Q2 2024 Encompass Health Corp Earnings Call
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Operator: Please stand by. Your program is about to begin. If you need assistance during your conference call today, please press star zero. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Encompass Health's second quarter 2024 earnings conference call.
Speaker Change: Please stand by, your program is about to begin. If you need assistance during your conference today, please press star zero.
Speaker Change: Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Encompass Health's second quarter 2024 earnings conference call. At this time, I would like to inform all participants that their lines will be in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer period.
Operator: At this time, I would like to inform all participants that their lines will be in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer period. If you would like to ask a question during this time, please press Star 1 on your telephone keypad. You will be limited to one question and one follow-up. This conference call is being recorded. If you have any objections, you may disconnect at this time. I will now turn the call over to Mark Miller, Encompass Health's Chief Investor Relations Officer. Please go ahead.
Speaker Change: If you would like to ask a question during this time, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. You will be limited to one question and one follow-up.
Speaker Change: Today's conference call is being recorded. If you have any objections, you may disconnect at this time.
Mark Miller: I will now turn the call over to Mark Miller, Encompass Health's Chief Investor Relations Officer. Please go ahead.
Mark Miller: Thank you, Operator, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining Encompass Health's second quarter 2024 earnings call. Before we begin, if you do not already have a copy, the second quarter earnings release, supplemental information, and related Form 8K filed with the SEC are available on our website at encompasshealth.com. On page 2 of the Supplemental Information, you will find the Safe Harbor Statements, which are also set forth in greater detail on the last page of the Earnings. During the call, we will make forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control.
Mark Miller: Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining Encompass Health's second quarter 2024 earnings call.
Mark Miller: Certain risks and uncertainties, like those relating to regulatory developments, as well as volume, bad debt, and labor cost trends that could cause actual results to differ materially from our projections, estimates, and expectations, are discussed in the company's SEC filings, including the earnings release and related Form 8K. The Form 10K for the year ended December 31, 2023, The Form 10Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2024, and the Form 10Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2024, when filed.
Speaker Change: Before we begin, if you do not already have a copy, the second quarter earnings release, supplemental information, and related Form 8K filed with the SEC are available on our website at EncompassHealth.com.
Speaker Change: On page 2 of the supplemental information, you will find the Safe Harbor Statements, which are also set forth in greater detail on the last page of the earnings release.
Speaker Change: During the call, we will make forward-looking statements which are subject to risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control.
Speaker Change: certain risks and uncertainties like those relating to regulatory developments
Speaker Change: as well as volume, bad debts, and labor cost trends.
Speaker Change: that could cause actual results to differ materially from our projections, estimates.
Speaker Change: and expectations are discussed in the company's SEC filings, including the earnings release and related Form 8K, the Form 10K for the year ended December 31st, 2023, the Form 10Q for the quarter ended March 31st, 2024, and the Form 10Q for the quarter ended June 30th, 2024, when filed.
Mark Miller: We encourage you to read them. However, your caution not to place undue reliance on the estimates, projections, guidance, and other forward-looking information presented, which are based on current estimates of future events and speak only as to today. We do not undertake a duty to update these forward-looking statements. Our supplemental information and discussion on this call will include certain non-GAAP financial measures. For such measures, reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP measure is available at the end of the supplemental information, at the end of the earnings release, and as part of the Form 8K filed yesterday with the SEC, all of which are available on our website.
Speaker Change: We encourage you to read them.
Speaker Change: Your caution not to place undue reliance on the estimates, projections, guidance, and other forward-looking information presented, which are based on current estimates of the future events and speak only as to today. We do not undertake a duty to update these forward-looking statements.
Speaker Change: Our supplemental information and discussion on this call will include certain non-GAAP financial measures.
Speaker Change: For such measures, reconciliation to the most directly comparable gap measure is available at the end of the supplemental information, at the end of the earnings release, and as part of the Form 8K filed yesterday with the SEC, all of which are available on our website.
Mark Miller: I would like to remind everyone that we will adhere to the one question and one follow-up question rule to allow everyone to submit a question. If you have additional questions, please feel free to put yourself back in the queue. With that, I'll turn the call over to Mark Tarr, Encompass Health's President and Chief Executive Officer. Thank you, Mark.
Speaker Change: I would like to remind everyone that we will adhere to the one question and one follow-up question rule to allow everyone to submit a question. If you have additional questions, please feel free to put yourself back in the queue. With that, I'll turn the call over to Mark Tarr, Encompass Health's President and Chief Executive Officer.
Mark Tarr: Thank you, Mark, and good morning, everyone. We are pleased with our second quarter performance, as strong discharge growth facilitated an increase of 9.6% in revenue and 8.9% in adjusted EBITDA. Total discharges for Q2 increased 6.7%, including 4.8% in the same store. Our discharge growth continues to be broad-based across geographies, payers, and patient types. Neurological Conditions and Stroke, our two most common primary conditions treated, grew 6.3% and 6.6%, respectively, while smaller categories including other orthopedic conditions, Major Multiple Trauma, and Knee and Hip Replacement experienced a double-digit increase.
Mark Tarr: Thank you, Mark, and good morning, everyone. We are pleased with our second quarter performance, as strong discharge growth facilitated an increase of 9.6% in revenue and 8.9% in adjusted EBITDA.
Mark Tarr: Within our payer mix, Medicare discharges increased 7.2% for the quarter, while Medicare Advantage discharges grew 9.6% for the quarter. Owing largely to our Q2 results, we are again increasing our 2024 guidance. Doug will cover the details of the quarter and increase guidance in his comments.
Mark Tarr: Demand for EARTH services remains strong, and we are continuing to invest in capacity to meet the needs of patients requiring inpatient rehabilitation services. During Q2, we added 194 beds to our capacity. [inaudible] 140-Bed Satellite Hospital and the addition of 24 beds to existing hospitals. In July, we expanded into a new state for our company as we opened a 50-bed hospital in Johnston, Rhode Island. Over the balance of the year, we expect to open two additional De Novos with a total of 100 beds and add approximately 30 more beds to existing hospitals.
Speaker Change: Demand for EARTH services remains strong and we are continuing to invest in capacity additions to meet the needs of patients requiring inpatient rehabilitation services.
Mark Tarr: We are continuing the expansion of our joint venture partnership with Piedmont, the leading health care system in the state of Georgia. In May, we opened a 40-bed IRF unit within Piedmont's Atlanta Hospital. In July, we expanded the relationship further by adding our existing 70-bed hospital in Augusta, Georgia. Our joint venture relationship with Piedmont now includes six open hospitals and the previously announced plans to build hospitals in Athens and Loganville, Georgia. With 15 development projects beyond 2024 already announced and underway, our pipeline remains robust and balanced between wholly owned and joint ventures.
Speaker Change: In May, we opened a 40-bed IRF unit within Piedmont's Atlanta Hospital.
Speaker Change: Our joint venture relationship with Piedmont now includes six open hospitals and the previously announced plans to build hospitals in Athens and Loganville, Georgia.
Speaker Change: With 15 development projects beyond 2024 already announced and underway, our pipeline remains robust and balanced between wholly owned and joint ventures.
