Q1 2023 Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc Earnings Call
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Good morning, and thank you for standing by welcome to the first quarter 2023 Diamond offshore drilling earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode.
After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session to ask a question. During this session you will need to press star one one on your telephone.
Didn't hear an automated message advising your hand is right to withdraw your question. Please press star one one again please be advised that today's conference is being recorded I would now like to hand, the conference over to your speaker today, Kevin for dusky senior director of Investor Relations.
Please go ahead.
Thank you Michelle.
Good morning, or afternoon to everyone and thank you for joining us.
With me on the call today are Bernie Wolford, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Dominic Savarino, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
Before we begin our remarks I remind you that information reported on this call speaks only as of today and therefore time sensitive information may no longer be accurate at the time of any replay of this call.
Some of the information referenced on our call. Today is included in our slide presentation that you can find in the Investor Relations section of our website under calendar of events.
In addition, certain statements made during this call may be forward looking in nature.
These statements are based on our current expectations and include known and unknown risks and uncertainties.
Many of which we are unable to predict or control.
These risks and uncertainties may cause our actual results or performance to differ materially.
From any future results or performance expressed or implied by these statements.
These risks and uncertainties include the risk factors disclosed in our 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC.
Further we expressly disclaim any obligation to update or revise any forward looking statements refer to the disclosure regarding forward looking statements incorporated in our press release issued yesterday evening and please note that the contents of our call today are covered by that disclosure.
In addition, please note that we will be referencing non-GAAP figures on our call today.
You can find a reconciliation to GAAP financials in our press release issued yesterday.
And now I will turn the call over to Bernie.
Thanks, Kevin.
Good morning, or afternoon to everyone and thank you for your interest in Diamond offshore as we present our results for the first quarter of 2023.
I'd like to start by recognizing that during the first quarter Diamond reached its one year anniversary of re listing on the New York stock exchange sensory listing we are seeing significant trading liquidity in our shares and our shareholder base has grown to nearly 200 institutional investors.
Today, I will cover our financial and operating highlights for the first quarter.
Our operational outlook for the remainder of 2023 and our view on the market for our services I will also provide more detail on our commercial successes achieved after the first quarter and then turn it over to Dominic to provide a review of our first quarter financials as well as guidance for the upcoming quarter.
Our results for the quarter reflect growth in both revenue and adjusted EBITDA.
Total revenue and adjusted EBITDA for the quarter were $232 million and $21 $7 million respectively. These.
These improvements were driven primarily by the ocean Black Hornet moving to a substantially higher day rate during the first quarter.
The first quarter was an active one for our company.
I am pleased to report that our rig crews and operation support team delivered revenue efficiency of 95, 9% across our fleet during the quarter.
This efficiency number is notable considering the startup of the ocean, great, what which safely commenced operations west of Shetlands in late March and the re delivery of the endeavor. Following completion of its special survey.
These important milestones give us three harsh environment rigs working in the region and are a testament to our team's project management capability.
In addition, we successfully commenced operations with a new client in the U S. Gulf of Mexico, utilizing the seventh generation Drillship Villa and we received a well base performance bonus in Senegal for the third consecutive quarter.
Our industry.
<unk>, leading safety excellence was recognized by the IDC North Sea chapter as it recently declared dominant offshore the winter in two categories. Among the active rig fleets in the North Sea.
We won best safety performance in the floating rigs category and also best safety performance for an individual floating rig the ocean Patriot.
These awards demonstrate the company's commitment to honor safety and protect all and are a direct result of the hard work and dedication of the men and women, who crew and support the diamond offshore fleet in the U K.
Finally at quarter end, we made the determination to categorize the ocean monarch as held for sale.
This decision reflects our continuing commitment to capital discipline, and our strategic focus on maximizing shareholder returns.
Turning to the market outlook, we maintain our constructive outlook.
For our business as the up cycle in the offshore drilling sector continues to be supported by strong cash flows realized by oil and gas companies.
Continued evidence of growing demand and oil price forecast well above production breakeven costs and <unk> hurdles.
These factors have prompted a significant recovery in offshore upstream capital expenditures.
According to S&P global new tender demand for floating drilling rigs for the 12 months ended March 31, 2023 was at its highest level since 2012.
Industry analysts expect offshore upstream capex spend to grow approximately 10% year over year on average from 2023 to 2025 approaching $200 billion by 2025.
We anticipate these investments will grow further as a pursuit of supplier diversity remains a global priority and gained further momentum.
The ongoing pivot to offshore basins as a source of incremental supply is driving the market for our services.
