Q1 2023 Nextera Energy Inc and Nextera Energy Partners LP Earnings Call
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I would now like to turn the conference over to Christian Roose Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you rich Navi good morning, everyone and thank you for joining our first quarter 2023 combined earnings conference call for Nextera Energy and Nextera Energy partners with me. This morning are John Ketchum, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer of Nextera Energy, Curt crews executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
Of Nextera energy, Rebecca Kiana, President and Chief Executive Officer of Nextera Energy resources, and Mark Hickson Executive Vice President of Nextera Energy all of whom are also officers of Nextera energy partners as well as Armando Pimentel, President and Chief Executive Officer of Florida Power <unk> Light company.
Kirk will provide an overview of our results and our executive team will then be available to answer your questions. We will be making forward looking statements. During this call based on current expectations and assumptions, which are subject to risks and uncertainties actual results could differ materially from our forward looking statements. If any of our key assumptions are incorrect or because of other factor.
As discussed in today's earnings news release, and the comments made during this conference call and the risk factors section of the accompanying presentation or in our latest reports and filings with Securities and Exchange Commission each of which can be found on our website Www Dot next era energy Dot com and Www Nextera energy Partners' Dot com.
We do not undertake any duty to update any forward looking statements. Today's presentation. Also includes references to non-GAAP financial measures you should refer to the information contained in the slides accompanying today's presentation for definitional information and reconciliations of historical non-GAAP measures to the closest GAAP financial measure.
With that I will turn the call over to Kirk.
Thank you Kristen and good morning, everyone.
Nextera energy is off to a strong start in 2023 adjusted.
Adjusted earnings per share increased by approximately 13, 5% year over year building on the success of last year's strong execution and financial performance.
During the quarter, we were honored the Nextera energy was again ranked number one in our sector on Fortune's list of the world's most admired companies for the 16th time in 17 years.
We are extremely proud of the team and culture. We have built that has enabled us to deliver low cost clean and reliable power to our customers. While also providing long term value to our shareholders.
FPL has the largest electric utility in the U S and Florida is now officially the fastest growing state in America.
At FPL, our focus remains the same deploying smart capital to deliver on what we believe is one of the best customer value propositions and our industry.
Key to that strategy is keeping customer bills affordable and this quarter, we proposed using projected 2023 fuel savings to reduce unbilled fuel costs from 2022 to provide bill relief to customers.
To further manage fuel price volatility we are also helping customers by adding more solar to the FPL grid.
This quarter, we placed into service approximately 970 megawatts of new low cost solar putting fpl's owned and operated solar portfolio at nearly 4600 megawatts, which is the largest solar portfolio of any utility in the country.
We believe solar is now the lowest cost generation options for Florida customers, but represents only about 5% of Fpl's delivered energy.
In order to extend the benefits of low cost solar to customers.
<unk> recently filed 10 year site plan now includes nearly 20000 megawatts of new solar.
Energy resources, the world's leader in renewables and a leader in battery storage remains laser focused on executing our strategy of decarbonising, the power sector, and helping commercial and industrial customers outside the power sector reduce their energy costs and decarbonize their operations by moving.
Two low cost renewables and other clean energy solutions.
This quarter energy resources added approximately 2020 megawatts of new renewables and storage projects to backlog.
Energy resources also closed on its previously announced acquisition of a large portfolio of operating landfill gas to electric facilities, providing the foundation for our growing <unk> business.
We are also excited to announce a new memorandum of understanding.
With CF industries to create green hydrogen establishing what we expect will be a long term relationship with.
With the world's largest ammonium producer.
And finally energy resources continues to build what we believe is the nation's leading competitive transmission business to help support growth in renewables.
We are pleased to announce that the California, ISO recently recommended for approval approximately $400 million.
And new transmission and substation upgrades for Nextera energy transmission.
We believe next era energy continues to be anchored by two great businesses that leverage each other's expertise to make them even better.
We do not believe anyone in our industry has our set of skills scale and breadth of opportunities. We believe nextera energy is able to buy build operate and finance cheaper with one of the strongest balance sheets in our sector.
We also believe our best in class development skills, and unparalleled dataset enable us to provide innovative technology and low cost clean energy solutions for the benefit of our customers the.
