a record $11.3 million of bookings during the fourth quarter. We believe these results clearly demonstrate that our new Always On product offerings are resonating with school district partners.

Speaker 2: and enhancing customer satisfaction.

Speaker 2: Within our institutional business, we expect our new teacher-assigned and on-demand products will represent a growing proportion of institutional bookings during the year as we remain focused on district-wide solutions and partnerships with larger school districts.

Speaker 3: especially when bundled together or combined with our existing high dosage tutoring products. These strong results and continued momentum to start the year provide us increased confidence that varsity tutors for schools is well positioned to provide solutions that administrators, teachers, and students are seeking to support their evolving needs. Looking ahead to 2023, I wanted to share our plans for how we'll continue to focus on delivery.

Speaker 2: Our second major area of focus is achieving adjusted EBITDA profitability. As Learning Membership Mix continues to increase as a percentage of total revenue, we believe we will be able to drive continued gross margin expansion and further simplify our operating model in the year ahead.

Speaker 2: We also plan to make further investments in automation, self-service capabilities, as well as weaving additional AI capabilities through our platform to enhance both the learner and expert experience.

Speaker 2: Recently, we have seen improved adjusted EBITDA performance each month as we progress further through the J-curve.

Speaker 2: Given our recent momentum, we have increased visibility into and confidence in achieving adjusted EBITDOT profitability by the end of 2023 as previously communicated.

Speaker 3: With the completion of this transition, we will have shifted 100% of our consumer business to always-on recurring revenue subscription products. With a strong foundation in place, we believe we can continue to drive higher levels of learning membership growth across all of our consumer audiences.

Speaker 2: Our third area of focus is that we'll continue to lead the way forward with new technologies, further leveraging artificial intelligence capabilities to transform how people learn and further personalize the learning experience.

Speaker 3: through further product enhancements and testing. Specifically, we plan to iterate on the pricing and the structure of learning memberships to broaden their appeal at the top of the funnel and drive further growth and conversion in customer acquisition.

Speaker 2: We've long believed that AI for HI, or Artificial Intelligence for Human Interaction, has the ability to transform how people learn. AI has been central to our ability to improve quality, enhance personalization, and decrease the cost of our offerings. Today, AI powers our ability to identify the highest quality experts, assess learners' foundational knowledge, and improve the quality of life for all.

Speaker 3: We also plan to create more flexibility for customers to manage their membership and tutoring frequency, including new self-service capabilities which we believe will increase retention and lifetime value by better aligning learning memberships to evolving customer needs. Additionally, we plan to make it easier for members to...

Speaker 2: and helps ensure the right expert learner match occurs, among many other use cases on the platform. The latest AI advancements are allowing us to rapidly develop transformative experiences involving the real-time generation of content with near-zero costs, improving our ability to deliver live human interaction.

Speaker 3: to discover multiple new learning paths, including new learning formats and programming coverage to drive further engagement among members with the aim of providing more value and enhancing customer satisfaction. Within our institutional business, we expect our new teacher-assigned and on-demand products will represent a growing proportion of institutional bookings during the year.

Speaker 2: and personalized learning at scale and providing new superpowers to experts and learners on the platform. We recently announced the launch of two new AI-driven products and planned to leverage the latest advancements in machine learning and AI including CHATG-BT and similar technologies to drive further products enhancements, personalization, and cost efficiency in the year ahead.

Speaker 3: as we remain focused on district-wide solutions and partnerships with larger school districts. Our second major area of focus is achieving adjusted EBITDA profitability. As learning membership mix continues to increase as a percentage of total revenue, we believe we will be able to drive continued gross margin expansion.

Speaker 2: The first two products include an AI-generated lesson plan creator embedded in the company's live learning platform that is available for use during live tutoring sessions, and separately, an AI-generated chat tutoring product that pairs a conversational AI-driven chat with the ability to access a live expert.

Speaker 3: and further simplify our operating model in the year ahead. We also plan to make further investments in automation, self-service capabilities, as well as weaving additional AI capabilities through our platform to enhance both the learner and expert experience. Recently, we have seen improved adjusted EBITDA performance.

Speaker 2: on demand. These two products represent the company's ongoing orientation toward taking a software and AI driven approach to solve customer and business problems and build a highly scalable platform.

