Q3 2025 Global-E Online Ltd Earnings Call
Speaker #1: Welcome to the
Speaker #1: Global-E third quarter 2025 earnings conference call. This call is being simultaneously webcast on the company's website and the investor section under News and Events.
Speaker #1: For opening remarks and introduction, I will now turn the call over to Alan Katz, Global-E's Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Speaker #1: Thank you, and good morning.
Speaker #2: Everyone, with me on the call today are Amir Schlachet, co-founder and chief executive officer of Koren, Chief Financial Officer, and Nirdebi, co-founder and president.
Speaker #2: Amir will begin with a review of the business results for the third quarter of 2025. After that, we will review the financial results for the third quarter, followed by the company's outlook for the remainder of 2025.
Speaker #2: We will then open the call for questions. Certain statements we make today may constitute forward-looking statements and information within the meaning of the Safe Harbor Provisions of the U.S.
Speaker #2: Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than statements of historical fact, including, without limitation, statements regarding our future results of operations and financial position, growth strategy and plans, and objectives of management for future operations, including onboarding new merchants, expanding our offerings, and introducing and integrating new solutions, are forward-looking statements.
Speaker #2: These forward-looking statements reflect our current views with respect to future events and are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual outcomes may differ materially from the information contained in the forward-looking statements as a result of a number of factors, including those set forth in the section titled "Risk Factors" in our annual report on Form 20-F, filed with the SEC on March 27, 2025.
Speaker #2: And other documents filed with or furnished to the SEC. These statements may reflect management's current expectations regarding future events and operating performance, and speak only as of the date of this call.
Speaker #2: You should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. Except as required by applicable law, we undertake no obligation to update or revise publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, after the date on which the statements are made, or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
Speaker #2: Please refer to our press release issued today, November 19, 2025, for additional information. In addition, certain metrics we discussed today are non-GAAP metrics. The presentation of this financial information is not intended to be considered in isolation from, as a substitute for, or superior to the financial information prepared and presented in accordance with GAAP.
Speaker #2: We use these non-GAAP financial measures for financial and operational decision-making, and as a means to evaluate period-to-period comparisons. We believe that these measures provide useful information about operating results, enhance the overall understanding of past financial performance and future prospects, and allow for greater transparency with respect to key metrics used by management in its financial and operational decision-making.
Speaker #2: For more information on these non-GAAP financial measures, please see the reconciliation tables provided in our press release today. Throughout this call, we will provide a number of key performance indicators used by our management and often used by competitors in our industry.
Speaker #2: These and other key performance indicators are discussed in more detail in our press release issued today. I will now turn the call over to Amir, our co-founder and CEO.
Speaker #2: Amir, please go ahead.
Speaker #3: Thanks, Alan. And welcome, everyone, to our third quarter earnings call. We achieved another quarter of very strong results, coming in above the midpoint of our guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDA, and even exceeding the top end of our guidance range on GMV.
Speaker #3: The strong performance was a result of the entire Global-E team around the world continuing their relentless execution throughout the quarter, developing and providing best-in-class solutions and services to our merchants and our shoppers.
Speaker #3: Before we dive into the quarter, in terms of our forward-looking outlook, given what we've seen in the market today and the overall robustness of trading volumes we have witnessed in Q3 and Q4 to date, we are once again raising our midpoint outlook across all of our guidance metrics for the remainder of the year.
Speaker #3: As such, for the full year of 2025, we now expect GMV to be roughly $6.46 billion at the midpoint, representing just over a 33% annual growth rate.
Speaker #3: We're also raising our revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance for the full year to 952.1 million dollars and 192.8 million dollars at the respective midpoints.
Speaker #3: Representing 26.5% and 37% growth for the year, respectively. As in previous years, in 2025, we once again expect to surpass the full-year guidance ranges that we shared with you at the beginning of the year.
Speaker #3: A testament to the durability of our growth algorithm. We believe this strong performance for 2025 keeps us on track to deliver the multi-year growth and bottom-line profitability targets we shared with you during our Investor Day earlier this year.
Speaker #3: Back to our quality results. We finished Q3 with GMV of $1.51 billion, up 33% year over year, and revenue of $221 million, up 25.5% year over year.
Speaker #3: In terms of profit, our adjusted gross profit for Q3 was $102 million, up 24% from last year. And quarterly adjusted EBITDA was $41.3 million, up 33% compared to the same quarter of last year.
Speaker #3: Resulting in an 18.7% margin, a 100 basis point improvement compared with Q3 of 2024. Our GAAP net profit for the quarter was $13.2 million, and we generated $73.6 million in free cash flow.
Speaker #3: An increase of almost 250% compared to last year. Now, before I go through the current trading patterns and our Q3 new merchant launches, I want to provide a few broader business updates.
Speaker #3: First, on several previous calls, we had mentioned our duty drawback offering—a value-added service that we have provided in certain non-U.S. markets for some time now.
Speaker #3: By use of these value-added services and depending on the sale parameters, merchants can potentially reclaim import duties on goods that are exported outside of their home base, as well as on returned goods.
Speaker #3: Given the recent suspension of the de minimis exemption, we have seen increased interest in this offering also for the US. In parallel to other offerings, such as 3B2C, all aimed at helping our brands to navigate the stormy waters of international D2C trade.
