Q2 2026 Hess Midstream LP Earnings Call
Operator: Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Q2 2026 Hess Midstream conference call. My name is Kevin, and I'll be your operator for today. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there'll be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you need to press star one one on your telephone. You'll then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please be advised today's conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the conference over to Jennifer Gordon, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please proceed.
Operator: Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Q2 2026 Hess Midstream conference call. My name is Kevin, and I'll be your operator for today. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode.
Speaker #1: At this time, all participants are on listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you need to press *11 on your telephone.
Operator: After the speaker's presentation, there'll be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you need to press star one one on your telephone. You'll then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised.
Speaker #1: You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press *11 again. Please be advised, today's conference is being recorded for replay purposes.
Operator: To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please be advised today's conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the conference over to Jennifer Gordon, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please proceed.
Speaker #1: I would now like to turn the conference over to Jennifer Gordon, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please proceed.
Speaker #2: Thank you, Kevin. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for participating in our second quarter earnings conference call. Our earnings release was issued this morning and appears on our website, www.hessmidstream.com.
Jennifer Gordon: Thank you, Kevin. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for participating in our Q2 earnings conference call. Our earnings release was issued this morning and appears on our website, www.hessmidstream.com. Today's conference call contains projections and other forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied in such statements. These risks include those set forth in the risk factors section of Hess Midstream's filings with the SEC. On today's conference call, we may discuss certain GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of the differences between these non-GAAP financial measures and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in the earnings release. With me today are Jonathan Stein, Chief Executive Officer, and Michael Chadwick, Chief Financial Officer.
Jennifer Gordon: Thank you, Kevin. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for participating in our Q2 earnings conference call. Our earnings release was issued this morning and appears on our website, www.hessmidstream.com. Today's conference call contains projections and other forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied in such statements. These risks include those set forth in the risk factors section of Hess Midstream's filings with the SEC. On today's conference call, we may discuss certain GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of the differences between these non-GAAP financial measures and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in the earnings release. With me today are Jonathan Stein, Chief Executive Officer, and Michael Chadwick, Chief Financial Officer.
Speaker #2: Today's conference call contains projections and other forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied in such statements.
Speaker #2: These risks include those set forth in the Risk Factors section of Hess Midstream's filings with the SEC. Also, on today's conference call, we may discuss certain GAAP financial measures.
Speaker #2: A reconciliation of the differences between these non-GAAP financial measures and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in the earnings release.
Speaker #2: With me today are Jonathan Stein, Chief Executive Officer, and Mike Chadwick, Chief Financial Officer. I'll now turn the call over to Jonathan Stein.
Jennifer Gordon: I'll now turn the call over to Jonathan Stein.
Jennifer Gordon: I'll now turn the call over to Jonathan Stein.
Speaker #3: Thanks, Jennifer. Welcome, everyone, to our second quarter 2026 earnings call. Today, I will discuss our second-quarter performance and outlook for the remainder of the year, and then I'll hand the call over to Mike to review our financials.
Jonathan Stein: Thanks, Jennifer. Welcome everyone to our Q2 2026 earnings call. Today, I will discuss our Q2 performance and outlook for the remainder of the year. Then I'll hand the call over to Mike to review our financials. In Q2, we continued to execute our operational priorities and deliver our financial strategies. We completed planned maintenance at TGP on time and under budget. Our plan for Q3 includes maintenance at LM4 and completing maintenance work that has now shifted to H2 of the year. Complementing our operational execution, we continued to find efficiencies across our assets on both synergies and improved performance. During the quarter, we also delivered on our financial strategy by strengthening our balance sheet and increasing our distribution, in line with our continued prioritization of shareholder returns.
Jonathan Stein: Thanks, Jennifer. Welcome everyone to our Q2 2026 earnings call. Today, I will discuss our Q2 performance and outlook for the remainder of the year. Then I'll hand the call over to Mike to review our financials. In Q2, we continued to execute our operational priorities and deliver our financial strategies. We completed planned maintenance at TGP on time and under budget. Our plan for Q3 includes maintenance at LM4 and completing maintenance work that has now shifted to H2 of the year. Complementing our operational execution, we continued to find efficiencies across our assets on both synergies and improved performance. During the quarter, we also delivered on our financial strategy by strengthening our balance sheet and increasing our distribution, in line with our continued prioritization of shareholder returns.
Speaker #3: In the second quarter, we continued to execute our operational priorities and deliver on our financial strategies. We completed planned maintenance at TGP on time and under budget.
Speaker #3: Our plan for the third quarter includes maintenance at LM4 and completing maintenance work that has now shifted to the second half of the year.
Speaker #3: Complementing our operational execution, we continued to find efficiencies across our assets through both synergies and improved performance. During the quarter, we also delivered on our financial strategy by strengthening our balance sheet and increasing our distribution.
Speaker #3: In line with our continued prioritization of shareholder returns, Hess Midstream remains a leader in shareholder returns, and we reiterate our 2026 adjusted free cash flow guidance of $910 to $960 million.
Jonathan Stein: Hess Midstream remains a leader in shareholder returns. We reiterate our 2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance of $910 to 960 million, or a 20% increase year over year at the midpoint. Turning to our results. During the quarter, throughput volumes averaged 433 million cubic feet per day for gas processing, 117,000 barrels of oil per day for crude terminaling, and 121,000 barrels of water per day for water gathering. Compared to Q1, throughput volumes were flat to lower on oil, but higher in gas as the maintenance of TGP was offset by the capture of additional third-party volume. Consistent with our annual guidance, we continue to expect volumes to grow in H2 of the year. Turning to Hess Midstream's capital program.