Mark Tarr: We also recently made the decision to undertake a major ERP conversion from predominantly an Oracle PeopleSoft platform to Oracle Fusion. The conversion is intended to create a highly capable and sustainable cloud-based ERP infrastructure to support the future growth of our company and facilitate our culture of continuous operational improvement. Fusion includes specialized supply chain solutions for healthcare organizations that represent an upgrade from the functionality within our current system. Other Key Fusion Modules
Speaker Change: Fusion includes specialized supply chain solutions for healthcare organizations that represent an upgrade from the functionality within our current system.
Mark Tarr: It includes financial and human capital management processes. We are pleased to have identified a solution that allows us to maintain and build upon our strategic relationship with Oracle, and we have engaged a leading consulting firm to assist us with the design and implementation of Fusion. Our efforts in this regard began in earnest in Q2, and we expect to go live sometime late in 2025.
Speaker Change: Other key Fusion modules include Financial and Human Capital Management Processes.
Speaker Change: We are pleased to have identified a solution that allows us to maintain and build upon our strategic relationship with Oracle and we have engaged a leading consulting firm to assist us with the design and implementation of Fusion.
Speaker Change: Our efforts in this regard began in earnest in Q2 and we expect to go live sometime late in 2025.
Mark Tarr: During the quarter, we also resumed activity under our share repurchase authorization, buying back approximately 200,000 shares of our common stock for approximately $17 million. In July, we announced an increase in our share repurchase authorization to $500 million. We also announced an increase in the company's quarterly dividend, next payable in October, of approximately 13% to 17 cents per share. On July 31st, 2024, CMS released the 2025 IRF Final Rule.
Speaker Change: We also announced an increase in the company's quarterly dividend, next payable in October, of approximately 13% to $0.17 per share.
Speaker Change: On July 31st, 2024, CMS released the 2025 IRF Final Rule.
Mark Tarr: This included a net market basket update of 3%, which we estimate would result in an approximately 3.3% increase for our IRFs beginning October 1st, 2024, based on our current patient mix. Across our more than 160 inpatient rehabilitation hospitals, we are providing high-quality, cost-effective care to medically complex patients. Our dedicated clinical teams work collaboratively with physicians to administer this care, producing leading scores in patient satisfaction and quality outcomes. This value proposition increasingly resonates with patients.
Speaker Change: Across our more than 160 inpatient rehabilitation hospitals, we are providing high-quality, cost-effective care to medically complex patients.
Mark Tarr: Caregiver. Referral Sources, and PAIRS. The demand for Inpatient Rehabilitation Services remains considerably underserved and continues to grow as the U.S. population ages. We intend to continue to expand our capacity and capabilities to help meet this goal. Now I'll turn it over to Doug.
Speaker Change: The demand for inpatient rehabilitation services remains considerably underserved and continues to grow as the U.S. population ages.
Doug: Thanks Mark. Good morning everyone.
Speaker Change: Now I'll turn it over to Doug.
Doug: Thanks, Mark. Good morning, everyone. We are pleased to report another really solid quarter with Q2 revenue increasing 9.6 percent, driving 8.9 percent adjusted EBITDA growth.
Doug: We are pleased to report another really solid quarter with Q2 revenue increasing 9.6% driving 8.9% adjusted EBITDA. The revenue increase resulted primarily from discharge growth of 6.7%, including 4.8% same-store growth. I'll note this marks eight consecutive quarters of same-store discharge growth exceeding 4%. However, new store growth in Q2 was impacted by the timing of the Novo Open. Specifically, we had two openings in Q1 of 23, which therefore rolled into the same store beginning in Q2, 24, and our first DeNovo openings this year did not occur until mid-Q2.
Doug: Specifically, we had two openings in Q1 of 23, which therefore rolled into same store beginning in Q2, 24.
Doug: And our first de novo openings this year did not occur until mid-Q2.
Doug: Revenue growth in Q2 also included a $10.3 million increase in provider tax revenue. Our net revenue for discharge in Q2 increased 2%. Lower than anticipated, primarily due to an increase in bad debt expense as a percent of revenue to 2.9%. The largest factor leading to the increase in bad debt expense was an increase in medical necessity claim review audits. To elaborate, we experienced a low level of TPE audits from our primary MAC, Palmetto, from Q3-23 through Q1-21.
Doug: Revenue growth in Q2 also included a $10.3 million increase in provider tax revenues.
Doug: Our net revenue per discharge in Q2 increased 2%, lower than anticipated, primarily due to an increase in bad debt expense as a percent of revenue to 2.9%.
Doug: The largest factor leading to the increase in bad debt expense was an increase in medical necessity claim review audits.
Doug: To elaborate, we had experienced a low level of TPE audits from our primary MAC, Palmetto, from Q3-23 through Q1-24.
Doug: TP audits by Palmetto ramped up significantly in Q2, and our practice is to establish reserves when a claim is submitted for review. The increase in medical necessity claim review audits in Q2 also includes initial appeals of non-affirmed claims under the RCD. We are still early in the stages of RCD, and few of the appealed claims have yet to be resolved.
Doug: The increase in medical necessity claim review audits in Q2 also includes initial appeals of non-affirmed claims under RCD.
Doug: We are still early in the stages of RCD and few of the appealed claims have yet to be resolved.
Doug: Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 increased 8.9% to approximately $272 million, inclusive of an approximately $5 million benefit from Net Provider Tax Revenue. Total premium labor expense for Q2 was $32.6 million, and contract labor FTEs were 1.6% of total. These metrics are consistent with our expectations of a stabilizing labor market.
Doug: Adjusted EBITDA on Q2 increased 8.9% to approximately $272 million, inclusive of an approximately $5 million benefit from net provider tax revenues.
Doug: Total premium labor expense for Q2 was 32.6 million dollars and contract labor FTEs were 1.6 percent of total.
Doug: These metrics are consistent with our expectations of a stabilizing labor market.
Doug: We continue to generate significant free cash. Adjusted free cash flow increased 14.7% to $142.5 million, bringing our year-to-date total to $310.1 million. We expect full-year adjusted free cash flow of $495 to $580 million. Our leverage and liquidity remain very favorable. Net leverage at quarter end was 2.5 times compared to 2.7 times at year end. We ended the second quarter with $154.4 million in unrestricted cash and with no amounts drawn on our $1 billion revolving credit.
Doug: We continue to generate significant free cash flow.
Doug: Adjusted free cash flow increased 14.7% to $142.5 million, bringing our year-to-date total to $310.1 million.
Doug: We expect full year adjusted free cash flow of $495 to $580 million.
Doug: Our leverage and liquidity remain very favorable.
Doug: Net leverage at quarter-end was 2.5 times compared to 2.7 times year-end.
Doug: We ended the second quarter with $154.4 million in unrestricted cash and with no amounts drawn on our $1 billion revolving credit facility.
Doug: In July, reflective of the strength and consistency of our performance, Moody's upgraded our Corporate Family Rating from BA3 to BA2 and our Unsecured Notes Rating from B1 to BA2. We also issued notice for the redemption of $150 million of our 5.75% senior notes maturing in 2025 with a settlement date of August 15. As Mark mentioned, during Q2, we resumed activity under our share repurchase authorization, repurchasing 198,708 shares for $16.8 million, and in July, we increased our share repurchase authorization to 500 million and declared a cash dividend of 17 cents per share.