Speaker #3: Within the quarter, we also got the permit to offer import duty drawbacks to our US-based merchants for their exports out of the US. Further supporting them in optimizing their cost of trade in times of change.
Speaker #3: Second, a quick update on our managed market solution. We've been working in close collaboration with our partners at Shopify according to our joint plans.
Speaker #3: Over the past six months, most of the development has been completed for a rollout in 2026, and we are currently in beta testing for the new flow.
Speaker #3: As a matter of fact, new merchants that apply now to managed markets are already going through the new flow. We still have some tweaking to do based on what we will learn from the beta merchants, but we remain on track for the next phase of managed markets, moving to full commercialization.
Speaker #3: Third, we continue to make good progress on our borderfree.com offering. During Q3, we added a buy now capability as well as advanced search functionality.
Speaker #3: Enabling a more streamlined shopper experience and improving sales conversion rates. We also continue to see further growth in shopper sign-ups, as well as an increase in the share of merchant sales attributable to the borderfree.com channel, which now stands at over 4.5%.
Speaker #3: Representing an increasingly valuable demand generation channel for merchants in the program. Lastly, during the quarter, we announced the authorization of a $200 million share repurchase program by our board.
Speaker #3: Global-E is a highly cash-generating business. Given our strong balance sheet and our track record of generating sustainable cash flows, we see a share buyback plan as a logical use of cash.
Speaker #3: Especially at the current market valuation. Given the blackout periods that we were subject to in Q3, we have not yet begun buying back shares.
Speaker #3: But we expect to do so starting in the coming days. We will employ a thoughtful approach here to take advantage of any disconnect we see between our performance and outlook and the market valuation of our shares.
Speaker #3: I also want to spend a few minutes on how we are strategically approaching AI in general and agentic e-commerce in particular, and what we are doing to make sure we are well positioned to capitalize on this upcoming market opportunity.
Speaker #3: Throughout this year, we've already been seeing some traffic to our merchant sites being initiated from ChatGPT. And resulting in successful transactions processed by Global-E.
Speaker #3: As well as agent-assisted in-chat checkout transactions. While both still represent a very small share of sales for our merchants, we believe these are exciting potential new sales channels for them.
Speaker #3: As brands focus more on selling within these third-party channels, we will continue to provide the same best-in-class support and service that we provide across all our sales channels.
Speaker #3: Irrespective of the sales channel, the value of our expertise and capabilities do not change. We meet our brands wherever they sell online and provide support for them to transact internationally regardless of the source of traffic.
Speaker #3: Furthermore, we have deployed AI-powered use cases throughout the buying journey, from demand generation utilizing AI, both for brands using our agency services and for our own B2B marketing, through to different aspects of trade and post-purchase support, from classification down to customer care.
Speaker #3: In parallel, we also have an internal team focused on making sure that our solutions will be positioned to work seamlessly across agentic commerce platforms for instant checkout, from both a merchant and a consumer perspective, when such platforms are introduced to the market.
Speaker #3: As our partners look to work with agentic technologies to provide instant checkout capabilities, we will be there to provide a seamless, effective, and compliant end-to-end international experience.
Speaker #3: This is all obviously very early in the lifecycle. But, as always, we will keep doing what it takes to remain at the forefront of global e-commerce.
Speaker #3: And we'll utilize the advantages of our scale, know-how, and sophistication to emerge as a share gainer. By focusing on this early and engaging with key players in the space, we are aiming to maintain our pole position for the enablement of seamless, cross-border commerce within AI-led transactions in the future.
Speaker #3: Now let's move on to the broader business performance in the third quarter and what we're currently seeing in Q4. As I already mentioned, we saw consumer discretionary spending holding up during Q3.
Speaker #3: And Q4 to date, we continue to see strong market traction with our largest merchants across different destination markets. The trading patterns we have seen in Q3 and the first half of Q4 give us confidence that we will end the year strong.
Speaker #3: In terms of new merchant launches within Q3, we continue to grow across geographies. And within our cohort of merchants. We experience continued strong demand for our services across different markets.
Speaker #3: As a large number of brands went live with Global-E during the quarter, this included multiple brands that went live with us in the U.S.
Speaker #3: Such as Everlane, the renowned high street online U.S. clothing retailer that recently moved to Shopify, which shows Global-E is accelerating its international growth. And Ashford, the luxury U.S. watch brand.
Speaker #3: In Canada, we launched with the online shop of Drake's fashion brand, October's Very Own. Additionally, we've partnered with Aritzia, the fast-growing clothing company, which has shown a quick ramp-up of their conversion rates and international sales post-launch with Global-E.
Speaker #3: As they mentioned in their recent quarterly earnings call, in the UK, we launched with renowned luxury brand Coach, which is part of the Tapestry group of brands.
Speaker #3: With Brown's Fashion, formerly part of Farfetch, and with the jewelry brand Regal Rose. I'm also pleased to say that the UK's Marks & Spencer is back online as of October.
Speaker #3: And their trading is back to normal patterns. In France, we launched with Chloé, the renowned luxury fashion brand, thereby extending our partnership with the Richemont Group.
Speaker #3: We also launched with Le Coq Sportif, the classic French sportswear brand, and with the fashion brand Hartford. Across other European markets, we launched with sleeper brand Kalida and dog-ear brand Cloud 7 in Germany.
Speaker #3: And with D1 Milano watches in Italy, among others. In Asia Pacific, we launched Bandai Spirits, the famous Japanese toy and collectible company, as well as the Japanese designer fashion brand Mihare Yasuhu.