Jonathan Stein: Hess Midstream remains a leader in shareholder returns. We reiterate our 2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance of $910 to 960 million, or a 20% increase year over year at the midpoint. Turning to our results. During the quarter, throughput volumes averaged 433 million cubic feet per day for gas processing, 117,000 barrels of oil per day for crude terminaling, and 121,000 barrels of water per day for water gathering. Compared to Q1, throughput volumes were flat to lower on oil, but higher in gas as the maintenance of TGP was offset by the capture of additional third-party volume. Consistent with our annual guidance, we continue to expect volumes to grow in H2 of the year. Turning to Hess Midstream's capital program.
Speaker #3: Our 20% increase year over year is at the midpoint. Turning to our results, during the quarter, throughput volumes averaged 433 million cubic feet per day for gas processing.
Speaker #3: 117,000 barrels of oil per day for crude terminaling, and 121,000 barrels of water per day for water gathering. Compared to the first quarter, throughput volumes were flat to lower on oil, but at TGP, this was offset by the capture of additional third-party volume.
Speaker #3: Consistent with our annual guidance, we continue to expect volumes to grow in the second half of the year. Turning to Hess Midstream's capital program, in the second quarter, capital expenditures were $31 million.
Jonathan Stein: In Q2, capital expenditures were $31 million as we continued to execute our program, including completion of greenfield high-pressure gathering pipeline infrastructure. We expect our capital spend to be higher in Q3, in line with planned activity. In summary, we remain focused on executing safe and reliable operations while leveraging our historical investment in existing infrastructure to continue generating significant Adjusted Free Cash Flow, allowing us to uniquely provide returns to our shareholders through growing distributions and incremental share repurchases while simultaneously continuing to reduce our debt leverage. With that, I'll hand the call over to Mike to review our financial performance for Q2 and guidance.
Jonathan Stein: In Q2, capital expenditures were $31 million as we continued to execute our program, including completion of greenfield high-pressure gathering pipeline infrastructure. We expect our capital spend to be higher in Q3, in line with planned activity. In summary, we remain focused on executing safe and reliable operations while leveraging our historical investment in existing infrastructure to continue generating significant Adjusted Free Cash Flow, allowing us to uniquely provide returns to our shareholders through growing distributions and incremental share repurchases while simultaneously continuing to reduce our debt leverage. With that, I'll hand the call over to Mike to review our financial performance for Q2 and guidance.
Speaker #3: As we continued to execute our program, including completion of Greenfield high-pressure gathering pipeline infrastructure, we expect our capital spend to be higher in the third quarter in line with planned activity.
Speaker #3: In summary, we remain focused on executing safe and reliable operations while leveraging our historical investment in existing infrastructure to continue generating significant adjusted free cash flow.
Speaker #3: Allowing us to uniquely provide returns to our shareholders through growing distributions and incremental share repurchases, while simultaneously continuing to reduce our debt leverage. With that, I'll hand the call over to Mike to review our financial performance for the second quarter and guidance.
Speaker #1: Thanks, Jonathan, and good morning, everyone. Today I will discuss our financial results for the second quarter of 2026 and provide an update on our third quarter financial guidance and outlook for 2026.
Michael Chadwick: Thanks, Jonathan. Good morning, everyone. Today, I will discuss our financial results for Q2 2026 and provide an update on our Q3 financial guidance and outlook for 2026. Turning to our results. For Q2 2026, net income was $174 million compared to approximately $158 million in Q1. Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026 was $314 million, compared with $300 million in Q1. The increase was primarily due to lower operating expenses, with some activity shifting into H2 of the year, as well as G&A savings from lower allocations during the quarter. Total revenues, excluding pass-through revenues, increased by approximately $10 million, resulting in segment revenue changes as follows. Gathering revenues increased by approximately $7 million. Processing revenues increased by approximately $3 million.
Michael Chadwick: Thanks, Jonathan. Good morning, everyone. Today, I will discuss our financial results for Q2 2026 and provide an update on our Q3 financial guidance and outlook for 2026. Turning to our results. For Q2 2026, net income was $174 million compared to approximately $158 million in Q1. Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026 was $314 million, compared with $300 million in Q1. The increase was primarily due to lower operating expenses, with some activity shifting into H2 of the year, as well as G&A savings from lower allocations during the quarter. Total revenues, excluding pass-through revenues, increased by approximately $10 million, resulting in segment revenue changes as follows. Gathering revenues increased by approximately $7 million. Processing revenues increased by approximately $3 million.
Speaker #1: Turning to our results for the second quarter of 2026, net income was $174 million, compared to approximately $158 million in the first quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of 2026 was $314 million, compared with $300 million in the first quarter.
Speaker #1: The increase was primarily due to lower operating expenses, with some activity shifting into the second half of the year, as well as G&A savings from lower allocations during the quarter.
Speaker #1: Total revenues, excluding pass-through revenues, increased by approximately $10 million, resulting in segment revenue changes as follows: Gathering revenues increased by approximately $7 million, and processing revenues increased by approximately $3 million.
Speaker #1: Total costs and expenses, excluding depreciation and amortization, pass-through costs, and net of our proportional share of LM4 earnings, decreased by approximately $4 million. This was primarily due to lower operating expenses, with some activity shifting into the second half of the year, as well as G&A savings from lower allocations during the quarter.
