Q3 2025 TFI International Inc Earnings Call
Speaker #1: Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to TFI International's third quarter 2025 earnings call. At this time, all participant lines are in the listen-only mode.
Operator: Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to TFI International's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. At this time, all participant lines are in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. Callers will be limited to 1 question and 1 follow-up. Again, that's 1 question and 1 follow-up so that we can get to as many callers as possible. Further instructions for entering the queue will be provided at that time. Please be advised that this conference call may contain statements that are forward-looking in nature and subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. I would also like to remind everyone that this conference call is being recorded on 31 October 2025.
Operator: Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to TFI International Inc.'s Q3 2025 earnings call. At this time, all participant lines are in the listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. Callers will be limited to one question and one follow-up. Again, that's one question and one follow-up so that we can get to as many callers as possible. Further instructions for entering the queue will be provided at that time. Please be advised that this conference call may contain statements that are forward-looking in nature and subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. I would also like to remind everyone that this conference call is being recorded on October 31, 2025. Joining us on the call today are Alain Bédard, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, and David Saperstein, Chief Financial Officer.
Speaker #1: Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. Callers will be limited to one question and one follow-up. Again, that's one question and one follow-up, so that we can get to as many callers as possible.
Speaker #1: Further instructions for entering the queue will be provided at that time. Please be advised that this conference call may contain statements that are forward-looking in nature and subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially.
Speaker #1: I would also like to remind everyone that this conference call is being recorded on October 31, 2025. Joining us on the call today are Alain Bdard, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, and David Saperstein, Chief Financial Officer.
Operator: Joining us on the call today are Alain Bédard, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, and David Saperstein, Chief Financial Officer. I would now like to turn the call over to Alain Bédard. Please go ahead, sir.
Speaker #1: I would now like to turn the call over to Alain Bdard. Please go ahead, sir.
Operator: I would now like to turn the call over to Alain Bédard. Please go ahead, sir.
Speaker #2: Well, thank you, for the introduction. Operator, and welcome everyone to this morning's call. Last evening, we reported our quarterly results that show additional progress with operating margins, especially for our US LTL.
Alain Bédard: Well, thank you for the introduction, operator, and welcome everyone to this morning's call. Last evening, we reported our quarterly results that shows additional progress with operating margins, especially for our US LTL. In fact, across our entire company, the men and women of TFI International doubled down on our core operating principle, which is setting us up nicely for the eventual rebound in freight volumes. I'm also pleased with our free cash flow performance, as this is always one of our top priorities. At more than CAD 570 million year to date, this was slightly above the 9-month results from 2024. We use our strong free cash flow to strategically invest in the long term and whenever possible, return the excess to shareholders.
Alain Bédard: Thank you for the introduction, Operator, and welcome everyone to this morning's call. Last evening, we reported our quarterly results that show additional progress with operating margins, especially for our U.S. LTL. In fact, across our entire company, the men and women of TFI International Inc. doubled down on our core operating principle, which is setting us up nicely for the eventual rebound in freight volumes. I'm also pleased with our free cash flow performance, as this is always one of our top priorities. At more than $570 million year-to-date, this was slightly above the nine-month results from 2024. We use our strong free cash flow to strategically invest in the long-term and, whenever possible, return the excess to shareholders.
Speaker #2: In fact, across our entire company, the men and women of TFI International doubled down on our core operating principle, which is setting us up nicely for the eventual rebound in trade volumes.
Speaker #2: I'm also pleased with our free cash flow performance as this is always one of our top priorities. At more than 570 million year to date, this was slightly above the nine-month results from 2024.
Speaker #2: We use our strong free cash flow to strategically invest in the long term and, whenever possible, return the excess to shareholders. Speaking of which, as you may have seen in our press release yesterday, our board approved a 4% increase in our quarterly dividend to $0.47 per share, suggesting a yield of close to 2%.
Alain Bédard: Speaking of which, as you may have seen in our press release yesterday, our board approved a 4% increase in our quarterly dividend to CAD 0.47 per share, suggesting a yield of close to 2%. Equally important, during and subsequent to the quarter, we repurchased additional shares, which I'll speak to in a moment, while maintaining a very solid balance sheet. With that, let's review our overall Q3 results. We generated total revenue before fuel surcharge of CAD 1.7 billion. That compares to CAD 1.9 billion in the year ago quarter. In aggregate, we produced CAD 153 million of operating income or a margin of 8.9%.
Alain Bédard: Speaking of which, as you may have seen in our press release yesterday, our board approved a 4% increase in our quarterly dividend to $0.47 per share, suggesting a yield of close to 2%. Equally important, during and subsequent to the quarter, we repurchased additional shares, which I'll speak to in a moment, while maintaining a very solid balance sheet. With that, let's review our overall Q3 results. We generated total revenue before fuel surcharge of $1.7 billion, and that compares to $1.9 billion in the year-ago quarter. In aggregate, we produced $153 million of operating income, or a margin of 8.9%. We've recorded an adjusted net income of $99 million as compared to $134 million in Q3 of 2024, and an adjusted EPS of $1.20 relative to $1.58 in the year-ago quarter.
Speaker #2: Equally important, during and subsequent to the quarter, we repurchased additional shares, which I'll speak to in a moment. And while maintaining a very solid balance sheet, with that, let's review our overall third quarter results.
Speaker #2: We generated total revenue before fuel surcharge of $1.7 billion, which compares to $1.9 billion in the year-ago quarter. In aggregate, we produced $153 million of operating income, or a margin of 8.9%.
Speaker #2: We've recorded adjustment income of 99 million as compared to 134 million in the third quarter of 2024, and an adjusted EPS of $1.20 is relative to $1.58 in the year-ago quarter.
Alain Bédard: We've recorded adjusted net income of CAD 99 million as compared to CAD 134 million in Q3 2024, and an adjusted EPS of CAD 1.20 is relative to CAD 1.58 in the year ago quarter. Rounding out our consolidated results, our net cash from operating activities came in at CAD 255 million, up sequentially, but down from CAD 351 million in the same quarter last year. Finally, our free cash flow from Q3 was nearly CAD 200 million, also up sequentially. In addition, as I mentioned, this brought our year-end to date free cash flow to just over CAD 570 million.
Speaker #2: Rounding out our consolidated results, our net cash from operating activities came in at $255 million, up sequentially but down from $351 million in the same quarter last year.
Alain Bédard: Rounding out our consolidated results, our net cash from operating activities came in at $255 million, up sequentially, but down from $351 million in the same quarter last year. Finally, our free cash flow from Q3 was nearly $200 million, also up sequentially. In addition, as I mentioned, this brought our year-to-date free cash flow to just over $570 million. Overall, when I look at our consolidated performance, first and foremost, I recognize the hard work of our team, with everyone across our segments working to make the most out of a subdued freight environment and, most importantly, setting us to capitalize on the next cycle. How did we do this? They focus on long-held core operating principle, ensuring that quality of revenue and aiming for constantly improving efficiencies.
Speaker #2: And finally, our free cash flow from the third quarter was nearly $200 million, also up sequentially. In addition, as I mentioned, this brought our year-to-date free cash flow to just over $570 million.
Speaker #2: So overall, when I look at our consolidated performance, first and foremost, I recognize the hard work of our team, with everyone across our segments working to make the most out of a subdued freight environment and, most importantly, setting us to capitalize on the next cycle.
Alain Bédard: Overall, when I look at our consolidated performance, first and foremost, I recognize the hard work of our team with everyone across our segments working to make the most out of a subdued freight environment, and most importantly, setting us to capitalize on the next cycle. How did they do this? Well, they focus on long-held core operating principle, ensuring that quality of revenue and aiming for constantly improving efficiencies. Additionally, as we make meaningful progress on service improvement in US LTL, it's gratifying to see the team recognized in this regard by leading third-party customer research firms. We very much appreciate their hard work. Let's take a closer look at each of our three business segments, beginning with LTL.
Speaker #2: How did they do this? Well, they focus on long-held core operating principle, ensuring that quality of revenue and aiming for consistent, constantly improving efficiencies.
Speaker #2: Additionally, as we make meaningful progress on service improvement in US LTL, it's gratifying to see the team recognize in this regard by leaning third-party customer research firms.
Alain Bédard: Additionally, as we make meaningful progress on service improvement in USLTL, it's gratifying to see the team recognized in this regard by leading third-party customer research firms. We very much appreciate their hard work. Now, let's take a closer look at each of our three business segments, beginning with LTL. This quarter, our LTL operation represented 40% of segmented revenue before fuel surcharge, which was down 11% versus a year ago to $687 million. Notably, our USLTL operation showed additional progress on margin for a second quarter in a row, producing a 92.2 OR, which matched the performance of a year earlier. Total LTL operating income of $78 million was up sequentially from Q2, but compared to $96 million a year earlier.
Speaker #2: So we very much appreciate their hard work. Now, let's take a closer look at each of our three business segments, beginning with LTL. This quarter, our LTL operation represented 40% of segmented revenue before fuel surcharge, which was down 11% versus a year ago, to 687 million.
Alain Bédard: This quarter, our LTL operation represented 40% of segmented revenue before fuel surcharge, which was down 11% versus a year ago to CAD 687 million. Notably, our US LTL operation showed additional progress on margin for a Q2 in a row, producing a 92.2 OR, which matched the performance of a year earlier. Total LTL operating income of CAD 78 million was up sequentially from the Q2, compared to CAD 96 million a year earlier. Our combined operating ratio for LTL was 88.8, that's also improved sequentially, in fact, for the Q2 in a row. Still compared to 87.3 in the prior year Q3. Our return on invested capital for LTL was 11.9.
Speaker #2: Notably, our U.S. LTL operation showed additional progress on margin for a second quarter in a row, producing a 92.2 operating ratio, which matched the performance of a year earlier.
Speaker #2: Total LTL operating income of 78 million was up sequentially, from the second quarter, but compared to 96 million a year earlier. Our combined operating ratio for LTL was 88.8, and that's also improved sequentially.
Alain Bédard: Our combined operating ratio for LTL was 88.8, and that's also improved sequentially, in fact, for the second quarter in a row, but still compared to 87.3 in the prior year Q3. Our returned investor capital for LTL was 11.9. Turning to Truckload, it was 39% of segmented revenue before fuel surcharge at $684 million, which compared to $723 million in the year-ago quarter, with tariff impacts on steel and other commodities still weighing on freight volumes. Operating income of $53 million compares to $70 million last year, and our Truckload OR came at 92.3 versus 90.6. Lastly, our Truckload returned investor capital was 6% for the quarter. Our third and final segment to discuss is Logistics, which produced $368 million of revenue before fuel surcharge, or 21% of segmented revenue, and this compared to $426 million in Q3 of 2024.
Speaker #2: In fact, for the second quarter in a row, but still compared to 87.3 in the prior year, third quarter. Our return on invested capital for LTL was 11.9.
Speaker #2: Turning to truckload, it was 39% of segmented revenue before fuel surcharge at 684 million, which compared to 723 million in the year-ago quarter, with tariff impacts on steel and other commodities still waiting on freight volumes.
Alain Bédard: Turning to Truckload, it was 39% of segmented revenue before fuel surcharge at CAD 684 million, which compared to CAD 723 million in the year-ago quarter, with tariff impacts on steel and other commodities still waiting on freight volumes. Operating income of CAD 53 million compares to CAD 70 million last year, and our Truckload OR came at 92.3 versus 90.6. Lastly, our Truckload return on invested capital was 6% for the quarter. Our third and final segment to discuss is Logistics, which produced CAD 368 million revenue before fuel surcharge, or 21% of segmented revenue, and this compared to CAD 426 million in Q3 2024. Operating income came in at CAD 31 million versus CAD 49 million last year, and this represents a margin of 8.4 versus 11.4.
Speaker #2: Operating income of 53 million compares to 70 million last year, and our truckload OR came at 92.3 versus 90.6. Lastly, our truckload return investor capital was 6% for the quarter.
Speaker #2: Our third and final segment to discuss is logistics, which produced 368 million dollars of revenue before fuel surcharge or 21% of segmented revenue, and this compared to 426 million in the third quarter of 2024.
Speaker #2: Operating income came in at $31 million versus $49 million last year, which represents a margin of 8.4% versus 11.4%. Our logistics return on invested capital was 14.6.
Alain Bédard: Operating income came in at $31 million versus $49 million last year, and this represents a margin of 8.4% versus 11.4%. Our Logistics returned investor capital was 14.6. Next, I'll move on to our balance sheet, which remains very strong, benefiting from the free cash flow I mentioned of nearly $200 million during the quarter and more than $570 million year-to-date, which is stronger than last year. We end up September with a funded debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 2.4 times. From this position of strength, we're able to not only pay our dividend, which, as I mentioned, the board agreed to raise today, but we also repurchased a total of $67 million worth of shares during the quarter. That brought our total return of capital to shareholders to more than $100 million during Q3 alone.
Alain Bédard: Our logistic return on invested capital was 14.6. Next, I'll move on to our balance sheet, which remains very strong, benefiting from the free cash flow I mentioned of nearly CAD 200 million during the quarter and more than CAD 570 million year to date, which is stronger than last year. We end up September with a funded debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 2.4 times. From this position of strength, we're able to not only pay our dividend, which I mentioned the board agreed to raise today, but we also repurchased a total of CAD 67 million worth of shares during the quarter. That brought our total return of capital to shareholders to more than CAD 100 million during Q3 alone.
Speaker #2: So next, I'll move on to our balance sheet, which remains very strong, benefiting from the free cash flow I mentioned of nearly $200 million during the quarter and more than $570 million year to date, which is stronger than last year.
Speaker #2: We end up September with a funded debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.4 times. From this, position of strength, we're able to not only pay our dividend, which I mentioned the board agreed to raise today, but we also repurchased a total of 67 million worth of shares during the quarter.
Speaker #2: That brought our total return of capital to shareholders to more than 100 million during the third quarter alone. As I mentioned, at the outset, this is one of our key business principles to return excess cash to shareholders, whenever possible, and I should add that subsequent to Q3, we also have repurchased an additional 17 million worth of share, as we continue to effectively reduce our share counts.
Alain Bédard: As I mentioned at the outset, this is one of our key business principles, to return excess cash to shareholders whenever possible. I should add that subsequent to Q3, we also have repurchased an additional $17 million worth of share as we continue to effectively reduce our share counts. Before we turn to Q&A, I'll provide a Q4 outlook. We expect Q4 adjusted diluted EPS to be in the range of $0.80 to $0.90. We now expect full year net CapEx, excluding real estate, to be $100 to $175 million compared to $200 million earlier. Similar to last quarter, I'll note that our outlook assumes no significant change, either positive or negative, in the actual operating environment. With that, operator, David and I would be happy to take questions.
Alain Bédard: As I mentioned at the outset, this is one of our key business principles to return excess cash to shareholders whenever possible. I should add that subsequent to Q3, we also have repurchased an additional $17 million worth of shares as we continue to effectively reduce our share count. Before we turn to Q&A, I'll provide a Q4 outlook. We expect Q4 adjusted diluted EPS to be in the range of $0.80 to $0.90. We now expect full-year net capex, excluding real estate, to be $100 million to $175 million compared to $200 million earlier. Similar to last quarter, I'll note that our outlook assumes no significant change, either positive or negative, in the actual operating environment. With that, Operator, David and I would be happy to take questions. If you could please open the lines.
Speaker #2: So, before we turn to Q&A, I'll provide a four-quarter outlook. We expect four-quarter adjusted diluted EPS to be in the range of $0.80 to $0.90.
Speaker #2: And we now expect full-year net CapEx excluding real estate to be $100 million to $175 million, compared to $200 million earlier. Similar to last quarter, I'll note that our outlook assumes no significant change, either positive or negative, in the actual operating environment.
Alain Bédard: If you could please open the lines.
Operator: Thank you, Monsieur Bedard. Ladies and gentlemen, if you do have any questions at this time, as stated, please press star 1 on your touchtone phone. You will then hear a prompt that your hand has been raised. Should you wish to decline from the polling process, please press star followed by 2. If you're using a speakerphone, you will need to lift the handset first before pressing any keys. Out of consideration to other callers on the line today and time allotted, we ask again that you please limit yourself to 1 question, 1 follow-up, and get back into the queue. Thank you. Your first question will be from Ravi Shanker at Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead, Ravi.
Operator: Thank you, Mr. Bédard. Ladies and gentlemen, if you do have any questions at this time, as stated, please press star one on your touch-tone phone. You will then hear a prompt that your hand has been raised. Should you wish to decline from the polling process, please press star followed by two. If you're using a speakerphone, you will need to lift the handset first before pressing any keys. Out of consideration to other callers on the line today and time allotted, we ask again that you please limit yourself to one question, one follow-up, and get back into the queue. Thank you. Your first question will be from Ravi Shankar at Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead, Ravi.
Ravi Shanker: Great. Thanks. Morning, Alain, and David. Alain, would love your overall thoughts on the state of the LTL market today. Obviously, macro still remains pretty depressed, but you guys are taking idiosyncratic actions as well. If you just could address kind of where do you think volumes are going, what even the pricing environment is like, that'd be great.
David Saperstein: Great. Thanks. Morning, Alain and David. Alain, would love your overall thoughts on the state of the Less-Than-Truckload market today. Obviously, macro still remains pretty depressed, but you guys are taking idiosyncratic actions as well. If you just could address kind of where do you think volumes are going, what do you think the pricing environment is like, that would be great.
Alain Bédard: Yeah. Very good question, Ravi. I think that most of our peers so far, I mean, we're off to a very slow start in Q4, with all kinds of reasons. I mean, we have this special situation in the U.S. with the government shutdown and things like that. I mean, we anticipate that probably in our guidance, what we have in there is Q4 versus Q3, we'll probably see a deterioration of the OR between 200 to 300 basis points because of this slow environment, slow volume environment.
