Q3 2025 Royal Gold Inc Earnings Call

Speaker #1: Hello all , and thank you for joining us on today's Royal Gold 2025 third Quarter Conference call . My name is drew , and I'll be the operator on the call today .

Speaker #1: After the prepared remarks, we will have a Q&A session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by one on your telephone keypad.

Speaker #1: And to withdraw your question . It's star followed by two . With that , it's my pleasure to hand over to Alistair Baker to begin .

Speaker #1: Please go ahead when you're ready .

Speaker #2: Thank you . Operator . Good morning and welcome to our discussion of Royal Gold's third quarter 2020 results . This event is being webcast live , and a replay of this call will be available on our website .

Speaker #2: Speaking on the call today are William Heissenbuttel, President and CEO; Paul Libner, Senior Vice President and CFO; and Martin Raffield, Senior Vice President of Operations.

Speaker #2: Other members of the management team are also available for questions during today's call , we will make forward looking statements , including statements about our projections and expectations for the future .

Speaker #2: These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements . These risks and uncertainties are discussed in yesterday's press release and our filings with the SEC .

Speaker #2: We will also refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures , including adjusted net income , adjusted net income per share , adjusted EBITDA and cash , G&A .

Speaker #2: Reconciliations of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are available in yesterday's press release , which can be found on our website .

Speaker #2: Bill will start with an overview of the quarter and recent events . Martin will provide portfolio commentary and Paul will give a financial update after the formal remarks .

Speaker #2: We'll open the lines for Q&A session . I'll now turn the call over to Bill .

Speaker #3: Good morning , and thank you for joining the call . I'll begin on slide four . We had another quarter of very strong results , and we set new records for revenue and cash flow .

Speaker #3: Our portfolio performed well and allowed us to benefit directly from materially stronger gold and silver prices . Earnings for the quarter were $127 million , or $1.92 per share , and after adjusting for non-recurring costs related to the sandstorm and Horizon transactions , were a record $136 million , or $2.06 per share .

Speaker #3: Gold remained the largest contributor to revenue for the quarter , at about 78% of the total , and the strong gold price , combined with our low and stable cash , G&A allowed us to maintain an adjusted EBITDA margin of over 80% for the quarter .

Speaker #3: We continued our focus on shareholder returns and paid our quarterly dividend of $0.45 per share . We added a strong operator to our portfolio and First Quantum with the $1 billion Gold stream transaction on consenting and post quarter end .

Speaker #3: We received our first gold delivery in early October . We are pleased to add yet another large , long life and cash flowing asset to the portfolio .

Speaker #3: Also , post quarter end . We completed the acquisition of Sandstorm Gold and Horizon Copper on October 20th . The strategic rationale for the combination of these companies clearly resonated with our shareholders , and we were pleased with the overwhelming shareholder support for the transactions .

Speaker #3: Not only have we added a series of quality producing and development assets to the portfolio in recent months , but we also saw very positive news within the pre-existing portfolio with the life of mine extension at Mount Milligan and the four mile exploration update , both of which will be covered by Martin later in our presentation .

Speaker #3: And finally , in October , we received the first tranche of gold as partial consideration for the Mount Milligan cost Support Agreement . This agreement , from early 2024 , was a key step for Centerra to begin work on the mine Life Extension Project , and we are pleased to see the initial results of that project study .

Speaker #3: This is a win win for both Royal Gold and Centerra shareholders . I'll now turn the call over to Martin to provide a portfolio update .

Speaker #2: Thanks, Bill. Turning to slide five. Overall revenue for the third quarter was a record $252 million.

Speaker #4: With volume of 72,900 GEOs . Royalty revenue was up about 41% from the prior year quarter to $86 million . We saw very strong revenue from Penasquito , the Cortez CC zone , zone five , and voices Bay , which was partially offset by weaker revenue from the Cortez Legacy Zone .

Speaker #4: Revenue from our stream segment was $166 million , up about 25% from last year , with increased sales from rainy River , Mount Milligan , Komiko and Wasa , partially offset by lower sales from China .

Speaker #4: Turning to slide six , we saw some material news at Mount Milligan and Cortez in the quarter at Mount Milligan , Centerra reported the results of the mine life Extension project .

Speaker #4: They were expecting an increase in the mine life from 2036 to 2045 , and there is potential to extend that further with expansion of the current mineral resource .

Speaker #4: Future raises on the planned new tailings facility and other mine life extension opportunities . Centerra has reported encouraging support from the government and Mount Milligan was given fast track status by the Province of B.C.

Speaker #4: in line with its commitments to streamlining , streamlining , permitting and regulatory processes for critical mineral projects . Mount Milligan is ROYAL GOLD INC largest contributor in terms of revenue and the mine life extension .

Speaker #4: Adds significant value to our largest asset at Cortez. Barrick provided an update on exploration and development plans for Fourmile, which is described as a multi-generational project.

