Q2 2023 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Earnings Call

Good day ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to Alibaba Group's September quarter 2022 results conference call. At this time all participants are on listen only mode. After management's prepared remarks there will be a Q&A session. I would now like to turn the call over to Rob Lynn, Head of Investor Relations of Alibaba Group. Please.

Go ahead.

Thank you and good day everyone. Welcome to Alibaba Group's September quarter 2022 results conference call. With us are Daniel Tsung, Chairman and CEO , Joe Tai, Executive Vice Chairman, Toby Shih, Chief Financial Officer. This call is also being webcasted from the IR section of our corporate website. A replay of the call will be available on our website later today. Now let me quickly cover

at Safe Harbor. Today's discussion may contain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially.

For detailed discussion of these risks and uncertainties, please refer to our latest annual report on Form 20S and other documents filed with the US FCC or announced on the website of Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Any further looking statement that we make on this call are based on assumptions as of today and we do not take any obligation to update these statements, except as required under applicable law.

Please note that certain financial measures that we use on this call, such as adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, non-GAAP net income, non-GAAP diluted earnings per share or ADS, and free cash flow are expressed on a non-GAAP basis. A GAAP result in reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP measures can be found in our earnings press release.

Unless otherwise noted, growth rates of all stated metrics mentioned during this call refer to year-over-year growth versus the same quarter last year. In addition, during today's call, management will give their prepared remarks in English, a third-party translator will provide simultaneous Chinese translation, and another conference line. Please refer to a press release for details.

During the Q&A session, we will take questions in both English and Chinese, and a third-party translator will provide consecutive translation. All translations are for convenience purpose only. In the case of any discrepancy, management statements in the original language will prevail. With that, I will turn the call to Daniel.

Thanks Rob. Hello everyone. Thank you for joining our earnings call today.

We delivered a solid quarter in a macro environment full of uncertainty.

the ongoing resurgence of COVID-19.

geopolitical tension, inflation and currency differentiation.

the convergence of all these forces.

that created considerable difficulties for business operations.

Despite these challenges...

Alibaba's non-GABI beta increased 29% year-over-year as we continue to enhance our operational efficiencies.

This is the result of our pursuit of high quality development.

and more importantly demonstrates the resilience of the Alibaba Business ecosystem.

In the China domestic consumer market, Tout

but the user traffic remains stable.

However, consumption appetite was weak and we saw a drop in purchasing frequency.

The resurgence of COVID has affected one area after another, resulting in abnormal or suspended logistics service in different places.

this current merchant operations and consumer logistics experience.

In terms of demand,

the decline in categories such as apparel and consumer electronics slowed quarter over quarter.

interest based categories.

such as outdoor recreation and pet care, and health and wellness related categories recognize positive growth.

In this challenging environment, we have achieved relatively positive results through a committed execution of the following strategies.

Number one.

We work to ensure our user traffic population remains stable.

DAU or MAU by continuing to strengthen our user engagement.

After many years of operation,

Power of T mode is now deeply

entrenched in our users' minds as the shocking destination.

We are focused on user engagement on our platform by enhancing the customer journey cross-search, algorithm-driven discovery recommendations, live streaming and other engagement features.

We stimulated consumption interest and drove conversion by highlighting the factors that influence purchase decisions through short form video.

photos, texts, and other means of communication.

Number two, we further consolidate the scale and the thickness of our most valuable consumer group.

For the 12 months ended, December 30, 2022, the number of consumers who reached

who each spent over 10,000 RMB on Taoban T-mode remain around 124 million with a retention rate of 98%.

AAVIP membership population held steady at $25 million this quarter.

with solid membership retention and growth in GME contributions.

3. We improved consumer satisfaction by continually investing in customer service during and after sales.

and the logistics service experiences such as doorstep delivery of orders as required.

Our latest consumer satisfaction survey showed improvements in NPS scores relating to logistics and post sales.

During our recent

11.11 Global Shocking Festival, Taobao Timo's PudoG&E was in line with the performance last year during the same period.

Initial fruits of the operation strategies outlined just now were seen during November 11.

More than 600 million users engaged with our November 11 related content.

a single digit growth young year.

although the total number of buyers declined compared to the same period last year.

the average GME per person increased.

As for our consumer profile, more than 98 of our AA VIP members bought something during November 11th season.

Moreover, the contribution by AAVIP members to the total GNV continues to grow.

regarding product categories consistent with what we observed during the rest of the quarter.

Interest-based categories such as outdoor recreation and pets and health and wellness-related categories saw positive growth.

Consumer electronics also endured positive growth during November 11 season.

However, there are a few factors that negatively impacted our W11 performance.

Number one

Average temperature across China was much warmer than usual for that time of year.

and the delay in seasonal change weakened consumption appetite for apparel even more in an environment impacted by COVID.

And not.

the apparel category suffered.

