Q3 2025 Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage Inc Earnings Call

Speaker #1: Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Natural Grocers third quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode.

Speaker #1: Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will be given at that time. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the conference over to Ms. Jessica Thiessen, Vice President, Treasurer for Natural Grocers.

Speaker #1: Ms. Thiessen, you may begin.

Speaker #3: Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us for the Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage third quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings conference call. On the call with me today are Kemper Isely, Co-President, and Richard Hall, Chief Financial Officer.

Speaker #3: As a reminder, certain information provided during this conference call contains forward-looking statements based on current expectations and assumptions and are subject to risks and uncertainties.

Speaker #3: Actual results could differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements due to a variety of factors, including the risks and uncertainties detailed in the company's most recently filed forms 10Q and 10K, the company undertakes no obligation to update forward-looking statements.

Speaker #3: Our remarks today include references to adjusted EBITDA, which is a non-GAAP measure. Please see our earnings release for a ciliation of adjusted EBITDA to net income.

Speaker #3: Today's earnings release is available on the company's website and a recording of this call will be available on the website. At investors.naturalgrocers.com, now I will turn the call over to Kemper.

Speaker #4: Thank you, Jessica, and good afternoon, everyone. Our third quarter performance exceeded expectations. And we again delivered outstanding results across all key metrics. On today's call, I will highlight financial results including drivers of our performance and provide an update on our initiatives.

Speaker #4: Then Rich will discuss our third quarter results in greater detail and review our updated fiscal year 2025 guidance. Sales growth in the third quarter continued the strong trends of the previous two years.

Speaker #4: Third quarter daily average comparable store sales increased 7.4%. This was our 10th consecutive quarter with positive transaction count comp and our sixth consecutive quarter with an increase in items per basket, driving transaction size comp growth.

Speaker #4: Sales performance was strong across geographies and vintages. Furthermore, sales remained strong across product categories, with our highest comparable store sales growth in our most differentiated offerings, including meat, dairy, and produce.

Speaker #4: We believe our strong sales performance over the past two years is evidence of the relevance of our offering for an increasing number of consumers.

Speaker #4: The overall strength of our business model and productivity of our initiatives. For the third quarter, our ongoing focus on operational execution including effective promotions and store productivity initiatives combined with expense leverage from higher sales resulted in an operating margin improvement of 50 basis points.

Speaker #4: And a 25% increase in diluted earnings per share. Based on our strong third quarter results, we are raising our fiscal 2025 outlook for daily average comparable store sales growth and diluted earnings per share.

Speaker #4: In June, our primary distributor, UNFI, experienced a cybersecurity incident that temporarily impacted UNFI's ability to fulfill orders and distribute products to our stores. Resulting in products shortages in June and July.

Speaker #4: In the weeks following the incident, we collaborated with UNFI to minimize disruptions and restore normalized levels of product distribution to our stores. We estimate that the disruption to our operations adversely impacted our third quarter net sales by 3.5 to 4 million dollars.

Speaker #4: Daily average comparable store sales by 1 to 1.5%. And diluted earnings per share by 4 cents to 5 cents. Our operations have substantially normalized and we do not expect the disruption to materially impact our operations or financial performance in the future.

Speaker #4: I will now highlight the third quarter performance of key initiatives, which continue to contribute to our growth. During the third quarter, net sales penetration of our Empower Rewards program was 82%.

Speaker #4: Up from 80% a year ago, reflecting continued positive trends in customer loyalty and engagement. To date, during fiscal 2025, we have opened two new stores, relocated two stores, and remodeled one store.

Speaker #4: Store unit growth and development is the company priority. I am pleased to announce that we are accelerating store unit growth and plan to open six to eight new stores in fiscal 2026.

Speaker #4: With a consistent track record of strong financial and operating performance over the past several years, we are well positioned to execute this plan. We have already signed leases for five future new stores and are in negotiations on another five sites.

Speaker #4: Moreover, our new store pipeline includes approximately 75 vetted and approved communities in which we are actively pursuing real estate opportunities. In closing, I would like to thank our Good4U crew for their ongoing commitment to our operational execution and exceptional customer service.