Alain Bédard: Well, very good question, Ravi. You know, I think that, like, you know, most of our peers so far, I mean, we're off to a very slow start in Q4, you know, with all kinds of reasons. I mean, we have, you know, this special situation in the US with the government shutdown and things like that. I mean, we anticipate that, probably, you know, in our guidance, what we have in there is, you know, Q4 versus Q3, okay, we'll probably see a deterioration of the OR between 200 to 300 basis points, okay, because of this slow environment, slow volume environment.
Alain Bédard: Now, going into 2026, we're starting to have a feeling that after three years of very, very hard, difficult freight recession, we believe that finally all the effect of that big, beautiful bills and the fact that the consumer will probably get some tax refund, etc., etc., the investment that will probably take place in the industrial sector in the U.S., we feel way, way, way better about 2026 than what we went through about 2025. What we were able to do with TFI International Inc., I think it's a confirmation that the new team is really all hands on deck. We've been working on our costs. We've also been working and improving our service. That's been confirmed by the famous master report. We are improving. We still have a lot of work to do, but still we're heading in the right direction.
Alain Bédard: Going into 2026, we starting to have a feeling that, after three years of very hard, difficult freight recession, we believe that finally all the, you know, the effect of that big beautiful bills and the fact that the consumer will probably get some tax refund, et cetera, et cetera, the investment, okay, that will probably take place in the industrial sector in the US, we feel way better about 2026 than what we went through about 2025. What we were able to do with TForce Freight, I think it's a confirmation that the new team is really all hands on deck. We've been working on our costs. We've also been working and improving our service. That's been confirmed by the famous Mastio report that we are improving.
Alain Bédard: We still have a lot of work to do, but still we're heading in the right direction and I'm very happy with the team, with what the guys are working on right now. You know, we're looking at 2026. We need to do some major investment in AI, okay, to help us reduce our costs and be more efficient, provide a better service. In that regards, we have some projects that should take place in 2026. I mean, Q4 2025, difficult all over for us, I believe, but I think that finally the sun is gonna start coming up in 2026.
Alain Bédard: I'm very happy with the team, with what the guys are working on right now. We're looking at 2026. We need to do some major investment in AI to help us reduce our costs and be more efficient, provide a better service. In that regard, we have some projects that should take place in 2026. I mean, Q4 2025, difficult all over for us, I believe, but I think that finally the sun is going to start coming up in 2026.
That's been confirmed by the famous Master report that we are improving, we're still have a lot of work to do, but still we're we're heading in the right direction. And and, and I'm very happy with the team with what the guys are working on right now. Uh, you know, we're looking at, uh, uh, 26, uh, we need to do some major investment in AI, okay? To help us reduce our costs and be more efficient provide a better service. Uh, so in that regards we we have some some projects that should take place in 26. So I mean 2 24/2
5 difficult all over for us, I believe but I think that finally, the Sun is going to start coming up in 26.
Ravi Shanker: Understood. That's really helpful. I just gotta get you very quickly address that as well, but if you can just talk about the progress you made with kind of fixing some of the internal initiatives in the LTL business. How far along are you and kind of, what do you think are the next few steps we can expect in the next quarter or two?
David Saperstein: Understood. That's really helpful. I just got to very quickly address that as well, but if you can just talk about the progress you made with kind of fixing some of the internal initiatives in the Less-Than-Truckload business, how far along are you, and kind of what do you think are the next few steps we can expect in the next quarter or two?
Alain Bédard: Well, one of the first things that we did, Ravi, with Cal and his team there is we fixed the small and medium-sized business, where we've lost too much of that in 2024. When Cal took it over with Chris and the rest of the team there, they said, Well, we definitely need to change that. What you see there, in Q3, and also the improvement in Q2, some of that is the improved quality of revenue, quality of freight that we do. That's basically step number 1. Step number 2 is, you know, we were a little bit too relaxed on some aspects of our business. For instance, our approach us with temp account was, you know, you deliver the freight and hope to get paid. When an account does not exist with you.
Alain Bédard: Yeah. One of the first things that we did, Ravi, with Cal and his team there, is we fixed the small and medium-sized business, where we were way we've lost too much of that in 2024. When Cal took it over with Chris and the rest of the team there, they said, "We definitely need to change that," right? What you see there in Q3 and also the improvement in Q2, some of that is the improved quality of revenue, quality of freight that we do. That's basically step number one. Step number two is we were a little bit too relaxed on some aspect of our business. For instance, our approach with temp account was, you deliver the freight and hope to get paid, when an account does not exist with you. I don't think anyone is doing that, right? We were an exception in the U.S.
So, the 3 help, uh, I'm just going to get you very quickly address that as well. But uh, if you can just talk about the progress you made with, uh, kind of fixing some of the internal initiatives in the LTL business, uh, how far along are you and kind of, uh, what do you think are the, uh, next few steps we can expect in the next quarter or 2?
Alain Bédard: Well, I don't think no one is doing that, right? We were an exception in the US. We fixed that in Q2 and for the rest of the year. Now if you order, okay, TForce Freight, and you have a shipment, we don't know who's gonna be paying the bill, so we hold onto the freight until we know who actually is gonna be, you know, paying that bill. That's also another improvement that, you know, because of past procedures, we were losing a lot of dollars because of that negligence of our, you know, process at the time. Now, also, we've hired a guy, okay, to run our fleet management team. I'll give you just a small example.
Alain Bédard: We fixed that in Q2 and for the rest of the year. Now if you order TFI and you have a shipment, we don't know who's going to be paying the bill, so we hold on to the freight until we know who actually is going to be paying that bill. That's also another improvement that, because of past procedures, we were losing a lot of dollars because of that negligence of our process at the time. Now, we've hired a guy to run our fleet management team. I'll give you just a small example. Last meeting we had the other day in Dallas, it used to be that a truck, a TFI, gets into a shop, and that truck is stuck there for 85 hours. Now we're down to about 45 hours.
Yeah, well 1 of the first thing that we did Robbie with Cal and his team. There is, we fixed this small and medium-sized business where we were way, we've lost too much of that in 24. And when Cal took it over with Chris and the rest of the team there, they said, well, we we definitely need to change that, right? So what you see there, okay, in Q3 and also the Improvement in Q2, some of that is the improved quality of Revenue quality or Freight that we do. So that's basically step number 1, Step number 2 is, you know, we were a little bit too relaxed on on some aspect of our business. So for, for instance, our approach us with temp account was, you know, you deliver the freight and hope to get paid okay, when when an account does not exist with you. Uh, well, I don't think No 1 is doing that, right? So we were an exception in us, we fixed that in Q2. And and, and for the rest of the year,
Alain Bédard: Last meeting we had, the other day in Dallas, it used to be that a truck, a TForce Freight get into a shop, and that truck is stuck there for 85 hours. Well, now we're down to about 45 hours. It's still too much, but that helps, okay, the cost because now the truck is available, so you don't have to rent a truck for 5 days or 6 days because now instead of being stuck there for, like, 2 weeks, now the truck is stuck there for now a week, right? These are all these small details that Cal and the team there are looking at. You know, we have a new team also that's focusing on claims because our claim ratio at 0.7% of revenue is not good.
Alain Bédard: It's still too much, but that helps the cost because now the truck is available, so you don't have to rent a truck for five days or six days. Now, instead of being stuck there for like two weeks, now the truck is stuck there for a week, right? These are all these small details that Cal and the team there are looking at. We have a new team also that's focusing on claims because our claim ratio at 0.7% of revenue is not good. I mean, it's never been good. We have to do something. If you look at our claim ratio in Canada, we're always in that 0.2% of revenue, which is normal, right? We're at 0.7%. Now we have a team that focuses on that day in, day out, in trying to get that 0.7% down to a more normal level, right?
So now if you order, okay, T Force Freight and you have a shipment, we don't know who's going to be paying the bill, so we hold on to the freight until we know who actually is going to be, you know, paying that bill. So that's also another Improvement that, you know, because of past procedures. Uh, we were losing a lot of of dollars because of that, uh, negligence of of a, of our, you know, process at the time now. Also, we, we've hired a guy okay to run our Fleet Management, uh, team and I'll give you just a small example. Last meeting we had the other day in Dallas. Uh, it used to be that a truck, a T4 Street getting into a shop and that truck is stuck there for 85 hours. Well, now we're down to about 45 hours. It's still too much but that helps okay the cost because now the truck is available. So you don't have to rent a truck for 5 days or or 6 days because now
Alain Bédard: I mean, it's never been good. We have to do something. If you look at our claim ratio in Canada, we're always in that 0.2% of revenue, which is normal, right? We're at 0.7. Now we have a team that focus on that day in, day out in trying to get that 0.7 down to a more normal level, right? These are all small things that the guys are doing and we'll be announcing also, Ravi, very soon, probably next week, that now within TForce Freight, we have one executive that's gonna be a chief commercial officer for all of our LTL operation in the US.
instead of being stuck there for like 2 weeks now, he the truck is stuck there for now a week, right? So these are all these small details that K and the team there are are looking at uh you know, we have a new team also that's focusing on claims because our claim ratio at 7% of Revenue is not good, I mean it's never been good. Uh so we have to do something. If you look at our claim ratio in Canada, we're always in.
Alain Bédard: These are all small things that the guys are doing. We'll be announcing also, Ravi, very soon, probably next week, that now within TFI, we have. One executive that is going to be a Chief Commercial Officer for all of our Less-Than-Truckload operation in the U.S. This is because our focus is on quality of revenue, growing the number of shipments, and this is what I think that we will start to see in 2026.
Alain Bédard: Again, this is because our focus is on, you know, quality of revenue, growing the number of shipments, and this is what I think that we will start to see in 2026.
That now with NT Force rate, we have, uh, 1 Executive that's going to be a chief commercial officer for all of our LTL operation in the US. So again, this is because our focus is on, you know, quality of Revenue growing, the number of shipments and this is what I think that we will start to see in 26.
Ravi Shanker: Very helpful. Thank you, Alain.
David Saperstein: Very helpful. Thank you, Alain.
Alain Bédard: Pleasure, Ravi.
Alain Bédard: Pleasure, Ravi.
Very helpful. Thank you.
Pleasure, Robbie.
Operator: Next question will be from Jordan Alliger from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead, Jordan.
Operator: Next question will be from Jordan Aligar from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead, Jordan.
Jordan Alliger: Hi. Yeah, thanks. Just maybe just following up on that, sounds like real progress is being made, which is great. You know, hopefully next year will be better and in terms of the underlying demand.
[Analyst 1]: Hi. Thanks. Maybe just following up on that, it sounds like real progress is being made, which is great. Hopefully next year will be better in terms of the underlying demand. In the context of that, how do you think now that sort of maybe it's getting to that point, how do you think either incremental margins or where Less-Than-Truckload or in the U.S. could ultimately get to? I mean, do you have any updated thoughts on that? Because clearly what you've done has improved the company versus the last time we had strength in the Less-Than-Truckload market.
Next question will be from Jordan Allegre from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead, Jordan.
Alain Bédard: Yeah.
Jordan Alliger: In the context of that, you know, how do you think now that sort of maybe it's getting to that point, how do you think either incremental margins or where LTL or in the US could ultimately get to? I mean, do you have any updated thoughts on that? Because clearly what you've done, you know, has improved the company versus the last time we had strength in the LTL market.
Hi, yes, thanks. So I just, maybe just following up on that. Sounds like real progress is being made, which is great. So, you know, hopefully next year I'll be better. And in terms of the underlying demand, so in the context of that, you know, how do you think, now that sort of maybe it's getting to that point, how do you think either incremental margins or where LTL or in the US could ultimately get to? I mean, do you have any updated thoughts on that? Because clearly...
Alain Bédard: Absolutely, Jordan. You know, if you look at our US LTL versus our Canadian LTL, I mean, in Canada we have a deep bench, and we've been at it for a long time. In the US, I mean, don't forget, we're in that business since we bought UPS Freight, and now we're beefing up our talent team, you know? That's gonna help go through that period that hopefully is gonna be some tailwind for the LTL industry in general. We'll be, I think, well-positioned to take advantage of that. The focus at TFI with every business unit has always been do more with less, okay?
Alain Bédard: Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Absolutely, Jordan. If you look at our U.S. LTL versus our Canadian LTL, I mean, in Canada, we have a deep bench, and we've been at it for a long time. In the U.S., I mean, don't forget, we're in that business since we bought UPS Freight, and now we're beefing up our talent team. That's going to help go through that period that hopefully is going to be some tailwind for the LTL industry in general. We'll be, I think, well positioned to take advantage of that. The focus at TFI International Inc. with every business unit has always been do more with less, okay?
What you've done, you know, is improve the company versus the last time we had strengths in the LTL Market.
Alain Bédard: This is why, like I said earlier to Ravi, we are really focused in 2026, what kind of implementation we could do with the new AI tools that are available to be in a position to do a better job, provide better service at a better cost for all of our customers. There, I'm not just talking about TFI International Inc. or LTL. I'm talking about our package in Canada, our P&C business in Canada. I'm talking also about our Truckload operation in the U.S. This is really going to be a big focus of ours in 2026 because now, contrary to 2024, this AI thing there is really something that's going to change a lot of stuff. I mean, we know that down the road, I don't know if it's 10 years from now, okay, you'll be probably able to drive a truck with other drivers, right?
Alain Bédard: This is why, like I said earlier to Ravi, we are really focused in 2026 what kind of implementation we could do with the new AI tools that are available to be in a position to do a better job, provide better service at a better cost for all of our customers. There I'm not just talking about TForce Freight, our LTL, I'm talking about our package in Canada, our P&C business in Canada. I'm talking also about our truckload operation in the US. You know, this is really gonna be a big focus of ours in 2026 because now, contrary to 2024, this AI thing there is really something that's gonna change a lot of stuff.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, absolutely Jordan, then, and you know, we if you look at our us LTL versus our Canadian LTL. I mean, in Canada, we have a deep bench and we've been at it for a long time in the US. I mean, don't forget, we're in that business since we bought UPS Freight and and now we're beefing up our talent team, you know? And uh, and that's going to help go through that, that period. That hopefully is going to be some Tailwind for the LTL industry in general. And we'll be, I think well positioned to take advantage of that. But the focus of TFI with every business unit is always been do more with less, okay? And this is why, like I said earlier to Ravi when is we are really focused in 26, what kind of implementation we could do? With the new AI tool that are available to be, do be in a position to do a better job, provide better
Alain Bédard: I mean, we know that down the road, I don't know if it's 10 years from now, okay, you'll be probably able to drive a truck without a driver, right? When you think about that, you know all the edge that a non-union carrier has versus a union carrier. Well, that edge down the road will probably disappear, right? It's like, you know, this is 10, 15 years from now, I don't know. One thing is for sure is that us, we are embracing AI big time. We'll be investing on that. That's a big focus of ours in 2026. This market has been difficult for us for the last 3 years, okay. Hopefully, the market turns in 2026. We don't control that. What we can control is our cost and our focus.
service at a better cost for all of our customers and their I'm not just talking about t Force Freight or LTL. I'm talking about our package in Canada our PNC business in Canada. I'm talking also about our truck load operation in the US you know this is really going to be a big focus of ours in 26 because now contrary to 24, this AI thing there is really something that's going to change a lot of stuff. I mean
Alain Bédard: When you think about that, all the edge that a non-union carrier has versus a union carrier, that edge down the road will probably disappear, right? It's like, this is 10, 15 years from now, I don't know. One thing is for sure is that us, we are embracing AI big time. We'll be investing on that. That's a big focus of ours in 2026. This market has been difficult for us for the last three years, okay? Hopefully, the market turns in 2026. We don't control that. What we can control is our cost and our focus. This is something that I'm reviewing the plan for 2026 as we speak. Next two weeks. It's a big focus of ours, Jordan.
Alain Bédard: This is something that, you know, I'm reviewing the plan for 2026 as we speak, next 2 weeks. It's a big focus of ours, Jordan.
[Analyst 1]: Okay. Great. I mean, I guess suffice it to say, I mean, without necessarily putting a number then and a time frame, I would suspect given what you've done, when we do get to a positive volume environment, you'd expect fairly quick reaction to the operating ratio, to the improvement.
Jordan Alliger: Okay, great. I mean, I guess suffice it to say, I mean, without necessarily putting a number then, and a timeframe, I would suspect given what you've done, when we do get to a positive volume environment, you'd expect fairly quick reaction to the operating ratio to the improvement.
Do we know that down the road? I don't know if it's 10 now, okay? Uh, you'll be probably able to drive a truck with other driver, right? So when you think about that, you know, all the edge that a non-union carrier has versus a union carrier. Well, that edge down the road. Well, probably disappear, right? It's like, uh, you know, but this is 10 15 years from now, I don't know. But 1 thing is, for sure, is that us, we are embracing AI, big time will be investing on that. That's, that's a big focus of ours in 26. This Market has been difficult for us for the last 3 years, okay? Hopefully, the market turns in 26. We don't control that but what we can control is our cost and uh and our focus and this is this is something that you know I'm reviewing the plan for 26 as we speak uh next next 2 weeks. So it's it's a big focus of ours. Jordan
Okay, great. Um, I mean, I guess, suffice it to say, I mean, without necessarily putting a number then.
Um, and the time frame, I would suspect, given what you've done, when we do get to a positive environment, you'd expect.
Alain Bédard: Yeah. Yeah. For sure, because don't forget, you know what, Jordan, if you look at what we were able to do, okay, with sadly 10% less top line, okay, in our US LTL, and we maintained the same OR as the previous year.