Speaker 3: Each month as we progress further through the jaccurve. Given our recent momentum, we have increased visibility into and confidence in achieving adjusted EBITDA profitability by the end of 2023, as previously communicated. Our third area of focus is that we'll continue to lead the way forward with new technologies.

Speaker 2: We plan to roll out additional products and features for consumer customers that expand on these new capabilities as part of learning memberships. We believe that these additional products and tools will allow us to further personalize the experience for each learner and expert, yielding higher levels of engagement, retention, and customer lifetime value, driving both revenue predictability and

Speaker 2: and operating leverage in the year ahead. In closing, I am proud of our team's execution. Just 10 months ago, we laid out a vision for our stated goal to transition our business towards always-on recurring revenue streams with the introduction of learning memberships and the new institutional products, including teacher-assigned and on-demand. These efforts have allowed us to build a strong foundation for growth.

Speaker 3: AI has been central to our ability to improve quality, enhance personalization, and decrease the cost of our offerings.

Speaker 3: Today, AI powers our ability to identify the highest quality experts, assess learners' foundational knowledge, and helps ensure the right expert learner match occurs, among many other use cases on the platform.

Speaker 2: They have also helped us establish a business model that can produce longer duration and higher value relationships with our customers, serve as a more scalable platform for future innovation and have helped position us to achieve adjusted EBITDOT profitability by the end of 2023. In the coming year, we look forward to continuing to push the

Speaker 2: the pace of innovation and enhancing our ability to meet the needs of both consumer and institutional learners in any subject anywhere and at any time.

Speaker 2: We appreciate your continued interest in our company. With that, I'll turn it over to Jason to discuss the financials in more detail. Jason? Thanks, Chuck. And good afternoon, everyone. I'm pleased to be speaking with you today about Nerdy's strong fourth quarter performance in our outlook for the first quarter in full year of 2023. Our team continues to make substantial progress against our business model evolution.

Speaker 2: And as Chuck mentioned, the accelerated transition to recurring revenue streams, including learning memberships, continued in the fourth quarter, reflecting the strong adoption we've seen in the past.

Speaker 2: from consumers during the back-to-school season in fall semester. Notably, we haven't observed any discernible macroeconomic pressure on demand for our products. And as we've shared in the past three earnings calls, this evolution toward learning memberships results in lower near-term revenue and adjusted EBITDA. However, we expect that it will ultimately allow us to generate superior long-term customer unit economics and a greater opportunity for more

Speaker 2: and drive higher levels of growth and profitability given the positive customer economics we're experiencing. This shift in revenue recognition is reflected in our revenue growth rates for the three and 12 months ended December 31st. Expenses as a percentage of revenue also reflect the impacts of lower near-term recognized revenue in the denominator for rate-based expense calculation as we continue to progress through the J curve during the fourth quarter. It's important to keep this in mind as we discuss our financial results for the period. In the fourth quarter we delivered $41.8 million.

Speaker 2: results that were above our guidance range of $39 to $41 million, reflecting stronger than anticipated active learning memberships, which totaled over $20,000 as of December 31, and continued strength in lifetime value performance from learning members. It also reflected the growth we're experiencing in our institutional business, which delivered revenue of $4.4 million, representing 10% of total revenue during the fourth quarter.

Speaker 2: and record bookings of $11.3 million.

Speaker 2: On our last earnings call, we stated that we expected our monthly subscription revenue from Learning Numberships, by the end of the calendar year, would exceed the revenue recognized from package customers.

Speaker 2: We delivered on this promise with learning memberships representing 66% of consumer revenues in December and as Chuck mentioned, 50% of consolidated revenues for the fourth quarter, demonstrating the rapid transition to recurring revenue products. Moving down the P&L, gross profit of $29.5 million for the fourth quarter represented an increase of 3% compared to the same period last year.

Speaker 2: Gross margin of 70.5% for the three months ended December 31st, expanded approximately 230 basis points from 68.2% in the same period last year.

Speaker 2: Gross profit and gross margin increases were primarily driven by gross margin expansion across our consumer audience.

Speaker 2: As we evolve towards a greater mix of learning memberships, the trend we expect to continue into 2023, driving continued gross margin accretion. Sales and marketing expenses on a GAAP basis were $17 million in the fourth quarter, a decrease of $900,000 compared to the same period in 2021. non-GAAP sales and marketing expenses, excluding non-cash stock-based compensation, were $2.5 million in the fourth quarter.

