Q3 2025 Cabot Corp Earnings Call
Jill: Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the third quarter 2025 Cabot Corporation Earnings Conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Steve Delahunt, Vice President, Investor Relations, and Treasurer. Please go ahead.
Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the third quarter, 2025 cabin, Corporation earnings conference call.
At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode.
After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session.
To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1 1 on your telephone.
You will then hear an automated message. Advising. Your hand is raised.
To withdraw your question. Please press star 1 1 again.
Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
Steve Delahunt: Thank you, Jill, and good morning. I would like to welcome you to the Cabot Corporation Earnings Teleconference. With me today are Sean Keohane, CEO and President, and Erica McLaughlin, Executive Vice President and CFO. Last night, we released results for our third quarter of fiscal 2025, copies of which are posted in the Investor Relations section of our website. The slide deck that accompanies this call is also available in the Investor Relations portion of our website and will be available in conjunction with the replay of the call. During this conference call, we will make forward-looking statements about our expected future operational and financial performance. Each forward-looking statement is subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected in such statements.
I would now like to hand the conference over to your first Speaker today. Steve delahunt, vice president, investor relations and Treasurer. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Joe, and good morning. I would like to welcome you to the Kaaba Corporation's earnings teleconference.
With me today are Sean kohane, CEO and president, and Erica McGlothlin, Executive, Vice President and CFO.
Last night, we released results for our third quarter of fiscal 2025 copies of which are posted. The investor relations section of our website.
The slide deck that accompanies, this call is also available in the investor relations portion of our website and will be available in conjunction with the replay of the call.
During this conference call, we will make four looking statements about our expected future operational and financial performance.
Steve Delahunt: Additional information regarding these factors appears in the press release we issued last night and in our 10-Ks for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2024, and in subsequent filings we make with the SEC, all of which are available on the company's website. In order to provide greater transparency regarding our operating performance, we refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures that involve adjustments to GAAP results. The non-GAAP financial measures referenced on this call are reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure in a table at the end of our earnings release issued last night and available in the Investor section of our website. I will now turn the call over to Sean, who will discuss the third quarter highlights and some strategic highlights.
Each 4 looking statement is subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected in such statements,
Additional information regarding these factors appears in the press release. We issued last night.
And in our 10K for the fiscal year, ended September 30th 2024 and in subsequent filings, we make with the SEC all but are available on the company's website.
In order to provide greater transparency regarding our operating performance, we refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures that involve adjustments to GAAP results.
The non-gaap financial measures reference on this call are reconciled to the most directly comparable. Gaap Financial measure in a table. At the end of our earnings release issued last night and available in the investor section of our website.
Steve Delahunt: Erica will review the third quarter financial results along with the business segment results and provide an update on our M&A and capital allocation priorities. Following this, Sean will discuss our outlook for fiscal 2025 and then open the floor to questions. Sean.
And some strategic highlights.
Eric will review the third quarter financial results along with the business segment results and provide an update on our M&A and capital allocation priorities.
Sean Keohane: Thank you, Steve, and good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to our call today. I am pleased with our strong third quarter results, which were a bit better than our expectations. We delivered Q3 adjusted earnings per share of $1.90, which was in line with our second quarter results and down 1% as compared to the same period in the prior year. Overall, we continue to execute at a high level and operate with agility in this dynamic and challenging macroeconomic environment. While both segments were impacted by 8% lower volumes year over year, given the challenging macroeconomic backdrop, we largely offset these impacts through strong network optimization, cost management efforts, and continued execution of commercial excellence actions.
Following this, Sean will discuss our outlook for fiscal 2025 and then open the floor to questions. Sean.
Thank you, Steve, and good morning. Ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to our call today.
I am pleased with our strong third quarter results, which were a bit better than our expectations.
We delivered Q3 adjusted earnings per share of $1.90, which was in line with our second quarter results and down 1%, as compared to the same period in the prior year.
Overall, we continue to execute at a high level and operate with agility in this Dynamic and challenging macroeconomic environment.
Sean Keohane: Looking at the segments, we delivered solid EBIT results from reinforcement materials, which was down 6% year over year in the third quarter, and strong EBIT results in performance chemicals, which was up 4% as compared to the third quarter of the prior year. The Cabot portfolio has strong cash flow characteristics, and this continued strength was exhibited in the quarter. We generated $249 million of operating cash flow in the third quarter, which funded our capital expenditures and enabled $64 million of cash return to shareholders through a combination of share repurchases and dividends. During the quarter, we also made important progress on key elements of our Creating for Tomorrow strategy. I will spend a few minutes now highlighting four accomplishments that are important elements of our strategy for long-term shareholder value creation.
While both segments were impacted by 8% lower volumes year-over-year, given the challenging macroeconomic backdrop, we largely offset these impacts through strong network optimization, cost management efforts, and continued execution of commercial excellence actions.
Looking at the segments, we delivered solid ebit results from reinforcement, materials, which was down 6% year-over-year in the third quarter.
And strong ebit results, in performance, chemicals, which was up 4% as compared to the third quarter of the prior year.
The Kavit portfolio has strong cash flow characteristics, and this continued strength was exhibited in the quarter.
We generated 249 million of operating cash flow in the third quarter, which funded our Capital expenditures and enabled 64 million of cash return to shareholders through a combination of share repurchases, and dividends
During the quarter, we also made important progress on key elements of our creating for tomorrow strategy.
I'll spend a few minutes now, highlighting 4 accomplishments that are important elements of our strategy for long-term shareholder value creation.
Sean Keohane: Last night, we announced that Cabot has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Bridgestone's reinforcing carbons plant in Mexico for $70 million. This manufacturing facility is located in close proximity to Cabot's current reinforcing carbons facility in Altamira, Mexico, and strengthens our longstanding partnership with Bridgestone through the long-term supply of reinforcing carbon products from this plant. The facility also has the capacity to manufacture additional reinforcing carbons, providing flexibility to support broader customer needs and future growth opportunities for Cabot. Furthermore, it underscores Bridgestone's confidence in Cabot as a trusted partner with a proven track record of delivering high-quality, reliable supply of reinforcing carbon products. The transaction is expected to close within three to six months and to be accretive in the first year.
Last night, we announced that cabinet has entered into a definitive agreement, to acquire, bridgestone's reinforcing carbon's plants in Mexico for 70 million. This manufacturing facility is located in, close proximity to Cabbage. Current reinforcing carbon facility in Altamira, Mexico and strengthens our long-standing partnership with Bridgestone through the long-term supply of reinforcing carbon products from this point,
The facility also has the capacity to manufacture additional reinforcing carbons, providing flexibility to support broader customer needs and future growth opportunities for Cabot.
Furthermore it underscores bridgestone's confidence in cabinet as a trusted partner with a proven track record of delivering high quality reliable supply of reinforcing carbon products.