Alain Bédard: Yeah. Yeah. For sure. Because don't forget, you know what, Jordan, if you look at what we were able to do with, sadly, 10% less top line in our U.S. Less-Than-Truckload. We maintained the same OR as the previous year, 92.2. That tells you the heavy lifting that our guys are doing today and becoming more process-oriented. I'll give you another example. Shipping shippers' load and count. You get a trailer, and the load and count is from the shipper. If you don't check, maybe there's a mistake. We were too relaxed on that. Now Cal and the team say, "No more. No more." This is, we get a full trailer from the shipper, we have to check. If there's a shortage, we have to tell the customer right away and not wait and then get a claim three months down the road because there was a shortage.
Fairly, um, quick reaction to the operating ratio to the Improvement.
Yeah, yeah for sure because don't forget, you know what, George? If you look at what we were able to do. Okay with sadly, 10% less Top Line. Okay. In our us, LTL
Jordan Alliger: Yeah.
Alain Bédard: At 92.2. That tells you the heavy lifting that our guys are doing today, okay? Becoming, you know, more process-oriented. You know, I'll give you another example. Shipping, shippers load and count, okay? You get a trailer and the load and count is from the shipper. If you don't check, maybe there's a mistake. We were too relaxed on that. Now Cal and the team says, no more, no more. This is, we get full trailers from the shipper, we have to check, okay? If there's a shortage, well, we have to tell the customer right away and not wait and get a claim 3 months down the road because there was a shortage. I mean, this is just being professional in our business, right?
And we maintain the same War as the previous year.
At 9 2. 2.
So that tells you the heavy lifting that our guys are doing today, okay? And and becoming, you know, more process oriented you know for I I'll give you another example. Shipping shipper is loading count. Okay, so you get a trailer and the load and count is from the shipper. But if you don't check, maybe there's a mistake.
Uh, but we were too relaxed on that. So now, okay, on the team says no more no more. This is we get a full trailers from the shipper. We have to check
and not wait and then get a claim three months down the road because there was a shortage.
Alain Bédard: This is just being professional in our business, right?
I mean, this is just being professional in our business, right?
Jordan Alliger: Got it. Thank you very much.
[Analyst 1]: Got it. Thank you very much.
Thank you very much.
Operator: Next question will be from Scott Group at Wolfe Research. Please go ahead, Scott.
Operator: Next question will be from Scott Group at Wolfe Research. Please go ahead, Scott.
Next question will be from Scott Group at Wolf Research. Please go ahead, Scott.
Scott Group: Hey, thanks. Good morning. I wanted to see if we can dig into the Q4 guidance a little bit. I think I heard you say, Alain, that the US LTL margins 200 to 300 basis points worse. It's sort of hard to get all the way to your guidance unless like the, I guess the rest of the business is doing particularly badly.
[Analyst 2]: Hey, thanks. Good morning. I wanted to see if we can dig into the fourth quarter guidance a little bit. I think I heard you say, Alain, that the U.S. LTL margins, 2 to 300 basis points worse, it's sort of hard to get all the way to that, to your guidance, unless, I guess, the rest of the business is doing particularly badly. Maybe, I don't know, you or David, maybe just walk us through some of the segment expectations that could be helpful.
Hey thanks. Uh good morning. So I wanted to see if we can dig into the fourth quarter guidance a little bit. So it's I think I heard you say Elaine the the, the US LTL margins.
2 to 300 basis points, worse. It's sort of.
Alain Bédard: Right.
Scott Group: Maybe, I don't know, you or David, maybe just walk us through some of like the segment expectations, that could be helpful?
hard to get all the way to that, to, to your guidance, unless, like, the, I guess the rest of the business is doing, uh, particularly bad, uh, badly. Um, maybe I don't know you or Dave and maybe just walk us through some of like, the, the
Alain Bédard: You know what, Scott? That's a very good question. I've got David next to me. He's the CFO, I think I'm going to lend that to David. He's the numbers guy.
Alain Bédard: You know what, Scott? That's a very good question. I've got David next to me. He's the CFO, so I think I'm going to let that to David. He's the numbers guy.
Segment expectations that could be helpful.
David Saperstein: Yeah. Hi, Scott. Embedded in that guidance is a US LTL OR in Q4 of 96. Specialized truckload between 93 and 94, and logistics also between 93 and 94. That logistics piece is down substantially when you run the numbers on what that suggests year over year. Operating income contribution in logistics is down by about half.
David Saperstein: Yeah. Hi, Scott. Embedded in that guidance is a U.S. LTL OR in Q4 of 96. Specialized Truckload between 93 and 94. Logistics also between 93 and 94. That logistics piece is down substantially. When you run the numbers on what that suggests year over year, operating income contribution in logistics is down by about half.
You know what Scott? That's that's a very good question. So I've got David next to me. He's, he's the CFO. So I think I've got to let that to David. He's the numbers guy. Yeah. Hi Scott. Um, so, so, yeah, embedded in that. That guidance is a US LTL, or in Q4 of 96.
Alain Bédard: Right. In logistics, Scott, as you know, we move all the trucks that are being manufactured in North America for Paccar and Freightliner. These guys are down like 40%. That's a huge effect on us. Also, globally, our logistics operation in the U.S. is also down. The Canadian ones are on plan, doing better. In the U.S., we're also down. We're running above 92% of plan right now. This is what we are showing there. I'll give you another example. Because of government shutdown, DOD is Department of Defense. One of our divisions, 30% of the revenue comes from the Department of Defense, right? This is out of our control. The same thing with the OEM, selling less trucks. This is something that is out of our control, but we know it's short-term. It could be two quarters, three quarters. Those guys will be selling trucks soon.
Alain Bédard: Right. In logistics, Scott, I mean, as you know, we move all the trucks that are being manufactured in North America for Paccar and Freightliner. These guys are down like 40%, so that's a huge effect on us. Also globally, our logistics operation in the US is also down. The Canadian ones are on plan, doing better. In the US, we're also down. We're running about 92% of plan right now. This is what we are showing there. I mean, like this, I'll give you another example. Because of government shutdown, DoD is dead. Department of Defense. I mean, one of our division, 30% of the revenue comes from the Department of Defense, right? This is out of our control. The same thing with the OEM, okay, selling less trucks.
Um, specialized truckload between 93 and 94, and logistics also between 93 and 94. And that logistics piece is, uh, is down substantially when you run the numbers on what that suggests year-over-year. Uh, operating income contribution for logistics is, uh, is down by about half.
Alain Bédard: This is something that is out of our control, but we know it's short term. It could be 2 quarters, 3 quarters. I mean, those guys will be selling trucks, you know, soon. That's why we're also keeping the staff. We're keeping the team because, you know, we'll be suffering for a few quarters because of that situation, okay. We know that this rate is gonna come back. It's the same thing with our truckload operation that service the Department of Defense. I mean, we know that this shutdown will stop at one point.
Right? And and and Logistics start, I mean as you know, we move all the trucks that are being manufactured in North America for Packard and freight liner. So these guys are down like 40% so that's huge effect on us. And and also globally are Logistics operation. In the US is also down the Canadian ones are on plan doing better. But in the US we're also down. We're running about 92% of plan right now. So this is this is what we are showing there. I mean like this, I'll give you another example. Because of government shutdown, DOD is dead Department. That depends, I mean, 1 of our division 30% of the revenue comes from the Department of Defense, right? So this is out of our control, the same thing with the OEM okay selling less drugs, this is something that is out of our control. But
Alain Bédard: That's why we're also keeping the staff. We're keeping the team because we'll be suffering for a few quarters because of that situation, okay? We know that this freight is going to come back. It's the same thing with our Truckload operation that services the Department of Defense. We know that this shutdown will stop at one point.
David Saperstein: Yeah. Then in terms of rounding out the rest, P&C and Canadian LTL, we see those in the 82, 83 range, and Canadian truckload around 90.
David Saperstein: Yeah. In terms of rounding out the rest, P&C and Canadian LTL, we see those in the 82% to 83% range, and Canadian Truckload around 90%.
We know it's short term, it could be 2, quarters, 3, quarters. I mean those guys will be selling trucks, you know, soon and that's why we're also keeping the staff, we're keeping the team because you know, we're we'll we'll be suffering for a few quarters because of that situation, okay? But we know that this uh, this rate is is going to come back and it's the same thing with our truck code operation, that service the Department of Defense. I mean we know that this shutdown will will stop at 1 Point.
Yeah. And then in terms of rounding out the rest uh PNC and Canadian LTL. We see those in the 82 83 range and Canadian truck load around 90
[Analyst 2]: Okay. Very helpful. Alain, it feels like on the U.S. LTL side, one of the messages in the last year or so is we got to get service better before we can start focusing on price. Where are we in terms of the ability to start getting a little bit more focused on price? Maybe just with that, it feels like we're seeing some stabilization in the GFP business. Is there any potential to start growing that business again?
Scott Group: Okay. Very helpful. Alain, it feels like on the US LTL side, one of the messages in the last year or so is, hey, we gotta get service better before we can start focusing on price. Where are we?
Alain Bédard: Yep
Scott Group: in terms of, you know, the ability to start getting a little bit more focused on price? Maybe just with that, you know, it feels like we're seeing some stabilization in the GFP business. Is there any potential to start?
Alain Bédard: Yeah
Scott Group: growing that business again?
Alain Bédard: Yeah, yeah. You're absolutely right, Scott. GFP finally is, we got some stability, and now we can start growing again. The business we get from GFP comes mostly from the small and medium-sized account. Once that you start growing back this, the small and medium-sized account, normally you should have a benefit to your GFP. In terms of the service, what I would say is that right now about 21% of our line haul miles are on the rail versus 30% or 35% like it used to be. For sure, our 4-day service has improved tremendously, right. Because we use less rail today than we were using about a year ago. That's number 1. Next day service, we're up to par. I mean, if we compare our next day service to our peers, I mean, we're there.
Alain Bédard: Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. You're absolutely right, Scott. GFP finally is we got some stability, and now we can start growing again. Because the business we get from GFP comes mostly from the small and medium-sized account. Once you start growing back the small and medium-sized account, normally you should have a benefit to your GFP. In terms of the service, what I would say is that right now, about 21% of our line-haul miles are on the rail versus 30% or 35% like it used to be. For sure, our four-day service has improved tremendously, right? We use less rail today than we were using about a year ago. That's number one. Next-day service, we're up to par. If we compare our next-day service to our peers, we're there. Where we still have issues is second-day and third-day service. The guys are working actively on that. We are improving.
Okay, very helpful. Um and then Elaine, it feels like on the uslt outside. 1 of the messages in the last year or so is we we got to get service better before we can start focusing on price. Um where are we in? In terms of you know the ability to start getting a little bit more focused on price and then maybe just with that you know it feels like we're seeing some stabilization in the the gfp business. Is there any potential to start growing that business again? Yeah. Yeah.
Alain Bédard: Where we still have issues is second day and third day service, and the guys are working actively on that. We are improving. We're not where we should be, but that is really the goal is to get this up to our peers on the second and third day service. Then slowly in 2026, and I think we'll get there, we can start being seen as a professional carrier that respect, okay, the commitment that they give to customers and get, you know, a price that is closer to the market versus right now we're still a discounter, okay, versus the market.
Yeah. Yeah you're absolutely right. Scott gfb finally is we got some stability and now we can start growing again because the business we get from gfp comes mostly from the small and medium-sized account. So once that you start growing back, this the small and medium-sized account normally, you should have a benefit to your gfp in terms of the service. What I would say is that right now about 21% of our line, all miles are on the rail versus 30 or 35% like, it used to be. So for sure, our 4-day service has improved tremendously, right? Because we use less rail today than we were using about a year ago. So that's number 1. Next day service, we're up to par. I mean, if we compare our next day, service to our peers, I mean, we're there where we still have issues is second day and third day service, and the guys are working actively on that.
Alain Bédard: We're not where we should be. That is really the goal, to get this up to our peers on the second and third-day service. Slowly in 2026, and I think we'll get there, we can start being seen as a professional carrier that respects the commitment that they give to customers and get a price that is closer to the market versus right now we're still a discounter versus the market.
Get this up to our peers on the second and third day, service. And then
David Saperstein: Yeah. Yeah. You know, to follow up on what Mr. Brault said on service, I think one of your peers pointed out that we were the most improved carrier in Mastio in this year's survey. I can tell you that that's underpinned by real data that we're seeing. Our small, medium size revenue, our small, medium size percent of revenue is higher than it was last year. We're at 27.4 relative to 26.7 last year, this quarter. On service, we've improved 340 basis points in terms of our on time. Our missed pickups year-over-year, they're down 60%, our reschedules are down 34%.
David Saperstein: Yeah. To follow up on what Mr. Bédard said on service, I think one of your peers pointed out that we were the most improved carrier in Mastio in this year's survey. I can tell you that's underpinned by real data that we're seeing. Our small, medium-sized percent of revenue is higher than it was last year. We're at 27.4% relative to 26.7% last year this quarter. On service, we've improved 340 basis points in terms of our on-time. Our missed pickups year over year are down 60%, and our reschedules are down 34%.
Slowly in 26 and I think we'll get there. We can start being seen as a professional carrier that respect, okay, the commitment that they give to customers and and get, you know, a a price that is closer to the market versus right now. We're still a Discounter okay versus the market. Yeah yeah and and you know to to follow up on what Mr. Barr said on service. I think 1 of your 1 of your peers pointed out that we were the most improved uh carrier in mastio in in this uh this year's survey. And and I can tell you that that's that's underpinned by real data that uh that that we're seeing. So our small medium-sized revenue or small medium-sized percent of Revenue is is higher than it was last year. We're at 27 points for relative to 26.70% points in terms of our on time, our missed pickups year-over-year.
Are down 60% and then our reschedules are down 34%.
Alain Bédard: These are facts, Scott. I mean, this is going to help us, like you've asked the question, to get better profitability from the top line.
Alain Bédard: These are facts, hey, Scott. I mean, this is gonna help us, like you, like you've asked the question, to get better profitability from the top line.
David Saperstein: Yeah, more freight.
David Saperstein: Yeah. More freight.
Alain Bédard: More freight. Sure.
So these are facts. Hey Scott. So, I mean this is going to help us, like you've asked the question to get, well, better, better possibility from the top line.
Alain Bédard: More freight, sure.
David Saperstein: Better retention.
David Saperstein: Better retention.
Alain Bédard: Yep. Less turnover.
Alain Bédard: Less turnover. Less turnover.
David Saperstein: Yeah.
Alain Bédard: Less turnover.
David Saperstein: Turnover.
David Saperstein: Turnover.
And more freight and more freight. Sure, better retention. Yep. Less turnover. Yeah. Less turnover turnover.
Scott Group: Makes sense. Thank you, guys. Appreciate the time.
[Analyst 2]: Makes sense. Thank you, guys. Appreciate the time.
David Saperstein: Sure.
David Saperstein: Sure.
Alain Bédard: Thank you, Scott.
Alain Bédard: Pleasure, Scott.
Makes sense. Thank you guys. Appreciate the time.
Operator: Next question will be from Walter Sprackman at RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead, Walter.
Operator: Next question will be from Walter Spracklin at RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead, Walter.
Sure. Pleasure Scott.
[Analyst 3]: Yeah. Thanks very much, Alberta. Good morning, everyone. Alain, on 2026, you said the sun is coming up, and you've been very pragmatic, very clear about when you see things that are poor and when you see things that are turning. That's very interesting for you to say and to hear you say. I'm just curious, is that a commentary on price? Is it a commentary on demand? Specifically, excuse me, are you seeing any real evidence either from the CDL restrictions and English language proficiency requirements that are now being mandated? Are you seeing that impact today on price? Are you seeing any light at the end of the tunnel in terms of overall demand as you go into 2026?
Walter Spracklin: Yeah. Thanks very much, operator. Good morning, everyone.
Alain Bédard: Hi
Walter Spracklin: On 2026, you said the sun is coming up, and you've been very pragmatic, very clear about when you see things that are poor and when you see things that are turning. That's very interesting for you to say and to hear you say, and I'm just curious, is that a commentary on price? Is it a commentary on demand? Specifically, excuse me, are you seeing any real evidence either from the CDL restrictions and English Language Proficiency requirements that are now being mandated, are you seeing that as impact today on price? Are you seeing any light at the end of the tunnel in terms of overall demand as you go into 2026?
Alain Bédard: Okay. Walter, let me be a little bit more specific. When I see the sun coming out, it's mostly the U.S. I think Canada, okay, because we still don't have a deal with the U.S. It's going to be probably the same in 2026 like we have been going through in 2025, right? On the U.S. side, if you look at our Truckload operation in the U.S., our velocity is down, our miles are down, but our revenue per mile is up until now, right? What we're starting to see is maybe a little bit of contraction in the offer. That could be, like you just said, Walter, this thing about the CDL, those permits that are not being renewed, the same is true of the English proficiency thing. The early stage, okay?
Alain Bédard: Okay. Walter, let me a little bit more specific. When I see the sun coming out, it's mostly the US. I think Canada, okay, because we still don't have a deal with the US, it's gonna be probably the same in 2026 like we have been going through in 2025, right? On the US side, if you look at our truckload operation in the US, our velocity is down. Our miles are down, but our revenue per mile is up until now, right? What we're starting to see is maybe a little bit of contraction in the offer, and that could be, like you just said, Walter, this thing about the CDL, okay, those permits that are not being renewed, okay. The same is true of the English proficiency thing. the early stage, okay?