Michael Chadwick: Total costs and expenses, excluding depreciation and amortization, pass-through costs, and net of our proportional share of LM4 earnings, decreased by approximately $4 million, primarily due to lower operating expenses, with some activity shifting into H2, as well as G&A savings from lower allocations during the quarter, resulting in Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026 of $314 million. Our gross Adjusted EBITDA margin for Q2 2026 was maintained at approximately 85%, above our 75% target, highlighting our continued strong operating leverage. Q2 2026 capital expenditures were approximately $31 million, in line with quarterly activity. Net interest, excluding amortization of deferred finance costs, was approximately $51 million, resulting in Adjusted Free Cash Flow of approximately $232 million, a decrease of approximately 2% from Q1 2026.
Michael Chadwick: Total costs and expenses, excluding depreciation and amortization, pass-through costs, and net of our proportional share of LM4 earnings, decreased by approximately $4 million, primarily due to lower operating expenses, with some activity shifting into H2, as well as G&A savings from lower allocations during the quarter, resulting in Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026 of $314 million. Our gross Adjusted EBITDA margin for Q2 2026 was maintained at approximately 85%, above our 75% target, highlighting our continued strong operating leverage. Q2 2026 capital expenditures were approximately $31 million, in line with quarterly activity. Net interest, excluding amortization of deferred finance costs, was approximately $51 million, resulting in Adjusted Free Cash Flow of approximately $232 million, a decrease of approximately 2% from Q1 2026.
Speaker #1: Resulting in adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of 2026 of $314 million. Our gross adjusted EBITDA margin for the second quarter of 2026 was maintained at approximately 85%, above our 75% target, highlighting our continued strong operating leverage.
Speaker #1: Second quarter 2026 capital expenditures were approximately $31 million. In line with quarterly activity, net interest, excluding amortization of deferred finance costs, was approximately $51 million.
Speaker #1: Resulting in adjusted free cash flow of approximately $232 million, a decrease of approximately 2% from the first quarter of 2026. We had a drawn balance of $256 million on our revolving credit facility at the end of the second quarter of 2026.
Michael Chadwick: We had a drawn balance of $256 million on our revolving credit facility at the end of Q2 2026, a decrease of approximately $87 million from Q1 2026. For Q3 2026, we expect net income to be approximately $165 million to $175 million and Adjusted EBITDA to be approximately flat at the midpoint, with Q2 at $310 million to $320 million, as expected higher revenues and volumes are offset by higher OpEx. We expect Adjusted Free Cash Flow in Q3 2026 to decrease relative to Q2 2026 as capital expenditures in Q3 are projected to be higher than Q2, reflecting increased activity. We continue to expect H2 volumes to be higher than H1.
Michael Chadwick: We had a drawn balance of $256 million on our revolving credit facility at the end of Q2 2026, a decrease of approximately $87 million from Q1 2026. For Q3 2026, we expect net income to be approximately $165 million to $175 million and Adjusted EBITDA to be approximately flat at the midpoint, with Q2 at $310 million to $320 million, as expected higher revenues and volumes are offset by higher OpEx. We expect Adjusted Free Cash Flow in Q3 2026 to decrease relative to Q2 2026 as capital expenditures in Q3 are projected to be higher than Q2, reflecting increased activity. We continue to expect H2 volumes to be higher than H1.
Speaker #1: This represents a decrease of approximately $87 million from the first quarter of 2026. For the third quarter of 2026, we expect net income to be approximately $165 million to $175 million, and adjusted EBITDA to be approximately flat at the midpoint with the second quarter, at $310 million to $320 million.
Speaker #1: As expected, higher revenues and volumes are offset by higher OPEX. We expect adjusted free cash flow in the third quarter of 2026 to decrease relative to the second quarter of 2026, as capital expenditures in the third quarter are projected to be higher than in the second quarter, reflecting increased activity.
Speaker #1: We continue to expect second half volumes to be higher than the first half of the year. For the full year of 2026, we continue to expect net income of between $650 million and $700 million, and adjusted EBITDA of between $1.225 billion and $1.275 billion in 2026.
Michael Chadwick: For the full year of 2026, we continue to expect net income of between $650 million and $700 million, an Adjusted EBITDA of between $1,225,000,000 and $1,275,000,000 in 2026, approximately flat at the midpoint compared with 2025. As Jonathan mentioned, our cash position is strong and notable among our peer set. We expect to generate Adjusted Free Cash Flow of between $910 million and $960 million, and excess Adjusted Free Cash Flow of approximately $280 million after fully funding our targeted 5% annual distribution growth, which we expect to continue to use for incremental shareholder returns and debt repayment. This concludes my remarks. We will be happy to answer any questions. I will now turn the call over to the Operator.
Michael Chadwick: For the full year of 2026, we continue to expect net income of between $650 million and $700 million, an Adjusted EBITDA of between $1,225,000,000 and $1,275,000,000 in 2026, approximately flat at the midpoint compared with 2025. As Jonathan mentioned, our cash position is strong and notable among our peer set. We expect to generate Adjusted Free Cash Flow of between $910 million and $960 million, and excess Adjusted Free Cash Flow of approximately $280 million after fully funding our targeted 5% annual distribution growth, which we expect to continue to use for incremental shareholder returns and debt repayment. This concludes my remarks. We will be happy to answer any questions. I will now turn the call over to the Operator.
