Q3 2025 TMX Group Ltd Earnings Call

Speaker #3: Thank you for standing by . This is your conference operator . Welcome to the TMX Group limited third quarter 2025 conference call . As a reminder , all participants are in a listen only mode , and the conference call is being recorded .

Speaker #3: Following a prepared remarks , there will be an opportunity for analysts to ask questions . To join the question queue , you may press star , then one on your telephone keypad .

Speaker #3: Should you need assistance during the conference call , you may signal an operator by pressing star . Then zero . I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Amin Mousavian , Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer and Interim Chief Risk officer .

Speaker #3: Please go ahead . Mr. Moussavian . .

Speaker #4: Bonjour . Good morning everyone . We join you from our Montreal office today to discuss the 2025 third quarter results for TMX Group .

Speaker #4: announced our results for another outstanding quarter and our fifth consecutive double digit revenue growth . Highlighting strong performance across all of our business units .

Speaker #4: Copies of our press release and mDNA are available on TMX under Investor Relations . This morning , we have with us John Mackenzie , our Chief Executive Officer , and David We Financial Officer .

Speaker #4: Following the opening remarks , we'll have a question and answer session . Before we begin , let's cover our forward looking legal disclosure .

Speaker #4: Certain statements made during the call may relate to future events and expectations , and constitute forward looking information within the meaning of the Canadian securities law .

Speaker #4: Actual results may differ materially from these expectations, and additional information is contained in our press release and periodic reports that we have filed with our chief regulatory authorities.

Speaker #4: Now , I turn the call over to John .

Speaker #5: Thanks , Amin , and good morning . And bonjour to I'm lapel d'aujourd'hui . Good morning , everyone , and thank you for joining the call this morning .

Speaker #5: Broadcasting to you live from our Montreal office on a beautiful morning here in La Belle Provence . Now , as Amin mentioned , we announced third quarter results last night .

Speaker #5: And TMX delivered outstanding performance in the quarter , highlighted by strong year over year growth in revenue , adjusted earnings per share , and operating leverage .

Speaker #5: And now , as David , will cover the quarter in more detail in a few minutes , I'm going to focus my remarks this morning to provide important context around our how our year to date progress sets the stage for future success .

Speaker #5: At last year's Investor Day , we unveiled an ambitious strategy we've been working on for a number of years called TTM to X , and I say ambitious because what we needed to do was shift the organizational mindset from a growth mindset to a growth mindset , from incremental to transformational .

Speaker #5: It took the organization 14 years to get from a half $1 billion in total revenue to a billion . But our aim was to double that pace , to reach 2 billion in 5 to 7 years .

Speaker #5: And we are well on the way . People across our enterprise have embraced this challenge , and I'm happy to report that as we move along in the fourth quarter , we are delivering on the promise of bigger and faster , and we are now five consecutive quarters digit growth into the Tm2 journey .

Speaker #5: Well on our way . So turning to our results . For the first three quarters of 2025 , our overall revenue increased 18% compared to 2024 , reflecting gains across all business lines , highlighted by double digit growth from derivatives and clearing equities trading and global insights .

Speaker #5: Our organic growth, excluding acquisitions, increased 16%, and adjusted diluted earnings per share increased 25% from the first nine months of last year.

Speaker #5: Our results showcase the power of a unique , diverse portfolio of of double interconnected global businesses , as well as the resiliency of our market ecosystem and 2025 success stories span the entire enterprise across established traditional business areas , as well as new business areas and geographies .

Speaker #5: Our overall operating expenses for the first nine months increased as well . Year over year , reflecting expenses related to recent acquisitions and continued investment in organic growth .

Speaker #5: And David will walk through the expenses in more detail following my comments this morning. Now, moving through some of our business highlights, trading activity on core domestic markets remained strong throughout the first nine months.

Speaker #5: Revenue from derivatives trading and clearing , excluding box , increased 32% year over year , driven by strong trading activity across both equity and interest rate derivatives .

Speaker #5: The first nine months also featured continued upward momentum in our Government of Canada bond futures products , supported by a record open interest and increased client adoption .

Speaker #5: Macro, environmental, and geopolitical factors drove record investor demand for derivative instruments. AMEX overall open interest reached an all-time high of 33 million contracts in September and finished the month 57% higher than at the same date last year.

Speaker #5: On the equity trading side, increased activity due to market volatility, as well as higher yields on premium products, drove revenue gains. Overall revenue from equities and fixed income trading and clearing increased 11% compared to the first nine months of 2024.

Speaker #5: On a combined basis , TSX , TSX Venture and Alpha volumes increased 22% year over year . Now , looking beyond Canada . Building on our early success , Alpha ex-US , our new US equities trading venue , continued its impressive growth trajectory during Q3 .

Speaker #5: Market share grew 30% and average daily volume increased more than 30% quarter over quarter . But where we are most encouraged about is the pace of industry adoption .

Speaker #5: With approximately 30 participants now connected , representing a range of firms , all connected to Alpha , ex-US . Turning now to Global Insights , this has been a key contributor to our tremendous year over year performance and a propulsive force in our strategic growth revenue during the first nine months increased 16% compared to 2024 , led by double digit increases from TMX , Trayport and TMX .

Speaker #5: Edify , TMX , Trayport revenue grew 21% year over year , or 14% in pound sterling , driven by a number of factors , primarily an increase in the number of licensees and increased adoption of analytics and other trader products .

Speaker #5: Forward strategy is focused on three primary client centric components strengthening the core dual network by investing to improve speed , scalability , and reliability while supporting enhanced capabilities and product innovation .

Speaker #5: Number two, expanding into new asset classes and geographies, and three, adapting to address the evolving needs of energy trading clients with innovative analytics tools.

Speaker #5: Our revenue from TMX increased 24% compared to the first nine months of last year , or 20% in US dollars , due to higher indexing , revenue driven by organic growth in assets under management and recent acquisitions .

Speaker #5: TMX continues to execute against an opportunity an opportunistic expansion strategy , moving to capitalize on specialized long term global trends , and so earlier this month , we acquired three indices that tracked the nuclear energy sector crucial for AI infrastructure .