Next question, will be from Walter's crackling at RBC Capital markets. Please go ahead Walter. Yeah, thanks very much. Operator. Good morning everyone. Um, uh, any, uh, on on 2026, you said the sun is coming up and you've been very pragmatic. Very, very clear about when you see things that are poor and when you things that are turning. And so that's very interesting for you to say. And, and to hear you say and I'm just curious, is that a commentary on Price? Is it a commentary on demand? Uh, and specifically, excuse me, are you seeing any real evidence either from the CDL restrictions in English language, proficiency requirements, uh, that are that are now being mandated is that, are you seeing that, uh, impact today on price? And are you seeing any light at the end of the tunnel in terms of overall, demand as you go into 2026?
Okay, so Walter let me a little bit more specific. When I see the sun coming out. It's mostly the US, I think Canada. Okay, because we still don't have a deal with the US. Uh, it's going to be probably the same in 26, like we, uh, have been going through in 25, right? But on the US side, if you look at
Our truckload operations in the U.S. Uh, our velocity is down. Our miles are down, but our revenue per mile is up.
Until now. Alright, so what we're starting to see is maybe a little bit of contraction in the offer, and that could be, like you just said, Walter, this thing about the CDL. Okay? Those permits are not being renewed. Okay, the same is true of the English proficiency thing.
Alain Bédard: I believe that this is going to help us correct the imbalance between the offer and the demand. Also, the fact that the truck sales are down like 40%. That's also something that tells you that some capacity is running out of the system, right? Now, for us, Canadians, I'm sure you saw what Champagne was saying about his new budget that he's going to be talking about soon. Hopefully, in Canada, we'll have something similar with those Driver Inc. thing there, where finally we were able to convince the federal government to say, "If you're a trucker, you have to issue either a T4 as an employee or a T4A as a subcontractor," right, Walter? The Canadian finally also could be of a help for us in 2026. Maybe not on the volume, but the offer could reduce.
Alain Bédard: I believe that, okay, this is gonna help us correct the imbalance between the offer and the demand, okay? Also, the fact that, you know, the truck sales are down like 40%. That's also something that tells you that some capacity is running out of the system, right? Now, for us Canadian, I'm sure you saw what Sean Wang was saying about his new budget that he's gonna be talking about soon, okay. Hopefully, in Canada, we'll have something similar with those Driver Inc. thing there, okay? Where finally, we were able to convince the federal government to say, If you're a trucker, you have to issue either a T4 as an employee or a T4A as a subcontractor. Right, Walter? The Canadian finally also could be of a help for us in 2026.
The early stage. Okay, but I believe that. Okay, this is going to help us correct the imbalance between the offer and the demand. Okay. Also, the fact that, you know, truck sales are down like 40%, that's also something that tells you that some capacity is running out of the system right now for U.S.-Canadian. I'm sure you saw what Champagne was saying about this new budget that he's going to be talking about soon, okay? Hopefully, in Canada, we'll have something similar with those driver inks.
Alain Bédard: Maybe not on the volume, but the offer could reduce. As a matter of fact, we just saw one of the Driver Inc. up for sale. Okay. I mean, we're not gonna buy a Driver Inc. company, but just to say that those guys are starting to feel, Whoa, things are changing in Canada. I think that globally, the Canadian situation is gonna be difficult in 2026 because we don't have a deal with the US yet. I think we'll have one, but we don't have one yet. Maybe it's gonna go all the way to the summer, 2026. I think that the US, okay, that's gonna change. That's gonna change with all the benefit of this OBB, the Big Beautiful Bill and everything that's going on, the reinvestment, okay, trying to bring those jobs back into the US.
Alain Bédard: As a matter of fact, we just saw one of the Driver Inc. up for sale. I mean, we're not going to buy a Driver Inc. company, but just to say that those guys are starting to feel, "Whoa, things are changing in Canada." I think that globally, the Canadian situation is going to be difficult in 2026 because we don't have a deal with the U.S. yet. I think we'll have one, but we don't have one yet. Maybe it's going to go all the way to the summer, 2026. I think that the U.S., that's going to change. That's going to change with all the benefit of this OBB, the big beautiful bill, and everything that's going on, the reinvestment. Trying to bring those jobs back into the— all of this, to me, is, "Guys, let's get ready," okay?
There. Okay, we were finally able to convince the federal government to say that if you're a trucker, you have to issue either a T4 as an employee or a T4A as a subcontractor, right, Walter? So, the Canadian finally could also be of help for us in Q3, maybe not on the volume, but the offer could reduce. As a matter of fact, we just saw one of the driver Inc. up for sale.
Okay, uh, I mean we're not going to buy a driver in company, but just to say that those guys are starting to feel whoa, things are changing in Canada. So I think that globally the Canadian situation is going to be difficult in 26 because we don't have a deal with the us yet.
I think we'll have one, but we don't have one yet. Maybe it's going to go all the way to the summer. 26.
Alain Bédard: All of this to me is, Guys, let's get ready. Okay? I think after 3 years of a freight recession that's been really, really bad, we're starting to see some capacity out. As a matter of fact, David, we have one of our peers in Alabama, 500 trucks, the guy is out.
Alain Bédard: I think after three years of a freight recession has been really, really bad. We're starting to see some capacity out. As a matter of fact, David, we have one of our peers in Alabama, 500 trucks. The guy is out.
David Saperstein: Yeah. Bankruptcies. Yeah, exactly. We're seeing those come across our desk, more and more now.
David Saperstein: Bankruptcies. Yeah, exactly. We're seeing those come across our desk more and more now.
Alain Bédard: Exactly. You know, we also have a freight guy, a freight broker-
Alain Bédard: Exactly. We also have a freight guy, a freight broker, closing shops.
David Saperstein: Yeah
Alain Bédard: Okay, closing shops.
David Saperstein: Yep.
David Saperstein: As you become a bit more optimistic on '26, does that change at all your strategy on M&A? Do you pull that forward at all? Is it contingent on the seller? Just curious your update on what you—I'm talking not the tuck-ins, I mean a larger platform acquisition.
Okay, that's going to change. That's going to change with all the benefits of this OBB, the big beautiful bill and everything that's going on with the reinvestment, okay? Trying to bring those jobs back into all of this. To me, it's guys, let's get ready. Okay, uh, I think after three years of a freight recession, that's been really, really bad. We're starting to see some capacity out. As a matter of fact, I believe we have one of our peers in Alabama, 500 trucks. Uh, the guy is out, right? Bankruptcies. Yeah, exactly. We're seeing those come across our desk, uh, more and more now. Exactly. Uh, you know we also have a freight guy, a freight broker, okay? Closing shops. Yep.
Walter Spracklin: As you become a bit more optimistic on 2026, does that change at all your strategy on M&A? Do you pull that forward at all? Is it contingent on the seller? Just curious your update on what you. I'm talking not the tuck-ins, I mean a larger platform acquisition.
So as you become a bit more optimistic on 26, then are, does that change at all your strategy on m&a? Uh, are you are, uh, do you do you pull that forward at all? Is it contingent on the seller? Uh, just curious your update on what you and I'm talking not, not the tuck-ins, I mean a larger platform acquisition.
Alain Bédard: Yeah. Yeah. You know what, this takes time, right? We've been at it for quite a while. You know, because we don't have a deal, what we're doing is we're buying back TFI, right? That's what we've been doing. I think that in 2026, hopefully we could have You know, it's always difficult to do a deal when, you know, the target doesn't wanna sell, right? This is not easy to do, right? You know, sometime you're better off to say, You know what? Let's wait, okay, and let's work on a different file where at least you got a seller that's motivated, right? To me, I'm still convinced that 2026, probably mid 2026, later into 2026, we could do something of size.
Alain Bédard: Yeah. Yeah. You know what? This takes time, right? We've been at it for quite a while. Because we don't have a deal, what we're doing is we're buying back TFI, right? That's what we've been doing. I think that in 2026, hopefully, we could have—it's always difficult to do a deal when the target doesn't want to sell, right? This is not easy to do, right? Sometimes you're better off to say, "You know what? Let's wait, okay, and let's work on a different file where at least you got a seller that's motivated," right? To me, I'm still convinced that 2026, probably mid-2026, later into 2026, we could do something of size. We have the capacity. We have the potential. We have the target, okay, to do that.
Yeah, yeah. So, so you know what? Uh,
This is daytime, right? And, uh, we've been at it for, you know, quite a while. And, you know, because we don't have a deal, what we're doing is we're buying back TFI, right? So that's what we've been doing.
Alain Bédard: We have the capacity, we have the potential, we have the target, okay, to do that. There again, I mean, TFI stock is so cheap that, you know, when we talk to our board, they say, Hey, Alain Bédard, why would you invest 1, 2, CAD 3 billion, okay? Why don't you just buy back TFI? Okay? You know, we've been doing that slowly, but now things could change with this macro environment and maybe it's best to, you know, put the buyback on hold for now, although we have our board and the TSX approved the renewal of our NCIB. Maybe put that on hold for now, depending on the stock valuation and get ready for the next step, the next chapter of our life on M&A.
Alain Bédard: There again, I mean, TFI stock is so cheap that when we talk to our board, they say, "Hey, Alain, why would you invest $1 billion, $2 billion, $3 billion, okay? Why don't you just buy back TFI?" Okay? We've been doing that slowly, but now things could change with this macro environment, and maybe it's best to put the buyback on hold for now, although we have our board and the TSX approved the renewal of our NCIB, but maybe put that on hold for now, depending on the stock valuation, and get ready for the next step, the next chapter of our life on M&A.
I think that in 2026, hopefully, we could have, you know, it's always difficult to do a deal when you know the target doesn't want to sell, right? This is not easy to do, right? So, you know, sometimes you're better off to say, you know what, let's wait, okay, and let's work on a different file where at least you’ve got a seller that's motivated, right? So to me, I'm still convinced that in mid-2026, later into 2026, we could do something of size. We have the capacity, we have the potential, we have the target, okay, to do that. But there again, I mean, GFI stock is so cheap that, you know, when we talk to our board, they say, 'Hey Alain, why would you invest $1 billion, $2 billion, $3 billion? Okay, why don't you just buy back TFI?' Okay? And you know, we've been doing that slowly, but now things...
This could change with this macro environment and maybe it's best to, you know, put the buyback on hold for. Now, although we, we we have our board and the TSX approved, the renewal of our ncib, but maybe put that on hold for now depending on the stock valuation and and get ready for the next step. The next, uh, chapter of our life on m&a.
Walter Spracklin: Thank you very much for the color as always, Alain.
David Saperstein: Thank you very much for the color as always, Alain.
Thank you very much for the color, as always, and I.
Alain Bédard: Thank you, Walter.
Alain Bédard: Thank you, Walter.
Operator: Next question will be from Jason Seidl at TD Cowen. Please go ahead, Jason.
Operator: Next question will be from Jason Seidel at TD Cowen. Please go ahead, Jason.
Thank you. You're welcome.
[Analyst 4]: Thank you, Operator. Alain Bédard, good morning. Getting back to your comments about a potential trade deal with the U.S., I share your hopes that it's sooner versus later. If it is later, have you given any thoughts to maybe some further cost reductions that you might have to take given that you saw CN out there the other day laying off about 400 people?
Jason Seidl [Managing Director, Industrials: Thank you, operator. Alain, David, good morning.
Next question will be from Jason sill at TD Cowen. Please go ahead. Jason
Alain Bédard: Morning
Jason Seidl [Managing Director, Industrials: getting back to your comments, about, you know, a potential trade deal with the US and I, you know, I share your hopes that it's sooner versus later. If it is later, have you given any thoughts to maybe some further, you know, cost reductions that you might have to take given that, you know, you saw CN out there the other day laying off about 400 people?
Thank you, operator. Uh, uh, Elaine David, good morning. Um, getting back to your comments, uh, about, uh, you know, a potential trade deal with the US and I, you know, I I, I share your hopes that it's sooner versus later, but if it is later, um, have you given any thoughts to maybe some further, you know, cost reductions that you might have to take given that, you know, you saw CN out there the other day laying off about 400 people.
Alain Bédard: Yeah. You know what, Jason? I don't know that. What I could tell you, though, is that because we're embracing AI, I think that with this tool, we'll be in a position to do more with less. I think that to do some layoff right now of quality people that are part of our team, the same story is true of our logistics, right? As I was saying, Jason, about our truck-moving operation, we know that this is just a few quarters. We are suffering because we're keeping our people, right? Because these are good people. They're doing a good job. We'll be suffering on that. We are still suffering on the Canadian side in our truckload sector. As an example, steel, okay? Steel is dead for us, but we are a big steel hauler. What do you do?
Alain Bédard: Yeah. Well, you know what, Jason? I don't know that. What I could tell you though, is that because we're so embracing AI, I think that with this tool, we'll be in a position to do more with less. I think that to do some layoff right now of quality people that are part of our team, the same story is true of our logistics, right? As I was saying, Jason, about our truck moving operation, we know that this is, this is just a few quarters. We are suffering because we're keeping our people, right? Because these are good people.
Yeah. Well you know what? Jason
I don't know what I could tell you, though, is that because we're so embracing AI, I think that with this tool we will be in a position to do more with less. I think that, uh, to do some layoffs right now of quality people that are part of our team—that's a challenge. The same story is true of our logistics, right? So, as I was saying, Jason, about our truck moving operation,
Jason Seidl [Managing Director, Industrials: Right.
Alain Bédard: They're doing a good job. We'll be suffering on that. We are still suffering on the Canadian side in our truckload sector. As an example, steel, okay. Well, steel is dead for us. We are a big steel hauler, what do you do? I mean, now we have those trucks parked and we have those drivers, you know, at home because that's the only thing we could do. We have to protect our staff because the problem is when this business gets back on track, you don't want to have to be, you know, rehire drivers and at the same time also rehire the staff. This is why by investing more in technology through this AI thing there, I mean, we'll be able to be better positioned to be fast, to react much faster to market condition.
Alain Bédard: I mean, now we have those trucks parked, and we have those drivers at home because that's the only thing we could do. We have to protect our staff because the problem is when this business gets back on track, you don't want to have to rehire drivers and at the same time also rehire the staff. This is why by investing more in technology through this AI thing there, I mean, we'll be able to be better positioned to be fast, to react much faster to market conditions.
We know that this is, this is just a few quarters. So we are suffering because we're keeping our our people, right? Because these are good people. They're they're they're doing a good job. So so we'll be suffering on that. And we are still suffering on the Canadian side in our truckload sector as an example steel. Okay. Well steel is dead for us but we are a big steel holder. So what do you do? I mean now we have those trucks parked and we have those drivers, you know, you know, at home because that that's the only thing we could do. But then we have to protect our staff because the problem is when this business gets back on track, you don't want to have to be, you know, we are a drivers and at the same time also we hired the staff. So this is why by investing more in technology through this AI thing there. I mean, it will be able to be better positioned to, to be fast to react much faster.
Jason Seidl [Managing Director, Industrials: Well, Alain, as the follow-up there, you know, as we think about JHT, sort of can you give us some numbers in terms of how much of a drag it's placing on the margins at logistics? In terms of the AI, how quickly do you think, you know, some of your investments are gonna bear fruit that, you know, we can see as we move throughout 2026?
[Analyst 4]: Alain, as the follow-up there, as we think about JHT, can you give us some numbers in terms of how much of a drag it's placing on the margins at logistics? In terms of the AI, how quickly do you think some of your investments are going to bear fruit that we can see as we move throughout 2026?
Well, Elena is the follow-up there, you know, as we as we think about jht. So can you give us some numbers in terms of how much of a drag it's placing on the margins at Logistics? And in terms of the AI? Uh, how quickly do you think, you know, some of your Investments are going to bear fruit that you know, we can see as we move throughout 26.
Alain Bédard: Yeah. I'll give you an example, Jason Seidl, about the AI. When I'm talking to Cal and his team at TForce Freight, I'm saying, you know what, guys? We have to find a solution. If Waymo can, you know, run taxi in Austin, Texas without a driver, I mean, how can we not run shunters in our yard without a driver? Right? Is there a way, guys? Let's wake up and smell the coffee. Let's open our mind that we have to change. If Waymo is able to run cab in Austin, in a city, okay? Why can't we run shunters in a yard, okay, without the drivers? These are all things that we're looking at, Jason Seidl, to be more efficient. Right?
Alain Bédard: Yeah. I'll give you an example, Jason, about the AI. When I'm talking to Kyle and his team at T4 Freight, I'm saying, "You know what, guys? We have to find a solution if Waymo can run taxi in Austin, Texas without a driver." I mean, how can we not run shunters in our yard without a driver, right? Is there a way, guys? Let's wake up and smell the coffee. Let's open our mind that we have to change. If Waymo is able to run cab in Austin, in a city, okay, why can't we run shunters in a yard, okay, without the drivers? These are all things that we're looking at, Jason, to be more efficient, right?
Yeah, I I'll give you an example. Json about the AI. So, when I'm talking to K and his team at T4 straight, I'm saying you know what guys? We have to find a solution. If way Mo can, you know, run taxi in Austin, Texas without a driver? I mean, how can we not run shunters in our yard with other driver?
Right. Is there a way guys? Let's wake up and smell the coffee? Let's open our mind that we have to change and if if we who is able to run Cab in a in Austin in a city, okay? Why can't we run shunters in a yard?
Okay, without the drivers.
So, so these are all things that we're looking at, Jason, to be more efficient.
David Saperstein: Sales augmentation as well.
David Saperstein: Sales augmentation as well.
Alain Bédard: Right.
Alain Bédard: Right.
David Saperstein: Right? Increasing the productivity massively of salespeople in terms of-
David Saperstein: Increasing the productivity massively of salespeople in terms of prospecting, in terms of identifying targets that fit. Because it's not just names. It's, "Okay, what's their business look like? How does that fit with our network?" The solutions can do a lot of that work, and then increase the velocity of the contacts and the outreach and the back and forth. It's remarkable. That's another important application that we're looking at right now and we're rolling out right now.