Speaker #3: And Posy, the high-end Australian fashion brand. We also launched Beauty of Joseon, a Korean skincare company, and Paper Shoot, a consumer electronics brand, which is also the first Taiwanese brand to sign with us.
Speaker #3: Another exciting launch in the region during Q3 was that of Black Booth Swimwear, our first brand out of the Philippines. Within the sporting goods vertical, golfers around the world can now buy their iron sets from Takomo Golf, the Finnish D2C golf brand, which went live with us during Q3.
Speaker #3: During the quarter, we also went live with Fly Sports, a UK-based sports equipment brand, and with Loop Tackle, a Scandinavian fly fishing gear company, which is also the first to integrate our services on a headless WooCommerce instance.
Speaker #3: Besides many new merchant launches, during Q3, we also expanded our scope of business with quite a few existing merchants. Such as Figs, where we expanded into South Korea and a number of Latin American markets.
Speaker #3: Helmut Lang, the New York-based fashion brand, and the merchandise division of JYP Entertainment, one of the largest K-pop labels and production companies, both expanded into Japan.
Speaker #3: Bang & Olufsen and Tom Ford, which both opened a number of new European markets with us in the quarter. Australian fashion brand Zimmerman, which went live with us with its own home site serving the APAC region.
Speaker #3: And fashion brand Theory, which added support for several GCC countries out of its new UK site integration, both Burberry and Pair Eyewear, whom we worked with to expand into Mexico.
Speaker #3: Bash, which expanded with us into Norway, and Vuoi, which added more than 10 new countries, including Japan, Italy, Spain, and several Nordic countries. Furthermore, as I mentioned earlier, in the face of higher tariffs and the suspension of the de minimis exemption in the U.S., we have seen heightened interest in our 3B2C and multi-local solutions.
Speaker #3: As well as our duty drawback value-added services. More and more merchants, both existing and new, continue to pivot to utilizing these advanced capabilities in order to mitigate as much as possible the effects of the new duty regimes on their business.
Speaker #3: The launch of new merchants and the continued expansion with existing merchants as well as our current pipeline give us confidence that we are well positioned in terms of both our near-term and our long-term targets.
Speaker #3: We have good visibility to durable, profitable growth and a strong pipeline of cash flows into the future. Our results here to date would be impressive in any environment.
Speaker #3: But considering the uncertainty that the global e-commerce market faced at the start of 2025, I believe these results really showcase the resiliency of our business model and the value that we create for our merchants.
Speaker #3: I will now hand it over to Ofer to take us through the quarterly numbers in more depth. And our increased 2025 guidance in Q4
Speaker #3: archive. Thank you,
Speaker #2: Amir, and thanks everyone for joining us today for our earnings call. As Amir just highlighted, we achieved another strong quarter of growth for Global-E.
Speaker #2: We delivered results at or above the top ends of our guidance ranges for GMV, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA. We generated strong free cash flow and had another quarter that landed well above the Rule of 40.
Speaker #2: Before I go into the details of the quarter, I'd like to remind everyone again that in addition to our gap results, I'll also be discussing certain non-gap results.
Speaker #2: Our GAAP financial results, along with the reconciliation between GAAP and non-GAAP results, can be found in our earnings release issued today. GMV in Q3 was $1.512 billion, up 33% year over year.
Speaker #2: 3% above the midpoint of our range for Q3. Trading volumes remained resilient in the third quarter, despite some uncertainty due to ongoing changes to tariffs.
Speaker #2: As Amir discussed, we have also seen solid trading volumes through the first half of Q4, including significant contributions from some of the newly launched brands.
Speaker #2: The holiday shopping season is just getting underway, and we have seen initial sales volumes in line with expectations so far. In Q3, we generated total revenue of $220.8 million, up 25% year over year.
Speaker #2: And 2% above the midpoint of our guidance range. Service fee revenue for the quarter was 103.5 million dollars, and fulfillment services revenue for the quarter was 117.3 million dollars.
Speaker #2: Service fee take rate was slightly lower than Q2, and in line with the first quarter, driven by mix, while fulfillment take rate was similar to last quarter and, as expected, lower compared to the first quarter given the planned shift of certain volumes to multi-local.
Speaker #2: And our growth within verticals that are multi-local by nature. Progressing through the income statement, non-gap gross profit was 102.1 million dollars, up 24% year over year, representing a gross margin of 46.3% compared to 46.7% in the same period last year.
Speaker #2: Gap gross profit was 99.6 million dollars, representing a margin of 45.1%. Moving on to operational expenses, in Q3 we continued to invest in the enhancement of our platform to further expand our offerings and add value for our merchants.
Speaker #2: While leveraging our scale and AI tools and agents to gain efficiencies, R&D expense in Q3, excluding stock-based compensation, was $26.1 million, or 11.8% of revenue, compared to $22.8 million, or 13% of revenue in the same period last year.
Speaker #2: Total R&D spend in Q3 was $30.8 million. We also continued to invest for growth within our sales and marketing organization, while remaining focused on cost and efficiency, including by the growing use of AI-powered tools across our sales and marketing activities.
Speaker #2: Such as demand generation, lead qualification, and outreach. Sales and marketing expense, excluding Shopify-related amortization expenses, stock-based compensation, and acquisition-related intangibles amortization, was $26.4 million, or 12% of revenue.