Doug: In July, reflective of the strength and consistency in our performance, Moody's upgraded our corporate family rating from BA3 to BA2 and our unsecured notes rating from B1 to BA2.
Doug: We also issued notice for the redemption of $150 million of our 5.75% senior notes due to 2025 with a settlement date of August 15th.
Doug: As Mark mentioned, during Q2, we resumed activity under our share repurchase authorization, repurchasing 198,708 shares for $16.8 million.
Speaker Change: And in July, we increased our share repurchase authorization to $500 million and declared a cash dividend of $0.17 per share.
Doug: We are, again, raising our 2024 guidance. We now assume net operating revenue in a range of $5.275 to $5.350 billion. The adjusted EBITDA in a range of 1.04 to 1.075 billion and Adjusted Earnings Per Share of $3.97 to $4.22. The key considerations underlying our guidance can be found on page 12 of the supplemental slides, and I want to take a moment to note several. Additionally, we have updated our Medicare pricing assumption for Q4, reflecting the IRF final rule released last week, and now expect a 3.3% Medicare pricing increase.
Speaker Change: We are again raising our 2024 guidance.
Mark: We now assume net operating revenue with a range of $5.275 to $5.350 billion.
Mark: adjusted EBITDA in a range of $1.04 to $1.075 billion.
Mark: and Adjusted Earnings Per Share of $3.97 to $4.22.
Speaker Change: The key considerations underlying our guidance can be found on page 12 of the supplemental slides, and I want to take a moment to note several updates.
Speaker Change: We have updated our Medicare pricing assumption for Q4, reflecting the IRF final rule released last week, and now expect a 3.3% Medicare pricing increase.
Doug: Our assumption for full year 2024 bad debt reserves has increased to 2.4 to 2.6 percent of revenue, primarily due to the increase in medical necessity claim review audits experienced in Q2. We continue to anticipate $15 to $18 million of de novo net preopening and ramp-up costs for 2024. Q2 net pre-opening and ramp-up costs were $6.9 million, bringing our year-to-date cost to $8.7 million. Oracle Fusion conversion costs in the second half of 2024 are expected to approximate $2.5 million. The addition of our existing Augusta, Georgia hospital to the joint venture with Piedmont. And with that, we'll open the lines for Q&A.
Speaker Change: Our assumption for full year 2024 bad debt reserves has increased to 2.4 to 2.6 percent of revenue, primarily due to the increase in medical necessity claim review audits experienced in Q2.
Speaker Change: We continue to anticipate $15 to $18 million of de novo net pre-opening and ramp-up costs for 2024.
Speaker Change: Q2 net pre-opening and ramp-up costs were $6.9 million, bringing our year-to-date cost to $8.7 million.
Speaker Change: Oracle Fusion conversion costs in the second half of 2024 are expected to approximate $2.5 million.
Speaker Change: The addition of our existing Augusta, Georgia hospital to the joint venture with Piedmont is expected to increase income attributable to non-controlling interest, or NCI, in the second half of 2024 by approximately $3.5 million.
Speaker Change: And with that we'll open the lines for Q&A.
Operator: At this time, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. You may remove yourself from the queue at any time by pressing star 2.
Speaker Change: You may remove yourself from the queue at any time by pressing star 2.
Operator: We ask that you please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. Once again, that is star number one to ask a question. We'll take our first question from Whit Mayo with LeRinc Partners.
Speaker Change: We ask that you please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up.
Speaker Change: Once again, that is star 1 to ask a question.
Speaker Change: We'll take our first question from Whit Mayo with LeRinc Partners.
Whit Mayo: Good morning, Wade. Hey.
Whit Mayo: Morning guys, maybe just first on Doug on the higher bad debt, how was that versus expectations, thoughts on the back half, and how you've incorporated that into the guide on maybe a dollar basis just given the higher audits, and are these higher audits actually higher than what you expected? Thanks.
Whit Mayo: Good morning, Wade.
Whit Mayo: Morning guys. Maybe just first on the, Doug, on the higher bad debt, how was that versus expectations, thoughts on the back half?
Whit Mayo: How you've incorporated that into the guide on maybe a dollar basis just given the higher audits And are these higher audits actually higher than what you expected? Thanks
Doug: It's a little hard to predict the activity under TPE. The single largest factor here was the TPE audits with Palmetto. And as I tried to outline in my comments, those tend to be a little bit lumpy.
Speaker Change: It's a little hard to predict the activity under TPE. The single largest factor here were the TPE audits with Palmetto. And as I tried to outline in my comments, those tend to be a little bit lumpy.
Doug: So after several quarters where there wasn't much activity there, Palmetto selected, which they were entitled to do, 20 claims from each of the hospitals within their jurisdiction. And because our practice is to establish a reserve immediately when a claim is selected for review and before it's been processed, In Q2, you saw the accumulation of the reserve for all of those claims selected by Palmetto, although very few of them had been processed. What we've witnessed since the end of the second quarter is that more of those claims are getting processed with a favorable resolution, and new claims have not been selected. And so that really kind of informs our outlook for the balance of the year.
Speaker Change: And because our practice is to establish a reserve immediately when the claim is selected for review and before it's been processed,
Speaker Change: In Q2, you saw the accumulation of the reserve for all of those claims selected by Palmetto, although very few of them had been processed.
Speaker Change: And what we've witnessed since the end of the second quarter is that more of those claims are getting processed with a favorable resolution and new claims have not been selected.
Speaker Change: And so that really kind of informs our outlook for the balance of the year.
Whit Mayo: Okay. Maybe just to follow up, we can talk about that offline, but just, Doug, buybacks, you presumed a little bit more activity, maybe not a question on the quarter or the year, but just how you think about, Buybacks becoming a larger part of the uses of cash in the future, it wasn't a large amount in the quarter was something, I know the authorization was nudged up to $500 million, just want to kind of think how you're sort of evaluating buybacks on a go forward basis.
Speaker Change: Okay.
Speaker Change: Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services and the host
Doug: Yeah, we think, you know, as we had talked about previously, we really kind of cross a Rubicon with regard to cash flow in 2023, where we begin generating free cash flow above the level that is required to fund all of our discretionary CapEx. And at the same time, our leverage has been coming down predominantly based on the year over year increases in EBIT.
Speaker Change: across Arubicon with regard to cash flow in 2023.
Doug: So that gives us the capacity to allocate free cash flow to other uses. And, you know, we've stated pretty consistently that we think that the best additional use beyond capacity expansions is shareholder distributions. We have tended to like a balanced approach between share purchase activity and an increase in the dividend. I think you saw the initial moves in that direction in Q2. And with the increased authorization, we would expect to see kind of that become a more stable utilization of our allocation of our free cash. We don't have a specific time frame in mind over which we intend to use that authorization, but it was put in place for us to use.
Speaker Change: between sharing purchase activity and an increase in the dividend. I think you saw the initial
Speaker Change: We don't have a specific timeframe in mind over which we intend to use that authorization.