Alain Bédard: Exactly
David Saperstein: prospecting, in terms of identifying targets that fit, you know, because it's.
Alain Bédard: Exactly
David Saperstein: It's not just names. It's okay, what's their business look like? How does that fit with our network? The solutions can do a lot of that work and then increase the velocity of the contacts.
Hey, so sales documentation as well, right? Right? Increasing the productivity, massively of sales people in terms of the product affecting in terms of identifying targets that fit, you know, because it's it's not just names. It's it's okay. What's their business look like, how does that fit with our Network? The the solutions can can do a lot of that work and
Alain Bédard: Yeah
David Saperstein: the outreach and the back and forth. It's, it's remarkable. That's another important application that we're looking at right now and we're rolling out right now.
Alain Bédard: Yeah. Yeah.
Alain Bédard: Yeah. Yeah.
And and then increase the the velocity of of, of the contacts and the the Outreach and the back and forth. It's it's uh it's remarkable. So these that's another important application that uh that we're looking at right now and and we're rolling out.
Jason Seidl [Managing Director, Industrials: No, that's some good color. The margin hit from JHT?
[Analyst 4]: No, that's some good color. The margin hit from JHT?
Alain Bédard: Well, GHD, I mean, the margin at GHD is probably depending on what you talk about. If you're talking about trucks that move from Mexico, okay, to the US or Canada, I mean, the margin is not the same because we use a Mexican partner to move that truck from Mexico into the US or Canada. Also don't forget that, you know, we have experienced drivers in there. We also have a logistics division. When the volumes are down, our logistics division, okay, is very small, okay, because the logistics gets the overflow. Right now there's no overflow. This is why as you know, Jason, you know, in our logistics, the margin are really good, okay, on the overflow.
Alain Bédard: JHT, I mean, the margin of JHT is probably depending on what you talk about. If you're talking about trucks that move from Mexico to the U.S. or Canada, the margin is not the same because we use a Mexican partner to move that truck from Mexico into the U.S. or Canada. Also, don't forget that we have experienced drivers in there. We also have a logistics division. When the volumes are down, our logistics division is very small because the logistics gets the overflow. Right now, there's no overflow. This is why. As you know, Jason, in our logistics, the margins are really good on the overflow. This is a little bit of a complex story. What I can tell you is that JHT is a diamond for us because it's very well-run.
Alain Bédard: This is a little bit of a complex story. What I can tell you is that, you know, GHD is a diamond for us because it's very well run. I mean, the guys. This is why we're suffering so much right now because the volumes are down, but we probably have 50% too much staff for the volumes we have. We're keeping those guys, right? When the things go back to normal volume with Freightliner and PACCAR, we wanna be there. We wanna be there to be able to service them, right?
Well, ghd, I mean the margin of ghd is probably depending on on what you talked about. If you're talking about trucks, that move from Mexico, okay? To kin to the US or Canada. I mean, the margin is not the same because we use a, a Mexican partner to move that truck from Mexico into, uh, into the us or, or Canada. Uh, also don't forget that, uh, you know, we have experienced drivers in there. We also have a Logistics Division. So when the volumes are down, are Logistics Division, okay, is very small, okay? Because the logistic gets the Overflow. So right now, there's no overflow. So, so this is why, and as, you know, Jason, you know, in our logistic, the margin are really good. Okay, on the Overflow. So this is, this is a little bit of a complex story. But what I can tell you is that, you know,
Alain Bédard: I mean, the guys, and this is why we're suffering so much right now because the volumes are down, but we probably have 50% too much staff for the volumes we have. We're keeping those guys, right? Because when things go back to normal volume with Freightliner and Packard, we want to be there. We want to be there to be able to service them, right?
BHT is a diamond for us because it's very well-run. I mean, the guys and this is why we're suffering so much right now because the volumes are down, but we probably have 50% too much stuff for the volumes we have, but we're keeping those guys.
Right, because when things go back to normal volume with Freightliner and Packard, we want to be there. We want to be there to be able to service them, right?
Jason Seidl [Managing Director, Industrials: Makes sense. Gentlemen, appreciate the time.
[Analyst 4]: Makes sense. Gentlemen, appreciate the time.
Makes sense.
Alain Bédard: Always a pleasure, Jason. Thank you.
Gentleman, appreciate the time.
Alain Bédard: Always a pleasure, Jason. Thank you.
Jason Seidl [Managing Director, Industrials: Same.
[Analyst 4]: Same.
Always a pleasure Jason. Thank you, same.
Operator: Next question will be from Konark Gupta at Scotia Capital. Please go ahead, Konark.
Operator: Next question will be from Konrad Gupta at Scotia Capital. Please go ahead, Konrad.
[Analyst 5]: Thanks, Operator. Good morning, Alain and David. Thanks for taking my question. Alain, you mentioned AI quite a lot on this call and technology, and I'm pretty sure I think that's the next evolution for you guys and everybody in the industry. I think though you reduced the CapEx guidance for this year, I'm just curious. When you think about the year or years ahead to invest for technology and for eventual rebound in volumes, I mean, how do you see the capital planning for those things? I mean, should you see a significant increase in CapEx for that?
Konark Gupta: Thanks, operator. Good morning, Alain and David. Thanks for taking my question. Alain, you mentioned about AI quite a lot on this call and technology, and I'm pretty sure I think that's the next evolution for you guys and everybody in the industry. You know, I think though you reduced the CapEx guidance for this year, I'm just curious, you know, when you think about the year or years ahead to invest for technology and for, you know, eventual rebound in volumes, I mean, how do you see the capital planning for those things? I mean, like, should you see a significant increase in CapEx for that?
Next question, will be from carard Gupta at Scotia Capital please. Go ahead. Conor,
Thanks operator, good morning, LA and David. Uh thanks for taking my question. Um, only you mentioned about AI quite a lot on this call and technology and I'm pretty sure. I think that's the that's the next Evolution for for you guys and everybody in the industry. Um, you know I think though you you reduce the capex guidance uh, for this year I'm just curious, you know, when you think about the year or years I had um to invest for technology and for uh, you know, eventual rebound and volumes. I mean, how do you see the capital planning? Uh, for those things? I mean, like, should you see a significant increase in capex for that?
Alain Bédard: Okay.
David Saperstein: On the AI, it-- No. These are licenses. You know, it might be CAD 30 per person per month, CAD 35. Depends on what exactly we're talking about. These are light, very nimble.
David Saperstein: On the AI, no, these are licenses. It might be $30 per person per month, $35. Depends on what exactly we're talking about, but these are light, very nimble tools that we add on. Like in sales, you'll add it on to your CRM. I wouldn't, first of all, that's not going to be CapEx. That would be expense, and it will not be noticeable. We're not building data centers and that kind of thing. We're just customers and adopters of the technologies that are out there. As it relates to regular CapEx on trucks, there's no question that this is a very, very light year, right? At the outset of this year, we set out to do $200 million of net CapEx.
Alain Bédard: Yeah
David Saperstein: tools that we add on, like in sales, you'll add it on to your CRM. Yeah. First of all, that's not going to be CapEx. That would be expense, and it will not be noticeable. We're not building data centers and that kind of thing. We're just customers and adopters of the technologies that are out there. As it relates to regular CapEx on trucks, there's no question that this is a very light year, right? At the outset of this year, we set out to do CAD 200 million of net CapEx. Normal for this business would be more around CAD 300 million.
David Saperstein: Normal for this business would be more around $300 million, but the volumes are so low, we're driving so few miles, and we had excess equipment from the Daseke acquisition that we're able to reduce the CapEx without really meaningfully aging the fleet. That's fine. You should think about a more normal net CapEx number for us to be around $300 million. That also will take place in a year where there's more normal earnings, right? Free cash flow would be higher than it is this year, even with that increased CapEx.
David Saperstein: The volumes are so low, we're driving so few miles that and we had excess equipment from the Daseke acquisition, that we're able to reduce the CapEx without really meaningfully aging the fleet.
Alain Bédard: Yeah.
David Saperstein: That's fine. You should think about a more normal net CapEx number for us to be around CAD 300. That's also, will take place in a year where there's more normal earnings, right?
Alain Bédard: Yeah.
David Saperstein: free cash flow would be higher than it is this year.
Alain Bédard: Yeah
David Saperstein: even with that increased CapEx.
Alain Bédard: The other thing too is that our CapEx has been delayed at TForce Freight because the supplier was not sure because the trucks, they are assembled in Mexico, right? All this tariff thing situation, you know, the trucks have been delayed by about three months. Right now we're getting trucks in October and November that were supposed to come in Q3, right? Some of trucks also will come in Q1 2026 that were supposed to be part of 2025. This is why this revised CapEx that you see is it's exceptional.
Alain Bédard: Our capex has been delayed at T4 Freight because the supplier was not sure because the trucks, they are assembled in Mexico, right? All this tariff thing situation. The trucks have been delayed by about three months. Right now, we're getting trucks in October, November that were supposed to come in Q3, right? Some of the trucks also will come in Q1 2026 that were supposed to be part of 2025. This is why this revised capex that you see is exceptional that we're so low in a year like 2025. I mean, if things come back like we think they will in the U.S., we should get back to a more normal environment, okay, of activity, miles, and freight. For sure, we'll be back to normal capex.
Regular capex on trucks. There's no question that. This is a very, very light year right at the outset of this year. We we set out to do 200 million of of net capex. Normal for this business would be more around 300 but the volumes are so low. We're driving. So a few miles that we and we had excess equipment from the daski acquisition that we're, we're able to reduce the capex Without Really meaningfully aging, the fleet and um, and and so that's fine. But you should think about a more normal net capex number for us, uh, to be around 300. But that's also has we we'll take place in a year where there's more normal earnings, right? So free cash, uh, flow would would be higher than it than it is this year, even with that increased capex. And and the other thing too is that our, our capex has been delayed at T4 straight, because the supplier was not sure, because the trucks, the they are assembled in Mexico, right? And, and all this tariff,
David Saperstein: Yeah
Alain Bédard: that we're so low in a year like 2025. I mean, if things come back like we think they will in the US, we should get back to a more normal environment, okay, of activity, miles, and freight. For sure we'll be back to normal CapEx.
Thing situation uh you know the trucks have been delayed by about 3 months. So right now we're getting trucks in October and November that we're supposed to come in Q3, right? And some of trucks also will come in q1 26, that were supposed to be part of the, of, uh, of 25. So this is why this revised capex that you see, is be its exceptional that. We're so low in, in the year, like 25. I mean, we should if, if things
Come back, like we think they will in the U.S. We should get back to a more normal environment, okay of activity, miles, and freight. So, for sure, we'll be back to normal capex.
Konark Gupta: Makes sense. Now, thanks for the clarity on that. Just quickly to follow up, you mentioned Daseke, in terms of access equipment you got there. Where is the integration process on Daseke now? I mean, like, it's been a while, I guess, right? You had Daseke in the system, and I'm sure, like, obviously the volumes are soft and all that, but, you know, what you can control from a self-help perspective, like, are you fully done there or there's more to do?
[Analyst 5]: Makes sense. Thanks for the comment on that. Just quickly to follow up, you mentioned Dasky. In terms of access equipment, where's the integration process on Dasky now? I mean, it's been a while, I guess, right? You had Dasky in the system. Obviously, the volumes are soft and all that, but what you can control from the sell perspective, are you fully done there or there's more to do?
Makes sense. No, thanks for the call on that and just quickly to follow up, um, you mentioned datskiy. Um, in terms of Access Equipment, regarding the integration process on that ski now, I mean, like, it's been, it's been a while I guess, right? You had that scheme and in the system and I'm surely going to see the volumes of soft and all that. But uh, you know what, you can control from the self, self self perspective, like are you fully done there or there's more to do.
Alain Bédard: You know what, on the Daseke, on the financial side, okay, we're done. Okay, by the end of 2025, we're done. Okay. Fleet management, financial, they run MIR-RT now, okay, like Contrans. They also run on Infineon for financial like Contrans, okay, which is our truckload division, right? This is done. In terms of the day-to-day TMS, okay, there we're still working on McLeod and TMW, okay, updating those system and also making sure that we have visibility across all the division because Daseke was more of a siloed kind of companies, okay? Sales is also something that we're working on at our US truckload operation. You know, this is something I'm still discussing with my friend, Steve.
Alain Bédard: You know what? On the Dasky, on the financial side, we're done. By the end of 2025, we're done. Fleet management, financial. They run MIR now, like Contrans. They also run on Infineon for financial, like Contrans, which is our Truckload division, right? This is done. In terms of the day-to-day TMS, we're still working on McLeod and TMW, updating those systems, and also making sure that we have visibility across all the divisions because Dasky was more of a siloed kind of companies. That is going to change during the course of 2026. Sales is also something that we're working on at our U.S. Truckload operation. This is something I'm still discussing with my friend Steve, how are we going to go about the commercial operation in 2026? This is still something that needs to be ironed out.
You know what? The
On the desk key on the financial side, okay? So, uh, we’re done, okay? By the end of 2025, we’re done, okay? Fleet Management Financial, so they run near now, okay? Like, contrast, they also run on Infinium for financial contracts, okay, which is our truckload division, right? So this is done in terms of the day-to-day TMS, okay? There, we’re still working on ML and TMW, okay, updating those systems and also making sure that we have visibility across all the divisions because Dashi was more of a siloed kind of company.
Alain Bédard: Okay, how we're gonna go about the commercial operation in 2026. This is still something that needs to be ironed out, but for sure we need to invest more on the commercial side of our US Specialty Truckload, because I believe that with everything that's going on in the US, we need a sales team that are aggressive because there's gonna be more business.
Alain Bédard: For sure, we need to invest more on the commercial side of our U.S. specialty Truckload because I believe that with everything that's going on in the U.S., we need a sales team that is aggressive because there's going to be more business.
Okay, so that is going to change during the course of 26. Sales is also something that we're working on at, uh, at our us truckload operation. And, you know, this is something I'm still discussing with, uh, with my friend, Steve. Okay. How are we going to go about? Uh, the commercial operation in 26. This is still something that needs to be ironed out, but for sure, we need to invest more on the commercial side, uh, of our us specialty truck load because I believe that with everything that's going on in the US, uh, we need a sales team that are aggressive because there's going to be more business.
Konark Gupta: No, makes sense. Thanks for the time, Alain, David. Thank you.
[Analyst 5]: Makes sense. Thanks for the time, Alain Bédard and David Saperstein. Thank you.
Makes sense. Uh, thanks for the time, David. Thank you.
Alain Bédard: Pleasure.
Alain Bédard: Pleasure.
Operator: Next question will be from Ken Hoexter at Bank of America. Please go ahead, Ken.
Operator: Next question will be from Ken Hekster at Bank of America. Please go ahead, Ken.
Pleasure.
Ken Hoexter: Hey, great. Good morning, Alain, David.
[Analyst 4]: Hey, great. Good morning, Alain and David. Can you address the start in October on volumes relative to the down 7% punch in the fourth quarter, 11% shipments?
Next question will be from Ken, at Bank of America. Please go ahead, Ken.
Alain Bédard: Sure
Ken Hoexter: The start in October on volumes relative to the down 7% tonnage in Q4, 11% shipments?
Hey, great. Good morning. Uh, Ellen, David, um, can you address, uh, the start in in October on, on volumes relative to the down 7% poundage in, in the fourth quarter, 11% shipments?
David Saperstein: Yeah. I mean, the start to October, we're not in the habit of giving monthly data, as you know, but the start to October is soft, like the industry leader pointed out when they reported recently.
Alain Bédard: Yeah.
David Saperstein: Yeah, I mean, the start to October, we're not in the habit of giving a monthly data, as you know. The start to October is soft like the industry leader pointed out on when they reported recently.
Yep. Uh yeah. I mean the start the start to October we're we're not in the habit of giving a a monthly, uh, data as you know. But the start to October is, is, is soft like uh, the industry leader, uh, pointed out, uh, on uh, when, when they reported recently,
Ken Hoexter: I just wanna understand if it accelerated. Cause I guess, David, just to clarify, right, when Alain said, LTL 200 to 300 basis points deterioration, you said 96, which would be a 380 basis point.
[Analyst 4]: I just want to understand if it's accelerated because I guess, David, just to clarify, right? When Alain said LTL 2 to 300 basis points deterioration, you said 96, which would be a 380 basis point sequential deterioration. I just want to know, was there anything in there that's getting worse? I didn't know if the volumes were accelerating on the downside, just to understand what was in the numbers there.
David Saperstein: Yeah
Ken Hoexter: deterioration. I just wanna, was there anything?
David Saperstein: Yeah
Ken Hoexter: in there that's getting worse or I didn't know if the volumes were accelerating the downside, just to understand what the, what was in the numbers there.
David Saperstein: Yeah. The No. Listen, the 96 is what's embedded in the guidance. That's what our current forecast says, and that is driven by our observation of the first month of the quarter. Yes, October was weaker than it usually is, weaker than expected.
David Saperstein: Yeah. No, listen, the 96 is what's embedded in the guidance. That's what our current forecast says, and that is driven by our observation of the first month of the quarter. Yes, October was weaker than it usually is, weaker than expected.
Always in the numbers here.
Alain Bédard: Yeah. You know, Ken, because me, I'm always being optimistic. This is why, this is why me, that's the target when I talk to Cal. You know, David is the CFO, he's the numbers guy, so sometimes we, you know, we have different perspective. You know, you gotta trust probably better with David because he's the numbers guy.
Alain Bédard: Yeah. Ken, because me, I'm always being optimistic. This is why me, that's the target when I talk to Kyle. David is the CFO. He's the numbers guy. Sometimes we have different perspectives. You got to trust probably better David because he's the numbers guy.