Speaker 2: building efficiencies in our consumer business.

Speaker 2: Consumer efficiencies were partially offset by the investments we made in our institutional sales and the go-to market organization in support of varsity tutors for schools.

Speaker 2: which we expect to grow into as revenue continues to scale and we slow the rate of hiring, which we've already done thereby creating operating leverage.

Speaker 2: As we discussed in our last call, our investments in product development and subscription offerings, when combined with our ongoing efforts in automation and self-service capabilities, have allowed us to simplify operations and remove significant costs from the business.

Speaker 2: In the fourth quarter of 2022, we announced the completion of workforce reductions of approximately 17% of our total workforce. And as of December 31st, we had approximately 700 employees representing a 30% decrease year-over-year, clearly demonstrating the sales and operating efficiencies enabled by our new Always On strategy and product offerings. Going forward, the application of artificial intelligence and machine learning in our business process.

Speaker 2: Just leave it to last $6 to $8 million.

Speaker 2: Adjusted EBITDA outperformance versus guidance was driven by higher revenue, higher gross margin, marketing efficiency gains, workforce reduction actions stemming from our business model changes, and diligent cost oversight. Turning to the business outlook. They were providing first quarter and full year 2023 guidance.

Speaker 2: We continue to see more evidence that validates our belief that learning membership model leads to longer duration and higher value customer relationships, enhanced gross margin, and a more scalable and efficient operating model.

Speaker 2: Consistent with our prior guidance, we continue to expect it will exit the aggregate J-Curve business model transition.

Speaker 2: driving year-over-year growth with more attractive unit-level economics as we start the second quarter in 2023.

Speaker 2: We believe the combination of our unique platform, comprehensive product offerings including learning memberships, and interest in early contracting successes we are seeing in varsity tutors for schools new offerings.

Speaker 2: In our ability to deliver high quality, live learning at scale, Personalize2Each learner positions us for continued growth as the education landscape evolves.

Speaker 2: As is typical for our business, we expect sequential quarterly revenue growth from the fourth quarter to the first quarter in 2023. For the full year, we expect growth will be driven by the continued evolution towards recurring revenue streams, the corresponding build in the number of learning-inversive subscribers, and higher institutional revenues. For the first quarter of 2023, we expect revenue in the range of 45 to 46%. For the full year, we expect revenue from the fourth quarter to the first quarter in 2020.

Speaker 2: including the remaining test prep and professional audiences.

Speaker 2: To provide a little more color on revenue modeling given the rapid shift to recurring revenue products.

Speaker 2: From a quarterly perspective, we expect a percentage of full year revenue to approximate 24%, 23%, 22%, and 31% during the first, second, third, and fourth quarters respectively during 2023.

Speaker 2: This quarterly gains results in our expectation that your re-year growth rates will increase each quarter over the course of 2023 with growth of 40% year-over-year as we exit the year.

Speaker 2: Revenue guidance also reflects normal summer seasonality, including anticipated lower levels of new customer acquisition, consumption, and retention during the summer months, when K-12 schools and universities are out of session.

Speaker 2: Our adjusted EBITDA guidance for both the first quarter and full year reflects the continued benefits from our recurring revenue products, which focus on longer-term relationships with higher value customers.

Speaker 2: an improving gross margin profile, and operating efficiency stemming from our continued shift to recurring revenue business models. For the first quarter of 2023, we expect a non-gap, adjusted EBITDA loss in the range of $3 million to break even.

Speaker 2: For the full year 2023, we expect non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss in the range of $10 million to break even. Full year adjusted EBITDA guidance reflects the impact of normal summer seasonality and higher variable costs in the third quarter as we ramp into the back-to-school selling season.

Speaker 2: It should be noted that full-year, Adjusted Debate of Guidance, reflects a more than $30 million improvement year-over-year, resulting in a 1900-based point improvement in Adjusted Debate of Margin at the Guidance Midpoint.

Speaker 2: We're really demonstrating the sales, marketing, and operating efficiencies I mentioned earlier and their ability to positively impact the P&L in addition to higher revenues and gross See those mosdogs on screen?

