Q3 2025 Carlyle Group Inc Earnings Call

Speaker #1: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to Carlyle Group, third quarter 2025 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode.

Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to The Carlyle Group Q3 2025 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you would need to press star 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Daniel Harris, Head of Public Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Speaker #1: After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you would need to press *11 on your telephone; you will then hear an automated message advising that your hand is raised.

Speaker #1: And to withdraw your question, please press *11 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Danielle Harris, Head of Public Investor Relations.

Speaker #1: Please go ahead.

Speaker #2: Thank you, Michelle. Good morning and happy Halloween, and welcome to Carlyle's third quarter 2025 earnings call. With me on the call this morning is our Chief Executive Officer, Harvey Schwartz, Chief Financial Officer, and Head of Corporate Strategy, John Redett, and incoming Chief Financial Officer, Justin Pluff.

Daniel Harris: Thank you, Michelle. Good morning and happy Halloween, and welcome to Carlyle's Q3 2025 earnings call. With me on the call this morning is our Chief Executive Officer, Harvey Schwartz, Chief Financial Officer and Head of Corporate Strategy, John Redett, and incoming Chief Financial Officer, Justin Plouffe. Earlier this morning, we issued a press release and a detailed earnings presentation, which is available on our investor relations website. This call is being webcast, and a replay will be available. We will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures during today's call. These measures should not be considered in isolation from or as a substitute for measures prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. We have provided reconciliation of these measures to GAAP in our earnings release to the extent reasonably available. Any forward-looking statements made today do not guarantee future performance, and undue reliance should not be placed on them.

Speaker #2: Earlier this morning, we issued a press release and a detailed earnings presentation, which is available on our Investor Relations website. This call is being webcast, and a replay will be available.

Speaker #2: We will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures during today's call. These measures should not be considered in isolation from, or as a substitute for, measures prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles.

Speaker #2: We have provided a reconciliation of these measures to GAAP in our earnings release to the extent reasonably available. Any forward-looking statements made today do not guarantee future performance.

Speaker #2: An undue reliance should not be placed on them. These statements are based on current management expectations and involve inherent risks and uncertainties, including those identified in the risk factor section of our annual report on Form 10-K that could cause actual results at different materially from those indicated.

Daniel Harris: These statements are based on current management expectations and involve inherent risks and uncertainties, including those identified in the risk factors section of our annual report on Form 10-K that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated. Carlyle assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements at any time. In order to ensure participation by all those on the line today, please limit yourself to one question and return to the queue for any additional follow-ups. With that, let me turn the call over to our Chief Executive Officer, Harvey Schwartz.

Speaker #2: Carlyle assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements at any time. In order to ensure participation by all those on the line today, please limit yourself to one question and return to the queue for any additional follow-ups.

Speaker #2: And with that, let me turn the call over to our Chief Executive Officer, Harvey Schwartz.

Speaker #3: Thanks, Dan. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. We delivered another strong quarter of results as we continue to execute our strategic growth plan.

Harvey Schwartz: Thanks, Dan. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. We delivered another strong quarter of results as we continue to execute our strategic growth plan. For the third quarter, we delivered FRE of $312 million and now have generated $946 million year-to-date, up 16%. Record AUM of $474 billion, up 7% year-to-date. Organic inflows of $17 billion in the quarter and nearly $60 billion over the past 12 months, with significant capital coming from credit, secondaries, and global wealth. With this momentum, we feel confident about exceeding the financial targets we updated last quarter, which included full-year FRE growth of approximately 10%, up from our prior outlook of 6%, and full-year inflows of $50 billion compared to our prior outlook of $40 billion. Before I dive into more specifics of the quarter, I'd like to address the macro environment.

Speaker #3: For the third quarter, we delivered FRE of $312 million and have now generated $946 million year to date, up 16%. We also achieved record AUM of $474 billion, up 7% year to date.

Speaker #3: Organic inflows of $17 billion in the quarter and nearly $60 billion over the past 12 months, with significant capital coming from credit, secondaries, and global wealth.

Speaker #3: With this momentum, we feel confident about exceeding the financial targets we updated last quarter, which included full-year FRE growth of approximately 10%, up from our prior outlook of 6%, and full-year inflows of 50 billion dollars, compared to our prior outlook of 40 billion dollars.

Harvey Schwartz: As we look across markets today, this remains a somewhat complex but quite resilient environment. While the markets have been impacted by ongoing headlines related to policy shifts and geopolitics, the underlying health of the global economy continues to be strong. Inflation is moderated, balance sheets are healthy, and overall, consumers are still spending. With official government data delayed by the shutdown, earlier this month, we released Carlyle's proprietary U.S. economic data. These indicators are derived from our portfolio of nearly 300 operating companies and more than 700,000 employees. These insights provide one of the few real-time views into the economy: steady EBITDA growth, continued investment in technology and AI infrastructure, and resilient consumer demand. Turning to credit markets, there's clearly been a lot of focus here over the past several weeks.

Harvey Schwartz: To date, our own market and portfolio data are not signaling any broad deterioration in overall credit quality or systemic risk. Consistent with the economic data I just walked through, fundamentals remain pretty solid, and credit events have been idiosyncratic. Of course, the credit cycle is evolving as it should, repricing where necessary, but again, not flashing broad stress. Capital markets activity has meaningfully accelerated. Announced M&A volume was up more than 40% year-over-year in the third quarter. IPO volumes are up 60% year-to-date, with increased activity during the quarter. Now turning to our global private equity business, we've capitalized on our improving transaction environment, returning capital to our limited partners. Over the past year, we have returned $19 billion in capital to investors in global private equity, 150% of the industry average. Note, this does not include $5 billion of signed transactions. Our momentum internationally continues.

Harvey Schwartz: In Japan, we announced a successful IPO for Orion Breweries. This marks a positive indicator for the broader IPO market and is another important milestone for our team in the region. In Europe, we recently completed the sale of Calistone and announced the sale of HSO. Lastly, in private equity, we recently announced the €7.7 billion carve-out of BASF's coatings business, leveraging our global industrials platform and deep carve-out expertise. In the past 20 years, Carlyle has done 19 industrial corporate carve-outs with an average IRR of 25%. Another great example of the unique operating skill set we bring to our investors. In Carlyle Alpha Invest, the team continues to deliver exceptional growth, with FRE up more than 80% year-to-date. Last month, we closed our largest-ever secondaries fund, $20 billion, further scaling the business.

In Carlile, Alpha invest the team continues to deliver exceptional growth with every up more than 80% year to date.

Harvey Schwartz: We recently closed a $1.25 billion publicly rated GP-led collateralized fund obligation, the largest of its kind to date. This underscores Carlyle's leadership and innovation within a rapidly expanding segment of the marketplace. We also recently completed a $550 million credit secondaries continuation vehicle, reflecting the evolution of our business across newer asset classes. Carlyle Alpha Invest is a market leader at the forefront of an industry with strong secular and cyclical tailwinds. In global credit, our platform continues to scale. During the quarter, inflows into our asset-backed finance strategy were almost $2 billion, highlighting the continued demand for private investment-grade assets. Our strategic approach to insurance solutions continues to pay dividends across all aspects of our investment management capabilities, including our partnership with Fortitude Re and with our third-party insurance clients.