Speaker #4: Barrick has completed a preliminary economic assessment that indicates that potential to produce 600 to 750,000oz annually over a 25 year mine life . Barrick is undertaking a multi-year exploration program , and they expect to set the mine up for initial test stoping shortly after underground development has been put in place by 2029 .

Speaker #4: Barrick believes there is potential to increase the production rates further as confidence in the ore body and geotechnical modeling progresses . The royalties we acquired in 2022 at Cortez provide full coverage of Fourmile at a rate equivalent to an approximate 1.6% gross royalty at Kim , First quantum announced last week that the S3 expansion is complete and is transitioning to operations .

Speaker #4: First quantum reported that throughput and recoveries at the S3 expansion are ramping up faster than expected , and copper production in the fourth quarter of 2025 is expected to exceed third quarter levels .

Speaker #4: We received the first gold delivery under our new stream in early October . We've now reached the regular cadence for monthly deliveries , and we're expecting total deliveries and sales of approximately 7500oz in 2025 .

Speaker #4: This is about 5000oz less in 2025 than our estimate . When we announced the transaction . And this difference is related to timing of the initial delivery and is not related to production shortfalls .

Speaker #4: We also had some notable updates at a handful of our smaller assets at rainy River , new gold reported strong production for the quarter due to processing of higher grade ore in the open pit underground development is also advancing well , and they are expecting 2025 gold production to be above the midpoint of the 265 to 295,000 ounce guidance range at back River B2 , gold announced that commercial production was achieved on October 2nd and reiterated near and long term gold production estimates at commercial mmHg confirmed the timing for the expansion project , and expect to complete the feasibility study by the end of 2025 and produce first concentrate in 2028 at Cactus , Arizona .

Speaker #4: Sonoran reported PFS results , which indicate a 22 year mine life with average copper production of £198 million per year and £226 million per year in the first ten years .

Speaker #4: Arizona , Sonoran expects to complete a feasibility study in the second half of next year , leading to a final investment decision as early as the fourth quarter of 2026 , and first production of copper cathodes in the second half of 2029 at Red , Chris Newmont reported that it aims to deliver a development proposal for the block cave expansion to its board towards the middle of 2026 .

Speaker #4: In September , the Government of Canada recognized the Red cross expansion as a project of national importance , granting it priority status under the major Projects Office Fast Track Initiative and as Avon China reported an increase in reserves and resources driven by plans to market a high grade gold concentrate over the next 12 to 18 months , as well as exploration efforts that continue to extend the known limits of mineralization .

Speaker #4: And finally , while sandstorm assets weren't part of our portfolio until quarter end , there were a couple of developments at the larger assets that are worth noting at Mara , Glencore submitted the Rigi application to the government of Argentina in August , which Glencore describes as a significant step towards development and at Flat Reef , Ivanhoe announced the first feed of ore into the phase one concentrator last week , and the first concentrate is expected in mid to late November .

Speaker #4: We visited the site in October and were impressed with how Ivanhoe has advanced the project and is preparing to transition to operations . I'll now turn the call over to Paul .

Speaker #3: Thanks , Martin . I will turn to slide .

Speaker #5: Seven, and give an overview of the financial results for the quarter. For the discussion of slides seven and eight, I'll be comparing the quarter ended September 30, 2025, to the prior year quarter.

Speaker #5: Revenue for the quarter was up strongly by 30% to $252 million , which was another record for the company . Metal prices were a primary driver of the revenue increase , with gold up 40% , silver up 34% and copper up 6% over the prior year .

Speaker #5: Gold remains our dominant revenue driver , making up 78% of our total revenue for the quarter , followed by silver at 12% and copper at 7% .

Speaker #5: While gold has the highest gold revenue percentage when compared to our large-cap peers in the royalty and streaming sector, turning to slide eight.

Speaker #5: I'll provide more detail on certain financial items for the quarter . G&A expense was $10.2 million and was relatively unchanged , excluding non-cash stock compensation expense .

Speaker #5: Our cash G&A has dropped to less than 3% of revenue for the quarter, which shows the efficiency of our business model. Our expenses decreased to $33 million from $36 million. The lower overall depletion expense was primarily due to lower depletion rates in our stream segment.

Speaker #5: As a result of reserve increases , the largest reserve increase was at Mount Milligan . Following the life of mine extension , which dropped the rate to $220 per ounce from $340 per ounce .

Speaker #5: The decreases in stream depletion rates were partially offset by higher production at Boise's Bay in the prior year. On a unit basis, this expense was $451 per geo for the quarter, compared to $462 per geo.

Speaker #5: We incurred $13 million of acquisition related costs this quarter related to the sandstorm and Horizon acquisition . Acquisition related costs are attributable to financial advisory , legal , accounting , tax and consulting services .

Speaker #5: I'll provide some additional accounting and financial commentary on the sandstorm and Horizon acquisitions in a moment . Interest and other expenses increased during the 7:45 point $6 million , due primarily to higher average amounts outstanding under the revolving credit facility compared to the previous year .

Speaker #5: Tax expense for the quarter was $29 million , compared to $22 million , and our effective tax rate for the quarter was 17.9% .

