Q4 2020 FlexShopper Inc Earnings Call
Greetings and welcome to the Flex Shopper L. L. C Q4, and full year 2020 earnings conference call.
At this time all participants are in a listen only mode.
Do you want should require operator assistance. Please press star zero on your telephone keypad, a question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.
Now my pleasure to turn the call over to Jeremy Hellman of the equity group. Please go ahead Sir.
Thank you operator, I would like to remind everyone that we have posted an updated investor presentation within the IR section of the company website Www Dot <unk> dot com and encourage everyone to review the forward looking statement on page two of the presentation with that I would like to turn the call over to flex sharper CEO Rich House. Please go ahead rich.
Thank you Jeremy and welcome everyone to our earnings call. Joining me today is our CFO Russ heiser.
This morning, Russ will be expanding on the key financial aspects of our quarter results as well as updating everyone on our most recent liquidity initiatives.
I will conclude with a summary of our current strategy and our future opportunities.
Prior to handily.
Handing the call off to Ross I would like to highlight some key points regarding our business in the third quarter.
Since I joined the company I've tried to communicate to you that we build our success around rebuilding blocks underwriting.
Underwriting liquidity and distribution.
Distribution refers to our direct marketing efforts, our retail partnerships and our stimulation of repeat leasing.
Basically distribution describes how we create incremental lease inventory.
He has been my experience and especially financial services business that properly executing these initiatives will provide profitable growth.
In the Q3, 'twenty 'twenty conference call I indicated the management team believe flex shopper was poised for significant growth.
Of course at that time that was our forecast.
Fortunately during the fourth quarter of 2020, we began to empirically observed the growth we had forecast.
Our leasing inventory increased 37, 9% year over year from the end of December 2019 to the end of the December 2020.
We've continued to see continued lease origination growth of approximately $35 five per cent in January of 2021.
Very importantly credit quality of our assets has remained stable easily have even as we have enjoyed significant growth in company's assets.
As a result of both growth and asset quality, we now have a platform to drive substantial EBITDA growth throughout 'twenty 'twenty, one and beyond.
Later in the call I'll speak specifically to the aspects that are driving our profitable growth.
I'm going to turn the call over to Russ now to address specific items regarding our financial performance and corporate liquidity.
Rich I would just start with a reminder, that we have posted an updated investor deck on our website.
And that deck, we have added a few data points, including new and repeat lease volume by origination channel.
Additionally, we have broken out a number of operating and financial metrics by year. So that the relationship between prior year originations and current year revenue and gross profit is evident.
In our presentation. We've also included a new data point pre marketing EBITDA, which we think provides another window into how our business is performing.
Marketing expense as our primary growth lever and largest variable cost and varies quite a bit during the year and responsive a seasonal consumer activity along with external factors there.
Therefore, removing it from the EBITDA calculation is informative when looking at the business over time, especially as marketing expense would be expected to continue to increase.
The investor deck together with our press release, and 10-K provide significant insight into our fourth quarter and full year operating performance.
As rich noted our originations were up 37 per cent in the fourth quarter continuing the momentum we saw in late Q3, when we returned to pre COVID-19 approval rates.
That's that was a function of both the lease count increasing by 27% year over year, and average order value or a O V increasing by 9% to $464 per.
For the full year originations.
They increased 28% with lease count responsible for 24 per cent of the growth and increases to a O V for four per cent.
As I've mentioned previously current period originations are highly predictive when it comes to forecasting revenues over the ensuing year since we recognized the lease revenue over the term of the lease.
The strong fourth quarter originations resulted in a year ending lease merchandise balance of $42 8 million, which was up 38 per cent from the prior year net 40% from the prior quarter. As a reminder, the lease merchandise figure represents merchandise that has been leased by consumers net of accumulated depreciation and any impairments.
A good proxy of the size of the performing lease portfolio and as such is also highly correlated with for 12 months revenue and gross profit.
For the full year gross profit margins increased to 35%, which was up from 32% in the prior year. This increase is from a combination of us tax from the positive side is an increase from repeat customers offset by the increase in early payoffs transactions seen for much of 2020, which we believe was a byproduct of government stimulus.
Our largest variable cost as marketing expense marketing is responsible for our growth in new customers and overtime are repeat customers and we will continue to spend as much as we can at the appropriate acquisition cost.
Marketing expenses $2 3 million in the fourth quarter, which is a significant increase versus the $1 6 million from the fourth quarter of 2019.
Marketing expense was up over 60% in 'twenty 'twenty versus 2019, yet new customer acquisition costs for both the quarter in the year decreased slightly.
Versus the prior year periods.
New customer acquisition costs for the quarter came in at $76 in the fourth quarter and $78 for the entire year, those figures compared to $84 and $80 net prior year periods.
EBITDA was $2 6 million for the fourth quarter compared to $1 1 million in the fourth quarter of 2019, the largest item driving the year over year change in EBITDA was improved operating income, which was approximately $1 million higher than Q4, 'twenty 'twenty than in the prior year.
