Q2 2025 XPEL Inc Earnings Call

Speaker #3: Good morning and welcome to the XPEL Incorporated second quarter 2025 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode, and the floor will be opened for questions following the presentation.

Speaker #3: If anyone should require operator assistance during this conference, please press star zero on your phone keypad. Please note this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, John Nesbett of IMS Investor Relations.

Speaker #3: John, the floor is yours.

Speaker #4: Good morning and welcome to our conference call to discuss XPEL's second quarter 2025 financial results. On the call today, Ryan Pape, XPEL's president and chief executive officer, and Barry Wood, XPEL's senior vice president and chief financial officer, will provide an overview of the business operations and review the company's financial results.

Speaker #4: Immediately after the prepared comments, we will take questions from our call participants. A transcript of this call will be available on the company's website after the call.

Speaker #4: Take a moment now to read the fe harbor statement. During the course of this call, 'll make certain forward-looking statements regarding XPEL Inc. its business, which may include but is not limited to anticipated use of proceeds from capital transactions, expansion into new markets, and execution of the company's growth strategy.

Speaker #4: Such statements are based on our current expectations and assumptions, which are subject to known and unknown risk factors and uncertainties that can cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in these statements.

Speaker #4: Some these factors are discussed in detail in our most recent Form 10-K, including under section under item 1A, risk factors, filed with the SEC.

Speaker #4: XPEL undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. With that, we’ll now turn the call over to Ryan.

Speaker #4: Please go ahead, Ryan.

Speaker #5: Thank you, John, and good morning as well, everyone, and welcome to our second quarter 2025 call. We had a record quarter in Q2 with revenue growing 13.5% to 124.7 million.

Speaker #5: I think this exceeded our expectations going into the quarter and in the environment that we're in. We had an easier comp in China, given the sort of orchestration of the revenue in the previous year, but even factoring that in, revenue growth would have been about 11% in a more normalized environment.

Speaker #5: So really good. I think the US region grew 8.4% to 70.4 million for the quarter, which was also a record and good. I think, obviously, Q2 in the US was quite exciting, you might say, in the sense that it was punctuated by tariff anxiety to start and for those that follow the car market, this jumped the USR in the first part of the quarter, and then it slowed in the end as maybe some consumers tried to front-run pricing fears in the new car market.

Speaker #5: You know, our view is really mixed as to whether that helped us, hurt us, or what the impact was. Obviously, we would prefer a more stable environment month to month, but I don't think it was overwhelmingly positive for us because some of those gains at the front half of the quarter were given up in the second half.

Speaker #5: And if you look at the new car SAR for the quarter, I think it was up modestly, like 2%, 2.5% from prior year. So I think this is just more of the same in s of this choppy and uncertain environment that we've been in and expect to continue to be in.

Speaker #5: Canada region revenue grew 7.4% for the quarter. As we discussed, previously, Canada started the year very slow, but this has been recovering. It was similar, maybe, how the US started in the prior year.

Speaker #5: July for Canada was quite good, the most on track this year. I ink we hit our internal budget for Canada for July, which was set last year.

Speaker #5: So that's good. We've seen, you know, a pattern like this sort of ripple through all the markets in which we serve, and it's just something, you ow, we have to deal and stay the course and maintain what we're doing in spite of the volatility.

Speaker #5: China revenue came in at 7.7 million. This is sort of in the range we've talking about in terms of the more normalized cadence of revenue recognition we get now instead this choppiness we've seen in the past.

Speaker #5: We're finalizing our strategy for the China market. We expect to have more to discuss on that very soon. We also saw strong performance on our other remaining regions: Europe, India, Middle East.

Speaker #5: These all did well for us. With the exception of Latin America, where we saw a revenue decline quarter over quarter. This is really due to some large distributor markets in South America, where the timing of revenue is inconsistent and, you know, we're working to move to a direct sales model in the largest car markets of the world.

Speaker #5: And so, as you look at a market like Brazil, you know, that's something that we're focused on this year as well. We had a good first half of the year from a revenue perspective, I think, particularly in light of all the uncertainty and tariff noise.