2. Starting in October and through the 11-11 campaign period,

Nearly 15% of delivery areas across China experienced abnormal or suspended logistics services.

This had a significant impact on the merchant's ability to fulfill orders on time and the recovery company's ability to make regular deliveries.

but recently we are seeing improvement.

Number 3

11-11 has become an event celebrated and embraced by the entire society.

Given the uncertainties relating to the COVID-19, merchants were especially keen to take advantage of this opportunity to capture as much growth as possible across every available channel.

Objectively speaking, they offered consumers more choices both online and offline.

This quarter, the decline in consumer management revenue was higher than the decline in overall GMV.

I would like to share the reasons.

The first is the higher rates of order return because of a order return due to COVID-related impact on fulfillment and delivery.

b. A higher order return rate that accommodates live streaming driven sales.

C. The increasing convenience of making returns and improvements in user experience in returns handling on our platform.

These three reasons collectively contribute to the rise in order return rate across the platform.

Take aim.

calculation does not account all the returns.

If it was accounted for, our tick rate actually remained consistent.

Second, page views from algorithm-driven discovery recommendations grow, but our monetization of traffic was less efficient, resulting in a lower take rate in the short term.

Looking forward, we will adapt to the change in our user traffic composition and introduce better magnetization products to ensure the long-term stability of our platform take rate.

In our local consumer service segment,

Ullama proactively adjusted its business operation strategy to focus on user growth and retention on its mobile app.

and it continued to grow its market presence in key cities.

At the same time, it continued to enhance operational efficiency and unit economics, continued to see improvement.

This is primarily due to the rise in average order value leading to an increase in revenue.

and a reduction in logistic costs for order fulfillment.

A map launched a new version of its map this quarter.

together with a series of new features.

including a 3D city map.

car lane level road navigation.

forecasting of traffic light signals.

and road navigation for staying in the shade out of the sun, so on so forth.

User population and sickness continued to strengthen in AMAP, and a new historical record of 220 million DAU was registered during the week of the National Day holidays.

On top of its map navigation,

The services offered by AMAP related to getting to destination.

which includes ride-hailing, hotel booking, gas station and an EV recharging station.

are all experiencing rapid development.

with both service...

users and all the volume in joining faster growth.

Tanyao's various businesses saw robust growth in this quarter and there were clear improvements in cost efficiency.

Tanyao Post network grew by 20% in Yangyue and now has more than 170,000 locations.

It has comprehensive coverage in residential communities, school campuses, and rural villages across China.

China Post has become an important touchpoint for serving consumers.

For overseas markets, Sanyo continues to actively build logistics hubs and nodes for further enhance its global logistics network service capability and efficiency.

In overseas market...

The rise in logistics costs due to inflation and currency depreciation against the US dollar has contributed to all the volume decline of 12% year-on-year in our cross-border export business, Body Express.

In Southeast Asia, the Zadar order volume declined 6% year-on-year as COVID-related restrictions were lifted and offline shopping resumed.

Trendeo's order volume grew over 65% young year on the strength of its e-commerce business and fast growing local consumer service.

For Aliexpress and Lazada, we are taking steps to adjust our business model and investing in creating user value rather than just scaling.

We are also continuing to strengthen our capabilities in the just end supply chain.

We believe that developing and investing in these capabilities will be meaningful to ensure the sustainable long-term development of our abilities to serve the overseas consumer market.

In our cloud segment, Alibaba cloud revenue growth was 4% year-on-year this quarter.

through structural adjustments over the past few quarters.

Alibaba Cloud's revenue structure is now healthier and more sustainable.

Public cloud revenue growth double digit year on year this quarter.

while hybrid cloud decline.

in the interest of pursuing high quality growth.

We proactively control the development of our business, not only resale hosting infrastructure that has been commoditized in the market.

Looking at our revenue by industry.

Non-internet industry revenue grow 28% year over year.

its contribution to total revenue increased from 53% to 58% quarter over quarter.

the fastest growing sectors including financial services.

automotive

telecom and public services.

Looking ahead, Alibaba Cloud will leverage its perpetually cloud computing and big data processing capabilities to launch a range of industry solutions with relevant partners for advancing China's industrial digitalization.

At the Apasara conference in early November , we unveiled many important technological achievements.

It included our Cloud Infrastructure Processing Unit, i.e. CIPU, and an open source platform under the Model as a Service named the Model Scope.

These will serve important purposes in Alibaba's cloud's future development.

in this environment full of uncertainty.

Our wide-ranging efforts in cost reduction and efficiency improvement measures are beginning to bear fruit.

businesses such as Taobao Deal, Taocai Chai, Uluma, AMAP, Lazada.

and you cool

have significantly reduced their losses.

We will continue to focus on the steady improvement of business quality and on investing in building capabilities to provide customer core value rather than pursuing short-term business growth or user scale.

As China enters an era of high quality development,

we will also enter a stage of high quality business operations.