Sean Keohane: This is an example of how we are deploying our strong cash flow to fund an attractive acquisition that strengthens our portfolio, drives incremental growth, and is accretive to earnings. Sustainability is at the heart of our purpose and integral to our strategy of creating value for our customers. Given that, we are especially proud of the various forms of external recognition that we have received over the years for our sustainability leadership. At the top of that list is the Platinum rating we received from EcoVadis for the fifth consecutive year. EcoVadis is the world's largest and most trusted provider of business sustainability ratings with more than 150,000 rated companies. A Platinum rating is the highest level of achievement and places Cabot among the top 1% of companies in the manufacturing of basic chemicals.
The transaction is expected to close within 3 to 6 months and to be accredited in the first year.
This is an example of how we are deploying. Our strong cash flow to fund an attractive acquisition that strengthens. Our portfolio drives incremental growth and is a creative to earnings.
Sustainability is at the heart of our purpose and integral to our strategy of creating value for our customers. Given that we are, especially proud of the various forms of external recognition. That we have received over the years for our sustainability leadership.
At the top of that list is the Platinum rating. We received from Echo vatis for the 5th consecutive year.
Echo. Vatis is the world's largest and most trusted provider of business sustainability ratings, with more than 150,000 rated companies.
Sean Keohane: This prestigious recognition underscores Cabot's commitment to transparency and provides our customers with visibility into our sustainability performance. In battery materials, we continue to execute well against our growth strategy to build a leadership position. Through the first three quarters of fiscal year 2025, we have increased contribution margin by 20% compared to the same period in fiscal year 2024. Our strategy is centered around the view that the battery industry is bifurcating with differences between China and the rest of the world. In China, growth is high, with EV penetration now exceeding 50% of annual vehicle sales. The environment across the EV value chain is competitive, and our segmentation strategy is focused on differentiation based on blends of conductive additives and targeting those customers that serve the higher value segment of the domestic economy and the export market.
A platinum rating is the highest level of achievement in places Kat among the top 1% of companies in the manufacturing of basic chemicals.
This, prestigious recognition underscores cabbage commitment to transparency and provides our customers with visibility into our sustainability performance.
In battery materials, we continue to execute well against our growth strategy to build the leadership position.
Through the first 3 quarters of fiscal year 2025, we have increased contribution margin by 20% compared to the same period in fiscal year 2024.
Our strategy is centered around the view that the battery industry is bifurcating with differences between China and the rest of the world.
In China growth is high with EV penetration. Now exceeding 50% of annual vehicle sales.
Sean Keohane: Outside of China, we are focused on building incumbent positions with the battery customers that are establishing manufacturing plants in the Western economies. These customers value our breadth of technology, as we are the only global player that can produce both conductive carbons and carbon nanotubes, as well as blends. Additionally, our global footprint is an important feature to address their desire for a local supply chain and strong regional application and sales support. While the build-out of battery production in North America and Europe is developing more slowly than it originally anticipated, it is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 40% through 2030 and represent 25% to 30% of global production by that date. Our strong reputation, breadth of product offering, global footprint, and track record with the global battery producers set us up well to build an incumbent position in these geographies.
Of the domestic economy and the export market.
Outside of China, we are focused on building incumbent positions with the battery customers that are establishing manufacturing plants in the western economies.
These customers value our breadth of technology, as we are the only global player that can produce both conductive carbons and carbon nanotubes, as well as blends.
Additionally, our Global footprint is an important feature to address their desire for a local supply chain and strong Regional application and sales support.
While the buildout of battery production in North America, and Europe is developing more slowly than it originally anticipated. It is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 40% through 2030 and represent 25 to 30% of Global Production by that day.
Sean Keohane: We continue to believe these geographies will become large over time, driven by penetration of EVs and hybrid vehicles, as well as the growth of energy storage batteries for data center and grid applications. This application remains an important strategic priority for us, and we intend to continue to invest prudently to build long-term value. Moving now to strategic growth activities in other areas of performance chemicals, you will recall that we highlighted a number of important applications within this segment during our last Investor Day. Two of these priority areas are focused on the infrastructure and alternative energy sectors. Both of these sectors are growing at multiples of GDP, supported by strong macro tailwinds.
Our strong reputation, breadth of product offering Global footprint and track record with the global battery. Producers set us up. Well, to build an incumbent position in these geographies.
We continue to believe these geographies will become large over time driven by penetration of EVs and hybrid vehicles, as well as the growth of energy storage batteries for Data Center and grid applications.
This application remains an important strategic priority for us and we intend to continue to invest prudently to build long-term value.
Moving now to strategic growth activities and other areas of performance chemicals, you will recall that we highlighted a number of important applications within this segment during our last investor day.
2 of these priority areas are focused on the infrastructure and Alternative Energy sectors.
Both of these sectors are growing at multiple GDPs, supported by strong macro tailwinds.
Sean Keohane: In the infrastructure space, the wire and cable application is experiencing strong growth driven by electrical grid renewal, growth of power generation demands due to data centers, and the development of alternative energy sources such as wind and solar. Our conductive carbons are a critical material in the performance of power distribution cables, and Cabot has built a strong reputation for quality, performance, and reliability. On a year-to-date basis through Q3, our volumes in this application have grown by 15% compared to the same period last year. In the alternative energy space, Cabot is a leading provider of treated fume silica for use in adhesive formulations that are critical in the manufacturing of wind turbine blades.
In the infrastructure space, the wiring cable application is experiencing strong, growth driven by electrical grid renewal growth of power, generation demands due to Data Centers, and the development of alternative energy sources such as wind and solar.
Our conductive, carbons are a critical material in the performance of power distribution, cables, and cabinet has built a strong reputation for Quality performance and reliability.
On a year-to-date basis through Q3 our volumes in this application have grown by 15% compared to the same period last year.
Sean Keohane: Growth in this application is being driven by investments in alternative energy generation, and through the first three quarters of fiscal year 2025, our volumes have increased by 8% compared to the same period last year. Our strong product offering, global footprint, and reputation for performance and quality have resulted in Cabot achieving a strong incumbent position with many leading customers. I am very pleased with our strategic developments and am confident that these pursuits will continue to build our long-term potential for sustained value creation. I will now turn it over to Erica to discuss the financial results for the quarter. Erica.
In the Alternative Energy. Space cabin is a leading provider of treated fume silica for use in adhesive formulations that are critical in the manufacturing of wind turbine blades.
Growth in this application is being driven by investments in Alternative Energy generation and through the first 3 quarters of fiscal year 2025. Our volumes have increased by 8% compared to the same period last year.
Our strong product offering Global footprint and reputation for performance and quality have resulted in Cavett. Achieving a strong incumbent position with many leading customers.