Speaker #5: Q3 revenue should be in the 117 to 119 million dollar range. Again, based on what we know today, as you may recall, Q3 '24 was our highest revenue quarter.

Speaker #5: In history, up until this quarter. So it's challenging comp, but we see Q2 and Q3 trade-off year to year as the peak quarter of the year from a seasonality perspective.

Speaker #5: And then Q3 last year was the first quarter where we saw more stable revenue pattern in terms of our China revenue. So we'll be lapping that a little bit, but we're certainly glad that we have that predictability with all the changes we've been working through.

Speaker #5: Overall, I really think we're performing quite well in this environment. Relative to our competitors and even others in the broader space, the teams really executing.

Speaker #5: I think everyone knows where they need to where they see opportunity and where they need to work really hard. It's certainly a challenging environment, but we're really executing well.

Speaker #5: And I think on a global basis, you know, our shift to a very focused and decentralized P&L model around our various regional leaders is proving and proving success and showing results.

Speaker #5: You know, things will remain volatile but if we've got the right ownership of every area of the business and good leaders, you ow, they will solve the challenges that we see.

Speaker #5: So really, I think I feel the best about the internal workings of the company right now that I have in probably two years. So we're certainly excited about that.

Speaker #5: Continue good performance at the gross margin line. The quarter came in at 42.9%. Which is up six basis points sequentially, this is down to prior year's second quarter, mainly due to a revenue mix where we had higher China, which is distributor revenue, this year than last year.

Speaker #5: So pretty consistent. We still expect the opportunity to trend this gross margin upward going forward as we continue to work all the initiatives we have.

Speaker #5: We've talked about sort of tariff impact in terms of our and that that is expected to be minimal and we have the ability to work around that developing situation.

Speaker #5: And I can't rule some short-term noise in that as things happen, but I ink, as you see here, we have really stability in that front and, you know, our overall architecture of the business is just not exposed to what we're seeing on a broader scale.

Speaker #5: So still remain in a good position there. Our SG&A growth in the quarter is largely driven by overhead added in the second half of last year.

Speaker #5: That's embedded in our distributor acquisitions in Thailand and Japan. You know, as as we discussed, these are important markets for us to build a direct presence.

Speaker #5: So obviously, we now have facilities and employees in country, upon which to build a ger base. Additionally, we did have about a 1.6 million and one-time cost in SG&A for the quarter.

Speaker #5: Some of you remember, we discussed this in the first quarter. We had some restructuring costs that we did to reorganize the business coming into this year.

Speaker #5: Some of those were born in Q1 and the remainder in Q2. And then we also have quite substantial costs in the quarter related to legal and due diligence for M&A that we've been pursuing as we've discussed.

Speaker #5: And then we have some other costs for this quarter that will not reoccur. So 1.6 million in total. If we normalize for those, EBITDA would have grown 14.7% to 25 million or just right at about 20% of revenue.

Speaker #5: Which is good. Generated just under 28 million in operating cash flow in Q2. That really driven by the strong results overall and then slight reduction in inventory.

Speaker #5: And we ended the quarter with approximately 50 million net cash on the balance sheet. So we're advanced in a number of M&A opportunities. You know, we're starting to see some opportunity here in terms of valuations for things that we've been interested in.

Speaker #5: You know, many have asked, you ow, we've seen those be stubborn, I say, given the overall macro situation. But we're starting to see that change a little bit starting to see a few distressed things that might be of interest to us.

Speaker #5: So I feel very I feel very strong about our plans in terms of capital allocation here for the rest of the year and going into next year.

Speaker #5: This is a top focus of the company and the board. But we're also extremely prudent and extremely diligent we're not going to be a footnote in history of doing bad M&A and ruining a company.

Speaker #5: So, I feel really good about the process that we're going through on this, and that will continue. We're seeing really good momentum with our personalization platform, and this is where we sell installations of products online and refer them to our installer network.

