Q3 2024 OPENLANE Inc Earnings Call
Good day and welcome to the open lane, third quarter of 2024 earnings call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. Should you need assistance? Please signal conference specialists by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation there will be an opportunity to ask questions.
To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. And to withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please note that this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Miss Eatonoo or Rellaru. Please go ahead, ma'am.
Miss Eatonoo: Thanks, Chuck. Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to OpenLanes 3rd Quarter 2024 earnings call. With me today at Peter Kelly, Seal of OpenLanes and Brad Lakhia, KPMCFO of OpenLanes.
Our remarks today include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigations Reform Act of 1995.
Such forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainties that may cause our actual results or performance to differ materially from such statements.
Factors that could cause such differences include those discussed in our press release issued today and in our SEC filings.
Certain non-GAAP financial measures as defined under SEC rules will be discussed on this call.
Miss Eatonoo: Reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP measures are provided in our earnings materials and available in the Investor Relations section of our website. With that, I'll turn the call over to Peter. Peter. Thank you.
Peter: Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.
Peter: Thank you, Itunu, and good afternoon, everybody. I'm pleased to be here today to share Open Lane's strong third quarter results.
I will start with some high-level details around our performance, our strategy, and our outlook for the future, and then I'll turn the call over to Brad Lakhia to provide additional detail on our financial and operating metrics.
Peter: Open Lane had a very positive third quarter. On a consolidated basis we increased revenue and delivered 75 million in adjusted EBITDA, representing a 10% increase over the prior year.
Peter: And year-to-date, we've generated $260 million in cash from operations.
Similar to Q1 and Q2, I'm very pleased that these Q3 results reflect a significantly improved performance in the open lane marketplace segment.
Peter: On 6% volume growth, the marketplace grew revenue and gross profit while delivering $36 million in adjusted EBITDA. That was a 34% increase over the third quarter of last year.
And this is now the third straight quarter where our marketplace segment has contributed nearly 50% of our consolidated adjusted EBITDA, and that's up from an average of around 39% for the same three quarters last year.
Peter: AFC was again a strong contributor in the third quarter, generating approximately $39 million of adjusted EBITDA while reducing SG&A costs and effectively managing risk across that portfolio.
Speaker Change: Thank you for watching!
Speaker Change: These third quarter results clearly demonstrate our ability to generate profitable growth and the strong scalability characteristics of our asset-light digital model. I also believe our results reflect how customers increasingly view and value our differentiated offerings.
Speaker Change: Open Lane is a true market leader in technology, and we're seeing the positive results of the strategic investments we're making in innovation, in people, and in the customer experience.
Speaker Change: All of this fuels my optimism for our long-term growth in volume, market share, and profitability.
Speaker Change: So let me turn to our strategy and how we plan to build on this positive momentum.
Speaker Change: As I previously said, our strategy for growth is anchored in our purpose, which is to make wholesale easy so our customers can be more successful.
Speaker Change: And we're making wholesale easy by focusing on three enabling priorities.
Speaker Change: The first is by delivering the best marketplace, expanding to more buyers and more sellers, and offering the most diverse inventory available.
Speaker Change: Second, by delivering the best technologies, innovative products and services that help our customers make informed decisions and achieve better outcomes.
Speaker Change: And third, by delivering the best customer experience, keeping our marketplace fast, fair, and transparent, making it easy for customers to transact, and making Open Lane the most preferred and the most utilized marketplace.
Speaker Change: Thank you. Thank you.
Speaker Change: So let me detail about how we're advancing each of these and how they're positioning us for the future, and I'll begin with creating the best marketplace.
Speaker Change: Open Lane's third quarter marked the sixth consecutive quarter of year-on-year growth in our marketplace segment with positive contributions from our U.S., Canadian, and European marketplaces.
Speaker Change: During the quarter, we increased the number of vehicles offered and sold, delivering growth with both commercial and dealer-owned vehicles.
Speaker Change: Our marketplace facilitated a gross merchandise value of nearly 7 billion dollars, which was a 12% increase over the same quarter last year. We also increased our marketplace participation, delivering one of our strongest new dealer recruitment quarters since 2021, as well as double-digit increase in unique buyers transacting on our platform.
Speaker Change: All of these points the strength of our offering, the vibrancy of the Open Lane marketplace, and the value that Open Lane delivers in terms of speed of sale, high conversion rates, low selling costs, and excellent financial outcomes for our customers.
Speaker Change: Focusing on dealer volumes, we are clearly seeing the power of open lanes network effect and my optimism remains as strong as ever around our longer term growth opportunity in the dealer space.
Speaker Change: During the quarter, we grew our dealer volumes by 3%, representing a significant improvement versus the first half of this year.
Speaker Change: Momentum also increased over the course of the quarter and that gives me increased optimism for trajectory in the fourth quarter and into next year.
Speaker Change: We attribute much of this to the scaling of our marketplace, our accelerated brand and digital marketing efforts, and our go-to-market investments, which are generating increased participation from franchise and independent dealers, both as sellers and as buyers in our marketplace.
Speaker Change: And we're also seeing customers continue to gravitate towards digital. When comparing the most recent four quarters to the preceding four quarters, we believe our dealer volume growth is outpacing and taking market share from physical auctions.
Speaker Change: And there is still a very large addressable market for us to capture.
Speaker Change: In terms of commercial office volumes, Open Lane remains a clear market leader and I was pleased to see our commercial volumes growing in the third quarter.
Speaker Change: We have discussed on Power Calls that the low level of leases written in late 2021 and 2022 are a headwind to off-lease volumes in the second half of this year and in 2025, and that off-lease volumes will not materially grow until 2026 and beyond.
Speaker Change: Given that background, I'm pleased with how our off-lease volumes held up in Q3.
Speaker Change: I was also pleased to see industry new vehicle sales increase and lease originations increase for the sixth straight quarter, which will be a positive for Open Lane when those leases mature.