Speaker #1: Approximately flat at the midpoint compared with 2025. As Jonathan mentioned, our cash position is strong and notable among our peer set. We expect to generate adjusted free cash flow of between $910 million and $960 million, and excess adjusted free cash flow of approximately $280 million.
Speaker #1: After fully funding our targeted 5% annual distribution growth—which we expect to continue to use for incremental shareholder returns and debt repayment—this concludes my remarks.
Speaker #1: We will be happy to answer any questions. I will now turn the call over to the operator.
Speaker #2: Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. If you have a question or a comment at this time, please press star 1-1 on your telephone. If your question has been answered and you wish to remove yourself from the queue, please press star 1-1 again.
Operator: Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. If you have a question or a comment at this time, please press star one one on your telephone. If your question has been answered or you wish to remove yourself from the queue, please press star one one again. We will pause for a moment while we compile our Q&A roster. Our first question comes from Jeremy Tonet with J.P. Morgan. Your line is open.
Operator: Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. If you have a question or a comment at this time, please press star one one on your telephone. If your question has been answered or you wish to remove yourself from the queue, please press star one one again. We will pause for a moment while we compile our Q&A roster. Our first question comes from Jeremy Tonet with JPMorgan. Your line is open.
Speaker #2: We will pause for a moment while we compile a Q&A roster. Our first question comes from Jeremy Tunnet with JP Morgan. Your line is open.
Speaker #4: Hey, good morning, guys. Rath and Reddy, I'm from Jeremy. Appreciate the comments and the prepared remarks on the full-year guide, but maybe curious if you could talk to some of the puts and takes that could drive the high end versus low end.
Vrathan Reddy: Good morning, guys. This is Rathan Reddy on for Jeremy. Appreciate the comments and the prepared remarks on the full year guide, maybe curious if you could talk to some of the puts and takes that could drive the high end versus low end. On the cost side, how you see OpEx and maintenance timing throughout the balance of the year. Thank you.
Vrathan Reddy: Good morning, guys. This is Rathan Reddy on for Jeremy. Appreciate the comments and the prepared remarks on the full year guide, maybe curious if you could talk to some of the puts and takes that could drive the high end versus low end. On the cost side, how you see OpEx and maintenance timing throughout the balance of the year. Thank you.
Speaker #4: And then on the cost side, how do you see OPEX and maintenance timing throughout the balance of the year? Thank you.
Speaker #1: Yeah, thanks for the question. I can take that one. So what it's going to take to get to, you know, some of the puts and takes on our EBITDA guidance range—it's going to be pretty much about whether and execution in the second half of the year. So, the high end of the range would probably require continued strong execution of our maintenance plan.
Michael Chadwick: Yeah, thanks for the question. I can take that one. What it's going to take to get to some of the puts and takes on our EBITDA guidance range. It's going to be pretty much about weather and execution in the H2 of the year. The high end of the range would probably require continued strong execution of our maintenance plan and favorable weather conditions to ensure we have fewer interruptions in our operations. On the downside, that would be the opposite. If we get interrupted with weather or any of our maintenance costs become higher, that's going to be on the downside. With regards to phasing, as you heard in our prepared remarks, Jonathan and I both mentioned that we've got a bit of a phasing shift in OpEx.
Michael Chadwick: Yeah, thanks for the question. I can take that one. What it's going to take to get to some of the puts and takes on our EBITDA guidance range. It's going to be pretty much about weather and execution in the H2 of the year. The high end of the range would probably require continued strong execution of our maintenance plan and favorable weather conditions to ensure we have fewer interruptions in our operations. On the downside, that would be the opposite. If we get interrupted with weather or any of our maintenance costs become higher, that's going to be on the downside. With regards to phasing, as you heard in our prepared remarks, Jonathan and I both mentioned that we've got a bit of a phasing shift in OpEx.
Speaker #1: And favorable weather conditions, to ensure we have fewer interruptions in our operations. On the downside, that would be the opposite. If we get interrupted with weather or any of our maintenance costs become higher, that's going to be on the downside.
Speaker #1: With regards to phasing, as you heard in our prepared remarks, Jonathan and I both mentioned that we've got a bit of a phasing shift in OPEX.
Speaker #1: Some of the maintenance programs that we were expecting to carry out in Q2 shifted to later in the year. And, you know, we expect to pick that up in Q3.
Michael Chadwick: Some of the maintenance programs that we were expecting to carry out in Q2 shifted to later in the year. We expect to pick that up in Q3. Typically, when we get to Q4, it's a bit of a lower phasing on OpEx as weather takes an impact. We also expect to see possibly some volatility on the actualization of G&A allocations from the sponsor, typically around Q4 as well. That's the reason why we've kept our EBITDA guidance in the same range as previous quarter. We've kept it flat for the full year.
Michael Chadwick: Some of the maintenance programs that we were expecting to carry out in Q2 shifted to later in the year. We expect to pick that up in Q3. Typically, when we get to Q4, it's a bit of a lower phasing on OpEx as weather takes an impact. We also expect to see possibly some volatility on the actualization of G&A allocations from the sponsor, typically around Q4 as well. That's the reason why we've kept our EBITDA guidance in the same range as previous quarter. We've kept it flat for the full year.
Speaker #1: Typically, when we get to Q4, there’s a bit of lower phasing on OPEX, as weather takes an impact. But we also expect to see possibly some volatility on the actualization of G&A allocations from the sponsor, typically around Q4 as well.