Speaker #5: That income for the quarter increased significantly over the prior year to $127 million , or $1.92 per share . The increase in net income was primarily due to higher revenue , offset by the sandstorm horizon acquisition related costs and higher income tax and interest expense .

Speaker #5: After adjusting for the acquisition related costs , adjusted net income was a record $136 million , or $2.06 per share . Our operating cash flow this quarter was also a record at $174 million , up significantly from $137 million in the prior period .

Speaker #5: The increase in the current quarter was primarily due to higher net cash proceeds received from our stream , and royalty interests . With respect to the outlook for the rest of the year , we are maintaining our 2025 guidance ranges for metal sales , DDA and the effective tax rate .

Speaker #5: Note that these guidance ranges were provided in March of 2025, and when we refer to our expectations for the remainder of the year, we are excluding any contributions or impacts from the stream acquisition.

Speaker #5: Deferred gold consideration from the Mount Milligan cost Support Agreement and the Sandstorm and Horizon Acquisition . I'll now provide a few additional comments on the Sandstorm and Horizon accounting treatment and financial results .

Speaker #5: First , we currently are in the process of finalizing the accounting treatment for both transactions . However , we anticipate both transactions to qualify as business combinations under US GAAP .

Speaker #5: As a result , approximately $13 million in acquisition related costs were expensed during the third quarter . We also expect additional deal related closing costs to be expensed during the fourth quarter and second , sandstorm and horizon will not be publishing third quarter results given the timing of the transaction closing .

Speaker #5: However , for the third quarter , sandstorm recognized nearly $58 million of revenue and $37 million of operating cash flow , while horizon recognized $6 million of revenue and $3 million of operating cash flow .

Speaker #5: I will point out that these figures are unaudited and were prepared in accordance with IFRS accounting standards, so they are not directly comparable to Royal Gold's financial information prepared in accordance with US GAAP.

Speaker #5: But they should help the market understand the relative contributions of each company in the quarter. We will provide consolidated results from the transaction closing date within our next quarterly release and audited financial results.

Speaker #5: I will end on slide nine and summarize our financial position as disclosed in August. We drew $825 million on our $1.4 billion revolving credit facility to help fund the acquisition.

Speaker #5: We repaid $50 million of that borrowing in September and ended the quarter with $775 million drawn . That left us with approximately $813 million of liquidity between the undrawn and available amounts on the revolver , and $188 million of working capital .

Speaker #5: As of September 30th . We drew an additional $450 million on the credit facility . On October 10th for the closing of the Sandstorm and Horizon transactions , and we currently have 1.225 billion drawn , leaving $175 million undrawn and available .

Speaker #5: Further , we anticipate making a $75 million repayment towards revolver balance on November 10th . The current all in borrowing rate on the credit facility is approximately 5.3% .

Speaker #5: In keeping with our long standing practice , we intend to pay down our outstanding debt from future cash , and we expect to repay the outstanding balance around mid 2027 based on current metal prices and absent further acquisitions .

Speaker #5: In terms of additional liquidity after the quarter end , we received the first tranche of gold as part of the deferred gold consideration for the Mount Milligan cost Support Agreement .

Speaker #5: In keeping with our previous commentary , we sold those ounces shortly after receipt and realized proceeds of $44 million . We call that the delivery and sale .

Speaker #5: These ounces are not revenue and will not be reflected in our flow geos . The next two tranches of gold to be delivered by Centerra are also tied to production at the greenstone mine .

Speaker #5: They are payable upon production of 500,000oz and 700,000oz of gold , and based on projections by Equinox Gold . These hurdles are expected to be met in the second half of 2026 , and the first half of 2027 , respectively .

Speaker #5: With respect to further financial commitments , we have $100 million of funding outstanding for the warrants acquisition . We expect to fund the remaining commitment in $250 million tranches , with the first tranche expected in the fourth quarter of 2025 and the second in May of 2026 .

Speaker #5: That concludes my comments on our financial performance for the quarter , and I'll now turn the call back to Bill for closing comments .

Speaker #3: Thanks , Paul . I'd like to welcome several new colleagues to Royal Gold , including those who have recently joined us from sandstorm .

Speaker #3: These transactions significantly increased the size of our business , and we are pleased to add some very capable individuals to our team with institutional knowledge of the sandstorm and horizon assets , which will help us as we manage this much larger portfolio .

Speaker #3: And finally , I would like to address the transformative quarter we just completed at Royal Gold . Over the past few years , we have heard criticisms about our revenue and Nav concentration , our limited growth profile , and the shorter duration of our portfolio .

Speaker #3: I believe we have answered these questions with the transactions we have closed this year and the developments in the portfolio , and I would like to highlight these three areas .

Speaker #3: We have one of , if not the most diversified portfolios by revenue and net asset value in our sector . We have , added Mara Reef and Oyu Tolgoi growth potential to our previous growth prospects at Great Bear , Red Chris Forenza and Komako , and we have increased the duration of our portfolio with the Mount Milligan Mine life Extension , the four mile upside potential can Santschi and the longer dated growth from Sandstorm and Horizon .