Additional capital being deployed for exploration and appraisal may further extend this cycle of investment.
Next I would like to offer comments regarding the markets, where we compete.
Starting with the North Sea.
The UK governments energy profits Levy, our EPL continues to impact brownfield prospects offshore the U K.
However, there are a number of shorter term programs. Starting later this year and early next plus up to two significant new programs offshore the U K starting in 'twenty four 'twenty five.
Overall for the U K, we expect one additional semi submersible to be contracted in 2023, and <unk> and an additional unit late in 2024.
Although positive signs have emerged on the back of recent contract announcements in Norway demand there remains relatively soft in 2023.
This has prompted a number of high specification rigs to leave the region for attractive opportunities in other areas.
A trend that continues with a recent award in the news for work offshore Namibia.
In Australia, our consortium for work offshore of the South East Coast and a development campaign on the northwest shelf will likely add a further two rig years of demand in the region.
Also owing to a mix of P&A development and exploration work commencing later in 2020 for a further three rig years of demand may materialize.
Southeast Asia remains relatively flat with incremental demand for one to two floaters late this year and into 2024.
We expect India to grow modestly, adding one semi submersible and one drillship in 2024.
West Africa is emerging as one of the key areas driving future demand growth.
West Africa semi submersible demand is being driven primarily by opportunities in Namibia, Equatorial Guinea and Nigeria.
We expect semi submersible demand to grow by up to two units in 2024.
Drillship demand in the region is expected to grow by up to three rigs in 2024, driven primarily by activity in Angola, the Ivory Coast, Namibia, Ghana, and Equatorial Guinea East.
East Africa, particularly Mozambique has a potential for further upside to drill ship demand.
We see modest increases in semi submersible demand in the Mediterranean and Black Sea, where potentially one incremental unit through 2024.
Drillship demand in the region is expected to be relatively flat.
South America is the other corner of the Golden triangle driving demand growth.
In Latin and South America, drillship demand could grow by eight or more rigs through 2024.
Brazil is driving the bulk of this new demand with Guyana, Suriname in Colombia contributing.
We expect Mexico, and the rest of the Latin American region to remain relatively flat through 2024.
Finally in North America, we see we see drillship demand remaining relatively flat with one incremental program in 2023 and possibly another in 2024.
It is worth noting that day rates in the region remain biased to the upside due to the likely exodus of certain sixth and seventh generation units for opportunities in Brazil, and West Africa.
Canadian harsh environment semi submersible demand remains a wildcard, but with upside potential subject to exploration success in the region.
Translating this to a global perspective, and factoring in some conservatism to allow for slippage in start dates option is not exercised and potential adverse final investment decisions, we foresee incremental demand for semi submersibles growing by 4% to six units through 2024 and <unk>.
Rental demand for Drillships growing by 7% to 10 units through the same period.
A portion of this demand is already reflected in the number of open tenders, we have in house today.
Speaking of the strength in the markets, we have had great success in securing additional contract backlog.
Yesterday, we announced $212 million of new contract awards across multiple geographies and rig types.
These new contracts are in addition to our $1 $6 billion backlog reported as of April one 2023.
With these commitments. We are now 50, we now have 59% of 2024 marketed capacity contracted.
This excludes priced options, which could take our 2024 commitments to 70%.
These awards reflect not only the continued strength of the drillship and semi markets, but also diamond offshore has reputation for performance and our strategic approach to the markets.
Starting with the Ocean Blackhawk.
We have secured work with Anadarko Petroleum Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary of Occidental, and the U S Gulf of Mexico.
The rig was awarded a one year contract with a one year priced option and.
And is expected to commence mid fourth quarter of 2023 after conclusion of the rigs current contract expected to be in early July .
Followed by a five year regulatory surveys new contract preparations, including the installation of an MPD system and mobilization from Las Palmas.
Total firm term contract value, including mobilization, but excluding any managed pressure drilling services is expected to be approximately $162 million.
Occidental previous previously utilized the ocean Blackhawk for eight years prior to the rig working for Woodside on its current campaign in Senegal.
It should also be noted that the rigs should see a reduction in base operating expense of at least $30000 per day as compared to current levels in Senegal.
Diamond also had contracting success in the UK North sea with the Ocean Patriot, securing a two well contract with an estimated duration of 60 days and a total contract value of approximately $10 million.
The contract is expected to commence in September of this year.
A potential second new contract currently under negotiation would fill out the remaining availability in late 2023, and keep the rig contracted through the winter season.
The Ocean endeavor was awarded an extension covering two wells with an estimated duration of 120 days with its current client.