Speaker 2: For confident in our ability to achieve a justeebid of profitability by the end of 2023, and have increased visibility and confidence in how this goal will be reached.

Speaker 2: Additionally, our balance sheet remains strong with no debt and $90.7 million of cash, providing us with ample liquidity to operate against our plan and pursue growth initiatives.

Speaker 2: Thank you again for your time, and with that, I'll turn the call back over to Chuck.

Speaker 2: Thanks Jason, and thanks again to all of you for joining us today. As always, we appreciate your interest in Nerdy and look forward to continuing the dialogue during this exciting time for the company. With that, I will turn it over to the operator for Q&A. Operator?

Speaker 1: Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star and one on your telephone keypad.

Speaker 1: If you change your mind, please press .2. The first question we have from the phone line comes from Doug Pamler with JP Morgan. Your line is open.

Speaker 3: Great. Thanks so much for taking the question. So it's good to see the learning membership transition tracking ahead of schedule just as you complete the J-CURB transition. Thinking bigger pictures, can you just walk us through more around your long-term strategic vision for the subscription model, how you could potentially iterate around...

Speaker 3: pricing and structured memberships and then what are the key investments to get there. Thanks.

Speaker 2: Next time, this is Chuck, great question. So the way that we're thinking about this is that learning membership is a all-encompassing corporate solution that supports students across multiple academic calendar years.

Speaker 2: multiple subjects allows for them to engage across different wording modalities.

Speaker 2: And you can access any of 3,000 different subjects' worth of tutoring, more than 250 live classes per week. We have asynchronous diagnostic tests. We have Codeverse and other coding related content. We have Star courses and other on-demand lessons. And our goal is to continue to add more value to each and every quarter.

Speaker 2: and allow for people to learn however they want, whenever they want, and support them in a way that really fosters academic success and learning. And so we're going to continue to lean into additional product capabilities.

Speaker 4: out the contact coverage.

Speaker 4: that we have in areas like our class selection as an example. We will continue to get more and more different classes that are relevant for each different audience.

Speaker 4: And as we look at some of the tests that we've done already here today, we're really excited about that as a vector of growth and how we can play with different elements to find the right fit for a given audience segment so that we can drive conversion improvements and ultimately build on a high-met promoter-sport product that people are super excited about. Yeah, and maybe if this is Jason Howard out of that, you know, one of them.

Speaker 2: things we're seeing about Learning Membership Model. We've mentioned this in the past. We're seeing longer duration and higher lifetime value customer relationships, enhanced gross margin, better marketing efficiency. We're getting better forecasting visibility. We're expanding it in new TAM here. And so, you know, because of that, during the first quarter, we transitioned all of our existing customers to Learning Memberships as well as our test.

Speaker 1: Your next question comes from Ryan Mcdonald of Needham. Please go ahead and do your ready one.

Speaker 2: Hey guys, this is Matt Cheon, for Ryan. Thanks for taking the question and congrats on the quarter. One of the start with institutional business, varsity tutors for school, nice to see some contract wins and some on-demand and teacher assigned contributions, which I would assume help unlock some of the COVID related learning loss, relief budgets.

Speaker 2: When you're seeing clients adding these new offerings, what are purchasing habits look like? And if you had success seeing clients utilize that learning loss budgets? And then are you seeing more one year deals or schools trying to lock in that functionality for a multi-year period?

Speaker 5: Thanks, Matt. That's a good question.

Speaker 4: Earlier to the fast, you know, call it all six months ago or so, we started shifting our okas..

Speaker 4: from selling exclusively high-density tutoring, so water water up to one to five group tutoring online to instead also selling on demand and teacher signs, as you noted. And so those are district-wide solutions that are available to the, they're basically sold top down.

Speaker 4: to superintendents and then are available to all students within a school district.

Speaker 4: So that involved a model shift where we started focusing on those bigger school districts. And we also started focusing on bundled solutions. And those are really more strategic conversations that we've had in the past. It was a different way of partnering and selling into schools.

Speaker 4: And we've actually seen really, really good traction there. So there's more than 100,000 students now that have access to these products. You referenced the specific funding type. One of the things that's interesting about some of these new products that align to the curriculum within schools is that there's a variety of different funding sources that can actually be used, not just the SR3 funds that you're...