During the eight years from Alibaba's BIPO

in September 2014.

the quality and scale of our business has improved significantly.

Alibaba's revenue today is 12 times what it was during the same period in 2014.

Adjusted EBTAR is 4.5 times what it was during the same period in 2014.

Pre-cash flow is 4 times that of what it was in 2014.

Over the past eight years, China's GDP has almost doubled.

from 59 trillion RMB in 2013 to 114 trillion RMB in 2021.

We are confident about the future and we will continue to execute our SHIPe ShareBuyback program.

As of November 16, we have utilized approximately $18 billion today towards share repurchase under our existing $25 billion US dollar program.

with 7 billion US dollars more to go.

In addition, our board has authorized us to upside our existing share repurchase program by another $15 billion as a tangible action towards enhancing shareholder return.

We remain confident about ourselves and even more about the future, no matter the ups and downs.

We believe in the prospect of China's economic and social development.

We believe Alibaba's development goals are highly aligned with China's long-term goals.

We believe Alibaba can play an important role in the digitalization process in China and around the world.

We have taken notes.

of the latest adjustment in China's COVID-related policies and proactive commentary from relevant government regulators about promoting the digital economy and the high quality development of platform businesses.

We believe that Covid will ultimately pass and our society, our economy and our lives will eventually return to normal.

and that the massive potential of China as the world's second largest economy will be further unleashed.

Last but not least, we believe that platform economy that Alibaba is part of can make unique and valuable contributions towards serving small and medium businesses.

creating employment and the pursuit of better lives.

Thank you everyone. Let me pass the microphone to Tobi who will share the financial result with you.

Thank you Daniel. Let me start with financial highlights for the quarter.

This quarter, our total revenue was R&B $207 billion, an increase of 3% year-over-year.

Income from operations for the quarter was RMB 25.1 billion, an increase of 68%, or RMB 10.1 billion year over year, mainly driven by increase in adjusted EBITDA of RMB 8.1 billion and decrease in share-based compensation expense of RMB 2.3 billion.

During September quarter, we have continued to improve operating performance of our loss-making businesses by enhancing operating efficiency and optimizing costs that resulted in 29% year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA to RMB 36.2 billion.

overall adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 3% to 17%.

Now, let's look at if cost trends is a percentage of revenue excluding SBC.

cost of revenue ratio remains stable at 63% in September quarter.

Our direct sales businesses and logistics services contribute to growth, driving up our cost of inventory and logistics. But we were able to keep our cost of revenue ratio stable primarily through optimizing traffic acquisition and improving subsidy efficiency.

product development expenses ratio remains stable during the quarter.

Sales and marketing expenses ratio decreased 2 percentage points year over year to 11 percent, reflecting our continued efforts in optimizing user acquisition and user retention spending across our businesses.

General administrative expenses ratio remains stable at 4% in September quarter.

Nongap net income was RMB 33.8 billion, an increase of RMB 5.3 billion year over year, mainly due to increase in adjusted EBITDA, partly offset by decreasing equity pick up of our equity method in left piece results.

Our gap net loss was RMB 22.5 billion, a decline of 25.8 billion year over year, primarily due to the increase in net loss arising from changes in set value of our equity investment.

partly offset by increase in net net net net income.

As of September 30, 2022, we continue to maintain a strong net cash position of 323 billion RMB or 45 billion USD.

our strong net cash position is supported by healthy cash flow generation.

In September 2022 quarter, cash from operating activities was RMB47 billion and free cash flow were RMB36 billion respectively.

which were up by RMB 11 billion and RMB 13 billion versus year ago.

Majority of the difference between operating cash flow and free cash flow is the operating capex at RMB 11 billion, down by RMB 1.7 billion versus a year ago.

net cash outflow for investments and acquisition activities, net of inflow from disposals, significantly reduced to RMB 2.4 billion compared to RMB 21.5 billion in the same period last year.

Importantly, under current market conditions and given the confidence we have in the long-term sustainability of our business, we have been repurchasing our shares aggressively. For the fiscal first half ended September 30, 2022, we repurchased approximately 62.9 billion of our ADSes for approximately USD 5.6 billion, which is equivalent to about 70% of our free-

From October 1st to November 16th, we have repurchased another USD 2.6 billion in ADS's annual share repurchase program. Our strong balance sheet and free cash flow give us the flexibility to execute this share repurchase program with confidence.

Now let's look at our second result.

Revenue from China Commerce segment in September quarter was R&B 135 billion, a decrease of 1% year over year.

Customer manual revenue decreased by 7% year over year to RMB 66.5 billion.

Taobao and Timo physical goods paid GMV declined by low single digits.

Customer management revenue is composed of advertising and commission revenue. Within advertising, search advertising revenue continues to observe positive growth as it provides consistent returns for merchants, while non-search advertising is negatively impacted by overall market conditions and other factors.