Speaker #3: These events combined to position Royal Gold as a premier company in our sector , with a well gold focused portfolio with organic growth potential , we'll be working over the next few months to make sure the market understands the potential value that exists in the expanded Royal Gold portfolio .

Speaker #3: Operator that concludes our prepared remarks . I'll now open the line for questions .

Speaker #1: Thank you . With that , we'll start today's Q&A session . If you would like to register a question on the call today , please press star followed by one on your telephone keypad .

Speaker #1: And to withdraw your question , it's star , followed by two . Our first question comes from cosmos two from CIBC . Your line is now open .

Speaker #1: Please go ahead .

Speaker #6: Thanks , Bill and team for a very good presentation . Maybe my first question is on the . The new stream you have as you mentioned , 5000oz is deferred .

Speaker #6: I guess if that's a word for it, given the need to initiate delivery mechanisms for the new contract, I guess my question is two parts.

Speaker #6: Number one , could you maybe talk a little bit more about , you know , what that means in terms of setting up or initiating these delivery mechanisms ?

Speaker #6: Is it , you know , computer systems ? Is it the way you report or is it actually delivery ? And then number two , in terms of the 5000oz that you thought you might get in 2025 , is that going to come in in 2026 then ?

Speaker #6: And is that going to be sort of in addition to what you would expect in 2026 anyways?

Speaker #3: Yeah . Cosmos , it's Bill . Thanks for the question . I may I may try to handle this one and then the other guys can jump in .

Speaker #3: Really just there's nothing real complicated about the system or setting it up , you know , to be honest , I think we had just announced and we we had our earnings call within , I don't know , a week or so of that .

Speaker #3: And when you look at a model , you look at it and say , okay , that's production . We'll get so many ounces .

Speaker #3: But what we didn't do at the time was just overlay the delivery mechanism , which was you're going to start getting them in October .

Speaker #3: So it was it was just really it was just a mistake on our part in terms of when do we expect the ounces to come ?

Speaker #3: It is not a reflection of a production shortfall . There's nothing wrong with the agreement as the way it is structured , we just push ounces that in just a basic model said you're going to get so many ounces , just some of those ounces are going to come in next year .

Speaker #6: I guess mathematically , if I were to take your 12,500oz that you had expected , that would have been from August to December in 2025 , if I were to gross it up , you know , for a full year in 2026 , that would be 30,000oz .

Speaker #6: And if that's the case , can I just add the additional 5000oz to it in 2026 ? Like , is that the type of how I should think about it , or is that is that not the case ?

Speaker #3: Well , no . See , what would happen is when you get to the end of 2026 , you know , the the , the ounces that are derived from production in December , for example , are going to be delivered in 2027 .

Speaker #3: So it's not as though you take 30,000oz and add a bunch of some ounces . There's just a delay like there is , you know , our other concentrate operations like Andacollo and Milligan .

Speaker #3: .

Speaker #6: Understood . Okay , great . Maybe switching gears a little bit , Bill , I see that you now have $1.225 billion of debt on your balance sheet .

Speaker #6: I guess my question is , how comfortable are you with that level of debt ? I know you do say that . You know , under current metal prices you can actually repay everything by mid 2027 , absent any further acquisitions .

Speaker #6: But how realistic is it ? Is it to assume there won't be any other acquisitions ?

Speaker #3: I mean , you never know in this business , right ? I mean , if you had told me on January 1st of this year that we were going to , we were going to make about $5 billion of investments during 2025 .

Speaker #3: I wouldn't have believed you . You know , certainly we have gone years where there haven't been many investments . And I think 20 , 24 is probably a an example of it .

Speaker #3: So , you know , it is possible that that we don't find anything we like and we just continue to , to pay down the debt .

Speaker #3: As for the first part of your question , the debt level , I'm very comfortable with and I think what we need to show is we move forward through 2026 is , you know , what is the running trailing 12 month EBITDA of of all these combined companies .

Speaker #3: And with Kansanshi and , you know , your pro forma leverage is going to be , I don't know , one between 1 and 1.5 on a net debt to EBITDA basis .

Speaker #3: And that's , that's extremely comfortable . I'm not concerned at all .

Speaker #6: Great . And that may be one last question . Congratulations on closing of the deal with sandstorm Gold and Horizon Copper . And with that , and despite , you , the simplification of the structure , you still will hold a 30% joint venture interest in Hamadan .

Speaker #6: You know , historically , world gold was never in the business of really holding on to joint venture partnerships for the long term .

Speaker #6: I don't know if this is a question I should ask SSR mining , but how do you look at that 30% joint venture interest game ?

Speaker #6: Kind of like, you know, potentially convert into more of a conventional royalty interest.

Speaker #3: Yeah . Cosmos , I think we've been we've been pretty consistent saying that our goal is to not be a joint venture partner .

Speaker #3: It's not what we do . And it is probably very high on our priority list of of trying to find a way to convert it into something that is more traditional for , for our business .

