Q2 2022 Element Fleet Management Corp Earnings Call
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and operating results conference call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode and the conference is being recorded. After the prepared remarks, there will be an opportunity for analysts to ask questions. To join or rejoin the question queue, you may press star then 1 on your telephone keypad. Should you need assistance during the conference call, you may signal an operator by pressing star and zero.
Element wishes to remind listeners that some of the information in today's call includes forward looking statements.
These statements are based on assumptions that are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. The following statement is based on assumptions that are subject to significant risks and
The company refers you to the cautionary statements and risk factors in its year-end and most recent MDNA, as well as its most recent AIF, for a description of these risks, uncertainties, and assumptions.
Although management believes that the expectations reflected in the statements are reasonable, it can give no assurance that the expectations reflected in any forward-looking statements will prove to be correct.
Elements, earnings, press release, financial statements, MD&A, supplementary information document, quarterly investor presentation and today's call include references to non-GAAP measures. This webinar will residue the webinars of the intensities and needs of those mentioning today's midnight.
which management believes are helpful to present the company and its operations in ways that are useful to investors.
A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to IFRS measures can be found in the mDNA.
I would now like to turn the call over to Jaye Forbes, President and Chief Executive Officer of Element. Please go ahead.
Thank you operator and good evening to all of you joining us on tonight's call to discuss Element's second quarter results and the organization's progress in advancing its three strategic growth priorities.
Like last quarter, Frank and I will be brief in our prepared remarks, affording us ample time for your questions and discussion.
As you might imagine, everyone here at Element is delighted with the record second quarter and first half results we shared with you earlier this evening.
My executive team and I have long understood the value that our transformed business model and reinvigorated sales efforts were going to create for Element and all of its stakeholders.
However, first the pandemic and then more recently OEM production delays have hidden or deferred much of this substantial value.
With the progression towards a more normal operating environment over the last seven months, I believe the true value creation potential of our business has become readily apparent to all.
In the second quarter our business grew and improved by virtually every measure, both quarter over quarter as well as compared to our Q2 results last year.
Our organic revenue growth strategy has resulted in more blue chip clients, entrusting more vehicles under management to Element, subscribing to and utilizing more of our services, and doing so at higher price points, which benefit our cost plus model.
Our advancement of a capital lighter business model via syndication and service revenue growth has allowed us to reduce our capital requirements, generating excess cash that is being returned to shareholders by way of growing common dividends and share buybacks.
And the resulting significant reduction in our share count has amplified our free cash flow and earnings growth on a per share basis.
Importantly, this performance was achieved against a backdrop of macroeconomic uncertainty and continued supply chain challenges for OEM partners which speaks volumes about both the resilience of our business model and the value creation potential of our 3-prong growth strategy.
We can trace much of this success to our 2,500 employees who help our clients and their drivers operate safer, smarter, and more productive fleets every day.
Element's seasoned specialists, supported by transformed processes and systems, deliver our value proposition to clients by facilitating ready access to cost efficient capital, lowering the total cost of operating clients' vehicles, and eliminating fleet-related administrative burden.
We believe this value proposition has even greater resonance with our clients and prospective clients given current macroeconomic trends.
For instance, rising vehicle, parts and labour costs should make our scale as market leader even more attractive.
with approximately 1.5 million vehicles under management.
We offer the greatest purchasing power, the largest data set for cost optimization, and the most expensive supplier network to lower client costs.
Our proactive complementary client consulting services in the first half of this year alone identified some $430 million of opportunities to reduce our client's fleet operating costs.
Further, rising interest rates should make our securitization and syndication-enabled financing all the more compelling.
Secular trends are also serving as tailwinds.
For example, given the increasing imperatives of ESG and the ability of electric vehicles to advance the sustainability agenda, our experience shepherding organizations through this complex change in automotive technology is of significant interest to current and prospective clients alike.
As a company, we pride ourselves on our say-do ratio, and the last four years have provided ample opportunity for us to come good on our commitments.
transforming elements business, deleveraging and maturing our balance sheet, ridding ourselves of non-core distractions, staying our strategic course through the pandemic, pivoting the company to focus on organic revenue growth, improving our ability to deliver that growth, despite the headwinds of 2021 and 2022.
These are all examples of things that we have said and done.