Speaker #1: And that's the reason why we've kept our EBITDA guidance in the same range as the previous quarter. We've kept it flat for the full year.
Speaker #4: Got it. Thank you. And then could you maybe just dive a little bit deeper on the second half volume growth drivers? I understand there's an absence of those weather- and maintenance-related headwinds, but I'm curious if there's anything else specifically, given, you know, a little bit of a stronger third-party volume that we've seen on gas in particular.
Vrathan Reddy: Got it. Thank you. Could you maybe just dive a little bit deeper on the H2 volume growth drivers? Understand there's an absence of kind of those weather and maintenance related headwinds, curious if there's anything else specifically given the little bit of a stronger third-party volumes that we've seen on gas in particular.
Vrathan Reddy: Got it. Thank you. Could you maybe just dive a little bit deeper on the H2 volume growth drivers? Understand there's an absence of kind of those weather and maintenance related headwinds, curious if there's anything else specifically given the little bit of a stronger third-party volumes that we've seen on gas in particular.
Speaker #3: Yeah, hi Jonathan. Yeah, I think, in terms of the phasing of volume, as we've always said, we expected the second half of the year to be higher.
Jonathan Stein: Hey, it's Jonathan. I think in terms of the phasing of volume, as we had always said that we expected the H2 to be higher. Some of that is just as Chevron sets up its own drilling program and optimizes, you are going to have normal phasing in terms of when you have wells online. In addition, of course, Chevron has talked about longer laterals, increased productivity. All that will continue to come through into the H2. Really, the volume growth that we had was really planned and just part of normal phasing. As Mike said, the way you can kind of think about the year is really continued volume growth quarter on quarter from this point forward, at least 5% growth into the H2.
Jonathan Stein: Hey, it's Jonathan. I think in terms of the phasing of volume, as we had always said that we expected the H2 to be higher. Some of that is just as Chevron sets up its own drilling program and optimizes, you are going to have normal phasing in terms of when you have wells online. In addition, of course, Chevron has talked about longer laterals, increased productivity. All that will continue to come through into the H2. Really, the volume growth that we had was really planned and just part of normal phasing. As Mike said, the way you can kind of think about the year is really continued volume growth quarter on quarter from this point forward, at least 5% growth into the H2.
Speaker #3: Some of that is just, you know, as Chevron sets up its own drilling program and optimizes. You're going to have normal phasing in terms of, you know, when you have wells online.
Speaker #3: In addition, of course, Chevron has talked about longer laterals and increased productivity, so all of that will continue to come through. It's the second half of the year.
Speaker #3: But really, you know, the volume growth that we had was really planned and just part of normal—what we’ll call—phasing. As Mike said, the way you can kind of think about the year is really continued volume growth quarter on quarter from this point forward, at least 5%.
Speaker #3: You know, growth into the second half of the year—that will drive revenues quarter on quarter, up into this third quarter. As Mike said, you know, OPEX is going to be, they expect, you know, to basically increase as we deferred some maintenance and things like that into the third quarter.
Jonathan Stein: That will drive revenues quarter on quarter up into this Q3. As Mike said, OpEx is going to be, we expect to kind of basically increase as we defer some maintenance and things like that into Q3. That gets us to kind of that EBITDA flat with higher revenues and higher OpEx. In the Q4, we will have higher revenue and expect OpEx to be at least flat or lower. Driving higher EBITDA into the Q4 and then keeping our full-year guidance. Just really phasing on the volume side. Nothing. Of course, we had good third-party volumes this quarter on gas side. Opportunities like that continue to exist. That would all be upside.
Jonathan Stein: That will drive revenues quarter on quarter up into this Q3. As Mike said, OpEx is going to be, we expect to kind of basically increase as we defer some maintenance and things like that into Q3. That gets us to kind of that EBITDA flat with higher revenues and higher OpEx. In the Q4, we will have higher revenue and expect OpEx to be at least flat or lower. Driving higher EBITDA into the Q4 and then keeping our full-year guidance. Just really phasing on the volume side. Nothing. Of course, we had good third-party volumes this quarter on gas side. Opportunities like that continue to exist. That would all be upside.
Speaker #3: So that gets us to kind of that EBITDA flat, with higher revenues and higher OPEX. And then, in the fourth quarter, we'll have higher revenue and expect OPEX to be at least flat or lower, so driving higher EBITDA into the fourth quarter and then keeping our full-year guidance.
Speaker #3: So, just really phasing on the volume side—nothing, of course. You know, we had good third-party volumes this quarter on the gas side. Opportunities like that continue to exist.
Speaker #3: So that would all be upside.
Speaker #4: Got it. Thank you.
Vrathan Reddy: Got it. Thank you.
Vrathan Reddy: Got it. Thank you.
Speaker #2: One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from John McKay with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.
Operator: One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from John Mackay with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.
Operator: One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from John Mackay with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.
Speaker #1: Hey team, thank you for the time. Jonathan, you touched on this a little bit, but Chevron also made a point of bringing it up on their call, just in terms of the efficiency gains they are seeing in the basin.
John Mackay: Hey, team. Thank you for the time. Jonathan, you touched on this a little bit. Chevron also made a point of bringing it up on their call. Just in terms of the efficiency gains they are seeing in the basin. Anything you can kind of walk us through of what you're seeing on the ground? To the extent that you're starting to see kind of initial results, maybe any commentary you can share about how to frame up the production growth outlook from here. Thank you.