Speaker #2: Compared to 21.5 million dollars, or 12.2% of revenue in the same period last year. Shopify warrants related amortization expense was 8 million dollars in the quarter, down from 37.4 million dollars in Q3 24.
Speaker #2: As I've discussed in the past several quarters, we expect this expense to remain at the same level for the remainder of the year and to be completely gone at the beginning of 2026.
Speaker #2: Total sales and marketing spend for the quarter was $38.4 million, down from $62.7 million in the same quarter last year. General and administrative expenses, excluding stock-based compensation, acquisition-related expenses, and acquisition-related contingent consideration, were $9.2 million, or 4.2% of revenue, compared to $7.7 million, or 4.4% of revenue, in Q3 of last year.
Speaker #2: Total G&A spend in the quarter was $13.4 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $41.3 million, up 33% from Q3 2024 and 5% above the midpoint of our guidance range.
Speaker #2: Adjusted EBITDA margin was 18.7% versus a 17.7% margin in Q3 2024, driven by lower operating expenses as a percent of revenue, leveraging our scale and cost efficiencies.
Speaker #2: In Q3, our GAAP net profit was $13.2 million, compared to a net loss of $22.6 million in the year-ago period. The positive net profit was driven mainly by the reduced amortization expenses related to the Shopify warrants, as well as our continued business growth and our growing efficiencies.
Speaker #2: Moving on to the balance sheet and cash flow statements, we ended the quarter with $552 million in cash and cash equivalents, including short-term deposits and marketable securities.
Speaker #2: Q3 was a strong quarter of cash generation, with free cash flow of $73.6 million in the quarter. This represents an increase of 245% compared with Q3 of 2024.
Speaker #2: We believe that our free cash flow margin, adjusted for seasonality, will continue to be strong in the coming quarters. As Amir highlighted, we expect to begin utilizing a portion of this cash to repurchase outstanding shares in the coming quarters, in accordance with the Board's authorization.
Speaker #2: We plan to start executing upon our buyback program in Q4, subject to market conditions and other applicable factors. We have a strong track record of cash generation and see an opportunity to return capital to shareholders to drive long-term value creation.
Speaker #2: We will also continue to look for opportunistic tuck-in acquisition opportunities to enhance our platform or offerings. Now, let's go through our guidance for the remainder of the year.
Speaker #2: For Q4 2025, we're expecting G&V to be in the range of 2.195 to 2.315 billion dollars. At the midpoint of the range, this represents a growth rate of 32% versus Q4 of 2024.
Speaker #2: We expect Q4 revenue to be in the range of $318.5 million to $334.5 million, representing a year-over-year growth rate of 24% at the midpoint.
Speaker #2: For adjusted EBITDA, we're expecting profit to be in the range of 74.3 to 88.7 million dollars, or a margin of 25% at the midpoint.
Speaker #2: For the full year of 2025, this implies G&V to be in the range of $6.404 to $6.524 billion, representing a 33% annual growth rate at the midpoint of the range.
Speaker #2: An increase of 2% from our guidance at the start of the year. Revenue is expected to be in the range of $944.1 million to $960.1 million, representing a growth rate of 26.5% at the midpoint of the range.
Speaker #2: An increase of 1% from our initial guidance. For adjusted EBITDA, we're expecting a range of $185.6 million to $200 million, an increase of 37% versus 2024 at the midpoint, and up 2% versus our initial guidance.
Speaker #2: We are excited by our guidance for Q4 and the full year of 2025, which reflects a strengthened outlook across all parameters. Furthermore, 2025 is expected to be our first GAAP profitable year as a public company.
Speaker #2: Our upwards revised full year 2025 numbers demonstrate and reinforce our path to meet the medium-term targets that we provided at our investor day in March.
Speaker #2: To summarize, we believe the current environment represents exciting opportunities globally. To create value for our merchants by growing their sales while optimizing their costs.
Speaker #2: And to continue growing at a fast pace for the foreseeable future. Given the increasingly complicated global e-commerce environment, we believe our services are becoming more and more integral to merchants every day.
Speaker #2: The market opportunity in front of us remains massive, and we plan to continue on our path to support merchants worldwide in expanding their direct-to-consumer business.
Speaker #2: And with that, Amir Nir Ellen and I are happy to answer questions you may have. Operator. Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session.
Speaker #2: To ask a question, you may press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star followed by the number two.
Speaker #2: We kindly ask you to please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. Your first question comes from Will Nance with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
Speaker #3: Thank you for taking the question, and nice job today. Had a nice result. I wanted to maybe touch a little bit on the commentary around the duty drawback product.
Speaker #3: It seems like you guys have continued to flag the sanction in the market with that product. And just maybe, if you could talk more broadly about the opportunity for value-added services and any changes in how you're thinking about the longer-term trajectory of additional products, on top of what we've always thought of as the core product.
Speaker #3: Thanks.
Speaker #4: Hi, Will. Thank
Speaker #4: Thank you for a question. I'm very excited about the developments we've seen in obtaining the permission to offer duty drawback in more jurisdictions to our clients.
Speaker #4: As the market becomes more complex for our merchants, the duty burden globally is rising. We've seen the changes already implemented on U.S. import tariffs.
Speaker #4: We've seen some changes in Canadian regulation. We are aware of the upcoming removal of the de minimis threshold for the EU as well. That is expected sometime in the back half of 2026 for the entire European community.