Last month, we closed our largest ever secondaries fund 20 million further scaling to business.

we recently closed at 1.25 billion publicly rated GP lead, collateralized fund obligation, the largest of its kind today,

This underscores, the underscores carlile's leadership and Innovation within a rapidly expanding segment of the marketplace.

We also recently completed a 550 million credit, secondaries continuation vehicle reflecting the evolution of our business across newer asset classes.

Carlo. Help Invest is a market leader at the forefront of an industry with strong secular and cyclical tailwinds.

In Global Credit, our platform continues to scale during quarterly inflows into our asset-backed finance strategy. We're almost $2 billion, highlighting the continued demand for private investment grade assets.

Harvey Schwartz: Justin Plouffe will get into more details about Fortitude Re, but insurance remains a key driver of growth for Carlyle, and we continue to see momentum across the platform. Finally, moving on to global wealth, our momentum remains strong. When I first joined Carlyle, we were attracting about $300 million per quarter in evergreen wealth inflows. Today, we're running at 10 times that level, at $3 billion in inflows, our best fundraising quarter in global wealth ever. To be successful across all aspects of wealth, retail, and retirement, you need experience, scale, brand recognition, and diversification. Part of our strategy is partnering with extraordinary brands, like our recent announcement with Oracle Red Bull Racing. This marks the first-ever private markets partnership in Formula 1 and aligns directly with our long-term global wealth strategy to reach new clients and deepen engagement in key markets.

Our strategic approach to Insurance Solutions, continues to pay dividends across all aspects of our investment management capabilities, including our partnership with fortitude re and with our third-party Insurance clients,

Justin will get into more details about 4 to 2 weeks, but insurance remains a key driver of growth for Carlo and we continue to see momentum across the platform.

Finally, moving on to Global wealth. Our momentum remains strong.

When I first joined Carlyle, we were attracting about $300 million per quarter in Evergreen wealth inflows.

Today we're running at 10 timeslot.

To be successful across all aspects of wealth retail.

And retirement you need experience scale. Brand recognition and diversification.

Part of our strategy is partnering with extraordinary Brands like our recent announcement with Oracle Red Bull Racing.

this marks, the first ever private markets partnership in Formula 1 and aligns directly with our long-term Global wealth strategies to reach new clients and deepen engagement in key markets,

Harvey Schwartz: Over the last two and a half years, we mobilized quickly to capitalize on the growth of private markets and retail. We continue to invest heavily into the business, adding resources and platform partnerships to drive growth. To wrap things up, we are well on our way to exceeding our financial targets for this year and have very strong momentum heading into 2026. With that, let me turn things over to Justin.

Over the last 2 and a half years, we mobilized quickly to capitalize on the growth of private markets and Retail.

Resources and platform Partnerships to drive growth.

Justin Plouffe: Thanks, Harvey, and good morning, everyone. Q3 was yet another strong quarter, consistent with the long-term growth trajectory we've established. We generated $368 million of distributable earnings, or $0.96 per share. Year-to-date, distributable earnings totaled $1.3 billion, or just over $3 per share, up 10% from last year. Fee-related earnings were $312 million for the quarter, up 12% year-over-year. This increase in FRE has been fueled by organic top-line growth. For Q3, total fee revenue increased 11%. In year-to-date, a 13% growth rate represents our fastest pace of growth in the last three years. Roughly 55% of firm-wide FRE now comes from global credit and Carlyle Alpha Invest. That's up from about 25% just five years ago. FRE margins remain strong at 48% for the quarter and year-to-date, exceeding last year's record of 46%.

Grab things up. We're well on our way, to exceeding, our financial targets for this year and have very strong momentum heading into 2026. But that let me turn things over to Justin.

Thanks, Harvey, and good morning, everyone. Q3 was yet another strong quarter, consistent with the long-term growth trajectory. We've established.

We generated 368 million of distributable, earnings or 96 cents, per share year to date. Distributable, earnings total 1.3 billion or just over 3 dollars per share of 10% from last year.

The related earnings were 312 million for the quarter of 12% year-over-year.

The increase in F has been fueled by organic topline growth for Q3. Total fee revenue increased 11%, and year-to-date, a 13% growth rate represents our fastest pace of growth in the last three years.

Roughly 55% of firmwide funds now come from Global Credit and Carlyle Alpinvest. That's up from about 25% just five years ago.

Justin Plouffe: Capital markets and transaction fees were $32 million, up almost 20% year-over-year, and have more than doubled over the past 12 months. As we said throughout the year, our FRE growth is entirely organic and reflects the scalability of our model and operating discipline across the firm. We are on track to exceed our full-year target of at least 10% growth in FRE while continuing to invest for the long term. Let me turn to a couple of highlights for our businesses. Carlyle Alpha Invest delivered another excellent quarter, raising $6.3 billion of capital, bringing the year-to-date total to more than $15 billion. Q3 inflows were driven by both institutional demand and strong momentum in our global wealth products. AUM at Alpha Invest now sits at $102 billion, up more than 20% year-to-date.

FR margins, remained strong at 48%, for the quarter and year to date exceeding last year's record of 46%

Capital markets and transaction. Fees were 32 million up, almost 20% year-over-year and of more than doubled over the past 12 months.

As we said throughout the year, our F growth is entirely organic and reflects the scalability of our model and operating discipline across the firm.

We're on track to exceed our full year Target of at least 10% growth in Fr while continuing to invest for the long term.

Let me turn to a couple of highlights for our businesses.

Carl Alwin Best delivered another excellent quarter, raising $6.3 billion in capital and bringing the year-to-date total to more than $15 billion.

Third, quarter inflows are driven by both institutional demand and strong momentum in our Global wealth products.

Justin Plouffe: FRE at Alpha Invest now represents 23% of Carlyle's FRE, about triple the level from just two years prior. Global credit generated nearly $10 billion of inflows this quarter, and over the last 12 months, inflows have totaled $31 billion, helping lift total AUM to $208 billion. Global credit AUM now comprises 45% of firm-wide assets and has grown at a 33% CAGR over the past five years. Global credit's FRE is now nearly one-third of Carlyle's total. Our global credit business is comprised of a diverse set of platforms that deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns for our investors. Our $87 billion insurance solutions platform is anchored by our strategic partnership with Fortitude Re and has been quite active over the past few months.

AUM at Alvin Fest now sits at $102 billion, which is over 20% year-to-date.

FR at Alpha Invest now represents 23% of Carlyle's funds, about triple the level from just 2 years prior.

Global Credit generated nearly $10 billion of inflows this quarter, and over the last 12 months, inflows totaled $31 billion, helping lift total AUM to $208 billion.

Global Credit AUM. Now, comprises 45% of firmwide assets and has grown at a 33% kagar over the past 5 years.

In global credits, FR is now nearly one-third of Carlyle's total.

Our global credit business is comprised of a diverse set of platforms that deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns for our investors.

Justin Plouffe: It closed its $4 billion reinsurance agreement with Unum, its fourth reinsurance transaction this year, issued an inaugural $500 million funding agreement back note, and recently launched a reinsurance sidecar focused on driving growth in Asia. Together, we believe these initiatives will lead to more than $20 billion of new AUM in the intermediate term. Our leading nearly $50 billion global CLO platform had inflows of more than $3 billion in the quarter. Credit quality remains strong, and the business has recently been recognized for having among the best performance across all U.S. CLO managers this year, with defaults running well below the industry average. Our $13 billion direct lending platform has been growing at a 20% CAGR the past five years. We believe the market opportunity for direct lending will continue to grow, and we are continuing to invest in this platform, adding resources across leadership and origination.