Speaker Change: Open Lane remains well positioned with commercial sellers, delivering faster speed of sale, higher conversion, lower costs, and better financial outcomes.
Speaker Change: In fact, one of our commercial sellers is now converting nearly 95% of their inventory in Open Lane. And many customers have commented to me that Open Lane is bringing them a substantial premium to the vehicles that they're selling at physical auction.
Speaker Change: So in summary, Open Lane is focused on leveraging the combined power of our growing dealer base with their strong relationships and market position with commercial customers.
Speaker Change: And both customer sets will benefit from greater exposure, integration, and interaction through the Open Lane Marketplace.
Speaker Change: The second way we're making wholesale easy is by leveraging our AssetLite digital model to deliver what we believe is the best, most innovative technology available.
Speaker Change: In the United States, we've spoken on previous calls about our investments in condition reports to industry-first offerings like Visual Boost AI and CodeBoost IQ.
Speaker Change: We are committed to providing comprehensive condition data on every vehicle offered for sale.
Speaker Change: We're also seeing the momentum build around our absolute sale feature.
Speaker Change: About half of the dealer transactions in our U.S. marketplace are now sold through an absolute sale. And on average, sellers who launch a vehicle into an absolute sale receive almost $700 in incremental bids after they activate this feature. That's a powerful figure that continues to increase.
Speaker Change: In Canada, we are enriching the data we provide to buyers and sellers, deploying AI-powered vehicle recommendations and expanding our self-service offerings to enhance the overall buying and selling experience.
Speaker Change: In Europe, we recently received the Fleet Europe Remarketing Innovation Award for our Open Lane Sale offering, which gives sellers more control and the ability to customize their selling experience in real time.
Speaker Change: And for our commercial customers, we are deepening the integrations between our private-labeled programs and their back-end financial and operational systems.
Speaker Change: Already this year we have deployed 65 major enhancements and over 2,700 other improvements to help commercial customers prepare for a more digital future and create an even closer connection with their franchise dealer networks.
Speaker Change: And then finally, let me turn to how we're making wholesale easy by providing an exceptional customer experience.
Speaker Change: During the quarter, I had the opportunity to spend significant time with many open land customers.
Speaker Change: I came away from those meetings with a strong conviction that our customers are increasingly looking to a digital future, in terms of how they sell and source their inventory, and also in terms of how they connect with their retail customers.
Speaker Change: It's also clear to me that Open Lane's customers value relationships and that Open Lane is a valued business partner. So we're investing in those relationships and focusing on delivering real value through technologies that are highly sophisticated but also very easy to use.
Speaker Change: We are integrating AI into our operational processes and service workflows to help reduce administrative tasks and to resolve customer issues more quickly and consistently.
Speaker Change: Thank you for watching!
Speaker Change: Also during the third quarter, we launched a standardized transactional net promoter score, or NPS, system across our US, Canadian, and European marketplaces.
Speaker Change: The early results and feedback we're getting from dealers range from good to great to excellent, depending on the platform. And some of the consistent positives cited by our customers include the ease of use, the appreciation of the great new features and functionality, as well as our highly responsive customer support teams.
Speaker Change: So we are committed to delivering a positive, data-driven, and high-touch customer experience. And I believe this will be a competitive difference here for Open Lane and a core driver of our future growth.
Speaker Change: I'd like to spend a few moments on AFC, while Brad will provide some additional detail in a few moments.
Speaker Change: We will be hosting an investor update on November 19th to provide additional disclosures and metrics that most finance-related businesses share with their investors.
Speaker Change: AFC is a strong, high-performing business with a leading market position, and it is a valuable asset to Open Lane. It helps attract, enroll, and engage dealers on the Open Lane marketplace, and it generates strong, adjust-to-be-but-done cash that can be reinvested in the business.
Speaker Change: We believe that the enhanced information will improve our investors' understanding of this business, will better highlight AFC's leading financial performance metrics, and ultimately allow investors to more accurately value AFC.
Speaker Change: Among others, the performance metrics we will highlight will include AFC's leading return on equity, return on assets,
Speaker Change: and the strength of AFC, high mix of fee income and strong net interest margins.
Speaker Change: These leading performance indicators are driven by AFC's strong market share, its exceptional customer service, and its competitively differentiated underwriting and risk management processes.
Speaker Change: So we look forward to sharing all of that information with you later this month.
Speaker Change: So to close out my comments on the quarter, I just want to reinforce that Open Lane is very well positioned in the market, and that our differentiated offerings are gaining momentum and customer loyalty.
Speaker Change: The third quarter represented another positive step on what I believe is a much more consistent track record of performance.
Speaker Change: And our results reinforce our key value proposition for investors.
Speaker Change: that Open Lane is an asset-light digital marketplace leader for wholesale use vehicles.
Speaker Change: that there is a large addressable market in North America and in Europe and we're well positioned to capture the opportunities to grow both dealer and commercial volumes.
Speaker Change: It's clear that our brand and platform consolidation efforts over the past 24 months are now enabling us to accelerate innovation and product development.
Speaker Change: Our focus on operational efficiency has also given us the financial headroom to invest in that innovation while also improving our financial results.
Speaker Change: We are cash flow positive with a strong balance sheet and we believe that our business has the capability to deliver meaningful earnings growth over the next several years.
Speaker Change: Thank you for watching!
Speaker Change: So that concludes my remarks regarding the third quarter, but before I turn the call over to Brad Lakhia, I have one other announcement, and that is that Brad will be leaving Open Lane to pursue another opportunity.
Speaker Change: Brad will remain at the company through the end of February to assist in finalizing our 2024 fourth quarter and year-end results, and also to help ensure a smooth transition.
Speaker Change: We have already initiated a national search for a new CFO. We have a very strong bench strength and institutional knowledge across our finance areas and teams. And we also have a very solid foundation of cost management, capital allocation, and investing in innovation.