No listen the 96 is what's embedded in the guidance. That's that's what our our current forecast uh says. And that is driven by uh our observation of the first month of the quarter. So uh yes, October was was weaker than it. Usually is weaker than expected.
Yeah.
You know, Ken, because I'm always being optimistic. This is what this is. Why? I mean, that's the target when I talk to C. But, you know, David is the CFO; he's the numbers guy. So sometimes we, you know, have different perspectives.
Ken Hoexter: Okay. Just following up on that, the logistics, you know, I guess similarly, right, the OR deterioration, you mentioned the JHT. Is that getting more expensive or deteriorating OR because of what's going on in terms of reduced capacity availability from ELD and the CDLs you're talking about? Just wanna understand kind of the negative mix. Was it really just on the top line like you're talking about with LTL and the volumes, or is it the cost side kicking in as well?
[Analyst 4]: Okay. Just following up on that, the logistics, you said similarly, right, the OR deterioration. You mentioned the JHT. Is that getting more expensive or deteriorating OR because of what's going on in terms of reduced capacity availability from ELP and the CDLs you're talking about? I just want to understand kind of the negative mix. Was it really just on the top line, like you're talking about with Less-Than-Truckload and the volumes, or is it the cost side kicking in as well?
Perspective. But, you know, you get a trust, probably better with David because he's the numbers guy.
David Saperstein: No, it's not the cost side.
David Saperstein: No, it's not the cost side. It's not like it's harder for us to get capacity. It's a combination of. Remember, our logistics brokerage, the brokerage portion of our logistics, most of it's Less-Than-Truckload. If Less-Than-Truckload is off to a slow start in Q4, the same is going to be true for our Less-Than-Truckload brokerage in terms of demand. The majority of the drag in that segment is coming from the truck moving business and the dynamic that we've talked about in terms of holding on to our people during that period.
Um and then just following up on on that. Um, the the logistics, you know, you guys, similarly, write the O deterioration, you mentioned the jht or, or is that getting more expensive or deteriorating or because of what's going on, in terms of reduced capacity, availability from ELP. And, and the CDLs you're talking about, just want to understand kind of the negative mix. Was it really just on the the Top Line like you're talking about with LTL on the volumes or is there, is it the cost side kicking in as well?
Ken Hoexter: No.
David Saperstein: It's not like it's harder for us to get capacity.
Ken Hoexter: No.
David Saperstein: It's a combination of we remember our logistics broker, the brokerage portion of our logistics, most of it's LTL. If LTL is off to a slow start in Q4, the same is gonna be true for our LTL brokerage in terms of demand. The majority of the drag in that segment is coming from the truck moving business and the dynamic that we've talked about in terms of, you know, holding on to our people during that period.
No, it's not the cost side. It's not like it's harder for us to get capacity. It's a combination of we, we remember our our, our Logistics broker The Brokerage portion of our Logistics, most of its LTL. So if LTL is off to a, a slow start in, in Q4, the same is going to be true for our LTL Brokerage in terms of demand and, and then, uh, but but but the, the majority of the drag in that segment is coming from the truck moving business. And, uh, the dynamic, that, that, that we've talked about, in terms of
Ken Hoexter: Alain, I guess just to wrap up.
You know, holding on to to to our people during that during that period.
[Analyst 4]: Alain, I guess just to wrap up.
Alain Bédard: Yeah.
Ken Hoexter: Okay.
Alain Bédard: Yes. I was just going to add, Ken. Excuse me. I was just going to add, Ken, that the overhead is killing us at JHT because like David is saying, we're keeping the staff, we're keeping the team because we know this is short term.
Alain Bédard: Yeah, I was just going to add, Ken, that this is the old red is killing us at GHT because, like David is saying, we're keeping the staff, we're keeping the team because we know this is short-term. Please go ahead.
And then, I guess, just to wrap up.
Okay, yep.
No, I was just going to add that again.
Ken Hoexter: Yeah.
Alain Bédard: Excuse me. Please go ahead.
Ken Hoexter: No, no. Exact same issue, right? Which is short term on that, 'cause you mentioned the government shutdown. It's surprising 'cause it seemed like a lot of companies were avoiding that, saying it, we don't really move that stuff. It sounds like, I guess you're seeing not only direct business where, particularly for the DoD customer, but I guess the derivative of that, is that kinda having another flow through on other or derivative customers increasing that demand or not necessarily at this point, too early?
[Analyst 4]: No, no. Exact same issue, right? Which is short-term on that because you mentioned the government shutdown. It's surprising because it seemed like a lot of companies were avoiding that thing. We don't really move that stuff. It sounds like, I guess, you're seeing not only direct business, particularly for the Department of Defense customer, but I guess the derivative of that. Is that kind of having another flow through on other derivative customers, increasing that demand or not necessarily at this point, too early?
Excuse me, I was just going to add Ken that this is the overhead is killing us at ght. Because, like, David is saying is we're keeping the sap, we're keeping the team because we know this is short term, so yeah, excuse me, please go ahead. No, no, no, exact same issue, right? Which is short term on that because you mentioned the government shutdown. It's surprising because it seems like a lot of companies were were avoiding. That thing. It we don't really move that stuff, but it sounds like I guess you're seeing not only Direct business where a particular for the dod customer, but, but I guess the derivative of that is that kind of having another flow through on other or derivative customers.
Increasing that demand or or not necessarily at this point too early.
Alain Bédard: Yeah. One thing is for sure, Ken, is that everything is slow right now because think about the fact that some people are not being paid or delayed in the payment of their salary. For sure, the demand is slow right now, and it will correct itself as soon as there's a deal in the U.S. We don't know when. I think it's going to be soon. The Department of Defense is a big part of our specialty truckload, Ken. I mean, 30% of our business normally is moving freight for the Department of Defense. It's just one example that this is why our guidance for Q4 is exceptionally low. This is not normal for us. It's like a perfect storm where our logistics has been affected badly, okay?
Alain Bédard: Well, one thing is for sure, Ken, is that everything is slow right now because think about the, you know, the fact that some people are not being paid or delayed in the payment of their salary. For sure, the demand is slow right now, and it will correct itself as soon as, you know, there's a deal in the US. We don't know when. I think it's gonna be soon. DoD, it's a big part of our specialty truckload, eh, Ken. I mean, 30% of our business normally is moving freight for the Department of Defense. It's just one example that this is why our guidance for Q4 is exceptionally low. This is not normal for us.
Yeah.
Yeah. Well, 1 thing is for sure. Ken is that everything is slow right now because think about the
You know, the the fact that some people are not being paid or or delayed in in the pay payment of their salary. So for sure the demand is is slow right now and it will correct itself as soon as uh, you know, there's a deal in the US. Uh we don't know when I think it's going to be soon. Uh, and and deal with it's a big part of our specialty truckload and can I mean, 30% of our business normally is moving Freight for for the Department of Defense. So it it's just 1 example, that this is why our our
Alain Bédard: It's like a perfect storm where our logistics has been affected badly, okay. You know, our truckload the same. You know, and also the fact that in Canada, I mean, it's pretty difficult as we speak, right, because of the trade between the two countries. It's like a perfect storm for us. CAD 0.80 to CAD 0.90, I mean, EPS for us is not normal. It's exceptionally low.
Alain Bédard: Our truckload, the same, and also the fact that in Canada, I mean, it's pretty difficult as we speak right now because of the trade between the two countries. It's like a perfect storm for us. $0.80 to $0.90 EPS for us is not normal. It's exceptionally low, okay? We have to give guidance that is proper.
Ken Hoexter: Yeah.
Alain Bédard: Okay? We have to give guidance that is proper.
[Analyst 4]: Yeah. One more on that real temporary question. I don't want to talk about the government shutdown on the post office, but the post office is threatening, I guess, to make drastic changes of changing how many days you get deliveries and things like that. Is that a huge potential for P&C, or is that a cost issue? I just want to understand if that longer term, not just the takeaway of the strike, minimal volumes. I'm thinking bigger picture long-term. Does that change the structure for your P&C business?
Ken Hoexter: Yeah. One more on that, real temporary question, but I don't want to talk about the government shutdown on the post office, but the post office is threatening, I guess, to make drastic changes of, you know, changing how many days you get deliveries and things like that. Is that a huge potential for P&C or is that a cost issue? I just want to understand if that longer term, not just the takeaway of the strike, you know, minimal volumes, I am thinking bigger picture long term, does that change the structure for your P&C business?
Our guidance for Q4 is exceptionally low. This is not normal for us, but it's like a perfect storm where our logistics have been affected badly. Okay, uh, you know, our truckload the same. So, you know, and also the fact that in Canada, I mean, it's pretty difficult as we speak, right? Because of the trade between the two countries, so it's like a perfect storm for us. But 80 to 90 cents, I mean, EPS? Well, this is not normal; it's exceptionally low, okay? But we have to give guidance that is proper.
Alain Bédard: Well, for sure, Ken. If finally these guys in Ottawa decide to. You're talking about Canada, right, Ken?
Alain Bédard: For sure, Ken. If finally these guys in Ottawa decide to, because you're talking about Canada, right, Ken?
Yeah 1 more on that real temporary question but and I don't want to talk about the the government shutdown on the post office. But the post office is threatening I guess to make drastic changes of you know changing how many days you get deliveries and things like that. Is that a huge potential for PNC? Or is that a a cost issue? I just want to understand if that longer term not not, just the takeaway of the strike, you know, minimal volume. So I'm thinking bigger picture long term, does that change the structure for your PNC business?
Ken Hoexter: Yeah, yeah. Just Canada. Yeah, yeah.
[Analyst 4]: Just Canada. Yeah, yeah.
Alain Bédard: Yeah, yeah. You're talking about Canada. For sure. I mean, I think that the guys in Ottawa now wake up and, you know, they see that things have to change. Things have to change, and we are way more efficient than them, okay? You know, whatever change they do, okay, it should help us on the longer term, Ken, in Canada.
Alain Bédard: You're talking about Canada. For sure, I mean, I think that the guys in Ottawa now wake up and see that things have to change. Things have to change, and we are way more efficient than them, okay? Whatever change they do, it should help us in the longer term, Ken, in Canada.
Well for sure Ken, if if finally, these guys are not will decide to because you're talking about Canada, right? Ken yeah, yeah just Canada. Yeah, yeah.
Ken Hoexter: Yeah. Okay. All right. Thank you. Appreciate the time.
[Analyst 4]: Yeah, okay. All right. Thank you.
Term can in Canada? Yeah.
Okay.
Alain Bédard: You know, Ken, you know what?
Alain Bédard: You know what? I'll give you an example of what's going on. Credit cards, okay? Credit cards from financial institutions used to be with Canada Post. Now it's mostly us, right? A year ago, there was another strike. We did that, then they went back to Canada Post. The discussion we're having with them, this is going to be a permanent change because I think the financial institutions are sick and tired of back and forth.
Ken Hoexter: Yeah.
Alain Bédard: I'll give you an example of what's going on. Credit cards, okay? Credit cards from financial institution used to be with Canada Post. Now, it's mostly us, right? You know, a year ago, there was another strike, so we did that, then they went back to Canada Post. Now the discussion we're having with them, this is gonna be a permanent change because I think the financial institution are sick and tired of back and forth.
All right, thank you. You can. You know what? I'll give you. An example of what's going on. Uh, credit cards.
Okay.
So, credit cards from financial institutions used to be with Canada Post.
Now, it's mostly us, right?
And you know, a year ago there was another strike. So we did that, then they went back to Canada Post, and now the discussion we're having with them. This is going to be a permanent change.
Because I think the financial institutions are sick and tired of back and forth.
Ken Hoexter: Wonderful. Alain Bédard, David Saperstein, thank you very much for the time.
[Analyst 4]: Wonderful. Alain, David, thank you very much for the time.
Alain Bédard: Very good, Ken. Pleasure.
Alain Bédard: Very good, Ken. Pleasure.
Wonderful. All right. David, thank you very much for the time.
Very good Ken pleasure.
Operator: Next question will be from Cameron Doerksen at National Bank Capital Markets. Please go ahead, Cameron.
Operator: Next question will be from Cameron Dirksen at National Bank Capital Markets. Please go ahead, Cameron.
Next question will be from Cameron Dirksen.
[Analyst 6]: Yeah, thanks. Good morning. Question on the Canadian LTL. Shipments down quite a bit there, I think 12%, but revenue per shipment was nicely positive. Just wondering if you can describe, I guess, what you're seeing in the Canadian LTL space. Are you just being more selective in the business that you're chasing there?
Cameron Doerksen: Yeah, thanks. Good morning. Question on Canadian LTL. You know, shipments down quite a bit there, I think 12%, but, you know, revenue per shipment was nicely positive. Just wondering if you can describe, I guess the, you know, what you're seeing in the Canadian LTL space. Are you just being more selective in the business that you're chasing there?
At National Bank Capital Markets, please go ahead, Cameron.
Yeah, thanks. Uh good, good morning. Um, question on Canadian LTL, you know, shipments down quite a bit there. I think 12%. But you know, Revenue per shipment was uh, was nicely positive. Just wondering if you could describe. I guess the, you know what, what you're seeing in the Katie and the LTL space are, are you just being more selective in the business that you're that? You're chasing, their
Alain Bédard: No, Cameron. It's just our customers, the weight per shipment is down, right? I mean, they're less busy and us, I mean, we're not losing customers, major customers. One that I think, we've lost one customer that I'm thinking of, yes. Okay, in general, we're not. There's no churn in customers unusual. It's just like lower activity, Cameron.
Alain Bédard: No, no, Cameron. It's just our customers, the wait for shipment is down, right? I mean, they're less busy. We're not losing customers, major customers. One that I think of. We've lost one customer that I'm thinking of, yes. Okay. In general, there's no churn in customers, unusual. It's just like lower activity, Cameron.
No, no Cameron. It's just our our customers, the way for shipping is down, right. Uh, so, I mean, they're less busy and and us, I mean, we're not, uh, losing customers, uh, major customers, uh, 1 that, I think. Uh, we, we've lost 1 customer that I'm thinking of, yes. Okay. But in general, we're not. There's no churn in customers unusual. It's just like lower activity, Cameron.
[Analyst 6]: Okay. Just going back to your comments around, I guess, the Driver Inc., and hopefully this change in the government will actually result in some change as we look ahead to next year. If that does happen, what is that impact on your business? Is this something where you just expect that some of these Driver Inc. carriers will just not be able to be in the market at all, and so there's a volume positive for you? Is it more just that they're underpricing in the market, and this will just lift the pricing across all carriers if they don't have that benefit anymore?
Cameron Doerksen: Okay. Just on going back to your comments around, I guess the Driver Inc. And, you know, hopefully this change in the government will actually result in some change as we look ahead to next year. If that does happen, what does that impact on your business? Is this something where you just expect that some of these Driver Inc. carriers will just not be able to be in the market at all, and so it's a volume positive for you? Or is it more just that they're underpricing in the market and this will just lift the pricing across all carriers if they don't have that benefit anymore?
Okay.
Alain Bédard: Yeah. We know these guys have been cheating all along. We know that now, if they have to issue T4A, the cheating is going to disappear. If you look at the evolution of our OR in Canada, the Canadian Truckload, it's just a disaster because we used to run 80 to 85 OR, and now we're running a 90 OR. Why is that? Because we have to be more competitive, etc., etc. This was always unfair competition to us. We think that now, with these new issues, you're going to start to see some change. Another thing also that's important to notice is the safety record of those guys is not good. People are starting to understand. We've got customers now that are stating, "We don't want to deal with those Driver Inc. anymore," right? We have one, a paper guy big in Quebec that said, "Hey, you know what?
Alain Bédard: Yeah. Yeah. Well, we know these guys have been cheating all along, and we know that now if they have to issue T4A, the cheating is gonna disappear. I mean, if you look at the evolution of our OR in Canada, the Canadian truckload, I mean, it's just a disaster because we used to run 80 to 85 OR, now we're running a 90 OR. Why is that? Well, because, you know, we have to be more competitive, et cetera, et cetera. This was always unfair competition to us. We think that now with these new issues, okay, you're gonna start to see some change. Another thing also that's important to notice is the safety record of those guys is not good. People are starting to understand.
And uh, just on going back to your comments around that I guess the driver Inc. And you know, hopefully this has changed in the government will. Well actually result in some change as we look ahead to next year, if if that does happen, what does that impact on on your business? Is this something where you just expect that some of these driver carriers will just not be able to be in the Market at all and so there's a volume positive for you or is it more just that they're underpricing in the market and this will just lift the pricing across all all carriers. If they if they, if they don't have that benefit anymore.
Yeah. Yeah. Well, we know these guys have been cheating all along, and we know that. Now, if they have to issue T4A, the cheating is going to disappear. So, I mean, if you look at the evolution of our OR in Canada, the Canadian truck notes, I mean, it’s just a disaster because we used to run 80 to 85 OR, and now we're running a 90 OR. Why is that? Well, I mean, because you know,
Alain Bédard: We've got customers now that are stating, We don't wanna deal with those Driver Inc. anymore, right? We have one, you know, a paper guy, big in Quebec, that said, Hey, you know what? You have to certify that you're not a Driver Inc. Because more and more, there's also not just the cost, but the safety of these guys, okay, is being questioned now, right? This is why to me, in 2026, when I look at Canada, the market's gonna be probably a little bit more difficult, but the supply is gonna be also much less. We'll probably be in a better position in 2026 than we were in 2025 because slowly, okay, those Driver Inc.'s will have to adjust. Well, they will have to adjust the rates. They cannot cheat because right now, a Driver Inc.