Our $87 billion Insurance Solutions platform is anchored by our strategic partnership. With fortitude, we have been quite active over the past few months.

It closed its 4 billion, reinsurance agreement, with Unum, it's 43 Insurance transactions, this year,

Issued in inaugural $500 million funding agreement back node, and recently launched a reinsurance sidecar focused on driving growth in Asia.

Together, we believe these initiatives will lead to more than $20 billion of new AUM in the intermediate term.

Our leading nearly $50 billion Global CLA platform had inflows of more than $3 billion in the quarter.

Credit quality, remains strong, and the business has recently been recognized for having, among the best performance across all us, Co managers this year with the faults running. Well, below the industry, average.

Our 13 billion, direct lending platform has been growing at a 20% kegger the past 5 years.

Justin Plouffe: Credit quality remains healthy across the portfolio, with realized losses running at an average of just 10 bps per year over the past decade. Our $10 billion asset-backed finance business raised $2 billion just this quarter, and our leading $20 billion opportunistic credit strategy continued to deploy its third vintage fund and is quickly approaching its next fundraise. Shifting now to global private equity. Over the past year, we have attracted nearly $9 billion of capital into our GPE strategies, and today, we have $40 billion of available capital to deploy across the platform. We're excited about our growing transaction pipeline as we head into the fourth quarter, including the recently announced €7.7 billion transaction with BASF in partnership with the Cutter Investment Authority. We also have nearly $5 billion of announced exit transactions that we anticipate to close in the coming quarters.

We believe the market opportunity for direct. Lending will continue to grow and we are continuing to invest in this platform adding resources across leadership and origination

Credit quality remains healthy across the portfolio with realized losses running at an average of just 10 basis points per year over the past decade.

Our $10 billion asset-backed finance business raised $2 billion during Q3, and our leading $20 billion opportunistic credit strategy continues to deploy its third vintage fund and is quickly approaching its next fundraise.

Shifting now, to Global private Equity. Over the past year, we have attracted nearly 9 billion dollars of capital into our gpe strategies. And today we have 40 billion dollars of available Capital to deploy across the platform.

We're excited about our growing transaction pipeline as we head into the fourth quarter, including the recently announced 7.7 billion Euro transaction with BASF in partnership with the Qatar investment Authority.

Justin Plouffe: While Q3 was a lighter realizations quarter, we expect a significant step up in Q4. In addition to this, as you may have seen, one of our U.S. bio portfolio companies, Medline, filed a registration statement with the SEC in connection with a proposed IPO. We remain excited about the future of Medline and congratulate the management team on all they have accomplished so far. In global wealth, our evergreen vehicles continue to scale quickly. We currently have more than $32 billion of evergreen capital, and we raised $3 billion across our evergreen wealth products this quarter. The $6 billion raised over the past year reflects a 90% growth rate from the same period last year. Notably, our new Carlyle Alpha Invest cap solution in partnership with UBS saw strong demand in its first full quarter and has already surpassed more than $1 billion in assets.

Q3 was a lighter realization quarter. We expect a significant Step Up in Q4.

In addition to this, as you may have seen 1 of our us bio portfolio, companies Medline filed a registration statement with the SEC in connection with a proposed IPO.

We remain excited about the future of Medline and congratulate the management team on all they have accomplished so far.

In global wealth, our Evergreen Vehicles continue to scale quickly.

We currently have more than 302 billion dollars of Evergreen capital, and we raised 3 billion dollars for our Evergreen wealth products. This quarter

The 6 billion dollar raised over the past year, reflects a 90% growth rate from the same period last year.

Justin Plouffe: Finally, I'd like to say a few words about the state of our balance sheet and capital management activities. During the quarter, we took advantage of strong debt markets and issued $800 million of 10-year notes at 5%. This extends the duration of our liabilities and leveraged our strong credit rating. This capital provides additional flexibility to invest in growth initiatives in the coming years. We also repurchased over $200 million of stock in the quarter, reflecting our conviction that Carlyle shares continue to be an attractive investment. We are disciplined and opportunistic when allocating capital, balancing share repurchases with investments to drive future growth. Our balance sheet is strong and well-positioned to support our organic initiatives and the firm's long-term financial flexibility. To summarize, our third-quarter results highlight continued growth, earnings diversification, and operating momentum across the platform.

Notably, our new Carlyle-Alvin best cap solution, in partnership with UBS, saw strong demand in its first full quarter and has already surpassed more than $1 billion in assets.

Finally, I'd like to say a few words about the state of our balance sheet and Capital Management activities.

During the quarter, we took advantage of strong debt markets and issued 800 million dollars of 10-year notes at 5%.

This extends the duration of our liabilities and leverages our strong credit rating.

This Capital provides additional flexibility to invest in growth initiatives in the coming years.

We also repurchased over millions of stock in the quarter, reflecting our conviction that Carlile shares continue to be an attractive investment.

We are disciplined and opportunistic. When allocating Capital balancing share repurchases with Investments to drive future growth.

Our balance sheet is strong and well positioned to support our organic initiatives and the firm's long-term financial flexibility.

Justin Plouffe: We're executing well, scaling efficiently, and delivering attractive results for both shareholders and investors. I look forward to meeting and working with all of you more over the coming months. Now, before we get to Q&A, I'd like to hand things over to John for some concluding thoughts.

Summarize our third quarter results, highlighting continued growth, earnings diversification, and operating momentum across the platform.

We're executing well, scaling, and delivering attractive results for both shareholders and investors.

I look forward to meeting and working with all of you more over the coming months.

John Redett: Thanks, Justin. Good morning, everyone. Let me make a few points on the progress we've made on our strategic plan over the last two years. We grew AUM 25% to nearly $475 billion. In the last 12 months, we grew FRE more than 50% to $1.2 billion. Not only did we grow FRE, we improved FRE margins by over 1,200 basis points. We overhauled our capital allocation and compensation strategy. We returned more than $2 billion in capital to shareholders through dividends and repurchases. We also implemented a strategic update to our compensation strategy to increase alignment with all stakeholders. This allowed us to pay more carry to our employees and more fee-related earnings to you, our shareholders. We overhauled our global wealth strategy. As Harvey said, we increased our inflows 10X. Lastly, our focus on capital markets has clearly generated momentum.

Now, before we get to Q&A, I'd like to hand things over to John for some concluding thoughts.

Thanks Justin. Good morning everyone.

Let me make a few points on the progress, we've made on our strategic plan over the last 2 years.

We grew AUM, 25%.

To nearly 475 billion dollars.

In the last 12 months.

We grew F more than 50%.

To 1.2 billion dollars.

Not only did we grow F, we improved fee margins by over 1,200 basis points.

We overhauled our capital allocation and compensation strategy.

We returned more than 2 billion in capital to shareholders through dividends and repurchases.

We also implemented a strategic update to our compensation strategy to increase alignment with all stakeholders.

This allowed us to pay more carry to our employees.

in more fee related earnings to you, our shareholders,

We overhauled our Global wealth strategy.

As Harvey said, we increase our inflows 10x.

and lastly,

John Redett: We have more than tripled our revenues over the last two years to almost $240 million. The positive momentum we carry into 2026 is the direct outcome of the extraordinary work of our people. I'm excited to begin my next role leading global private equity, a business with world-class investors and significant momentum. With that, let me turn the call over to the operator for your questions.

