Q1 2024 Pinnacle West Capital Corporation Earnings Call
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Operator: Good morning everyone, and welcome to the Pinnacle West Capital Corporation 2024 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants have been placed in a listen-only mode, and we will open the floor for your questions and comments after the presentation. It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to your host, Amanda Ho. Ma'am, the floor is yours.
Good morning, everyone and welcome to the Pinnacle West Capital Corporation, 2024 first quarter earnings Conference call.
Operator: At this time, all participants have been placed on a listen only mode and we will open the floor for your questions and comments after the presentation.
Amanda Ho: It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to your host Amanda Houghton Ma'am the floor is yours. Thank.
Amanda Ho: Thank you, Matthew. I would like to thank everyone for participating in this conference call and webcast to review our first quarter earnings, recent developments, and operating performance. Our speakers today will be our Chairman and CEO, Jeff Guldner, and our CFO, Andrew Cooper. Ted Geisler, APS President, and Jacob Tetlow, EVP of Operations, are also here with us. First, I need to cover a few details with you.
Amanda Ho: Thank you Matthew I would like to thank everyone for participating in this conference call and webcast to review our first quarter earnings recent developments and operating performance. Our speakers today will be our chairman and CEO, Jeff Goldner, and our CFO, Andrew Cooper, Ted Geisler, Aps, President and Jacob Tetlow EVP of operations are also here with US first I need to cover a few details with you.
Amanda Ho: The slides that we will be using are available on our investor relations website, along with our earnings release and related information. Today's comments and our slides contain forward-looking statements based on current expectations, and actual results may differ materially from those expectations. Our first quarter 2024 Form 10-Q was filed this morning. Please refer to that document for forward-looking statements, cautionary language, as well as the risk factors and mDNA sections, which identify risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in our disclosure. A replay of this call will be available shortly on our website for the next 30 days. It will also be available by telephone through May 9th, 2024. I will now turn the call over to Jeff.
Jeff: Slides that we will be using are available on our investor Relations website, along with our earnings release and related information today's comments and our slides contain forward looking statements based on current expectations and actual results may differ materially from expectations. Our first quarter 2024 Form 10-Q was filed this morning. Please refer to that document for forward looking statements Karsh.
Amanda Ho: Scenario language as well as the risk factors and MD&A sections, which identify risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in our disclosures a replay of this call will be available shortly on our website for the next 30 days. It will also be available by telephone through May nine 2024, I will now turn the call over to Jeff.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Thanks, Amanda, and thank you all for joining us today. 2024 started off in line with the financial guidance that we provided on the fourth quarter call in February. And before Andrew discusses the details of our first quarter results, I'll provide a few updates on our recent operational and regulatory developments. With the temperatures in Arizona quickly rising, we're focused on executing our robust summer preparedness program, with resource adequacy continuing to be extremely important as energy demands increase and energy supplies in the Southwest tighten.
Jeff: Thanks, Amanda and thank you all for joining US today 2024 has started off in line with the financial guidance that we provided on our fourth quarter call in February and before Andrew discusses the details of our first quarter results I'll provide a few updates on our recent operational and regulatory developments.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: With the temperatures in Arizona quickly heating up we're focused on executing our robust summer preparedness program with the resource adequacy continuing to be extremely important as energy demands increase and energy suppliers in the southwest tightened.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: To serve our customers with top-tier reliability, we work year-round on operational preparedness, resource planning, procuring sufficient reserve margins, creating customer partnerships to manage peak demand, and maintaining a comprehensive fire mitigation program. In fact, as we head into the wildfire season, the company is taking further action to protect our customers and our communities from the risks of wildfires. Our comprehensive fire mitigation strategy includes three key categories to ensure defense in depth. First, we have a robust vegetation management program, including creating defensible space around poles and infrastructure and strong coordination with forest management officials around the state.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: To serve our customers with top tier reliability, we work year round on operational preparedness resource planning procuring sufficient reserve margins, creating customer partnerships to manage peak demand and maintaining a comprehensive fire mitigation program.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: In fact, as we head into the wildfire season. The company is taking further action to protect our customers and our communities for the rest of the wildfires are.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Second, we deploy technology that's targeted at managing wildfire risk, and that includes weather stations, cameras, remote control sectionalizing devices, and advanced risk modeling software. And third, we apply several risk-informed operating protocols, such as specific requirements for how our crews work safely in fire-prone areas, in addition to new protocols, such as Public Safety Power Shutoffs, or PSPS. While PSPS is a new protocol for our program, we've been working on this implementation since last summer, and we've partnered with local communities, first responders, and state officials to ensure that our customers are informed and know what to expect.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Our comprehensive fire mitigation strategy includes three key categories to ensure defense in depth.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: First we have a robust vegetation management program, including creating defensible space around Poles and infrastructure and strong coordination with forest management officials around the state.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Second we deployed technology, that's targeted at managing wildfire risks and that includes weather stations cameras remote control sexualizing devices and advanced risk modeling software and.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: And third we apply several risk informed operating protocols such as specific requirements for how our crews worked safely in fire prone areas. In addition to new protocols, such as power safety of public safety power shut offs or PSP asses.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: While P Sps as a new protocol for our program we've been working on this implementation following last summer and we've partnered with local communities first responders and state officials to ensure that our customers are informed and know what to expect.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: We've had community workshops, and we've invested a lot in customer communications to ensure that this is a transparent process. We're committed to actively taking steps to prevent wildfires and to safeguard the communities that we serve while continuing to learn from operating experience gained throughout our industry. Turning to our operational preparedness, it's extremely important that our generation units are ready for the summer. We're in the final stages of our planned maintenance activities for our thermal units ahead of the summer period to ensure our system is ready to serve.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Community workshops, and we've invested a lot in customer communications to ensure that this is a transparent process.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: We're committed to actively taking steps to prevent wildfires and to safeguard the communities that we serve while continuing to learn from operating experience developed throughout our industry.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Turning to our operational preparedness, it's extremely important that our generation units are ready for the summer.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: We're in the final stages of our planned maintenance activities for our thermal units ahead of the summer period to ensure our systems ready to serve.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: In addition, Palo Verde's Unit 3 is currently in a planned refueling outage that began on April 6th, and it's on schedule to return to service in early May. Upon the successful completion of the latest refueling outage, all three units are poised to provide around-the-clock clean energy to help meet the demands of the summer for the entire desert southwest. I'm also proud to say that we're starting this year with J.D.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: In addition, Palo Verde unit three is currently in a planned refueling outage that began on April six and it's on schedule to return to service in early May.