Culturally, this is how accountable leadership is defined within Element.
making commitments, and then seeing them through to completion.
As accountable leaders, we will continue to advance our three strategic growth priorities for the foreseeable future.
growing net revenue organically and profitably evidenced by expanding margins that demonstrate the scalability of our industry-leading operating platform.
advancing our capital lighter business model by growing services revenue and strategically syndicating fleet assets thereby enhancing returns on equity.
And, growing free cash flow per share, enabling the predictable return of excess equity to shareholders first by generously growing our common dividend on an annual basis and second by repurchasing both common and preferred shares.
Our business is distinctly well positioned for sustainable performance right now, making Element not just a safe haven, but a low risk source of growth for investors in these turbulent times.
With that, I'll turn things over to you Frank. Thank you Jay and good evening everyone. As promised, I will be brief and then we will open the line for your questions.
To me, elements record the second quarter and first half results are, among other things, another set of proof points.
They prove that our organization is executing the right strategy to create value for all of our stakeholders, our clients, our employees, our business, long term, and our investors.
Q2 was an incredibly strong quarter top to bottom. Element generated $288 million of net revenue, which is a single quarter record, 22.4% more than Q2 last year and 10.5% more than last quarter. Operating margin was 57.6%, which is 390 basis points wider than last year and 280 basis points wider than last quarter. Adjusted earnings per share of 29 cents were 9 cents per share more than Q2 last year and 5 cents per share more than Q2 last year.
Second quarter free cash flow per share grew materially to 37 cents, which is 11 cents more than we generated in Q2 last year and 8 cents more than last quarter.
Excluding the roughly $8 million of second quarter revenue generated by actions that are not expected to generate similar levels of revenue next year, Element still had a very, very strong Q2.
$280 million of net revenue would still be the most element has ever generated in a single quarter. 18.8% growth from last year and 7.2% growth over last quarter.
56.3% operating margins would be 260 basis points wider than for Q2 last year and 150 basis points wider than last quarter.
Adjusted EPS of 27 cents is 7 cents more than last year and 3 cents more than last quarter.
and free cash flow of 35 cents per share would still be nine cents more than we generated in Q2 last year and six cents more than last quarter.
The $8 million in non-recurring revenue recorded in the second quarter is a portion of the approximately $25 million in one-time revenues we expect to earn in 2022. These revenues vary greatly by type but share the similar characteristics that they are discrete and unlikely to recur in nature.
Providing whole host of service offerings and financing for nearly 1.5 million vehicles across five countries in a period of unprecedented change has presented us with an equally unprecedented opportunity to generate incremental one-time revenues.
For this reason, our Q2 supplementary offers guidance as to both the results we expect to report at year end and an organic version thereof, excluding the estimated $25 million of revenue that we believe to be unique to 2022.
Both versions constitute a material increase in 2022 guidance driven by the powerful fundamentals of our resilient business model.
The purpose of providing an organic set of full year 2022 results is to help you better assess and model Elemnt's 2023 performance.
Like last year, we plan to provide full year 2023 results guidance as part of November's Q3 disclosures.
In the meantime, we are happy to reiterate that we believe Elemnt's 2023 performance will be superior to that we offered in November last year, which we now consider understated.
Returning for a moment to our full year 2022 guidance, it's important to note that those results do not include any benefit from originating the significant excess order backlog we continue to maintain, which is roughly $1.8 billion at Q2 quarter end, and therefore represents the same $40 to $65 million of deferred net revenue, ALI, and free cash flow as had been the case for the past two quarters.
Looking ahead at the balance of this year, I would offer that Q2 is likely to have been
the strongest single quarter of 2022.
benefiting greatly from macroeconomic trends, increased utilization, strong originations, and a solid book of onboarded business wins.
That said, Q3 and Q4 will each be very strong as well and evidence material growth over the same quarters in prior year 2021 respectively.
The second to last thing I want to flag quickly before we get to your questions is the fact that management and our board of directors revisit elements common shared dividend annually ahead of our Q3 results report out every November .
As we've communicated before, going forward the plan is to maintain a common dividend payout range of between 25 and 35 percent of elements last 12 months free cash flow per share.
At June 30 our common dividend was 25.4% of last 12 months free cash per share, which is at the bottom end of our range.