I am very pleased with our strategic developments and I'm confident that these Pursuits will continue to build our long-term potential for sustained value creation.
Erica Mclaughlin: Thanks, Sean. I will start by discussing results for Cabot Corporation and then review the segment results. Adjusted earnings per share for the third quarter of fiscal 2025 declined 1% from $1.92 in the third quarter of fiscal 2024 to $1.90, driven by EBIT growth from the performance chemicals segment, partially offset by a decline in the reinforcement materials segment. Foreign currency impacts were minimal for the quarter, and the operating tax rate remained at 28%. Cash flow from operations was strong at $249 million in the quarter, which included a working capital decrease of $101 million, driven by lower accounts receivable and inventory balances. Discretionary free cash flow was $114 million in the quarter. The cash balance at the end of the quarter was $239 million, and our liquidity position remained strong at approximately $1.4 billion.
I will now turn it over to Erica to discuss the financial results for the quarter Erica.
Thanks, Sean. I will start by discussing results for the company and then review the segment results.
Adjusted earnings per share for the third quarter of fiscal 2025 declined 1% from 1.92 and the third quarter of fiscal 2024 to 1.90 driven by ebi growth from the performance chemical segments partially offset by a decline in the reinforcement material segment.
Foreign currency impacts were minimal for the quarter, and the operating tax rate remained at 28%.
Cash flow from operations was strong at $249 million in the quarter, which included a working capital decrease of $101 million driven by lower accounts receivable and inventory. Balances discretionary free cash flow was $114 million in the quarter.
Erica Mclaughlin: Capital expenditures for the third quarter of fiscal 2025 were $61 million, and we continue to expect between $250 million to $275 million of capital spending for the fiscal year. Our strong cash flow performance year to date enabled us to continue to pay our competitive dividend and repurchase shares. During the quarter, we used $24 million for the payment of dividends and $40 million for share repurchases. Our debt balance was $1.2 billion, and our net debt to EBITDA was 1.3 times at the end of June. The strength of our cash flow and balance sheet positioned us really well as we look ahead to continue to invest for growth, complete strategic acquisitions, and return cash to shareholders. The year-to-date operating tax rate for fiscal 2025 was 28%, and we continue to anticipate our operating tax rate for fiscal 2025 to be in the range of 27% to 29%.
The cash balance at the end of the quarter was $239 million, and our liquidity position remains strong at approximately $1.4 billion.
Capital expenditures for the third quarter of fiscal 2025 were 61 million and we continue to expect between 250 to 275 million of capital spending for the fiscal year.
Our strong cash flow performance year to date. Enabled us to continue to pay our competitive dividend and repurchase shares during the quarter. We used 24 million dollars for the payment of dividends and 40 million dollars for share repurchases.
Balance was 1.2 billion and our net debt to Evita was 1.3 times at the end of June.
The strength of our cash flow and balance sheet position us really well. As we look ahead to continue to invest for growth complete, strategic Acquisitions and return cash to shareholders.
The year-to-date operating tax rate for fiscal 2025 was 28% and we continue to anticipate our operating tax rate for fiscal 2025 to be in the range of 27 to 29%.
Erica Mclaughlin: Moving to reinforcement materials. During the third quarter, EBIT for reinforcement materials was $128 million, which was a decrease of $8 million as compared to the same period in the prior year. The decrease was primarily driven by lower global volumes, which were down 8% year over year due to lower customer demand driven by uncertainty from tariffs and a weaker global macroeconomic environment. Regionally, volumes were down 11% in Asia-Pacific and 9% in the Americas, while volumes in Europe were up 4%. The lower volumes were partially offset by continued optimization and cost reduction efforts in the segment. Looking to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, we expect a modest sequential EBIT decline in the segment as higher volumes expected in Asia are offset by higher costs anticipated sequentially.
Now moving to reinforcement materials during the third quarter, ebit for reinforcement, materials was 128 million which was a decrease of 8 million as compared to the same period in the prior year.
The decrease is primarily driven by lower Global volumes, which were down 8% year-over-year due to lower customer demand. Driven by uncertainty from tariffs and a weaker global macroeconomic environment.
Regionally volumes were down, 11% in Asia, Pacific and 9% in the Americas, while volumes in Europe were up 4%.
The lower volumes were partially offset by continued optimization and cost reduction efforts in the segment.
Erica Mclaughlin: This expected EBIT would be slightly higher than the prior year fourth quarter EBIT, driven by our ongoing optimization and cost reduction efforts. Turning to performance chemicals, EBIT increased by $2 million in the third fiscal quarter as compared to the same period in fiscal 2024. The increase in the third quarter was due to higher gross profit per ton, partially offset by lower volumes. Global volumes were down 8% year over year, primarily due to lower customer demand driven by uncertainty from tariffs and a weaker global macroeconomic environment, particularly from lower demand in auto-related applications. The improvement in gross profit per ton was driven by continued optimization and cost management efforts in the quarter. Looking ahead to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, we expect performance chemicals EBIT to be lower sequentially and relatively consistent with the prior year fourth quarter.
Looking to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025. We expect a modest sequentially but decline in the segment as higher volumes expected in Asia are offset by higher cost anticipated sequentially.
This expected event would be slightly higher than the prior year fourth quarter, ebit driven by our ongoing optimization and cost reduction efforts.
Now, to make the performance chemicals, we've been increased by $0 in the third fiscal quarter as compared to the same period in fiscal 2024.
The increase in the third quarter was due to higher growth profit per ton, partially offset, by lower volumes. Global volumes are down, 8% year-over-year, primarily due to lower customer demand, driven by uncertainty from terrorists and the weaker global macroeconomic environment particularly from lower demand and auto related applications.
The Improvement in growth profit per ton was driven by continued optimization and cost management efforts in the quarter.
Erica Mclaughlin: The expected sequential decline is driven by seasonally lower volumes and higher anticipated costs in the fourth quarter as compared to the third quarter. In summary, for the company, we expect our total segment EBIT for the fourth quarter to be largely consistent with the prior year fourth quarter. However, we expect a higher tax rate in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 as compared to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024. Sean Keohane talked earlier about our agreement to acquire Bridgestone Corporation's reinforcing carbon plant in Mexico. This is a good example of the type of acquisition that aligns well with our strategy, and I thought I would take a minute to remind you about our M&A priorities that we previously discussed at our 2024 Investor Day.
Looking ahead to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, we expect performance chemicals ebit to be lower sequentially and relatively consistent with the prior year fourth quarter.
The expected sequential decline is driven by seasonally lower volumes and higher anticipated costs in the fourth quarter as compared to the third quarter.
In summary for the company, we expect our total segment EBITDA for the fourth quarter to be largely consistent with the prior year's fourth quarter. However, we expect a higher tax rate in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 as compared to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024.