Speaker Change: These are all areas that Brad helped enhance during his time here at Open Lane.
Speaker Change: So I'll let Brad provide any additional context that he'd like to offer up before he covers our financial results, and I will keep you all updated and informed when a successor has been named. Brad?
Brad Lakhia: Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.
Brad Lakhia: Thank you, Peter. And before I get into my remarks regarding the quarter, I just want to be very clear that the decision I made to leave Open Lane was a difficult one, and at its core, a very personal one.
Brad Lakhia: Since I started with Open Lane, I've been commuting most weeks between Ohio and Indiana, and this will allow me to spend more time with my family and be closer to home.
Brad Lakhia: Open Lane is on a very positive trajectory as evidenced by the strong third quarter results we are communicating today.
Brad Lakhia: The investments the company is making in innovation, technology, and people have positioned the company to capture the opportunities ahead.
Speaker Change: And I'm grateful for the opportunity to work with Peter and the incredibly talented management team here at Open Lane.
Speaker Change: As Peter mentioned, I will remain at Open Lane through the end of February and will continue to be available to investors and analysts during that time.
Brad Lakhia: Now let me turn to the third quarter.
Brad Lakhia: We delivered another strong quarter driven primarily by the strength of our marketplace segment, as well as our ongoing focus on operational efficiency.
Brad Lakhia: As usual, certain comments that I make related to consolidated open lane and the marketplace segment are on a net revenue basis, which excludes the impact of purchased vehicle sales. In addition, my comments will be on a third-quarter year-over-year basis unless I state otherwise.
Brad Lakhia: Our consolidated revenue was $448 million, up 8%, mainly driven by the 6% unit volume growth in our Marketplace segment.
Brad Lakhia: In our results, you'll see our net revenue was flat as we continue to realize the impact from the transportation accounting change we made in the fourth quarter of 2023.
Brad Lakhia: This change impacted net revenue by $13 million in the third quarter, and since we made this change during the fourth quarter of last year, our comparisons as we move into 2025 will be clean of this change.
Brad Lakhia: Total cost of services which was $252 million, up 17%.
Brad Lakhia: Gross profit was $196 million, down 2%.
Brad Lakhia: Higher auction fee revenue was offset by the impact of a higher mix of commercial volumes and a decline in finance segment revenue.
Brad Lakhia: Adjusted EBITDA was $75 million, up 10%, primarily driven by increased marketplace volume and lower SG&A.
Brad Lakhia: Consolidate SG&A for the quarter was $99 million, down 7%, reflecting the successful execution of our cost savings initiatives.
Brad Lakhia: The SDNA decline was primarily due to lower professional fees and compensation related expenses.
Brad Lakhia: In addition, our Technology Platform Consolidation Initiative led to a reduction in our technology costs during the quarter.
Brad Lakhia: As a company, we remain very focused on our cost culture. This culture drives productivity that enables investment and growth and innovation, and we've established internal programs to drive this on a consistent basis throughout Open Lane.
Brad Lakhia: For the balance of 2024, we expect our SG&A spend to remain at similar levels to recent quarters, and we remain committed to funding core, go-to-market, customer-facing investments.
Brad Lakhia: Turning to the marketplace segment, revenue increased 12% to $354 million.
Brad Lakhia: Our total volumes were up 6% with commercial and dealer volumes increasing by 8% and 3% respectively.
Brad Lakhia: Auction fee revenue increased by 11%, primarily driven by the volume growth.
Brad Lakhia: As reported, services revenue was down 4%, once again primarily due to the transportation accounting change mentioned earlier. Excluding this change, services revenue was up 5%, primarily driven by transportation related services and volume increases.
Brad Lakhia: The volume increases reflect our ongoing focus to drive greater attachment of our services to our core marketplace offerings.
Brad Lakhia: Marketplace adjusted EBITDA was $36 million up 34%. This improvement was driven primarily by higher auction and service related volume and lower cost.
Brad Lakhia: Marketplace SG&A was down 7% driven by the factors discussed earlier.
Speaker Change: As Peter stated, we are very pleased with the overall performance of our Marketplace business. Our commitment to making wholesale easy is enabled by delivering the best Marketplace, the best technology, and the best customer experience.
Brad Lakhia: We believe our ongoing and focused investments in these priorities will enable us to deliver scalable, profitable top-line growth and capture margin improvements over time.
Brad Lakhia: Turning to our finance segment, revenues for the quarter were down 6%, primarily driven by flat volumes and lower interest income, resulting from lower vehicle values within the portfolio.
Brad Lakhia: To provide some market insight, over the past couple of quarters, we are seeing independent dealers notably more disciplined with the amount of vehicles they are carrying on their lots.
Brad Lakhia: While this disciplined approach supports an improved credit risk profile, it challenges AFC's ability to deliver revenue growth, particularly when coupled with the impact of lower vehicle values.
Brad Lakhia: And we expect this volume challenge to persist at least through the early part of 2025.
Brad Lakhia: That said, despite flat loan transaction units in the quarter, we believe this is a broader market trend and not impacting our market share, and therefore, we're very pleased with our relative competitive performance.
Brad Lakhia: Finance segment adjusted EBITDA was $39 million down 5% reflecting the impact of the factors I just discussed.
Brad Lakhia: Finance SG&A was also down 7% driven by the same factors I mentioned earlier.
Brad Lakhia: From a risk management perspective, we are pleased with the third quarter provision for credit losses of 2.1 percent. This reflects continued improvement in risk fundamentals, but also the advantages of our leading risk management processes, analytics, and close to the customer model.
Brad Lakhia: While we are only halfway through the fourth quarter, we are thus far seeing consistent improvements in both frequency and severity of losses.
Brad Lakhia: Therefore, at this time, we expect the loan loss rate for the fourth quarter to be generally consistent with the third quarter. And to reiterate, we continue to target a long-term loss rate of 1.5 to 2 percent.