We will provide you any news applicable to our common dividend in three months' time and again offer our full year 2023 results guidance then too.
Lastly, please hold the morning of Tuesday, November 29th this year in your calendar for an element investor day here in Toronto, as well as online for those who may be unable to join us in person.
Officials save the date and further details will be distributed shortly.
For now, operator, let's please open the line for questions.
Thank you. We will now begin the analyst question and answer session. In order to afford all analysts the opportunity to ask questions, Element kindly requests that analysts limit themselves to two questions in live dialogue with management.
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The first question is from Paul Holden with CIBC. Please go ahead.
Good evening Paul.
So you clearly highlighted that new customer wins and shared wallet are adding to revenue growth.
Just wondering how do you feel about the business momentum there? Are you seeing sort of a lot of wins in the past and hard to replicate? Or is it matter of you're really the team is just really trying to starting to gain traction in North America? And maybe that rate of growth can even accelerate from here.
Paul, I think we are in early earnings in terms of the commercial growth strategy. Having started the pivot growth in 2021 and having invested in the innate capabilities, especially in the US and Canada, to make full use of the marketplace and the opportunities in that marketplace, I think we are just in the early days of progressing that agenda.
I think that is exemplified through a number of progressions. Clearly you're seeing growth in vehicles under management as we both retain the existing client base, as we steal share from our competitors, as we penetrate the self-managed market. All of those are quite additive in terms of vehicles under management. Further, we're seeing vehicles under management growth also.
by taking a larger share of existing client fleets. And the combination of those two are propelling very solid bump growth for the organization. On top of that and in keeping with not only our profitable revenue growth strategy but our capital lighter strategy and a focus on services, we've had a pronounced...
focus across the three regions on shared wallet and looking to increase the penetration of service offerings with our existing clients and spur utilization of those services amongst the client base. Those two factors combined with the inflation that we're seeing on parts and labor, fuel, have all been quite additive in terms of shared wallet. So yeah, I would say with
COVID waning with our sales force being more mobile and getting more and more face-to-face meetings, we feel like again we're in the early innings of the game with our commercial efforts maturing quite nicely and making the very most of the market opportunities that we're seeing.
That's great. And then second part of the question, which is sort of related in terms of those new customer wins, so not so much the penetration, but the
the new customer wins.
Is there sort of a time delay now between when those come on in terms of vehicles under management versus net earning assets, i.e. is there a tailwind ahead of us?
in terms of growth and originations from these customer wins that have already taken place.
Thanks very much.
may be a phrase slightly different. As we still share and
and on board a new client. Typically we will take over the service mandate on those vehicles within a quarter or two.
We would then originate new vehicle replacement vehicles for their existing fleet as that existing fleet begins to mature. Given the OEM delays then yes, some of those originations that we would expect to come historically faster with new client wins are taking a little longer. And so you will see a situation where our VUM is increasing.
but the originations
that would be associated with those increased units had been delayed as a consequence of the OEM production delays. And so we're actually building up, if you will, pent up demand as we capture these new clients, onboard them, and shift the provision of services onto our platform, and meanwhile, have to wait a little longer.
for the originations and the build up of the NDA or the flow through to syndications.
up to the NDA or the flow through to syndications.
Yeah, that makes sense. I'm sorry. Just a quick follow up on that just to be clear.
That component is not captured in your backlog. Is that correct? If the customer wins, would you anticipate there will be a conversion of earning assets in the future? That is correct. Not until those clients are ready and able to place an order. They're ready to replace the existing vehicle fleet and the order bank of the OEM is open such that we can place that order.
to your point, that pent up demand that we're carrying forth is not captured in the order backlog.
Thank you very much.
The next question is from Jeff Kwan with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Hey, Jeff.
I just want to follow up a little bit on Paul's first question. Just on slide 15, you talk about the client wins, self-managed fleets and government and mega fleets. Just wondering if there's an update there. On the client wins side, there's, as you know, been some consolidation announcements and to the extent that you're maybe getting more interest from there and then again on the self-managed mega and government fleets.
We're very encouraged by what we're seeing in the market. As you think about some of these macroeconomic factors that we had identified, Jeff, be it rising interest rates, be it inflation, be it the shift in technology and the consideration of EVs as a replacement for ICE vehicles, there are a number of facilitators now that are making our...
value proposition all the more interesting and valuable to client prospects.