Our focus on capital markets has clearly generated momentum.

We have more than tripled our Revenue over the last 2 years to almost 240 million dollars.

The positive momentum. We carry into 2026.

Is the direct outcome of the extraordinary work of our people.

I'm excited to begin. My next role, leading Global private Equity, a business with world-class investors and significant momentum.

With that, let me turn the call over to the operator for your questions.

Operator: Thank you. As a reminder to ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. Our first question will come from Brian McKenna with Citizens. Your line is open.

Thank you. As a reminder, please press *1, 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced.

And to withdraw your question. Please press star 1 1 again and our first question will come from Brian McKenna with citizens. Your line is open.

[Analyst 1]: Thanks. Good morning, everyone. Looking at inflows for the—hey, how's it going, Harvey?

John Redett: Great.

Thanks, good morning, everyone. Um, so looking at inputs for the... Hey, how's it going, Harvey?

[Analyst 1]: Looking at inflows for the quarter, it was clearly a little bit lighter in private equity, but credit and solutions both came in above expectations, and there's a lot of momentum there. It would just be helpful if you could talk about the outlook for inflows by business into year-end and how you're thinking about flows throughout 2026 and some of the different drivers there. Do you have any visibility into some of the larger insurance transactions that might be coming in over the next couple of quarters?

Great.

Uh, so looking at inflows for the quarter. It was clearly a little bit lighter in in private Equity, but credit and solutions both came in above expectations. And and there's a lot of momentum in there. It would just be helpful. Uh, if you could talk about the outlook for inflows by business into year end and how you're thinking about flows throughout 2026 and some of the different drivers there and then I guess, do you have any visibility into, uh, some of the larger Insurance transactions that might be coming in over the next couple of quarters.

John Redett: Yeah. Hey, thanks, Brian. It's John. Look, we feel very good about where we are in terms of inflows. This is an area where I think we have tremendous, tremendous momentum. It really reflects we have strong investment performance across the firm. I would say client engagement remains positive and remains elevated. $17 billion in the third quarter, obviously a very strong quarter. It's nearly double the third quarter from 2023. If you look at it kind of on an LTM basis, we're $60 billion, and year-to-date, we're around $45 billion. We feel good about the revised guidance that Harvey alluded to in his script, which we provided last quarter, which was around $50 billion. We're at $45 billion year-to-date. We obviously had a very strong quarter in global credit and Carlyle Alpha Invest. Harvey talked about how we closed on the secondaries platform where we raised $20 billion.

Yeah. Hey, thanks, Brian. It's John. Um, look, we feel very good about where we are in terms of inflows. This is an area.

Where I I think we have tremendous tremendous momentum.

Reflects. We have, we have strong investment performance across the firm. And I, I would say client engagement, uh, remains positive in, in, in remains elevated. Uh, so 17 billion in the third quarter, uh, obviously a very strong quarter. It's nearly double

Uh, the third quarter from 2024, if you look at it on an LTM basis, we're at $60 billion.

Uh, and year to date, we're around 45 billion. So we feel good about, uh, the revised guidance that Harvey alluded to in his script, uh, which we provided last quarter, which was around 50 billion.

John Redett: We had a really strong quarter without any real private equity funds in the market. I feel good about the diversification that's driving this growth. Overall, I'd say in terms of inflows, we have tremendous momentum going into the fourth quarter, but more importantly, going into 2024.

Again, we're at 45 billion year to date. Uh, we obviously had a very strong quarter in, in credit, uh, and and help invest Harvey talked about how we closed on the secondary platform where we raised 20 billion dollars, but we had a really strong quarter without any any real private Equity Funds in the market. So, I I feel good about the the diversification that's driving uh, driving this growth. So overall,

You know, I I'd say in terms of inflows, we have tremendous momentum going into the fourth quarter, but more importantly going into 2026.

[Analyst 1]: Got it. Thanks so much.

Got it. Thanks so much.

Operator: Our next question will come from Alexander Blostein with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

[Analyst 2]: Hey, good morning, everybody. Justin, welcome to the call. John, congrats again on the new role. Harvey, maybe just building on that a little bit, you alluded in your prepared remarks and script as well just around the strong momentum you guys think for 2026. Maybe expand on that a little bit. What are the key top-of-the-house priorities in terms of growth for next year? What do you find to be most needle-moving, and what do you guys ultimately think that could mean for management to growth into 2026? Thanks.

And our next question will come from Alex Blowin with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open. Hey, good morning, everybody. Uh, Justin, welcome to the call and John, congrats again on the new role.

John Redett: Yeah. Great, Alex. Thanks. I would say at this particular point in time, the momentum for the firm has never felt better. I say that in terms of client engagement globally, the strategic execution of the team. I think that when I say that, I'm talking about all aspects of the firm. You see it in solutions, you see it in the wealth channel, you see it across credit. It's a quiet year for private equity and fundraising, but the performance by the team, as I mentioned, has been remarkable, returning 150% of the average of capital. You think through 2026, the demand for capital is going to be quite high. I think deployment will be good, and I think the opportunities will be great. We see opportunity virtually in every part of the platform. You think about credit, they're building quite quickly in the asset-backed business.

Um, Harvey, maybe just building on that a little bit. You, you alluded in your prepared remarks and and the script as well, just around the strong momentum. You guys think for 2026, uh, maybe expand on that a little bit. What, what are the key top of the house priorities in terms of growth for next year? Uh, what do you find to be most needle moving? And what do you guys? Ultimately, that could mean for management if your growth into 26. Thanks.

Great, Alex, thanks. So I would say, um, at this particular point in time, the momentum for the firm has never felt better.

Um, and I say that in terms of client engagement globally, the strategic execution of the team,

And I think that when I say that I'm talking about all aspects of the firm, so you see it in Solutions, you see it in the wealth Channel, you see it across credit. It's a quiet year for private equity and fundraising. But the performance uh, by the team, as I mentioned has been remarkable returning 150% of the average of capital. Um, do you think through 2026

John Redett: You'll see more activity there. Same across insurance. The pipeline remains very good in Fortitude. The engagement, just broadly speaking with insurance clients, as they continue to invest in private credit. The team's done a remarkable job there. We have the two flagship wealth funds, evergreen funds, up. CPEP will really be in the market next year, and you'll see another wealth flagship vehicle, which will give our wealth investors the opportunity to participate there. When you sort of look at all aspects, either through the client lens or the specific business, I feel very, very good about the momentum and about flows and about growth. Capital markets still have a lot of room to run, and that's just going to be levered to activity.

The demand for capital is going to be quite high, so I think deployment will be good and I think the opportunities should be great. Um, we see opportunity virtually in every part of the platform. We think about credit; they’re building quite quickly in the asset-backed business. You’ll see more activity there, same across insurance. The pipeline remains very good in Fortitude and engagement, because, broadly speaking, with insurance clients, as they continue to invest in private credit. So the team has done a remarkable job there.

John Redett: All the pieces now that we've been putting in place over the last couple of years, and I have to thank John for his leadership and partnership in that role, you're really starting to see it. I really feel we're just very much at the beginning of that.