Speaker 4: specifically referencing and they're embedded in the workflow of teachers and in the actual classroom and we're seeing really good adoption out of the gate and feel good about how our ability to provide teachers leverage and provide schools with an effective tool for for helping students learn and remediate loss even before it occurs.

Speaker 4: actually is a very durable solution that superintendents are really excited about. So some of those could be multi-year deals, that is something we're hearing more and more, but there's a variety of different funding sources and the new products that we've built specifically aligned towards those law-björg-recurring partnership with school districts.

Speaker 2: Got it. That is helpful. And then jump over to the consumer business. Learning numberships, we were surprised to see $350 average revenue per learning per revenue per learning membership, which was higher than the 6 to 12 monthly plan listed on your guys' website and then the broth.

Speaker 4: subscriptions currently offer.

Speaker 6: Thanks.

Speaker 4: Yeah, good question. And when we first introduced working matter shifts, we had basically the most simplistic version of it possible. There was kind of one size fits all frequency and initially it only included one on one two. And then over the course of the next.

Speaker 4: Several months ago, we headed back to school. We started adding additional product capabilities that included the tutor chat as they reviewed code verse.

Speaker 4: async, diagnostic testing, and other product capabilities. But we also started leading into additional frequencies. So that means you can purchase the ability to have a higher volume of consumption. And so what we saw was...

Speaker 4: Many of the learning membership customers in Q4 started skewing towards higher consumption models that allow them to get higher levels of academic support than be the case in the base model and referencing. So that was simply a function of us blending towards higher average revenue customers because they're higher.

Speaker 4: The interesting thing though is we're going to continue to test a variety of different flavors and memberships to drive both conversion and retention in addition to continuing to optimize the revenue per member metrics. So we're not specifically trying to maximize average revenue per member. We're trying to.

Speaker 4: maximize the contribution profit per visitor, and build big and profitable business. But certainly, we're very pleased with the level of uptake in some of these higher frequency products in the quarter. Thank you. Your next question comes from Eric Sheridan of Goldman Sachs.

Speaker 2: Thanks so much for taking the questions. I want to come back to the comment you made about DAI German products. You may get an announcement in the period running up to your name's important and we talked about it a little bit in the prepared remarks. Can you talk a little bit about maybe past investment cycles around AI and machine learning?

Speaker 7: and how should we be thinking about AI and machine learning as cornerstones of your investment policy going forward? And then coming back to the way you framed it, how should we think about it as an add-on to product enhancements, personalization, and cost efficiency maybe beyond just the next 6 to 12 months when you think about more AI and more machine learning tools being deployed?

Speaker 4: on the platform. Thanks so much. Thanks Eric. Great question. So we started leveraging machine learning probably about six or seven years ago to identify patterns that

Speaker 4: wouldn't be otherwise possible for a human to detect. So one of the things that we're going to talk about

Speaker 4: First use cases we had that also ended up being one of our highest leverage applications of AI related to the match between a worker and an expert, where that relationship and that connection is incredibly important in terms of compatibility in the sense of which a

Speaker 4: learner and expert want to continue working together over time. And when we can get that match right, we are rewarded with high lifetime value relationships, high net promoter source, and much better unit level economics as a result of a customer getting a great experience. And so one of the things that occurred was we started instrumenting the business in more and more places than

Speaker 4: to capture information that could ultimately inform that match as well as other ways that we can leverage all that data available to better improve personalization. So over the course of, call it three years, I think we saw at least a 30 plus percent increase in lifetime value at that point simply through ML matching if not more. And also we were able to remediate all sorts of different...

Speaker 4: bad things that could happen in a customer experience and just overall polish the experience from the end user's perspective. So that was one example. But we use ML to write with. So we use it for customer propensity modeling. We use it for lead scoring and figuring out the most appropriate way to put energy against different customer types and interactions.

Speaker 4: means to learn in the most efficient way possible. That's something we also leverage on the institutional side now extensively. Our expectation would be that many of the investments we're making here are actually quick payback period type solutions. As an example,

Speaker 4: We already have something like, I want to say, 2,500 different tutors over the course of the last two weeks that are able to access and leverage AI-generated lesson plans. And we know that when we generate those, that there's a roughly 20% improvement in student outcomes associated with it.

Speaker 4: So we're able to generate content effectively for free that is a very high quality.