Erica Mclaughlin: As we think about how M&A fits into the strategy, we look for acquisitions that: one, strengthen our business competitive position; two, drive growth and our margin enhancing to the company; and three, provide attractive economic returns in a three to five-year timeframe. These opportunities include capability and capacity investments in high-growth areas of the company, including in the areas of batteries and conductive materials. We will look to increase scale, geographic access, and participation across our carbon black and silica franchises, and we will also target technology investments in high-growth areas. With our strong operating cash flow performance and low net debt to EBITDA ratio, we believe we are well positioned to leverage various opportunities for the future, and we expect to continue our balanced approach to capital allocation.
Sean talked earlier about our agreement to acquire bridgestone's reinforcing carbon plant in Mexico. This is a good example of the type of acquisition that aligns. Well with our strategy. And I thought I would take a minute to remind you about our m&a priorities that we previously discussed at our 2024 investor day.
As we think about how m&a fits into the strategy, we look for Acquisitions that 1 strength competitive position to drive growth and our margin enhancing to the company. And 3, provide attractive economic returns in a 3 to 5 year time frame.
These opportunities include capability and capacity investments in high growth, areas of the company, including in the areas of batteries and conductive materials.
We will look to increase scale Geographic, access and participation across our carbon black and silica franchises. And we will also Target technology investments in high growth areas.
Erica Mclaughlin: With our disciplined approach to M&A opportunities, we will look to execute strategic acquisitions to improve scale, capabilities, and participation across our key end markets. The agreement to acquire the plant in Mexico is a great example of the type of acquisitions that make strategic sense and are attractive financially. We will also prioritize high-confidence, high-growth projects. We have a number of exciting organic growth opportunities in our pipeline, and we think these projects offer a compelling business case to grow the company. We expect we would be able to fund these investments with our strong operating cash flow. During fiscal 2025, we have completed our new unit in Indonesia for reinforcing carbon, as well as an expansion of CNT capacity in China for battery materials. In addition to these investments, we expect to maintain a competitive dividend yield.
With our strong, operating cash flow performance and low, net debt to Eva Dario. We believe we're well positioned to leverage various opportunities for the future and we expect to continue our balanced approach to Capital allocation
With our disciplined approach to M&A opportunities, we will look to execute strategic acquisitions to improve scale, capabilities, and participation across our team markets. The agreement to acquire the plant in Mexico is a great example of the type of acquisitions that make strategic sense and are attractive financially.
We will also prioritize high confidence, high growth projects, we have a number of exciting, organic growth opportunities in our Pipeline, and we think these projects offer a compelling business case to grow the company. We expect we'd be able to fund these Investments with our strong, operating cash flow.
During fiscal 2025, we have completed our new unit in Indonesia for reinforcing carbons as well as an expansion of CNT capacity in China for battery materials.
Erica Mclaughlin: We increased the dividend by 5% in May of this year, and we would expect that we would continue to increase the dividend in line with earnings growth. With the strength of our operating cash flow, we have also continued to repurchase shares. The board increased the share authorization in the first fiscal quarter to 10 million shares, and we expect to repurchase between $150 to $200 million of shares in fiscal 2025. I will now turn the call back over to Sean Keohane to discuss the fiscal year outlook.
In May of this year and that we would expect that we would continue to increase the dividends in line with earnings growth.
With the strength of our operating cash flow, we have also continued to repurchase shares.
The board increased, the share authorization in the first fiscal quarter to 10 million shares and we expect to repurchase between 150 to 200 million dollars of shares in fiscal 2025.
Sean Keohane: Thanks, Erica. I am pleased with another quarter of strong operating results in what was a very challenging environment. Based on the Q3 performance and our outlook for the Q4, we are reaffirming our expected full-year outlook of adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $7.15 to $7.50. This range reflects year-over-year EPS growth for fiscal 2025 in what is a very weak environment driven by the uncertainty from tariffs and soft global macroeconomic conditions. At current demand levels, we would expect to be in the middle to lower end of the range. If the more recent tariff announcements were to translate into higher demand in the fourth fiscal quarter, we would expect to be higher in the guidance range. To address the challenging environment, our efforts are intensely focused on execution of our operating platform of commercial and operational excellence.
I will now turn the call back over to Sean to discuss the fiscal year outlook.
Thanks Erika.
I am pleased with another quarter of strong operating results in what was a very challenging environment.
Based on the third quarter, performance, and our outlook for the fourth quarter, we are. Reaffirming our expected full year outlook of adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $7.15 to $7.50.
This range reflects year-over-year EPS growth for fiscal 2025 and what is a very weak environment driven by the uncertainty from tariffs and soft Global macroeconomic conditions?
At current demand levels, we would expect to be in the middle to lower end of the range. If the more recent tariffs announcements were to translate into higher demand in the fourth fiscal quarter, we'd expect to be higher in the guidance range.
Sean Keohane: This includes working closely with our customers to understand how their production might shift as a result of tariff policies and offering volume support from our expansive global plant network. We have also implemented a range of countermeasures across our global network. These efforts include commercial actions to drive product and grade mix benefits, as well as operational actions to optimize our assets and supply chain costs. We also remain on track with the fixed cost and procurement initiatives we discussed last quarter. Our outlook for cash flow remains strong, and we will continue to deploy capital within our balanced framework. In addition to funding targeted organic growth projects and strategic M&A, we expect to continue to return cash to shareholders through a competitive and growing dividend and remaining active in the share repurchase market.
To address the challenging environment, our efforts are intensely focused on execution of our operating platform of commercial, and operational excellence.
This includes working closely with our customers to understand how their production might shift as a result of tariff policies and offering volume support from our expansive, Global plant Network.
We have also implemented a range of countermeasures across our global network.
These efforts include commercial actions to drive product and grade mixed benefits, as well as operational actions to optimize our assets and supply chain costs.
We also remain on track with the fixed cost and procurement initiatives. We discussed last quarter.
Our outlook for cash flow remains strong, and we will continue to deploy capital within our balanced framework.
Sean Keohane: As we have in the past, you can expect us to be excellent stewards of cash, driving a disciplined and balanced approach to capital allocation. Overall, I am very pleased with how the company is responding in a very challenging environment. I am confident in our strategy and the execution capability of our team and remain excited about the long-term growth prospects of our portfolio. Thank you very much for joining us today, and I will now turn the call over for our Q&A session.
In addition to funding targeted, organic growth projects and strategic M&A, we expect to continue to return cash to shareholders through a competitive and growing dividend, while remaining active in the share repurchase market.
As we have in the past, you can expect us to be excellent. Stewards of cash, driving a disciplined and balanced approach to Capital allocation.
Overall, I'm very pleased with how the company is responding in a very challenging environment. I am confident in our strategy and the execution capability of our team and remain excited about the long-term growth prospects of our portfolio.