Speaker #4: The increase in the importance of duty drawback is clear. Typically in e-commerce, out of 100% of items sold, you would see 10% to 15% coming back.
Speaker #4: Without duty drawback, it means that it's a loss of the duties on those sales, which typically account for 2% to 4%. So this is money that we can actually bring back home for our merchants, streamlining the cost-effectiveness.
Speaker #4: And in the current and foreseeable environment, that's a critical component to the trading.
Speaker #3: That's great. And it makes a lot of sense. And then I guess just separately, I was wondering if you could maybe speak to pipelines of realizing we're kind of done with implementations for this year heading into holiday season.
Speaker #3: I was wondering if you could give some incremental color on just how pipelines heading into next year compare to this year, both in terms of the size and geography of merchants and just how you're seeing things shaping up.
Speaker #3: Thanks. Nice job
Speaker #3: today. Sure,
Speaker #4: Will. We continue to see high demand for our new services, supporting merchants doing 3B2C multi-local and other value-added services we deployed. Furthermore, there are multiple opportunities that we are seeing in global e-commerce as it becomes more complex.
Speaker #4: It's driven by what we spoke about just now regarding the extra complexity of duties. It's influenced by other factors of complexity and the cost structure of aligning shipping.
Speaker #4: Wanting to do multi-local efficiently across geos, et cetera. So all in all, we're quite optimistic we see development across the different stages of our funnel.
Speaker #4: We've seen a deployed into our Q4, which is part of the confidence we have in the guidance we gave. So all in all, we're quite optimistic going into
Speaker #4: We've seen a deployed into our Q4, which is part of the confidence we have in the guidance we gave. So all in all, we're quite optimistic going into 2026.
Speaker #2: And the next question comes from James Fawcett with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Speaker #5: Hi, guys. It's Michael in Fontana for James. Thanks for taking our question. I wanted to ask on service fee take rates. How much of that sequential take rate decel is just due to the fact that you're continuing to win with larger merchants?
Speaker #5: And as you think about the path forward with some of the renewal impacts beginning to show up in Q4, how are you thinking about the path for service fee take rates from here? If there are case-by-case pricing concessions that are made, with those concessions presumably being absorbed in the P&L via some of those improvements in unit economics that you've referred to in the past?
Speaker #4: Yeah. So thank you for that, Michael. Regarding the first nine months of the year, it has been slightly volatile and it's mainly due to mix.
Speaker #4: So there are some mixed shifts between quarters and in addition to that, as you mentioned, we see larger enterprise merchants, a higher share of larger enterprise merchants which also have a certain impact.
Speaker #4: So, when you look at Q3, there are similar levels to Q1, but lower levels compared to Q2. As we mentioned in Q2, we had some positive mixed impact.
Speaker #4: That's on the service fee side. Going forward, as we mentioned in the past, we don't see any significant wide change. We do see, from time to time, we might reprice on specific cases.
Speaker #4: But we are not we do not expect a significant change on service fee take rates. On the overall take rate picture, what we have been doing for the last few years and in the last quarters as well is expanding our time by developing new business models that allows us to further serve new and existing merchants.
Speaker #4: And our main financial focus in this effort has been driving profit, both from a margin and reported dollar perspective. Some of these models, by nature, have lower take rates.
Speaker #4: For example, as you know, multi-local is a good example for that. But important for us to note that they all meet our long-term profitability and support our long-term profitability goals.
Speaker #4: So on the fulfillment take rate side, we have seen some decrease over time. For the near future, we expect it to be around the levels that you have seen this quarter.
Speaker #5: Very helpful. And then just secondly on managed markets. I know you've spoken in the past about harmonizing the domestic and international experiences, but can you just talk about what mechanically has sort of changed versus the prior implementation and what you expect to learn in the beta and perhaps how you're thinking about a little bit more of a material merchant push into next year post that beta testing?
Speaker #5: Thanks, guys.
Speaker #4: Sure. Thanks, Michael. It's Amir. As we mentioned already, we've been making great progress on the rollout of the new managed markets, the new flow.
Speaker #4: The main change there, there are a few updates to the service, but I think the main cornerstone is that we've shifted the flows to work through Shopify Payments rather than through the dedicated payment infrastructure that we had in the previous iteration.
Speaker #4: And what that is expected to allow us is for, as you mentioned, a much more streamlined experience for the merchants and minimal change, if any, from how they're used to managing their store today.
Speaker #4: So, that should be the, I would say, the great benefit of this new build. And together with Shopify, we've done most of the development.
Speaker #4: It's pretty much ready for a rollout in 2026. And we are already these beta merchants that we mentioned, they're kind of live merchants because they're every new merchant as of the third quarter when we had the build in place, every new merchant that is signing up for a managed market is actually going through this new flow.
Speaker #4: So we are getting an increased volume of merchants and transactions. And this is serving as the kind of the beta testing for this new flow.
Speaker #4: We use the learning from that to make some final refinements. And we'll be ready for a full rollout next year.
Speaker #2: Thank you. And the next question comes from Brian Peterson with Raymond James. Please go ahead.
Speaker #2: ahead. Hey, guys.
Speaker #6: Thanks for taking the question. So maybe high-level, can we talk about some of the changes in tariffs and everything else? What are you seeing in terms of the top of the funnel and kind of that white space or new merchants?