Speaker 4: that allows for the students and the tutor to have a great experience leveraging that content and you know we're going to continue to make a better real protect. So we've got really really good feedback there. Another example would be we're actually leveraging GBT specifically.

Speaker 4: related to call score against standardized rubrics where we had previously been incurring cost. And we're actually able to back test against historical models.

Speaker 4: And then replicate what had been a human experience with, in this case, in AI-driven experience. And, you know, we're only a couple weeks in, but we're already, we've already pocketed a million dollar wind there on the call side, which is something that we're really excited about. And the other benefit is we're able to give all of our customer service agents who interact with customers.

Speaker 7: systems of DALI.

Speaker 1: Thank you. We now have the next question from Brett from Cantor Fitzgerald.

Speaker 4: Hi guys, thanks for taking my question. I guess first on the institutional side, obviously a very strong quarter. I was just curious how many of the 70 deals that you executed were of new customers versus I guess, re-signing existing customers.

Speaker 2: Sure, so about 40 of the new, of the contracts were new customers. 15 of them were on-demand contracts and, you know, we had the one teacher-assigned deal, which was an important milestone.

And then I guess it's we. Sorry. Good. No, it's because they look really pleased with the pace that the team is putting in place. You know, the products are resonating in the market. Now the teacher assigned his live. It's an experience that we're having. You know, I would say deeper and broader conversations with more digital districts.

especially as they think about where they're going to put this kind of technology to play next year at the start of the school year. Perfect. That's helpful. And then on the average monthly revenue of $350, I guess where would you expect that to trend? I know you talked about a bit of self-service and some

pricing model iterations, I was just curious if you would expect a number to kind of remain where they is, trend up, trend down, or how should we think about that? Yeah, I guess I would say expect it to remain pretty consistent and I...

I mentioned that because there's going to be some higher price products. So we just moved into the test prep audience as a higher price product that generally has higher frequencies because people are looking to study over a short period of time. And then that'll be often by some lower price product, especially as we've recently throughout the year, try to drive retention. So think about maybe a more casual language audience.

where you have lower frequency one-on-one sessions, but then you get all the benefits of the classes and being able to talk live with peers in a board language. So net net, I would expect over the course of 2023 for me.

within the 350 range, but there's going to be some puts and takes that are both higher and lower to try to drive adoption and detection.

Yeah, the one thing I would add is it's early days and based on the task of running and how we think that we can modify learning memberships to appeal to different specific audience segments. We think that there is a big opportunity to just continue to test different modifications of memberships where we might feel is dry huge.

conversion improvements for certain segments, whereas in other segments where there may be some more standard hazard of motion as group of people related to certain frequency, there's less deviation. But it's early days, we're going to take some big swings.

And we think that conversion, in addition to just maximizing the revenue per member, per customer on average, is a really big lever. So we're going to be testing there as well.

Perfect, understood. Thanks guys and crafts again. Thanks Brett. Thank you. We now have the rear-right of Conecode. The line is open.

Great. Good afternoon and thanks so much for taking the questions. First, given that the membership model is becoming sort of a meaningful portion of your revenue base, what kind of assumptions are embedded in your sort of full year guidance from the renewal rate standpoint given that some of your early cohorts will be coming up for renewal this year? Yeah, good question.

haven't experienced the end of one school year and the transition across the summer to another school year. And so the guide, appropriately from our perspective, takes into account that unknown. Certainly we're doing a lot from a content and programming perspective, whether it's classes or enrichment versus the

You know, academic subjects during the summer months, increase prevalence from star courses to drive engagement. But that is the one unknown that I would caution you guys when we think about modeling the summer months in transitioning from school year to school year.

That's very helpful. And then could you maybe talk about your Russian Alpha transition, your test prep customers to learning membership, sort of understanding that the unit economics and sort of customer LTVs of memberships are more attractive? Just maybe talk about why it may make sense to for test prep products, sort of given that those less recurring by nature.

So, the way we approach transitioning all of the audiences so far was by methodically ab testing the different audience segments to understand both conversion and then you look like an audience associated with the ultimate model and then once we had confidence.

that it was trending to staff's sig. We would then kind of flip over to the new model that we believe was the superior economic model. And also one that we think serves as a great platform for innovation that we've seen actually delights our customers a lot more. So in the case of test prep, where we've actually transitioned 100% of all new customers thus far in this year too, to already memberships.