Speaker #5: From range Fund Holdings and North Shore indices , including the Range Nuclear Renaissance Index . These latest acquisitions expand TMX industry leading indexing platform to over 1250 indices across a diverse group of major asset classes , now moving now to the third key component of Global InSight's TMX Datalinks .

Speaker #5: We also made some news earlier this month . We acquired Verdi , a leading by side investment research management system , data and analytics provider .

Speaker #5: The addition of Verdi brings a dynamic new financial data and proprietary analytics capabilities, along with an expert group of professionals to our data team, to enhance the services we offer to more than 5,000 clients worldwide.

Speaker #5: And I'd like to take that quick opportunity to welcome the Verdi team into TMX . Now , turning to capital formation . The first nine months of revenue increased 8% when compared to 2020 .

Speaker #5: Four , due to higher revenue from additional listing fees and the inclusion of revenue from news File data . You'll recall at the beginning of the year , we separated the capital formation segment into two primary components traditional capital formation .

Speaker #5: The role of our stock Exchange's TSX and TSX venture play in helping listed companies raise growth capital and TMX corporate Solutions , an end to end set of services , including TSX Trust and Newsfile to serve the needs of public and private companies through all their capital raising activity and stages of evolution .

Speaker #5: And we established then a long term objective of generating over 50% of the revenue from capital formation from these corporate solutions . But the story this recorder is actually really about capital raising itself .

Speaker #5: And the strength of our public market ecosystem . Combined TSX and TSX venture market capitalization reached a record high in the quarter , topping $6 trillion for the first time , highlighted by $1 trillion in the mining sector alone .

Speaker #5: Also , an all time high and most importantly , we are also seeing sustained positive momentum in activity at the crucial foundation of the ecosystem , led by a surge in the mining sector , equity financing dollars raised by TSX venture issuers increased 67% through the first nine months , compared to that same period last year .

Speaker #5: And over the past few quarters , we've talked about our efforts , working closely with a well defined pipeline of private companies to prepare them to join our ecosystem .

Speaker #5: Earlier this month , we proudly welcome Calgary based Rock Point Gas Storage to the Toronto Stock Exchange . The largest independent owner and operator of natural gas storage in North America .

Speaker #5: The company raised over 700 million during its IPO , and we are hopeful that this is a signal to the community of issuer prospects and to the entire marketplace that the conditions for going public are right and that we are on the cusp of a robust IPO season .

Speaker #5: Growth momentum also continued through the third quarter in Canada's ETF industry through September 30th , 200 new ETFs listed on Toronto stock Exchange's year , surpassing the full year record set in 2024 .

Speaker #5: And now , as I close , I'd really like to take a moment to thank our employees around the world for their continued and essential contributions to our success .

Speaker #5: TMX has an impressive track record of leadership and innovation , and we have a long , proud history . Last Friday marked TMX 173rd birthday , and in two weeks we will celebrate 23 years as a publicly traded company .

Speaker #5: And I believe in celebrating our milestones . Those of you who have followed us through the years have seen the evolution from a regional exchange operator into a global competitive force .

Speaker #5: Now, to be clear, I haven't been here for 173 years, but it's been my absolute privilege to work here during the most transformative era.

Speaker #5: And I feel very strongly that we're on a course for an even brighter future as we move forward towards the end of this year , we are equipped and emboldened to take TMX to new heights from promise to delivery and ambition to execution .

Speaker #5: And with that , let me turn the call over to David . Thank you . Jon .

Speaker #6: Bonjour , Montreal . Thank you . John , and good morning from Montreal . I'm pleased to report that the TMX Group delivered outstanding financial results in the third quarter of 2025 , reflecting the strong momentum across our franchise and the effectiveness of our strategic initiatives .

Speaker #6: We once again achieved double digit increases in both reported and organic revenue in the third quarter . Our Q3 revenue of 418.6 million equates to a robust 18% year over year growth .

Speaker #6: The performance was broad , based across all of our business segments , with particularly strong contributions from our derivatives trading and clearing , TMX , TMX , Trayport , TMX , Datalinks , and equities , equities and fixed income trading businesses .

Speaker #6: The strength in our revenue , coupled with disciplined expense management , led to strong income from operations and earnings per share . This quarter .

Speaker #6: Diluted earnings per share increased 43% to $0.43 , while our adjusted diluted EPs grew 27% to $0.52 , driven by growth in our income from operations , which increased 23% compared with Q3 of last year .

Speaker #6: Turning now to our businesses , beginning with the segments that saw the largest year over year increases , global Insights revenue grew by 18% this quarter , reflecting double digit increases across the three business segments .

Speaker #6: Three businesses in the segment revenue from TMX grew 35% in Canadian dollars and 32% in US dollars this quarter . This growth included 4.6 million of revenue from recent acquisitions , namely index Research funding indices and ETF stream revenue .

Speaker #6: Excluding these acquisitions , increased 21% in the third quarter , reflecting strong organic growth in assets under management . Higher analytics revenue , and higher revenue from digital distribution .

Speaker #6: TMX verifies assets under management , continue to show robust growth with over 71 billion USD at the end of September . Now , as John mentioned earlier this month , TMX verify continued to expand on its indexing capabilities and product offerings through the acquisition of three nuclear sector indices .

Speaker #6: These thematic equity indices track nuclear energy and uranium miners , which is which is a rapidly expanding sector , especially as the world economy seeks to power generative AI and other energy consumption driven technologies and services .

Speaker #6: Revenue from Trayport was up 16% in Canadian dollars, or 12% in pound sterling, this quarter, primarily driven by a 6% increase in total licensees' annual price adjustments and incremental revenue from data analytics and other trader products.

Speaker #6: Compared with last year, TMX and Trayport ended the quarter with average recurring revenue for the quarter on an annualized basis of $275.7 million.

Speaker #6: Canadian dollars , or $148.6 million in pound sterling , which is up 18% and 13% , respectively , compared with the same period last year .

Speaker #6: Now , revenue from TMX , Datalinks grew 12% from Q3 of last year , reflecting growth in benchmarks and indices , data feeds and higher revenue in subscribers and usage related to prior period billing adjustments .