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Upon the successful completion of the latest refueling outage all three units are poised to provide around the clock clean energy to help meet the demands of the summer for the entire desert southwest.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Power Residential Customer Satisfaction Survey scores that place APS within the first quartile for overall satisfaction when compared to its large investor-owned peers. APS made gains in every category, including power, quality, and reliability, price, corporate citizenship, billing and payment, communications, and Customer Care, both digital and phone, in the first quarter. Results like this take the dedication and commitment of all employees across the company, and we look forward to continuing to make improvements for our customers and providing a more frictionless experience.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: I'm also proud to say that we're starting this year with J D power residential customer satisfaction survey scores that place Aps within the first quartile for overall satisfaction when compared to its large investor owned peers.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Aps made gains in every category, including power quality and reliability price corporate citizenship billing and payment communications and customer care, both digital and phone in the first quarter.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Also like this take the dedication and the commitment of all employees across the company and we look forward to continuing to make improvements for our customers and providing a more frictionless experience.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Turning to regulatory, we've successfully implemented the rate case outcome on March 8th for our customers. The Commission recently voted to hold a narrow rehearing on a rate case that's limited to the grid access charge. That charge is a rate design issue where the Commission had increased the revenue allocation to distributed generation solar customers to better align their rates with the cost of service.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Turning to regulatory we successfully implemented the rate case outcome on March eight for our customers. The commission recently voted to hold a narrow rehearing on our rate cases limited to the grid access charge and that charge is a rate design issue, where the commission had increased the revenue allocation to distributed generation.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Solar customers to better align their rates with cost of service.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: The Commission intends, I think, to further examine whether the grid access charge is just and reasonable and will be participating in those proceedings. Additionally, the Commission has turned its focus to the regulatory lag docket. The first workshop was held on March 19th with multiple stakeholders presenting a variety of options on how to holistically address regulatory lag. Moreover, interested parties have been invited to file written comments in the docket, and the Commission has voiced its intent of having further workshops that will be noticed in the future.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: The commission in terms I think to further examine whether the grid access charge is just and reasonable and will be participating in those proceedings.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Additionally, the commission has turned its focus to the regulatory lag docket.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: The first workshop was held on March 19th with multiple stakeholders presenting a variety of options on how to Holistically address regulatory lag and.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: And interested parties have been invited to file written comments into the docket and the commission has voiced their intent of having further workshops that will be noticed in the future.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: We look forward to continuing to work with the Commission and with other stakeholders on addressing regulatory lag in Arizona. Although 2024 is off to a solid start, we know we have much to do, and we look forward to continuing to execute on our priorities throughout the year.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: We look forward to continuing to work with the commission and with other stakeholders on addressing regulatory lag in Arizona.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Although 2024 is off to a solid start we know we have much to do still and we look forward to continuing to execute on our priorities throughout the year and with that I'll turn the call over to Andrew.
Andrew D. Cooper: Thank you, Jeff, and thanks again to everyone for joining us today. This morning, we reported our first quarter 2024 financial results. I will review those results and provide additional details on weather, sales, and guidance. In the first quarter of 2024, we achieved earnings of $0.15 per share, compared to a loss of $0.03 per share in the first quarter of 2023. This improvement was driven by several key factors, the sale of Bright Canyon Energy, the implementation of new rates on March 8th, along with increases in adjuster revenues, and finally, robust customer and sales growth. However, these positive impacts were partially offset by milder year-over-year weather and increases in interest expense, depreciation, and amortization, and O&M. The Bright Canyon Energy transaction provided a one-time benefit of $0.15 per share this quarter.
Speaker Change: Thank you, Jeff and thanks, again to everyone for joining us today.
Andrew D. Cooper: This morning, we reported our first quarter 2024 financial results I'll review those results and provide additional details on whether sales and guidance.
Andrew D. Cooper: In the first quarter of 2024, we achieved earnings of <unk> 15 per share compared to a loss of <unk> <unk> per share in the first quarter of 2023. This improvement was driven by several key factors the sale of <unk> energy the implementation of new rates on March 8th along with increases in adjusted revenues.
Andrew D. Cooper: And finally robust customer and sales growth.
Andrew D. Cooper: These positive impacts were partially offset by milder year over year weather and increases in interest expense depreciation and amortization and O&M.
Andrew D. Cooper: The break Kenyan energy transaction provided a one time benefit of <unk> 15 per share this quarter.
Andrew D. Cooper: This follows the initial phase of the sale completed in the third quarter of last year. In addition, as Jeff mentioned, we successfully implemented new rates for our customers in March and are seeing a benefit from these new revenues. Turning to weather, although conditions in the first three months of this year were normal, we experienced a drag of seven cents per share year over year. This drag can be attributed to the exceptionally cold start in 2023, which was one of the coldest in the Phoenix metro area since 1979, and to March 2023 being the coldest March in over three decades.
Andrew D. Cooper: This follows the initial phase of the sale completed in the third quarter of last year.
Andrew D. Cooper: In addition, as Jeff mentioned, we successfully implemented new rates for our customers in March and are seeing a benefit from these new revenues.
Andrew D. Cooper: Turning to weather, although conditions in the first three months of this year were normal we experienced a drag of <unk> <unk> per share year over year. This drag can be attributed to the exceptionally cold start in 2023, which was one of the coldest in the Phoenix Metro area since 1979 and to March 2023, being the coldest.
Andrew D. Cooper: And over three decades.
Andrew D. Cooper: Customer growth for the quarter came in as expected at 1.8% and was consistent with our guidance range of 1.5% to 2.5%. Our weather-normalized sales growth came in at 5.9% for the quarter, driven by robust C&I growth. Because the first quarter is historically a smaller quarter for the company.
Andrew D. Cooper: Customer growth for the quarter came in as expected at one 8% and consistent with our guidance range of one 5% to 2.5%.
Andrew D. Cooper: Our weather normalized sales growth came in at five 9% for the quarter driven by robust C&I growth.
Andrew D. Cooper: Because first quarter is historically, a smaller quarter for the company.
Andrew D. Cooper: We are still expecting our weather-normalized sales growth to come in within our existing guidance range of 2% to 4% for the year. Arizona's economy remains a diverse growth and investment hub. A prime example of this vibrant economic activity is Taiwan's semiconductor, which recently announced a $25 billion increase to their previously announced $40 billion investment in Arizona for a total of $65 billion. TSMC announced plans to build a third facility by the end of the decade, and the facilities are now expected to employ more than 6,000 workers, of which TSMC has already hired over 2,000.
Andrew D. Cooper: We are still expecting our weather normalized sales growth to come in within our existing guidance range of 2% to 4% for the year.
Andrew D. Cooper: Arizona's economy remains a diverse growth in investments hub a prime example of this vibrant economic activities, Taiwan semiconductor, which recently announced a $25 billion increase to their previously announced 40 billion investments in Arizona for a total of $65 billion GSM.
Andrew D. Cooper: <unk> announced plans to build a third facility by the end of the decade and our facilities are now expected to employ more than 6000 workers of which TSMC has already hired over 2000.