Total contract value for the extension is approximately $24 million and is expected to commence mid contract in early November 2023, after which we will refer to the current contract rate for the balance of the contract term.
Further the ocean, great what had its first option well exercised by its current client with an estimated duration of 60 days.
Total contract value for the option well is approximately $16 million and is expected to commence in mid January 2024. After completion of the initial five well firm period.
There are priced options for up to seven additional wells remaining.
Securing these wins at improved day rates with quality customers further demonstrates the strength in the market and the value of our team is delivering to clients and shareholders I would like to thank all dominant employees, both onshore and offshore for going above and beyond in securing this backlog.
The continued strength in global markets provides diamond offshore further upside opportunities in 2024.
Our next drillship up for repricing will be the ocean Black Rhino currently work working offshore Senegal with anticipated availability late in the second quarter of 2024.
Given the continued demand for top tier drillships and relatively constrained supply great opportunities exist for the ocean Black Rhino to secure work at rates that are significantly higher than the current contract.
Also as previously mentioned, we're pursuing multiple opportunities for the ocean Onyx in Southeast Asia and Australia.
Vincent for these projects is anticipated to take place in the first half of 2024.
Growing demand in Brazil, West Africa, and Australia continue to put upward pressure on day rates, while providing substantial opportunities for drillships and semi submersibles alive.
Through the first quarter, the resilience breadth and depth of the up cycle has only become more evident.
With that I will turn the call over to Dominic before returning with some concluding remarks.
Thanks, Bernie and good morning or afternoon to everyone.
In my prepared remarks. This morning, I'll provide a recap of our results for the first quarter.
<unk> discussed the outlook for the second quarter and full year 2023, as well as provide some comments on our capital structure.
And as Kevin alluded to in his opening remarks, we have a presentation on our website that includes some of the financial information I will refer to today.
For the first quarter, we reported net income of $7 $2 million or <unk> <unk> per diluted share.
The reported income consists of a net loss before tax of $18 4 million and a recorded tax benefit of $26 billion.
The tax benefit recorded in the first quarter is based on the computation and application of the Companys annual effective tax rate in accordance with U S. GAAP accounting standards adjusted for discrete items.
Texas will continue to swing significantly quarter to quarter as our earnings before tax moved from a net loss position to a net profit position over the course of the year.
Despite these big swings our total cash outlay for income taxes. This year is expected to be below $10 million.
The results for the first quarter included a reported adjusted EBITDA of $21 7 million.
As compared to adjusted EBITDA of $12 $5 million reported in the fourth quarter of 2022.
Excluding reimbursable revenue revenue for the first quarter was $214 million up from $208 million in the prior quarter, primarily as a result of the ocean Black Hornet rolling over to a new contracts at higher Dayrates.
Both our revenue and EBITDA came in above our prior guidance for the quarter largely as a result of timing effects.
Including the apex, having more revenue, earning days than anticipated before the start of a shipyard project, partially offset by later than anticipated deliveries of the ocean endeavor and ocean great White.
It should be noted however that despite being later than originally anticipated the ocean great White reactivation was the shortest duration and lowest cost reactivation of any high specification floater that we're aware of.
Contract drilling expense decreased to $173 million for the quarter compared to $178 million for the prior quarter.
Primarily as a result of the ocean Onyx being cold stacked for the full quarter and the annual pressure control by the hour bonus expense being included in the prior quarter results.
Yes.
We used approximately $12 million in operating cash for the quarter driven by a change in working capital with negative free cash flow of $41 million after considering capex expenditures of $29 million in the quarter.
In contrast, our fourth quarter 2022 free cash flow generation of $15 million was largely a result of working capital swings in the other direction and lower Capex expenditures.
Looking ahead to the second quarter.
We expect contract drilling revenue, excluding reimbursable <unk> of $240 million to $250 million and adjusted EBITDA of $20 to $25 million.
While the ocean, great White and Ocean endeavor have returned to work and should contribute with a full quarter of activity.
That growth in EBITDA is offset by the ocean apex spending the second quarter in the shipyard for its special whole survey and certain upgrades returning to work in early Q3.
And consistent with my comments from last quarter adjusted EBITDA for Q2 is still anticipated to be quite similar to Q1 adjusted EBITDA before rising substantially in the second half of the year as a result of having more operating days at higher day rates.
I would also like to reiterate our full year 2023 guidance for contract drilling revenue, excluding reimbursable <unk> of $950 to $990 million.
And adjusted EBITDA of $160 million to $180 million as found on page seven of our earnings presentation.