Brad Lakhia: Overall, ASD remains a strong, high-performing business and a strategic asset that drives stickiness and critical services to Open Lane's customers.
Brad Lakhia: AFC's strong cash flow characteristics also support Open Lane's overall capital allocation, including the funding of our strong pipeline of organic initiatives.
Brad Lakhia: Thank you for watching!
Speaker Change: Moving to the balance sheet and capital allocation. Consistent with prior quarters, we continue to generate strong cash flow. Year-to-date, we have generated 260 million of cash flow from operations and our consolidated net leverage stands at less than one times adjusted EBITDA.
Brad Lakhia: Over the past seven quarters, and when excluding changes in operating assets and liabilities, we've generated between $50 million to $70 million quarterly in cash flow from operations.
Brad Lakhia: This level of cash generation demonstrates the value of our asset-light, digitally-focused marketplace business working in combination with our leading floor plan finance business.
Brad Lakhia: Overall, the core of our capital allocation framework remains the same. We continue to prioritize the funding of organic investments while ensuring flexibility for high return, complementary strategic opportunities, and shareholder returns.
Brad Lakhia: In Q3, we bought back approximately 1.8 million shares as part of our share repurchase program. We have also increased and extended our share repurchase program to 100 million through the end of 2025.
Brad Lakhia: Our philosophy on share repurchases has not changed. We will remain principled and opportunistic with this program.
Brad Lakhia: Wrapping up on 2024 annual guidance, we have updated our adjusted EBITDA guidance to $285 to $295 million.
Brad Lakhia: Other updated guidance metrics are reflected in our earnings release issued earlier today.
Brad Lakhia: To summarize our third quarter performance, Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA grew 10%, our Marketplace Adjusted EBITDA grew 34%, and our Marketplace Volumes grew 6%.
Brad Lakhia: Our finance credit loss rate continues to improve, and AFC continues to be a major contributor to our overall financial performance.
Brad Lakhia: We generate a $260 million of cash flow from operations through nine months. And finally, we believe our strong performance reinforces the strength of our strategy, our compelling value proposition for our customers, and the benefits of our asset-light digital model.
Brad Lakhia: Before I turn the call to the operator for questions, as Peter mentioned, we'll be hosting a virtual investor update on Tuesday, November 19th from 10 a.m. to 10.45 a.m. Eastern Time.
Brad Lakhia: Members of our senior executive management team will discuss open lane strategy and our enhanced AFC disclosures and performance metrics. We'll also allocate time at the end for Q&A. Please ensure you join the live webcast. Information to join will be posted on our website.
Brad Lakhia: With that, I'll turn the call over to the operator for questions.
Speaker Change: We will now begin the question and answer session.
Speaker Change: To ask a question, you may press star then 1 on your touchtone phone. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys.
Brad Lakhia: If at any time your question has been addressed and you would like to withdraw your question, please press star then 2 and at this time We'll pause momentarily to assemble
Speaker Change: And the first question will come from Raja Gupta with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.
Speaker Change: Bye.
Raja Gupta: Great. Thanks for taking the questions and Brad, I just want to wish you all the best and look forward to speaking with you in the next few months.
Speaker Change: I just had a couple questions here. Maybe on the D-to-D volumes, you know, in the U.S. specifically, I think you mentioned that you continue to gain share versus physical. Are you able to quantify that a little more in terms of...
Brad Lakhia: you know, how much was the Delta, you know, maybe, you know, how much was U.S. overall versus Canada?
Brad Lakhia: Any more color there, or maybe to ask it another way.
Speaker Change: Are you able to give us a sense of how your open marketplace did in the U.S. versus the industry? Any way you could characterize those shared gains in a little more granular fashion? I'll have a follow-up. Thanks.
Speaker Change: Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.
Speaker Change: Yeah, thanks Rajat, I appreciate that.
Speaker Change: So I guess what I'd say, Rajat, you know, as I mentioned in my remarks, I was pleased to see dealer volumes improve, particularly versus the first half of the year. We saw a substantial, you know, positive swing versus the year-on-year trajectory that was the case in the first half, and we saw improvement generally in all the markets that we operate, you know, including the U.S.
Speaker Change: I also, as I mentioned in my remarks, we believe we're gaining share in that marketplace if we look at our total open.
Speaker Change: sale transactions versus dealer, you know, dealer transactions in auction net, we believe we're growing, we're gaining share vis-a-vis that. The other thing I was pleased about Rajat was we obviously saw improving momentum over the course of the quarter.
Speaker Change: So we finished the quarter stronger than we started.
Speaker Change: And some of that I attribute to, you know, we put more go-to-market resources investments in the field at the start of the quarter and it takes a while for that to sort of have an impact and start to bear fruit. So I think we're seeing.
Speaker Change: Positives from that.
Speaker Change: And finally, you know, increased marketplace participation. You know, we track number of sellers, number of buyers, and we're seeing growth in total marketplace participation, growth in both sellers and buyers. Probably more growth on the buy side than the sell side, but we're pleased to see growth in both categories.
Speaker Change: We don't give the split on U.S.-Canada, so I'll kind of leave my, I'll leave the specific volumes there, but we're pleased with the traction we're seeing in both markets.
Speaker Change: Got it. That's helpful, Color. And maybe just on the pricing strategy.
Speaker Change: Some of your peers, especially on the digital side, the timing of their price increases and continue to move up.
Speaker Change: You know, you know, you know, through the course of the year, you know, earlier than later in the year. Now, it's more earlier in the year. I was curious, like, you know, have you followed those price increases? You know, how would you rate your prices versus them or maybe
Speaker Change: If you could give us a sense of what the difference is between yours and the physical auction providers today, and how much more pricing power there is in the business.
Speaker Change: Thanks.
Speaker Change: Thank you.