Andrew D. Cooper: In addition, there continues to be sustained interest in additional data center and manufacturing development within our service territory. Although these developments are outside of our current three-year sales growth guidance, they represent significant long-term opportunities for earnings growth and the potential for enhanced cost efficiency for all our customers. Residential growth in our region has been consistently strong. Maricopa County was recognized by the U.S. Census Bureau as the fourth fastest growing county in the nation in 2023, welcoming over 30,000 new residents.
Andrew D. Cooper: In addition, there continues to be sustained interest for additional data center and manufacturing development within our service territory. All of these although these developments are outside of our current three year sales growth guidance. They represent significant long term opportunities for earnings growth and the potential for enhanced cost efficiency for all our customers.
Andrew D. Cooper: <unk>.
Andrew D. Cooper: Residential growth in our region has been consistently strong Maricopa County was recognized by the U S Census Bureau, as the fourth largest growing county in the nation in 2023 welcoming over 30000, new residents. This ongoing an influx of residents underscores the need for continuous investments in our infrastructure.
Andrew D. Cooper: This ongoing influx of residents underscores the need for continuous investment in our infrastructure to ensure reliable service for all our customers. Our current capital expenditure and financing plans are designed to meet these expanding demands effectively. O&M was a slight drag compared to Q1 2023.
Andrew D. Cooper: To ensure reliable service for all our customers our current capital expenditure and financing plans are designed to meet these expanding demands effectively.
Andrew D. Cooper: O&M was a slight drag compared to Q1 2023, the impact was less than expected primarily due to delays in procuring essential materials needed for planned maintenance work at our power plants. These delays are expected to shift the timing of certain costs from first to second quarter.
Andrew D. Cooper: The impact was less than expected, primarily due to delays in procuring essential materials needed for planned maintenance work at our power plants. These delays are expected to shift the timing of certain costs from the first to second quarter. Despite ongoing inflationary pressures and the costs associated with supporting our expanding customer base, we remain committed to our 2024 O&M guidance, which is a year-over-year reduction in core expenses. Interest expenses were higher this quarter compared to the first quarter of last year, driven by increased interest rates and a higher debt balance, and we continue to monitor the actions of the Federal Reserve.
Andrew D. Cooper: Despite ongoing inflationary pressures and the costs associated with supporting our expanding customer base. We remain committed to our 2020 for O&M guidance, which is a year over year reduction in core expense.
Andrew D. Cooper: Interest expenses higher this quarter compared to the first quarter of last year, driven by increased interest rates and higher debt balances and we continue to monitor the actions of the federal reserve.
Andrew D. Cooper: In addition, our depreciation and amortization expense is higher as one of two large planned information technology projects went into service this quarter. These projects are extremely important to make sure we have updated systems and the tools necessary to reliably serve our customers. Due to the shorter depreciation schedule for IT projects, we expect these expenses to create meaningful drag throughout the year and have already accounted for them in our annual guidance. After the constructive rate case outcome, we successfully completed our planned equity offering of about $750 million of common stock in a forward sale.
Andrew D. Cooper: In addition, our depreciation and amortization expense is higher as one or two large planned interest information technology projects went into service. This quarter. These projects are extremely important to make sure we have updated systems and the tools necessary to reliably serve our customers due to the shorter depreciation schedule for it.
Andrew D. Cooper: Projects, we expect these expenses to create meaningful drag throughout the year and have already accounted for them in our annual guidance.
Andrew D. Cooper: After the constructive rate case outcome, we successfully completed our planned equity offering of about.
Andrew D. Cooper: $750 million of common stock and a forward sale.
Andrew D. Cooper: We will determine the most opportune time to settle the forward sale agreements and invest the funds into the utility to maintain a healthy and sustainable capital structure. In addition, the rating agencies have completed their reviews of our ratings, and importantly, all three rating agencies have resolved our outlook from negative to stable. Moody's and Fitch downgraded Pinnacle West's ratings by one notch, with Moody's downgrading APS ratings by one notch as well, and we are now similarly rated by all three agencies.
Andrew D. Cooper: We will determine the most opportune time to settle the forward sale agreements and investment funds into the utility to maintain a healthy and sustainable capital structure.
Andrew D. Cooper: In addition, the rating agencies have completed their reviews of our ratings and importantly, all three rating agencies have resolved our outlook from negative to stable Moody's and Fitch downgraded pinnacle west ratings by one notch with Moody's downgrading Aps ratings, why nausea, as well and we're now similarly rated by all three agencies, we continue to.
Andrew D. Cooper: We continue to focus on reducing regulatory lag and sustaining our targeted cash flow metrics with adequate cushion to maintain solid investment grade credit ratings for the benefit of our customers. Finally, we are reaffirming all other guidance provided on the fourth-quarter call and look forward to continuing to execute our strategy and reliably serving our customers as we head into the upcoming summer season. This concludes our prepared remarks. I will now turn the call back over to the operator for questions.
Andrew D. Cooper: Focus on reducing regulatory lag and sustaining our targeted cash flow metrics with adequate cushion to maintain solid investment grade credit ratings for the benefit of our customers. Finally, we are reaffirming all other guidance provided on the fourth quarter call and look forward to continuing to execute our strategy and reliably serving our customers.
Andrew D. Cooper: As we head into the upcoming summer season.
Andrew D. Cooper: This concludes our prepared remarks, I will now turn the call back over to the operator for questions.
Operator: Certainly. Everyone at this time will be conducting a question and answer session. If you have any questions or comments, please press star 1 on your phone at this time. We do ask that while you are posing your question, please pick up your handset if you're listening on speakerphone to provide optimum sound quality. Once again, if you have any questions or comments, please press star 1 on your phone. Your first question is from Nick Campanella from Barclays. Your line is live.
Speaker Change: Certainly everyone. At this time, we'll be conducting a question and answer session. If you have any questions or comments. Please press star one on your phone at this time we.
Nicholas Joseph Campanella: We do have to well posting a question. Please pickup your handset if you're listening on speaker phone to provide optimum sound quality.
Operator: Once again, if you have any questions or comments. Please press star one on your phone.
Operator: Your first question is coming from Nick Campanella from Barclays. Your line is live.
Faye: Hi, good morning, team. This is Faye from NIC Today, and thank you for taking my questions. So first, I guess on rate case timing, as we have more time to digest the latest rate case outcome back in February since the last quarterly update, can you maybe discuss some of the latest thoughts on SRB, capital deployment, and how should it possibly accelerate in the coming years, deeper in the plan?
Nicholas Joseph Campanella: Hi, Good morning team. This is for Nick today, and thank you for taking my questions.
Speaker Change: Sure. Good morning, So first okay. So so first.
Faye: I guess on rate case timing as.
Faye: As we have more time to digest the latest rate case outcome back in February.