Speaker #6: What are some of the key sort of not hurdles , but discussion points ? And when could we expect that to to constantly .

Speaker #6: If you .

Speaker #3: Wish I could give you a timeline.

Speaker #6: Okay .

Speaker #3: I certainly can't . I can't give you a timeline . But you know , as you go through this , when you're , you're you're taking exposure to cost overruns and operating expenses and you want to convert it into something that doesn't have that exposure .

Speaker #3: You know , there's a value discussion to have with whomever you sell it to . And then what gold price you use , you know , there's a there's a big difference between current gold prices and what you would call long term consensus prices .

Speaker #3: So , you know , those are all the typical topics that will come up when it comes down to negotiating something . .

Speaker #6: Of course . Thanks , Bill and team , for answering all my questions . That's all I have . Thank you .

Speaker #3: Thanks , cosmos .

Speaker #1: Our next question today comes from Josh Wolfson from RBC . Your line is now open . Please go ahead .

Speaker #7: Thanks very much . I noticed in the text and also in some of Bill's commentary , there were some disclosure about working over the next couple of months to ensure the market understands the business following the deals that were completed .

Speaker #7: I'm just wondering if you can provide some more insight on what this means . You know , given both of these transactions for press released and , you know , the information is out there in terms of some of the details .

Speaker #7: Thanks .

Speaker #3: Yeah . I mean , when I , when I , when I talk about working hard to make sure people understand what all these the companies together with consent mean , I'm really what I'm saying is you know spending as much time as I can in front of investors and analysts .

Speaker #3: Look , there's there's a lot that's happened in our company in the last six months . And I think we need to be able to focus people a little bit on saying , okay , you know , this is what it looks like .

Speaker #3: These are the growth prospects and just sending that message over and over again , because I , you know , I truly believe there is a valuation gap .

Speaker #3: And I want to be in front of people telling our story , telling people again why we think the Sandstone Horizon deal made sense , why can makes sense .

Speaker #3: But at the same time , being in front of them to listen to . Are there any other concerns out there ? Because as I said in my prepared remarks , I think we addressed the major ones we heard over and over again , but maybe there's something out there .

Speaker #3: So when I talk about working hard to make sure the market understands that , I'm just talking about physically being in front of people , telling the story and listening .

Speaker #8: Got it .

Speaker #7: When it comes to , you know , disclosures , the company has historically issued and thinking about , you know , guidance both near term and long term .

Speaker #7: You know , I understand the company's historical views on this . I'm just wondering if there's any refresh perspectives . And then also when we think about 2026 , you know , when will the company look to provide that insight ?

Speaker #7: Is it still going to be in April or can we expect something more prompt earlier in the year ? Thank you .

Speaker #3: Yeah . So I think I can I can say that we are planning an Investor day . I think it's in late March and I think that at that point in time is when we expect to talk about 2026 guidance , you know , as far as long term guidance , 3 or 5 year , the position is is still what it's been .

Speaker #3: You know, Josh, you've heard me over and over again say we don't own these properties. You know we're not close enough to them to tell you what's going to happen in three years.

Speaker #3: So, there is still that reluctance. What we have done in the past is go asset by asset, to some extent, and say, this is what the operator thinks.

Speaker #3: You know , here's our interest . And then help people from the operators forecast what it might look like on an asset by asset basis .

Speaker #3: But I don't think you'll see us go to a , you know , sort of a consolidated 3 or 5 year . But again , look out for that , that Investor Day early next year okay .

Speaker #7: Thank you . And then there was , there was a couple of financial items that I just wanted to drill down on specifically , at least on the income statement for cost items , minority interest , kind of jumped up this quarter .

Speaker #7: And then ls5 on the on the asset list was was quite high in terms of of revenues . Is there any insight you can provide there as well as the fourth quarter expenses for the sandstorm deal ?

Speaker #7: Thanks .

Speaker #3: Paul , can I turn the the minority interest question to you ?

Speaker #5: Yeah , sure . Hey , Josh . Yeah . So the minority interest was you saw was a little bit higher or unusual this quarter , you know , to give you a little bit of background and this isn't really , you know , unique to us .

Speaker #5: We are a general partner of a partnership that holds a very small royalty interest on the pipeline . Crossroads deposit at Cortez . And we actually administered some of the custodial functions on behalf of some of those partners and some of those partners , you know , as part of that royalty letter , see some of that royalty proceeds actually in kind or in gold .

Speaker #5: Well , during the quarter we actually sold some of those ounces for one of those partners . And they actually had a pretty small book value , if you will , compared to , to spot when we sold those ounces .

Speaker #5: So the sales proceeds that we recognized were actually included in interest and other income . But then given that partnership is fully consolidated under US GAAP , that that gain was actually backed out in other comprehensive income or that minority interest that you call before arriving at EPs .

Speaker #5: So really , at the end of the day , there was there was no effect on our results .

Speaker #7: Thank you . And then sorry , just the the deal expenses for the fourth quarter , if there's any insight and then also Lorenzo in five .