Speaker #5: Volume continues to grow, in fact, it's grown substantially even in the past two months. And we see a very good end consumer satisfaction. So we're investing a lot in this to continue to drive it forward to make it applicable to a more use cases and really serve as the ability to help drive attachment of our products and others.

Speaker #5: And this has been part of our ongoing investment in our DAP system. It's all run through the same platform. So I think this is a really an emerging success story for us.

Speaker #5: And one that we're very focused on expanding the use cases. You know, finally, product front, we've talked in recent quarters about a lot of new products.

Speaker #5: We've en most of them to market. We'll be launching a set of colored paint protection films in the end of this quarter, beginning of next.

Speaker #5: You know, we've talked about this previously. It's a ice adjacent product set for us and something that we're pursuing. And we'll have features in the DAP and elsewhere to really help maximize this opportunity for our customers.

Speaker #5: So I'm ally excited about that. So all in all, good quarter. Our team's doing excellent. And I look forward to a good second half of the year.

Speaker #5: Turn it to you, Barry. Thanks, Ryan, and good morning, everyone. I just wanted to add just a little bit more color on the top-line performance in the quarter.

Speaker #5: Our total product revenue increased 13.9% while total service revenue increased 12%. Quarter over quarter. And on a year-to-date basis, revenue grew 14.2% to 228.5 million.

Speaker #5: Our total window film product line grew 27% in the quarter, driven primarily by our automotive window tent, which grew 22 and a half percent.

Speaker #5: In our newest product, Windshield Protect, which is windshield protection film, also contributed to that solid performance. Our gross margin for the quarter grew 11.8% to $53.5 million.

Speaker #5: Reflecting a gross margin percentage of 42.9%, on a year-to-date basis, our gross margin grew 13.6% to 97.4 million and that was a gross margin percentage of 42.6%.

Speaker #5: Our total SG&A expenses grew 19.3% to 34.2 million quarter over quarter. And this was right at about 27.4% of total revenue. And sequentially, SG&A was up 4.4% versus Q1.

Speaker #5: And if you normalize for the one-time costs that Ryan alluded to, SG&A would have grown 13.7% quarter over quarter. And moving forward, our G&A growth rate should moderate as we lap our acquisition-related SG&A expenses that Ryan was talking about earlier in the second half of the year.

Speaker #5: On a year-to-date basis, SG&A grew 16.9% to 67,000,000. Ryan talked about EBITDA for the quarter earlier, but I also note that on a year-to-date basis, EBITDA grew 12.9% to 37.8 million, reflecting a 16.6% EBITDA margin.

Speaker #5: Net income for the quarter increased 7.8%, reflecting a 13% net income margin. Again, normalizing for the one-time costs, net income would have grown 16.7% quarter over quarter.

Speaker #5: EPS was 59 cents per share for the quarter. And again, normalizing for the one-timers, EPS would have been 63 cents per share. And on a year-to-date basis, net income grew 14.3%, which is reflects a 10.8% net income margin and year-to-date our EPS is 90 cents per share.

Speaker #5: So again, we're pleased with the quarter and excited to see what the rest of the year holds. And with that, operator, we'll open up the call for questions.

Speaker #2: Thank you very much, Barry. So we are now opening the floor for questions. If you would like to ask a question, you can press star one on your phone keypad now.

Speaker #2: A confirmation tone will indicate that your line is in the queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue.

Speaker #2: For anyone using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before you press the keys. Please wait a moment whilst we poll for questions.

Speaker #2: Thank you. Your first question is coming from Jeff van Cinderen of B-Riley Securities. Jeff, your line is live.

Speaker #6: Thanks. And good evening. I guess the first question I had was, any more color you can share on the dealer service business trends?

Speaker #7: You know, Jeff, thanks for the question. I think this continues to be a bright spot. We see revenue there growing faster than the aftermarket channel at present.

Speaker #7: And I think there's a lot of reasons why that might the case, but that trend certainly continued in Q2. We have now in the US relative stability in terms of inventory, new car inventory.

Speaker #7: And I think there's obviously the post-COVID era that created a lot of volatility. I think there was a lot of concern about tariff-induced inventory challenges.