Faye: Since the last quarterly update can you maybe discuss some of your latest thoughts SRP capital deployment and how how should it possibly accelerate in the coming years deeper in the plan.
Andrew D. Cooper: Sure, Faye, thanks for the question. Yeah, so, you know, we continue to work through our competitive RFP process, and that's really the basis for us putting projects through the SRB. You know, we had a 1,000 megawatt RFP in 2023, and we're negotiating projects that are coming out of that right now. And so there's a healthy pipeline of projects really across a diverse set of fuels, you know, renewable and gas as well, that we're looking at that would qualify.
Speaker Change: Sure. Thanks for the question, yes. So we continue to work through our competitive RFP process and Thats really the basis for us putting projects through the <unk>.
Andrew D. Cooper: Had a 1000 megawatt RFP in 2023, and we're negotiating projects that are coming out of that right now and so there is a healthy pipeline of projects really across a diverse set of fuels.
Andrew D. Cooper: Renewable and gas as well that we're looking at that would qualify or our Q4 deck included some illustrative projects that we expect could meet the criteria for the SRV and we feel good about those projects being part of the plan is certainly at least some of them and our capex for the next three years that you see.
Andrew D. Cooper: Our, you know, our Q4 deck included some illustrative projects that we expect could meet the criteria for the SRB, and we feel good about those projects being part of the plan, certainly at least some of them. And our CapEx for the next 3 years, which you see, does include some probability-weighted capital on the generation side related to those projects. You know, ultimately, the RFPs will determine the results, but the projects that we laid out in Q4 represent potentially up to 40 percent plus of the megawatts that we need to procure based on our IRP over the next few years.
Andrew D. Cooper: It does include some probability weighted capital on the generation side are related to those projects.
Andrew D. Cooper: Ultimately the Rfps will determine the results, but the projects that we laid out at Q4 represent potentially up to 40 plus percent of the megawatts that we need to procure based on our IOP over the next few years. So there is a really substantial opportunity there of course, our number one goal this reliability and costs.
Andrew D. Cooper: So there's a really substantial opportunity there. Of course, our number one goal is reliability and cost for customers, but ultimately, between this RFP and future RFPs, and there will be future RFPs given the substantial need to meet customer growth demands over the next few years, we're confident that there'll be opportunities for us to participate. And then, of course, with the SRB, the opportunity to substantially reduce the lag on beginning to recover on those investments becomes much shorter. So opportunities ahead as we have projects that come forward, we will certainly update you on the status.
Andrew D. Cooper: Customers, but ultimately.
Andrew D. Cooper: Between this RFP and future Rfps and there will be future rfps, given the substantial need to meet customer growth demands over the next few years.
Andrew D. Cooper: We're confident that there will be opportunities for us to participate and then of course with the FRB the opportunity to substantially reduce the lag on beginning June.
Andrew D. Cooper: Recover on those investments it becomes a much shorter so.
Andrew D. Cooper: Opportunities ahead, as we have projects that come forward, we will certainly update you on the status of them.
Andrew D. Cooper: Great, thanks Andrew for all the colors. That's really helpful. And maybe I can just turn to financing a little bit. As you've done the equity deal and removed this financing overhang post-constructive rate outcome, can you just maybe discuss, as we evolve from the last quarter, your latest thinking on the remaining Pinnacle capital of $400 million with ATM and hybrid at your disposal? Has any thinking on this changed since the equity deal, also given all the S&P positive revisions on the credit outlook? How does that affect your thinking and confidence in the debt and hybrid market?
Speaker Change: Great. Thanks, Andrew for all the color that's really helpful.
Andrew D. Cooper: Maybe I can just turn to financing a little bit.
Andrew D. Cooper: As you've done the equity deal and we will this financing overhang post post the constructive rate outcomes can you just maybe.
Andrew D. Cooper: Disguised as we evolved from the from the last quarter your latest thinking on the remaining.
Andrew D. Cooper: Nicole capital of $400 million with ATM and hybrid extra disposal has any of the thinking on this changed since the equity deal also given all the S&P positive revision on the credit outlook, how does that affect your thinking and confidence in the in the debt.
Speaker Change: Uh huh.
Andrew D. Cooper: Hybrid market.
Andrew D. Cooper: Sure, so as I mentioned earlier, we're really pleased to be able to execute on the foundational discrete block equity that we needed to ensure that we're maintaining a balanced, healthy capital structure down at the utility. And so as we go through, and you've got kind of the three-year capital financing plan in front of you, as we go through the later years of that plan, given the capital needs that we have today and ensuring a balanced capital structure down at the utility, there is, as you pointed out, an identified external financing need of an incremental $400 million from the parent.
Andrew: Sure. So as I mentioned earlier, we're really pleased to be able to execute on the foundational discreet block equity that we needed to ensure that we're maintaining a balanced healthy capital structure down at the utility and so as we go through and you've got kind of a three year capital financing plan in front of you as we go through the hour.
Andrew D. Cooper: <unk> of that plan.
Andrew D. Cooper: Given the capital needs that we have today and ensuring a balanced capital structure down at the utility there is as you pointed out.
Andrew D. Cooper: And identify external financing need of an incremental $400 million from the parent over the next couple of years, we will continue to monitor the different markets available to us to meet that need the base case tends to be something like an ATM because that matches up well to deploying capital and then investing the proceeds into the utility.
Andrew D. Cooper: Over the next couple of years, we'll continue to monitor the different markets available to us to meet that need. The base case tends to be something like an ATM because that matches up well to deploying capital and then investing the proceeds into the utility. And so that would sort of be where we would start. But what's motivating us most of all is maintaining a balanced capital structure down at the utility, as we look at the capital plan over the next few years, and being judicious about the amount of parent company debt.
Andrew D. Cooper: And so that would sort of be were where we would start but whats what's motivating us most involves maintaining a balanced capital structure down at utility and as we look at the capital plan over the next few years being judicious about the amount of parent company debt and to your point. There are security is sort of in between that in common that we will.
Andrew D. Cooper: And to your point, there are securities sort of in between debt and common that we will continue to look at as potential opportunities as well. We were really pleased to see all of the ratings be returned to stable across all three agencies. The agencies feel comfortable with the amount of holding company debt that we do have, but we do want to continue to be judicious about it and make sure that we're managing to the right cash flow metrics so that we stay in that targeted range of 14 to 16% FFO debt.
Andrew D. Cooper: To look at as potential opportunities as well we were really pleased to see all of the ratings be returned to stable across all three agencies.
Andrew D. Cooper: The agency is comfortable with the amount of holding company debt that we do have but we do want to continue to be.
Andrew D. Cooper: Judicious about it and.
Andrew D. Cooper: And make sure that we're.
Andrew D. Cooper: Managing to the right cash flow metrics and so that we stay in that targeted range of 14% to 16% <unk> to debt.