Speaker #5: Yeah , I'm happy to take the the deal expenses obviously . Yeah . We're still going through the accounting of those expenses . You can appreciate .

Speaker #5: But certainly from the period October 1st through . Closing , you know additional again legal you know , advisory service , you know , type fees .

Speaker #5: So accounting for all those . But we will have some of those those charges come through in Q4 as well . And again those will be a non-recurring kind of one time in nature .

Speaker #4: And I can take the Zone 5 question, if you like, Bill.

Speaker #3: Sir Martin .

Speaker #4: So Josh Agnico identified a mining area in in Q3 that was mistakenly excluded from our partial royalty area . And that exclusion goes back to November 2022 .

Speaker #4: It's it's quite easy to see why it happened . The the various zone blocks outside of zone that are plunging into the royalty area and the area in question was actually accessed from one of the Laronde mine shafts rather than the zone five decline .

Speaker #4: They made that payment up in Q3 and completely covered the November 2022 through June 2025 shortfall.

Speaker #7: Okay, so sort of a true-up, I guess you could say, for historical production.

Speaker #4: Exactly .

Speaker #9: Right .

Speaker #7: Okay. Thank you very much.

Speaker #3: Thanks .

Speaker #8: Jeff .

Speaker #1: Our next question comes from Brian MacArthur from Raymond James . Your line is now open . Please proceed .

Speaker #3: Good morning , and thank .

Speaker #10: You for taking my questions . A lot of them are dealt with , but can I just ask on for mile ? You've been very kind and give us us a 1.6% equivalent .

Speaker #10: But is that a combination of GSR one , GSR two , GSR three and one ? Like , is this going to be variable ?

Speaker #10: I just can't remember where all the different pieces cover it . Or is that 1.6 a pretty good thing to use on an annual basis , or are there going to be years ?

Speaker #10: It's 1% and, in years, it's 3%.

Speaker #3: No , that's a that's a pretty good number to use . The 1.6 is the Rio royalty and it's the bit of the Idaho royalty that we bought those two towards the end of 2022 .

Speaker #3: So it's completely separate from all the legacy stuff that you've known for years.

Speaker #10: Perfect. So it's that simple: 1.6 royalty.

Speaker #3: Yep .

Speaker #10: Excellent. And just so I can clarify my own mind back to Cosmos' question on Kansanshi. So this 5,000 oz, it's just an MPV problem.

Speaker #10: If I want to put it that way , of being delayed a quarter , it's not like those ounces are gone forever just because of the true up date of the transaction or something .

Speaker #10: It's just purely a concentrate delivery and all the ounces are the same in the end . Is that right ?

Speaker #3: All the answers are the same . It's just the timing issue .

Speaker #10: Right. Thank you very much.

Speaker #3: Thanks , Brian .

Speaker #1: All next questions come from Lawson Winder from Bank of America Securities. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Speaker #7: Thank you very much .

Speaker #11: Operator . And hello , Bill and team . Thank you for the update today . And I would like to ask just a couple things .

Speaker #11: So first of all , on capital returns , what approaching the time of year where Royal Gold typically considers the the next dividend increase .

Speaker #11: When you think about everything that's happened this year , do you think about there being an opportunity for a bigger than usual increase because of the larger portfolio or , you know , could it just be a smaller increase given the heavy capital spending so far this year ?

Speaker #11: And then sort of related to that , what are your thoughts on share buybacks ? And it just kind of occurred to me when you were speaking , Bill , in response to one of the other questions about the valuation gap .

Speaker #11: I mean , do you see an opportunity to utilize a share buyback to help close that ?

Speaker #3: Yeah , thanks . Thanks , Lawson . Look on the dividend . You're absolutely right . Our board looks at it in November .

Speaker #3: You know I'm not I'm not going to lead high or low in terms of what we might do there . But I the thing we have been saying to folks is when we're going through sandstorm and Horizon , and one of the things the board said to us was , you're going to be issuing 18 , 19 million shares .

Speaker #3: You'll be taking on debt . We have an almost 25 year record of increasing dividends . We want to know , you know , what's going to happen to that ?

Speaker #3: That was part of their analysis . And increasing it every year . Is sort of near and dear to our heart . This is a board decision .

Speaker #3: Am I going to say anything . We'll you know , we'll be back to the market in a couple of weeks . But it's really important to us , you know , notwithstanding that we have $1.225 billion in debt , I can tell you when we went through 2015 , we had the exact same thing .

Speaker #3: We spent over $1 billion in CapEx , continued to increase the dividend . So that on the dividends , on the share buybacks , you know , I want to give this some time .

Speaker #3: You know , again , talking about going to work in front of the market , telling the story . I want to see what happens to to our valuation .

Speaker #3: I mean , we still trade at a premium and it still might be hard to justify share buybacks . But but right now I want to see , you know , what the messaging can do .

Speaker #3: And at the same time , you know , we do want to repay that debt . So there is a use for the capital for the cash flow that is being generated over the over the course of the next year .