Commission revenue also declined more than that of Timor-Pate GNV due to higher order cancellation

Direct sales and others revenue grew 6% to RMB65 billion, primarily driven by strong growth of our fresh hippo and Alibaba Health's direct sales businesses.

China Commerce segment adjusted its EBITDA increased by RMB2.6 billion to RMB44 billion in the quarter. The improvement reflected significant loss reduction from Taobao Deal, Taotai Tech and Fresh Hippo, which on combined basis reached RMB4.9 billion in September quarter.

Sacramento's EBITDA margin improved two percentage points year over year to 32% during this quarter.

Secondly, EBITDA margin can be further segregated into three types of businesses.

First, our existing marketplace business including Taiwan Timor continues to exhibit stable EBITDA margin year over year.

Second, combined EBITDA margin of our direct sales businesses continues to improve, which was primarily driven by Fresh Hippo during the quarter. The vast majority of Fresh Hippo's existing stores have achieved cash flow positive.

Lastly, new businesses including Taobao Deal and Tao Tai Tsai significantly reduce losses year over year, as previously mentioned.

Our international commerce segment revenue in September quarter was RMB 15.7 billion, an increase of 4% year over year.

Revenue from international commerce retail business increased by 3% to RMB 10.7 billion. The increase was primarily driven by Trendeo as a result of its strong order growth of over 65%, partly offset by decrease in artist expressed order as a result of challenging

challenges faced in cross-border e-commerce demand in Europe due to devastating Europe and increasing logistic cost.

Revenue from our Alibaba.com wholesale business grew 6% to under $5 billion. The increase was primarily due to resilient 8% growth in value of transactions completed on Alibaba.com that led to an increase in revenue generated by cross-border related value-added services.

The International Commerce segment adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed by RMB 1.5 billion to RMB 960 million in September quarter.

The significant loss reduction year over year was primarily contributed by the reduced losses from Lazada and Chandio.

Lazada has continued to improve monetization rate as well as enhancing operating efficiency.

During the quarter, loss per order for Lazada narrowed by over 25% compared to the same period last year.

while TranLiu's improvement is a combination of strong revenue growth despite forex headwinds, as well as enhanced operating efficiency.

Our local consumer service segment revenue in September quarter grew 21% to RMB 13 billion, primarily driven by strong revenue growth of AMAP as well as higher average order value and more efficient use of subsidies that would counter revenue of Eulama.

Local consumer service adjusted EBITDA loss reduced by RMB 3 billion year over year to RMB 3.5 billion.

Most of the loss reduction was driven by Erlema Business, while rest of the other businesses also recorded reduced losses.

Erlema continued to improve its unit economics per order by increasing average order value.

reducing delivery costs per order, and optimizing user acquisition spending.

its UE continued to improve year over year and remained positive this quarter.

revenue from Tanyang. After intersegment elimination, grew 36% year over year to RMB 13.4 billion.

primarily contributed by the increase in revenue from domestic consumer logistics services.

as a result of service model upgrade since later 2021 to enhance customer experience.

and also the international fulfillment solutions services ran increased.

In September quarter, 73% of Tainio's total revenue was generated from external customers.

Tanyao recorded a just-a-dip it up profit of RMB 125 million in September quarter, an increase of RMB 440 million year over year.

Revenue from our cloud segment after inter-segment elimination was RMB 20.8 billion in September quarter, an increase of 4%, mainly driven by healthy public cloud growth, partially offset by declining hybrid cloud revenue, as we continue to drive high quality recurring revenue growth.

Revenue growth for non-internet industries continued to accelerate, growing 28%, and contributed 58% of overall crowd revenue.

Strong revenue growth of the non-internet industries was driven by financial services, telecommunication and public services industries.

Revenue from customers in the Internet industry declined by 18%. That was mainly driven by declining revenue from the top Internet customers that has gradually stopped using our overseas cloud service for international business.

online education customers as well as softening demand from other customers in China internet industry.

suggested a guitar of cloud segments which comprised of Alibaba Cloud and Dintock with a profit of RMB 434 million in September quarter increased by RMB 38 million year over year.

Revenue from our digital media and entertainment segment in September quarter was RMB 8.4 billion, an increase of 4%, primarily due to the increase in revenue from Alibaba Pictures, Youku, which was partly offset by decreasing online games business revenue.

adjusted EBITDA was a loss of RMB 117 million, reduced by RMB 814 million year over year, primarily driven by narrowing of losses from Youku and improved profitability of Alibaba Pictures.

Youku continues to improve operational efficiency through disciplined investment in content and production capability.

its year-over-year losses have been narrowed for six consecutive quarters.

Over the past several months, we have been preparing for our primary listing in Hong Kong.

During this process, we are closely monitoring and taking into account various factors, including changing market and other external conditions.

Before our conversion to primary listing in Hong Kong, we also need to formulate and submit a new employee stock ownership program to our shareholders for approval in order to comply with the newly amended rules in Hong Kong.

the new ESOP program will continue to align the development of our company.

with the interests of our long-term shareholders.

