Q2 2026 PrairieSky Royalty Ltd Earnings Call

July 14, 2026

Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the PrairieSky Royalty Ltd Q2 2026 financial results. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one one on your telephone, and you will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again.

Speaker #1: After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 11 on your telephone, and you will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised.

Speaker #1: And to withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please be advised that today’s conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Andrew Phillips, President and Chief Executive Officer.

Operator: Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would like now to turn your conference over to Andrew Phillips, President and Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.

Speaker #1: Please go ahead.

Speaker #2: Thank you very much, operator, and good morning. Thank you for dialing in to the PrairieSky Q2 2026 conference call. On the call from PrairieSky are Dan Bertram, Pam Casal, Mike Murphy, and myself, Andrew Phillips.

Andrew Phillips: Thank you very much, operator. Good morning, and thank you for dialing into the PrairieSky Q2 2026 conference call. On the call from PrairieSky are Dan Bertram, Pam Kazeil, Mike Murphy, and myself, Andrew Phillips. Before we begin, there's certain forward-looking information and statements in our commentary today. I'd ask listeners and investors to review the forward-looking statements qualifier in our press release in MD&A, which can be found on our website. Oil production increased 7% from Q1 this year. Stronger activity levels across the basin drove the increase. Strong spot activity on our lands throughout the quarter is encouraging for the balance of the year. With a CAD 0.71 dollar, over $70 US WTI crude, we are close to CAD 100 per barrel for Canadian light oil.

Speaker #2: Before we begin, there are certain forward-looking information and statements in our commentary today, so I would ask listeners and investors to review the forward-looking statements qualifier in our press release and MD&A, which can be found on our website.

Speaker #2: Oil production increased 7% from Q1 this year. Stronger activity levels across the basin drove the increase. Strong spud activity on our lands throughout the quarter is encouraging for the balance of the year.

Andrew Phillips: Oil production increased 7% from Q1 this year. Stronger activity levels across the basin drove the increase. Strong spot activity on our lands throughout the quarter is encouraging for the balance of the year. With a CAD 0.71 dollar, over $70 US WTI crude, we are close to CAD 100 per barrel for Canadian light oil.

Speaker #2: With a $0.71 dollar and over $70 US WTI crude, we are close to $100 per barrel for a Canadian light oil. In 2019, pre-COVID, we had 234 million shares fully diluted outstanding, with average annual royalty production of 8,633 barrels per day of oil and 46 million barrels of reserves.

Andrew Phillips: In 2019, pre-COVID, we had 234 million shares fully diluted outstanding, with average annual royalty production of 8,633 barrels per day of oil and 46 million barrels of reserves. Today, we have 232.4 million shares outstanding with average oil production of 14,740 barrels per day and 64 million barrels of reserves. We will be net cash by this time next year. Numerous newly formed oil companies have been founded over the past year. This quarter, we entered into 57 leases with 46 distinct operators. We continue to pursue leasing agreements with qualified, well-capitalized companies. PrairieSky expects another busy summer of both leasing and drilling activity, with 215 rigs active in the field today, up from 170 a year ago. Wet field conditions have hindered operations in Eastern Alberta heavy oil region, delaying some completion and drilling activity.

Andrew Phillips: In 2019, pre-COVID, we had 234 million shares fully diluted outstanding, with average annual royalty production of 8,633 bbl per day of oil and 46 million barrels of reserves. Today, we have 232.4 million shares outstanding with average oil production of 14,740 bbl per day and 64 million barrels of reserves. We will be net cash by this time next year. Numerous newly formed oil companies have been founded over the past year. This quarter, we entered into 57 leases with 46 distinct operators.

Speaker #2: Today, we have 232.4 million shares outstanding, with average oil production of 14,740 barrels per day and 64 million barrels of reserves. We will be net cash by this time next year.

Speaker #2: Numerous newly formed oil companies have been founded over the past year. This quarter, we entered into 57 leases with 46 distinct operators. We continue to pursue leasing agreements with qualified, well-capitalized companies.

Andrew Phillips: We continue to pursue leasing agreements with qualified, well-capitalized companies. PrairieSky expects another busy summer of both leasing and drilling activity, with 215 rigs active in the field today, up from 170 a year ago. Wet field conditions have hindered operations in Eastern Alberta heavy oil region, delaying some completion and drilling activity.

Speaker #2: PrairieSky expects another busy summer of both leasing and drilling activity, with 215 rigs active in the field today, up from 170 a year ago.

Speaker #2: Wet field conditions have hindered operations in the eastern Alberta heavy oil region, delaying some completion and drilling activity. I will turn the call over to Mike to discuss activity on our lands.

Andrew Phillips: I will turn the call over to Mike to discuss activity on our lands.