Speaker #6: Any update there in terms of the top of the funnel regarding that progress?
Speaker #4: Hey, Brian, it's Neil. So all in all, I think that in line with our expectation, we have seen some effect on same-store sales, especially on the inbound US corridor.
Speaker #4: We've seen some weakness, particularly on the corridors between the U.S. and Canada. However, from a global perspective, trading remains strong and resilient. So, we're quite optimistic there.
Speaker #4: Taking it into what we forecasted in our pipeline, and the effect in mid-term onwards, we start to see it materializing. As global trading becomes more complex, our funnel is actually being built up quicker than before.
Speaker #4: And we are quite optimistic that the extra complexities, with the solutions and capability we build around duty drawbacks, import duty drawbacks, 3B2C multi-local split shipments, etc., would create sustainable business growth of new business in the coming quarters.
Speaker #1: Good to hear. And maybe just following up, for the return go acquisition, anything we should be thinking about in terms of contributions to revenue or expenses in the fourth quarter?
Speaker #1: Thanks,
Speaker #1: guys. Yeah.
Speaker #4: So for now, ReturnGO doesn't have a significant impact. It will contribute up to $1 million of revenue in Q4, and it will have a slight negative impact on adjusted EBITDA—nothing worth mentioning.
Speaker #4: We are very optimistic about return go because since we acquired the company we have been started to implement the return go solution into global.
Speaker #4: It's early days, but we see good interest and traction from merchants. And we see some upside potential as. It is still insignificant, as I mentioned, but the run rate of revenue since we acquired the company has significantly grown.
Speaker #4: And we are quite optimistic going into 2026.
Speaker #1: Good to hear. Congrats on the.
Speaker #1: quarter. Thanks a
Speaker #4: lot. And the next
Speaker #2: question comes from Mark Sikorovich with Benchmark. Please go
Speaker #2: ahead. Thanks,
Speaker #1: guys. Amir, I was just hoping maybe you can round out the commentary around same-store sales and in terms of second half NDR trends sort of year over year and how you're thinking about first half.
Speaker #1: Next year, and maybe also balancing that with just Neil's new deal pipeline growth. Thanks.
Speaker #4: Hi. Thanks for the question. So as noted, same-store sales stable throughout the year. And it continued despite the global tariff changes we've seen and their effect on key corridors.
Speaker #4: As I indicated, there was a slight weakness in the corridor of imports into the U.S. versus how other lanes are trading, as well as some weakness between Canada and the U.S. with imports into Canada.
Speaker #4: However, overall, it looks stable. We do see some realization that started late Q3 in terms of, I would say, some adjustment of consumer behavior, maybe, and merchants' pricing to the new environment.
Speaker #4: So, we expect that to stabilize also on those corridors going into 2026. In terms of the funnel, as I noted, we are quite optimistic, as we stated in the last quarter discussion.
Speaker #4: This year, indeed, we didn't have mega clients launching in the back half of the year. However, this was compensated. We expected it to be compensated with multiple smaller merchants' launches that are trading very, very well.
Speaker #4: So and this is, of course, embedded into the numbers that you see, that show our confidence in the growth that would come also from new
Speaker #4: merchants. Got it.
Speaker #1: That's helpful. Thank you. And on Borderfree, just curious, it sounds like things are progressing there quite nicely. If you can, maybe talk about the trajectory into next year in terms of monetization. Is that perhaps more of a first half or a second half type modest inflection there on the monetization front?
Speaker #1: That'd be helpful.
Speaker #1: Thanks. Well, very
Speaker #4: Excited with the opportunity of Borderfree.com. I think that when we set up acquiring Borderfree two and a half years ago, and then the building we did to the platform, our goal was to allow our merchants to have effective brand awareness at a guaranteed ROI. We've seen the changes back then with Google's no-cookie policy and Apple iOS changes that actually made attribution harder on their media spend, and actually, the cost of driving new traffic to your site was expensive and getting more expensive.
Speaker #4: This is even further accelerated with a lot of the eyeballs moving into chats and chat GPT, Gemini, and others. Which takes again, reduces the contribution and the attribution of paid media.
Speaker #4: And that further strengthened the model behind border freeze. So we are very excited. We see continued adoption of new merchants. We see more and more returning customers using borderfree.com.
Speaker #4: We expect that with investment we're making now into a direct-to-checkout solution, optimizing traffic journeys through the site, the new cart that we just launched just a couple of weeks ago allowing you to buy more than one product out of borderfree.com, et cetera.
Speaker #4: We will see much more conversion out of there. It's already increasing its share of demand generation to participating brands, and we expect it to continue accelerating into 2026.
Speaker #4: I'm not, I don't see a material contribution to direct revenue, especially not in the first half of 2026. But if we meet our plans, I believe that over time it will yield, outside of the direct revenue, much more stickiness with our clients and even faster growth to their own same-store sales.
Speaker #1: Got it. Thanks, Amir. And nice results, guys.
Speaker #4: Thanks a lot.
Speaker #2: And the next question comes from Samad Samanu with Jefferies. Please go ahead.
Speaker #2: ahead. Hi, guys.
Speaker #3: This is Jeremy on for Samad. Thanks for taking my questions and congrats on the strong results. I guess first, can you please give the FX impact on 3Q GMV and total revenue?
Speaker #3: And what FX impact are you baking into the 4Q guidance?
