Q4 2022 Chico's FAS Inc Earnings Call
Welcome to Chico's, Fas fourth quarter and fiscal year end 2022 conference call and webcast all participants will be in listen only mode. Please note. This call is being recorded.
Now I'd like to turn the call over to corporate controller, David Oliver Mr. Oliver. Please go ahead.
Good morning, and welcome to the Chico's Fas fourth quarter and fiscal year end 'twenty two conference call and webcast for.
For reference our earnings release can be found on our website at www Dot Chico's, Yes, Darko under press releases on the Investor Relations page.
Today's comments will include forward looking statements regarding our current expectations assumptions plans estimates judgments and projections about our business and our industry, which speak only as of today's date, you should not unduly rely on these statements.
Important factors that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those projected or implied by our forward looking statements.
Are included in today's earnings release, our SEC filings and the comments made on this call.
We disclaim any obligation to update or revise any information discussed on this call.
As may be otherwise required by law.
Certain non-GAAP measures maybe referenced in today's call.
The non-GAAP reconciliation schedule is included in our earnings presentation posted this morning, but Chico's Fas Investor Relations page now I will turn the call over to our CEO and President Bollinger side.
Thank you David and good morning, everyone.
We achieved strong results across all key financial metrics in fiscal 2020 two.
With strong store and digital sales growth means.
Meaningful gross margin expansion and solid expense leverage which produced outstanding operating income cash flow and earnings per share.
These results demonstrate the power of our three brands and our product performance and reflect our team's steadfast commitment to our four strategic pillars are being customer led product and stuff digital first and operationally excellent.
Q4 finished strong revenue and EPS exceeded the expectations that we provided in early January after the nine week holiday selling season.
Actual fourth quarter sales came in 9 million higher than the high end of our projected range and EPS exceeded the high end of our expectations due to strong January performance.
Across all three brands customers responded to new spring product offering which drove full price selling in the quarter.
Now I'll cover some highlights for the fiscal year.
We posted another year of very strong bottom line results with diluted EPS of <unk> 88 cents and nearly 140% increase over last year.
This performance was driven by total sales growth of 18% meaningful gross margin expansion and solid expense leverage. We also delivered operating income of 142 million or six 6% of sales more than double last year.
Our apparel brands continued to deliver exceptional revenue increases with chico's posting comparable sales growth of 31%.
And White house Black market generating a 26 comparable sales gain.
Because customers overwhelmingly responded to our elevated product and fashion newness building complete outfit with solution oriented products.
White House Black market customers responded to our personal dressing season with fabric and product innovation to meet her work from anywhere need and special occasion wear.
According to NPD during the last 12 months Chico's and White House Black market grew four times faster than the market average for apparel customer over 45 years of age with household income of over 100000.
Solid performance improved throughout the second half of the year with particular strength in our foundation business.
We continue to innovate and have best in class bra and panty offering.
Those categories continued to outperform to last year, indicating the overall long term power and strength of the brand.
Customer behavior remained healthy and innovative products strategic marketing and our relaunch loyalty program drove more customers to our brand.
In fiscal 2022 customer count was up 5%.
And then for customer increased 12% and the average age of new customers continues to trend younger.
Our lean inventory fueled faster sell through rates higher average unit retail and more full price sales throughout the year for all three brands.
Fiscal year and on hand inventories were down 6% from the prior year.
We strengthened our balance sheet ending the fiscal year with $178 million in cash after repaying 50 million of debt in 2022.
Let me give you a brief update on how each of our strategic pillars drove performance last year.
We are a customer led focused on community engagement, and creating extraordinary and memorable customer experiences forming lasting relationships and increasing customer lifetime value.
The power of our three unique brand is driving growth through three powerful platform, creating long term connection and enabling our customers to interact with us in a seamless manner.
Physical stores are community center, where our customers experience our products in the most exciting way possible.
And the knowledge and enthusiasm of our silos and bought expert drive sales and brand devotion.
Digital is often the first impression of our brand and as a community hub for content and a great way to teach share information and inspire.
Finally, our social stylus can accurately connect customers to our brands and drive growth within both of these avenues.