Speaker #3: Thanks, Andrew. Drilling activity remained strong in Q2, with 51 spuds year-to-date compared to 55 in all of 2025. The first West Shale Basin Duvernay wells from this year's program were brought on production late in Q2, which should positively impact Q3 royalty oil production.

Michael Murphy: Thanks, Andrew. Duvernay activity remains strong in Q2, with 51 spud year to date, compared to 55 in all of 2025. The first West Shale Basin Duvernay wells from this year's programs were brought on production late in Q2, which should positively impact Q3 royalty oil production. Expanded third-party capital programs in the Duvernay and continued completion activities over the summer should position PrairieSky for meaningful light oil growth through the remainder of the year. Multilateral activity continues to expand on PrairieSky lands, with 137 spud year to date, relative to 100 over the same period last year. Beyond the Clearwater and Mannville STACK, we also saw multilateral spud in the Charlie Lake, Ellerslie, Bakken, and Southeast Sask Mississippian in Q2. In the Clearwater, we now estimate 60% of our royalty oil volumes are under waterflood support, with declines in the mid-teens contributing to our highly sustainable production base.

Mike Murphy: Thanks, Andrew. Duvernay activity remains strong in Q2, with 51 spud year to date, compared to 55 in all of 2025. The first West Shale Basin Duvernay wells from this year's programs were brought on production late in Q2, which should positively impact Q3 royalty oil production. Expanded third-party capital programs in the Duvernay and continued completion activities over the summer should position PrairieSky for meaningful light oil growth through the remainder of the year.

Speaker #3: Expanded third-party capital programs in the Duvernay and continued completion activities over the summer should position PrairieSky for meaningful light oil growth through the remainder of the year.

Speaker #3: Multilateral activity continues to expand on PrairieSky lands, with 137 spuds year-to-date, compared to 100 over the same period last year. Beyond the Clearwater and Mannville Stack, we also saw multilateral spuds in the Charlie Lake, Ellerslie, Bakken, and Southeast Sask Mississippian in Q2.

Mike Murphy: Multilateral activity continues to expand on PrairieSky lands, with 137 spud year to date, relative to 100 over the same period last year. Beyond the Clearwater and Mannville STACK, we also saw multilateral spud in the Charlie Lake, Ellerslie, Bakken, and Southeast Sask Mississippian in Q2. In the Clearwater, we now estimate 60% of our royalty oil volumes are under waterflood support, with declines in the mid-teens contributing to our highly sustainable production base.

Speaker #3: In the Clearwater, we now estimate 60% of our royalty oil volumes are under waterflood support, with declines in the mid-teens contributing to our highly sustainable production base.

Speaker #3: Finally, thermal volumes from a new pad at Lindbergh began ramping up in Q2, which should support growth in our second-half royalty oil production. A new south pad is currently drilling at Lindbergh, setting the asset up for incremental growth in 2027 and beyond.

Mike Murphy: Finally, thermal volumes from a new pad at Lindbergh began ramping up in Q2, which should support growth in our H2 royalty oil production. A new south pad is currently drilling at Lindbergh, setting the asset up for incremental growth in 2027 and beyond. I'll now turn it over to Pam to discuss the financials.

Michael Murphy: Finally, thermal volumes from a new pad at Lindbergh began ramping up in Q2, which should support growth in our H2 royalty oil production. A new south pad is currently drilling at Lindbergh, setting the asset up for incremental growth in 2027 and beyond. I'll now turn it over to Pam to discuss the financials.

Speaker #3: And I'll turn it over to Pam to discuss the financials.

Pam Kazeil: Thank you, Mike. Good morning, everyone. PrairieSky delivered strong Q2 results in cash flow production and leasing activity. Total production reached a record 27,479 BOE per day, an increase of 4% as compared to Q2 2025, driven by liquids growth with oil volumes up 3% and NGL volumes up 15%. The Clearwater provided our largest increase, up 27% over Q2 2025, and the Mannville STACK was up 19%. NGL royalty production growth of 15% over Q2 2025 was driven by the Montney and the West Shale Basin Duvernay. With US dollar WTI averaging $92.80 in the quarter, our realized price rose to an average of CAD 109.87 per barrel, and NGL pricing averaged CAD 55.30 per barrel. Liquids production generated 93% of our total production revenue, which totaled CAD 167.1 million in the quarter. In aggregate, other revenues added CAD 10.9 million to cash flow, including CAD 6.4 million in bonus consideration.

Speaker #4: Thank you, Mike. Good morning, everyone. PrairieSky delivered strong second-quarter results in cash flow, production, and leasing activity. Total production reached a record 27,479 BOE per day, an increase of 4% as compared to Q2 2025, driven by liquids growth, with oil volumes up 3% and NGL volumes up 15%.