You add then the dynamic of a fair amount of upheaval that comes with the integration of three companies onto single platforms and that has given rise to a great deal of interest and outreach in terms of the clients of competitors. And so that combination of self-managed fleets who are looking to reduce their fleet operating costs, reduce their fuel costs, to migrate their fleets to
from ICE to EV to access better, more reliable, cheaper sources of financing, our value proposition is resonating with them and generating increased interest. For those that have already made the decision to outsource their fleets to an FMC, the shifts that have taken place in terms of industry consolidation.
coupled with the acknowledgement that our transformation is complete and the end result is a client experience second to none has seen a great deal of interest and we've been able to convert a lot of that interest into qualified prospects and ultimately into new clients for our business
And this is my second question, was on your shared buybacks, presumably, I mean we'll see elements true, earnings and free cash flow generation when OEM production normalizes and been.
likely your valuation multiple probably expands from where it is right now. So what sort of valuation metric and what valuation multiple or whether or not it's an absolute number or range would you kind of view it as the fair value that would guide how active you are on buying back your stock?
Yeah, this is Frank. So I would tell you, you know, we don't put a target out there publicly for what the share price is, but I can tell you that, you know, based on what we see for both our guidance and for the potential upside in the business, especially as the OEM originations begin to come through and the supply chain issues start to subside, we continue to believe that we're materially undervalued. And as a result, you will continue to see us and continue to see us.
leaning into our NCIB and share repurchase, but also all of the three prongs of our return of capital. So looking at our dividend, as I said on the call, we'll, Q3, reassess that given the enhanced pre-cash flow we see current year and in the future. We will also look at continuing to optimize our capital structure. So the cost of, you know, some of these older preferred issuances and convertible debt issuances.
punitive and so looking to continue to take those out as well. So we'll continue to employ that three-prong strategy but again our business model is capital lighter and by definition capital lighter means less capital in the business which means equity that we don't need to run the business which means we will continue to return that equity and lean into that capital lighter strategy because we believe that is a core value driver.
punitive and so looking to continue to take those out as well. So we'll continue to employ that three-prong strategy but again our business model is capital lighter and by definition capital lighter means less capital in the business which means equity that we don't need to run the business which means we will continue to return that equity and lean into that capital lighter strategy because we believe that is a core value driver for this business and a unique characteristic that we have.
Jeff, maybe circling back to evaluation and basis of valuation for us, free cash flow, free cash flow per share is the salient metric here. Again, the nature of the business, the tax shield, the regenerative tax shield that is created with the $6 billion plus of originations the business generates just...
doesn't get factored into EPS as a multiple. And so for us, the basis of measurement has been, and it continues to be, free cash flow per share. Yeah, and Jay, that's a great point. If you look at the differential between our EPS and our free cash flow, that entirety of 8 cents that you see in this quarter is all the difference between our cash taxes and our book taxes.
Okay, great. Thank you. Okay, great. Thank you.
The next question is from Tom McKinnon with BMO Capital. Please go ahead.
Yeah, thanks very much. Just a couple quick questions here. I think you had said in the last quarter that the excess order backlog would start to decline in the second half of 2023. It seems to start...
Is there any update on that because it seems to begin to plateau right now? Is it still in the second half of 2023 when we'd see that start to decline significantly or is it any earlier? And I have a follow-up thanks.
Hi Tom. Actually, the very opposite. We're looking for the excess order backlog to increase in the second half. While we anticipate that we're going to have No answers Mother Ray parcel
increasing OEM productive capacity throughout 2022 as we move to the restoration of full capacity in 2023, we nonetheless expect that as the order banks are opened by the OEMs, there will be a significant increase in capacity in 2022.
inflow of orders that will build the order backlog and thus the excess order backlog throughout the second half.