Thank you very much for joining us today, and I will now turn the call over for our Q&A session.
Jill: Thank you. At this time, we will conduct the question and answer session. As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first call comes from the line of John Roberts with Mizuho. Go ahead, your line is open.
Thank you. At this time. We will conduct the question and answer session. As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star 1 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced to withdraw your question. Please. Press star 1 1 again.
Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster.
Our first call comes from the line of John Roberts with Missoula group. Go ahead, your line is open.
Speaker 5: Hi, this is Saurabh Deer from John Roberts' line. I just want to understand the relationship between the tariffs and the demand in the North American region. What tariff rates on the South Southeast Asian countries would you expect? What do you think will be the tariff rates when the domestic production will become comparative with the imports?
hi, this is Sara from
John Roberts line. Um, I just want to understand the relationship between the types and the demand in the North American region. Um, at what time rates, uh, on the south as South, Southeast Asian countries, uh, would you expect and then, and then what do you think, will be the direct rates? When the domestic production will be comparative with the Imports?
Sean Keohane: Sure. So, good morning. Thanks for the question on tariffs as it relates to tires. Obviously, a very dynamic picture, one that is moving constantly. Let me try to provide a frame for where we are right now and then at a high level how we think about it. For passenger car and light truck tires, there are a range of different levels that are out there right now. Let me sort of walk by major region. I think in Southeast Asia, passenger car tires generally have tariffs in the 19% to 29% range. This would include Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia. These have been announced. In addition, there are company-specific anti-dumping duties and countervailing duties that may apply. In certain cases, the number is higher than that 19% to 29% when you add the anti-dumping duties on top of tariffs.
Sure, so, good morning. Thanks for, uh, the question on, uh, on tariffs as it relates to, uh, as it relates to tires. Uh, obviously a very Dynamic, uh, picture 1, that's uh, moving constantly. But let me try to provide a frame for where we are right now. And, uh, and and then at a high level, how how we think about it
Sean Keohane: In terms of China, tariffs on China passenger car tires to the U.S. are approximately 70%, which is the main reason why we see tire imports coming from Southeast Asia, not China, into the U.S. In addition, there are anti-dumping duties and countervailing duties on some of those tires as well. On balance, that number is quite high, and therefore the flow of Chinese tires to the U.S. is almost zero. In terms of tariffs as it relates to Mexico and Canada, tires at this point, as well as carbon black, continue to be covered under the USMCA trade agreement. They are compliant with that, so therefore remain at zero. It is really a question of where are tariff and anti-dumping duty levels against Southeast Asian and Chinese tires principally.
the number is, uh, is higher than that 19 to 29% when you add the anti-dumping duties on top of tariffs,
In terms of China, tariffs on China passenger car tires to the US are approximately 70%, uh, which is the main reason why we see Tire Imports coming from Southeast Asia. Not China, uh, into the US. Um, and in addition, there are anti-dumping duties, uh, on us and countervailing duties on on some of those tires as well. So, on balance that number is is, is quite high and and therefore the flow of Chinese tires to the US is is is almost zero.
Sean Keohane: I think directionally you can see that the tariffs and anti-dumping duties will likely have a positive effect on the market, therefore kind of enhancing the competitiveness of local production. Exactly where tariffs end up remains to be seen, but I think directionally it will be supportive and make local production more competitive. Again, the magnitude and timing are a bit hard to predict. I think in addition to this, it is encouraging to see some signs that the global tire majors are responding to the increased exports from China and Chinese OEMs that operate in the ASEAN region by more aggressively defending and reinvigorating their Tier II brands. Recently, Bridgestone unveiled a strategy to revitalize their Tier II Firestone brand, which I think really is illustrative of a strategy to defend the Tier II brand more aggressively.
In terms of, uh, you know, tariffs uh, as it relates to to, to Mexico and Canada. Uh, tires at this point, as well as carbon black uh, continue to be covered under the uh usmca um Trade Agreement. They're compliant with that. So therefore remain at at zero. So it's really a question of where are tariffs and anti-dumping Duty levels against southeast Asia and and and Chinese uh tires uh principally. Uh, so I think directionally you can see that um,
The tariffs and uh, and anti-dumping duties will, uh, likely have a, a positive effect on the market. Therefore, kind of enhancing the competitiveness of local production, exactly where tariffs end up. Um, is, uh, you know, remains to be remains to be seen, but I think directionally, uh, it will be supportive and make local production, more competitive. But again, the magnitude and timing are a bit hard to, uh, predict I think, in addition to this, it is, um, it's encouraging to see some signs that the global Tire majors are responding to the increased exports, uh, from, uh, China and Chinese oems that operate in azion, uh, region by more aggressively defending and reinvigorating, their tier 2 Brands, uh, recently Bridgestone unveiled the strategy to revitalize their tier 2 Firestone brand, uh, which I think really,
Sean Keohane: Michelin on their call commented that they expect Tier III tire imports to reduce in the second half of 2025. I think clearly, the trade actions and some specific targeted actions by the global tire majors to defend the Tier II brands would likely have a directionally positive impact on local production. Again, where things settle out remains to be seen.
Is illustrative of a strategy to defend the tier 2 Brands more aggressively, um, and Michelin on their call commented that they expect tier 3 Tire Imports to reduce in the second half of 2025. Um, so I, I think, clearly, I think the trade actions and, uh, some specific uh, uh, targeted actions by the global Tire Majors to defend the tier 2 Brands, uh, would likely
We have a, a directionally positive impact on on local production. But again, we're we're things settle out remains to be seen.
Speaker 5: Thank you.
Thank you.
Jill: Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from Jeff Zekauskas with JPMorgan. Go ahead, your line is open.
1 moment for our next question.
Our next question comes from Jeff zakas. Sorry with JP Morgan go ahead. Your line is open.
Speaker 5: Thanks very much. In the Americas, was there a difference in your volumes in North America and South America or however you divide it?
Sean Keohane: Yeah, sure. Thanks, thanks Jeff. In reinforcement materials, volumes in the Americas were down 9% year over the year in the third quarter. Again, we sort of see this as largely driven by uncertainty from tariffs and weaker global macro environment. We point to that because if you look at tire imports, they have largely leveled off in North America in May year to date and actually declined in South America May year to date. We sort of look at that and think that the declines are largely, our market declines are largely in line with the market and driven by the uncertainty. In terms of specifically the difference between the U.S.
Uh, thanks very much. Um, in the Americas, was there a difference in your volumes in North America and South America, or however you divide it?