Speaker #6: There was also a favorable impact from pricing changes that came into effect earlier this year , and an increase in analytics revenue , coupled with the growth in co-location , our revenue and our derivatives trading and clearing businesses , excluding box was up 27% from Q3 of last year , driven by a 31% growth in monitoring in the Montreal exchange and a 20% growth in Cidc revenue .

Speaker #6: On the heels of a 13% increase in volumes and a higher rate per contract this quarter . Relating to the sunset of the Cora market , making program in Q2 of this year .

Speaker #6: Our derivatives business demonstrated sustained , strong performance through the first nine months of 2025 . And as John mentioned earlier , open interest in September is up 57% .

Speaker #6: Revenue from box increased 27% . This quarter , driven by a 27% growth in volumes compared with Q3 of last year . Now , turning to our capital formation business .

Speaker #6: We saw encouraging trends in capital formation activity this quarter , with revenue up 15% from Q3 of last year . Additional listing fees grew 42% year over year due to an increase in the number of transactions billed at the maximum fee on both TSX and TSX Venture Exchange or Tsxv for short and higher average fees for transactions below the maximum sustaining listing fees and initial listing fees also grew compared to last year , reflecting increased activity on both TSX and Tsxv , as well as a higher revenue from ETFs .

Speaker #6: TMX Corporate solutions grew by 9% in Q3 , reflecting 1.8 million increased revenue from TMX News File , which was acquired in August last year , and a higher transfer agency set of fees from TSX trust .

Speaker #6: The revenue increase in TMX corporate solutions was partially offset by lower net interest income revenue , mainly due to lower yields compared with Q3 of last year .

Speaker #6: Now , in our equities and fixed income trading and clearing segment , revenue was up 10% in the quarter , driven by growth in trading , while revenue in our clearing business was up 2% from Q3 of last year .

Speaker #6: The increase in equities and fixed income trading reflected 35% of high , driven by higher volumes in our equity marketplaces , including 18% on TSX , 86% on TSX , and 40% on Alpha Exchange and Dark combined .

Speaker #6: Our combined equities trading market share for TSX and TSXV listed issues was approximately 61% this quarter, down approximately 3% from Q3 of last year.

Speaker #6: On , the fixed income trading side , revenue decreased versus Q3 a year ago , primarily reflecting lower activity in Government of Canada bonds this quarter compared with a very active Q3 last year , as well as lower credit and swap activity .

Speaker #6: Now , as John mentioned , I'd like to take a closer look at expenses . So let's take a closer look at our expenses on a reported basis , operating costs in the quarter increased by 14% and included the following items .

Speaker #6: First , we incurred 7.4 million of higher dispute and litigation costs compared with Q3 of last year . These costs include a settlement provision and external advisory services related to these matters , which are not part of our ordinary course business and have been excluded from our adjusted EPs .

Speaker #6: Second , we incurred 7.9 million of additional expenses related to new acquisitions excluding these items , our operating expenses increased by approximately 7% , or 13.2 million on a comparable basis , largely due to three key drivers .

Speaker #6: First , over half of this increase , or 7 million , is driven by higher headcount , payroll costs and year over year merit increases .

Speaker #6: Second , approximately a quarter of this increase , or 3 million , relates to it operating costs reflect a higher licensing and subscription fees , mainly related to supporting our growth initiatives .

Speaker #6: Compared to last year, the remaining quarter of this increase relates to $2.5 million of higher amortization associated with the launch of our Post-Trade system and $1.1 million representing higher costs related to Elf US, which was launched in January this year, partially offset by $0.4 million of other net cost decreases.

Speaker #6: Now , let me be crystal clear . We delivered double digit positive operating leverage in the third quarter , driven by a robust 17% organic revenue growth , outpacing the 7% increase in comparable operating expenses .

Speaker #6: And our entire management team cannot be prouder of this excellent result . Turning now to our sequential results , we maintained strong momentum from Q2 into the third quarter of 2025 .

Speaker #6: Total revenue decreased by 3.1 million , or 1% , in Q3 , from a record revenue quarter in Q2 . The decrease reflected lower revenue from capital formation due due to the seasonality of TMX corporate solutions revenue , primarily driven by TSX trust revenue related to annual general meetings .

Speaker #6: In the second quarter and lower fixed income trading revenue from decreased activity and Government of Canada bonds . This decrease was partially offset by higher revenue from our Global Insight segment driven by TMX fee , AUM growth and higher revenue from derivatives trading and clearing , driven by higher rate per contract .

Speaker #6: Due to the sunset of the market making program in Q2 of this year . Now , turning to our sequential expense analysis , operating expenses in Q3 decreased 2.8 million , or 1% , on a reported basis from Q2 , primarily reflecting 1.6 million of lower employee performance incentive plan costs and recoverable expenses and lower costs related to the now completed Post-trade modernization project .

Speaker #6: These sequential decreases in operating expenses were partially offset by 1.6 million of increased acquisition and related expenses in the second quarter , and 1.3 million of higher operating expenses .

Speaker #6: Related to ETF stream , which was acquired in June of this year . Our balance sheet remains exceptionally strong , providing us with the financial flexibility to pursue strategic opportunities for growth to accelerate our strategy while maintaining our commitment to long term shareholder returns .

Speaker #6: Our debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio at September 30th was 2.3 times , which is which is within our target leverage range of one and a half to two and a half times .

Speaker #6: We continue to maintain a disciplined approach to capital deployment , as evidenced by the recent acquisition of Verity for approximately 98 million USD completed in early October , which was completed with existing cash and commercial paper .

Speaker #6: We continue to demonstrate our ability to execute strategic investments while maintaining financial discipline and prioritizing returns for our shareholders. Turning now to our cash and marketable securities, financial position.

Speaker #6: As of September 30th , we held over 585 million in cash and marketable securities , which is 371 million in excess of the approximately 214 million we target to retain for regulatory purposes excess cash .

Speaker #6: Our leverage ratio was 1.9 times at September 30th and 2.1 times following the acquisition of Verdi last night , our board of directors approved a quarterly dividend of $0.22 per common share , payable on November 28th to shareholders of record as of November 14th .