Speaker #7: Which could impact us because we're sometimes attaching product at the time it hits the dealership lot rather than when it's sold. But you ow that hasn't really materialized in a super negative way.

Speaker #7: So we've we've been doing great. I think July was an all-time record for that in terms of number of vehicles and revenue and pretty much every other every other metric.

Speaker #7: And it's something that you know we see expansion opportunities in other markets too. We're working on with a couple of large groups in other countries for something similar.

Speaker #7: So you know I think it's been a bright spot. And then you know we have the opportunity too, I ink over time, to you know layer on our our referral and personalization platform to help the dealers do even more upselling through that business.

Speaker #7: So a right spot overall.

Speaker #6: Okay. And then just to follow up a little bit on what you just hit on, maybe you can delve a little bit more into the personalization platform initiatives that you're working on now, what we might see develop there.

Speaker #7: Well, I think that you know the the the challenge fundamental challenge of this business has been and and and is and is and has been you know one of awareness, where you know the the products we sell they're virtually or actually invisible.

Speaker #7: They don't market themselves going down the road. And you have a very you have an industry in the aftermarket that is a very sort of offline and and and analog business in the sense that most of the sales are are made on phone or they're made in points of presence and shops.

Speaker #7: And and that's good. They're very effective at selling that way. But you also miss out on a lot of consumers, where buying that way is you ow maybe not what they're thinking of first in an Amazon-type world that we live in.

Speaker #7: So with this platform, we're able to reach through partnerships with OEMs and dealerships and others the consumers may be in a form that is more comfortable to some of them online.

Speaker #7: We can we can present a lot of product information. We present video. We can really make a compelling a reason to buy the product.

Speaker #7: And then we can facilitate an online transaction and run that through the network. And you know the the ultimate goal of that is that it will and we're seeing it now, but it will serve as a way to increase attach rates in participating vehicles and and provide you know a really good source of revenue for our participating installers.

Speaker #7: So you know I ink it's it's a it's a way to ultimately grow the business and reach another set of consumers. And so the the feedback's been really good.

Speaker #7: You know it's going to take continue the investment on us. And and continue development with other partners that want to leverage it. But it's I think a great opportunity for our industry.

Speaker #6: Okay. That's helpful. And then just finally, if I could k, is there anything on on mix gross margin opex considerations for second half that we should be aware of thinking about the quarterly progression?

Speaker #7: No. I mean, the you know the trends we see, obviously, first quarter is usually the slowest quarter. Second and third are our ak revenue quarters of the year.

Speaker #7: Fourth quarter we usually see a little sequential decline in the US business. You know our our overall cost structure is is pretty stable. You know outside of the things we mentioned earlier on the call, the the gross margin profile is is consistent.

Speaker #7: And you ow absent you know something on the tariff side that would cause us unexpected issue no, don't don't really see any any big movement on that for the rest of the year.

Speaker #6: Okay. Great. Thanks for taking my questions.

Speaker #7: Thanks, Jeff.

Speaker #2: Thank you y much. Just a reminder, in the audience, if you would like to ask a question, you can join the queue now by pressing star one on our phone keypad.

Speaker #2: Our next question is coming from Steve Dyer of Craig Hallam. Steve, our line is live.

Speaker #8: Hey. Thanks. This is Matthew Rodman for Steve. Just want to start on M&A. Ryan, you have 50 million in cash on the balance sheet, which I think is the most cash you've ever had as a public company.

Speaker #8: Sounds like you've got your eye on something or multiple somethings. I guess any other hints you could give us at this point? And then maybe anything on sizing looking at more bolt-on or something larger?

Speaker #7: Yeah. I mean, I think our our approach has been remains pretty consistent with what we've talked about in the past. You know our first order of business is really consolidating our our international distribution because we can serve directly to markets we want to be in.

Speaker #7: We've we've largely done that. I ink a few exceptions are China, Brazil, in terms of the top car markets of the world. So obviously, that's remains an interest.