Accordingly, we will not complete the primary conversion before the end of 2022 as initially planned. We will continue to evaluate the various sectors during this process and update our investors in due course.

To wrap up, since I've taken up the CFO role early this year, I've met many shareholders and I really appreciate all of your feedback.

As I have communicated to many of you, we will proactively execute our capital allocation strategy to create and unlock our company's intrinsic value. We consider three important factors.

Firstly, we will be focused. We will not only continue to execute our three growth pillar strategy, but will also prioritize growing businesses that improve our medium to long-term revenue growth and profitability profile. We remain confident of the growth prospects of our businesses, many of which are leading players in their respective markets.

Second, in order to optimize our capital resources, we will continue to be more selective in M&A in terms of our activities, monetize less strategic investments and unlock the value of selected subsidiaries.

Lastly, we want to better align our business performance to the interests of our long-term shareholders during each of fiscal year 2022 and fiscal first-half 2023 period.

we have deployed around 70% of free cash flow to share buyback. As of November 16, 2022, we had repurchased approximately USD 18 billion of our shares under our existing USD 25 billion share repurchase program. In addition, our board of directors has approved to increase our existing share repurchase program by another USD 15 billion and extended the program through the end of March 2025. Currently, we have an unutilized amount of USD 22 billion and our upsize.

We hope our ongoing consistent share approaches program will deliver attractive consistent return to our long-term shareholders, especially during this period of extreme market volatility.

Thank you. Now let's turn to Q&A.

Hi, everyone. For today's call, you are welcome to ask questions in Chinese or English. A third-party translator will provide consecutive interpretation for the Q&A session, and our management will address your question in the language you asked. Please note that the translation is for convenience purposes only. In the case of any discrepancy, our management's statement in the original language will prevail. If you are unable to hear the Chinese translation, bilingual transcripts of the call will be available on our website within one week after the meeting. Thank you for your attention.

Thank you for your attention.

Operator, please connect speaker and SI conference lines now, and please start a Q&A session when ready. Thank you.

Thank you ladies and gentlemen. We will now begin the question and answer session.

If you wish to ask a question please press star 1 on your telephone keypad and wait for your name to be announced.

If you wish to cancel your request, please press star 2.

To give more people the opportunity to ask questions, please keep yourself to no more than one question at a time.

Your first question comes from Ronald Kung from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

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Thank you Daniel, Toby and Joe and Rob. My question has to do with customer management revenues and GMB. We noted in your prepared remarks you stated that GMV during a double 11 this year was consistent with that of last year. So it seems there's an improvement there from the single digit drop in the September quarter. Looking forward to the next several quarters as we anticipate more stabilization in the macro environment, can you share with us your view of how GMV may grow and also the CMR revenue?

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Well in fact in my prepared remarks earlier I did offer some detailed analysis of the CMR issue and I do understand this is an issue in which investors are interested.

Certainly when it comes to GMV in the context of the ongoing impact of the pandemic as well as ongoing changes in the way that goods are marketed and sold to consumers, in particular with the rapid increase in live streaming and growing importance of live streaming, there has been an overall impact on returns of purchases on the platform. So typically when we talk about CMR, we do talk about that in conjunction with the issue of returns.

the two pieces. First of all when it comes to take rate we talk about CMR and that's connected with post return GMV so the amount of returns will be highly correlated with that but the second piece is advertising revenue and in the current macro environment certainly there's reduced willingness on the part of merchants to invest as well as the macro environment's impact on the merchants own business.

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But secondly, in terms of our own focus on growing CMR revenue, this should really be a result of all of the efforts that we make to help merchants better engage consumers on the platform and drive their sales. So be it in terms of page search, with which everyone is very familiar and more recently smart recommendations and live streaming that has grown very rapidly lately. These are all different ways.

that we can enable merchants to better engage with their consumers and to drive their sales. And the results of achieving merchants achieve that success should be reflected in our CMR revenues. A very good next question.

Thank you. The next question comes from Thomas Chong from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

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Thank you, management. Daniel spoke earlier about several factors that affected performance this year during double 11. Certainly, we noted on the logistic side, there were some serious disruptions in various regions in China. So I'm wondering, looking at the December quarter, how would you rank the impact of these different factors if you're going to order them?

looking at order cancellations as one factor related to live streaming, also just consumer sentiment, and also the ongoing impact of the pandemic. If you were going to order those factors in order of importance, what would that look like? And then secondly, we saw on the China commerce side that very good results were achieved in terms of EBITDA with a 6% increase there. So-

So in the short term I'm wondering if you could talk a little more about you know if CMR is impacted on an ongoing basis by these macro factors how big an impact that could be expected to have on a beta.