Mark Tarr: Yeah, this is Mark. I mean, this is a common and frequent discussion from our board in terms of how to use this free cash and how best to share it with our shareholders.
Mark Tarr: Yeah, this is Mark.
Operator: Our next question comes from A.J. Rice with UBS.
A.J. Rice: Morning, AJ. Hi everybody.
Speaker Change: Our next question comes from AJ Rice with UBS.
A.J. Rice: Hi everybody. I know you reiterated your cost figures for SWB per FTE up 4-5%. I'm seeing contract labor up sequentially a little bit. I mean, we're not seeing that, you know, from the acute guys and all of that, but maybe that's due to your incremental bed capacity and bridging to get permanent people, or what's going on there? Anything else to call out on labor?
AJ Rice: We're not seeing that from the acute guys and all of that, but maybe that's due to your incremental bed capacity and bridging to get permanent people, or what's going on there, and anything else to call out on labor?
Doug: You know, I think with regard to premium labor, it's consistent with the story we've told for the last several quarters, in which we felt like we were at a roughly stabilized level. I do think it is important to note that we're keeping the prices level at the same time that our volume continues to grow, not just in the new stores but with that same store growth again, eight consecutive quarters of same store discharge growth exceeding 4%.
Speaker Change: You know, I think with regard to the premium labor, it's consistent with the story we've told the last several quarters, which we felt like we were at
Speaker Change: Again, eight consecutive quarters of same-store discharge growth exceeding four percent.
Doug: So, we don't necessarily think that there will be much near-term leverage against those, although we continue to focus on trying to bring that down. We seem to have stabilized at roughly 1.5 to 1.6 percent of FTE. I think in terms of the assumption of SWB being up 4 to 5% a year, we were up 3.5% for the first half of the year, so that would suggest we'd have to be up kind of in the higher end of that 4 to 5% range to get the full year there.
Speaker Change: We seem to have stabilized at roughly 1.5 to 1.6 percent of FTEs.
Speaker Change: I think in the in terms of the assumption of
Doug: And so there may be some conservatism built into that assumption, but we think just given some of the uncertainty with regard to labor market conditions and the fact that it can change, particularly on a geographic market by geographic market basis, it was prudent to leave the assumption there.
Speaker Change: but we think just given some of the uncertainty with regard to labor market conditions and the fact that it can change particularly on a Geographic market by market basis that it was prudent to leave the assumption there
Doug: Hey Jay, that contract labor, so 50% of the spend was within 13 hospitals for Q2. So it's within a small percentage of our hospitals and just some of those marketplaces that remain a bit of a challenge.
Jay: Hey Jay, that contract labor, so 50% of the spend was within 13 hospitals for Q2, so it's within a small percentage of our hospitals and just some of those marketplaces that remain still a bit of a challenge.
Doug: And, you know, John, with regard to the philosophy around being proactive with regard to market adjustments, again, that really has served us well. Our turnover levels for both nursing and therapy were again very favorable in Q2, and we continue to have great success with net new RN hires. So that's the tradeoff against a somewhat higher inflation level on SWB. We think it's probably a good one.
Speaker Change: And, you know, with regard to the philosophy around being proactive with regard to market adjustments, again, that really has served us well. Our turnover.
Speaker Change: for both nursing and therapy were, again, very favorable in Q2 and we continue to have great success at net new RN hires. So, you know, that's the tradeoff against a somewhat higher inflation level on SWB. We think it's probably a good one.
A.J. Rice: Okay. I noticed you continue to see growth at about a half a percentage point on your revenue mix in Medicare Advantage, and what you call traditional managed care is a little down, about half a percent. Otherwise, you're pretty stable.
Speaker Change: Okay, I noticed
Speaker Change: You continue to see growth at about a half a percentage point on your revenue mix in.
Speaker Change: Medicare Advantage and what you call traditional managed care is a little down about half a percent. Otherwise, you're pretty stable. Anything to call out there? Any, I mean, I know we got underlying growth and Medicare Advantage enrollment. Is that?
Doug: Anything to call out there? I mean, I know we've got underlying growth in Medicare Advantage enrollment. Is that basically what's driving that? Or anything contracting-wise to call out?
Speaker Change: basically was driving that, or anything contracting-wise to call out.
Doug: Now, you know, I think it really is just kind of tracking the overall market growth. We do feel like we continue to make good inroads with Medicare Advantage plans. 90 percent of our contracted Medicare Advantage revenue is on an episodic versus a per diem basis. And once again, we were just at about a three percent discount in the overall Medicare Advantage book to Medicare from pricing. We feel good about what's happening there and about the way our value proposition is responding with that payer, as we've said before, you know.
Speaker Change: 90% of our contracted Medicare Advantage revenue is on an episodic versus a per diem basis. And once again, we were just at about a 3% discount in the overall book of Medicare Advantage to Medicare from a pricing perspective.
Speaker Change: So feel good about what's happening there and about the way our value proposition is resonating with that payer class.
Doug: As we've said before, a large percentage of the cases that we see through Medicare Advantage are stroke programs and those programs that are for more medically complex patients, which is really an area that we feel we've developed as a sweet spot in our ability to provide that value proposition to get those patients back to their communities.
Speaker Change: more medically complex patients which is really an area that we feel we've developed as a sweet spot in our ability to to provide that value proposition to get those patients back to the communities.
Operator: We'll take our next question from Andrew Mok with Barclays. Please go ahead.
Andrew Mok: Morning, Andrew. Good morning, Andrew.
Speaker Change: We'll take our next question from Andrew Mauck with Barclays. Please go ahead. Good morning, Andrew.
Andrew Mok: Hi, good morning. First, can you just clarify what the startup cost number was for the quarter? And then I wanted to follow up on the guidance components. It looks like there's an implied deceleration in the back half, even though the bad debt increase is largely impacting 2Q, and it looks like SWB per FTE is tracking below the low end of your guidance in the first half. So any other items that we need to consider in the back half for guidance? Thanks.
Andrew Mauck: Hi, good morning.
Doug: Okay, so first on the pre-opening ramp-up cost: in the quarter, $6.9 million. Year-to-date, $8.7 million; full-year assumption unchanged at $15 to $18 million. You know, in the second half, I think the things that we would call out are the Oracle Fusion conversion costs and the NCI impact from adding our Augusta Hospital to the Piedmont joint venture. And then we do, based on that 4 to 5% SWB increase for the full year and the fact that we ran at 3.5% for the first half of the year, that would suggest a potentially higher rate of inflation in the second. We don't know if that'll come to fruition, and that's why I mentioned earlier there may be some conservatism to that assumption, but we think it's prudent to leave it there.
Speaker Change: Okay, so first on the pre-opening ramp-up cost. In the quarter, $6.9 million. Year to date, $8.7 million. Full year assumption unchanged at $15 to $18 million.
Speaker Change: And then we do, based on that 4-5% SWB increase for the full year and the fact that we ran at 3.5% for the first half of the year, that would suggest a potentially higher rate of inflation in the second half.
Speaker Change: We don't know if that will come to fruition, and that's why I mentioned earlier there may be some conservatism to that assumption, but we think it's prudent to leave it there at this point.