Speaker #4: The Clearwater provided our largest increase, up 27% over Q2 2025, and the Mannville stack was up 19%. NGL royalty production growth of 15% over Q2 2025 was driven by the Montney and the West Shale Basin, during which US dollar WTI averaged $92.80 in the quarter.

Pam Kazeil: NGL royalty production growth of 15% over Q2 2025 was driven by the Montney and the West Shale Basin Duvernay. With US dollar WTI averaging $92.80 in the quarter, our realized price rose to an average of CAD 109.87 per barrel, and NGL pricing averaged CAD 55.30 per barrel. Liquids production generated 93% of our total production revenue, which totaled CAD 167.1 million in the quarter. In aggregate, other revenues added CAD 10.9 million to cash flow, including CAD 6.4 million in bonus consideration.

Speaker #4: Our realized price rose to an average of $109.87 per barrel, and NGL pricing averaged $55.30 per barrel. Liquids production generated 93% of our total production revenue, which totaled $167.1 million in the quarter.

Speaker #4: In aggregate, other revenues added $10.9 million to cash flow, including $6.4 million in bonus consideration. Year-to-date bonus consideration of $18.7 million is 39% ahead of year-to-date 2025.

Pam Kazeil: Year to date bonus consideration of CAD 18.7 million is 39% ahead of year to date 2025. Once again, this quarter, leasing was most active in the Duvernay Light Oil and Mannville Heavy Oil plays. We view leasing as a leading indicator of future development and anticipate operators will be active across these plays throughout 2026 and beyond. Funds from operations were CAD 133.1 million, or CAD 0.57 per share, up 38% from Q2 2025. PrairieSky declared dividends of CAD 61.6 million during the quarter, with a corresponding payout ratio of 46%. Excess cash flow was allocated to minor acquisitions totaling CAD 1.8 million and debt reduction of CAD 71.1 million in the quarter. At 30 June, net debt totaled CAD 186.6 million. PrairieSky also declared its Q3 dividend of CAD 0.265 per common share for shareholders of record on 29 September 2026.

Speaker #4: Once again this quarter, leasing was most active in the Durian Light Oil and Manville Heavy Oil plays. We view leasing as a leading indicator of future development and anticipate operators will be active across these plays throughout 2026 and beyond.

Speaker #4: Funds from operations were $133.1 million, or $0.57 per share, up 38% from Q2 2025. PrairieSky declared dividends of $61.6 million during the quarter, with a corresponding payout ratio of 46%.

Speaker #4: Excess cash flow was allocated to minor acquisitions totaling $1.8 million and debt reduction of $71.1 million in the quarter. At June 30th, net debt totaled $186.6 million.

Speaker #4: PrairieSky also declared its third-quarter dividend of $0.265 per common share for shareholders of record on September 29, 2026. With that, I'll turn it back to the moderator to begin the Q&A.

Pam Kazeil: With that, I'll turn it back to the moderator to begin the Q&A.

Speaker #5: Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press *11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press *11 again.

Operator: Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star one one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. The first question is going to come from Jeremy McRae with BMO Capital Markets. Your line's open.

Speaker #5: And the first question is going to come from Jeremy McCray with BMO Capital Markets. Your line's open.

Speaker #6: Yeah. Hi, guys. I can't help but notice there's a lot more activity in this quarter versus Q2 of last year. And, obviously, the commodity price is probably driving some of that.

Jeremy McCrea: Yeah. Hi, guys. I can't help but notice there's a lot more activity in this quarter versus Q2 of last year, obviously the commodity price is probably driving some of that. I'm trying to get a sense of, if you were to exclude the higher commodity price, would this activity still have been as robust? Just trying to get a sense of what we could expect going forward. Is the higher activity driven more by the commodity price or just more driven by the opportunity of some of the land base that you have here?

Jeremy McRae: Yeah. Hi, guys. I can't help but notice there's a lot more activity in this quarter versus Q2 of last year, obviously the commodity price is probably driving some of that. I'm trying to get a sense of, if you were to exclude the higher commodity price, would this activity still have been as robust? Just trying to get a sense of what we could expect going forward. Is the higher activity driven more by the commodity price or just more driven by the opportunity of some of the land base that you have here?

Speaker #6: But I'm trying to get a sense of, if you were to exclude the higher commodity price, would this activity still have been as robust?

Speaker #6: And just trying to get a sense of what we could expect going forward. Is the higher activity driven more by the commodity price, or is it more driven by the opportunity of some of the land base that you have here?

Speaker #3: I think it's a combination of things, Jeremy. Thanks for the question. Good morning. When you think about just multilateral drilling and kind of sequential improvements in technology, but also in Canada, with the weak Canadian FX, you're still at 100 CAD.