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Thank you. Well, you know, as regards to those three situations or three factors that you summarized in your question, they all have an impact but I think the relative impact of those factors is in a process of flux dynamic change. But if I absolutely had to rank them, I would say, and this would be true for any enterprise or certainly any platform, that it would be the macro environment that we find ourselves in, which in turn has an impact on consumer confidence, consumer demand, consumer willingness to spend.

And I think the macro environment would be the primary determinant, not just for Alibaba, but for all the players in the consumption space, both online and offline.

And then on the second piece to this is with the introduction of the 20 measures from the state authorities that can be expected to have a positive impact. We certainly do note still some ongoing disruption to logistics in certain regions of the country, but overall we do expect things to continue to improve in a positive direction. Thank you very much.

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The third is with live streaming becoming a more important engagement format, as was mentioned, that has resulted in an impact on returns. However, I think Alibaba compared to its peers, especially those who primarily rely on live streaming or basically just rely on live streaming, I think the impact on Alibaba is relatively smaller. During the double 11 period, live streaming played a more important role on Alibaba than it does during the regular periods of the year, especially as regards presales for double 11.

but in general for Alibaba, live streaming is one format, one engagement format, and doesn't represent everything that we have to offer. Alibaba is working hard to balance these different formats to ensure that merchants are able to engage with their consumers in the ways that they want to be able to do that. Alibaba is open to embracing new technologies and new approaches, but at the end of the day, we do need that kind of balance to ensure a good consumer experience and also to ensure that costs remain acceptable to merchants. So it.

is about finding that right balance.

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This is Toby, I'd like to add to that with regards to your second question, which had to do with the impact of the reduction in CMR revenue potentially on China Commerce profit going forward. Look, a reduction in any revenue stream would of course have an impact on profit at the end of the day. However, if you look at China Commerce EBITDA in this quarter, it was up.

there was a positive increase year on year compared to the same quarter last year. And we've achieved that by being very disciplined in our spending and investment and also in driving higher levels of efficiency. So this increase in core commerce EBITA has been driven by an increase in profit in the profitable parts of the business as well as by achieving narrowing of losses in the parts that were making losses. So that's why you do see that.

increase up around 6%.

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next question.

Thank you. The next question is from Eddie Leong from Bank of America, Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead.

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Thank you, good evening management. I'd like to ask you a hypothetical question. I'm wondering if going forward there is a relatively large adjustment in pandemic control measures in China, how would that kind of adjustment impact on different businesses or different product types and would the impact be positive or negative? And then related to that I'm wondering if there are any preparations that Alibaba might be making or could be making as a company to better position itself for that future prospect of a major change in pandemic control restrictions.

Thank you.

Absolutely. I hope you enjoyed this video. Please subscribe to my channel. If you have any questions, please leave them in the comments. I hope you enjoyed this video. See you next time.

Well, thanks very much for what really is a very good question. Certainly, I'm sure that we all hope to see an end to the pandemic and a complete return to normalcy for society, for the economy, for our own daily lives. There's nothing that people would want more than to get back to normal, and that would be good news for Alibaba, it would be good news for everyone. Certainly, Alibaba's businesses are diverse.

that would be impacted in different ways.

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Talking about the consumption part of our business first, I think most importantly were there to be an end to the pandemic and a complete return to normal life and normal work in particular, that would result in a big boost to consumer confidence and that would certainly be very positive for the Chinese economy as a whole and also for companies like Alibaba.

Consumption is an important engine of economic growth, but for consumers to spend they need to have confidence and they need to have stable expectations, including stable expectations regarding their own future income. So were the pandemic to end, the controls to end, that would, I believe, result in a big boost to that kind of confidence resulting in higher consumer spending and also further stimulating the economy.

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Secondly, I would say that you could expect to see an impact on the consumption mix in the context of the pandemic and with all the uncertainty, there's been an increased focus on non-discretionary consumption on daily essentials, food, groceries, things of this nature and you've of course seen a lot of demand for stocking up with people worried about potential supply disruptions, lack of access to necessities and essentials. So a lot of demand for people to stock up.

course were the situation to change, were the pandemic to ease, then I think you could certainly expect to see a corresponding increase in discretionary type of spending so that would be a change we can expect to see.

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Secondly, if we look at our 2B businesses, for example, cloud computing, I think certainly all enterprises across the board understand that digitalization is the future, but at the same time, how much they will invest in any period does come down to their own current business performance and their expectations of the future. So companies have to decide how much they're willing to invest and they have to be sure they're living within their means. So I think after the pandemic is over, things have returned to normal, we would expect.

to see companies gaining more confidence in their future growth prospects and being willing to devote more resources to digitalization. I think that would be good news for our cloud business.

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So for Alibaba, I do think it's important that we always be looking to the future and of course hold out hope for the future. In terms of our consumer-oriented categories and offerings, we're already very complete and we will continue to look forward to rolling out and developing new categories going forward at the end of the pandemic and not just goods but also services, including travel and tourism services. At the same time, we need to continue to maintain a proactive approach to developing new digital offerings and solutions and to rolling out cloud-based solutions that help and empower customers to generate data, to leverage their data and to extract value from their data and I think this will all be very positive going forward.