Alain Bédard: You have to certify that you're not a Driver Inc." Because more and more, there's also not just the cost, but the safety of these guys has been questioned now, right? This is why, to me, in 2026, when I look at Canada, the market's going to be probably a little bit more difficult, but the supply is going to be also much less. We'll probably be in a better position in 2026 than we were in 2025 because slowly, those Driver Inc.s will have to adjust. They will have to adjust the rates. They cannot cheat because right now, a Driver Inc. guy is not paying any taxes. Now he gets a T4A. Whoops. Revenue Canada is aware of him. If he doesn't pay his taxes, then he's going to end up with a little bit of an issue.
We have to be more competitive, etc. Etc! So this is this was always unfair competition to us. So we think that now with this new issues, okay, you're going to start to see some change another thing. Also that's important to notice is the safety record of those guys is not good. So people are starting to understand so we got customers now that are stating we don't want to deal with those driver ring anymore, right? So we have 1 know, a paper guy big in Quebec that said hey you know what, you have to certify that you're not a driver ring because more and more. There's also not just the cost but the safety of these guys. Okay, uh, is is been questioned now. Alright. So this is what to me in 26. When I look at Canada, uh, the the Market's going to be probably a little bit more difficult, but the supply is going to be also much less.
Alain Bédard: guy is not paying any taxes. Now he gets a T4A, whoops, Revenue Canada is aware of him. If he doesn't pay his taxes, he's gonna end up with a little bit of an issue.
So we'll probably be in a better position in 26. Then we were in 25 because slowly, okay, those driver Rings will have to adjust, they will have to adjust the rates. They they cannot cheat because right now, a driver ain't guy is not paying any taxes. Now he gets a t4a whoops. Uh, Revenue Canada is aware of of him and if he doesn't pay his taxes, then he's going to end up with a little bit of an issue.
Cameron Doerksen: Good. makes a lot of sense. Appreciate the time. Thanks.
[Analyst 6]: Good. No, it makes a lot of sense. Appreciate the time. Thanks.
No, it makes a lot of sense.
Alain Bédard: Pleasure.
Alain Bédard: Pleasure.
Pleasure.
Operator: Next question will be from Brian Ossenbeck at J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead, Brian.
Operator: Next question will be from Brian Ossenbeck at JP Morgan. Please go ahead, Brian.
Just go ahead, Brian.
Brian Ossenbeck: Hey, good morning, Alain, David. Thanks for taking the questions. Just going back to the Mastio survey and the big improvement you noted. When do you start to get credit for that? Is that something that you do it once? Obviously, it's continuous, but, you know, you get some credit the first time you make a couple big steps, and then they start to give you more volume and then maybe more price later. Just related to that, I'm trying to understand how you can be pretty good on 4-day service and next-day, but not necessarily 2 to 3-day. What's the part I'm missing there? Thanks.
[Analyst 7]: Hey, good morning. Alain, David, thanks for taking the questions. Just going back to the mass studio survey and the big improvement you noted, when do you start to get credit for that? Is that something that you do at once? Obviously, it's continuous, but you get some credit the first time you make a couple of big steps, and then they start to give you more volume and then maybe more price later. Just related to that, I'm trying to understand how you can be pretty good on four-day service and next day, but not necessarily two to three day. What's the part I'm missing there? Thanks.
Hey, good morning, Elaine and David. Thanks for taking the questions. Um,
Alain Bédard: Okay, Brian. Well, I'll let David talk about the Mastio report. What I can tell you is that the four-day, okay, where we were able to make some changes is that we moved freight from rail to road, right? When you do that, you are in control, right? This is why we're doing really well on four-day versus what we used to do. Next day because we come from the UPS environment where everything was kind of next day, these guys have always been good on next day. It's just a continuation of what these guys have done all along. The second day and the third day, this has been the issue, okay, where, you know, we're not acting as being professional. We don't monitor. We just let the other guy do the job.
Alain Bédard: Okay, Brian. I'll let David talk about that, the mass shoot report. What I can tell you is that the four-day, where we were able to make some changes, is that we moved freight from rail to road, right? When you do that, you are in control, right? This is why we're doing really well on four-day versus what we used to do. Next day, next day, because we come from the UPS environment where everything was kind of next day, these guys have always been good on next day. It's just a continuation of what these guys have done all along. The second day and the third day, this has been the issue, where we're not acting as being professional. We don't monitor. We just let the other guy do the job.
2 to 3 day. So what's what's the part? I'm missing there, thanks.
Alain Bédard: Now it's a focus of ours because this is a big issue because you have a commitment that you give to a customer that it's gonna be there in 3 days, but it's not there in 3 days, it's there in 5 days. Well, that doesn't work, right? You got to be, you know, having process in place that you manage that. This is something where, you know, in the old days, there was no real focus. Now through this new focus of the team, it's been a major focus of ours, and we know that 2nd day and 3rd day, okay, we were not as good as our peers, right? We're getting there because we're making a lot of changes and a lot of improvements. That's the difference between, you know, 4 days, 2 days, 3 days, Brian.
Alain Bédard: Now it's a focus of ours because this is a big issue because you have a commitment that you give to a customer that's going to be there in three days, but it's not there in three days. It's there in five days. That doesn't work, right? You got to be having process in place that you manage that. This is something where in the old days, there was no real focus. Now, through this new focus of the team, it has been a major focus of ours. We know that second day and third day, we were not as good as our peers, right? We're getting there because we're making a lot of changes and a lot of improvements. That's the difference between four days, two days, three days, Brian.
Okay, Brian. Well I'll let David talked about that, but the master report. But what what I can tell you is that the 4-day, okay, where we were able to make some changes is that we move Freight from rail to Road, right? So when you do that, you are in control, right? So this is why we're doing really well on 4 day versus what we used to do. And next day next day because we come from the ups and environment where everything was kind of next day. These guys are always been good on next day. So we're just it's just a continuation of what these guys have done all along the the second day and the third day, this has been the issue. Okay? Where, you know, we're not acting as being professional, we don't matter, we don't monitor, we just let the other guy do the job. So now it's a focus of ours, because this is a big issue because you have a commitment that you give to a customer, that's going to be there in 3 days, but it's not there in 3 days, it's there, in 5 days. Well, that doesn't work, right? So,
You got to be, you know, having process in place that you manage that. So this is something where, you know, in the old days, there was no real focus. And now through this new focus of the team, it it's been a a major focus of ours and we know that second day and third day. Okay? We were not as good as our peers, right? But we're getting there.
Because we're making a lot of changes and a lot of improvements.
David Saperstein: Yeah. In terms of how you get credit, in our experience so far, we would expect to see the impact first on volumes, right? Your turnover and your churn comes down. You're able to retain more business that you get. You start to get more wallet share from the same customer. 'Cause remember, our customers, a lot of the big customers use all of us, right? They use lots of carriers. It's just a question of how much they're allocating to each one. You do a good job, start to get a little bit more. The first place that we would expect to see it is on volume.
[Analyst 7]: Yeah. In terms of how you get credit, in our experience so far, we would expect to see the impact first on volumes, right? Your turnover and your churn come down. You're able to retain more business that you get. You start to get more wallet share from the same customer. Remember, our customers, a lot of the big customers use all of us, right? They use lots of carriers. It's just a question of how much they're allocating to each one. You do a good job, start to get a little bit more. The first place that we would expect to see it is on volume. Pricing will come later. Pricing, frankly, is going to be a little bit of a function of this supply-demand imbalance correcting itself, or at least normalizing, and the market being a little bit more balanced, right?
So that's the difference between, you know, 4 days, 2 days, and 3 days, right?
And in terms of how you get credit in our experience so far, we expect to see the impact first on volumes, right? So your turnover and your churn come down, and you're able to retain more business that you get. Then you start to get more wallet share from the same customer because remember, our customers.
David Saperstein: Pricing will come later, pricing, frankly, is gonna be a little bit of a function of this supply-demand imbalance, correcting itself or at least normalizing and the market being a little bit more balanced, right? When the market's more balanced and our service is improving and we're getting more freight from people, then we can start to see a pricing. The other thing I'll point out on this is that the beauty is that we've made big improvements, but there's still a long way to go, right? We're not, we're not best in class yet. We've still got, you know, another hundreds of basis points to improve on time. We can drive our missed pickups way down further, reschedules way down further. Our claims can come down way further.
[Analyst 7]: When the market's more balanced and our service is improving and we're getting more freight from people, we can start to see a pricing. The other thing I'll point out on this is that the beauty is that we've made big improvements, but there's still a long way to go, right? We're not best in class yet. We've still got hundreds of basis points to improve on time. We can drive our missed pickups way down further, reschedules way down further. Our claims can come down way further. We're still in the early stages, and there's a lot more value for us to create for our customers in the form of better service and ultimately for our shareholders when that plays through to the numbers. Yeah.
A lot of the big customers use all of us, right? They use lots of carriers it's just a question of how much they're allocating to each 1 and so you do a good job, start to get a little bit more. So the first place that we would expect to see it is on volume pricing, will come later and pricing, frankly is going to be a little bit of a function of this Supply demand imbalance, uh, correcting itself or at least normalizing and and the market being, uh, a little bit more balanced, right when there's the Market's more balanced and our services improving and we're getting more freight from people. And then then we can start to see uh a pricing. The other thing I'll point out on this is that the beauty is that we've made big improvements but there's still a long way to go, right? We're not we're not investing class yet. We still got you know another
David Saperstein: We're still in the early stages, and there's a lot more value for us to create for our customers in the form of better service and ultimately for our shareholders when that plays through to the numbers.
Alain Bédard: Yeah.
Hundreds of basis points to improve on, on, on time. Uh, we can drive our missed pickups way down further reschedules. Way down further. Our Claims can come down way further. So we're, we're, we're still in the early stages and there's a lot more value for us to, uh, create for our customers, in the form of better service. And, and ultimately, for our shareholders, when that plays through to the numbers,
Brian Ossenbeck: Just the relative size of the 2 to 3 day, sounds like that's probably the bigger chunk of the market or the opportunity.
[Analyst 7]: The relative size of the two to three day sounds like that's probably the bigger chunk of the market or the opportunity relative to maybe the four and the next day.
Yeah.
Alain Bédard: Yeah
Brian Ossenbeck: The next day.
Alain Bédard: Yes, absolutely, Brian. I would say that next day for us is about not even 20% of our volume today, and four days is probably about the same. The big chunk of our business is between two and three days. This is where we are the weakest today, and this is where our focus is. Guys, this is where we have to work on, right? We made some major improvement on the four days. There, we're good. We're good on the next day service, fine. Let's do the job on the two and three days, and we are improving. Absolutely.
Alain Bédard: Yes, absolutely. Yeah, Brian. I would say that next day for us is about, not even 20% of our volume today. And 4 days is probably about the same. I mean, the big chunk of our business is between 2 and 3 days, and this is where we are the weakest today, and this is where our focus is, guys, this is where we have to work on, right. We made some major improvement on the 4 days. There, we're good. We're good on the next day service, fine. Let's do the job on the 2 and 3 days. And we are improving, absolutely.
And is the relative size of the 2- to 3-day segment. Sounds like that's probably the bigger chunk of the market, or the opportunity relative to maybe the 4- and next-day.
Yes, absolutely, uh, fine. Because I would say that the next day for us is about, uh, not even 20% of our volume today.
Uh, and 4 days is probably about the same.
So, I mean, the big chunk of our business is between 2 and 3 days, and this is where we are the weakest today. And this is where our focus is. Guys, this is where we have to work on, right? So, we made some major improvements on the 4th; we're good on the next day service. Fine. But let's do the job on the 2- and 3-day service, and we are improving, absolutely.
[Analyst 7]: Okay, thanks very much for your time.
Brian Ossenbeck: Okay. Thanks very much for your time.
Okay, thanks very much for your time.
Alain Bédard: That's good, Brian.
Alain Bédard: Let's go, Brian.
Operator: Next question will be from Tom Wadowitz at UBS. Please go ahead, Tom.
Operator: Next question will be from Tom Wadowitz at UBS. Please go ahead, Tom.
Let's go. Bye.
Next question will be from Tom wits. I
Think UBS. Please go ahead, Tom.
Tom Wadowitz: Yeah. Good morning. Alain, I wanted to get your thoughts on just kind of the size of the terminal network for US LTL and where you would want to be for shipments. I think that was something where, you know, you kind of, you inherited some or you bought something that had over 3,000 shipments a day. Look, I don't know, 33, whatever it was.
[Analyst 8]: Yeah, good morning. Alain, I wanted to get your thoughts on just kind of the size of the terminal network for U.S. LTL and where you would want to be for shipments. I think that was something where you kind of inherited some or you bought something that had over 30,000 shipments a day, I don't know, 33, whatever it was. It went down on kind of your own initiatives and the cycle went down. I think that has been a component that you're like, "We can't be a 90 or mid-80s OR company if we're just way underutilized." How do you think about where the network is and how much volume is a piece of ultimately getting to the goals, like maybe how large that gap is? That seems like a factor that would ultimately matter as well.
Uh, yeah, good morning. So, uh, Elaine, I wanted to get your thoughts on just kind of, uh,
The size of the terminal network for us, LTL.
Alain Bédard: Yep
Tom Wadowitz: On kind of your own initiatives.
And where you would want to be for shipments, I think that was something where, you know, you kind of inherited some or you bought something that had over 30,000 shipments a day. I don’t know, 33, whatever it was.
Alain Bédard: Yep
Tom Wadowitz: The cycle went down.
Alain Bédard: Yep.
Tom Wadowitz: And, uh-
Alain Bédard: Yeah
Tom Wadowitz: I think that has been a component that you're like, Well, we can't be a, you know, 90 or mid-80s OR company if we were, we're just way underutilized. How do you
Alain Bédard: Yeah
Tom Wadowitz: think about where the network is and how much
Alain Bédard: Yeah
Tom Wadowitz: volume is a piece of ultimately getting to the goals, like maybe how large that gap is? 'Cause that seems like a factor that would ultimately matter as well.
Alain Bédard: You're absolutely right, Tom. As a matter of fact, in Q4, we'll probably swap 3 terminals with one of our peers to readjust the size of our terminal, okay, versus those guys, right? This is an ongoing thing, okay, that we continue to do. Cash-wise, probably in our Q4, between what we're buying and what we're selling, we should see a net positive between $40 million and $50 million US in Q4. Still, even with that, going into 2026, I would say that we probably have another 2,000 doors too many, okay? Now, the challenge that we gave our team is that the network was probably built to support 40,000 shipments a day, and we're doing half of that, right?
Alain Bédard: You're absolutely right, Tom. As a matter of fact, in Q4, we'll probably swap three terminals with one of our peers to readjust the size of our terminal versus those guys, right? This is an ongoing thing that we continue to do. Cash-wise, probably in our Q4, between what we're buying and what we're selling, we should see a net positive between $40 million and $50 million U.S. in Q4. Still, even with that, going into 2026, I would say that we probably have another 2,000 doors too many. The challenge that we gave our team is that the network was probably built to support 40,000 shipments a day, and we're doing half of that, right? Organically, it's going to take us some time. Can we go organically from 20,000 shipments a day to 40,000 shipments a day? That takes a long time. This is for sure.
These are our company, if we were just way underutilized. So how do you think about where the network is and how much volume is a piece of ultimately getting to the goals? Like maybe how large that gap is, because that seems like a factor that would ultimately matter as well.
Yeah. Absolutely right Tom. And as a matter of fact, uh, in Q4 we'll probably swap, 3 terminal with 1 of our peers, to readjust the size of our terminal. Okay? Uh versus those guys, right? So this is an ongoing thing, okay? That we continue to do. Uh,
Cashwise, probably in our Q4, between what we're buying and what we're selling, we should see a net positive between $40 million and $50 million in Q4. Uh, but still, even with that going into 26, I would say that, uh,
Alain Bédard: Organically, it's going to take us some time, but can we go organically from 20,000 shipments a day to 40,000 shipments a day? That takes a long time. This is for sure. There's more to go, there's more to come into adjusting our network, okay, to today's reality, and we'll keep doing that. We're talking to all of our peers all the time. What's the number of doors that we would need today? Probably more like 5,000 to 6,000 to 7,000 doors. These doors have to be in the right location, right? That's the other thing that we're working on in some areas. I'll give you an example. Dallas. I don't have too many doors in Dallas, yeah. We're doing well in Dallas, and we are increasing our volume in Dallas.
Alain Bédard: There's more to go. There's more to come into adjusting our network to today's reality, and we'll keep doing that. We're talking to all of our peers all the time. What's the number of doors that we would need today? Probably more like 5,000 to 6,000 to 7,000 doors, but these doors have to be in the right location, right? That's the other thing that we're working on. In some areas, I'll give you an example. Dallas, I don't have too many doors in Dallas, right? We're doing well in Dallas, and we are increasing our volume in Dallas. Chicago, the same, right? We got areas that we are growing. You say, "Your volume is down." Yes, because in other areas, we are losing, right? We were working on balancing the network, absolutely, like everything else, Tom.
We probably have another 2,000 doors to many, okay? Now, the challenge that we gave our our team is that the network was probably built to support 40,000 shipments a day and we're doing half of that. Right. So organically, it's it's going to take us some time and but can we go organically from 20,000 shipments a day to 40,000 shipments a day? That takes a long time. So this is for sure, there's more to go, there's more to come into, adjusting our, our
Our Network, okay? To today's reality and we'll keep doing that. Uh, so uh, we're we're talking to all of our peers all the time and and what's the number of doors that we would need today. Probably more like 5 to 6 to 7000 doors, but these doors have to be in the right location, right? So, that's the other thing that we're working on, uh, in in some areas. I'll give you an example, Dallas.