Speaker #7: And something that we're very active on. As we look at the dealership business, as was referenced in the earlier question, you know this is a way, again, another way to reach consumers where they are. The dealerships have tremendous volume.

Speaker #7: And so looking at M&A, in that space, that could bring more customers into the fold and more dealerships in the fold. So that's a little more downstream.

Speaker #7: Those are you know the areas that we remain principally focused on. And I think you know we're we're ally have two two streams of thought.

Speaker #7: We're looking at things that that are more meaningful while also pursuing a cadence of smaller bolt-on things. So you know I I I don't I don't expect us to be in a position where the our our cash position continues to build.

Speaker #7: That's not what we've been working towards. And we remain on track on that. Obviously, we're not going to we're not going to do things for the sake of doing them.

Speaker #7: But you know we're not going to be sitting here a year from now just seeing that cash position build. There are plenty of opportunities.

Speaker #7: And I ink the the opportunities that are out there are are probably only getting more interesting to us in terms of you know the things we're ing and then sort of relative valuations and then you know our ability to integrate them, which we've you know enhanced over time as well.

Speaker #8: Yep. Yep. Okay. And then thoughts the US market in the second half and as we get into 2026. You know wide range of estimates out there on what SAR could be you know I think July was actually pretty good.

Speaker #8: But then you have the EV tax credit going away at the end of Q3. So quite a few puts and takes there. I guess how do you feel that the business is positioned in that backdrop?

Speaker #8: And then you know how do you think about growth in the US market as we look out over the next few quarters?

Speaker #7: Well, I think you have you have two things. Obviously, you know we can't sell products that go on new cars if new cars aren't sold.

Speaker #7: So we watch the SAR and the prognostications about that. But you know like interest rates or anything else, you know our view is that no one really knows.

Speaker #7: And so we can't really we can't really plan for that. We have to just respond to it. But then the second piece of that is what are the things that we can control?

Speaker #7: And we're we can create awareness to increase attach rates into whatever the SAR is. We can win competitive business and take share no matter what the SAR is.

Speaker #7: So, you know, you really have one part that we have no control over and then two parts that we do have control over.

Speaker #7: And so those are really the things that that we're ocused on. And you know if the if the you know SAR declines or the negative side of the of the estimates come in, you know we'll we'll deal with that.

Speaker #7: But I think the focus for us is on the things that we can control. And there's plenty of things we can do to to win business and increase attach rate and better serve our ustomers no matter what happens to the SAR.

Speaker #8: Yep. Okay. And then switching over to to China. You've you've you've now lapped the the sell-in, sell-through adjustments you've over the last few quarters.

Speaker #8: And and ou also have a few quarters now under your belt with the improved product mix. How should we think about growth relative to the 8 to 9 million a quarter run rate that we've en in the last few arters?

Speaker #7: Yeah. I mean, I think our our overall current view on sort of the China in-country growth with what we're doing today is probably low low double digits in terms of what we could see happen.

Speaker #7: There's a a whole other series of channels there in the OEM and and PDI and 4S business, which historically the the company and and through our distribution has not pursued.

Speaker #7: But in the in the past year, we've ally increased our efforts to pursue that business, including building the teams necessary to support it. And that's really represents the the substantial upside for the business over the next several years.

Speaker #7: The the volumes possible through that channel are are significant. And that's really what what will unlock the growth versus the more traditional aftermarket sales in country.

Speaker #7: So I I ink you know the the timing on that, there's you know bid and tender processes and things that happen. So it's it's ally not something that's that's quite as easy to model as maybe our traditional business.

Speaker #7: But if you just sort of look at the at the core of what we're doing there, it's a you know, it's a low low double-digit growth.

Speaker #7: And then you know augmented by that as we as we see that accelerate and and get more success in that channel.

Speaker #8: Okay. Thanks, Jeff. Appreciate .

Speaker #7: Thank ou.

Speaker #2: Thank you very much. While we pay to have reached the end of our question and answer session, I will now turn the call back over to the management team for their closing remarks.

Speaker #9: Yeah. I want to thank ybody for joining us and thank our team for doing such a great job. Have a great day, yone.