Um, uh, you know, we have the 2, uh, Flagship wealth funds, Evergreen funds up. Um, CPAP uh will really be in the market next year and so you'll see another Well Flagship vehicle which will give our uh wealth investors the opportunity to participate there. So really when you sort of look at all aspects, either through the client lens or the specific business. I feel very, very good about the momentum, and about flows and about growth. And then, you know, um, Capital markets, still has a lot of room to run and that's just going to be leveraged to activity. And so, all the pieces now that we've been putting in place over the last couple of years, and I have to thank John for his leadership and partnership in that role. And, uh,

You're really starting to see it, but we're really, I, I realize that we're just very much at the beginning of that.

Operator: The next question will come from Glenn Schorr with Evercore ISI. Your line is open.

and the next question will,

Evercore. Your line is open.

Justin Plouffe: Hi, thanks very much.

John Redett: Hey, Glenn.

Hi. Thanks very much.

Justin Plouffe: Hello there. I'm curious. You had a lot of good things to say about the forward momentum and realization pipeline, and all the banks are super supportive in the deal environment coming through. When you go through your comments of your $5 billion of announced transactions, I don't know if you can help us a little bit on timing with that. Fourth quarter better than third quarter, Medline IPO happening. I guess my question is if we could peel back that onion a little more because I think that's the part of softness in the quarter, just a light realization quarter. As you move into next year, I think that's where the extreme bullishness on the banks' part was as we head into early 2026. Does your forward pipeline align with that?

Hey, Glenn. Um,

Hello there.

So I'm curious, uh you had a lot of good things to say about the forward momentum and res realization Pipeline and all the banks are super supportive in in the deal environment uh coming through. So when you

Justin Plouffe: Again, trying to get at what some of the other questions get in that is, what does that mean for an FRE story for next year? This year, you beat your 10%. Is it shaping up to be a bigger story than that next year? Thanks, Harvey.

John Redett: Sure. I think that was four questions. I just want to point out you're violating Dan's rule, but we're going to address it all. I'm going to ask John to talk to the tributaries and the pipeline. One thing I will say is that's not a quarter-to-quarter thing in our business, and I think people should understand it. John, why don't you give a little more color on how we think about that pipeline, monetizations, and realizations? Yeah. I would just echo a little bit what Harvey said, Glenn. We as a management team don't look at quarter-to-quarter. It's much more of a multi-quarter view that we take. It's just part of the private equity business. It's hard to control when deals close, and it is what it is.

Your forward pipeline, align with that. And then again, trying to get out what some of the other questions get in that is, what does that mean for an SRV story for next year, this year? What you you beat your 10%? Is it shaping up to be a, a, a bigger story than that next year? Thanks hard.

Sure. I think, I think that was 4 questions. I just want to point out, you're violating Dan's world, but we're going to address it all. So, uh, I'm gonna ask John to talk to you, uh, the Troopers earnings and the pipeline. Um, 1 thing I will say is, you know, that's not a quarter to quarter saying in our business and so, um, I think people should understand it, but John, why don't you give a little more color on how we think about that Pipeline monetization and and realizations? Yeah, I would just Echo a little bit. What, RBC Glen we we we as a management team don't don't look at quarter to quarter, it's much more of a multi-part.

John Redett: I think just taking a step back in terms of—we have been very, this management team and our investors have been very focused on performance, and we are incredibly pleased with our investment performance. I would say the investment teams have been very focused on realizations, and the numbers show that. Realization activities are up 35% the last 12 months. In global private equity, which I think most people focus in on in terms of realizations, that's where most of our carry funds are. We've returned nearly $20 billion in the last 12 months, and that's 30% higher than the prior period. As Harvey said in his prepared remarks, as of third quarter in global private equity, we're 150% the industry average. Clearly, we're an outlier in a positive way. I would also say our engagement with our investors is very positive.

Uh view that we take. I mean it's just part of the, the private Equity business. Uh, it's hard to control when when deals closed and it's just it is what it is. Uh, I think just taking a step back in terms of like we have been very dismissive of the team. In our investors have been very focused on performance.

And we are incredibly pleased uh with our investment uh performance. And I would say the team, the investment teams have been very focused on on realizations and the numbers. The numbers show that the realization activities are up 35%, uh, the last 12 months, uh, in global private equity, which I think most people focus in on, in terms of realizations. That's where most of our carry funds are.

Uh, we've returned nearly 20 billion in the last 12 months, and and that's 30% higher than the prior period. You know, Harvey said in his prepared remarks,

As if third quarter, and Global private Equity were were 150% the industry average. So clearly we're an outlier in in a in a positive way. Uh, I would also say

John Redett: Let's just focus in on your question in terms of the pipeline. In our U.S. private equity business, I would say we are returning more capital than we have—than our goals or our targets. Since we had the end of the third quarter, we've closed on $1 billion of transactions. That includes the Calistone transaction, which was a very good transaction across a couple of different funds for us. We also will likely announce and close on a deal today, which is in our U.S. private equity business. In terms of the $4 billion of deals that are signed and pending close, that does not include, Glenn, the Medline IPO, which, as you know, we publicly filed for an IPO on Tuesday. I can't say all this $4 billion of pipeline will close in the fourth quarter, but it's a big number.

Our engagement with our investors uh, is is very positive, but let let's just focus in on, on your question in terms of the pipeline in our us, private Equity business. I would, I would say we are returning more Capital, uh, than we have than than our goals are our targets. Um,

since since we had the end of the third quarter, uh, we've closed on a billion of transactions, uh, that includes the kalis stone transaction, which was a very good transaction across a couple of different funds for us. Uh, we also will likely close

John Redett: Most of it will probably close in the fourth quarter. Some of it might spill over into the first quarter. We feel very good in terms of we are giving our investors in our private equity business. We are giving them back more money than we are investing, which is a positive in the environment we're in. In terms of just kind of high-level pipeline going into 2026, I'd say our deal teams are very busy both in terms of deployment and realizations. I think the pipeline, including the Medline IPO, speaks volumes to kind of how our business is positioned in terms of momentum and realizations.

Announced and close on a deal today, uh, which is in our us private Equity business, uh, in terms of the 4 billion of deals that are signed and pending close, uh, that does not include Glenn, the the Medline IPO, which, as, you know, we publicly filed for an IPO on, on Tuesday. Uh, but, you know, look, I, I, I can't say all these 4 billion of pipeline will close in in the fourth quarter, but it's a big number. Uh, most of it will probably close in the fourth quarter, some of it might spill over into the into, the first quarter.

Uh, but we feel, we, we feel very good in terms of we are giving our investors in our private Equity business. We are giving them back more money than we are investing. Which is a positive in the environment where and in terms of just kind of high level Ice Line going into 2026, I I'd say our deal teams, uh, are very busy, both in terms of deployment and realizations and I I think the the pipeline including the Medline IPO, speaks volumes to kind of how our business businesses position in terms of momentum and realizations.

Justin Plouffe: Thank you. Thank you.

John Redett: Thanks, Glenn.

Thank you. Thank you.

Operator: The next question will come from William Katz of TD Cowen. Your line is open.

Thanks Glenn.

[Analyst 2]: Okay. Thank you very much. Maybe just a two-part. Just to make sure I understand the math. If it's $4 to $5 billion of announced transactions, is the typical MOIC 2X to sort of think through the realization opportunity? A broader question is just as I think about you getting toward the end of your repurchase activity, could you maybe refresh us a bit on capital management priorities, how you think about maybe where the stock is trading today versus any kind of inorganic opportunity now that the core business is stabilized? Thank you.

and the next question will come from Bill cats of TV come in, your line is open,

Okay, uh, thank you very much. Maybe just a two-parter. Just a moment. Make sure I understand the math. If it's $4 to $5 billion of announced transactions, is the typical MOIC 2x to sort of think through the realization opportunity? And then a broader question is, just as I think about you getting toward the end of your repurchase activity, can you maybe refresh a bit on capital management priorities? How you think about maybe where the stock is trading today versus any kind of inorganic opportunity, now that the core business is stabilized? Thank you.