Faye: No, that's great. Thanks for all the colors here. I'll leave it here. I appreciate it. Thanks, man.
Speaker Change: No that's great. Thanks for all the colors here.
Speaker Change: I'll leave it here I appreciate it.
Speaker Change: Thanks, Craig.
Faye: Yes.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question is coming from Shahriar Pourreza from Guggenheim Partners. Your line is live.
Faye: Thank you. Your next question is coming from Shar <unk> from Guggenheim Partners. Your line is live.
Operator: Okay.
Jamieson Alexander Ward: Hi guys, it's Jamieson Ward on for Shahriar. How are you? Hey good Jamieson, how are you? Doing well, thanks. Thanks for taking our questions. I've just got a couple for you here.
Shahriar Pourreza: Hi, guys. Its statements in moored on for Shar how are you.
Speaker Change: Good Jonathan how are you.
Jamieson Alexander Ward: Doing well thanks.
Jamieson Alexander Ward: Thanks for taking our questions.
Andrew D. Cooper: First, on sales growth. You're obviously fortunate to have a fairly diverse mix of industries driving your long-term retail sales growth forecast. Could you remind us how much of the large CNI load that you're currently seeing is from data centers, like in 24 and then whether you're expecting the level of contribution to your annual load growth from data centers to increase between now and 2026 and then as well through the rest of the decade?
Jamieson Alexander Ward: Couple for you here.
Jamieson Alexander Ward: First on sales growth.
Andrew D. Cooper: Youre, obviously fortunate to have a fairly diverse mix of industries driving your long term retail sales growth forecast could you remind us how much of the large C&I load that you're currently seeing.
Andrew D. Cooper: Is from data centers like in 'twenty, four and then whether you're expecting the level of contribution.
Andrew D. Cooper: To your annual load growth from data centers to increase between now and 2026, and then as well as through the rest of the decade.
Andrew D. Cooper: Yeah.
Andrew D. Cooper: Sure, Jameson, Sandra, I'll start. So in the near term, that 5.9% sales growth that we saw for the quarter, we felt really pleased with. And it did fundamentally represent a lot of the large high-load factor CNI customers, and it was a mix of the ramp-up of the Taiwan semiconductor ecosystem of them and their suppliers and downstream vendors, as well as the ramp-up of some of the existing data center customers that we've had come online over the last couple of years.
Andrew D. Cooper: Sure Jamie it's Andrew I'll start.
Andrew D. Cooper: So in the near term.
Andrew D. Cooper: Five 9% sales growth that we saw for the quarter, we felt really pleased with and it did represent.
Andrew D. Cooper: Mentally a lot of the large high load factors C&I customers and it was a mix of the ramp up of <unk>.
Andrew D. Cooper: The power semiconductor ecosystem of them and their suppliers and downstream vendors as well as the ramp up of some of the existing data center customers that we've had come online over the last couple of years.
Andrew D. Cooper: In the near term, because Taiwan semiconductor is such a large component of our sales growth, and as you said, the diverse set of industrial and manufacturing customers that we're having come in, their ramp really continues throughout this year until they reach full production next year. And then their downstream folks and their upstream supply chain kind of in parallel.
Andrew D. Cooper: In the near term because Taiwan semiconductor is such a large component of our sales growth.
Andrew D. Cooper: As you said the diverse set of industrial and manufacturing customers that we're having come in their ramp really continues throughout this year until they reach full production next year and then the.
Andrew D. Cooper: There are downstream folks in their upstream supply chain kind of in parallel so in the latter part of our forecast there is a lot more from the manufacturing side in the near term, it's a little bit more weighted to the data centers and you have to remember that for us data centers have been customers that we've been dealing with for a very long time experienced market has been a big data center.
Andrew D. Cooper: So in the latter part of our forecast, there's a lot more from the manufacturing side. In the near term, it's a little bit more weighted to the data centers. And you have to remember that for us, data centers have been customers that we've been dealing with for a very long time. The Phoenix market has been a big data center market for a while. So we're comfortable with the ramp-up of these customers, and the capacity that they're asking for in the near term.
Andrew D. Cooper: For for a while so we're comfortable with.
Andrew D. Cooper: The ramps for these customers the capacity that they are asking for in the near term, it's really about longer term.
Andrew D. Cooper: It's really that longer term, 25, when TSMC's first phase goes full production, and then into the out years, when Fab 2 and Fab 3 go full production, where some of that manufacturing growth really takes over the plan. If you look at our IRP over the decade, it's roughly half and a half from advanced manufacturing and data centers. And it's probably a good way to think about it. There is certainly more demand out there on both sides than is represented in that IRP. But ultimately, in terms of customers, we could serve at the pace of infrastructure build out. That's roughly the balance.
Jamieson Alexander Ward: That's perfect. Very clear and much appreciated. Thank you for that.
Andrew D. Cooper: Five when Tsmc's first phase goes full production and then into the out years of the plan when fab two and fab III full production hour, where some of that manufacturing growth really takes over the plan. If you look at our ERP over the decade, it's roughly half and half from advanced manufacturing and data centers and it's probably a good way.
Jamieson Alexander Ward: To think about it there's there's certainly more demand out there on both sides. Then is represented in that IOP, but ultimately in terms of the customers. We can serve on the pace of infrastructure build out.