Core sales grew by 20% and digital sales grew 16% for the year.
Chico's Fas has a uniquely strong foundation with some of the most loyal and dedicated customers in retail.
Our loyalty program relaunch in 2022 are continuing to exceed expectations and customer sentiment and redemption rate.
We are strengthening our already strong customer relationships and adding new customers through these elevated program.
We are proud of themselves.
Focus on delivering best in class merchandise to our Chico's White house black market and Soma customers offering beautiful solutions that inspire confidence enjoy.
Each brand we are focused on elevating AUR and driving full price sales.
At both apparel brand customers continue to respond to our elevated fashion and product offerings in nearly every apparel category demonstrating.
Demonstrating that product enhancement and innovation are moving the brands forward and that customers appreciate higher quality and are receptive to paying for value and solutions.
At both Chico's and White house Black market customers bought complete outfits and accessories instead of single item, increasing AUR and basket size.
At Chico's style fit comfort and solutions drove revenue increases throughout the year.
Customers responded to our product innovation and fashion, including net sweaters and woven top pants denim and dresses.
Sales of our travelers is energy and Black label collection also continued to grow she responded to novelty and focused on completing her head to toe loved with easy care wrinkle free climate right fabric.
At White house black market throughout the year, Bruce Little tailoring with feminine details and seasonal fabrics drove the business in key categories.
But does she was looking for casual and dressy piece of.
Customers responded to our newness and pants denim jackets woven tops and dresses.
We are a fabric first and continually innovating and adding new fabrics to our assortment. We added four new White house Black market fabrications last year, which has further expanded our customer's option for even more personal dressing.
At Soma, we continue to make investments in cutting edge product and innovation and comfort solutions in panties sleep active and especially abroad.
We are the destination for all her broad needs and we have had remarkable success with last year's launch of our game changing smart bra Spotify that includes proprietary technology that adjusts to a woman's individual body measurements as they fluctuate throughout the month.
We are digital first leveraging technology to engage and deliver to our customers across channels and brands.
Last year digital sales represented 41% of total company revenue.
Over the trailing 12 months, we grew our total customer count by over 5% Chico's grew 10% White House Black market was up 12% and Soma was flat.
Then for customer rose, 12% over the last 12 months.
The new customers, we are attracting to our brands are younger than existing customers by 10 years at Chico's three years at White House Black market in four years at Soma.
Each digital touch point inspires the customer to find solutions and build her wardrobe across brands.
And we are driving frequency of visits online and in store.
Our customized digital styling tools my closet and style connect continue to drive sales and engagement is growing.
These tools further nurture and grow the multichannel customer who was so valuable to us spending more than three times the single channel customer.
Our mobile apps continue to exceed our expectations with downloads and engagement growing month over month, and driving higher average order value and conversion and a slight average.
Apps are becoming the hub for our loyalty program and early indicators are that our most loyal customers are highly engaged with the app.
We are constantly investing in technology and talent enhancing AI driven customer engagement and science based marketing.
Digital evolution continues.
And last we are operationally excellent we are continually focused on diligently managing our inventory cost of sale supply chain expenses and real estate generating healthy cash flow and delivering a strong bottom line.
During the year, we had exceptional growth margin performance.
240 basis point improvement driven by strength in full price sales higher.
Higher AUR and improved leverage of inbound freight and occupancy costs despite increases in raw material.
We constantly strive to improve our sourcing logistics and operational processes to drive efficiency and reduce expense.
We have carefully managed our calendar and inventory flow to assure product will be available to our customers in a timely manner.
Now I'll turn the call over to P. J to update you on our financial performance P. J.
Thank you Molly and good morning, everyone.
We posted diluted fourth quarter EPS of six cents compared to <unk> in the prior year fourth quarter total sales of $524 million were up five 6% over last year and 6% on a comparable sales basis.
Driven by higher full price selling AUR and average dollar sale complemented by both higher in store and online traffic.
Looking at the brand apparel was once again, the leading performer for the quarter with Chico's posting a 16% comparable sales increase in white house black market generating a 2% comparable sales gain.