John Mackay: Hey, team. Thank you for the time. Jonathan, you touched on this a little bit. Chevron also made a point of bringing it up on their call. Just in terms of the efficiency gains they are seeing in the basin. Anything you can kind of walk us through of what you're seeing on the ground? To the extent that you're starting to see kind of initial results, maybe any commentary you can share about how to frame up the production growth outlook from here. Thank you.
Speaker #1: Is there anything you can walk us through in terms of what you're seeing on the ground, and to the extent that you're starting to see initial results?
Speaker #1: Maybe you could share any commentary about how to frame the production growth outlook from here. Thank you.
Speaker #3: Sure. Yeah, look, I think anything on production growth is really more a question for Chevron. What I can say from the midstream side is certainly those efficiencies are helping in terms of certainly maintaining production.
Jonathan Stein: Sure. Yeah, look, I think anything on production growth, really more a question for Chevron. What I can say from the midstream side is certainly those efficiencies are helping in terms of certainly maintaining production. Chevron did mention this, that even at a lower rig count, they're able to maintain production. That volume kind of expectation of approximately 200,000 barrel of oil equivalent per day, that underpins our guidance going forward. We've talked about in the past, as they drill longer laterals, that obviously you have less wells to be able to achieve similar volumes. That helps us in terms of our CapEx. As we've talked about, we're highly capital efficient, leveraging our historical investment and now even more capital efficiency to be able to get the same volume throughput, if you will.
Jonathan Stein: Sure. Yeah, look, I think anything on production growth, really more a question for Chevron. What I can say from the midstream side is certainly those efficiencies are helping in terms of certainly maintaining production. Chevron did mention this, that even at a lower rig count, they're able to maintain production. That volume kind of expectation of approximately 200,000 barrel of oil equivalent per day, that underpins our guidance going forward. We've talked about in the past, as they drill longer laterals, that obviously you have less wells to be able to achieve similar volumes. That helps us in terms of our CapEx. As we've talked about, we're highly capital efficient, leveraging our historical investment and now even more capital efficiency to be able to get the same volume throughput, if you will.
Speaker #3: Chevron did mention this, that, you know, even at a lower rate count, they're able to maintain maintain production. That volume kind of expectation of approximately 200,000 barrel oil equivalent per day, that underpins our guidance going forward.
Speaker #3: We've talked about, in the past, as they drill longer laterals, that obviously you have fewer wells to be able to achieve similar volumes. And so that helps us in terms of our CapEx, and as we've talked about, we're highly capital efficient.
Speaker #3: Leveraging our historical investment and now even more capital efficiency to be able to get the same volume throughput, if you will. And then, as we said, looking forward, again, we're not expecting necessarily production growth per se.
Jonathan Stein: As we said, looking forward, again, we're not expecting necessarily production growth per se, consistent with what Chevron has talked about on their side. Really expecting, as we talked about our guidance, a lot of that is inflation escalation as you go forward. That's really a driver in some OpEx savings. We are continuing to see some synergies that Chevron has seen through the Hess acquisition. We're seeing that come through as well, and that's certainly coming through in our OpEx. That's part of what we're seeing in terms of OpEx savings as well.
Jonathan Stein: As we said, looking forward, again, we're not expecting necessarily production growth per se, consistent with what Chevron has talked about on their side. Really expecting, as we talked about our guidance, a lot of that is inflation escalation as you go forward. That's really a driver in some OpEx savings. We are continuing to see some synergies that Chevron has seen through the Hess acquisition. We're seeing that come through as well, and that's certainly coming through in our OpEx. That's part of what we're seeing in terms of OpEx savings as well.
Speaker #3: Consistent with what Chevron has talked about on their side, we're really expecting—as we discussed in our guidance—a lot of that is inflation escalation as you go forward.
Speaker #3: And so that's really kind of the driver, and some OPEX savings. We are continuing to see some synergies that, you know, Chevron has seen through the Hess acquisition.
Speaker #3: We're seeing that come through as well, and that's certainly coming through in our OPEX. That's part of what we're seeing in terms of OPEX savings as well.
Speaker #3: So, I say, look, it's—you know, I think I want to say early days because there's still—you know, now a year into the merger, into the acquisition of Hess and to Chevron.
Jonathan Stein: I'd say, look, I would say early days because we're still now a year into the merger, into the acquisition of Hess to Chevron, but certainly from the midstream side, we're seeing the ability to maintain that production even at lower rig counts and seeing rig counts becoming, from our point of view, less important as Chevron can really maintain that production level going forward.
Jonathan Stein: I'd say, look, I would say early days because we're still now a year into the merger, into the acquisition of Hess to Chevron, but certainly from the midstream side, we're seeing the ability to maintain that production even at lower rig counts and seeing rig counts becoming, from our point of view, less important as Chevron can really maintain that production level going forward.
Speaker #3: But certainly from the midstream side, we're, you know, seeing the ability to maintain that production even at lower rate counts and seeing, you know, rate count becoming from our point of view, you know, less important as Chevron can really maintain that production level going forward.
Speaker #1: I appreciate that thorough answer. I want to ask one follow-up. I understand there’s probably not a ton you can say here, but they also made a point of mentioning on the call just a review of their broader midstream strategy in the basin.