Speaker #4: That have been instrumental in driving our results. In the third quarter and over the past several years, with that, I will turn our call over to Rich to discuss our financial results and outlook.

Speaker #2: Thank you, Kemper, and good afternoon. We're very pleased with the continuation of our strong performance through the third quarter. Net sales increased 6.3% from the prior year period to 308.7 million dollars.

Speaker #2: Note, the third quarter of fiscal 2025 had one less selling day than the third quarter of fiscal 2024 due to the Easter shift. Daily average comparable store sales increased 7.4% and on a two-year basis increased 14.6%.

Speaker #2: Our daily average comparable transaction count increased 4.8%. Our daily average comparable transaction size increased 2.4%, composed mostly of modest product cost inflation of an estimated 2% points on an annualized basis.

Speaker #2: And a slight increase in items per basket. In light of the broader macro environment, we continue monitor consumer trends closely. To date, we have not observed any indicators of softer demand for our products trade down or fewer items per basket.

Speaker #2: Gross margin increased 70 basis points to 29.9%. Driven by higher product margin primarily attributed to effective promotions. Store expenses as a percentage of net sales decreased 10 basis points.

Speaker #2: Reflecting expense leverage. Administered expenses as a percentage of net sales increased 20 basis points primarily driven by higher technology expenses. Operating income increased 21.3% to 15.6 million dollars.

Speaker #2: Operating margin increased 50 basis points. Net income increased 26% to 11.6 million dollars. And diluted earnings per share increased 25% to 50 cents. Adjusted EBITDA increased 10.1% to 24.4 million dollars.

Speaker #2: Turning to the balance sheet and cash flow. We liquidity position including 13.2 million dollars in cash and cash equivalents. No outstanding borrowings and 69.5 million dollars available to borrow on our revolving credit facility.

Speaker #2: During the first nine months of fiscal 2025, we generated cash from operations of $39.7 million and invested $22.9 million in net capital expenditures, primarily for new and relocated stores, resulting in free cash flow of $16.8 million.

Speaker #2: We are raising our fiscal 2025 ended the third quarter in a strong outlook for daily average comparable store sales growth and diluted earnings per share.

Speaker #2: We are also updating our outlook for the count of new stores and relocations and remodels. And capital expenditures. Our revised outlook includes the following.

Speaker #2: Two new store openings compared to our prior outlook of three to four. Three store relocations or remodels compared to our prior outlook of two to four.

Speaker #2: Daily average comparable store sales growth between 7.25 and 7.75%. And increase compared to our prior outlook of 6.5 and 7.5%. Diluted earnings per share between $1.90 and $1.95.

Speaker #2: And increase compared to our prior outlook of $1.78 and $1.86. And capital expenditures of 30 to 33 million dollars to support our growth initiatives.

Speaker #2: A reduction from our prior outlook of 36 to 44 million dollars primarily due to new store delays. Finally, as Kemper mentioned in his prepared remarks, we are planning to accelerate store growth in fiscal 2026 and expect to open six to eight new stores.

Speaker #2: Please review our investor presentation on our company's investor relations website for more information about our store growth plans. As we look to the remainder of fiscal 2025 and beyond, we will continue to focus on our key priorities to drive growth including communicating our differentiated offering, further enhancing customer engagement through our Empower Rewards program, expanding our selection of natural grocers brand products, and driving new store development in existing store productivity.

Speaker #2: Now, we'd like to open the line for questions. Thank ou.

Speaker #1: Thank you. We will now begin our question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your touchtone phone.

Speaker #1: To withdraw your question, please press star then two. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. At this time, I'm showing no questions, so this concludes our question and answer session.

Speaker #1: I'd like return the call to Kemper Isely for closing remarks.

Speaker #2: Thank you very much for joining us to discuss our third quarter results. This month marks our company's 70th year serving our communities. I encourage you to visit one of our locations between August 14th and August 16th to celebrate our anniversary with us.

Speaker #2: We will look forward to updating you on our next call regarding the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025 results. Thank you. Goodbye.