Soma posted a fourth quarter comparable sales decline of 5% with the brands showing improvement from prior quarters as we closed out fiscal 2022.
Continued innovation and active inventory management resulted in higher AUR and much stronger gross margin than last year.
Fourth quarter gross margin was 34, 9% compared to 34, 5% last year.
The 40 basis point improvement reflected occupancy leverage higher AUR and less airfreight, partially offset by higher raw material costs.
SG&A expenses for the quarter totaled 176 million or 33, 6% of sales compared to 31, 2% in the prior year.
The 240 basis points of deleverage reflected the impact of higher store expense marketing spend and other investments needed to drive traffic customer growth and top line revenues.
For the full year, we posted EPS of <unk> 88 per share and nearly 140% increase over the prior year.
Sales for the full year totaled $2 142 billion, an 18% increase over 1.81 billion in the prior year.
Comparable sales rose nearly 20% for the year.
Our year over year operating income more than doubled to 142 million or six 6% of sales for the fiscal year.
<unk> from our strong sales performance 240 basis points of gross margin expansion and 50 basis points of SG&A expense leverage.
We also generated just over $185 million of EBITDA in fiscal 2022, an increase of over 50% from last year, a clear indication of the continued strengthening of our operating model, which focuses on both sales and earnings growth.
In addition to giving us much more flexibility higher cash flow generation is providing us with the fuel to invest in strategies that are working.
Now, let's turn to our balance sheet and overall financial strength.
Our cash position total liquidity and operating cash flow remains strong providing us with the flexibility to manage the business and make investments to further propel our growth.
After repaying $50 million of debt last year 20 million of which was repaid in the fourth quarter. We ended the fiscal year with $178 million of cash and total liquidity of approximately $370 million inclusive of capacity on our credit facility.
At fiscal year end inventories totaled $277 million compared to 323 million last year.
$47 million or 14% decline reflects a $34 million decrease in in transit inventories related to extended delays in the global supply chain last year.
As well as our disciplined management of inventories to align with consumer demand.
At the end of the fourth quarter on hand inventories were down 6%.
While full year sales were up 18% a clear indicator that our inventory is working hard for us with strong turns and full price sell throughs.
Now, let's shift to capital spending.
Fiscal 2022 capital spending totaled $60 million, which included building our e-commerce capabilities and digital marketing platforms as well as investment in new stores and store upgrades.
We believe we are good stewards of capital and investment and in fiscal 2022, we generated a return on investment well above our cost of capital.
Our digital investments in 2022 included upgrading our order management system, improving our data analytical capabilities and enhancing the overall user experience of our brand websites and mobile applications.
In regard to real estate, we opened 27, standalone stores and refreshed 43 of our most productive Chico's White house black market and Soma from Gs.
We closed 24 stores last year down from our original target of 40, due to improving productivity and profitability of our store base. We ended the year with 1269 boutiques.
Since 2018, we have closed 230 underperforming locations, we may close up to 20 additional locations this year.
These locations has been highly accretive to our P&L and due to our strengthened financial position, we have been able to negotiate new and renewed leases with much more favorable lease terms.
We believe our fleet is right sized and well positioned to deliver incremental growth and profitability going forward.
We will continue to actively manage our real estate portfolio to enhance overall store and company profitability.
It is important to note that our customers love to engage with our brands and the communities, where they live and our digital sales trend much higher in markets, where we have a physical presence.
We believe our elevated investments in both digital and stores will continue to deliver strong returns for the company.
Our overall capital investment strategy is geared toward directly driving incremental traffic conversion and customer growth across channels, which ultimately translates into strong topline growth both now and over the long term.
Now, let me give some color on our outlook for fiscal 2023 on.
On top of our 18% sales increase last year. We are planning for continued top line growth for fiscal 2023 with sales growth in all three brands.
We are confident that both existing and new customers will show up for us because we are delivering the style innovation uniqueness and quality that our customers expect.