John Mackay: I appreciate that thorough answer. I want to ask one follow-up. I understand there's probably not a ton you can say here. They also made a point of mentioning on the call just a review of their broader midstream strategy in the basin. Is there any kind of context or perspective that you guys are able to share at this point? Thank you.
John Mackay: I appreciate that thorough answer. I want to ask one follow-up. I understand there's probably not a ton you can say here. They also made a point of mentioning on the call just a review of their broader midstream strategy in the basin. Is there any kind of context or perspective that you guys are able to share at this point? Thank you.
Speaker #1: Is there any kind of context or perspective that you guys are able to share at this point? Thank you.
Speaker #3: Sure. No, I think, look, that was really mentioned in the context of just the bucket, and getting to know the bucket and the production efficiencies, and optimizing that we just talked about.
Jonathan Stein: Sure. I think, look, that was really mentioned in the context of just the Bakken and getting to know the Bakken and the production efficiencies and optimizing that we just talked about. Look, from our side, we're focused on execution of our plan, leveraging the historic investment to drive free cash flow generation and really producing results like we saw in this quarter.
Jonathan Stein: Sure. I think, look, that was really mentioned in the context of just the Bakken and getting to know the Bakken and the production efficiencies and optimizing that we just talked about. Look, from our side, we're focused on execution of our plan, leveraging the historic investment to drive free cash flow generation and really producing results like we saw in this quarter.
Speaker #3: You know, look, from our side, we're focused on execution of our plan, leveraging the historical investment to drive free cash flow generation, and really producing results like we saw in this quarter.
Speaker #1: Understood. I appreciate the time. Thank you.
John Mackay: Understood. Appreciate the time. Thank you.
John Mackay: Understood. Appreciate the time. Thank you.
Speaker #2: One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from Doug Irwin with Citi. Your line is open.
Operator: One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from Doug Irwin with Citi. Your line is open.
Operator: One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from Doug Irwin with Citi. Your line is open.
Speaker #4: Hey team, thanks for the question. I wanted to start with the EBITDA margin this quarter. You hit 85%, which is well above your 75% target.
Doug Irwin: Hey, team. Thanks for the question. I wanted to start with the EBITDA margin this quarter. You hit 85%, which is well above your 75% target, and realize there are probably some one-time cost benefits this quarter. If I look back, it's been quite some time since you've even been below 80%, I think. Just wondering if that target is starting to look a bit conservative today or if there's maybe an expectation of converging back towards that over time.
Doug Irwin: Hey, team. Thanks for the question. I wanted to start with the EBITDA margin this quarter. You hit 85%, which is well above your 75% target, and realize there are probably some one-time cost benefits this quarter. If I look back, it's been quite some time since you've even been below 80%, I think. Just wondering if that target is starting to look a bit conservative today or if there's maybe an expectation of converging back towards that over time.
Speaker #4: And I realize there are probably some one-time cost benefits this quarter, but if I look back, it's been quite some time since you've even been below 80%, I think.
Speaker #4: So just wondering if that target is starting to look a bit conservative today, or if there's maybe an expectation of converging back towards that over time.
Speaker #1: Yeah, you know, thanks for the question, Doug. And I'm glad you've noticed the strong performance on our margin. It is extraordinary that we're managing to keep a very healthy margin at 85% this quarter.
Michael Chadwick: Yeah. Thanks for the question, Doug, and I'm glad you've noticed the strong performance on our margin. It is extraordinary that we are managing to keep a very healthy margin at 85% this quarter. You're right, there are some smaller adjustments that were recorded as credits this quarter. They were relatively minor, but they did help the margin. The main driver, as I mentioned in my earlier remarks, is phasing of OpEx that shifted across to Q3 and Q4. While we continue a pretty strong trend of excess of 80%, we're comfortable in maintaining our 75% margin target. It is what we expect on the long term, but we'll enjoy the greater than 80% margins in the meantime. We're not intending to change our guidance just yet.
Michael Chadwick: Yeah. Thanks for the question, Doug, and I'm glad you've noticed the strong performance on our margin. It is extraordinary that we are managing to keep a very healthy margin at 85% this quarter. You're right, there are some smaller adjustments that were recorded as credits this quarter. They were relatively minor, but they did help the margin. The main driver, as I mentioned in my earlier remarks, is phasing of OpEx that shifted across to Q3 and Q4. While we continue a pretty strong trend of excess of 80%, we're comfortable in maintaining our 75% margin target. It is what we expect on the long term, but we'll enjoy the greater than 80% margins in the meantime. We're not intending to change our guidance just yet.
Speaker #1: You're right. There are some smaller adjustments that were recorded as credits this quarter. They're relatively minor, but they did help the margin. But the main driver, as I mentioned in my earlier remarks, is the phasing of OPEX that shifted.
Speaker #1: Across to Q3 and Q4. But while we continue a pretty strong trend of exceeding 80%, we're comfortable maintaining our 75% margin target. It is what we expect in the long term.
Speaker #1: But we'll enjoy the greater than 80% margins in the meantime. However, we're not intending to change our guidance just yet.
Speaker #4: Got it. And then, maybe just to follow up on capital allocation—you didn’t do a buyback this quarter, and activity has been a little less ratable here, despite the free cash flow outlook remaining pretty strong.
Doug Irwin: Got it. Maybe just to follow up on capital allocation, you didn't do a buyback this quarter, and activity's been a little less ratable here despite the free cash flow outlook remaining pretty strong. Just curious how you're thinking about buybacks versus debt paydown and if you have an ultimate target of where you expect to trend relative to that 3x long-term leverage range you've talked about.