Yeah, sure, thanks. Uh, thanks Jeff. So in in reinforcement materials, uh, volumes in the Americas were down, uh, 9% year-over-year in the third quarter. Again, we we sort of see this as largely driven by, uh, uncertainty from tariffs and, and weaker, uh, weaker Global macro environment. Uh, and we, we point to that, because if you look at, at Tire Imports, they're largely leveled off in North America, um, in May year to date and, and actually declined, uh, in South America May year to date. So we sort of, you know, look, look at that. And, and think that the declines are are largely. Uh, our Market declines are largely in line with the market and, uh, and driven by the uncertainty, uh, in terms
Sean Keohane: and South America, yes, they are different and similar to the prior quarter as we discussed where the volumes in South America were a bit weaker in part the weak market, but also some volume losses in contract season last year. We commented on that last quarter, so you know that continued.
Of specifically the difference between the US and South America. Um, yes, they are different and similar to the prior quarter, uh, as we, uh, as we discussed where, um, the volumes in South America, uh, were a bit weaker in part, uh, the, the, the weak Market. But also, uh, some, uh, volume losses in contract season last year. We commented on that last quarter. So, you know, that that continued
Speaker 5: Okay. How is doing business at Altamira different than it was before? If it is different, what is it like now to produce and ship from that plant? Have business conditions changed in the tariff regime that we are in?
Okay. And, um,
different than it was before if it is different you know you know what is it like now to to produce and ship from that plant have business conditions changed and the Tariff regime that we're in
Sean Keohane: The tariff regime has not changed anything as it relates to tire production or carbon black. Tires continue to be covered with no tariffs because they are USMCA compliant. We are the sole manufacturer in Mexico today. Our customers there for carbon black are largely Mexican located tire plants. We do not really move carbon black too much into the U.S. It is basically for local production there. There is no change in the tariff situation. They continue to be zero tariffs because they are covered under USMCA. That is our expectation as we move forward here. In terms of the specific transaction to acquire this, as Erica McLaughlin highlighted, it is an attractive one for us in many ways. We have a plant in very close proximity that we have operated successfully for a long time.
Yeah, so the Tariff regime has not changed anything as it relates to, uh, Tire production or or, uh, or, or carbon wax. So, uh, tires continue to be, uh, covered at on with no, no tariffs because they're usmca, uh, compliant. And, uh, and then we are, uh, the sole manufacturer in, in Mexico, uh, today and, uh, again, our our customers there are, uh, for carbon wager largely, uh, Mexican, uh, located Tire points. So, uh, we don't really know move carbon black, uh, too much into the US. It's, it's basically for local, uh, production there, but there's no change in the Tariff, uh, situation that they continue to be zero tariffs because they're covered under usmca. Uh, and uh, that's our expectation.
Sean Keohane: It further builds our strategic position with Bridgestone Corporation, and we think it is an expression of their confidence in Cabot Corporation. Building on that makes a lot of sense. We expect that this business will be attractive financially. In year one, we would expect annual EBIT of around $10 million, and year two, EBIT of approximately $15 million, with EBITDA in year two of approximately $20 million. We see it as a financially attractive acquisition in addition to all the strategic benefits, and our confidence in operating there is high. We have been there for many, many years.
As we, uh, as we move forward here and you know, in terms of the, the specific uh, transaction to acquire this as Erica highlighted, it's it's an attractive 1 for us in many ways. Obviously, we have a plant in very close proximity, uh, that we've operated successfully for a long time. And then it, it further builds our strategic position, uh, with Bridgestone. And and I think it's an expression of their confidence in, uh, in cabin and so building on that, uh, makes uh, makes a lot of makes, a lot of sense. And we expect that, uh, this business will be, uh, attractive, uh, financially in in in year 1, we would expect annual EV of around 10 million and year 2, even of approximately 15 million with IBA in year 2 of approximately 20 million. So, uh, so we we see it as a financial, we attractive, uh, acquisition in addition to all the Strategic benefits and our, our con,
Speaker 5: Maybe lastly, have negotiations for carbon black prices in North America begun at all yet, or is this a year where you expect them to begin later in the year?
Confidence. And operating there is, uh, is high with, with, with been there for many, many years.
Um, maybe.
um,
you know, have negotiations for
Carbon black prices in North America. Be gone at all yet. Or is the sea? Or were you expect them to begin later in the year?
Sean Keohane: Yeah, we're in the early stages of contract negotiations, Jeff. Yeah, so I would say the timing of things is progressing in a typical fashion. It usually starts in the summer and progresses through the fall.
Yeah, we're in the early stages of contract negotiations. Jeff. Uh, yeah, so, uh, I would say the timing of things is progressing in a in a typical fashion.
Okay, usually starts in the summer and progresses through the fall.
Speaker 5: Thank you very much.
Sean Keohane: Sure.
Thank you very much.
Sure.
Jill: One moment for our next question. The next question comes from the line of Josh Spector with UBS. Go ahead, your line is open.
1 moment for our next question.
Speaker 5: Hi, everyone. Good morning. It's Chris Perrella on for Josh. Just to follow up on that, given the amount of the rise in tire imports ahead of the tariffs this year, how large is the inventory overhang do you think in the market? At this point, would tariffs have an impact on the demand in the last two months of the fiscal year for you at this point? Just trying to gauge potential upside and what the moving parts would be there.
The next question comes from the line of Josh Spectre with UBS go ahead. Your line is open.
Hi everyone. Good morning. It's uh Chris Pella on for Josh. Uh just to follow up on that.
Um, given the amount of uh, the rise in entire Imports ahead of the tariffs this year.
Sean Keohane: Yeah. So in terms of inventory levels, we do not see them at a for tires. For example, if we look at the commentary from the various tire makers, it seems like they are largely in balance when you look at what the global Tier I tire makers are saying, with the exception that they are identifying that in some of the more budget brands, levels might be a bit elevated. But where that commentary exists, they seem to believe that that will be brought back down to more normal levels here in this current quarter. It does not seem, based on commentary, to be a significant issue naturally with all of the trade dynamics going on. There is some volatility there, but it seems to be settling down. I would say that is where things are, our best view of where tire inventories are.
You know how large is the inventory? Overhang you, you think in the market and at this point, you know, would tariffs have an impact on the on demand in the last 2, 2 2 months of the the fiscal year for you at this point, just trying to gauge, you know, potential upside and what what the moving Parts would be there.
Yeah, so, in terms of uh, inventory levels, uh we don't see them at an for tires. For example, if we look at the commentary from, uh, the various Tire makers, it seems like they're, uh, largely inbalance when you look at what the, the, the global, uh, Tier 1 Tire makers are saying, um, with the exception that they are identifying that in some of the more budget Brands, uh, levels might be, uh, a bit elevated. But where that commentary exists? They, uh, they seem to they seem to believe that, uh, that will be, um, you know, brought back down to more normal levels here, uh, in this, in this current quarter. So it doesn't seem based on commentary to be, um, uh, to be, uh, uh, significant issue naturally, with all of the trade, uh, Dynamics going on. Uh, you know, there's some some volatility
Sean Keohane: Certainly, on the tariff front, again, as I commented earlier, it remains a very dynamic situation. But directionally, I think we would expect tariffs and any additional anti-dumping duties that are in place would directionally make it more supportive for local production, local production being more competitive. But again, the magnitude and timing are certainly hard to predict.