Andrew Mok: And if I could just follow up on the second point, this is the second quarter in a row that we've seen some provider tax revenue flowing through the outpatient and other side of the business. Can you help us understand your exposure to these programs more broadly and whether or not you have exposure on the inpatient side? Thanks.
Speaker Change: Great. If I could just follow up, this is the second quarter in a row that we've seen some provider tax revenue flowing through the outpatient and other side of the business. Can you help us understand your exposure to these programs more broadly and whether or not you have exposure on the inpatient side? Thanks.
Doug: It's very volatile and very difficult to predict. Most states have some form of a program that's out there.
Speaker Change: It's very volatile and very difficult to predict. Most states have some form of program that's out there.
Doug: You don't get a lot of visibility into what your participation is going to be. There tends to be a time lag based on the state's fiscal year, which doesn't, in most instances, align with our fiscal year. So it can be really lumpy. If you look at last year, you know, in the first two quarters, it was negligible. So, some of this is out of period, and some of it is in period. Kind of a long-winded way of saying that it's just really hard to predict and, As a result, it's very difficult for us to incorporate it into any of our guides.
Speaker Change: You don't get a lot of visibility into what your participation is going to be. There tends to be a time lag based on the state's fiscal year, which doesn't, in most instances, doesn't align with our fiscal year. So it can be really lumpy. If you look at last year,
Speaker Change: In the first two quarters, it was negligible.
Speaker Change: And so some of this is out of period, some of it is in period. It's kind of a long-winded way of saying that it's just, it's really hard to predict and it's
Speaker Change: As a result, it's very difficult for us to incorporate it into any of our guides.
Operator: Our next question comes from Peter Chickering with Deutsche Bank.
Peter Chickering: Hey, good morning, guys.
Speaker Change: Our next question comes from Peto Chickering with Deutsche Bank.
Peter Chickering: So, looking at the changes from the previous guidance versus the updated guidance, I estimate about $23 million of headwinds coming from Oracle, the JV sale, and bad debt, and about $8 million of tailwinds coming from Medicare pricing and provider tax EBITDA. So, if I think about your raiser guidance by $24 million with a $14 million negative impact from the headwinds, the net headwinds, is that a good way to think about your guidance change?
Peto Chickering: Hey, good morning guys.
Peto Chickering: Looking at the changes from the previous guidance versus the updated guidance, I estimate about $23 million of headwinds coming from Oracle.
Peto Chickering: of the JV sale and bad debt, about $8 million of tailwinds coming from Medicare pricing and provider tax EBITDA. So if I think about your raise and your guidance by $24 million with a $14 million negative impact from the headwinds, the net headwinds, is that a good way of thinking about your guidance change?
Doug: Yeah, so I'll give you the math in the way that I've been thinking about it, Peto, and so I'm now focused on the EBIDTA guidance at the midpoint, for lack of a better starting point. And so from our initial guidance, it's up 22.5 million. But to your point, there have been tailwinds and headwinds that were not included in that initial guidance. So in terms of the tailwinds, we had a provider tax impact on EBITDA for the first half of $10 million.
Peto Chickering: Yeah, so I'll give you the math kind of the way that I'm thinking about it, Peto. And so I'm now focused on the EBIDTA guidance at the midpoint, for lack of a better starting point.
Speaker Change: And so, from our initial guidance, it's up 22.5 million. But to your point, there have been tailwinds and headwinds that were not included in that initial guidance.
Speaker Change: So, in terms of the tailwinds, we've had provider tax impact on EBITDA for the first half of $10 million. We also had positive insurance accrual adjustments that weren't factored into our initial guidance of $6 million. So that's $16 million.
Doug: We also had positive insurance accrual adjustments that weren't factored into our initial guidance of $6 million. So that's $16 million. Offsetting that, if you go to the midpoint on the revised... [inaudible] Just the midpoint of the EBITDA guide has gone up by $27.5 or $28 million, and really all of that has been attributable to the strength and volume that we saw in the first half of the year.
Speaker Change: Offsetting that, if you go to the midpoint on the revised bad debt range, it's about a $16 million impact. And then the Piedmont and Fusion together are $5 million, so that's $21 million. So a net headwind of $5 million would be...
Speaker Change: which would suggest the midpoint of the EBITDA guide has gone up by $27.5 or $28 million. And really all of that has been attributable to the strength and volume that we saw in the first half of the year.
Peter Chickering: Okay, got it. And then, looking at the back half of the year, with your economic revenue guide, it's not changing that much, I guess. Where are you seeing sort of better core margin leverage versus your previous leverage?
Speaker Change: Okay, got it. And then, so, looking at the back half of the year, with your, you know, the revenue guide, it's not changing that much. I guess, where are you seeing sort of better core margin leverage versus your previous leverage?
Peter Chickering: I'm sorry, I didn't understand that last question. Could you give me that last question again? I didn't quite understand that. Oh, so apologies. I guess, you know, I guess back to sort of the guidance.
Speaker Change: Thanks.
Peter Chickering: Oh, so apologies. I guess, you know, I guess so back to sort of the guidance question, you're not changing your revenue guidance that much. So implying that you're seeing better core margin in the back half of the year as compared to your previous guidance, I guess, you know, is that how we should be thinking about just better margins versus your revenues not going up that much in the back half of the year?
Speaker Change: I'm sorry, Peto, could you give me that last question again? I didn't quite get there.
Speaker Change: Oh, so apologies. I guess, you know, I guess so back to sort of the guidance question.
Douglas Goldstein: Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services and the host of the Goldstein on Gelt radio show.
Peter Chickering: I'm sorry, Peter. I kind of had trouble following that again. I might be a little slow this morning.
Speaker Change: I'm sorry, Peter. I kind of had trouble following that again. I might be a little slow this morning.
Peter Chickering: What is the cost of building a new facility in 2024 versus 2023? Has the ROIC for building de novo gotten better as inflationary pressures have come down in the last year? Yeah. And so, you know, you're always looking.
Speaker Change: Oh, I don't think apologies actually.
Speaker Change: De Novo, what's it cost to build a new facility in 2024 versus 2023, I guess? Has the RRIC for building De Novo gotten better as inflationary pressures have come down in the last year? Thanks.
Doug: Yeah, and so you know, you're always looking forward about three years because the first time an idea about a new de novo pops into our head to the time it gets open is roughly a two-and-a-half to three-year time horizon. Right now, we've seen costs really hang in there pretty well at that $1.2 million per bed that we've been talking about for a while. That's for de novo activity
Douglas Coltharp: Douglas Coltharp, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services and the host of the Goldstein on Gelt radio show. He is a licensed financial professional both in the U.S. and Israel. Securities offered through Portfolio Resources Group, Inc., Member FINRA, SIPC, MSRB, NFA,
Speaker Change: The first time an idea about a new de novo pops into our head until the time it gets open is roughly a two and a half to three year time horizon.
Speaker Change: Right now, we've seen costs really hang in there pretty well at that $1.2 million per bed that we've been talking about for a while. That's for de novo activity. Bed expansions are more in the $700,000, and those have been...