John Redett: Hey, it's John. We are near the end of our $1.4 billion authorization. We repurchased $200 million in the quarter. I think year-to-date, we're around $500 million of repurchases. I would expect a similar amount probably in the fourth quarter. More broadly, how do we think about capital allocation? There are various ways we can allocate capital as a management team. One of them is we can invest in our businesses for growth. We are clearly doing that. That's our first priority. We are laser-like focused on growth. Anytime we can invest capital in a business to accelerate or achieve growth, that is our first priority. We can give capital back to our shareholders via dividends or via repurchase. We still think, and you should assume based on our repurchase activity, that we still view our stock as an inexpensive and attractive investment.

Uh hey hey it's John uh so I I we are we are near the end of our 1.4 billion authorization. We repurchased uh 200 million

John Redett: The other use of capital can be something on the inorganic front. We focus on all three areas with driving growth our main priority.

Already, we are laser-like focused on growth so anytime we can invest Capital into business to accelerate or achieve growth. That that is our first priority. Uh, we can, we can give Capital back to our shareholders, uh, via dividends or or via repurchase. We still think. And you should assume based on our repurchase activity that we, we still view our stock as inexpensive and attractive investment and the other use of capital, uh, can be something on the inorganic front. But we we focus on all 3 areas with driving growth, uh, our our main priority

Operator: The next question will come from Steven Trubeck with Wolfe Research. Your line is open.

And the next question will come from Stephen Tubac with wolf research. Your line is open.

[Analyst 2]: Hi. Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Welcome, Justin, to the call.

Hi, good morning, again. Uh, thanks for taking my questions and, uh, welcome Justin to the call.

Justin Plouffe: Thanks, Steve.

[Analyst 2]: I did want to ask on the FRE growth, just looking out to next year. I recognize you're tracking above the 10% year-on-year guide. You spoke of the strong momentum heading into next year. At the same time, you do have some headwinds just in the form of elevated catch-up fees that may not repeat, as well as the fee rate step-down from CP7. I just wanted to gauge your confidence level and the ability to drive FRE growth next year, even in the face of some of those headwinds, and speak to some of the building blocks that support that view.

So, um, I did want to ask on the, uh, FR growth. Just looking out to next year, you know, recognize you're tracking above the 10% year-on-year guide. You spoke of the strong momentum heading into next year. At the same time, you do have some headwinds just in the form of elevated catch-up fees that may not repeat, as well as the fee rate step down from CP7. So, just wanted to gauge your confidence level in the ability to drive F growth next year, even in the face of some of those, uh, headwinds, and speak to some of the building blocks that support that view.

John Redett: As we've been saying, we'll give you guys better guidance as we come into the year, but we feel very good about the momentum across the platform. You pick your sleeve: capital markets, insurance flows, investors are making in credit, the wealth channel. We'll have a bigger pickup in private equity flows into next year. I'd say overall, coming into the end of the year, the momentum feels, as we've said, as good as it's ever felt.

as we've been saying,

And and we'll give you guys better guidance as we come into the year, but we feel very good about the momentum across the platform.

Um,

Again, you pick your sleeve: Capital markets, um, insurance flows.

Investments, we're making in credit, um, the Wealth Channel. Um, and then, you know, we'll have a bigger pickup in private equity flows into next year. So, I'd say overall, coming into the end of the year, the momentum feels, as we've said, uh, as good as it ever felt.

Operator: Our next question will come from Brennan Hawkin with BMO. Your line is open.

And our next question will come from Brennan Hawkins with b m, o. Your line is open.

Justin Plouffe: Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. The credit flows were really strong this quarter, but actually, the fee rate looked a little bit light versus my expectations. Was there anything to do with timing on those flows? I know sometimes that can kind of skew the averages and cause the fee rate to look a little wonky. Did the flows come in at a lighter fee rate with the mix, or was that fee rate impact more of a timing thing? Thanks for taking my question.

Uh, good morning, thanks for taking my questions. Um, the uh, the credit flows were really strong this quarter. Um, uh, but I, uh, actually, the fee rate looks a little bit light, versus my expectations was, was there anything to do with timing on those flows? I know sometimes that can kind of skew the averages and cause the fee rate to look a little wonky. Um, did the, did the flows come in at a lighter fee rate with the mix or uh, was that uh, uh, the rate impact, more of a timing thing? Thanks for taking my question.

[Analyst 2]: Yeah. Thanks for the question. It's Justin. I think some of that might have been skewed by some of the insurance transactions where the fee rate can be a little bit wonky. Overall, we have great momentum across credit. We're up 18% year-to-date in fee revenues. We're up 28% year-to-date in FRE. We really see broad-based momentum. It's not just one business, right? Asset-backed is taking in capital significantly. Our CLO business is really hitting on all cylinders, having another great year. We're seeing really consistent and strong flows from wealth as well with our CTAC product and our BDCs. Quarter-to-quarter, it sort of just depends on the mix. Every part of that business is doing well. We're really excited about the momentum we're going to carry into 2026.

Yeah, thanks for the question. It's Justin. Um, look, I I think some of that might have been skewed by some of the insurance transactions, um, where the where the fee rate can be a little bit wonky, but uh, oh overall. Uh, we have great momentum across credit, we're up. Uh, 18% year to date in fee revenues. Um, we're up 28% year to date in in Fr and we really see broad-based momentum. It's just, it's not just 1 business, right? Pass it back. Uh, it is taking in capital significantly. Our coo business is really hitting on all cylinders having another great year, um, and we're seeing really consistent, and strong flows from wealth as well, with our CAC products and our bdcs. Um, so you know, quarter to quarter, uh, you know, it, it sort of just depends on the mix, but really, every part of that business is, is doing well. And we're really excited about the momentum. We're going to carry the 2026.

John Redett: Thanks for that, Colin.

Thanks for that calling.

Operator: Our next question will come from Dan Fannon with Jefferies. Your line is open.

Justin Plouffe: Thank you. Good morning. $3 billion of wealth flows in the quarter are quite strong. Can you talk to the diversity of those flows? You have momentum in that business. I think you mentioned one product and potentially coming to market next year. Maybe talk about the product roadmap and where you see that evolving as we go into 2026.

In our next question, will come from Dan Fannon with Jeffrey's. Your line is open.

Uh, thanks. Good morning. So 3 billion of wealth, uh, flows in the quarter quite strong. Can you talk to the diversity of those flows? And then, yeah, clearly you have momentum in that business. But and I think you mentioned, 1 product and potentially coming to Market next year, maybe talk about the product roadmap and where you see that evolving as we go into 2026.