Speaker 5: I appreciate that, Sean. Is that more of a calendar 2026 benefit then potentially? Just a quick follow-up on Brazil. If they raise countervailing duties potentially on tires, how much of your customers, not necessarily you, but would be shipping tires out of North America or out of the U.S. down to Brazil?
Best view, uh, of where, where Tire inventories are. Uh, certainly, you know, on the, on the Tariff front. Uh, again, as I commented earlier, it remains a very Dynamic, uh, situation. Uh, but uh, directionally I think, uh, we would, we would expect tariffs and, and any additional anti-dumping duties that are, um, are are in place would would directionally make it, uh, more supportive for local production, local production, being more competitive. But again, the magnitude and timing are, uh, certainly hard to predict
I appreciate that. Sean is that more of a, a calendar 2026 benefits and potentially,
and then just a quick follow-up on on Brazil, If they raise countervailing duties.
potentially on tires, how much of your
Sean Keohane: Yeah. So, I guess back on the first part of the question, again, the timing and the magnitude on tariffs and when the impact from that would flow through demand is definitely hard to predict. But again, directionally, I would say supportive. But probably later this year, 2026 is later this year and into 2026 is when I would expect to see the result of those settle out as they get processed by the market and customers make adjustments in their supply chain planning, I would say. At the same time, as I said, I think some of the global majors are certainly working hard and investing to revitalize their Tier II brands and to compete more aggressively to defend that share. Exactly the timing of how that plays out is a little bit, again, difficult to project.
Customers, not not necessarily you but would be shipping tires out of North America or out of the US down to Brazil.
Yeah. So, you know, I guess back on the first part of the question. Um, you know, again, the timing is and the magnitude on on tariffs and when, when the, the impact from that would flow through demand is, is definitely hard to predict. But again, directionally, I would say, uh, supportive but, uh, you know, probably uh, you know later,
Sean Keohane: In terms of the Brazil situation, we do have, depending on how duties settle out between U.S. and Brazil, there are tire makers that do produce products there and ship into North America. If the ultimate tariff regime in that case makes that less competitive, what we see is that our global customers then look to try to rebalance their tire production. Many of the customers that produce there also have production assets in places like Mexico and other countries where they could more cost-effectively land product into the U.S. So we would expect a little bit of rebalancing naturally, but again, most of the major tire makers have a broad plant network.
This year 2026 is, you know, later this year and into 2026 is when I would expect to see, uh, the result of those set allowed as, as they get, you know, processed by the market and, and, and customers, uh, make adjustments in their, um, in their supply chain, uh, planning I would say. Uh, and at the same time, as I said, I think some of the global majors are certainly, uh, working hard and investing to revitalize. Their tier 2 Brands and and, uh, and to, uh, compete more aggressively to defend, uh, that share and exactly the timing of how that plays out as a little bit. Again, difficult to project, um, in terms of, uh, the Brazil situation. So we do have depending on how how Duty settle out, uh, between, um, uh, you know, us and Brazil, uh, there are Tire makers that that
Do produce products there and ship uh, into North America. So if uh the ultimate tariff regime in that case makes that less competitive. What we see is that our Global customers then look to try to rebalance their uh their Tire production and so many of the customers that produce their also have uh have production Assets in places like Mexico uh and other countries where they could more cost-effectively land product into the US.
So, we'd expect a little bit of rebalancing naturally, but again, most of the major Tire makers have uh uh, a broad plant Network.
Speaker 5: All right. No, I appreciate all the color, Sean. Thank you very much.
Sean Keohane: Sure.
All right, now I appreciate all the color Sean. Thank you very much.
Jill: Thank you. To ask a question, you will need to press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. Our next question comes from the line of Jeff Zekauskas with Jefferies. Jeff, go ahead. Your line is open.
Sure.
Thank you.
And as a reminder to ask a question, you will need to press star 1, 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced.
Our next question.
Speaker 5: Good morning. Just on the network optimization initiatives, can you give a bit of clarity on what that means for your operating leverage if and when demand accelerates? Do you have to give some of that back, or should this lead to a higher incremental margin than historically?
Comes from the line of Lawrence Alexander with Jeffrey Lauren, go ahead. Your line is open.
Good morning, chest on the, um, Network optimization initiatives. Can you give us a bit of clarity on how, what that means for your operating leverage? If and when demand accelerates
Sean Keohane: Yeah. So a couple of comments here, Lawrence, and then I will ask Erica if she wants to add anything to it. I think our network optimization efforts are very broad. When we use that term, we are employing levers that do things to drive a more advantageous product mix. Also, we look at our production circuit and try to marry up demand on the most competitive assets with the best delivered cost economics. That optimization is something that we are always pursuing. I would say in addition to that, given the weak macro environment and all the uncertainty from the tariff discussions, we are working hard on the cost and procurement savings front. All of that is showing through into what I think are quite strong results given the weak demand environment.
Um, do you have to give some of that back or should this lead to a higher incremental margin than historically?
Yeah, so, uh, a couple of comments here, Lawrence and then I'll ask Erica if she wants to add anything to it. Uh, I think our Network optimization efforts are are very broad so when we use that uh term, we are um, we're employing levers that do things to drive, uh it you know, more advantageous product mix. But also we look at our production circuit and and try to marry up, uh, Demand on the most competitive assets with the best delivered cost economics.
Sean Keohane: The network optimization efforts are really quite broad and part of our overall efforts around both commercial and operational excellence. In terms of the operating leverage question, Erica, maybe I would ask your comments there.
Erica Mclaughlin: Sure. So Lawrence, I think last quarter we talked about fixed cost and procurement initiatives that we are doing that we had targeted about $30 million for the year. I would say we are trending a bit ahead of that as of now. Some of those are structural. I think we talked about this last quarter, like restructuring actions we have taken. So those would continue. Some are more timing. The timing of travel or third-party expenses, which could come back if we see the situation improve in terms of the macro. So I would say it is a mix. But I do not think it would impact. It would be favorable to operating leverage. It would not be a negative in any way.
