Q1 2023 Berry Corporation Earnings Call
Speaker 2: Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Berry Corporation first quarter 2023 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session.
Speaker 2: To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1 1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising you that your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, simply press star 1 1 again.
Speaker 2: As a reminder, today's conference is being recorded. I would like to now turn the conference over to your host Todd Crabtree, Investor Relations. Todd, please go ahead.
Speaker 3: Thank you, Eric, and welcome everyone. Thank you for joining us for Barry's first quarter 2023 Earnings Teleconference. Earlier today, Barry issued an earnings release highlighting 2023 first quarter results. Speaking this morning will be Fernando Araujo, our Chief Executive Officer, and Mike Helm, our Chief Financial Officer.
Speaker 3: Before we begin, I would like to call your attention to the Safe Harbor language found in our earnings release that was issued this morning.
Speaker 3: The release and today's discussion contains certain projections and other forward-looking statements within the mean of federal securities laws. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in these statements. These include risks and other factors outlined in our findings with the SEC, including our 10-Q.
Speaker 3: update them except as required by law. Please refer to the tables in our earnings release and on our website for reconciliation between all adjusted measures mentioned in today's call and the related GAAP measures. We will also post the replay link of this call and transcript on our website. I will now turn the call over to Fernando.
Speaker 4: Thanks, Todd. Welcome everyone and thank you for joining us. I will start today's call by highlighting a few key takeaways. First, with respect to our operational and financial results for the first quarter, we deliver generally in line with expectations and we expect to deliver full year results consistent with the guidance we provided in February .
Speaker 4: Assuming $85 per barrel Brent for 2023, we remain on track to return approximately $130 million or almost 20% of our current market cap to investors in 2023.
Speaker 4: Second, I want to emphasize that we have high quality assets with low corporate production decline rates and a tremendous amount of oil in place which provide visibility for future cash flows. This is a key advantage that sets us apart from most of our public EMP peers.
Speaker 4: Lastly, we believe the current environment is conducive to consolidation and acquisition of producing bolt-ons. BERI is well positioned to be an opportunistic consolidator. We anticipate our full year results to be in line with expectations. In March, we are able to recover fully the production downtime caused by the severe weather so we can continue to monitor Hurricaneform issues often as well.
Speaker 4: as well as drilling operations in areas with existing CEQA approval. We continue to receive sidetrack and workover permits and we fully expect to receive new drill permits in areas with existing CEQA approval.
Speaker 4: We remain focused on managing operational and financial variables within our control. During Q1, we reduced headcount and implemented other cost-saving measures which should result in an approximate 10% reduction in adjusted G&A expenses for 2023 compared to 2022.
Speaker 4: We also reduced operating expenses, including water handling and well servicing costs, which should result in annualized savings of $3 million. Note that almost all of the targeted cost savings are already reflected in an annual guidance, and we expect the ongoing benefit of these initiatives to be realized over the coming quarters.
Speaker 4: We are actively assessing our cost structure and will continue to identify and execute on other cost reduction opportunities throughout the year while maintaining operational excellence and high HS&E standards.
Speaker 4: CAPEX for the quarter was slightly lower than planned due to the timing of facility projects and efficiency improvements in our drilling operations. For example, we drilled some horizontal wells approximately 30% faster than the historical 4.5 days per well. We intend to further improve our performance as we pursue greater efficiencies across all of our operations.
Speaker 4: We expect to be within our annual capital guidance of $95 to $105 million for the EMP business with another $8 million for our CNJ Wealth Services business. Our priority is delivering significant and sustainable returns to our shareholders. With our planned fixed quarterly dividend of 12 cents per share.
Speaker 4: and anticipated variable dividends we expect to deliver a 2023 cash return in the high single digits. As a reminder, we intend to use 80% of our adjusted free cash flow generated during the year primarily for opportunistic debt and stock repurchases.
Speaker 4: as well as the potential acquisition of producing assets.
Speaker 4: The remaining 20% will be used for variable dividends.