Andrew Phillips: I think it's a combination of things, Jeremy. Thanks for the question. Good morning. When you think about just multilateral drilling and just kind of sequential improvements in technology, but also in Canada with the weak Canadian FX, you're still CAD 100 for light. I think it's a combination of those things. We do expect that to continue just given it is still quite a robust commodity environment. There's even things like the Viking that had a bit of a resurgence. You know, when you simply think about it, a Viking well is CAD 1.1 million, and the most recent wells are getting about 55,000 barrels of light oil, and a Duvernay well is CAD 11 million, and it's 550,000 barrels of condensate. It's 10 times price for 10 times the volumes.

Speaker #3: For light, I think it's a combination of those things. We do expect that to continue, given it is still quite a robust commodity environment.

Speaker #3: But there's even things like the Viking, that had a bit of a resurgence. And when you simply think about it, Viking wells are $1.1 million, and the most recent wells are getting about 55,000 barrels of light oil.

Speaker #3: And durian well is $11 million, and it's $550,000 barrels of condensate. So it's 10 times price for 10 times the volumes. And so the Viking competes quite well with even really good plays like the durians.

Andrew Phillips: The Viking competes quite well with even really good plays like the Duvernay. I think you're starting to see operators with better balance sheets and more capital available to drill a little bit more of some of their inventory that sits within their cupboards.

Speaker #3: So I think you're starting to see operators with better balance sheets and more capital available to drill a little bit more of some of their inventory that sits within their cupboards.

Speaker #6: And it's a bit of a follow-up question here too. So, yeah, when you look at your Viking activity, how much of that came up? And I would say it surprised us.

Jeremy McRae: It's a bit of a follow-up question here too. Yeah, when you look at your Viking activity, how much that came up, and I would say surprised us, is there any other plays that could surprise us here for the back half of the year heading into 2027 that maybe we're not thinking enough about?

Jeremy McCrea: It's a bit of a follow-up question here too. Yeah, when you look at your Viking activity, how much that came up, and I would say surprised us, is there any other plays that could surprise us here for the back half of the year heading into 2027 that maybe we're not thinking enough about?

Speaker #6: Are there any other plays that could surprise us here for the back half of the year heading into 2027 that maybe we're not making enough about?

Speaker #3: Yeah, it's a good question. I think the one thing we have seen is just very focused drilling over the last 10 years. So the Viking had a massive push in 2016, '17, '18.

Andrew Phillips: Yeah, it's a good question. I think the one thing we have seen is just very focused drilling over the last 10 years. The Viking had a massive push in 2016, 2017, 2018. You see the Duvernay today, a lot of the Eastern Alberta heavy oil plays. What's starting to happen today is just with the robust economics, everything from Southeast Saskatchewan to some conventional oil in Western Saskatchewan, all throughout the province in Eastern Alberta, people are testing these multilaterals in different ways. Even there's some intermediate-sized companies in Eastern Alberta working on Sparky waterfloods, et cetera, that are showing really good response. I think just higher basin-wide activity. You have the plays that we're expecting, which are the three core growth plays for us, the Clearwater, the Mannville STACK, and the Duvernay.

Speaker #3: And then you see the durian today. A lot of the eastern Alberta heavy oil plays. But what's starting to happen today is, just with the robust economics, everything from southeast Saskatchewan to some conventional oil in western Saskatchewan, all throughout the province and eastern Alberta, people are testing these multilaterals in different ways.

Speaker #3: And even, there are some intermediate-sized companies in eastern Alberta working on Sparky waterfloods, etc., that have shown really good response. So I think it's just kind of higher basin-wide activity.

Speaker #3: So you have the plays that we're expecting, which are kind of the three core growth plays for us: the Clearwater, the Mannville Stack, and the Duvernay.

Speaker #3: But then, all of a sudden, you have kind of a resurgence in drilling across the basin on the more conventional plays, I guess I'd say.

Andrew Phillips: All of a sudden, you have a resurgence in drilling across the basin on the more conventional plays, I guess I'd say.

Speaker #6: Okay. Perfect. Thanks, Andrew.

Jeremy McRae: Okay. Perfect. Thanks, Andrew.

Jeremy McCrea: Okay. Perfect. Thanks, Andrew.

Speaker #3: Appreciate the questions.

Andrew Phillips: Appreciate the questions.

Speaker #5: Thank you. And as a reminder, to ask a question, please press *11 on your telephone. At this time, I'm showing no further questions.

Operator: Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star one one on your telephone. At this time, I'm showing no further questions. I will now turn the call back to Andrew for closing remarks.

Speaker #5: I will now turn the call back to Andrew for closing remarks.

Speaker #3: Thanks, everyone, who dialed in early, and hope everyone has a great summer. Thank you.

Andrew Phillips: Thanks, everyone, who dialed in early. Hope everyone has a great summer. Thank you.

Operator: This does conclude today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.

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