One subsequent event that I want to mention is that the end of January we signed an amendment to our credit facility and extended the term to April of 'twenty 'twenty four.
In addition, the amendment modified several governance and modified eligibility rules for leases they free up about $2 million in additional cash there.
There was some further changes around permitted indebtedness and other carve outs that provide a significant runway for company growth, but now without having to access the equity markets.
While we will not be providing formal guidance, we do want to provide some data points for January and February so that everyone can get some sense of how 'twenty 'twenty, one has begun and the impact of the portfolios growth in the fourth quarter of 2020.
Originations were up 17% in January 'twenty, 'twenty, one compared to January of 2020.
Originations were up 14% in February 2021, compared to February of 2020.
Also total revenue in January was over 10 million its pre marketing EBITDA of over 2 million and EBITDA of one <unk>.
Of over $1.5 million in January with that I'll hand, the call back to rich.
Thanks Russ.
As a reminder, we continue to emphasize our core priorities, which are underwriting liquidity and distribution and.
In good times and bad those elements enable us to maximize our return on shareholders' capital.
Russ has already covered our favorable liquidity situation I will focus on credit quality and distribution.
Late in 2019, we implemented new underwriting strategies, and we have not seen any degradation in our credit quality since that time.
This stability in credit performance continue throughout the fourth quarter. The spat. Despite the fact, there was no incremental financial stimulus to consumers from the federal government.
We were pleased with the credit trends that we've seen throughout 2020 and for the beginning of 2021.
With respect to distribution I would like to address that topic for new consumer leases as well as repeat consumer leases. Both of these categories are demonstrating substantial growth, but I would like to address each of them more specifically.
Direct to consumer lease originations from new consumers grew 94, 8% year over year in the fourth quarter of 'twenty 'twenty.
This occurred while maintaining a constant cost per new lease.
Typically in digital marketing aggregate increased marketing expenditures and drive higher cost to acquire each new consumer.
However, we've been able to offset this typical outcome because we continue to expand the breadth of our marketing sources and deploy sophisticated analytical market segmentation.
We believe our competency in digital marketing, we will continue to enable us to grow our direct to consumer business profitably and robustly.
Additionally, this marketing competence differentiates us from our competitors in the lease to own industry.
Our strategy is to continue growing our direct to consumer business via our unique flex shopper dot com marketplace and to assist our retail partners with their digital marketing initiatives.
Which leaves me tomorrow, our second distribution point of new lease originations, which is driven by our retail partnerships.
Despite the continuing drag associated with COVID-19, our lease volume associated with retail partnerships grew by nine 5% year over year from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter 2020.
We are very hopeful this year, we will be able to significantly increase the earnings contribution associated with these retail partnership businesses.
This will be driven both by adding new retailers and importantly by maximizing the value of our existing retail partners.
We have a nice sales pipeline for new retail partners, both in the physical short storefront base space.
And in E Commerce.
However, it is always difficult to estimate exactly when new retail partners will make their decisions to roll out a program.
In the past we've mentioned our ability to provide a point of sales solution using our proprietary mobile solution.
This capability enables us to quickly set up pilot programs with new retailers without having to go through the process associated with integrating their existing point of sale technology solutions.
This technology has served us well and we will continue to feature that solution for our partners.
Having said that we're also investing technology resources to integrate with popular Fintech point of sales solutions that are currently being used by many retailers.
This is particularly important for retailers, who have multiple financing partners spanning the credit spectrum, who prefer to use a waterfall solution seamlessly provide financing based on our consumers' particular credit profile.
We recently completed the integration with one of these platforms and we anticipate integrating with several more of these platforms throughout the year.
This will improve our ability to easily integrate with retailers, who prefer using an existing solution rather than our mobile solution.
While we continue to vigorously pursue new retail partners.
We already have good relationships with existing customers and we know they are all driven to increase their sales volumes.
Our strategy is to enhance our value as a partner by not only providing point of sale liquidity to their consumers.
But he will also provide value added services based on our own success with marketing directly to consumers.
Early in 2020, we established a partnership with an e-commerce partner and that relationship has grown to a multi million dollar relationship that continues to demonstrate healthy growth.
The next step with this partner is to establish a unique co branded portal to drive additional ecommerce sales by combining our marketplace technology with their online inventory.
This type of solution is something we believe is unique in the market and this is the type of relationship we are focusing on as we move forward.
Another example of a unique solution is associated with the pilot test, we initiated with a diversified retailer in the second quarter of 2020.
This pilot test has been successful.
And we are rolling out that product from one state to four states as of March 15th.
We look forward to continuing to have success with our partner and hope to add hundreds of additional nor fronts by the end of the by the end of the other third quarter of 2021.
In this partnership we are not only providing our mobile point of sale leasing solution, but we're also providing marketing and analytical support.
Once again, we believe our experience in dealing directly with consumers through our experience at flex shopper Dot com creates this unique advantage from our partnership offering.