Speaker Change: So, Rajat, first of all, when I think about pricing and, you know, the value propositions of our customers, I go back to our purpose statement, making wholesale easy so our customers can be more successful. And I also think about what are the attributes that differentiate us in the eyes of our customers. And I think, you know, speed to sale, the fact that we can sell cars in a day.
Speaker Change: so very quickly, very efficiently. Cost of sale, the fact that it costs us less to put a card through our digital marketplace than it costs to put a card through
Speaker Change: alternative remarketing channels, let's say. You know, our process is very efficient. I see that as a structural advantage, a long-term structural advantage of our business model.
Speaker Change: And obviously, you know, excellent customer service and excellent outcomes in terms of price. So those are the things we're really trying to optimize for our customer. And those points of differentiation, I think, resonate with our customers. And that's what's going to help us grow our business. And obviously, you know, we're focused on that.
Speaker Change: Obviously, pricing matters and we have to make sure we're getting appropriate reward for that.
Speaker Change: What I would say, Rajat, is I think we're well positioned vis-a-vis our competition. And by that, I would say the prices that we charge, I would say, are at or below what the customer would tend to use with alternative channels, whether physical or other digital alternatives.
Speaker Change: So I think we have some headroom there, but we're also focused on growth. So let me give you some specifics. Late in the third quarter,
Speaker Change: in the month of September. We did a price increase in Canada and that was to really reflect the impact of the digital services tax that we spoke about on our last earnings call. So that is now in place but it's not really evident in our Q3 results except for one of the three months.
Speaker Change: So we'll get the future benefit of that for a full quarter here in Q4, and we'll get it for all of next year. So that's one change we made in the quarter, and then I'll say not in the third quarter, but just recently in this fourth quarter, we did a modest price increase in our U.S. open marketplace.
Speaker Change: Again, reflecting the fact that we think we have some room.
Speaker Change: And I would say even with this change, we still believe we're attractively priced in the minds of our customers vis-à-vis alternatives and other alternatives out there. So, again, that price increase is not reflected at all in Q3, will be partially reflected in Q4, and we'll have the benefit of that in all of 2025. So, we're...
Speaker Change: We're focused on, obviously, the value we create for our customers and the outcomes we create for our customers, and then getting an appropriate reward for that. And again, I'll go back. I feel pleased with our marketplace performance. You know, EBITDA grew 36% year-on-year, and that was without us being as aggressive as perhaps
Speaker Change: we could on this pricing dimension. So I feel we're good, well positioned, and we'll take the steps we need at the appropriate times.
Speaker Change: Thank you.
Speaker Change: Understood. That's very helpful, Culler. Thanks and good luck.
Speaker Change: Thank you Rajat. Thanks Rajat. The next question will come from John Murphy with Bank of America. Please go ahead.
John Murphy: Good evening. Just a question in this, in the volume ramp. It seems like it's actually been improving in the past.
John Murphy: of course, but when you talk to dealers, you know, they keep talking about sort of this shortage and having a hard time
John Murphy: finding vehicles. So I'm just curious as you think about when this actual real inflection in industry-wide volume comes and some of the leverage that you're already starting to see really may, you know, really inflect and take off.
Speaker Change: Yeah, thanks, John.
Speaker Change: I guess, listen, I'm pleased that we're continuing to deliver volume growth, you know, the growth in the third quarter, that's six consecutive quarters of volume growth. I'm also pleased.
Speaker Change: volume growth in both commercial and with dealers.
Speaker Change: And if I look at each one, commercial, in spite of sort of the off-lease headwinds, we're in that sort of shadow period or echo period of the lower level of lease originations, but we grew our volumes in the third quarter in spite of that. So I take that as a positive. And then on the dealer side, as I mentioned, you know, a significant improvement versus the first half of the year and improving momentum over the course of the quarter. So...
Speaker Change: I feel good about that.
Speaker Change: I guess if I look at the macro factors, John, you know, inventory on dealers' lots has increased, certainly on the new car side, and I think that makes dealers more likely to sort of trade out of, you know, a trade-in that might be a marginal unit for them, whereas two years ago they might have held on to that.
Speaker Change: So I think we're seeing that starting to.
John Murphy: positively impact dealer consignment, and I'm hopeful that will be a longer term trend, not just a short-term phenomenon. I think most analysts, including yourself, are predicting that these inventory levels will remain, you know, somewhat elevated or back in the normal range, let's say, of what they used to be.
Speaker Change: Thank you.
Speaker Change: As I mentioned in my remarks, the commercial volume, I think, continues to remain challenged for the next, you know, for the next number of quarters, the end of next year. I think the real acceleration, John, is going to come in 2026.
Speaker Change: You know, at the beginning of 2026,
Speaker Change: We're going to be three years on from when we started to see a significant ramp-up in lease origination. That started happening in the beginning of 2023.
Speaker Change: And I think coupled with that, we're going to see those leases come back. They won't have all the positive equity that current leases have, so a higher percentage of them will get returned. There will be a higher percentage of EVs within that. A lot of those are going to get returned.
John Murphy: So, that's kind of my expectation, and coincidentally, we were having a dealer advisory panel here at our office this afternoon, so I got to spend time with a bunch of our great customers, frankly, dealer customers. So, this was a topic of conversation. I'd say, generally, that's the feedback they have, is that inventory...
John Murphy: You know, the ideal inventory for them over the next few quarters is going to continue to remain a little scarcer than they'd like, particularly on the used car side. And they see that sort of changing really in a late 25 into 26 time frame.
Speaker Change: And then just a second question on the on the financing side, I mean there's a lot of you know constant rumbling about sort of the subprime
Speaker Change: You're a consumer, you know, having a lot of trouble and the false delinquencies have risen to some degree. It doesn't necessarily translate into what you're doing on the financing, on the foreclined financing side on AFC, but I mean, I just curious if there is any sort of you know contagion or anything you're seeing in your
John Murphy: your base of dealers on the ASC side where there's any incremental signs of trouble or they seem to be managing everything well and there's not any real step up in need for you know higher provisioning or anything like that there.