Doug: Bed expansions are more in the $700,000 range, and those have been relatively stable. Some of that is a result of a slowing down of inflation in the market, prefabrication, and then also some supply chain. In terms of the ROIC with the, With the cost per bed staying relatively stable, we are still seeing proformas that generate attractive ROICs, which is why we continue to push forward with new capacity.
Speaker Change: Douglas Coltharp, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services and the host
Speaker Change: Prefabrication and then just also some supply chain efficiencies.
Speaker Change: With the cost per bed staying relatively stable, we are still seeing proformas that generate attractive ROICs, which is why we continue to push forward with new capacity additions.
Operator: Our next question comes from Kevin Fischbeck with Bank of America.
Kevin Fischbeck: Morning, Kevin. Morning, Kevin.
Speaker Change: Our next question comes from Kevin Fischbeck with Bank of America.
Kevin Fischbeck: Hey guys, so I guess I have a couple of questions. First one, on the guidance components in the back half of the year, it wasn't 100% clear to me how we should think about these headwinds as we think about 2025. I guess we just kind of, with Piedmont, it seems like we just double it and say it's a full year impact next year. But is the bad debt number, should we be thinking about the annual number as the right number?
Speaker Change: Morning, Kevin. Morning, Kevin.
Kevin Fischbeck: Hey guys, so I guess a couple of questions. First one, on the guidance components in the back half of the year, it wasn't a hundred percent.
Kevin Fischbeck: Clear to me how we should think about these headwinds as we think about 2025. I guess we just kind of, with Piedmont, it seems like we just double it and say it's a full year impact next year. But is the bad debt number, should we be thinking about the annual number as the right number? Should we be thinking about the second half?
Kevin Fischbeck: Should we be thinking about the second half? Run rate as the right number, and then the diffusion costs. Are there going to be additional costs in 2025 that we have to think about, or is that all going to be revenue?
Speaker Change: Douglas Coltharp, CFP®, Financial Planners & Investors
Doug: Yeah, so for an initial estimate on Piedmont and fusion, take the numbers for the second half of this year, multiply by two, maybe plus or minus a little bit, just based on growth at Piedmont and based on, you know, not knowing the full range of activity that we're going to make on fusion through the progress of 2025 when we intend to go live. The bad debt, it's too early for us to formulate an estimate for 2025, although I don't think sitting here today that I would pencil anything that is markedly different from the kind of history we've had over the last two or three years. I think what we saw in Q2 was a bit of a spike, and that's why we expected it to normalize some in the second half of the year. We'll just have to see how much and how.
Speaker Change: Yeah, so I think for an initial estimate on Piedmont and fusion, take the numbers for the second half of this year and multiply by two, maybe plus or minus a little bit.
Speaker Change: just based on growth at Piedmont and based on, you know, not knowing the full range of activity that we're going to make on fusion through the progress of 2025 when we intend to go live.
Speaker Change: The bad debt, it's too early for us to formulate an estimate for 2025, although I don't think sitting here today that I would pencil anything that is markedly different from kind of the history we've had over the last two or three years.
Speaker Change: I think what we saw in Q2 was a bit of a spike, and that's why we expected to normalize some in the second half of the year. We'll just have to see how much and how fast.
Kevin Fischbeck: Okay, that's helpful. And then, I guess, you know, with joint ventures, like I'm kind of used to seeing facilities being thrown into a joint venture once you create them. But with Feedmont, I guess you've been involved with them already. So what benefit do you get by adding an additional facility to a joint venture versus just kind of keeping all of the profits yourself? And so we've had a couple of existing facilities that have been...
Speaker Change: Okay, that's helpful.
Speaker Change: With joint ventures, I'm used to seeing facilities being thrown into a joint venture once you create them, but with Feedmont, I guess you've been involved with them already. What benefit do you get by adding an additional facility into a joint venture versus just keeping all of the economics yourself?
Doug: And so we've had a couple of existing facilities that have been added to the Piedmont Joint Venture. One in New New Georgia and this one in Augusta, Georgia. Augusta, Georgia, was added specifically because we've had an existing hospital there that we've had for better than 10 years. Piedmont did not historically have a presence in that market, and they acquired an acute care hospital, so it was consistent in terms of how we're approaching the entire state of Georgia.
Speaker Change: And so we've had a couple of existing facilities that have been added into the Piedmont Joint Venture, one in Newning, Georgia, and this one in Augusta, Georgia. Augusta, Georgia was added specifically, we've had an existing hospital there that we've had for better than 10 years.
Speaker Change: Piedmont did not historically have a presence in that market and they acquired an acute care hospital so it was consistent in terms of how we're approaching the entire state of Georgia in markets where we overlap to be partnered together.
Operator: Our next question comes from Scott Fidel with Stevens.
Scott Fidel: Hello, Scott. Morning, Scott. Hi.
Speaker Change: Our next question comes from Scott Fidel with Stevens
Scott Fidel: Hi, thanks. Good morning.
Speaker Change: Hello, Scott. Morning, Scott.
Speaker Change: Douglas Tarr, M.D.: Same star discharge growth and the fact that you're, you know, being opportunistic on on investing in wages to sustain that clinical capacity. Douglas Tarr, M.D.: As we think about the updated guidance for the full year. Should we be thinking about you looking to target delivering at least that 4% same store discharge growth. Douglas Tarr, M.D.: In both the third and fourth quarters implied in the guidance.
Scott Fidel: First question. So just thinking about what you were just talking about the eight consecutive quarters now of at least 4% same-star discharge growth and the fact that you're being opportunistic on investing in wages to sustain that clinical capacity. As we think about the updated guidance for the full year, should we be thinking about you looking to target delivering at least that 4% same-star discharge growth in both the third and fourth quarters implied in the guidance?
Doug: You know, we don't provide specific quarterly guidance around volume growth or any other metrics. But, what we have said before, and I think what we continue to adhere to, is that we expect a discharge growth CAGR of 6 to 8 percent, and we've been consistently delivering within that range or above that range. Demand for services, as Mark cited in his comments, remains good. Our hospitals have the capability to serve those patients well, and staffing has not been a constraint, nor do we foresee it being a constraint in terms of being able to meet the volume demands of our facilities.
Speaker Change: Demand for services, as Mark cited in his comments, remains good. Our hospitals have the capability to serve those patients well and staffing has not been a constraint nor do we foresee it being a constraint in terms of being able to meet the volume demands for our facilities.
Scott Fidel: Okay, got it. And then, follow-up question, just interested in, you know, sort of the latest contracting interactions with the managed care payers, just as it relates to, obviously, it's been a challenging backdrop for MA and 24 and 25, and reimbursement pressure will continue. So, you know, just curious, has there been any change in the contracting posture from MA plans because of that? And then, also, just from, I guess, the utilization management and sort of medical management side of things as well from the managed care side of things, from Medicare Advantage plans, whether you've seen any sort of tightening behaviors just because of some of the financial pressures that they're facing.
Speaker Change: Douglas Goldstein, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services and the host of the Goldstein on Gelt radio show.