And so you I think before you had said it would start to decline in the second half of 2023 So is that still?
the call? That is correct. We would expect, you know, we haven't moved off our full recovery of productive capacity in 2023 and as we get to that level and the OEMs are then in a position to add additional shifts of productive capacity, we would absolutely begin to see that excess order backlog being drawn down in the second half.
things that's contributing to what you would deem to be additional service revenue, maybe just perhaps a little bit more color around the 25 and what makes it so unique to 2022 and in your opinion, not necessarily recurring in 2023. So it is not that. It's not increased utilization. It's not a return to pre-pandemic levels. To us, that is normal ordinary course operations within the business. These are more specific.
items within the 1.5 million vehicles we have and the changing dynamics in these in these times with with how the vehicles are potentially used returned otherwise that Provide us a one-time opportunity Both for us and sometimes for our clients to provide them value as well in regards to driving That that incremental revenue so we saw 8 million in the first in the second quarter
we anticipate another 13 million or so, I'm sorry, 17 million or so in the second half, so that's 25 million. But again, anything that we talk about as normal, ordinary course running the business would not be in that 25 million. These really are a couple of very distinct...
distinct items that given the current economic macroeconomic environment and the supply chain and the host of other things We can identify as this was a one-time. We're going to be able to take advantage of it So we have to proactively take that take an action But it is not anything that we would ever consider normal ordinary course business
Yeah, what makes it not ordinary course?
Tom, probably the best way to illustrate this is by way of past examples. You've seen instances
where we've had a contract settlement with a major client that was non-recurring one time in nature.
and we called that out. You saw another instance where we had swap gains, large non-recurring, we called that out. We even had earlier days of my time with the organization, we did a re-emortization of an entire client portfolio, again, non-recurring, one time in nature. And so what makes 2022 unique is we have a couple of those, a few of those that have come to.
home to roost here, beginning Q2 and continuing throughout the remainder of the year. That again are just...
non-recurring one time in nature and to Frank's point, or to the benefit of our clients and to the benefit of the organization.
Okay, thanks. And if I could just squeeze one more in, the redemption of the preferreds, I assume that should sort of lower your cost of funds going forward. Is that....
Yeah, it lowers our cost of funds, but remember that dividend is down at the bottom of the income statement, right, and any debt we took on to take it out now ends up in the NFR line. So a bit of an odd accounting based on how our income statement is set up and how the auditors look at all of our debt hitting that NFR line. So it will lower our overall cost of funds because it's inefficient, but it's moving geographically within the income statement.
Okay, thanks.
Thank you, Tom.
Once again, analysts who have a question may press star then 1.
The next question is from Shalab Gorg with Veritas Investment Research. Please go ahead.
Thank you and good evening. First of all, congrats on a great quarter. One thing I want to touch on is the excess backlog and can you provide any color on what percentage of that backlog is for replacing the older or less efficient vehicles.
Yeah, good evening. We wouldn't break out that as a matter of public disclosure, but suffice it to say that the excess order backlog is quite representative.
of the entirety of our fleet. So it is largely 80% service, 20% sales vehicles. It is largely pickups, vans, and medium duty trucks as opposed to passenger vehicles. And these are vehicles that are ordered to replace existing vehicles that are just long in the tooth. They have become terribly inefficient.
far more expensive to operate and thus the order has been placed with the OEM. And just maybe Shlub to give you a little additional insight around deficiencies, if you move from an average age of 3 years for your vehicle, if on average your vehicles are operating with 36 months of usage, to go another year.
represents about a 25% increase in your monthly spend for that vehicle to keep it on the road. If you go another year to five years, it actually elevates it to 40% increase. And so there's a natural point of rationale, if you will, that says we need to keep current in terms of replacing our vehicles. Unfortunately, by virtue of the OEM production delays.
that has resulted in many of our clients not being able to secure vehicles on a timely basis and hence this excess order backlog that is built.
Okay, so that's helpful and just to follow up on that, so I think in the past it was mentioned 41 months is the ideal time to replace based on the elements data and analysis. Is the current vehicle fleet age higher, lower than that or similar? Is there any color you can provide on that?
So the average amortization period 41 months, absolutely that has kind of consistently been the magical number for the business up until this OREM production day began to manifest itself in mid-2021. We have seen that number increase over the course of the last 12 months.
Okay, that's all. Then I'm assuming once the order backlogs clear off, that number would kind of again be in line with historical and the ideal set of data, right? Like, I guess, six months.
That is our operating assumption as well, yes.
Okay, thank you. Those are my questions. Thank you.
The next question is from Jamie Gloin with National Bank Financial. Please go ahead.