Speaker #3: And that's a priority as well as to pay that down .

Speaker #11: Great. Thank you for that. Thinking about 2026, it is very helpful to have that Investor Day kind of in the back of my mind.

Speaker #11: But but then just thinking about the portfolio . So the content stream and sandstorm , it's changed very substantially as you look to 2026 conceptually , would you expect a material increase in in GEOs next year versus 2025 ?

Speaker #11: And then also thinking about when we can get real numbers on those? Would we expect the 2026 guidance to then come out with that Investor Day in March?

Speaker #11: Or could we possibly get something a little earlier here, just given all the moving parts?

Speaker #3: No , I think the Investor Day is when you're going to hear about what we expect for 2026 . I mean , you have to understand that from assets to producing assets have been in a portfolio for two and a half weeks .

Speaker #3: So I even thinking about making an estimate for next year , right now would not be the smartest thing in the world . So Investor Day , we'll be talking about guidance and talking about all the portfolio .

Speaker #3: This new portfolio , as you say , and what it means for next year .

Speaker #11: Very helpful . And then just finally , there was an update from arrow yesterday on Xavantina . This concept of a processing stockpiles would real gold benefit from that in any way ?

Speaker #3: Yes . I mean , it's gold production . We expect it will flow through to our interest .

Speaker #11: Okay . Thank you very much . Appreciate it .

Speaker #3: Thanks . Awesome .

Speaker #1: Honest question comes from Tanya Jakusconek , Scotiabank . Your line is now open . Please go ahead .

Speaker #12: Okay . Good morning everybody . Thank you so much for taking my questions . Just wanted to finish up on just some of the sandstorm transaction bill .

Speaker #12: You mentioned . You know we'll take another charge for you've you're integrating assets . People at this point . Is it fair to assume that as we look at 26 , besides , you know , looking at obviously the depreciation and what , you know , the guidance on that , that basis , all of the noise will be out of all of the unusual items are going to be closed in 2025 .

Speaker #12: Have the people and equipment and everything finalized . And so 2026 would be a year to look at .

Speaker #3: Yes , Tanya , that is that's the one thing I've sort of said to the team is I want everything done by the end of this year .

Speaker #3: is non-recurring with respect to this transaction , because as I as I said , we need to start building this record of quarter over quarter of sort of recurring business where we can show the revenue , we can show the cash flow that we're generating .

Speaker #3: And what I don't want to have is a bunch of expenses leaking into the first quarter . Now , we may not , you know , depending on the invoicing that we That get , we may not be able to do that .

Speaker #3: But I'm highly confident that we're going to be able to isolate the rest of the transaction expenses in the fourth quarter of this year.

Speaker #12: Okay . So that would be good . So I'd like 2026 will be what this would look like with all of these pieces in place .

Speaker #12: Yeah okay . That's good . And maybe I could go on to Paul . This is an accounting question from a non accountant .

Speaker #12: So maybe I just want to make sure that I count correctly the mount million . Oh my God . Cost support agreement of that 11,000oz .

Speaker #12: That $44 million that came in on October 3rd—so nothing through the income statement. Where will it show up in the cash flow?

Speaker #12: Where is that going to be put exactly . So I have it in the exact place .

Speaker #5: Hey , Tanya . Yeah , thanks for the question . Yeah . So we've talked , you know , on a few calls and had some commentary even today .

Speaker #5: Just on that treatment . But yeah , the Milligan cost per agreement , you know , certainly was a was a unique transaction for us .

Speaker #5: But , you know , even Bill mentioned today certainly it's a it's a win win for , for both companies . But you may recall that the consideration that we received for that additional support that we're going to provide was in the form of cash .

Speaker #5: And then that deferred gold , and then the free cash flow interest at Milligan as well . And so I think the easiest way to think about this on how to impact the financials is , you know , is , you know , all that consideration that we received as part of the agreement will eventually all be recognized as that deferred support liability that's on the balance sheet , currently at $25 million .

Speaker #5: Because we have that obligation to provide additional cash payments under under the agreement . In exchange for that consideration that Milligan provided . So with the with the goal that we received in early October that deferred support liability is going to increase by the fair value of those ounces that we received and sold .

Speaker #5: Again , we sell those ounces , you know , immediately or shortly after we receive them . So you're not going to see much , if any , likely not much in the form of penal impact .

Speaker #5: So but again , as a reminder , you know , when we receive and sell those ounces , they're not part of our our sales guidance here in 2025 .

Speaker #5: But even as I mentioned in the prepared remarks, we do anticipate receiving the next delivery in 2026. So you won't see those ounces show up in some of the guidance that we provide in 2026.

Speaker #5: As well . Hopefully , I appreciate it .

Speaker #12: I know it's not part of your revenue. I know it's not part of your ounces. Does it go anywhere through the cash flow statement?

Speaker #12: It . Or just the balance sheet that I should think about ?

Speaker #5: Just just balance sheet .