Doug Irwin: Got it. Maybe just to follow up on capital allocation, you didn't do a buyback this quarter, and activity's been a little less ratable here despite the free cash flow outlook remaining pretty strong. Just curious how you're thinking about buybacks versus debt paydown and if you have an ultimate target of where you expect to trend relative to that 3x long-term leverage range you've talked about.
Speaker #4: So just curious, kind of how you're thinking about buybacks versus debt paydown, and if you kind of have an ultimate target of where you expect to trend relative to that three-times long-term leverage range you've talked about.
Speaker #1: Yeah, no, thanks, Doug. There is no change to our guidance that we issued in December on our financial plan there. You know, we will use some of the excess adjusted free cash flow to pay down debt as well as perform returns of capital to shareholders.
Michael Chadwick: Yeah. No, thanks, Doug. There is no change to our guidance that we issued in December on our financial plan there. We will use some of the excess adjusted free cash flow to pay down debt as well as perform returns of capital to shareholders, and you saw that in March with the $16 million share repurchase from the public and our sponsor. In this quarter, we paid down $87 million against the revolver, and we've guided $280 million of excess adjusted free cash flow for this year as our target. We've got some capacity left to do further shareholder returns of capital or debt paydown. I'd say that the board evaluates this mix of paydown and return of capital during the year and throughout the year, and that's part of their consideration when they evaluate this.
Michael Chadwick: Yeah. No, thanks, Doug. There is no change to our guidance that we issued in December on our financial plan there. We will use some of the excess adjusted free cash flow to pay down debt as well as perform returns of capital to shareholders, and you saw that in March with the $16 million share repurchase from the public and our sponsor. In this quarter, we paid down $87 million against the revolver, and we've guided $280 million of excess adjusted free cash flow for this year as our target. We've got some capacity left to do further shareholder returns of capital or debt paydown. I'd say that the board evaluates this mix of paydown and return of capital during the year and throughout the year, and that's part of their consideration when they evaluate this.
Speaker #1: And you saw that in March with the $16 million share repurchase from the public and our sponsor. And in this quarter, you know, we paid down $87 million against the revolver.
Speaker #1: And we've guided $280 million of excess adjusted free cash flow for this year as a target. So we've got some capacity left.
Speaker #1: To do further shareholder returns of capital or debt paydown. But I'd say that the board evaluates this and makes our paydown and return of capital decisions during the year and throughout the year.
Speaker #1: And that's part of their consideration when they evaluate this. And so while we do multiple share buybacks or returns of equity per year, it is ultimately a board decision.
Michael Chadwick: While we do multiple share buybacks or returns of equity per year, it is ultimately a board decision. With regards our longer-term view on leverage, right now we're at 3 times leverage, and we expect that to go lower. We're not using any new debt to fund any share returns or share buybacks, rather. Our debt is going to stay, in absolute terms, the same. As we've indicated, we'll use some of that adjusted excess free cash flow to pay down some of that debt. That'll drift lower. We're guiding an increase in our EBITDA, the trend will be that the debt ratio will go lower. By 2028, we're expecting to get down in the region of about 2.5 times. That's what the guidance would indicate.
Michael Chadwick: While we do multiple share buybacks or returns of equity per year, it is ultimately a board decision. With regards our longer-term view on leverage, right now we're at 3 times leverage, and we expect that to go lower. We're not using any new debt to fund any share returns or share buybacks, rather. Our debt is going to stay, in absolute terms, the same. As we've indicated, we'll use some of that adjusted excess free cash flow to pay down some of that debt. That'll drift lower. We're guiding an increase in our EBITDA, the trend will be that the debt ratio will go lower. By 2028, we're expecting to get down in the region of about 2.5 times. That's what the guidance would indicate.
Speaker #1: With regards to our longer-term view on leverage, right now we're at three times leverage. We expect that to go lower.
Speaker #1: You know, we're not using any new debt to fund any share returns or share buybacks. Rather, our debt is going to stay, in absolute terms, the same.
Speaker #1: But then, as we've indicated, we'll use some of that adjusted excess free cash flow to pay down some of that debt, so that'll drift lower.
Speaker #1: And then we're guiding an increase in our EBITDA. You know, so the trend will be that the debt ratio will go lower. By 2028, you know, we're expecting to get down in the region of about two and a half times.
Speaker #1: That's what the guidance would indicate. We don't expect to go much lower than that, but there's no absolute level of debt that we're aiming to try and achieve.
Michael Chadwick: We don't expect to go much lower than that, but there's no absolute level of debt that we're aiming to try and achieve. We do expect it to go lower than 3 times.
Michael Chadwick: We don't expect to go much lower than that, but there's no absolute level of debt that we're aiming to try and achieve. We do expect it to go lower than 3 times.
Speaker #1: But it will. We do expect it to go lower than three times.
Speaker #4: Understood. Thanks for the time.
Doug Irwin: Understood. Thanks for the time.
Doug Irwin: Understood. Thanks for the time.
Speaker #2: And I'm not showing any further questions at this time. And as such, this does conclude today's presentation. We thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect and have a wonderful day.
Operator: I'm not showing any further questions at this time. As such, this does conclude today's presentation. We thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect and have a wonderful day.
Operator: I'm not showing any further questions at this time. As such, this does conclude today's presentation. We thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect and have a wonderful day.