Jamieson Alexander Ward: That's roughly the balance.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: And then second, on the regulatory leg docket, which, of course, you guys already touched on. So following the March workshop, which I'm sure a lot of us tuned in to, and noting the yet-to-be-scheduled additional workshops, which you already mentioned, could you give us your high-level sense of where the proceeding currently stands in terms of the timeline overall until we could see an alternative rate-making approach being adopted by the Commission and actually available for you to use in rate cases? And also, are there any expected key milestones we should be watching for? And that's it. Yeah,
Jamieson Alexander Ward: That's perfect very clear.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Appreciated.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: For that and then the second on.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: On the regulatory lag docket.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Of course, you guys already touched on.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: So following the March workshop, which I'm sure a lot of us tuned into.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: And noting the yet to be scheduled additional workshops, which you already mentioned could you give us your high level sense of where the proceeding currently stands in terms of the timeline overall until we could see and alternative ratemaking approach being adopted by the commission and actually available for you to use in rate cases, and also are there.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Expected key milestones, we should be watching for and that's at Janus.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Jamieson, this is Jeff. I think the next one to watch for is the June open meeting, which is likely where they're going to have further discussion. I think there was some thought it might go at the May open meeting. I think it's more likely now at the June meeting. That will be important because I think that's where you'll see the commissioners discuss the process going forward and potentially give some more color on the timeline.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Jameson the step I think the next one to watch for is the June open meeting is likely where theyre going to have further discussion I think there was some thought it might go on the May open meeting.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: I think it's more likely now on the on the June meeting.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: That will be important because I think thats, where youll see the commissioners discuss the process going forward and potentially give some more color on the timeline I do think there is an interest I think it was constructive in the conversation just in terms of what they were.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: I do think there's an interest. I mean, I think it was constructive in the conversation, just in terms of what they were talking about, because it was not only around the potential for a forward test year, which is kind of intuitively what a lot of people think about as. You know, an example of a rate structure or a construct that can address regulatory lag, but also more on other concepts like formula rates, which is what we use at FERC.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Talking about because it was not only around the <unk>.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Potential for a forward test year, which is kind of intuitively what a lot of people think about as the.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: An example of.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: A rate structure or a construct that can address regulatory lag, but also more into other concepts like formula rates, which is what we use at FERC.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Obviously, and additional, you know, conversation from experts who have worked with these kinds of programs. And so the content seems to be moving in the right direction, the schedule is being developed. I do think there's a desire to continue to move this forward.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Obviously in an additional conversation from experts, who who have worked with these kind of programs and so the content seems to moving in the right direction. The schedule is being developed.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: I do think there is a desire to continue to move this forward.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: And so one of the things we'll be watching for is how the process unfolds. I know that at some point, they'll have a conversation about whether there's rulemaking or a policy statement. If you think back to our decoupling workshops years ago, that ended up in a policy statement as opposed to a rule. And so then the policy statement just goes out, and then the utilities can implement it when they file rate cases.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Properly.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: So the one of the things we'll be watching for is how the process unfolds I know at some point they will have a conversation on whether theres rulemaking or policy statement.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: If you think back to our decoupling.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Shops years ago that ended up in a policy statement as opposed to a rule and so then the policy statement just goes out and then the utilities can implement that when they file rate cases, so we'll be watching for all of that I expect you will see a little bit more probably in the next.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: So we'll be watching for all that. I expect you'll see a little bit more probably in the next..., next quarter, but the next key milestone is likely that June open meeting to watch where they talk through the process.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Next quarter, but the next key milestone is likely that June open meeting to watch where they talked through process.
Jamieson Alexander Ward: Thank you very much, Jeff. It is much appreciated.
Speaker Change: Thank you very much much appreciate it.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question is coming from Michael Lonegan from Evercore ISI. Your line is live.
Michael B. Lonegan: Thank you. Your next question is coming from Michael loan again from Evercore ISI. Your line is live.
Michael B. Lonegan: Hi, thanks for taking my question. Going back to the financing plan, you sized the $400 million of additional equity at 40% of incremental CapEx. Just wondering, you know, any incremental spending, you know, beyond that going forward, how would you expect to finance that in terms of, you know, a portion of equity?
Michael B. Lonegan: Alright, Thanks for taking my question.
Michael B. Lonegan: Going back to the finance financing plan you size, the $400 million of additional equity at 40% of incremental Capex, just wondering any incremental spending beyond that going forward.
Michael B. Lonegan: How would you expect to finance that in terms of portion of equity.
Andrew D. Cooper: Sure, and going back, Michael, Andrew... Certainly, there will be opportunities to look at our capital plan over the next few years. And as we see, for example, what projects come out of our RFPs on the generation side, and the pace of execution of our strategic transmission plan, will continue to affect that CapEx forecast. And, you know, fundamentally, I think some of the drivers I talked about earlier will determine, you know, how we fund that, don't we?
Michael B. Lonegan: Sure and ill go back Michael It's Andrew.
Andrew D. Cooper: Certainly.
Andrew D. Cooper: There will be opportunities to look at our capital plan over the next few years.
Andrew D. Cooper: As we see for example, what projects come out of our Rfps on the generation side and the pace of execution of our strategic transmission plan will continue to revisit that capex forecast and fundamentally I think some of the drivers I talked about earlier will determine how we fund that right. We want to make sure that we're staying in the right spot from our cash.
Andrew D. Cooper: We want to make sure that we're staying in the right spot from our cash flow metrics perspective, and there's a numerator question there as well on the F-foot of debt, where we want to make sure that we're reducing regulatory lag through the mechanisms Jeff just talked about to help support those credit metrics. But again, making sure we're being judicious about parent company debt. And so that 40% of incremental CapEx, that, you know, paired with retained earnings, is the way we would ensure that we maintain that, plus whatever incremental modest Pinnacle West debt we could take on is the way that we would maintain a balanced capital structure at the utility going forward.
Andrew D. Cooper: Metrics perspective, and there is a numerator question there as well on the absolute debt, where we want to make sure that we're reducing regulatory lag through the mechanisms, Jeff just talked about to help support those credit metrics, but again, making sure we're being judicious about parent company debt and so that 40% of incremental capex.
Andrew D. Cooper: That paired with retained earnings as the way, we would ensure that we maintain that plus whatever incremental modest pinnacle west that we can take on is the way that we would maintain a balanced capital structure at the utility going forward. So it's probably a good rule of thumb to think about we haven't updated the capex plan or the financing plan so until we do.
Andrew D. Cooper: So it's probably a good rule of thumb to think about. We haven't updated the CapEx plan or the financing plan. So, you know, until we do so and look at all the markets available to us, that is, everything from all of the debt markets that are available to parents, some of the low-cost financing options we've talked about in the past in our slides about continuing to look at things like, for example, the DOE lending program and where we can access low-cost financing for our customers.
Andrew D. Cooper: Do so and look at all the markets available to us that everything from all of the debt markets that are available at the parent as some of the low cost financing options. We've talked in the past in our slides about continuing to look at things like for example to do lending program and where we can access low cost financing for our customers, but foundations I think some.
Andrew D. Cooper: But foundationally, I think, some modest amount of equity to make sure that we're keeping a balanced capital structure over time is going to be one of the ways to do it. And we'll continue, both for that $400 million need and any incremental need for it, to look at all those markets.
Andrew D. Cooper: Some modest amounts of equity to make sure that we're keeping a balanced capital structure over time is going to be one of the ways to do it and we will continue both for the that $400 million needed any incremental need to continue to look at all of those markets.
Michael B. Lonegan: And then secondly from me, you know, going back to the regulatory lag, your EPS guidance forecast through 26, presumably, isn't accounting for any changes in the regulatory docket in terms of test years or formula rates. Just wondering if there's anything you could share about, you know, the earned ROE on the ACC rate base that you are assuming in guidance this year and then, you know, over the course of 25 and 26, presumably, it'll be somewhat lumpy.
Speaker Change: Great. Thank you and then secondly for me.
Michael B. Lonegan: Going back to the regulatory lag.
Michael B. Lonegan: Your EPS guidance forecasts through 2006.
Michael B. Lonegan: Presumably.
Michael B. Lonegan: So it is an accounting for any changes in the regulatory docket in terms of test years of Formula rates. Just wondering if there's anything you can share about the earned ROE.
Michael B. Lonegan: <unk> rate base.