Okay with next question

Thank you. The next question is from Alex Yao from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

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Thank you. Daniel, in your prepared remarks you spoke about how Alibaba's long-term development is highly aligned with China's overall long-term development strategy and direction, including around digitalization. I'm wondering in the context of the current global regulatory environment, how you see digitalization playing out in the future, say in the next five years in China in terms of its direction, in terms of its pace, what can Alibaba do as part of

that process and what kind of financial returns can Alibaba reap.

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I hope to see you in a next video.

I hope that you will enjoy this video. If you have any questions, please leave them in the comments. I hope that you will enjoy this video. If you have any questions, please leave them in the comments. Please leave them in the comments.

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Well, when it comes to Alibaba's view of the future, the big picture of the future, we are of course strongly committed to our three key strategies of cloud computing, consumption and globalization. And of course we do note the important emphasis given at the latest of the 20th Party Congress with the intention of helping China develop into a strong player in internet industries with a strong digital economy. And I think that Alibaba is very well positioned to contribute to the realization of those goals. Look back

at Alibaba's history as a company around the internet. The first thing we did was in the field of retail commerce and enabling digital flows of goods to consumers in the real economy, serving consumers with digitalization in that way. The second thing we did was bring digitalization to logistics, making it possible with high efficiency and high effectiveness to ship goods all over the country. In fact, China today is now probably the number one country in the world when it comes to express delivery services, not only in terms of the number of parcels, but also the quality of services as well.

the last five to 10 years, we've been very focused on investing in cloud computing, in helping companies go digital, not just companies though, but public services as well, enterprise management, as well as the digitalization of industry, all of this is served by our cloud computing offerings. So going forward, we do indeed feel that as a company, we're highly aligned with that overall direction in China to continue to empower this process of digitalization and to harness the benefits of digitalization as part of this long-term development process. And Alibaba as a company has tremendous confidence in our ability to do precisely that, to provide the technologies that will empower the real economy to create further value through digitalization.

So we do feel very encouraged about that overall policy direction and we also are positively encouraged by other comments that we've seen from state authorities including talking about the high quality development of platform economies and Alibaba looks forward to playing an important role in all of these developments going forward and have confidence that we will.

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next question

Thank you. The next question is from Jerry Lu from UBS. Please go ahead.

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Thank you, management and good evening. I'd like to come back if we could to a topic we addressed earlier in the discussion, which was about the take rate and the company's ability to monetize traffic. I'm wondering if you could tell us please what your view is over the next few quarters or so over the next year in the company's ability to monetize this traffic.

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Thank you. Well, the topic of monetizing traffic is one of perennial interests of course to investors and we've taken many questions on this topic over the years. But it's not a question that we look at alone in isolation. It's all really more about how we help merchants and how we create value for merchants, enabling merchants to achieve ROI and then we can share part of that ROI. That's our basic take.

and our basic objective on this. Secondly, when you look at our, for example, the Taobao mobile app today, there's more diversity in terms of the way consumers are interacting through that app with different routes to purchase, as I mentioned in my earlier remarks. You have, of course, search, and now you have recommendation feeds that are becoming smarter and smarter, as well as other kinds of discovery functions, including live streaming and short form videos, and all of that. So these represent new formats.

or new scenarios for consumption. And of course we are monitoring structural changes that are underway in terms of the frequency and concentration and traffic around those different kinds of interactions on the consumer commerce side. But at the end of the day, it's still about us helping to create value for merchants, helping them to connect with those consumers via search, via recommendation, via videos or in other formats. But we are tracking behavior around those discovery.

formats, looking at consumer behavior, PV's and can and will going forward consider ways to change the monetization model in line with this kind of evolution. But at the end of the day it's really about providing a reliable and effective service to merchants to help and serve the consumers.

Next question.

Thank you. The next question is from Alicia Yap from City Group. Please go ahead.

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Thank you, and good evening management. I'm wondering, first of all, if you could talk to us a little bit about advertising, marketing budget allocation and changes that you may have seen there in the past few months in particular compared against the period before the pandemic in terms of big brands, large brands, and then the long-tail merchants. For example, what proportion of the marketing budget are big brands versus smaller merchants allocating to different formats, for example, to paid search versus recommendation.

And then by way of follow up, I was wondering if Daniel could tell us a bit about the take rate for live streaming versus search and recommendations if the take rate for live streaming would happen to be lower than those other formats. Because you were talking about live streaming as one marketing format that could bring more convenience to merchants and be one more format. But I'd like to know about the take rate. Thank you.

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Thank you. Let me divide this into a few pieces.