Speaker 4: I will now turn the call over to Mike.
Speaker 2: Thank you, Fernando. I will highlight a few other financial takeaways for the quarter. For more in-depth information, please refer to our earnings release issued earlier this morning and our 10-Q to be filed later today.
Speaker 2: Adjust the debt total $59 million, which was a 24% reduction compared to Q4 2022 due to lower oil prices and volumes, as well as higher fuel gas purchase prices.
Speaker 2: We do have a few ways to mitigate natural gas price spikes, including managing our steam usage to optimize our fuel gas needs.
Speaker 2: We also have physical access to gas from the Rockies through the Kern River pipeline, where gas prices have historically been lower than in California. And we actively utilize financial gas hedges. We have hedged about 80% of the gas purchases for the rest of 2023, with swaps at about $5.34 per MMBTU.
Speaker 2: Gas prices have retreated entering the second quarter and we expect that to carry into the summer months.
Speaker 2: Lease operating expenses increased in the first quarter of 2023 due to higher fuel costs, and we incurred around $2 million due to weather-related services and lease maintenance costs. The latter were one-time expenses needed to return fields to normal operations, which we did successfully, recovering production downtime experienced during the first part of the quarter. As theed
Speaker 2: Last week the board approved our plan 12 cent per share first quarter fixed dividend. And at today's stock price, our annualized fixed dividend represents a yield of over 6%. After paying the planned fixed dividends, we are on track to generate just over $100 million, just under $100 million of adjusted free cash flow.
Speaker 2: 20% of adjusted free cash flow is expected to return to shareholders in variable dividends under the shareholder return model. As shown on slide six of our investor deck, our adjusted free cash flow, which drives our shareholder return model, is historically lowest in the first quarter of each year. This is due to seasonal working capital uses, which include annual payments such as royalties and bonuses. In terms of cash allocation under the shareholder return model, this is simply a timing issue, similar to last year. So while no variable dividend will be distributed this quarter, the total variable dividend expected for 2023 is not impacted.
Speaker 2: as it is calculated on the cumulative adjusted free cash flow generated for the year.
Speaker 2: Over the course of 2023, we are confident that the Barrie shareholder return model will provide shareholders the top tier return that Barrie has become known for. And now I'll turn the call back to Fernando.
Speaker 4: Thanks Mike. As mentioned at the beginning of the call, we believe current industry conditions are favorable for M&A opportunities, especially in the maturing California market, where we are well positioned to be a consolidator.
Speaker 4: We will continue to be prudent in how we spend and manage our expenses and we will employ hedging strategically to help us cover the fixed costs of the business. We also plan to maintain our low leverage profile over the long run. We have demonstrated our ability to navigate the current regulatory environment through innovation and by creatively deploying the necessary technical capabilities to produce affordable oil reliably.
Speaker 4: Notably, including the fixed dividends, we have the potential to return about $130 million or almost 20% of our current market cap to investors in 2023. With that, I will turn the call over to the operator for questions.
Speaker 2: Thank you. At this time, we will conduct a question and answer session. As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced.
Speaker 2: To withdraw your questions, simply press star 1 1 again.
Speaker 2: Okay, please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from Charles Mead with Johnson Rice. Charles, your line is open. Please go ahead. Thank you for your attention. Yes.
Speaker 5: Good morning Fernando and Mike and the rest of the Berry team there.
Speaker 5: Good morning, Charles. I'd like to, my first question I'd like to ask about the quarterly production progression over the course of 23. You guys had this, this, uh,
Speaker 5: you know, a significant decrement in one queue. And I think you explained that well with the snow in Utah, but the bigger thing being the rain in California.
Speaker 5: in January , February , but is it, would I be right to expect some bounce back or, you know, sequential increase in Q2? And then what would it look like for the rest of the year?
Speaker 4: Okay, now a very good question Charles and as we noted our production in Q1 was severely affected by some of the worst winter conditions that we've had in California and Utah. But we did fully recover our production in March back to our expected volumes and as we noted, remember that we are not changing our annual guidance that we provided back in February .