Michael B. Lonegan: You are assuming in guidance this year and then over the course of 'twenty five 'twenty six presumably it will be somewhat lumpy.
Andrew D. Cooper: Yeah, and I think one of the things that we're trying to solve for through regulatory initiatives is that lumpiness and trying to find a way to create a smoother, more predictable flow. We believe we've got substantial customer rate headroom to be able to make the investments we need to make over time, but when we're dependent on a step function kind of rate relief to recover on them, that's really the challenge we're trying to address.
Speaker Change: Yes, and I think one of the things that we're trying to solve for it through the regulatory.
Andrew D. Cooper: <unk> is that Lumpiness and trying to find a way to create a smoother and more predictable stream. We believe we've got substantial customer rate headroom to be able to make the investments we need to make over time, but when we are dependent on step.
Andrew D. Cooper: Step function kind of rate relief to recover on and Thats really the challenge we're trying to address we've talked pretty openly about the regulatory lag that we're seeing given the historical test year construct that we're living under and the test here in the rate case that we just concluded and put rates into effect in March does that.
Andrew D. Cooper: We've talked pretty openly about the regulatory lag that we're seeing given the historical test year construct that we're living under and the test year and the rate case that we just concluded and put rates into effect in March. Those costs go back to the middle of 2021 before inflation was really starting to pick up, and we're starting to see an increase in interest rates as well. And so we are in that period right now where there is that drift around our ability to earn close to our actual ROE.
Andrew D. Cooper: As costs go back to the middle of 2021 before inflation was.
Andrew D. Cooper: Is really starting to pick up and we're starting to see an increase in interest rates as well and so we are in that period right now where.
Speaker Change: There is.
Andrew D. Cooper: Is that drift around our ability to earn close to our actual ROE while we haven't disclosed the specific number as we go through time and look at cost to go back to 'twenty one 'twenty two.
Andrew D. Cooper: While we haven't disclosed a specific number, as we go through time and look at costs that go back to 2021-2022, that definitely increases. We feel very positive about the impact that the SRB can have on creating smoothness and reducing lag.
Andrew D. Cooper: That definitely increases we feel.
Andrew D. Cooper: Very positive about the impact of the SRP can have on creating smoothness and reducing lag. If you look back to what we said in Q4 about the types of projects.
Andrew D. Cooper: If you look back to what we said in Q4 about the types of projects, You know, there are RFPs nearly yearly at this point and opportunities for us to put forward cost-competitive projects that we're building ourselves. And so between generation and transmission. 30, 40% of our capital will now have trackers and give us a much smoother, more predictable recovery. So it really comes down to those operating costs, the income statement costs, O&M depreciation, et cetera, and then any of the distribution capital that's not picked up by sales growth that we need to focus on.
Andrew D. Cooper: There's rfps nearly yearly at this point and opportunities for us to put forward cost competitive projects that we're building ourselves so between.
Andrew D. Cooper: Generation and transmission.
Andrew D. Cooper: 30%, 40% of our capital will now have trackers and give us much smoother more predictable recovery. So it really comes down to those operating costs.
Andrew D. Cooper: Income statement cost O&M, depreciation et cetera, and then any of the distribution capital that's not picked up by sales growth.
Andrew D. Cooper: And that's really the focus of these regulatory initiatives, be it the regulatory lag docket or the timing of our next rate case. And those are really the two levers we have, besides our continued focus on cost management. Our customer affordability initiatives and our lean operating culture are really the other lever that we have within our control. And I think we've demonstrated a pretty strong track record there. And we plan for 2024 to reduce our core O&M expense by a couple of percent over last year, even as we still face substantial inflation for goods and services.
Andrew D. Cooper: That we need to focus on and that's really.
Andrew D. Cooper: The focus of these regulatory initiatives be it the regulatory lag docket or the timing of our next rate case and those are really the two levers we have besides of our continued focus on cost management.
Andrew D. Cooper: Our customer affordability initiatives, our lean operating culture are really the other lever that we have within our control and I think we've demonstrated a pretty strong track record there and we plan for 2024 to reduce our core O&M expense by a couple of percent over last year, even as we still face substantial inflation.
Andrew D. Cooper: Our goods and services.
Michael B. Lonegan: And then a quick final one for me, regarding rooftop solar installations, are you expecting a continued decline in them to trickle down, you know, into residential sales growth and then the LFCR mechanism? And, you know, just wondering if you have an earnings sensitivity there.
Andrew D. Cooper: Yeah.
Speaker Change: Great. Thanks, and then a quick final one for me regarding rooftop solar installations are you expecting a continued decline in them to trickle down into residential sales growth and then I'll ask Dr mechanism and I was just wondering if you have an earning sensitivity there.
Michael B. Lonegan: Not really in the earnings sensitivity I mean, we're watching obviously as we continue to work on the structure that Arizona is adopted.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Not really earnings sensitivity. I mean, you're watching, obviously, as we continue to work on the structure that Arizona's adopted with the Resource Comparison Proxy process as that steps down. You tend to see a little bit of cyclicality as applications go up before the credit steps down because of how the grandfathering worked.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: With the resource comparison proxy.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Processes that steps down you tend to see a little bit of cyclicality as applications go up before the credit steps down because of how the grandfathering works.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: And then you see, you get a better sense of kind of where they level off. So I think we've got the information on the deck. Do you want to say anything, Andrew?
Jeffrey B. Guldner: And then you see.
Andrew: You get a better sense of kind of where they were they level off so I think we've got the information in the deck.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Andrew Yes, yes, no I would just say that if you look at our sales growth even for the quarter.
Andrew D. Cooper: Yeah. Yeah. No.
Andrew D. Cooper: I mean, I would just say that if you look at our sales growth even for the quarter, you know, we continue to see that 1.5% to 2.5% customer growth. A lot of it is offset by just the continued secular trend around energy efficiency and some distributed generation adoption. And, you know, we bake that into the plan.
Andrew D. Cooper: We continue to see that one five to two 5% customer growth a lot of it is offset by just that continued.
Andrew D. Cooper: Secular trend around energy efficiency, and and some distributed generation adoption.
Andrew D. Cooper: Baked that into the plan and we expect fairly modest out of that customer growth is fairly modest residential sales growth and certainly as we continue to monitor the trends around DG continue to monetize around electric vehicles et cetera, it will be able to refine that but effectively we have that post COVID-19 work from home period.
Andrew D. Cooper: We expect, you know, fairly modest growth out of that customer growth, and fairly modest residential sales. And certainly, as we continue to monitor the trends around DG, continue to monitor trends around electric vehicles, et cetera, we'll be able to refine that. But effectively, we have that post-COVID work from home period where we had a short window of increase in residential sales growth, substantial increases that were really just a break in what has been a secular trend in those residential declines.
Andrew D. Cooper: Where we had a short window.