Yeah, thanks. Just wanted to start off on fuel and the potential benefit of fuel prices in this quarter as we're seeing those costs revert lower into Q3. I just want to get a sense of the sensitivity perhaps to the movements in the fuel prices on a quarter to quarter basis here.
and what we might expect. Yeah, good evening, Jay. You might remember
In 2020, we talked a little bit about fuel and kind of where it sat in the pecking order.
in terms of services. And we said, if you had the top six services,
by revenue, few would fit into the top six.
So it's not number one, it's not number two, but it is in the top six.
in and of itself is an important service offering to make available to a client. It's pretty much core to a fleet services mandate and value proposition that you're going to advance. That said, it's not one of our higher service revenue generators. It is absolutely being advantaged by the significant increase in fuel costs that we have seen.
in all five country domains in which we have operated. And on our cost plus model, the increase in the fuel price obviously flows through to our client and the basis points for managing that spend flows through to our revenue line. But it in and of itself isn't one of the larger contributors to service revenue for the organization. So while it has been additive.
in terms of revenue growth as a consequence of the fuel price increases that we've seen, the fact that it will revert to something that is more the norm isn't particularly problematic for us as we go forward.
Understood. Thank you.
Shifting to the Armada relationship, nice to see a little disclosure here about a broadening array of element services that you've signed Armada up for. Can you perhaps give us a sense as to where that relationship is on a utilization basis? Is there more to go? Is this kind of like the plateau for that relationship? Maybe just elaborate on where that sits today. Okay.
You know, our model is probably a reasonable facsimile for the broader strategy that we're deploying as an organization. And so for us this represents opportunity for growth both in terms of growing vehicles under management and increasing the penetration and utilization of those vehicles under management. And so, you know, their aspirations continue.
continuing to expand and with that expansion, a greater reliance on the vehicles that they have in their fleet. And so we see opportunities for increased numbers of vehicle management as we go forward. Further, this is a very innovative organization. They're always pushing the boundaries, they're always rethinking the means by which they advance their agenda and how they're fleet.
can add a meaningful contribution to the advancement of that agenda. And as a consequence, we've been able to work with them to create, develop, pilot, and roll out a variety of different offerings and many of them non-traditional fleet offerings. So yeah, I think there are, there's opportunity to grow that relationship both in terms of number of units that we manage, increase.
service array that we provide those vehicles and increase utilization of those services amongst their drivers.
Okay, great. And last one for me maybe trying to sneak peek into the next quarter's disclosures. As we're thinking about the previous revenue guidance of 4-6%, clearly Element has been executing very well on its growth strategies, taking market share, share of wallet, some self-managed fleet. Is there anything in the data so far that...
that might cause you to take a more optimistic look at that 4-6% guidance?
So the new guidance that we have out there for, you know, before the adjustment is 10 to 12% for the year. I have a problem, I thought, with the 120 image carved out over here.
So I think that is obviously materially higher, and it's 7.5 to 9.5% before the 25 million, after the 25, or excluding the $25 million in distinct non-recurring revenues. So, yes, we have clearly taken both the look at what's happened and transpired in the first half, but also the trends that have driven that first half in driving our guidance to a significantly higher level than we had originally looked at..
I'd also say, as per my comments earlier, we do believe Q2 will be the high water mark, but we think the second half will be roughly consistent with, you know, the first half, and as we look at each of those quarters, they amongst by themselves, despite the fact we think Q2's a high water market, Mark would still be materially above prior year quarters, so continuing to show very strong growth on a year-over-year basis. Hence our comfort level in that 10% to 12%.
net revenue growth. Yeah, I guess I was not referring specifically to the near term, but more of that medium term outlook for a longer term outlook.
Yeah, and you know, I think.
Let's revisit that in November when we bring forth our guidance for 2023 and maybe posit some early thoughts in terms of what 2024 might look like as well, James. To your point, when we start to look at the success that we're enjoying in increasing the vehicles under management, the share of wallets that we're enjoying with that larger fleet of vehicles under management.
reflect on the 2023 guidance and maybe provide some outlook as to when we think things will be back to normal and with normalcy, what this organization might be capable of doing in terms of consistent profitable revenue growth.
Great. Look forward to it. Thank you. Okay. Thank you.
This concludes the question and answer session and today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating and have a pleasant day.
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