When it comes to marketing budgets, and I think this is true of all kinds of merchants, large, medium or small, in the context of the pandemic and considerable uncertainty, I think that all categories of merchants have become more prudent with regard to their spending on marketing. Because any company, regardless of its size, small, medium, large, is certainly going to be allocating a marketing budget as a percentage of its expected future revenues, be it in a quarter or be it in a year.

So in the context of the pandemic with heightened uncertainty around expected future revenue, of course there's going to be an impact on marketing budgets for all kinds of companies alike. I think secondly, a change that you have seen following the pandemic is higher demands around ROI, also a function of merchants being more prudent. They want to ensure that the advertising they're paying for is being effective and paying off in terms of ROI.

a more cautious approach, especially to things like display advertising.

merchants, advertisers are looking for more certainty amidst all of the uncertainty brought about by the pandemic. Alibaba is of course very well positioned as both a consumer media and also a platform, the major platform for merchant operations in China. It's a place that merchants can come and achieve sustainable ongoing business operations and success and be empowered with.

a whole variety of different tools to do that. And that's why Tabo and Timo continue to be the primary place for merchants to come and do business. Now, of course, merchants are always going to explore new formats, new models, new platforms for that matter, that crop up because they're always looking to achieve incremental growth in their business.

but at the end of the day they will be looking at the ROI they're achieving and the sustainability of their investment in gaining that incremental new business. China Rep Rome free of any potential exchanges.

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Okay, thank you. We'll take the last question.

Sorry Rob, just to complete the... Sorry, go ahead. Yeah, so the second part of your question, Alicia, had to do with the take rate on live streaming. So Alibaba has two different kinds of live streaming. The first kind is merchant live streaming. So this is where you have a merchant store online with an employee or a third party person engaged by the merchant doing live streaming as the store. And that's something unique to Alibaba.

And then secondly, we have live streaming by opinion leaders, in Chinese we call them Dazhen, so they're running their own live stream on which they can give visibility to and promote other merchants. And we have agreements in place to ensure that we're sharing an incremental revenue growth via a take rate. So that is our model.

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Okay, last question please.

Thank you. The final question comes from Jiang Xiao from Barclays. Please go ahead.

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Thank you very much, good evening management. My questions have to do with Tainan, which we see has had very good performance with growth of over 30% in revenue, so a very robust performance this quarter. I'm wondering if you could expand on that a bit and talk to us about some of the reasons that are driving that growth. And also given now that over 70% of Tainan's total revenue is external, being generated by external customers, if you could talk to us about the prospects for potential spin-off.

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Thank you. So this is Toby. I'll take the first question and hand over to Daniel on the second question. So yes indeed in this quarter, Tynell's revenue increased by some 36% year over year. In my script I did go into the reasons for that and I talked about the strong growth in the domestic side, the consumer logistic services and secondly on the cross-border side as well.

But I think the biggest contributor was the local consumer logistics side where we achieved a very good growth and improvement largely thanks to an enhanced service model. So going from more of a 3PL model to a 4PL model where now we're not just passing on services to customers but rather we are booking and purchasing services from different providers and then providing those services.

services on to consumers, meaning that we're taking on more responsibility for the service, enabling us to provide overall better service and that in turn is reflected in more revenue that can be recognized for Alibaba and improved in revenue for ChangYong. waves

With this upgrade in our model, we are better able to provide services to our customers and at the same time also able to satisfy regulatory requirements that have been introduced into this space.

Just want to remind you two things. One is that there are problems in global support and this slide is how the Laws ofMusic services work asTA Serio who use our Web asax assuming that applications use privacy and I hope you enjoyed my NPCwhy I redid my NPC, because I'm never alone OK with the followings, computer students,

Thank you. This is Daniel regarding the second question. Ever since Tainal was established back in 2013, it has been independently operated within the Alibaba family by providing external services and more importantly with external shareholders as well. Today, the Alibaba group owns some 67% of Tainal and there are other investors as well. Over the years, Tainal has invested in robustly building up its last-mile capabilities, Tainal post-delivery stations on campuses, in villages all around the country and also in developing very robust supply chain capabilities with domestic logistics.

and cross border as well. So as far as Alibaba is concerned, of course, we look forward to seeing China continue to achieve very robust development, building those capabilities and for those capabilities in turn to feed back into and better drive Alibaba's growth as well in terms of our domestic commerce business, our international commerce business, be it 2C, be it 2B as well. And this is a really important kind of synergy that we have.

we see across the businesses, but certainly Tainal will continue to be independently operating in the market and achieving success.

Thank you everyone for participating in today's earnings call. Today's call will have a transcript available later on the corporate website. Please feel free to reach out to me and the IR team for any follow-ups. We'll see you next quarter. Thank you.

Thank you. That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

Q2 2023 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Earnings Call

Demo

Alibaba

Earnings

Q2 2023 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Earnings Call

BABA

Thursday, November 17th, 2022 at 12:30 PM

Transcript

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