Speaker 4: Now production for Q2 to Q4 should be slightly higher than what we had in Q1. Overall, obviously we don't provide quarterly guidance, but we are going to be well within our full year guidance for the year, but the production in Q2 to Q4 should bounce back.
Speaker 5: Got it. Thank you for that detail. And then the second question, if I could just ask about how your workover program is going. I think you mentioned a bit about it in your prepared remarks, but my understanding is that it's a bigger percentage of your overall capex.
Speaker 5: in 23 than it's been in the past. And I'm just curious if you give some thoughts or detail on how that mix shift is working out for you and if there's any surprises that have popped up as a result of it. No, there's no surprises. Our work on a program in Cal.
Speaker 4: workovers plan or budgeted for the year in Utah, which is a lower number than last year, but no major surprises. And then we are going to have obviously the site tracking program, which is utilizing existing wellbores, and that's going to be more heavily weighted this year.
Speaker 4: Compared to last year, last year we complemented our drilling activity, our new well drilling activity with sidetracks. I think it was on the order of about 70-30 percentage wise with 30% sidetracks last year. This year it's going to be flipped just because of the nature of the permitting process. So we're going to be doing more sidetracks this year than we did last year.
Speaker 5: Okay, so if I understand you correctly, it's really more of a shift.
Speaker 5: away from, instead of being a shift to more workovers, really more of a shift to more sidetracks. That's correct, that's correct, that's correct, Charles. Okay.
Speaker 2: All right, thank you for that detail. Thanks. Thanks, Charles. Thank you very much. And as a reminder, if you have a question, you will need to press star 1 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced.
Speaker 6: Okay, hold the line.
Speaker 6: Our next question comes from Nicholas Pope with Seaport Research. Nicholas, go ahead. Your line is open. Good morning, everyone.
Speaker 6: Our next question comes from Nicholas Pope with Seaport Research. Nicholas, go ahead. Your line is open. Good morning, everyone. Good morning. Good morning, Nick. Good morning, Nick.
Speaker 7: Um, the last...
Speaker 7: The last few quarters we've talked about potential M&A and I guess the opportunities and the opportunities that they are looking at to expand.
Speaker 7: I guess, you know, it seems like it's been more of a challenge to kind of maybe make the acquisitions you're looking at or that you were hoping to make. I guess, what does it take to kind of get some stuff over the line?
Speaker 7: in the M&A market. I know it's a challenging dynamic market, but just kind of curious what maybe the threshold is, what it takes for you guys to kind of make some of these acquisitions that I think could be interesting. No, that's a very good question. Actually, we are seeing a renewed interest in the M&A
Speaker 4: had in California last year which was good which is more than what we had in the recent past with the ERA deal and with the Seneca SPR deal as well.
Speaker 4: So we truly believe that the future of California has to be consolidation. I think everybody understands that as well There's millions of dollars to be to be captured in terms of synergies operational synergies corporate synergies and we're going to be right in the middle of that and And we are looking you know and talking with different parties
Speaker 4: But basically we're targeting producing bolt-on opportunities that are creative to our business, where we can achieve some of those operational synergies that I was talking about. So hopefully, yeah, so we keep working hard and we'll see where it takes us, but that is a major focus. That's great.
Speaker 7: Is there any thought that, you know, with uncertainty about...
Speaker 7: about California regulatory environment, does that...
Speaker 7: Do you think that's slowing the...
Speaker 7: Do you think that's slowing the potential sellers?
Speaker 7: waiting for some kind of clarity from their part before they would execute a deal? Or do you not think that's necessarily...
Speaker 4: No, I don't think that's necessarily the case. I think it might be the opposite in that because of the tight regulations, I think they're willing to negotiate and they're willing to talk. And that's what we're seeing right now.
Speaker 7: Got it. And I was hoping you could talk a little bit about any opportunity on the oil service or just the services business.