Our capex guidance for 2023 has increased to $120 million to $135 million as a result of the contract award, we announced yesterday for the Ocean Blackhawk and the requirement to install a managed pressure drilling system.
And as a reminder, our capex expenditure guidance for 2023 does not include any capex for the reactivation of the Ocean Onyx should it when a contract later this year.
Our new contract awards of $212 million, plus our backlog as of April one totals $1 8 billion.
As a result of these new contracts the average day rate in our 2024 backlog has increased to approximately $320000 per day as compared to $283000 per day for the 2023 backlog.
With the average day rate for our owned and managed Drillships for 2024 currently sitting at $366000 per day.
These new contracts award also increased our contract coverage in 2023% to 89% and 59% in 2024 as represented on slide five in our earnings presentation.
This level of contract coverage gives us greater visibility and certainty into our results for this year and next yet still provides ample opportunity for contract awards at higher day rates to fill out the calendar for 2024 and beyond.
Moving to some comments on our balance sheet.
Our net debt, excluding our finance lease liability in restricted cash stands at $327 million with a weighted average coupon rate of approximately nine 5%.
And our total liquidity is $280 million as we exited the quarter.
On the back of the continued improvement in the market and our own results, including the award of the new contracts, we announced yesterday.
We are evaluating opportunities to enhance our capital structure and established regular way financing that provides more flexibility than our current post emergent debt instruments.
To be clear, we are not under any pressure to refinance our outstanding debt given that maturities are still three and four years away in 2026 and 27.
Not to mention the increasing liquidity profile, we anticipate as we exit 'twenty three and move through 2024.
However, should we be able to simplify our debt stack increased our liquidity reduce our cost of capital increased our weighted average time to maturity and maintain our revolving credit facility, we would opportunistically entertain a refinancing transaction or series of transactions.
Of course, the sizing pricing and terms of such transactions would have to be attractive and we would need modification to certain covenants and restrictions in our revolver to help facilitate this.
Overall, it was a great quarter for the company and we remain on track to deliver our forecasted results.
That concludes my prepared remarks, I will now hand, it back to Bernie for some closing comments before we go into Q&A.
Yes.
Thank you Dominic.
At Diamond we are maintain remain productive since the beginning of the year executing an important shipyard project.
Delivering a relatively low cost rig reactivation for a key client and securing significant new backlog with higher margins.
All while continuing to deliver industry, leading operational excellence for our customers and never compromising on safety.
We appreciate your interest in Diamond offshore and will now open the call for questions.
As a reminder to ask a question. Please press star one on your telephone.
For your named <unk>.
To withdraw your question. Please press star one again please.
Please standby, while we compile the Q&A roster.
Just first question comes from Eddie Kim with Barclays. Your line is open.
Hi, good morning, and congratulations on the contract.
The Ocean Blackhawk.
We've been keeping an eye on for a while.
And then $152 million of firm backlog, you mentioned with my remarks would imply something around 440 to 45 again. This is right in line with where leading edge day rates are today.
So you mentioned that the black Rhino.
As the next drillship to come off contract.
Second quarter of 2024.
So just based on where day rates are trending.
That needs to be signed at a higher level than what you just secured for the black Hawk and when should be expect contract announcements for that.
Thanks for the question Eddie.
So looking at the black Rhino as of today, we haven't bid across the Golden triangle. So certainly the rates will be impacted by the location that the rig ultimately finds work in as you know.
Rates for Petrobras in Brazil generally include a service provision.
Can cost anywhere from 30 to $60000 a day for additional services and so those rates are naturally somewhat inflated compared to similar.
Rates, earning the exact same margins in other regions.
With with regard to what rates, we expect we do expect rates marginally higher.
Then what was awarded to the Black Hawk.
The current rate structure today, we feel like is sort of in the $4 20 to $4 60 range on a clean basis.
We've seen rates as low as $3 80, but thats somewhat special case and special relationship and we've seen the highest clean rate closer to $4 60 today.
We understand there may be a fixture announce later this year at or around 500000 per day, but understand it will be inclusive of services. So.
Long answer to your short question, we would see rates marginally higher than those of the Black Hawk is the most likely in terms of when we would expect to.
To secure a commitment for that rig I would say it would be approximately six months from now just as a general guide Eddie.
Yes.
Got it got it okay, great that's great to hear.
My follow up just on the pace.
Youll ship reactivation industry wide, but there are a couple of reactivation going on currently some of your peers.
Recently alluded to the potential for additional and reactivation later in the year.