Speaker #6: This represents a dividend payout ratio of 42% for both the third quarter and the last 12 months , consistent with our target payout range of 40 to 50% .

Speaker #6: Our cash generation capabilities remain robust , supporting both our growth investments , net of and our commitment to returning capital to shareholders . The strength of our financial position , combined with our diverse revenue streams and strong market positions , provide a solid foundation for continued growth and value creation .

Speaker #6: So with that , I'll now turn the call back to Amin for the Q&A period .

Speaker #4: Thank you . David . you please outline the process for the Q&A session ?

Speaker #3: Yes. To join the question queue, you may press star and then one on your telephone keypad. You will hear a tone acknowledging your request.

Speaker #3: If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing any keys. We also ask that you please limit yourself to two questions.

Speaker #3: You may reenter the question queue and to withdraw your question , please press star then two .

Speaker #3: come from Ben Budish with Barclays . Please go ahead , sir .

Speaker #7: Maybe across the energy franchise . I think this was the first time in a while your Chuck , would sequentially . There's been some headlines sort of indicating that energy trading is getting more difficult for some of the big trading firms .

Speaker #7: declined

Speaker #7: You know , we generally see lower volatility in in gas pricing and things like that . So just curious if there's any read through for some of those macro factors into what's going on in Trayport .

Speaker #7: And any other thoughts on the underlying health of the end client?

Speaker #6: Hey Ben , it's David Arnold chair . I appreciate the question . Yeah . So look , sequentially revenue , you know , was slightly lower , but it was actually entirely driven by one time revenues .

Speaker #6: We had about $1.4 million. You know, there was a delta between the delivery of client projects and other consulting work in Q2.

Speaker #6: So that didn't obviously recur in Q3. But the underlying recurring revenues are up about half a million pounds sterling, or 1.5%, from Q2 to Q3.

Speaker #6: So tripod is obviously continues to still be a high growth business for us . Ben . And , you know , we continue to target , you know , that 10% plus revenue growth over the long term .

Speaker #6: So as I mentioned in my remarks , you know , average recurring revenue is up 18% in CAD or 13% in pound sterling .

Speaker #6: So really if I just bring it all back full circle , then it's really just because of some of the as I said , client project consulting , you know , that was in Q2 .

Speaker #6: That didn't recur in Q3.

Speaker #7: All right . Helpful . Maybe one follow up , David , on Verdi . Just anything you can share there in terms of the PNL impact .

Speaker #7: We'll see starting in Q3 , how you think about cross-sell opportunities across the existing data links , customer base and any other details there .

Speaker #7: You could , if you could share , would be helpful . Thank you .

Speaker #6: I appreciate it , Ben . What I'm actually going to do is I'm going to hand it over to John first just to talk about some of the strategic rationale of the acquisition and a little bit about the business .

Speaker #6: And then I'll give you what I can regarding economics.

Speaker #5: Thanks , David , and thanks for the question , because we're actually very , very excited about bringing this business in and what it actually does for our product suite and for the client base .

Speaker #5: I think you hit it in a bit in the question of the cross-sell opportunities . We see those as being substantial , both from a cross sell opportunity , but also from a product development opportunity .

Speaker #5: So the business line has got some really good enhanced data capabilities in terms of unique investor insight , data . That's analytics and insights that's built from data .

Speaker #5: We're going to be able to apply that to underlying Canadian data sets as well . So we're able to expand the reach of the product and to your point , the cross-selling opportunity is , you know , how are we the ability to then sell that data and applications to a broader audience base that we have ?

Speaker #5: And I think I gave in the notes, we've got approximately 5,000 clients in data links globally that are now in the addressable market for that product set.

Speaker #5: The other interesting piece on on the Verdi business that comes in is it does have a research management platform . So an actual solution that sits in the research site for an asset manager , that's another way for us then to engage in the asset managers in terms of , you know , a larger share of wallet , because right now what we really provide is just raw data there .

Speaker #5: So it's a complementary service. So you've got it exactly right. These are all cross-selling and upselling opportunities, but really about providing a deeper solution set into the client.

Speaker #5: And that's why we're excited about what we can do with it . So let me turn it back to David to talk a bit on the economics .

Speaker #6: Thanks , John . Yeah . I mean , Ben , you know what I can tell you is , you know , the annual revenue is probably comparable to our data links , co-location business .

Speaker #6: You know , contained within our global Insights segment . So that's the first data point that I can share with you . And then obviously , the most important one really for us is , you know , besides the strategic rationale that John outlined is consistent with previous acquisitions .

Speaker #6: It's expected to be accretive to our adjusted EPS well within the first year. So that should give you enough. It's a significant investment strategically for the Data Links business.

Speaker #6: But in the grand scheme, in terms of the TMX overall results, it's not a material movement in adjusted EBITDA for the quarter.

Speaker #7: All right . All very helpful . Thank you both .

Speaker #3: The next question will come from Tien Richard with BMO Capital Markets . Please go ahead .

Speaker #8: Okay . Thank you and good morning team . So verify continues to be quite active acquiring indices in specific sectors . I'm thinking energy infrastructure and nuclear for example .

Speaker #8: My question is how does the team think about expanding in in some of these specific sectors without having too much concentration risk ? AUM wise ?

Speaker #5: Yeah, I mean, that's a great question because what we're actually doing is diversifying some of that concentration risk, as opposed to accumulating more.

Speaker #5: So, this sector we talked about in the notes, in terms of the nuclear sector, if you look at any of the long-term independent analysis in terms of where energy demand is going to be supplied from in the future, this is a sector that's going to see a lot of investment and a lot of investor interest.

Speaker #5: So it was a natural piece for us to then expand into future asset classes . While it sounds like it's more energy sector , this is very independent from the components that we've got that are in .

Speaker #5: The more amlp based indices which are on more , you midstream pipeline infrastructure . So they're they're very unique and different in terms of the investor and the assets that they're servicing .

Speaker #5: But as you know , these are not the only transactions we've done this year . We brought in the suite of fixed income indices earlier on this year .

Speaker #5: At the end of last year , we brought in the index research team to get access to a larger suite of European based indices , which are up substantially now .

Speaker #5: Since that acquisition as well . So it is part of a core strategy of continuing to diversify the asset base that we can deliver through the index factory and verify .