For the first quarter of 2023, we are forecasting more modest sales growth and for the full year. This is driven by inventory purchase decisions made a year ago that were based on a lower store count with Paul We closed 16 fewer stores than originally planned last year due to improving store productivity.
Mostly white house black market locations.
As we move into the second quarter and balance of the year, we expect sales trends to improve as we have secured additional inventory receipts that align with our store count.
We are currently forecasting continued gross margin expansion through lean inventories and supply chain cost management full price selling strategic price adjustments product mix and occupancy leverage we remain highly disciplined on expenses control and had a lean cost structure.
Still make the necessary investments in store labor marketing and other expenses in fiscal 2023 to further support sales and customer growth.
We continue to make prudent investments in our business that will drive traffic conversion and customer growth and revenue across all channels.
Our planned capital expenditures for fiscal 2023 are expected to total between 80 and $90 million inclusive of cloud based investments.
The majority of our investment this year will be used to strengthen our digital first positioning further augmenting our digital and marketing systems and building out our connected commerce platform to seamlessly drive traffic and conversion across channels.
This investment will create digital tailwind for years to come.
We also expect to upgrade approximately 60, chico's and white house black market, especially year.
In addition, we are targeting up to 15, new Soma boutiques this year.
The real estate market has tightened and we are focused on opening stores and locations, where we believe we can generate the highest returns.
As our cash flow and EBITDA base continue to grow we expect our financial position to strengthen.
In addition to funding strategic investments and strong cash flow will allow us to navigate the ongoing uncertain macro economic involved.
Growing our EBITDA and cash flow base is permitting us to invest in our long term strategic plan and although we are seeing some pressure on SG&A, we expect ongoing investments to support profitable future growth.
So with that for the first quarter, we expect total sales of $535 million to $550 million.
Gross margin rate as a percent of sales to be in the $41 three to 41, 8% range.
SG&A as a percent of sales to be in the 32.8 to 33, 3% range.
An effective tax rate of approximately 25%.
And diluted EPS of <unk> 26 to <unk> 30 per share.
For the full year, which is a 53 week year for 2023, we expect total sales of 222 to 2.25 billion.
Gross margin rate as a percent of sales to be in the $39 four to 39, 8% range.
SG&A as a percent of sales to be in the 33 to 33, 4% range and effective tax rate of approximately 26% and diluted EPS of <unk> 79 to 91 per share.
In closing, we continue to work towards achieving our growth plan and are confident in our ability to create shareholder value both now and over the long term.
We look forward to keeping you posted on our progress.
Now I'll turn the call over back to the operator operator.
Thank you we will now begin the question and answer session.
Ask a question you May press Star then one on your Touchtone phone if youre using a speakerphone. Please pick up your handset before pressing the keys to withdraw your question. Please press Star then two.
In the interest of time and consideration to others. Please limit yourself to one question.
Time, we'll pause momentarily to assemble our roster.
Our first question comes from Dana Telsey from the Telsey Group. Please go ahead.
Good morning, everyone and congratulations on the nice part Congress as you mentioned in the call and in the release. It sounds like January was very strong what did you see in January by brand was there any improvement in the White house Black market, which I think had a little bit of a tougher holiday season and how.
Are you thinking about the level of promotions going forward and then just on the SG&A investments P. J can you just highlight how you how you think it breaks out the investments this year, where the marketing of others and some of those tech investments you are talking about and how you're planning for marketing spend thank you.
Thank you Dana and good morning.
We did see strength in January across the three brands, specifically you asked about White house Black market and we did see a pop in the business in January we took care of what we needed to in December as we shared we went into January with inventories clean and the customer came back responding to categories.
In jackets, and top including Knits and woven and we also saw for our responding to career and dresses. So we believe that that was a point in time and we're very pleased with the results. We continued to see strength in chico's as we delivered our spring deliveries with customers responding to.
Through our solution based categories and then in Soma as well as we moved out of the holiday time period, we continue to invest in on newness in the in the categories of Bras, we had some new categories like our new vanishing Tummy Fang and some shapewear lunches. So we're really excited about the start that we.
We have for the spring season, and how we saw the customer respond to regular priced higher AUR and product with more innovation.