Speaker #4: Yeah. So FX was much more stable in Q3 compared to Q2. We haven't seen any significant impact, nor on the top line nor on the bottom line.
Speaker #4: And at least for now, it seems pretty stable in Q4 as well. So no big shifts. And we don't expect any significant or material impact from FX this
Speaker #4: quarter. Okay.
Speaker #3: And then on the enterprise integration with Shopify, have you seen any change to the competitive dynamics or any key learnings or takeaways from shifting to the new partnership?
Speaker #3: And then maybe can you help us size the uplift from transitioning to preferred economics that you're expecting going forward?
Speaker #3: forward? Hi, Samad
Speaker #4: Steel. In general, we haven't seen any material changes in the competitive environment over the last few quarters. We continue to clearly lead the market in the robustness, capabilities, and the offering of our platform and services.
Speaker #4: On Shopify specifically, we haven't seen notable changes since we signed the new agreement and transferred to the preferred status. Looking at the enterprise side, we don't see anyone competing with us in a meaningful way today.
Speaker #4: There is another MR provider that supports enterprise brands. However, their traction is low outside Shopify. And we expect it to be even lower within Shopify.
Speaker #4: On the smaller players, that are working on Shopify, those have been selling a piecemeal solution or point solutions even before the change. And they haven't managed to take any enterprise merchants.
Speaker #4: And only I would say very low traction within the smaller ones. So we haven't seen any material change to the dynamic. In terms of the Shopify rev share, it has improved economics from the new contract began towards the end of Q3.
Speaker #4: And the full impact is reflected in the Q4.
Speaker #4: guide. Got it.
Speaker #3: Thanks for taking my questions.
Speaker #4: Thanks.
Speaker #2: The next question comes from
Speaker #2: Bank. Please go ahead.
Speaker #3: Oh, great. Thank you. At a high level, can you guys just explain how the duty drawback works very simply for people who don't quite get it?
Speaker #3: And then also, what you need to do in order to roll it out in a new country?
Speaker #4: Yeah. So let's take into account an example of a sale from a U.S. merchant to a Canadian shopper. Let's assume that the goods that were bought were $200.
Speaker #4: Once they hit the Canadian borders, duty and tax applied, whether if they were paid in advance, paid at the border, duty and tax applied.
Speaker #4: The average duty rate let's put it at 15% would be another $30 that are paid on those goods. And another 5% for sales tax.
Speaker #4: And you get $40 that are levied on these 20 or $200 parcel. Overall, these $40 are paid by the merchant or by the shopper, but they are part of what the merchant built into his pricing when he sold the goods.
Speaker #4: However, if a state had 10% of the goods are coming back, or 15% even, it means that out of those $40 tax, on average, four to six dollars are represented by returned goods.
Speaker #4: And actually, those dollars are lost today. With globally, for example, in Canada, where we have a CBSA-approved credit program for our brands, we are actually able to reclaim those four to six dollars for our brand actually optimizing their cost structure and selling into Canada around 2% for each
Speaker #4: transaction. All right.
Speaker #3: That's great. Okay. So you shouldn't have to pay on the things you return. Got it. And then over a follow-up for you, as I look at your four-year plan versus where you are now, everything seems to make a lot of sense, except maybe the non-gap gross margins your fiscal 25 to 28 guidance is high 40s, and you're 46 this quarter, right?
Speaker #3: So I don't think that's high. So can we just address that a little bit?
Speaker #4: Yeah. So I think that, as we've mentioned in the investor day, we did not expect gross margins to increase over the levels that we have been able to reach.
Speaker #4: We sold for basically what is the bottom line. It's cash generation and adjusted EBITDA that is more or less correlated to it. As I mentioned, we have developed different models over time with different profiles that have some impact, different impacts on line items.
Speaker #4: So, I think that from our angle, we are on track to reach that target. We believe that we will be in the high 40s for gross margin.
Speaker #4: We're in that neighborhood
Speaker #1: That we can stay in similar levels . Maybe slightly improve over the the the term of of the plan that we presented .
Speaker #2: Great . Thank you .
Speaker #3: Thanks , Pat .
Speaker #4: next The question comes from Koji Ishida with Bank of America . Please go ahead .
Speaker #5: Hey guys . Yeah . Thanks so much for taking the questions . I wanted to ask about Agentic Commerce , and can you talk a little bit about how globally will help with the data flow to power Agentic commerce ?
Speaker #5: I mean , do you envision globally plugging directly into the chat ? GPT type Agentic commerce experiences and how , if at all , is Agentic commerce changing cycles sales right now ?
Speaker #3: Sure . Koji . Hi , thanks for your question . I think I touched upon it a bit in the prepared remarks . We do believe that Agentic commerce is going to affect the entire value chain .
Speaker #3: Of e-commerce , and we're already starting to see signs of that today . As I mentioned , starting from the top of the funnel , kind of demand generation is is being done today more with with AI enabled technologies , including campaigns , even campaigns that we ourselves are doing for for B2C , there are using the meta advantage plus tools that are AI driven , and we're building custom generative , AI based tools to streamline many functions across the the funnel from consumer support and even scoping and and targeting and outreach to to merchants .
Speaker #3: So we think that the especially the high growth kind of B2C brands , probably the best positions positioned to work to to leverage AI integrations remove and barriers that are currently exist in , in marketing and selling and advertising and creating traffic from markets where previously it was very complex for to them create brand awareness with with manual processes .