Speaker #5: And the bigger governor for us is actually just being pragmatic about how quickly we can integrate things really well so that they're part of our ecosystem and deliver them for clients.

Speaker #5: So I will tell you that we look at a lot of opportunities . We decline far more than we move forward with , because we're really want to make sure that the they're going to create value for clients .

Speaker #5: We can integrate them well and deliver them on a scale basis in the platform . Those are , you key components that we're never going to step aside from when we're looking at these opportunities .

Speaker #8: And John staying on verify , we know that digital distribution and data is is quite a meaningful revenue driver for this business . How do you think about growth for this line item through the market cycle ?

Speaker #8: In other words , our asset managers willing to get more data when the industry is experiencing market appreciation and and net flows .

Speaker #5: Yeah , I'm always very careful about separating line items in here because you know what we are trying to do is grow the these the franchise as a whole .

Speaker #5: And in some cases using the different product lines to help create cross sale opportunities . And so , you know , if we can use a digital distribution opportunity to help drive the acquisition of a new ETF client for long term indices and grow through AUM , we're looking at that strategic packaging of opportunities as opposed to thinking about it as a one line versus another line .

Speaker #5: It's exactly why we did the ETF stream investment in London that we did earlier this year . It was about having some of that same distribution capability in the European market , because it gives us that extra strategic and competitive advantage when we're talking to new ETF providers .

Speaker #5: About the suite of offerings that we can provide to them . So in terms of how we manage the business , it isn't on a line by line by that .

Speaker #5: It's on the overall basket . And driving that double digit growth across the whole firm . Now I'll just add in caveat . When firms are doing well and they've got strong marketing budgets that absolutely helps in terms of the tailwinds in terms of those standalone product sales .

Speaker #8: Thank you very much .

Speaker #3: Your next question will come from Aravinda Galappaththi with Canaccord Genuity. Please go ahead.

Speaker #9: Good morning . Thanks for taking my questions . I wanted to start off with data links . Obviously , you know , you provided some detail around the growth .

Speaker #9: There . It's picking up from a period of more flatter growth . I wanted to understand what sort of the the bigger components were .

Speaker #9: That sort of , drove that spike to to 12% . And just to sort of assess the sustainability there , I'll start there .

Speaker #6: Hey , Aaron , it's David Arnold . Yeah . As I as I mentioned in my my formal remarks right there is obviously year over year pricing increases , which we spoke about in prior quarters .

Speaker #6: There was also some billing true ups for clients , but then also just , you know , robust growth in all pockets . So there isn't really one specific item I can point to other than , you know , some billing through UPS .

Speaker #6: And are we getting some feedback on the line . Could you hear me Aravinda ?

Speaker #9: I can hear you .

Speaker #6: Okay , good . So yeah , so it was across the board , across multiple parts of the product line . The only item that I called out that was slightly different was some higher than normal billing through UPS .

Speaker #6: And obviously feeds volume is is up to .

Speaker #9: Thanks very much . And then for my second question , just going back to verify , you know , considering some of the , changes we're seeing in technology , in particular , sort of the , the rapid growth in Agentic AI and some of those platforms that are coming out , how do you see the future of verify and how can you sort of insulate a future proof as you think about the next 3 to 5 years , ensuring that that sort of growth can be sustained ?

Speaker #9: Perhaps any of the tailwinds or the headwinds or threats you can talk to there ?

Speaker #5: Yeah , actually , it's actually we think it is an opportunity . When you think about the nature of the business , and we are you know , this is a technology first platform .

Speaker #5: It is , you know , the first platforms that's completely cloud delivered . And 100% scalable in terms of how we deliver those solutions .

Speaker #5: We already have teams working on potential AI enhancements in terms of the ability to do that smarter , faster , and actually build additional scale .

Speaker #5: So we are looking at those technologies and really see them as a way to actually do more and create more productivity out of the platform .

Speaker #9: Thank you . I'll pass the line .

Speaker #3: The next question will come from Stephen Boland with Raymond James . Please go ahead .

Speaker #10: Okay . So just quickly go back to Trayport . I mean , in terms of quarter over quarter , you kind of explained that I'm just I just want to make find out and be clear that the lower energy prices is not like is the correlation to slowing growth or momentum .

Speaker #10: What drives that that revenue growth . Is it volatility ? Is it high energy prices ? I'm just trying to get an idea of what the impact of lower energy prices may have .

Speaker #6: Hi Stephen , it's David , I'll start . And John will add if need be . I think the key thing here is , you know , as we've said in the past , right .

Speaker #6: You know , the the revenue model for us at Trayport is , is a SaaS based recurring revenue model . There is a small amount of consulting and advisory , which is sporadic as we onboard new clients and help them connect to the network .

Speaker #6: important point to also make is , you know , part of our revenue model is actually not tied to the trading activity of our clients on the network .

Speaker #6: They would naturally , if they wanted to trade in that and have those trades be via brokers and on exchange , they would love to connect to the Trayport network .

Speaker #6: And that would obviously result in some increased volume . But the core message here is really at the revenue perspective . It's a very , very small , you know , Delta and it's related to , as I said , some projects and kind of new client onboarding expenses and revenue .

Speaker #6: But what I can also tell you is that the , you know , annual recurring revenue still being north of 100% is a critical key success factor for us that we keep looking at .

Speaker #10: Okay . That's helpful . And then just verify . I mean , and I guess some of these , you know , the ETF stream , the the purchase of the indices even Verity , can you just quickly give a how the I guess integration happens on TMX .

Speaker #10: Like how is it is it just a link to the existing site or is all the technology integrated the tech stack and then sales is integrated ?

Speaker #10: I'm just trying to get an idea of the process .

Speaker #6: Hi Stephen , it's David . Yeah , so so I'll touch a little bit on on kind of the mechanics of our integration .

Speaker #6: I mean , you your question is a good one , but it was quite broad based . So I'm really going to focus on the , the things that are the immediate , you know , day one to day 120 .

Speaker #6: In any of our acquisitions . Right . And so when we when we tackle the integration , our integration team , you know , first and foremost is it's about really making the onboarding experience for our new TMX family members a pleasant one .