John Redett: Yeah. As we talked about on the call, flows were up 10X since the new management team came into place a few years ago. What you're really seeing now is, and I still think it's early innings on this, the strategy coming together. The pillars of that strategy are three flagship funds: CTAC, which is Best of Credit, our Carlyle Alpha Invest Solutions business, and then CPEP, which will be really coming into view in 2026 across the private equity platform. The mix has been quite good. CTAC has been out longer. It's been a steady contributor. What you're really seeing is the pickup in the Carlyle Alpha Invest Solutions, the partnership with UBS. I feel really, really good about the building momentum globally. All of these building blocks connect together. Success on each of the strategies really provides an exponential effect to the other strategies.

yeah, so um as we talked about on the call, you know, flows were up 10x and you know the new management team came into place a few years ago and so

Well, you're really seeing now is and I still think it's early Innings on this the strategy coming together and the and the the pillars of that strategy are 3 Flagship funds.

Ttac, which is best of credit.

SeaTac has been out longer, it's been a steady contributor and then of course you what you're really seeing is the pickup in the car, Alfa invest Solutions, the partnership with UBS.

But I feel really, really good about the building momentum globally. Um, again, all of these building blocks connect together and so success on each of the strategies, um,

John Redett: It's all just about the brand, our connectivity with advisors. Obviously, you've seen us continue to invest in any number of ways: human resources, product development, and obviously the partnership with Oracle Red Bull Racing in terms of connecting with the global platform. You should expect to see good momentum in that business and continue to grow at a good pace.

really provides an exponential effect to the other strategies, uh, and it's all just about the brand. Um, our connectivity with advisors. Um, obviously you've seen us continue to invest in any number of ways is human resources product development and obviously the partnership with Oracle Red Bull um, in terms of connecting with the global platform. Um, and so you should expect to see good momentum in that business and continue to grow at a good pace.

Operator: Okay. Our next question will come from Benjamin Budish with Barclays. Your line is open.

Harvey Schwartz: Hi. Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. I had maybe another two-parter on your sort of public markets exposure. Maybe just in the quarter, it looked like there were a few public investments that were weighing on your private equity performance. Just curious if you could address, is it sort of timing-related, end of quarter to end of quarter? Are there any sort of impaired stories there, or is it more market fluctuations? As we think out, you've given us some commentary on big specific transactions like Medline. Maybe just philosophically, how should we be thinking about the realization pipeline in terms of strategics versus financial sponsors versus IPOs? What's the historical mix? What would you expect going over into the next couple of years? Thank you.

Okay, and our next question will come from been British with sparkles. Your line is open.

Hi, good morning, and thanks for taking my question. Um, I had maybe another 2-part on the, uh, you sort of public markets, uh, exposure maybe just in the quarter. Um, it looks like there were a few, um, you know, public Investments that were Weighing on your private Equity performance, just curious if you could address is there is a sort of timing related, end of quarter, to end of quarter. Are there any sort of like impaired stories there? Um, or is it more, you know, Market fluctuations, and then as we think out, you know, you've given us some commentary on big specific transactions, like Medline

But maybe just philosophically. How should we be thinking about the realization pipeline in terms of, you know, strategic versus you know, Financial sponsors versus IPOs? What's the historical mix? What would you expect? You know, going over into the next couple of years. Thank you.

John Redett: Hey, Ben. It's John. Look, your question's obviously focused on corporate private equity. Similar to realizations, I look at performance over a multi-quarter period. It's very hard to have a story or narrative on any specific quarter. I think this quarter actually doesn't really deserve much narrative in the sense we just have the volatility in the publics. When I kind of look at corporate private equity performance, particularly in the U.S., we're very pleased. CPE is up kind of 15% the last 12 months. More importantly, when I look at the operating metrics within the portfolio in the U.S., we continue to see continued strength. Revenues are up almost double digits. EBITDA is up 8%. I feel good about the underlying performance of the operating performance of the individual portfolio companies. I'd say, look, we are an outlier in terms of realizations.

Yeah. Hey Ben it's John uh you know look your question is obviously focused on corporate private Equity uh and again I similar to realizations I I look at performance over a a a multi-quarter period it's very hard.

To have a story or narrative on on any specific quarter. So, and I think this quarter actually, uh, is, is, is doesn't really deserve much narrative in the sense. We just have the volatility in the public, but what I kind of look at corporate private Equity performance, uh, particularly in the US, we're we're very pleased cb8.

Is up kind of 15% the last 12 months. But more importantly, when I look at the operating metrics within the portfolio, in the US uh we continue to see continued strength. Uh revenues are up.

Uh, almost double digits ibida is up 8%. So I I feel good about the underlying performance of the operating performance of the individual portfolio companies.

I tell you, look

John Redett: You can't have the level of realization activity we are having if your performance is not good. I think that's important to understand. The teams remain very focused on performance and realizations. I think some of the volatility you're referring to was largely isolated to our CAP franchise, where I think we have an outsized percentage of the assets we manage in public securities. There has been some volatility in those markets. Fundamentally, those are very good companies we own. We don't have any long-term concerns on that. In Asia, in U.S., CPE7 in particular had some volatility in the public markets as well. It's particularly isolated to StandardAero and Hexaware. They were down from the previous quarter. If you look at where they are today, actually, we've already erased most of that down movement we saw in StandardAero and Hexaware. They're both great companies.

We are an outlier in terms of realizations. You can't have the level of realization activity. We are having, if your performance is not good. Um, so I think that's important to understand. And again, the teams remain very focused on performance in realizations. I think some of the volatility you're referring to was largely isolated to our our cap franchise, where I think we have an outsized uh percentage of the assets we manage in in public Securities. And there has been some volatility in those markets and and but fundamentally those are very good companies. We own. We don't have any long-term concerns uh on on, on that, in Asia in, in Us, cp7 in particular,

John Redett: I have absolutely zero concerns long-term about the public securities we own in our U.S. private equity business.

Uh, has some had some, some volatility in the public markets as well. This particularly isolated to, uh, standard error and hexaware. They were, they were down from the previous quarter. Uh, if you look at where they're, they are today, actually, they've we've already erased most of that, uh, that, that down, uh, Movement we saw in standard error in X where they're both great companies. Uh, so I have absolutely zero concerns long term, uh, about the public Securities. We we own in, in, in our us, private Equity business,

[Analyst 2]: All right. Thanks, John.

All right. Thanks John.

Operator: Our next question will come from Kenneth Worthington with JPMorgan. Your line is open.

Justin Plouffe: Hi. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. John, it's been a pleasure working with you. Best of luck back in buyout. Justin, I'm sorry. John has set a pretty high bar here. When looking at credit.

In our next question will come from Kenneth worthinton with JP Morgan your lines open.

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking the question John. It's been a pleasure working with you. Best of luck back in buyout. Uh, Justin, I'm sorry. Uh John has set a pretty high bar here.

John Redett: Good time.

Justin Plouffe: When looking at credit, the unit block hit this quarter, so congrats. At the same time, we saw the most significant level of credit, I'll call it distributions, in both AUM and fee-paying AUM. Can you talk about the dynamics that drove the outsized, I guess, distributions this quarter? I don't know if it was unit-related or something else, recurring, doesn't recur. Anyway, any flavor would be helpful.

um, when looking at looking at credit,

[Analyst 2]: Yeah. Look, I'd characterize it as the normal course of the business. It's not a bad time to realize some of our investments, especially in the opportunistic side. When we have an opportunity to have a great outcome for our investors, we certainly take advantage of that. Some of it is the normal flow of our CLO business, which the team has done a really amazing job over the last couple of years. Two years ago, about 40% of our CLOs were in runoff. The team has actually done 41 resets since then, and now only 12% of the CLO platform is in runoff. When you call a CLO, when you reset it, that can play into the numbers. I don't think there's anything really specific there. Nothing really in the insurance side, just the normal course of raising new capital and realizing investments for our LPs.

when, when looking at credit, um, you know, the human, the UNAM block at this quarter. So congrats at the same time, we saw, uh, the most significant level of credit. I called distributions in both AUM and fee paying AUM. Can you talk about the Dynamics that drove the outside, I guess distributions, this quarter. I don't know if it was unrelated or something else. Recurring doesn't recur anyway? Any any flavor would be helpful?