In summary, our retail partner strategy is growing at a healthy rate and we are seeking partners, where we can differentiate our offerings to establish long term relationships.
As Russ mentioned, we not only focus on new customer relationships, but importantly, we continue to see improvement in our repeat lease volumes.
This success has primarily been driven by applying the same sophisticated analytical approaches we are using to acquire new leases to the segmentation and stimulation of our existing customer base.
In 2020, the volume of leases that were associated with repeat customers was 37, 8% higher than 2019.
The reason it is important to point out the significant improvement is because repeat leases are approximately 15% more profitable than new leases and there is virtually no cost to originate these repeat leases.
Therefore, the internal rate of return for repeat leases is much higher the new leases and is a key driver of corporate profitability.
These two initiatives fit together nicely to create a virtuous cycle of profitability.
The more we continue to grow new lease originations with the appropriate behavior payment behavior, we create a larger population that may be harvested for the very lucrative repeat business.
In summary, our distribution channel for both new leases and repeat leases have provided excellent growth for the company in 2020, and we look forward to more robust growth from these distribution channels in 2021 and beyond.
While we are generally happy with the things we can control within the company. We also have to consider other external influences on our business.
Two items I haven't been asked most about recently or any future impact of COVID-19, and any effects associated with an additional federal government stimulus.
We have no way of estimating whether we are at or near the end of the COVID-19 impact on our retail partnerships.
We do know we have seen their business begin to bounce back as I mentioned earlier, we've had and we have two partnerships that are growing with us in spite of the COVID-19 environment.
We've also demonstrated we can grow our direct to consumer business significantly in a COVID-19 challenged economy.
Our view is at a company level, we will continue to see substantial growth throughout the remainder of the year irrespective of the timing of the general economic reopening is due to the government's reactions to COVID-19.
Well the government's future reaction to COVID-19 may be uncertain.
There appears to be no more much more certainty regarding the.
The federal government stimulus plan. It is planned to be executed in the coming weeks.
We believe the stimulus is moderately favorable for our company.
On the positive side it will provide some additional spending and will enable some consumers who made me delinquent to fulfill their required payments. However.
However, some potential new customers, who may have chosen our longer term lease to own solutions in the past may choose to purchase with cash or pay off their leases early.
Fortunately.
While the consumer who pays off their lease early may not provide the immediate level of profitability. We prefer they do become an active member of our database for future marketing initiatives.
After studying the data from the last day Emulous. We've concluded the effects of government stimulus is generally positive, but there's nothing we need to count on to drive the effectiveness of our business model.
In conclusion, we are pleased to be in our position of demonstrating strong growth in the second half of the year and as Russ mentioned, we are getting off to a nice start in 2021.
We're now happy to take any questions.
Yeah.
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Our first question today is coming from Scott Buck from H C. Wainwright. Your line is now live.
Hey, good morning, guys.
Couple from me first I'm curious if you have a the number of applications during the fourth quarter and versus the year ago period in front of you trying to understand how much of the lease strength was underlying demand or leases versus maybe some changes that you had made.
Past year or two do your underwriting.
I do not have that number in front of me.
I can tell you that the we have experienced very nice lease demand.
But a great amount of that.
Surge if you will in volume was driven by increased marketing activity.
Okay.
That's helpful Rich and secondly, it looks like other operating expenses ticked up a bit in the quarter is there anything specific to the quarter in there or should we think about the you know we're a point $4 million or so is it just kind of a new run rate for that line.
Other operating expenses also includes a number of variable expenses, including the processing costs as the portfolio expands but more importantly, it includes the <unk>.
Cost of underwriting.
For all of these new applicants coming in so our fourth quarter has more marketing spend it has greater yeah lease applications and has more underwriting cost.
It didn't look towards that number as a as a run rate, but think of it as part of the seasonal adjustment.
Got it that makes sense.
I think that's really it from me guys I appreciate the time. Thank you.
Thank you as a reminder, that star one to be placed in the question queue. Our next question is coming from Ed Woo from <unk> capital. Your line is now live.
Got it. Thank you for taking my question. My question is how is the rising interest rate impact if any your business.
The only sort of a clear impact it has on our business is that our credit facility is a.
<unk> has a LIBOR component to it and so that you would see that start to change our cost of borrowing but outside of that there's a there's no significant impact on our business.
Great and then my second question is you know we're hearing a little bit about you know just the increased shipping costs and.
Some issues with supply chain coming out of China has that impacted your retailer business.
I know it hasn't had an impact on our retailer business. Fortunately the majority of our goods that were leasing off of our.
Flex shopper dot com sites are primarily consumer electronics, and there hasn't been any delays in those shipments.
Great. That's all the questions I have good luck. Thank you.
Thanks.
Thank you we reached end of our question and answer session I'd like to turn the floor back over to management for any further or closing comments.
So thank you very much for joining us today.
Thank you that does conclude today's teleconference and webcast you may disconnect. Your line at this time and have a wonderful day, we thank you for your participation today.