Speaker #6: And really that starts with getting them onto our productivity suite . First and foremost . Right . And that's , you know , everything from our email system to all of our productivity tools , as well as our HR and financial systems .

Speaker #6: So that really becomes the the primary . And then at the same time , our sales teams are working on cross-selling opportunities . And and , you know , introduction and and actually leveraging , you know , the acquired businesses network with our network .

Speaker #6: And but it doesn't result in a day . One let's integrate , you know , CRM systems or let's go and integrate product , you know , production systems .

Speaker #6: That's really a later decision . After we , you know , kind of really tackle the productivity suite first and then we turn to , you know , how can we actually look at reducing infrastructure costs .

Speaker #6: Right . And that may result in server rationalization , cloud service provider rationalization and so forth . So that's really the general principle .

Speaker #6: And with Verity, it's following exactly the same kind. Of course.

Speaker #5: And the only piece of lad there , you know , from a strategic standpoint we've gotten we've gotten very good at this . So we've got actually a dedicated team that leads the organization .

Speaker #5: A lot of folks that spend full time in terms of doing integration . Well , we've got our own playbook in terms of , you know , what are our standards that we move things on , but more importantly , before we do transactions , before we transact , we have a hypothesis of how the business will run as part of TMX .

Speaker #5: And I think that's really important because it helps you make the right decision as to whether or not you're going to acquire or invest.

Speaker #5: If you know in advance how you're going to operate it as part of our our part of our ecosystem . So knowing upfront , especially when you're doing something smaller , that this is going to run as a business line , it's going to run on TMX capabilities .

Speaker #5: It's going to be TMX people all in one same team gets it into a really honest conversation right up front in terms of what we're going to do .

Speaker #5: And then afterwards we're pragmatic around the steps that we take in terms of what order , because we didn't want to have . You don't want to have an integration activity disrupting the opportunity to build sales momentum in terms of that new relationship .

Speaker #5: So that's that's the strategic way that we're thinking about it is it's part of the deal decision up before we ever execute .

Speaker #10: Okay . And I'll speak one more if you don't mind . Just the litigation and dispute seems pretty material . Maybe you mentioned this in the past .

Speaker #10: I just can't remember . Is this multiple disputes ? Is this one case ? And maybe just what it's related to ?

Speaker #6: Yeah , it's David here . You know what I would say . Which is which is important right . Is it's it's our policy not to Stephen to comment on obviously ongoing legal disputes , but what we do do is we adjust these as they're really not representative of the kind of ordinary course activity .

Speaker #6: And , you know , we do believe that by doing that , it provides a more meaningful analysis for the investor community to really understand the underlying , operating and financial performance .

Speaker #6: What I can tell you is , is that , you know , we are not in the business of litigation , but from time to time , it does arrive .

Speaker #6: And depending on the matter , you know , we obviously highlight the litigation costs and or provisions . But then to the extent that there are settlements , you know , both a positive settlement or a negative settlement , that'll also be highlighted in our results as and when you that occurs .

Speaker #6: So you've at least got comfort as to , you know what we're incurring that is really not normal . Course . And then any settlement that may occur afterwards is , is obviously not normal course as well .

Speaker #6: And it's really not natural .

Speaker #11: So just .

Speaker #10: Sorry . So this is , this is actually cash paid out . Not like a provision that's been set up .

Speaker #6: No . What I can tell you is , is some of it is provisions and some of it is , you know , payments to lawyers .

Speaker #11: Okay .

Speaker #10: Sorry for too many questions .

Speaker #3: The next question will come from Jane Gloyn with National Bank financial . Please go ahead .

Speaker #12: Yeah . Thanks . I wanted to start on the the AI theme . And I guess you kind of answered a little bit of it around about five .

Speaker #12: But more , more broadly , what are what are some of the strategies or technologies that you have in development right now to to really sort of maintain the competitive advantage that TMX Group has ?

Speaker #12: That would sort of be one . And then number two on the theme would be what , what , what is your view today of potential AI disruption around new trading platforms or exchanges that could that could impact your your market share or growth prospects ?

Speaker #5: I mean , that's a great question . And it's one we're spending a lot of time on . In fact , our our board session that we're doing this afternoon is is really focused on what are those major industry themes that have the potential to change or disrupt in the future .

Speaker #5: In AI is one of those topics , you know , from a deployment in the in the firm , there are a number of pillars that we're working through right now .

Speaker #5: So first of all , we've actually already deployed a number of different AI solutions throughout the organization . Every employee in the organization has got access to certain tools .

Speaker #5: The actual engagement level of employee and use of employees , using them is very high . And I put the categorization of those tools and things that are productivity enhancing .

Speaker #5: So the tools that help the everyday employee do their job better , more efficiently , more timely , so that they can increase their own productivity , do things faster , deliver more for clients .

Speaker #5: There are also specialty tools that are deployed. I'm not going to talk about specific tools because I don't think that would be appropriate.

Speaker #5: But as you can imagine , we've got tools that that are deployed that are helping us build more enhanced data products that help you get more data access out of the proprietary data sets .

Speaker #5: We've got tools that we are using in the development sphere. There are multiple ones that we are testing right now in different areas that help to accelerate development.

Speaker #5: The way we've deployed these in the in the organization , again , is that sense of how do we actually increase productivity , the ability to go faster , to build products faster .

Speaker #5: And then to your point , we're also looking at where are the product opportunities going forward . And given an organization like ours , which has actually a robust set of proprietary data , we come into this with some competitive advantage because we have the ability to build on top of data sets .

Speaker #5: We already have , as opposed to just acquiring market data and building things that are not proprietary on top of them . The the variety acquisition actually is right in that exact theme that there's some really interesting tools and capabilities in there that allow us to do more things with our actual data .

Speaker #5: The last thing you talked about on the trading side , I always want to remind people when we're talking about trading is trading is already highly digital and highly automated , and a substantial amount of trading flow is actually already algorithmic tool .

Speaker #5: So this is really just a next generation of those tools . So we don't see that that's a material change . We want to make sure the appropriate guardrails are there that protect the marketplaces from essentially what you could have is really high messaging volumes that would come out of AI generated trading activity .