Speaker #12: Balance sheet okay . That's all I just wanted to clarify . And then maybe I can have maybe Bill or , you know , someone in the team just talk to us about , you know , you've done two big deals .

Speaker #12: You know , I just quickly looked at your available liquidity after you adjust for the sandstorm deal and your 100 million payment that needs to go out , plus the , you know , the the , you know , just , you know , you have maybe 300 , 400 million of available liquidity .

Speaker #12: Are you still looking at transactions in this market opportunity, or have we put a pause on that?

Speaker #3: No , we're still looking . I don't think we'll ever stop looking . You know , there are still opportunities in the market .

Speaker #3: There . You know , I think the ones we're seeing are not of the scale that the ones we just did like in Santschi .

Speaker #3: I think one of the one of the interesting dynamics on the BD side is where the gold price has gone up . I've always said that BD is harder to do when the gold price is volatile , because it's hard to land on a gold price that both the seller and the purchaser can agree on .

Speaker #3: And you know , if if no one , you know , I don't think anybody in our sector is using $4,000 an ounce to value things , but at the same time , I'm not sure the seller is going to be is going to be acceptable .

Speaker #3: Accepting of a long term consensus price of of 3000 . So that may slow the process down a little bit . But we're not closed .

Speaker #3: We're not going to sit on our hands until we repay that debt . We're we're still active .

Speaker #12: And what would you be comfortable size-wise? Would it be that $100 million to $300 million range?

Speaker #3: Yeah . I mean that's that's what we normally see in the market . You know , I think at this point I would say if we if we did do something , it would have to be something we really loved , like , yeah , because you have a choice here .

Speaker #3: We can continue to pay down the debt or we can make new investments . And I'm happy doing both . But you know , the investment that we might make , I think would would have to be something we found so attractive , we just could not pass it up .

Speaker #12: So would it be fair to assume then it would be like so if anything in your existing portfolio came , you know , available , you know , you know , let's say in , you know , parts projects that you already have an interest and something comes available that would be kind of viewed as a bolt on .

Speaker #12: Would that be what you're saying? Versus, like, going into new jurisdictions?

Speaker #3: No , no , I mean , not just bolt on acquisitions if it comes within the portfolio . Great . We'll look at it .

Speaker #3: And if it's a completely new company , new project , we'll look at that as well . If it's attractive , we we may decide that we do want to make that investment .

Speaker #3: We just have to we just have to manage . I think people want to see the debt come down , even though I'm comfortable with it .

Speaker #3: But we just have to balance it.

Speaker #12: Yeah . Fair enough . It's nice to see this $4,000 gold price . We just don't know how long it stays . Right .

Speaker #8: Thank you exactly .

Speaker #3: Thanks , Daniel .

Speaker #1: Our next question comes from Derek Ma from TD Cohen . Your line is now open . Please proceed .

Speaker #13: Thank you . I just had a quick accounting question . Is there going to be a bump in the cost base of some of these former sandstorm assets i.e. will depreciation for these assets be higher than they were when they were in standalone sandstorm ?

Speaker #3: Paul, over to you.

Speaker #8: Hey , Derek . Yeah . Sorry . Hey , Derek .

Speaker #5: Yeah . As we as I mentioned my remarks , I mean , we're still going through that accounting at the moment . And , you know , as far as the , allocation of the purchase price there , which obviously will include the allocation among the different interests at sandstorm and impacting the depletion rates .

Speaker #5: So, we're still going through all that at the moment. I do think that we'll be able to provide a bit more information on that within our next update call.

Speaker #13: Okay , great . Thanks . That's it for me .

Speaker #1: Our final question comes from Carey Macrury from Canaccord . Your line is now open . Please go ahead .

Speaker #14: Hey, good morning, guys. So, based on the Barracks for Mile update, it looks like the mineralization is potentially trending off your royalty ground.

Speaker #14: Is that the case or do you see it as all being on your royalty ground ?

Speaker #3: Pardon ? Can I push that one to you ?

Speaker #9: Yeah , on a on a royalty ground . Gary . We don't we don't see any of the material that they're identifying at the moment as being off our ground .

Speaker #14: Okay . Great . And then , you know , I know inclusion on the SP 500 has always been an elusive target . Do you see that these transactions that that's more likely now or have the goalposts moved on that .

Speaker #3: I think we're still a bit of a ways. You know, last time we checked, I think the minimum was like $20.5 billion.

Speaker #3: And we would still have a ways to go to to achieve that one .

Speaker #14: Okay, great. Thanks, guys.

Speaker #3: Thank you .

Speaker #1: That concludes the Q&A portion of today's call. I'll now hand it back over to Bill for some closing comments.

Speaker #3: Well , thanks everyone for taking the time to join us today and for all the good questions . We appreciate your interest in Royal Gold .

Speaker #3: We look forward to updating you on our progress in the New Year. Take care.

Q3 2025 Royal Gold Inc Earnings Call

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Royal Gold

Earnings

Q3 2025 Royal Gold Inc Earnings Call

RGLD

Thursday, November 6th, 2025 at 5:00 PM

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