As it relates directly to the question about level of promotion, we continue to be steadfast on not going backwards in terms of promotion our strategy is to leverage our loyalty program and to entice consumers at their tier level based upon their spend and we're going to continue on that front as we move forward throughout the year.
Year.
And then Dana on SG&A for 2023, you know as we've mentioned, we're continuing to invest in the business pursuant to our long term plan.
The majority of the the SG&A deleverage, we're showing which is which is modest it is due to marketing investment to continue to build our customer file and.
And drive new customer growth.
Store labor and DC Labor do you remain in elevated costs due to inflation in us needing to be competitive.
And then the balance will be our investment in it related projects that ultimately.
We will drive incremental traffic and conversion as we move through 2023 and into 2024.
Got it and then just with the moderating freight costs, how much of it what's the benefit of that as you go through the year and is there any offset in terms of raw material costs. How are you looking at that as we go through the year.
Yeah, the net supply chain impact will be positive this year at least that's what is in our forecast.
Inbound freight costs are coming down as you said, but outbound freight costs. So shipping to customers. That's a slight increase there was an offset there and then we invest in innovative fabric. So we want to keep that pipeline full so raw material costs will remain slightly elevated.
For the balance of the year, but we believe that is an.
An investment that.
Ultimately it allows for us to price for innovation and drive AUR higher.
Hi.
Just one last thing on your outlook that you gave for 2024 I would assume that no change to that outlook given the 2023 guide.
No change correct.
Thank you.
Thanks Dana.
Our next question comes from Marni Shapiro of retail tracker. Please go ahead.
Hey, guys. Congratulations on a great end to the year and an outstanding start to the <unk>.
Yeah sure so it really looks fantastic.
Could you P. J I'm, sorry, you ran through the store openings and closings. So quickly I think you said you were going to upgrade 60, Chico's and White House is that 60 Eater 60, total and how many Soma stores did you say you would open this year.
So the upgrades or 60 total okay.
And where we are targeting up to 15, new songs and we had originally hoped.
The expected 30.
Annually. The reason the reason for the slow down it's just a function of us being more disciplined in our approach to generating returns in our stores and the real estate market is getting more competitive and rents there is pressure on rent. So there is.
Want to make sure what we're doing is prudent on the real estate front.
And then just a follow up on that the upgrades that I think I'm seeing your upgrades out there already on the White house, the new the outside of the store the new White House Black market.
Unless you're doing some of these upgrades and.
I don't Wanna modernizing the look are you doing anything else branding wise are you changing no hang tags or anything else in store to go along with it or is this really just a physical space upgrade.
Thank you Marni, it's a rolling change, we have actually been making changes to hang tags and inner beauty.
Our branding across the brands over the last two years. So you'll continue to see the evolution of that as we move forward and I am not only on the product, but all the way through to the store environment.
So it really is about what's to come it looks great and then can I just ask one quick question on this call.
Our customer that you're getting into the brands its a pretty significant jump down in Chico's is there you know anything markedly different about this customer is she fashion first is she coming in and buying full price I'm, just a little bit more on that customer.
First of all in terms of our new customers, we find that it's our solutions across the three brands is our entry point and so we really use that as our marquee to be able to communicate to new customers.
What we are finding is that this customer is buying head to tell that our other customers have and that's primarily based upon the unbelievable service that we have in our stores and how she is catered to and how we can really build out her wardrobe. So we're just really kept talking to this customer as we do others.
And sharing with her how amazing our brands are when she discovered though.
Fantastic I'll leave it for somebody else to take it off line. Thanks, guys best of luck for spring.
Thanks Marni.
Thank you. This concludes our question and answer session I would like to turn the call back over to Molly Lang Stein for closing comments.
Thank you I want to thank our entire team for another terrific year.
Our results demonstrate that our pillars are fueling our strategy and our strategy is working in.
In 2023, we will build on our stand out fiscal 2022 result, and based on January we believe we're off to a great start. Thank you for your interest and time, we look forward to speaking with you again during our first quarter conference call in June .
Conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation you may now disconnect.
Yeah.
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