Speaker #5: So you always want to make sure there's market integrity , and we'll continue to look at how we use these tools to enhance the capabilities that we've got in terms of both development throughput .

Speaker #5: As et cetera. Et cetera. So you've got it exactly right. It is top of mind. I would say our strategic approach is to be a fast follower in a lot of these and not to use the absolute bleeding edge because a lot of those technologies we've found are already obsolete.

Speaker #5: So we're using a lot of ones that are becoming more mainstream and are also partnered with core technologies . We're using throughout the franchise .

Speaker #5: So I hope that gives you a sense of how we're thinking about it strategically. But it's an everyday conversation. It's deployed right through the firm.

Speaker #12: Yeah . Perfect . Thank you . Thank you for that . One of the one of the other themes out there is , is around a shift to semiannual reporting .

Speaker #12: Maybe you can maybe you can share some of your , your early discussions and thoughts around around that as well .

Speaker #5: So I mean , I'll start with the top line , which is , you know , as much as I like talking to all you guys , if we if we could do that twice a year instead of four times a year , it would probably be better .

Speaker #5: And we wouldn't talk about the quarterly trends as much , and we'd look more long term . But that's just a thematic piece .

Speaker #5: So this is an area where , you know , as a as an advocate for markets , we've been advocating this particularly for smaller companies for over seven years .

Speaker #5: As you know , we we didn't wait for Trump to have this idea because at the end of the day , especially for smaller companies , when you think about the the cost and burden and resources around doing reporting every quarter , and that also goes to audit resources , which are in scarce supply for smaller companies .

Speaker #5: It's an unnecessary burden compared to the value of the disclosure that the investor needs . These these companies are small . Their stories don't change on a material basis .

Speaker #5: And if any company has any material change, they're required to disclose that, whether you're on a quarter or not. So this is, we've advocated this for all venture companies already.

Speaker #5: There was a move to put it in the strategic plan of the CSA earlier this year . There's now some piece out for public commentary on a proposal from the CSA to pilot this for companies under 10 million .

Speaker #5: I mean, our response to that is going to be that we appreciate that this is now being made a priority, but there actually isn't a need to pilot something that's been used in two-thirds of the global capital markets of the world.

Speaker #5: It's already piloted and tested , and 10 million is too small . We should make this available for all venture companies . And should the US move , we should make this available to all companies immediately .

Speaker #5: And it would be voluntary because it really then becomes a discussion between the company and their shareholders as to what's appropriate . So just because the voluntary semiannual doesn't mean you can't do more if that's what's appropriate for your business .

Speaker #5: The last simple piece is in addition to reducing cost and burden for small companies , it actually lets companies engage with their investors more .

Speaker #5: So , any company has quiet periods as soon as their quarter ends , which could be 5 or 6 weeks . But you really can't engage with the investor community when you take two of those cycles out .

Speaker #5: You're essentially giving three months back to a company every year to engage with investors , with analysts , asset managers , etc. , and tell their stories .

Speaker #5: So we think this would be really positive in terms of meaningfully changing the burden for small issuers , helping them ease the burden of being a public company without really degrading investor access to information in a meaningful way .

Speaker #12: Okay . Thank you .

Speaker #3: The next question will come from Graham writing with TD securities . Please go ahead .

Speaker #13: Hi . Good morning . I'm wondering if I could discuss just the topic of regulation in the US . Looks like they're moving towards , you know , getting rid of the order protection rule and trying to set the stage for the trading of tokenized equities on on blockchain type platforms .

Speaker #13: So I just wanted to get your view and your opinion on if the US market does go in that direction . What's the implication for the Canadian equity market and yourselves ?

Speaker #13: Do we do we need to follow suit in some respect or and if so , how would that how would that process play out ?

Speaker #5: Yeah , those are great questions . And I'm going to I'm going to separate the two of them because the order protection rule I think our regime is already more liberal than the US regime as it is .

Speaker #5: So we know the Canadian regime is probably closer to where they're going, as opposed to the other way around. And we've been able to provide some input into the SEC in terms of what's worked and not worked in the Canadian marketplace.

Speaker #5: I do see as the subject on tokenization , particularly tokenization of equities , to be a different topic of conversation . Sorry , I'm just going to ask you if actually , could you just mute the line for a second because I'm you're typing is really , really strong .

Speaker #5: All right . Perfect . Thank you . So tokenization piece . There are a couple of components to it . And the and this is going to be a regulatory discussion for a while in the US market people have been clear that if you tokenize a security , it's still a security .

Speaker #5: And that's a really important component because the the rules around investor protection need to apply , and we need to have level playing field between marketplaces .

Speaker #5: However , they are exploring whether or not there are caveats or carve outs or exemptions for some new platforms . To that foster innovation .

Speaker #5: And that's an area where regulators have to be very careful, because there are unintended consequences. When you start to open that up without the same rules of the game.

Speaker #5: And I know the Canadian regulators are also right on top of this when it comes to tokenization itself . You know , this is an area as a firm , we've been looking at this for a number of years .

Speaker #5: We've got pilot projects in different parts of the franchise . Either ones we've done on the trading side in terms of the ability to trade on exchange things we've looked at on both the custody side and the clearing side .

Speaker #5: We're continuing to do that , but it is a little bit of a solution that's looking for a problem . It's not clear what the benefits are of tokenization of an existing equity to the actual retail audience .

Speaker #5: So a lot of these things have got to be driven by demand in terms of what's the benefit to the marketplace ? A lot of what's getting done in the US right now is actually more serving the ability to get US equities that are demanded in foreign markets and overseas time zones , the ability to trade them over the counter .

Speaker #5: That's a very limited opportunity because it's really around a handful of equities that are globally interested in the Asian time zone . So it also intersects with 24 over seven discussions .

Speaker #5: So but that's the watch that we want to make sure that tokenization is done smartly . You know having just a token on a security that's then traded outside of the regulatory system is not a technology innovation .

Speaker #5: It's an arbitrage . And it actually takes risks around investor protection . It impacts liquidity and can have unintended consequences around price discovery and capital formation .