Speaker Change: No, no, let me start. I'll hand this to Brad to go into more some of the specifics, but.
Brad Lakhia: John, we're not seeing that. We're actually kind of seeing the opposite of that. We're seeing the risk metrics at AFC.
Brad Lakhia: improve it, frankly, you know, and I think, you know, the nature of that business is we do get a little bit of forward view into
Brad Lakhia: the business. So, you know, I feel I feel good about that. You know, AFC continues to perform well, is a strong contributor to our consolidated results, and had a good quarter. 39 million of adjusted EBIT down the quarter was strong.
Brad Lakhia: and obviously strong cash generation. And we look forward to talking more about this on the 19th, by the way. So, you know, I feel good about that. I think used vehicle values have stabilized. They're not declining like they were, you know, in that sort of period where they dropped 20% over 18 months.
Speaker Change: And I think that really helps improve our risk profile. But Brad, do you want to add anything to, or share anything beyond that? Yeah, no, John, I think I'd just restate what I said earlier in some of my remarks, that, you know, that independent dealers are being more disappointed around the absolute...
Brad Lakhia: number of vehicles that they're carrying on their lots. We think that's good. You know, we saw a period when vehicle values were declining, where the risk profile for the business and those dealers was different, particularly in 2023.
Brad Lakhia: So that discipline, we think, is a good, positive thing. You know, the recent, you know, reduction in interest rates has been helpful for those independent dealers. I think, you know, as the...
Brad Lakhia: As we look forward to potential further interest rate cuts, I think that's going to make
Brad Lakhia: There are floor plans more affordable. And so, yeah, just to kind of answer your question a little bit more directly, in terms of any, you know, contagion from, you know, kind of the retail dynamic that you mentioned, subprime dynamic, we're not seeing that.
Brad Lakhia: And I will also just emphasize, you know, as we always have been with this business.
Brad Lakhia: Very disciplined underwriting.
Brad Lakhia: very, very strong risk management, you know, close to the customer. We're out in these local markets with our branch locations. We're very close to the customers. So we're really able to stay on top of things pretty nicely in terms of looking at the risk profile of individual accounts. And so we feel really good about where this business is at.
Brad Lakhia: Bye.
Speaker Change: Sounds good, looking forward to the 19th. Thanks so much guys.
Speaker Change: Thank you, John. The next question will come from Bob Ladeck with CJS Securities. Please go ahead.
Speaker Change: Hi, this is Will for Bob. Just one question, how is the mix of off-lease auctions changing, if at all, with lower off-lease volumes?
Speaker Change: Yeah, Will, thank you.
Speaker Change: You know...
Speaker Change: It has well
Speaker Change: I was going to say it hasn't changed much but let me let me say
Speaker Change: One thing we've noticed is that as we've ramped up our go-to-markets efforts, we're seeing much more participation by franchise dealers as buyers in our open marketplace.
Speaker Change: I think they're finally getting to learn that, hey, Open Lane has a very unique and differentiated set of off-lease inventory flowing through that marketplace.
Speaker Change: So we're seeing, you know, on a year-on-year basis, solid improvements in the number of off-lease vehicles selling in that open channel.
Speaker Change: in absolute numbers and also in percentage terms. And that's a real positive for us because...
Speaker Change: Will, that's our highest ARPU revenue per unit channel, you know, in the off-lease waterfall. So I'm encouraged by that. We're seeing a small tick up in the blended ARPU across the off-lease category.
Speaker Change: So, again, that really is reflecting that the percentage of vehicles selling to the grounding dealer has declined modestly. We're seeing more vehicles flow through into those higher revenue channels.
Speaker Change: You know, how that plays out over the next, you know, year, difficult for me to predict. We'll kind of have to take it as it comes. It'll depend on a lot of factors. But the current trajectory is quite encouraging to me at least.
Speaker Change: Great, thanks.
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Speaker Change: Thank you, Will.
Speaker Change: Itunu Orelaru, Peter Kelly, Itunu Orelaru, Peter Kelly, Itunu Orelaru, Peter Kelly, Itunu
Speaker Change: The next question will come from Gary Prestapino with Brangston Research. Please go ahead. Hi, good morning, good afternoon, Peter, Brad. Hey, Gary. Peter, you know,
Gary: consignment vehicles sold were up for the first time this year in any quarter. You maybe give us, can you slap some metrics around dealer participation, I mean, and dealer recruitment?
Gary: Thank you.
Speaker Change: Yeah, we don't we don't disclose the exact numbers, you know each quarter Gary But obviously we track, you know, the number of active buyers in our marketplace the number of active
Speaker Change: sellers, both in terms of login activity, but also purchase activity, and then the total number of participants in total.
Gary: And as I mentioned, we saw good growth over the course of the quarter, particularly on the on the buyer side. So that's encouraging. I think, you know, the market's been.
Gary: Maybe a little bit more robust. Demand is strong, so that probably helps with buyer engagement and buyer activity as well.
Gary: But we have, you know, in any given quarter, you know, tens of thousands of active dealers on a North American basis.
Gary: Probably in any given quarter, roughly a third on the sell side and two thirds on the buy side. And obviously, a bunch of dealers are both buyers and sellers as well. So, significant volume, significant share, and an opportunity for us, I think, to deepen our wallet share.
Gary: Deep in our wallets here with
Gary: with those customers over time.
Gary: You know, another thing that, and without going into all the details, you know, when we did the car wave migration, and this is going back a little bit.
Gary: But certainly when we migrated that platform
Gary: We encountered some headwinds. This is a year, year and a half ago. We've seen really robust improvement in our California market. Ever since we rebranded to Open Lane and the commercial inventory in there, that offering seems to be really, really strong, and we're seeing a lot of positive growth in that particular market as well, which
Gary: It's good to see.