Alain Bédard: Chicago, the same, right? We got areas that we are growing, okay. Now you say, Well, your volume is down. Yes, because in other areas we are losing, right? We were working on balancing the network absolutely like everything else, Tom.
I don't have too many doors in Dallas. Yeah. Because we're doing well in Dallas and we are increasing our volume in Dallas; Chicago, the same, right? So we got areas that we are growing. Okay? Now you say, well, your volume is down. Yes. Because in other areas we are losing, right? But we are working on balancing the network, absolutely, like everything else, Tom.
Tom Wadowitz: Is that an issue on service that if you know, kind of rationalize or it's not, it's size of terminal for you, it's not necessarily like reach of the network?
[Analyst 8]: Is that an issue on service that if you kind of rationalize, or it's not its size of terminal for you, it's not necessarily like reach of the network?
Alain Bédard: No, it's not an issue for service, Tom. I mean, no.
Alain Bédard: No, it's not an issue for service, Tom. I mean, no.
Is that an issue on service that, if you, you know, kind of rationalize or it's not, it's size of terminal for you. It's not necessarily like reach of the network.
No, it's not an issue for service Tom. I mean no,
[Analyst 8]: Okay. Great. Thanks for the time.
Ari Rosa: Okay. Okay, great. Thanks for the time.
Alain Bédard: Thank you, Tom.
Alain Bédard: Thank you, Tom.
Okay. Okay, great. Thanks for the time.
Thank you, Tim.
Operator: Next question will be from Benoit Poirier at the Jardin Capital Markets. Please go ahead, Benoit.
Operator: Next question will be from Benoit Poirier at Desjardins Capital Markets. Please go ahead, Benoit.
Benoit Poirier: Thank you very much. Thanks Alain for the great comments about the impact of the regulation both sides of the border. Obviously, you mentioned some color about 2026 being a more of a sunny picture, especially on the US LTL. I'm just curious what kind of ROIC could you produce in a flat volume environment in 2026? Maybe another scenario where you see a more bullish stance in terms of volume.
[Analyst 9]: Thank you very much. Thanks, Alain, for the great comments about the impact of regulation on both sides of the border. Obviously, you mentioned some color about 2026 being more of a sunny picture, especially on the U.S. LTL. I'm just curious what kind of OR could you produce in a flat volume environment in 2026 and maybe another scenario where you see a more bullish stance in terms of volume?
Questions will be from Benoît Paris at J Capital Markets. Please go ahead, Benoît.
Alain Bédard: Well, I think, if everything stays the same, I think that, in this kind of an environment where the volumes are light, et cetera, et cetera, if you look at our Q2, if you look at our Q3, for sure last year's Q1 was a disaster for us at 99. I mean, I don't think that we'll be in that position. Can we say no volume growth, okay, for 2026 versus the same kind of environment, 2026, that we've been seeing in 2025 with the investment that we're doing in our cost management and all that. Probably a 200 basis point globally improvement, 200 to 300 basis point versus what we are delivering in 2025 into 2026.
Hey, thank you very much. And, uh, thanks for the great comments about the impact of the regulation, both sides of the Border. Um, obviously, you mentioned some caller about, uh, 2026, uh, being more of a sunny picture, uh, especially on the US LTL, I'm just curious, what kind of War could you produce in, in a flat volume environment in 2026 and maybe another scenario where you see a, a more bullish sense. Uh, uh, in in terms of volume,
Alain Bédard: I think if everything stays the same, I think that in this kind of an environment where the volumes are light, etc., etc. If you look at our Q2, if you look at our Q3, for sure, last year's Q1 was a disaster for us at 99. I mean, I don't think that we'll be in that position. Can we say no volume growth, okay, for 2026 versus the same kind of environment 2026 that we've been seeing in 2025 with the investment that we're doing in our cost management and all that? Probably a 200 basis point globally improvement, 2 to 300 basis point versus what we are delivering in 2025 into 2026.
Well, I think, uh, if everything stays the same, I think that, uh, you know, in this kind of an environment where the volumes are light, etc., etc.
Um, you know, if you look at our Q2, if you look at our Q3 for sure, last year's q1 was a disaster for us at 99, I mean, I don't think that there will be in that position. So can we say no volume growth, okay? For 26 versus the same kind of environment, 26, that we've been seeing in, in, uh, in 25 with the investment that we're doing in in our cost management and all that. So, uh, probably a 200 basis point globally Improvement, 2 to 300 basis, point versus what we are delivering in.
In 25 in 226.
Benoit Poirier: Okay. That's very great color. Just with respect to the chief commercial officer role, is it fair to say that the candidate has already been identified and is coming from the outside?
[Analyst 9]: Okay. That's very great color. With respect to the Chief Commercial Officer role, is it fair to say that the candidate has already been identified and is coming from the outside? I'm just curious to see how it will change the jobs performed by Carl and the team overall.
Alain Bédard: Yeah.
Benoit Poirier: I'm just curious to see how it will change the jobs performed by Carl and the team overall.
Okay, that that's very great caller. And just with respect to the uh Chief commercial officer role. Is it fair to say that the candidate has already been identified and is coming from the outside and
I'm just curious to see how the it will change the jobs performed by uh calling the team. Uh overall.
Alain Bédard: No, the guy comes from the family.
Alain Bédard: No, the guy comes from the family.
Benoit Poirier: Okay.
No, the guy got from the family.
Alain Bédard: The guy is within TFI.
[Analyst 9]: Okay.
Alain Bédard: The guy is within TFI International Inc.
Benoit Poirier: Okay. Okay, that's great color. Okay, thanks for the time, Alain.
[Analyst 9]: Okay. That's great color. Okay. Thanks for the time, Alain.
Okay, the guys is within is within TFI
Alain Bédard: Pleasure, Benoit. Thank you.
Alain Bédard: Pleasure, Benoit. Thank you.
Okay. Okay, that's great caller. Okay, thanks for the time. Uh, and I
Operator: Next question. Tim will be from Bruce Chen at CFO. Please go ahead, Bruce.
Operator: Next question will be from Bruce Chan at Stifel. Please go ahead, Bruce.
Next question, will be from Bruce Chan at Stifel. Please go ahead, Bruce.
Prunella Full: Hey, guys. This is actually Prunella Full on for Bruce. Appreciate all the color here. Quick one. Wanted to ask about CapEx. In terms of CapEx budget from here, how would you expect it to trend going forward? What investments are sort of needed as far as maintenance and potentially growth?
Alain Bédard: Hey, guys. This is actually Prunella, full on for Bruce. Appreciate all the color here. Quick one, wanted to ask about CapEx. In terms of CapEx budget from here, how would you expect it to trend going forward? What investments are sort of needed as far as maintenance and potentially growth?
Hey guys, uh, this is actually pernella full on for Bruce. Um appreciate all the color here. So uh, quick 1.
Uh, wanted to ask about CapEx. In terms of the CapEx budget from here, how would you expect it to trend going forward? What investments are sort of needed as far as maintenance and potentially growth?
David Saperstein: Yeah. Yeah. For this year, we've updated our guidance to CAD 150 to CAD 175 net CapEx for 2025. In normal years it would be more like CAD 300. Okay. That's all maintenance CapEx. The way that we think about CapEx is really about, you know, maintaining the fleet that we need. We're not seeking to grow the fleet organically when volumes turn. We just use that opportunity to get more productivity out of our assets, use that opportunity to take the highest paying freight, and we get the operating leverage that way.
David Saperstein: Yeah. For this year, we've updated our guidance to $150 million to $175 million net CapEx for 2025. In normal years it would be more like $300 million. That's all maintenance CapEx. The way that we think about CapEx is really about maintaining the fleet that we need. We're not seeking to grow the fleet organically when volumes turn. We just use that opportunity to get more productivity out of our assets, use that opportunity to take the highest paying freight, and we get the operating leverage that way.
So so for this this year, we're we we've updated our guidance to 175 so 150 to 175, net, capex for 25. Um and
In normal years, it would be more like $300 million, okay? And that's all maintenance capex. The way that we think about capex is really about...
You know, maintaining the fleet that we need we're not seeking to grow the fleet organically, when volumes turn, we just use that opportunity to get more productivity out of our assets. Use that opportunity to take the the highest paying Freight and we get the operating leverage that way.
Alain Bédard: All right. Awesome. Thanks, guys.
Prunella Full: All right. Awesome. Thanks, guys.
All right, awesome. Thanks guys.
Alain Bédard: Pleasure. Thank you.
David Saperstein: Pleasure. Thank you.
Operator: Next question will be from Ari Rosa at Citigroup. Please go ahead, Ari.
Pleasure. Thank you.
Operator: Next question will be from Ari Rosa at Citi Group. Please go ahead, Ari.
Next question will be from Ari, Rosa at Citigroup. Please go ahead. Sorry.
Ari Rosa: Hey, good morning, Alain, David. Thank you for taking my question. I wanted to ask about tariff impacts and what you are seeing there. You know, to what extent do you think tariffs are kind of holding back business, whether it is cross-border or in Canada, versus how much of kind of the volume weakness is related to kind of cyclical factors or kind of underlying economic factors that would be independent of the tariffs? To the extent that we get a little bit more tariff clarity, do you see that as a positive or an incremental positive into 2026?
[Analyst 1]: Good morning, Alain. David, thank you for taking my question. I wanted to ask about tariff impacts and what you're seeing there. To what extent do you think tariffs are holding back business, whether it's cross-border or in Canada, versus how much of the volume weakness is related to cyclical factors or underlying economic factors that would be independent of the tariffs? To the extent that we get a little bit more tariff clarity, do you see that as a positive or an incremental positive into 2026?
Hey, good morning, Ellen David. Um, thank you for taking my question. So I I wanted to ask about uh, tariff impacts. And uh, what you're seeing there, you know, to what extent do you think tariffs are kind of holding back business? Uh, whether it's cross border or in Canada, versus how much of kind of the volume weakness is related to kind of cyclical factors or kind of underlying economic factors that would be independent of, of the terrorists. And then to the extent that we get a little bit more tariff Clarity. Do you, do you see that as a positive or an incremental positive into 2026?
Alain Bédard: Well, one thing is for sure, if you don't know the rules, everybody sits on the sideline, right? The problem we have right now is that we don't have a deal. I mean, Mexico or Canada, both countries, big traders with the US, we don't have a deal, right? This is why it's so important that in 2026, at one point, okay, there has to be a deal between the three countries, right? In the meantime, okay, in terms of not knowing where we're going, right, for sure it's a big effect, right? If you take the aluminum, okay, I was reading what the president of Rio Tinto is saying. I mean, aluminum is not affecting them, okay? The tariff. Okay? What they're doing is they're shipping some of their aluminum from Canada to Europe.
[Analyst 2]: If you don't know the rules, everybody sits on the sideline, right? The problem we have right now is that we don't have a deal. Mexico or Canada, both countries, big traders with the U.S., we don't have a deal, right? This is why it's so important that in 2026, at one point, there has to be a deal between the three countries, right? In the meantime, in terms of not knowing where we're going, for sure it's a big effect, right? If you take the aluminum, I was reading what the President of Rio Tinto is saying. Aluminum is not affecting them, the tariff. What they're doing is they're shipping some of their aluminum from Canada to Europe. It's affecting me because I don't have any ships, right? Down the road, this is temporary. For sure this will change.
Well, what
is for sure. If you don't know the rules, everybody sits on the sidelines, right? And and the problem we have right now is that we don't have a deal. I mean, Mexico or Canada.
Uh, both countries, big Traders with the us. We don't have a deal, right? So this is why it's so important that in 2600. Okay, there has to be a deal between the 3 countries, right? So, and in the meantime, okay, in terms of not knowing where we're going, right for sure. It's a big effect, right? If you think the aluminum, okay? I was reading the what the president of
Alain Bédard: Well, it's affecting me because I don't have any ships, right? Down the road, okay, this is temporary. I mean, for sure this will change as soon as we have clarity on tariff, finalized all that, I mean, that product will go back to the US, right? It's just we need to have a deal between the three countries, and once we have that, whatever it is, okay, then we know what to do and what kind of adjustment will be needed and then it's gonna be clear sailing.
[Analyst 2]: As soon as we have clarity on tariff, finalized all that, that product will go back to the U.S., right? We need to have a deal between the three countries. Once we have that, whatever it is, then we know what to do and what kind of adjustment will be needed. Then it's going to be clear sailing.
Is saying I mean, it's not affecting them. Okay, the Tariff okay. Uh so but what they're doing is they're shipping some of their aluminum from Canada to the Europe. Well it's affecting me because I don't have any ships, right? But down the road, okay, this is temporary. I mean for sure, this will change. As soon as we have Clarity on tariff, finalized all that. I mean that product will go back to the US, right?
Uh so it it's just we need to have a a a deal between the 3 countries and once we have that whatever it is, okay then we know what to do and what kind of adjustment will it be needed and and then it's going to be clear sailing.
Ari Rosa: Well, let's hope we get some clarity on that in the months ahead. Then just as a follow-up, Alain, I wanted to ask about how you're thinking about the dynamics between LTL and truckload right now. Do you think there's a lot of LTL volume that's slipped into the truckload market? Obviously if we get some tightening here because of some of these enforcement actions, how positive of an effect can that have for the LTL market?
[Analyst 1]: Let's hope we get some clarity on that in the months ahead. Just as a follow-up, Alain, I wanted to ask about how you're thinking about the dynamics between Less-Than-Truckload and Truckload right now. Do you think there's a lot of Less-Than-Truckload volume that's slipped into the Truckload market? Obviously, if we get some tightening here because of some of these enforcement actions, how positive of an effect can that have for the Less-Than-Truckload market?
Alain Bédard: Well, that's for sure. I mean, when you think about that, you're a truckload guy, you're stuck, okay? What do you do? I mean, you try to get the good heavy 5 to 10 pallets of LTL, and you give the shipper a good rate, right? Right now, what's happening in the LTL industry is that there's lots of freight that's been moved to the truckload guys, and this is good rates, good freight for LTL. We'll see what happens. When the truckload guys get busier, okay, are they gonna walk away from that freight because now, you know, they don't need to do that? Probably. Experience tells us that this is what happens, okay? We'll probably see that sometimes in 2026, hopefully, okay? Who knows when, right?
[Analyst 2]: When you think about that, you're a truckload guy. You're stuck, okay? What do you do? You try to get the good heavy five, ten pallets of Less-Than-Truckload, and you give the shipper a good rate, right? Right now what's happening in the Less-Than-Truckload industry is that there's lots of freight that's been moved to the truckload guys, and this is good rates, good freight for Less-Than-Truckload. We'll see what happens. When the truckload guys get busier, are they going to walk away from that freight because now, you know, they don't need to do that? Probably. Experience tells us that this is what happens, okay? We'll probably see that sometime in 2026, hopefully, okay? Who knows when, right?
Yeah, well, let's let's hope we get some clarity on that in the, in the months ahead. Um, and then just as a follow-up, uh, and I wanted to ask about, uh, how you're thinking about the Dynamics between LTL and truckload right now. Uh, do you think there's a lot of LTL volume that's slipped into the, into the truckload market. And obviously, if we get some tightening here because of some of these enforcement actions, how positive of an effect can that have uh, for the LTL Market.
Well, that's for sure. I mean when you think about that you're you're a truckload guy, you're stuck, okay, so what do you do? I mean, you try to get the the good heavy 5 10 pallets of LTL and you give the shipper a good rate, right? So right now, what's happening in the LTL industry is that this
There's lots of freight that's been moved to the truckload guys, and this is good for rates. Good rates for LTL, so we'll see what happens when the truckload guys get busier. Okay, are they going to walk away from that freight because now they know they don't need to do that?
probably experience tells us that this is what happens, okay, but
Well, we'll probably see that sometimes in 2026. Hopefully. Okay, but who knows when, right?
[Analyst 1]: Okay, appreciate the thoughts.
Ari Rosa: Okay. Appreciate the thoughts.
Okay, appreciate the thoughts.
Operator: Thank you. At this time, Mr. Bédard, we have no other questions registered. Please proceed.
Operator: Thank you. At this time, Mr. Bédard, we have no other questions registered. Please proceed.
Thank you.
Alain Bédard: Well, thank you, operator, we appreciate everyone joining us today. Thank you for your interest in TFI International. We look forward to finishing the year strong, and are confident we'll be entering 2026 in a position of strength. I look forward to seeing many of you at several investors conference and will be attending before year-end. As always, please don't hesitate to reach out with any further question. Have a terrific Halloween, and have a great weekend, guys. Thank you.
[Analyst 2]: Thank you, operator, and we appreciate everyone joining us today. Thank you for your interest in TFI International Inc. We look forward to finishing the year strong, and our confidence will be entering 2026 in a position of strength. I look forward to seeing many of you at several investors' conferences I will be attending before year-end. As always, please don't hesitate to reach out with any further questions. Have a terrific Halloween and have a great weekend, guys. Thank you.
Please proceed.
Well, thank you, operator, and we appreciate everyone joining us today. Thank you for your interest in TFI International. We look forward to finishing the year strong, and we are confident we will enter 2026 in a position of strength.
I look forward to seeing many of you at several investors conference. And we'll be attending before year end. And as always, please don't hesitate to
Operator: Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, this does indeed conclude the conference call for today. Once again, thank you for attending. At this time, we do ask that you please disconnect your lines.
Operator: Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, this does indeed conclude the conference call for today. Once again, thank you for attending, and at this time, we do ask that you please disconnect your lines.
To reach out with any further question. I have a terrific uh Halloween and have a great weekend guys. Thank you.
Thank you, sir.
Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude your conference call for today. Once again, thank you for attending. At this time, we do ask that you please disconnect your lines.