Justin Plouffe: Okay. Great. I appreciate it. Thank you.

Investments, especially in the opportunistic side. So um, when we have an opportunity to have a great outcome for our investors, we certainly uh, take advantage of that. Um, and some of it is the the normal flow of our uh, Co business. Um which you know we've done a the team has done a really amazing job over the last couple of years. Uh, 2 years ago about 40% of our cos were were in runoff and the team has actually done 41 resets since then, and now only 12% of of the co platform is in runoff. Um, but that, you know, when you call Co when you reset it, you know, that that can play into the numbers. So, I, I don't think there's anything really specific there. Nothing really in the insurance side. Just the normal course of raising new capital and realizing Investments for for our LPS.

Okay, great. I appreciate it. Thank you.

Operator: The next question is going to come from Patrick Davitt with Autonomous Research. Your line is open.

[Analyst 3]: Hey. Good morning, everyone. Obviously, it's been a perfect storm for secondaries here for a while now. To your points earlier, it feels like the realization window is opening up a bit, though, in fits and starts. How are you guys thinking about the sustainability of this so-called golden era in secondaries if the realization window keeps opening up? Thank you.

and the next question is going to come from Patrick debit with the autonomous research, your line is open

Hey, good morning. Uh, everyone. Um,

Obviously, it's been a perfect storm for secondaries here for a while now. But to your point, sir, it feels like the realization window is opening up a bit, though in fits and starts. How are you guys thinking about the sustainability of this so-called Golden Era in secondaries if the realization window keeps opening up? Thank you.

John Redett: Yeah. I think let's take a step back. There's a reason why we call it Carlyle Alpha Invest Solutions. That whole business is going through sequential growth, not just because of secondaries activity, but because of the broader capability set across the platform. Remember, the shorthand—and I know you know this quite well—the shorthand for that business is secondaries. Actually, what they're providing is a suite of solutions: secondaries, co-invest, really corporate finance solutions. We highlighted a few of the trends in terms of credit secondaries and obviously co-invest. It really is, I think, a bit of the evolution of what's happening in our industry. As the industry continues to grow and mature and private capital is really at the center of capital, what you're seeing are the need for liquidity tools. Carlyle Alpha Invest creates the entire solution set for that.

yeah, so I think, um,

let's take a step back, you know, there's a reason why we call it, call Apple invest Solutions,

That whole business is going through sequential growth, not just because of the secondaries activity, but because of the broader capabilities that across the platform, remember that, you know the shorthand and I know, you know, this quite well the shorthand for that business is secondary.

But actually what they're providing is a suite of solutions. Secondary is convest really Corporate Finance Solutions. Um we highlighted a few of the trends in terms of credit secondaries and obviously co-invest so it really is, um,

John Redett: In terms of the more narrow slice of secondaries, anything you look at in terms of statistics suggests that demand for secondary capital is going to grow for several years. We would see that in our pipelines, in our engagement with clients. This is not—sometimes there are sort of misunderstood or stale narratives in the world around the industry. This is not about distressed portfolios or people who can't sell things. A lot of this now is about capital allocation and repositioning of capital. We could be in a room with a CEO or CIO, and the whole discussion is about how to reposition a portfolio. We need to start really thinking about this being at the center of a flywheel of corporate finance solutions. The narrow question on secondaries, it feels quite good.

I think a bit of the evolution of what's happening in our industry. Um and the industry continues to grow and mature and private capital is really at the center of capital. What? You're seeing in our the need for liquidity tools. So help invest part of the vest creates the entire solution set for that. Now, in terms of the more narrow slice of secondaries

Anything you look at uh in terms of statistics suggests that uh demand or secondary capital is going to grow for several years. Um, we would see that in our pipelines in our engagement with clients and this is not again. Sometimes there are there are sort of misunderstood or stale narratives in the world around the industry. Um, this is not about the stress portfolios or people who can't sell things. A lot of this now is about Capital, allocation and repositioning of capital, and so we can be in a room with a c c c. And the whole discussion is about how to reposition our portfolio. So again, we need to start really thinking about this being at the center of a flywheel of corporate finance Solutions, but the narrow question on secondaries, uh, it feels quite good.

Operator: The next question will come from Michael Brown with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

Harvey Schwartz: Hey. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. Wanted to ask about asset-backed finance. I think you mentioned a $10 billion platform today. I was hoping you could elaborate on some of the steps you're taking to expand the platform to accelerate growth, how you see this platform contributing as you look out over the next 12 to 24 months. Thanks.

And the next question will come from Michael sapra with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open

Hey good morning, thanks for taking the question. I wanted to ask about ABF. I think you mentioned 10 billion dollar platform today I was hoping you could elaborate on some of the steps you're taking to expand the platform to accelerate growth. How you see this platform contributing? As you look out over the next 12 to 24 months. Thanks.

[Analyst 2]: Yeah. Thanks. It's Justin. We're very excited about the asset-backed finance platform that we've built. It really started as a partnership with Fortitude Re, and it's expanded from there. We have multiple partnerships with origination platforms that have been feeding into that portfolio. We've had a lot of interest from the non-insurance space, which asset-backed finance has historically been really an insurance product. We have some vehicles that we are discussing with a number of counterparties outside the insurance space to expand that business. We're at $10 billion today, and it's accelerating. I actually think that is probably one of the greatest growth areas that we see in our global credit business. Steve's done a fantastic job, and I think there's a lot of potential for that as we go into the fourth quarter of 2026.

Yeah, I think it's, it's Justin, um, we're very excited about the ABF platform, uh, that we've built, uh, you know, it it really started as a partnership with fortitude and it's it's expanded from there. Um, we have multiple, uh, uh, Partnerships with origination platforms, um, that have been needing into that portfolio. We've had a lot of interest from the non-insurance space, which ABF has historically been really in an insurance, uh, product. But we have some, uh, vehicles that we are, uh, discussing with a number of counterparties that outside the insurance space to expand that business. So, you know, we're, we're at 10 billion dollars today and it's accelerating. I actually think that is probably 1 of the greatest growth areas that we see in our credit business, Steve's done, a fantastic job. And I think there's a lot of potential for that as we go into the fourth quarter of 2026,

Operator: I show no further questions in the queue at this time. I would now like to turn the call back over to Daniel for closing remarks.

Justin Plouffe: Thank you, everyone, for your time today. If you have any further questions, feel free to follow with Investor Relations. We look forward to talking to you next quarter.

Remarks.

Thank you, everyone, for your time today. If you have any further questions, feel free to follow up with Investor Relations. We look forward to talking to you next quarter.

Operator: This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

Thank you for participating in today's conference call. You may now disconnect.

Q3 2025 Carlyle Group Inc Earnings Call

Demo

Carlyle Group LP

Earnings

Q3 2025 Carlyle Group Inc Earnings Call

CG

Friday, October 31st, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Transcript

No Transcript Available

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