Speaker Change: I mean, are you are you being more proactive with with dealer recruitment or is just the word getting out that hey, you know, it's true
Gary: It's getting to be an ease-of-use platform, and it's...
Gary: It's generating good inventory looks, et cetera, et cetera.
Gary: like that.
Speaker Change: Well, Gary, it's both. We are absolutely being more, you know, proactive. We have made increased investments in our go-to-market and really the idea is to get the word out about the value that our platform creates for dealers. And again, I mentioned I was out, you know, with many dealers over the course of the quarter. I heard that firsthand from those dealers.
Speaker Change: They see our platform as differentiated. They see the value we're creating and the value they're getting through our channel that they're not getting
Speaker Change: you know, in other places. So we are being more proactive, that is true.
Gary: But the second thing is, I think word of mouth is getting out. I think, you know, the open lane brand transition happened actually just slightly less than a year ago. It was late October last year. So, you know, we started 2024 with a new brand in the marketplace.
Gary: Whether we like it or not, that creates a certain amount of re-adjustments and customers who is this company and, you know, all that kind of stuff. So I think that's now behind us.
Gary: And in terms of the word getting out, I mean, there was a podcast and one of our dealer customers went on it last week, it's a...
Gary: well-known podcast in the industry. It's listened to by a lot of dealers.
Gary: We had a customer on there last week and he spoke about Open Lane delivering prices that he was not getting in any other channel.
Gary: You know, we're really really strong. So that that was unsolicited feedback I was obviously delighted to hear it But that I would say is part of you know word getting out in the dealer community that that you know This platform can offer our customers a lot of value
Speaker Change: I would just prove you're... Oh, I'm sorry, Brad. Go ahead.
Speaker Change: I would just add, I mean, just add a little bit to what Peter said.
Brad Lakhia: You know, not only are we making more, you know, more assertive investments and go-to-market, you know, resources out in the field,
Brad Lakhia: We're also optimizing that. There's some changes that we've made around just how we drive our sales force and our teams out there. And we're seeing some early results, positive early results from that as well.
Speaker Change: Okay, thank you.
Speaker Change: Thank you, Gary.
Gary: Thank you very much.
Speaker Change: The next question will come from Craig Kinison with Baird. Please go ahead.
Craig Kinison: Hey, good afternoon. If I could follow up, I'm Gary's...
Gary: line of questioning. I'm curious about the past.
Gary: dealers take to becoming one of your customers on the sell side? Do they typically start as a buyer and then migrate as a seller or are the paths more various than that?
Gary: Um...
Speaker Change: It is more varied than that. First of all, Craig, thank you. I appreciate the questions. Good to hear from you.
Speaker Change: It is more varied. I will say, a lot of dealers, their first experience with us is as a buyer. And in the case of a lot of franchise dealers, that might be a buyer on one of our private label, you know, marketplaces where they
Gary: you know, they may not even acknowledge that it's Open Lane, what they're buying, you know, in that sort of OEM branded marketplace that we are operating.
Gary: So for a lot of dealers, that's the first experience. Obviously, through our go-to-market efforts, we ultimately want to get to meet them and explain the full solution set that we offer and how this week can benefit them on the sell side as well.
Gary: So that's kind of a path. I think if we think of what are sort of the easy things for a franchisee or in particular to say yes to? Well,
Gary: Should you be buying on your OEM branded private label site? Well, clearly yes. Every franchise dealer should be engaged in that marketplace to get access to that high quality in-brand inventory.
Gary: Should you be a buyer in our open marketplace? Well, yes, you know, there's differentiated inventory there.
Gary: That's where it sort of lands first before it gets
Gary: allocated to some other channel. So that's a fairly easy cell.
Gary: And then...
Gary: Does our selling solution create value for you? And again, sometimes that's a little bit of a higher hurdle because they might say, well, I sell a physical auction, I've been doing it for 20 years and this is how I do it, or I use somebody else.
Gary: But as we sort of can get in and explain, hey, these cars are selling in a day.
Gary: It's attractively priced, we're getting great price outcomes on these vehicles based on
Gary: You know customer feedback and data You know We can generally find a way to get them at least into a trial mode and go on from there And you know Craig I'm really pleased like from talking with a bunch of these dealers how many dealers have
Gary: fully integrated us into their process, and I'm seeing more and more dealers
Gary: integrating us at the sort of front end of the funnel, like, you know, numerous dealers I spoke to say they start their process with Open Lane, so they get these wholesale trades, they know they don't want them for the retail lot, they're going to start them on Open Lane, we're going to get the first shot, and this this mirror is kind of our off-least private label experience, we get the first shot there.
Gary: maybe we sell 50, 60, 70 percent and then what remains maybe that goes to the local auction or goes to another channel. So that's the positioning we really like to get to. We're there with a lot of dealers and we're going to keep trying to get there with more.
Speaker Change: Thanks Peter and Brad. Maybe I'll take a shot on AFC. I know you've got this call upcoming but I think internally you must have concluded the market doesn't quite value that properly. At a high level, how would you characterize fair value for AFC and what really drives that thinking?
Speaker Change: Yeah, no, Craig, I appreciate the question. Listen, I think as we've studied this a little bit more recently, you know, when we look at the financial performance and the performance metrics of this business,
Speaker Change: Some of which Peter highlighted earlier, return on equity.
Speaker Change: kind of price multiple to earnings.
Speaker Change: Listen, Craig, it would be inappropriate for me to comment on whether or not it's really valued or not. You know, I'm going to leave that up to our investors and folks like you. But, you know, listen, we do believe that this business has got an opportunity to be better understood by the market, and that's why we're going to be doing this session on the 19th.
Speaker Change: And we think by providing enhanced information, enhanced disclosures, as well as metrics.