Speaker #3: So we're we're you know , we're looking we're constantly looking at the new developments in the field . We're very impressed by what AI supported platforms have been able to achieve in the relatively short time .
Speaker #3: And we're already seeing some transactions not not directly to kind of instant checkout , but transactions that are already initiated from ChatGPT and from agents assisted in chat checkout .
Speaker #3: And we believe this will this will grow in the future . In any case , given our given our expertise , given our unique know how and our our scale data and capabilities , we are best believe we positioned to provide the kind of international and cross-border layers that are required in order to to enable these AI powered transactions in the future .
Speaker #5: Got it . Thank you so much . And maybe a follow up here . I look at the third quarter GMV growth looks looks really strong in the 2025 GM guide .
Speaker #5: Looks really good too. And so last year on the third quarter call, you did give some early look GMV growth for 2025 of 30%.
Speaker #5: And clearly the the guide today implies that you're going to achieve that . So is there anything you can share today for 2026 GMV growth assumptions .
Speaker #5: Thank you so much .
Speaker #1: , we are Yeah very happy with the Q3 results and the growth trajectory . We are seeing into Q4 . And this will also support us going into 2026 .
Speaker #1: As mentioned in the prepared remarks , we have seen very successful merchant launches in recent months , and there are trading very well .
Speaker #1: So we believe that this will provide us some tailwind going into 26 . Generally speaking , we believe that we are on path to achieve our mid-term targets .
Speaker #1: And I think this is sort of the framework that we are looking at going into 2026.
Speaker #4: Thank you. And the next question comes from Rob Wildhack with Autonomous Research. Please go ahead.
Speaker #6: Hi guys . To start on the repurchase , could you just give us some additional thoughts in your approach to like a time frame around the 200 million ?
Speaker #1: So as we mentioned on the call , we have been in a closed window till up now . And we plan to start executing on the on the plan soon .
Speaker #1: The pace will depend on on the market conditions and other and aspects , but but we do expect to start executing very soon and and start to to to buy some of this plan in the , in the coming months .
Speaker #6: Okay . And then bigger picture , could you just remind us about how you're thinking about the bridge between adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow , both as it relates to the to the guidance , but also in the context of the longer term target any numbers that you could to put the free cash generation , maybe between 2020 .
Speaker #6: You know, the bridge between 2026 and that longer-term target for, I think, mid to high 20% margin.
Speaker #1: Yes . So generally speaking , when we look at the full year , because we have seasonality for for cash flow and free cash flow , but look at when you the full year , typically correlates with with adjusted EBITDA .
Speaker #1: But it's higher if you look at previous years, and we expect it to continue to be somewhat higher compared to adjusted EBITDA.
Speaker #1: And this is supported mainly by working capital. As long as we grow, this gives us some tailwind, and we expect it to continue on that path in the coming years as well.
Speaker #7: I think it’s also important to note that we guided on the longer-term targets. We do have efficiencies of scale as we continue to grow.
Speaker #7: You can see it on term the long trajectory of improvement in our EBITDA and of course , out of it , you will see also the improvement coming .
Speaker #7: Coming on our free cash flow, that is trading even slightly better.
Speaker #6: Okay . Thank you .
Speaker #4: And the next question comes from Chris Zang with UBS. Please go ahead.
Speaker #8: Hi . Good morning . Thanks for squeezing us in . And I just have a question on the regional trends you've seen so far .
Speaker #8: And I'm talking about the merchant outbound region. It looks like there's some softness in the U.S., and that was offset by the U.K. and the European Union.
Speaker #8: Even if we adjusted for Ted Baker in the UK, could you maybe just comment on some of the regional trends versus the prior quarters, and what are the drivers there?
Speaker #8: Thank you .
Speaker #7: I think what you referred to is the fact that the share of the US outbound was slightly this lower quarter , I don't think that it reflects a weakness on the US trading outbound .
Speaker #7: It's much more reflects a the mix of our new launches . That is coming from additional origins such as our great success in APAC and also some growth in continental Europe that in shell grew faster than the launches we had in UK and also some of the merchants that traded even even better .
Speaker #7: But the combination of both yielded the yielded , yielded this result . It's not that we expected to over time , be consistent .
Speaker #7: So I wouldn't use it as a trend.
Speaker #8: I appreciate .
Speaker #9: It .
Speaker #4: Thank you . And that concludes our question and answer session . I'll hand it back to global . SEO Amir for closing remarks .
Speaker #3: Thank you . And on behalf of the entire global team , I would like to thank everyone for joining us today and for your ongoing support .
Speaker #3: Despite the uncertainty that the global commerce markets faced at the start of the year , we've continued to outperform every step of the way .
Speaker #3: Our outlook and market positioning is as strong as it's ever been , and we're excited to demonstrate continued performance for the remainder of 2025 and for years to come .
Speaker #3: We see tremendous opportunity within the market for our platform and services as we grow with new and existing both merchants . Our confidence in the value that globally is bringing to the e-commerce market remains reinforced with a long runway of innovation and growth here at globally .
Speaker #3: by And leaning into the opportunities ahead of us , we remain confident in our ability to achieve our growth targets across our key metrics .
Speaker #3: For the foreseeable future . We look forward to speaking with many of you during the quarter and updating you on our future earnings calls .
Speaker #3: Till then , goodbye and take care .