Speaker #5: So these are all the things that the industry needs to consider . There are some smart proposals that are on the table right now in the industry to look at , to your point , I would say that Canada , again , would be a fast follower here .

Speaker #5: If the US moves that we would be able to move with it . But again , driven by what is the actual demand from a trading standpoint , I got a really good reminder and it came from a US expert that reminded us that in the existing system today , securities are all digital .

Speaker #5: The formation , the issuance of a security , the custody , the trading of it . It is digital end to end . So there's no traditional finance versus diversified finance here that actually differentiates the tokenization of security is actually less efficient than the current system , because it takes that security out of the centralized system .

Speaker #5: You can no longer use it in terms of either collateral offsets or cetera , etc. . So we're watching it closely . We're going to make sure Canada is prepared .

Speaker #5: Our marketplaces are prepared , but the use case is still a question mark in terms of the value add .

Speaker #13: I appreciate the thoughtful answer . Now , you talked about , you know , the demand for this , you know , should we view this really as potential for competition from crypto based platforms who are interested in sort of moving into the equity trading market ?

Speaker #13: Is that where the where the push or the demand is coming from ?

Speaker #5: Yeah . I mean , think it comes from two places . I think you're absolutely right . It's it's a supply side push .

Speaker #5: So organizations that are trying to like you . Said , engage in the equity market . And my expectation is that the right point , regulators are going to say that's fine .

Speaker #5: But you've got to follow the same rules as other marketplaces , which in terms of , you know , fair access , you know , Dr. .

Speaker #5: Capabilities , you know , audit trail capital preservation , those components of separation of assets , the kind of things that got FTX in trouble with a number of years ago .

Speaker #5: So there's going to have to be a bit of a level set in the playing field for those organizations to participate in that ecosystem , whether it's a token or not .

Speaker #5: And even if it's done on an exemption basis earlier on, this is going to get leveled out in terms of making sure we have fair, orderly marketplaces.

Speaker #5: To my other point , the second area of demand is this over-the-counter piece on on overseas trading . There are now , particularly on the US market , a substantial portion of the assets of some large U.S.

Speaker #5: firms are held overseas . And , you know , there's a lot of retail , institutional trading interest in them . When the US markets are closed .

Speaker #5: So tokenized or off market securities are being used as another way to provide liquidity into that region . But it is a very limited set of securities that are being demanded .

Speaker #5: And it's really kind of , you know , the ten biggest names in the US market that are where the where the demand side is for the investor trading activity .

Speaker #13: Okay , great . I'll leave it there . But just one quick question . If I could , is this a topic that you are discussing at your board meeting today ?

Speaker #5: Absolutely . In fact , this is a topic I was at the World Federation of Exchanges last week , meeting with exchanges from around the world .

Speaker #5: This is a topic we are talking about in all jurisdictions. So I think this is something that the industry is right on top of.

Speaker #5: And the most important thing is we remember what the value of central marketplaces for in terms of helping companies raise capital price , discover and build businesses , and always be thoughtful of what are the unintended consequences of fragmenting that .

Speaker #5: And so what everyone's trying to figure out in terms of what we think is the right kind of market structure approaches going forward to get the benefits of new technology with while you can still preserve the value that efficient , centralized capital markets have created .

Speaker #13: I'll leave it there . Thank you .

Speaker #3: The next question will come from Bert Paskey with RBC Capital Markets . Please go ahead .

Speaker #14: Hi . Good morning and thanks for taking my question . Congrats on a great quarter . I just wanted to follow up on the AI theme and kind of hone in on Trayport specifically .

Speaker #14: So you guys have done a good job in the past, kind of highlighting some opportunities around AI as it relates to Trayport.

Speaker #14: But I was hoping you could maybe dive a bit deeper into substantively , why do you think that this business is defensible against some of the AI threats ?

Speaker #14: And , you know , is it the network effect ? Is it other kind of dynamics that ultimately gives you the comfort to to continue that 10% plus target revenue growth rate ?

Speaker #14: Thanks .

Speaker #6: Hey , Bert , it's David Arnold . I first want to welcome you , you know , for initiating coverage on TMX on behalf of RBC .

Speaker #6: So so welcome to your first call . Sorry , Bart , should I say the the the point that I wanted to make over here is and you actually , you know , somewhat answered your own question .

Speaker #6: It's really the network effect of trayport that , you know , creates the defensible and opportunistic ability for growth in that business . But , you know , when you talk specifically about , you know , you know , AI and you know , so forth , we're actually we're , you know , the predecessor for this in the kind of trading space would be algorithmic trading and , and large language models and so on and so forth .

Speaker #6: So , you know , that is part of one of the premium offerings in our , in our Trayport ecosystem . So , you know , the the demand is currently not there from the clients to , you know , radically change the , the landscape for algorithmic trading .

Speaker #6: But we continue to work closely with , with our clients on , you know , the features and functionality that they need as they engage in trading in the natural gas and energy marketplace in Europe .

Speaker #6: So and that's really a common theme , right ? Like most of our innovation is , is driven , if not all of it by client demand .

Speaker #6: And you know , as opposed to when John was , you know , speaking on , on , on the last question about , you know , you know , it's not us trying to sell something .

Speaker #6: It's really trying to solve a problem for the clients that the clients have , either made clear to us or that we've highlighted and requested whether or not they think that that's something we should address .

Speaker #6: And we're not getting a strong client demand right now to to change the fundamental premise of the algorithmic trading features and functionality within the Trayport , you know , software as a service platform .

Speaker #14: Great . That's it for me . Thanks .

Speaker #3: This concludes the question and answer session . I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Moussavian for any closing remarks .

Speaker #3: Please go ahead .

Speaker #4: If you have any further questions , contact information for Investor Relations , as well as media in our press release . And we'd be more than happy to get back to you .

Speaker #4: I know your valuable time is finite , and we thank you for spending with us this morning . It's also a couple of days early , but I wish you all a Happy Halloween .

Speaker #4: And until next time , goodbye .

Q3 2025 TMX Group Ltd Earnings Call

Demo

TMX Group

Earnings

Q3 2025 TMX Group Ltd Earnings Call

X.TO

Tuesday, October 28th, 2025 at 12:00 PM

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