You of course don't have been cold stacked.
Okay.
Is the pace of reactivation across the industry something that concerns you in terms of essentially keeping a lid on day rate progression over the next six to 12 months based on your response just seem like it.
Or is the demand strength right now, especially in places like Brazil, and West Africa that kind of more than that.
Absorb the impact of these.
<unk>.
Yes, Eddie I would say a couple of things on that first of all.
Quite frankly, if it wasn't for the reactivation and anticipated reactivation, we would already be solidly into the five hundreds today I mean in my mind, there is no doubt about that.
There is sufficient demand to absorb the reactivation and I continue to believe that on average.
From contract commitment to reactivation completion delivery and first day of day rate is going to range somewhere between 12 to 15 months.
So the pace, although it's quite obvious in some of the public tenders that we see currently in Brazil, it's not at an alarming rate.
But it is preventing us from moving to the 500 sooner rather than later, so I think it does to a certain extent keep rates in the high four hundreds longer on average than we would have otherwise anticipated, but it doesn't drive any any significant gaps in utilization.
Got it understood. Okay. Thank you for this months and I'll turn it back.
Please standby for the next question.
And as a reminder to ask a question. Please press star one one when you are.
Thank you.
The next question comes from Fredrik Stene with Clarksons Securities Your line.
Okay.
Hibernia and team hope you're well.
<unk>.
I wanted to touch a bit on.
<unk>.
Contracts are too.
Two things first just on I think at this question and the answer there you gave some good color.
But as you kind of move forward, you tie up more and more.
Capacity and I think you mentioned close to 70% for 2024, if we assume that fixed price options are taken.
How is your.
Approach to fixing.
The remainder there.
Has that changed over time are you willing to take more risk or do you think that.
Fixing term similarly to what you did.
Yesterday, we had one year and then potentially fixed price options thereafter.
Way to go also ECR.
Initially looking to to optimize and simplify the balance sheet yesterday visibility part of it.
Thanks Frederic.
Yes, I would say that.
Generally speaking our approach will be fairly similar I mean in the case of the Blackhawk I believe we were pursuing eight or nine opportunities for that rig.
We always look at what the bottom line margin is going to be for a project.
After consideration for all expenses associated with startup delivery and any associated services and we're looking to maximize that margin and positive cash flow to the company in terms of what kind of durations. We're looking for I would say right now one to two years is sort of the sweet spot for <unk>.
In terms of what we're looking for although we definitely bid the rig on longer term projects as well like you've seen in the Petrobras public tenders, but not much change in our approach generally speaking I mean.
Utilization is important.
But full utilization is not absolutely critical instead, we're really focused on what's going to give us the highest margin and best EBITDA for the for the forward looking periods.
Perfect. Thank you.
Second question.
Get you to your Capex.
Guidance since Youre doing the MPD on the Blackhawk.
<unk>.
General.
Basis, some tightness to the covenants from the written report as well about EBITDA and cash flow developments through 'twenty, three and 2024.
Are you able to give.
Give any comments on the pace of that is slow.
If you think it's going to be.
Call it a bumpy ride, but still with.
Underlying improvements on average at least quarter over quarter.
Sure.
Yes, Fred this.
This is Dominic yes, looking looking out into the future.
As I alluded to we're going to have obviously significant EBITDA uptick in Q3 and Q4 to achieve our results for the year, given where we've been for.
In terms of Q1, and what we're forecasting for Q2, but I would say that that.
Q3 is going to be.
Incrementally more than Q2, and then Q4 should be.
<unk>.
Again incrementally more than that so the EBITDA profile certainly grows quarter to quarter as we.
Reap the benefit of being on higher day rates for full contract. So as the apex comes back as we get the courage on contract later in the fourth quarter as well as the Blackhawk Youll see a increase in EBITDA quarter over quarter starting in Q3.
And Frederic I would I would add to that from a capital expenditure point of view by the end of this year, we will have the endeavor apex courage and Blackhawk Sps is behind us.
So going into 'twenty four we have.
The Ocean <unk>.
Black Hornet, and the Black Rhino scheduled for their Spss and then in 'twenty five the Ocean Black line. So.
This is probably one of our higher cost years when it comes to Sps's with next year being similar but somewhat less.
Perfect. Thank you so much.
Okay.
<unk> for me.
Yes.
Thanks Roger.
I show no further questions at this time I would now like to turn the call back to Jim Bernie Wolford for closing remarks.
Thanks to all for joining the call today, and we look forward to speaking to you again next quarter have a good day bye bye.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating you may now disconnect.
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