Andrew D. Cooper: An increase in residential sales growth the Asia substantial increases that were really just a break in what has been a secular trend in and those residential to clients.
Andrew D. Cooper: Ultimately, it goes back to the diversification of our economy and the attraction of more residential customers to service territory, where we'll continue to see, in our forecast, some modest increases in residential sales, and how much DG offset is something that we'll just have to continue to monitor.
Andrew D. Cooper: Ultimately goes back to the diversification of our economy and the attraction more residential customers. This service territory, where we'll continue to see in our forecast from.
Andrew D. Cooper: Some modest increases in residential sales and how much DG offset said, it's something that we'll just have to continue to monitor.
Michael B. Lonegan: Great, thanks for taking my question. Thank you. Your next question is coming from...
Speaker Change: Great. Thanks for taking my question.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question is coming from Alex Mortimer from...
Speaker Change: Thank you. Your next question is coming from Alex <unk> from Mizuho. Your line is live.
Alexander Mortimer: Hi, good morning team.
Alexander Mortimer: Good morning, Alex.
Alexander Mortimer: So industry-wide, we're seeing load growth. It seems to skew more C&I, obviously, as well in your service territory. Do you expect cost of service to become a larger point of contention in future regulatory proceedings? And has Arizona taken any steps to address this?
Alexander Mortimer: So industry wide, we are seeing load growth it seems skew more C&I I mean, obviously as well in your service territory do you expect cost of services become a larger point of contention in future regulatory proceedings and as Arizona taken any steps to address this.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: That's certainly been a topic of conversation with the regulators, and I think it is something that there's a lot more attention being paid to, to recognize that if you have the cost of service done right. When you get a higher load factor customer, which is typically a C&I customer, the margin on those customers tends to be lower because you get closer to the actual cost of service, but the fixed costs, the spread of fixed costs, and the recovery of fixed costs can actually help the system, and so you've just got to be careful that you reflect that in the cost of service in a way that is appropriately recognizing that.
Alexander Mortimer: That's certainly been a.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: A topic of conversation with the regulators.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: I think it is something that there is a lot more attention being paid to one of the things to.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: To recognize if you have the cost of service done right. When you get a higher load factor customer which is typically.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: C&I customer.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: The margin on those customers tends to be lower because you get closer to the actual cost of service, but the fixed costs to spread our fixed costs and the recovery of fixed cost can.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Can actually help the system and so you just got to be careful that you reflect that in the cost of service.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: In a way that it is appropriately recognizing that and so.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: And so, in a general concept, the high load factor customers can make the system operate more efficiently. And then you've just got to be very careful in how you watch the cost of service so that incremental costs incurred to serve those customers get allocated appropriately to the cost causers, to the customers that are coming on the service. So yeah, I think you're gonna see more attention paid to the cost of service, just to make sure that we've got the balance right.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: In a in a general concept the high load factor customers can make the system operate more efficiently.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: And then you've just got to be very careful in how you watch the cost of service so the incremental cost incurred to serve those customers gifts.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: <unk> appropriately to the cost either so the customers that are coming on the system. So yeah, I think I think youre going to see more attention paid to cost of service just to make sure that we've got the balance right.
Alexander Mortimer: And then, just quickly, can you touch on any conversations you've had with either regulators or other stakeholders, either at a national or state level, just surrounding the wildfire issue? And are there any specific goals for these conversations as we see the entire industry and certainly the western part of the country try to work towards a solution?
Speaker Change: Understood. Thanks for that and then just quickly can you touch on any conversations you've had with either regulators or other stakeholders either at a national or state level just surrounding the wildfire issue.
Alexander Mortimer: Are there any specific goals with these conversations as we see the entire industry and certainly the western part of the country.
Alexander Mortimer: To work towards a solution.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Yeah, there's extensive conversations that go on on a number of different fronts, and it's not just in the western U.S. We've seen fire situations all over the country, and so these conversations you see, for example, in the... Some of the Wildfire Task Force groups, you see a lot more eastern utilities that are participating in what used to just be a conversation among the western utilities. There's a significant amount of technical work that's being done at EPRI to work through some of the technical solutions for wildfires. There's a significant amount of sharing. I'll call out PG&E.
Speaker Change: Yes, there is extensive conversations that go on in a number of different fronts and.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: And it's not just in the Western U S. We've seen fire situations coming really.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: All over the country and so these conversations you see for example in the some.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Some of the wildfire task force groups, you'll see a lot more eastern utilities that are participating in what used to just be a conversation among the western utilities.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: There is a significant amount of technical work thats being done at every.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: To work through some of the technical solutions on wildfire Theres, a significant amount of sharing.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: They are remarkably constructive in terms of helping to share the work that they're doing, and that's really true for all the utilities in the West. And so the California folks have obviously been at the front of the spear for this. They're very open about sharing those lessons and what's working for them, and what technology solutions are available there. So it's certainly not, there's certainly a robust conversation that's happening really at all levels.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: I'll call out <unk>, they're remarkably.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: <unk> in terms of helping to share.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: That theyre doing and and and.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: And that's really true for all the utilities in the west and so the California folks have obviously been in the front tip of the spear.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: For this they are very open about sharing those lessons and what's working for them and what technology solutions are available there. So it's certainly not.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Theres certainly a robust conversation that's happening really at all levels regulators are getting much more attuned to this we've had very constructive.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Regulators are, I think, getting much more attuned to this. We've had very constructive... Workshops here in Arizona with our regulators and, most importantly, with customers. Particularly as you start looking at the PSPS-type programs, you want to be as far in front of that as you can with customers so that they understand what's going on and can take measures to prepare for that. And then there's also conversations happening on the insurance side to try to figure out how you get better insurance.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Workshops here in Arizona with our regulators and then most importantly with customers, particularly as you start looking at the <unk> type program. So you ought to be.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: As far in front of that as you can with customers so that.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: They understand what's going to take measures to prepare for that.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: And then there's also conversations happening on the insurance side to try to figure out how do you get better insurance are there is there a role for the federal government to play.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: Is there a role for the federal government to play in that? Yes, and so I'd say there are a lot of work streams that are all aligned on trying to support the wildfire work that we're all doing.
Jeffrey B. Guldner: And that and so I'd say there is there are a lot of work streams that are all aligning on trying to support the wildfire work that we're all doing.
Alexander Mortimer: Wonderful. Thank you so much and congratulations on the great product.
Speaker Change: Wonderful thanks, so much and congrats on the great quarter.
Speaker Change: Yeah. Thanks, Alex.
Operator: Thank you. That concludes our Q&A session. Everyone, this concludes today's event. You may disconnect at this time. Have a wonderful day. Thank you for your participation.
Speaker Change: Thank you that completes our Q&A session everyone. This concludes today's event you may disconnect at this time and have a wonderful day.
Operator: You for your participation.