Doug: So in terms of the contracting, no, there really hasn't been any change in the nature of discussions between the two. I'll remind you that, particularly prior to this year, there were a number of years where the MA plans had very significant annual increases, and they did not feel compelled to share that largess with us during that time frame. With regard to the actual relationship once those plans are in place, I would say that it is improving and becoming more constructive, but there is no doubt that the preauthorization policies and screening that get done by the MA plans remain a challenge in a lot of our markets.
Speaker Change: and they did not feel compelled to share that largess with us during that time frame, so...
Speaker Change: You know, you can't have it both ways.
Speaker Change: with regard to the actual relationship once those plans are in place.
Speaker Change: I would say that it is improving and becoming more constructive, but there is no doubt.
Speaker Change: that the pre-authorization policies and screening that gets done by the M.A. plans
Doug: We have very talented people at all of our hospitals who work very hard to make sure that those patients in need of inpatient rehabilitation care have an opportunity to come to one of our hospitals so they can get well, and that's true for MA patients. I think one thing we have done is gotten very detailed from our clinical approach with our therapists or nurses that may be, or even our medical directors, that may be working to justify the admission of a patient and support the clinical benefits and the potential gains that should be seen by that patient in our hospital. So we've involved our medical directors and clinicians in that process to a much greater degree than we have in the past.
Speaker Change: remains a challenge in a lot of our markets.
Speaker Change: We have very talented people at all of our hospitals who work very hard to make sure that those patients in need of inpatient rehabilitation care have an opportunity to come to one of our hospitals so they can go get well, and that's true for MA patients as well.
Speaker Change: working to
Speaker Change: to justify the admission of a patient and support the clinical benefits and the potential gains.
Speaker Change: that should be seen by that patient in our hospital. So we've involved our medical directors and clinicians in that process to a much greater degree than what we had in the past.
Operator: As a reminder today, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star and one. We'll take our next question from Brian Tanquilut with Jeff.
Brian Tanquilut: Hey, good morning, guys. Good morning. Maybe just to go back on the audits, maybe Doug, is this specific to Palmetto or is this a broader, more national thing? And then maybe, as I think about the mechanism here, right, so as the claims are processed, is there a reserve release that we should expect or could expect down the road?
Speaker Change: We'll take our next question from Brian Tanquillet with Jeffreys.
Doug: Yes, so the majority of the activity has been with Palmetto. I'll remind you that they are our largest MACS by a long shot, and then with regard to, it works exactly as you said Ryan. When a claim is selected, we immediately establish a reserve, and we had all of those claims that were selected in Q2 and very few had had a decision rendered upon them by Palmetto at the end of Q2. As we have progressed beyond the end of Q2 to this point, more of those claims have been processed. Many are a favorable resolution.
Speaker Change: We immediately established a reserve.
Speaker Change: and we had all of those claims had been selected in Q2 and very few had had a decision rendered upon them by Palmetto at the end of Q2. As we have progressed beyond the end of Q2 to this point, more of those claims have been processed.
Doug: They're approved. And as soon as they are approved, we go ahead and release the reserve. They get approved. And then once the cash comes in,
Speaker Change: Many are a favorable resolution. They're approved. And as soon as they are approved, we go ahead and release the reserve. Actually, they get approved, and then once the cash comes in, we release the reserve.
Brian Tanquilut: Okay, got it. And then maybe Mark, I noticed that this flows through the quarter unless there are incremental claims that are selected for review, you would see a reversal of some of the bad debt experience that we experience. Unknown Speaker Okay, yeah, in future periods. That makes sense.
Speaker Change: Douglas Coltharp, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services and the host of the Goldstein on Gelt radio show.
Speaker Change: that are selected for review, you would see a reversal of some of the bad debt expense that we experienced in Q2.
Mark Tarr: Then maybe, Mark, as I think about, you know, seeing that you opened, or you've got an announcement for Rhode Island, are there plans? I mean, how are you thinking about new geographies outside your current footprint of states? Are there states that are screening for you guys as attractive new market entry opportunities that we should be thinking about?
Speaker Change: Got it. Yeah, in future periods. That makes sense.
Speaker Change: And then maybe, Mark, as I think about, you know, seeing that you opened or you've got an announcement for Rhode Island, are there plans, I mean, how are you thinking about new geographies outside your current footprint of states? Are there states that are screening for you guys as attractive new market entry opportunities that we should be thinking about?
Mark Tarr: Yeah, well, you can look at our slides in terms of the development activity. We're very excited about some of the new states. I mentioned Rhode Island earlier, but if you look at other states, you've got Danbury, Connecticut on there. That'll be a new state for us next year. You also have geographies within existing states that we're excited to pursue. So we examine literally any MSA that could be a potential marketplace for us. There are certain states that we'll never enter, but we have a broad approach in terms of evaluating different geographies and the opportunities to enter new states. Remind you there that if we just look at
Mark: You can look on our slides in terms of the development activity. We're very excited about some of the new states. I mentioned Rhode Island earlier, but if you look at
Speaker Change: Other states, we've got Danbury, Connecticut on there, that'll be a new state for us next year.
Speaker Change: You also have geographies within existing states that we're excited to pursue.
Speaker Change: We examine literally any MSA that could be a potential marketplace for us.
Speaker Change: There are certain states that we'll never enter, but we have a broad approach in terms of evaluating different geographies and the opportunities to enter new states.
Mark Tarr: I'll remind you there that if we just look at a proxy for the demand for IRF services as the number of presumptively eligible CMS-13 discharges coming out of acute care hospitals every year that ultimately wind up in an IRF bed, that conversion rate nationwide is only about 14%. So we know that there is a lot of unmet demand out there and that demand is increasing every year just given the aging demographic.
Speaker Change: and remind you there that if we just look at a proxy for the demand for earth services
Speaker Change: as the number of presumptively eligible CMS-13 discharges coming out of acute care hospitals every year that ultimately wind up in an IRF bed, that conversion rate nationwide is only about 14%.
Speaker Change: So, we know that there's a lot of unmet demand out there, and that demand is increasing every year just given the aging demographic in this country.
Operator: Our next question comes from Jared Haase with William Blair. Please go ahead.
Speaker Change: Our next question comes from Jared Hayes with William Blair. Please go ahead.
Jared Haase: Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. Maybe just a quick one, just on the quarter, occupancy was up nicely again year over year, but it did decline a bit sequentially. Is that typical seasonality? Or were there any other nuances that you'd sort of share in terms of how that metric shaped up for the quarter? And then any comments on what a fair assumption would be for the back half of the year?
Jared Hayes: Hey, Jared.
Jared Hayes: Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. Maybe just a quick one just on the quarter. Occupancy was up nicely again year over year, but it did decline a bit sequentially. Is that typical seasonality or were there any other nuances that you'd sort of share in terms of how that metric shaped up for the quarter? And then any comments on what a fair assumption would be for the back half of the year?
Doug: Yeah, so Q1 is normally based on seasonality, a very strong quarter for us from an occupancy perspective. But Q2 was also impacted by the fact that, in Q1, we did not bring on any new capacity. And in Q2, we added 194 beds, and most of those came on in the second half of the quarter. And so that weighs down on occupancy while you're in the ramp.