Procurement savings front. And uh, and you know, all of that is, uh, is showing through into what I think are, um, you know, quite strong results, given the weak demand environment. So, that the network optimization efforts are really quite Broad and part of our, uh, overall efforts around both commercial and, and operational excellence in terms of the operating. Leverage question, Erica. Maybe I'd ask your your comments there. Uh, sure. So Lawrence, I think last quarter, we talked about fixed cost and procurement initiatives that we're doing that. Uh, we had targeted about 30 million dollars for the year. I'd say we're trending a bit ahead of that, uh, as of now. Um, and some of those are structural, I think we talked about this last quarter, like restructuring actions, we've taken so those would continue some are, you know, more timing so the timing of travel or third-party expenses which uh could come back, uh, if we see the situation improve in terms of the macro. So I
Say it's a mix, um, but I don't think it would impact. It would be favorable to operating leverage. Uh, it would not be a negative in any way.
Speaker 5: Thank you.
Thank you.
Jill: Thank you. One moment for our next question. We have a question from Jeff Zekauskas with JPMorgan. Go ahead, Jeff. Your line is open.
Thank you. 1 moment for our next question.
Speaker 5: Thanks. I think through the nine months, your unallocated corporate costs were $39 million versus $51, so they were $12 million better. How did you achieve that? How would you describe the $12 million improvement in that line?
We have a question from Jeff with JP Morgan. Go ahead, Jeff. Your line is open.
Thanks.
Um, I think through the 9 months, your unallocated corporate costs were 39 million versus 51 so they were 12 million better.
Um,
how did you achieve that?
And, you know, sort of how would you?
How would you describe the 12 million, uh, Improvement in that 1?
Erica Mclaughlin: Jeff, I will ask Erica. I would say these are part of some of the cost reductions we are doing. These would be a mix of items that would include headcount-related actions. It would include things like timing or lower third-party spend. Those are the actions we have been taking to reduce costs. You are right. We have been trending about $13 million per quarter so far this year. We would expect September to go to more $16 to $17 million, a little bit more similar to last year. Again, this is just timing of certain corporate costs in the quarter. These cost savings, like I said, are a mix where some are structural. They would continue. Some, if the environment improved, you would probably see some of those costs come back in.
Speaker 5: For Sean, when you look at carbon black volumes over a multi-year period, I think in the Americas, they were negative 6% in 2023 and negative 6% in 2024, and they look like they are going to be negative 6% again. That seems to be a weaker region for you than either EMEA or Asia. Can you talk about why the volume pattern over a multi-year period has been as weak as it has been and why it is weaker than the other geographies for Cabot?
Uh so Jeff I if Erica um I would say these are part of some of the cost reductions we're doing. So these would be a mix of items that would include, you know, headcount related actions. It would include things like timing or or or lower third-party spend and so that those are the actions we've been taking to reduce costs. Uh so we you're right, we have been trending about 13 million dollars per quarter so far. This year we would expect September uh to go to more 16 to 17 million. So a little bit more similar to last year. Again this is just timing of certain corporate costs uh in the quarter. Um but these cost savings, like I said are a mix where some are structural they would continue and some if the environment improved you would probably see some of those costs come back in.
and then and then for Sean in the um, when you look at Carbon black volumes over a multi-year period,
I think in the Americas they were negative -6 and 2023 and -6 and 2024 and they look like they're going to be negative -6 again.
And that seems to be a weaker region for you than either EMA or Asia.
Um, C, can you talk about why the volume pattern over a multi-year period?
Has been this weak as it's been, and why it's weaker than the uh other geographies for Kevin.
Sean Keohane: Yeah. I think the primary driver there, Jeff, is the more recent, over the last couple of years, elevated level of tire imports. That has certainly impacted the region and had an effect of depressing the local production levels. That is the primary driver there. I think that is the biggest driver for sure. As we think about how things move forward here, I think it depends on the two key points. One is where ultimately do tariff levels and anti-dumping duty levels end up. They are certainly directionally supportive to make local production more competitive. I think that is positive. Then you do see efforts by some of the global majors that have shed some share at the expense of tire imports. You see them taking more concerted efforts to revitalize their Tier II brands.
Yeah, I think, uh, the primary driver there, uh, Jeff is uh, the more recent over the last couple of years, uh, elevated level, uh, of, uh, of tire tire tire Imports. Uh, and so, uh, that has, uh, that has certainly, uh, impacted, uh, the region and, uh, had a, a, an effective depressing, uh, the local, uh, production levels. Uh, so that's the, that's the primary, uh, driver there. Uh, I think the, you know, the biggest. Um, that's that's the biggest, you know, driver for sure. Uh, so, you know, as we as we think about how things move forward here, I think it it depends on
Sean Keohane: That simply a focus on the larger rim size, a higher-end part of the market is not sufficient. You have to really address the more base part of the business as well. I think that is positive. The combination of those two factors, we would view as directionally favorable. Again, the timing and magnitude of how this all settles out is a bit hard to predict. But that is actually the story there.
Not sufficient that you, you have to really, uh, address the, the more bass part of the business as well. Uh, and so I think that's, that's positive. So the combination of those 2 factors. Um, you know, we would, we would view as directionally favorable again, the, the timing and, and magnitude of how this all settles out is, is a bit hard to predict, but that's that's actually uh, the the story there.
Speaker 5: So what we should infer from your commentary is that utilization rates in carbon black in the Americas have moved lower over a multi-year period.
So, so what we should, um,
infer from
From your commentary, is that utilization rates and carbon black?
In the Americas. Um have moved lower over, a multi-year period.
Sean Keohane: Well, certainly, utilizations are a function of supply and demand. The supply side in the Western mature markets, there has been no material add, so nothing has changed there. On the demand front, it is certainly a volume impact from tire imports. But at this stage, we are starting to see that settle out. The expectation as we go forward and look at commentary from some of the tire majors is they expect that the tire import levels will begin to turn here. So I think it is really a question of how ultimately the trade situation plays out in the coming months.
Well certainly utilizations are are a function of supply and and demand. And and so the supply side and the Western mature markets, you know, there's been no material adds, so nothing's changed there. Um, and then on the demand front, it's certainly uh, volume impact from uh, Tire Imports. Uh, but at this stage uh you know, we're starting to see that uh settle out and the expectation as we go forward and look at commentary from some of the tire Mages as they expect that. Uh, the tire import levels will, um, you know, will will begin to turn here. And uh, so I think it's really a question of how ultimately the the trade
Speaker 5: Okay, great. Thank you very much.
The situation, uh, plays out, um, in the coming months.
Okay, great. Thank you very much.
Jill: am showing no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn it back to Sean Keohane for closing remarks.
I'm showing no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn it back to Sean kohane for closing remarks.
Sean Keohane: Great. Thank you very much for joining us today. We look forward to speaking with you again next quarter, and thank you for your support of Cabot. Have a great day.
Great, thank you very much for uh, joining us today and uh, we look forward to speaking with you again, next quarter, and thank you for your support of cabinet. Have a great day.
Jill: Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now
Thank you for your participation. In today's conference, this does conclude the program. You may now disconnect