That's an area where we think that there's just, there's higher lifetime values. There's going to be higher growth margin. There's going to be happier customers. We can continue to add more value to the actual subscription itself and enhance it over time. And then there's operational efficiency that come with...

getting a higher proportion of the total consumer customer base over to one operating model so that you can simplify and streamline and become more efficient as well. So the the rationale was simply it was kind of better across all fronts, but that's the bar that we'll hold ourselves to as we continue after the year.

in Q3, 2% in Q2. So we're feeling really, really good about that.

Thank you so much for the call. Thanks, Maria. Thank you, Maria. We now have Andrew Bain with JMP Security.

Hi guys, Matt on for Andrew. Thanks for taking my question. Just understood your target for just to keep it a profitability in 2023, but with strong LTVs and now you're growing debt just on retention LTVs, is there an opportunity for you guys to lean more heavily into marketing spend? And just how are you thinking about this in 2023? Thanks. Yeah, absolutely. Great question.

those dollars back into marketing in the back half of the year. But for now, we want to make sure that we can achieve profitability as quickly as possible.

Thank you. We now have Marianne of Barclays. Your line is now open.

The first one is on the full year revenue guide of 20% growth. I was just curious what was kind of the embedded percentage for institutional revenue for that full year number. And then also if there's any changes to the American Rescue Plan dollars.

being deployed to Nerdy Services to kind of get to the next. Hey Mario, thanks for the question. Yeah, so embedded in the guide at the midpoint, the whole 195 for the full year would be 15% of that total mix would be associated with the institutional business. That represents about 50% growth year over year.

and then deployed at October 2022 with the latest information we were able to gather. You've also got Title I funding, which is evergreen. If you look at the most recent on the bus, budget pass about a quarter ago included $19 billion of Title I funding. We've set that continue to grow over time. And then lastly, I think the most important part is

Because our solutions are embedded in the classroom workflow and they support teachers, schools are using their own operating budget to purchase these new, exciting products.

especially as a teacher assigned, as a supplement to teachers in the classroom. But effectively, you know, the way we think about it, I think the way school districts are thinking about it, is they get a code teacher or someone that can be an extra set of A.N. for the teacher in the classroom during the school day so that those teachers don't have to stay.

beyond normal school hours, which we think, and school district partners think, will help drive teacher retention, which we think is just an added benefit. Great. Thanks, Jason. And then just one on – The shareholder letter mentions Nerdy is like the only company that currently combines live learning and AI technology. I know it's still early, but can you talk a bit about how large of an advantage this is?

in a world where instruction and expertise transfer occurs online that you can digitally enhance it and authenticate in ways that simply aren't possible offline and give superpowers both experts and workers in ways that are highly additive. And so we think that that human element and the fact that we've...

focused on scaling relationships over time is highly defensible and will continue to be able to lean into additional forms of personalization and add additional product value over the courses of next year. So one of the things that we're really excited about is related to the generative AI is the ability to produce content at...

you know, mere zero cost that is highly relevant for what is occurring in that moment in time. But there's many, many, honestly dozens of specific applications that we've already thought of. And we're just trying to prioritize the most important approaches to make sure that they ultimately manifest themselves and save that customers.

value or that sort of attitude, retention, and NPS and other things that would be a signal of great progress there. So one of the things that we've done though that I think is really important is that we've instrumented the business in a way that allows for us to take advantage of the fact that there's this vertically integrated marketplace model where we can see exactly what's happening on both sides of the network. So you think about what's maybe even different about.

This model, then, other marketplace models, might exist, is the wording actually occurs on the platforms. So both the live tutoring itself in reported video sessions, as well as then all of the wording as it relates to diagnostic testing and progress over time. And we're actually capturing all of that information.

and scoring it and then we're able to leverage it in ways that enhanced personalization as we buy application. So we feel like we're well suited to brought ahead here and we'll play it to be.

aggressive on leveraging some of these new advances in AI to add value to customers, much like we have in the past. Great, thanks Jeff.

on leveraging some of these new advances in AI to add value to customers much like we have in the past. Great, thanks, Chef. Thank you.

That was conclude our Q&A session and conference call. So please have a lovely day and you may now disconnect your lines.