Speaker Change: Yeah, so Q1 is normally based on seasonality, a very strong quarter forest from an occupancy
Speaker Change: Q2 was also impacted by the fact that in Q1 we did not bring on any new capacity and in Q2 we added 194 beds and most of those came on in the second half of the quarter and so that weighs down on occupancy while you're in the ramp-up phase.
Jared Haase: Okay, that makes sense. And then I wanted to ask another question just on the labor inflation trends. And I know it's early, but specifically, I was wondering if there's any color you can share in terms of just expectations for 2025. I'm sure some of that will maybe be informed by how things shape up in the second half of the year. Obviously, you guys typically try to lead the market on inflation trends. So maybe you have any thoughts you'd share in terms of broader expectations for the industry?
Speaker Change: Okay, that makes sense.
Speaker Change: I wanted to ask another one just on the labor inflation trends and I know it's early but specifically I was wondering if there's any color you can share in terms of just expectation for 2025. I'm sure some of that will maybe be informed by how things shape up in the second half of the year. Obviously you guys typically try to lead the market on inflation trends so maybe any thoughts you'd share in terms of broader expectations for the industry?
Mark Tarr: So just mark, I mean, we can comment on what we're seeing right now, and that is certainly a normalization of some of the marketplaces. We've put a lot of effort into our recruitment and talent acquisition function, and we're seeing some nice trends in our ability to retain our nurses and our therapists. If you look at our turnover rates, they are equal to, if not better than, pre-pandemic. So, you know, if these trends continue in the future, which we fully expect, then we'll certainly be well positioned to continue to be able to service the Obviously, there is a lot of volatility out there right now.
Speaker Change: We can comment on what we're seeing right now, and that is certainly a normalization of some of the marketplaces.
Speaker Change: We've put a lot of effort into our recruitment and talent acquisition function. We're seeing some nice trends in our ability to retain our nurses and our therapists. If you look at our turnover rates, they are equal to, if not better, than pre-pandemic.
Speaker Change: If these trends continue in the future, which we fully expect, then we'll certainly be well positioned to continue to be able to service the growth that we have out there and continue to grow as a company.
Mark Tarr: Obviously, a lot of volatility out there right now in the overall macroeconomic picture, as we've all witnessed this week. So it's a little hard to predict what's going to happen next year. Kind of feels maybe what we hoped for is that we'd see things settle down into that level of overall labor inflation that we saw in the first half of roughly three and a half.
Speaker Change: Obviously, a lot of volatility out there right now in the overall macroeconomic picture, as we've all witnessed this week. So it's a little hard to predict what's going to happen next year, but, you know,
Speaker Change: It kind of feels, maybe what we hope for, is that we see things settle down into that level of overall labor inflation that we saw in the first half of roughly three and a half percent.
Operator: Our next question comes from John Ransom with Raymond James.
John Ransom: Good morning, John. Hey. Good morning, John.
Speaker Change: Our next question comes from John Ransom with Raymond James.
John Ransom: Hey there. Sorry, I have all kinds of timers going off right as you let me pick up.
Speaker Change: Good morning, John. Hey, good morning, Joe. Hey, there. Sorry, I have all kinds of timers going off here right as you let me pick up.
John Ransom: My question is a broader one. If we look at the post-acute landscape, you know, there's been a lot of changes, but do you think where we are now in terms of the referral patterns? To yourself, to home health, to SNFs. Do you think those have stabilized? Has the role of conveners diminished? So other than, you know, M.A.
John Ransom: My question is a broader one. If we look at the post-acute landscape, you know, there's been a lot of changes, but do you think where we are now is that the referral patterns
John Ransom: Looking for a surgeon, do you see, do you think that, you know, we've kind of settled out where the referrals are going to go? Are you still going to have a knife fight? I have a knife fight over all this.
John Ransom: to yourself, to home health, to SNFs. Do you think those have stabilized? Has the role of conveners diminished?
Speaker Change: Other than MA looking for a surgeon, do you think that we've kind of settled out and where the referrals are going to go, or are you still going to have a knife fight?
Mark Tarr: So John, it's Mark. I think that certainly, during COVID and immediately post-COVID, the different settings and post-acute care and the capabilities or lack thereof, because of staffing and other resources, played out in the favor of IRFs. And certainly, we took advantage of that in terms of our ability to handle a medically complex patient. I do think that we continue to take market share from nursing homes, the majority of which reason I just stayed in terms of our ability to show that we can get better outcomes because we have more resources and can handle more medically complex patients.
Speaker Change: Have a knife fight over all this.
Mark: So John, this is Mark. I think that certainly during COVID and immediately post-COVID, the different settings in post-acute and the capabilities or lack thereof because of staffing and other resources
John Ransom: played out in the favor of IRFs and certainly we took advantage of that in terms of our ability to handle a medically complex patient.
John Ransom: I do think that we continue to take market share from nursing homes, the majority of which...
Mark Tarr: So I think there's still some settling to be had out there. But I think that there has been a fair amount of settling, certainly since post-COVID in terms of the conveners. You know, whenever we've seen them enter a marketplace, there might be some real aggressive actions there that could impact us in the short run, but in the long run, the outcomes play out, and any impact in terms of referral patterns that might be changed on a short-term basis works in our favor in the long run.
John Ransom: Doug Miller, Douglas Coltharp, Mark Miller, Douglas Coltharp, Mark Miller, Douglas Coltharp,
John Ransom: I think there's still some settling to be had out there, but I think that there has been a fair amount of settling certainly since post-COVID in terms of the conveners.
John Ransom: You know, whenever we've seen them enter a marketplace, there might be some real aggressive
John Ransom: actions there that could impact us in the short run, but in the long run, the outcomes play out and any impact in terms of the referral patterns that might be changed on a short-term basis worked our favor in the long run.
John Ransom: Network, Unknown Executive, Unknown Network, Unknown Network, Unknown Network, Unknown Network, Unknown Network, Unknown Yeah, I mean, I saw another health with the layoffs. And I just wonder if their day is sort of coming.
John Ransom: And they do seem to be popping up much less frequently than they were, say, from 2015 to 2020, which was kind of that period where they were most popular.
John Ransom: Yeah, I mean, I saw Nava Health with the layoffs, and I just wonder if their day has sort of come and gone.
Douglas Coltharp: Douglas Coltharp, CFP®, is the director of Profile Investment Services and the host of the Goldstein on Gelt radio show.
Speaker Change: I think so.
Speaker Change: Okay, thank you.
Speaker Change: Thank you.
Operator: This does conclude today's question and answer period. I will now turn the call back over to Mr. Mark Miller for any additional or closing remarks. Thank you, Operator.
Speaker Change: This does conclude today's question and answer period. I will now turn the call back over to Mr. Mark Miller for any additional or closing remarks.
Mark Miller: Thank you, operator. If anyone has additional questions, please call me at 205-970-5860. Thank you again for joining today's call.
Mark Miller: Thank you, operator. If anyone has additional questions, please call me at 205-970-5860. Thank you again for joining today's call.
Operator: This does conclude today's program. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at any time.
Speaker Change: This does conclude today's program. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at any time.
Speaker Change: Tarr, Tarr, Tarr