Speaker Change: that there'll be an opportunity for there to be a better appreciation of the value of this business and also a strategic value to Open Lane more broadly. So I think that's kind of where we're at. We really like the business. And quite frankly, Craig, the other thing I would say is,
Speaker Change: The AFC business has become more more of a bigger piece of the pie for Open Lane
Speaker Change: as Open Lane's transformation has occurred. You know, as we got out of the salvage business and spun that out in 19, the U.S. physical business that we sold a couple years ago. So it's just become a bigger piece of Open Lane. And therefore, we're going to be more intentional and more deliberate around how we explain it and how we position this business with you and our investment community.
Speaker Change: Thank you for watching!
Speaker Change: Great, looking forward to it. Thank you.
Speaker Change: Thank you, Craig.
Speaker Change: The next question will come from John Healy with North Coast Research. Please go ahead.
John Healy: Thanks for taking my question, guys. Peter, I just wanted to ask a high-level question. You mentioned it kind of...
Speaker Change: twice now that you know 2025 might be a tough year for the commercial side and I think when you pencil out those month-to-month kind of fluctuations there's some pretty steep declines that will happen on that side of the business next year.
Speaker Change: So with that said, I mean as you look at next year
Speaker Change: Do you view it as a year where you guys can grow volume in aggregate, and then, you know, secondly, if ARKly's volumes contract next year,
Speaker Change: Does that actually create pressure on ARPU?
Speaker Change: for Open Lane on the commercial side, given that, you know, there'd be less cars at the top of the funnel.
Speaker Change: potentially in a leap of void.
Speaker Change: Lower, you know down the channel where you know you guys typically extract
Speaker Change: higher rates on those sales. So I was just, you know, without giving guidance, I'm sure you're not ready to do that. I was just hoping you could kind of, you know, coach us through that thought process a bit.
Speaker Change: None of us, I certainly can't, you know, predict the future, but here's what I'd say. What do we know? We know there's lower off-lease maturities in 2025. So at the very top of the funnel, there's a lower volume because of lower lease originations three years prior. So that's a fact.
Speaker Change: Offsetting that, we also expect...
Speaker Change: The payoff rates, the amount of vehicles that are paid off pre-term, to also decline somewhat. And we expect this because our customers expect this, and they tell us this.
Speaker Change: So that can actually serve to offset lower maturities, depending on how those two sort of intersect, right?
Speaker Change: So I can't...
Speaker Change: really predict how that's going to play. All I know that is in Q3, which is in this period of time we're talking about, we were able to grow our commercial volumes. So we're off to, I think, a pretty good start. We're going to have to see how it plays out over the next few quarters, but it really is the intersection of those two things that will govern the amount of volume we get.
Speaker Change: So I kind of view it as, you know, 2025 there are some headwinds there on the commercial side.
Speaker Change: I don't necessarily conclude that we can't grow our commercial volumes. We will see, you know, we'll see how it tracks.
Speaker Change: We certainly anticipate continuing to lean into dealer volumes and growing that part of our business and growing that over the longer term. And we're also looking to 2026 when we actually, again, as I've said, expect to see a significant
Speaker Change: Improvement
Speaker Change: in off-lease maturities, as well as a continued decline in the preterm sort of payoff rate.
Speaker Change: So, I think once we look to 26 and 7, we get into this sort of sustained period where the commercial story becomes a really positive story for our company. That's my current expectation.
Speaker Change: And obviously, you know, going through that period, we're not slowing down, you know, 2025 might have some headwinds, we're not slowing down, we're investing in these commercial seller relationships, as I talked about, we're deepening those relationships, our commercial sellers see us as a value-added and differentiated partner. I mean, I mentioned one of them selling 95%.
Speaker Change: You know, that's because we create value for that customer, not just giving us 95%. They're selling 95% because that's where they get the greatest value.
Speaker Change: Others telling us that we're getting a significant premium versus other channels.
Speaker Change: Others that are experimenting, how do I sell more cars in the open channel, because, you know, I don't want to go back to sending 10,000 cars a month, putting them on trucks, sending them to physical auctions, incurring all that expense.
Speaker Change: So, how can I do more with you? So, these are all the things we're doing to deepen the relationship, and I think the longer term opportunity in commercial will be very, very positive for this company.
Speaker Change: Thank you for watching!
Brad Lakhia: Yeah, John. Hey, listen, Brad here. I just add a couple things.
Speaker Change: You know we've modeled this scenario. I know your questions around volume and ARPU but I'm gonna maybe just bring it back at least as we look into the foreseeable future in the 2025 at least.
Speaker Change: We've modeled these, you know, and I would say kind of three dimensions, kind of a base case.
Speaker Change: maybe four dimensions, base.
Speaker Change: You know better and best and then there's a worst and at least from an overall financial, you know performance perspective Even in a worst case, it's it's not really a it's not really a significant headwind to us to our marketplace business
Speaker Change: And from a base case and a better case, we feel like this is still going to be a pretty strong business for us as we work our way through this more difficult, challenging period of 2025.
Speaker Change: Great, thank you guys.
Speaker Change: Thank you, John .
Speaker Change: This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Peter Kelly for any closing remarks. Please go ahead.
Peter Kelly: Well, thank you for your questions, everybody, and thank you also for joining the call this afternoon. You know, as I said at the beginning of the call, I believe our third quarter results clearly demonstrate the power of Open Lane, and I'm very optimistic in terms of how Open Lane is positioned to capture the opportunities that lie ahead.
Speaker Change: I appreciate your interest in our company and we look forward to hosting you again for our AFC Investor Update on November 19th and our Q4 New Year's End Earnings Call which will be early next year. We look forward to both of those and wish you all a very great evening. Thank you.
Speaker Change: Thank you for watching!
Speaker Change: The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.
Speaker Change: All charts are, however, in the description.