Speaker 7: for expansion here, you know, it's kind of been a nice, fairly steady state EBITDA run from those businesses. Kind of curious on an update on kind of, is there an opportunity there or should we just expect, expect a steady state with kind of the assets you have in hand? That's all I have and I'll mute.
Speaker 4: Thanks. Yeah, thanks. Good call. And no, C&J's business, our service business is a very strong business, a very steady business. And we had good demand for services in Q1. In fact, in Q1, we were fully utilized with our P&A equipment. And as you know, with the current regulatory environment in California, it's really conducive to additional workover opportunities and P&A opportunities. And we want to be able to...
Speaker 7: Thanks for your question.
Speaker 6: Thank you. Stand by for our next caller.
Speaker 6: Our next question comes from Steve Bush with ERI. Steve, your line is open. Please go ahead.
Speaker 6: Good morning guys, Fernando, thanks for taking my call. Hey, good morning Steve. Just to follow up on that last question, so CJ was down 60-odd percent with Q1 but we were fully utilized, what does that exactly translate to?
Speaker 4: Yeah, we were slightly down on revenue and just like the EMP side of the business, CNJ was also affected by weather during the quarter. They couldn't get into the locations to be able to execute the work with the rigs and that affected the numbers. So even though they were fully utilized because of weather, they delayed some of the work activity and some of the revenue. But that's going to be made up in the coming quarters. That's the expectation.
Speaker 6: So we should have a boost this quarter above normal, then back to our study.
Speaker 4: There should be a boost above Q1. Right, okay.
Speaker 6: Our plan for 2023 is on a $85 rent strip price. Where are we at now if it stays, you know,
Speaker 6: in the 73-75 range.
Speaker 6: in the 73, 75 range. How does that affect our plan?
Speaker 2: Steve, this is Mike. I'll start that one. So, when we did the plan, the strip was at 85 or roughly 85. A few weeks ago it was 85. We've seen it come down in the last few days. We don't go back and adjust the plan on a day-to-day basis.
Speaker 2: Everything that we've read indicates that there's a good chance that the prices will come back towards the second half of the year if not sooner. Saudis certainly support that. We'll have to see what happens with the global economy and recession, but that's all unknown right now. And then at the same time, just to compliment on Mike's comments, we do want to deliver, or our target is to deliver on cash flows as promised. We have several levers that we do control.
Speaker 4: that we can in our power to still maximize our cash flow returns in spite of the current pricing. But again, the pricing is very volatile as Mike said, so we'll see where it goes for the rest of the year. And we're also significantly hedged on both the oil and the gas purchase side. Right. Okay. That's good to know. Thank you.
Speaker 6: Just kind of on the share repurchase plan return to shareholders. We didn't buy any shares in the first quarter. We're well into the second quarter. Are we looking at buybacks here now that our price is under eight?
Speaker 6: Given that we bought back a lot of shares from other shareholders in the double digits.
Speaker 2: And that's all I got for you. Yeah Steve, thanks for that question. Yeah, we look at those situationally. Yeah, the prices, you know, seem low right now, largely driven by the oil prices. You know, if you look at, we pointed to slide six in our IR deck. The first quarter is our lowest.
Speaker 2: Every year, it's our lowest working capital. We have significant working capital usage every year in the first quarter. We just don't generate as much cash as we do the rest of the year. We plan to still generate significant cash the rest of the year. That's more likely as the year rolls on and we'll be more focused on utilization of the adjusted free cash flow.
Speaker 2: It's our lowest working capital. We have significant working capital usage every year in the first quarter. We just don't generate as much cash as we do the rest of the year. We plan to still generate significant cash the rest of the year. That's more likely as the year rolls on and we'll be more focused on utilization of the adjusted free cash flow. Okay. Fair enough. Good luck guys.
Speaker 2: Thanks. Appreciate it Steve. That concludes our question and answers. I would now like to turn it back to Fernando Arajo, Chief Executive Officer for closing remarks.
Speaker 4: Yes, thank you very much everyone. We're hoping to have a strong Q2 and we look forward to talking to you next quarter. Thanks a lot. This does conclude the