The opportunities and products demanded by the market are becoming more complex requiring significant scale and a combination of skills that we built a few of our competitors can offer further enhancing our competitive advantages and creating even more growth opportunities for our business going forward.
We have a culture rooted in continuous improvement always striving to be better.
Along those lines, we just completed our annual employee led productivity initiatives, which we now call velocity.
For over 11 years, our employees have generated approximately $2 $6 billion in annual run rate savings ideas as part of this process.
In 2023 alone our team generated idea is expected to produce roughly $325 million.
An annual run rate savings, which when combined with last year's results of over $400 million.
Is the most productive two year period, and this program's history and that's after doing it for over a decade.
We believe we have the best team in the industry and these results are indicative of the breadth and depth of capabilities and a commitment to excellence that our team brings to our business every day and executing on behalf of our customers and shareholders.
With that let's turn to the detailed results beginning with FPL.
For the first quarter of 2023, FPL reported net income of $1.07 billion or <unk> 53 per share an increase of <unk> <unk> year over year.
Regulatory capital employed growth of approximately 11, 2% was a significant driver of Fpl's EPS growth versus the prior year comparable quarter.
Fpl's capital expenditures were approximately $2 $3 billion for the quarter.
We expect our full year 2023 capital investments at FPL to be between 8.0 billion and $9.00 billion as we continue to invest capital smartly for the continued benefit of our customers.
<unk> reported ROE for regulatory purposes will be approximately 11, 8% for the 12 months ending March 2023.
During the quarter, we utilized $373 million of reserve amortization to achieve our targeted regulatory ROE, leaving FPL with a balance of 1.077 billion.
As we've previously discussed FPL historically utilizes more reserve amortization in the first half of the year and we expect this trend to continue this year.
Earlier this year, the Florida Public Service Commission approved Fpl's proposed plan to recover approximately $2 1 billion of incremental fuel costs from 2022, partially offset by projected 2023 fuel savings of approximately $1 $4 billion.
Mid high natural gas prices in 2022.
Decades long modernization of its generation fleet has saved customers more than $2 billion in fuel cost in 2022 alone.
The Commission also recently approved recovery of approximately $1 3 billion of hurricane costs from 2022 over a 12 month period.
Taking all approved adjustments together, we anticipate that Fpl's typical 1000.
Kilowatt hour residential customer bills will remain well below the projected projected national average and among the lowest of all Florida utilities.
Turning to our development planning efforts.
FPL recently filed its annual 10 year site plan that presents our generation resource plan for the next decade.
The 2023 plan includes roughly 20000 megawatts of new low cost solar capacity across our service territory over the next 10 years, which would result in nearly 35% of Fpl's forecasted energy delivery in 2032 coming from cost effective solar generation up significantly.
<unk> from roughly 5% in 2022.
Given the increasing customer benefits of low cost renewables.
Post 2025 solar capacity additions in this year's plan are more than double last year's approved plan.
And also includes two gigawatts of battery storage over the next decade.
We believe the expansion of cost effective solar and storage will provide a valuable hedge for our customers against volatile natural gas prices and meet the electricity demand of fpl's growing customer base with a low cost generation source.
Finally, construction of our green hydrogen piloted our Okeechobee clean Energy Center is on track and projected to go into service later this year.
Turning now to the economy, Florida became the fastest growing state in the nation in 2022 and as population continues to increase with over 1000 people moving to Florida everyday.
Over the last five years, Florida's GDP has grown at a roughly 7% compound annual growth rate and is now approximately one four trillion, which is up approximately 8% versus a year ago.
Based on GDP, if Florida was a country. It would have the 14th largest economy in the world.
Fpl's first quarter retail sales increased <unk>, 4% from the prior year comparable period, driven by continued solid underlying population growth with Fpl's average number of customers increasing by approximately 65000, even after removing roughly 15000 inactive customers due to hurricane.
Ian.
For the first quarter, we estimate that the positive impact of warmer weather was more than offset by a decline in underlying usage per customer.
As we have often pointed out underlying usage can be somewhat volatile on a quarterly basis, particularly during periods when temperatures deviate significantly from normal as we experienced this winter with average temperatures greater than four degrees above normal.
Our long term expectations of underlying usage growth continues to average between zero and approximately negative half a percent per year.
Energy Resources' reports first quarter 2023, GAAP earnings of approximately one 440 billion.
<unk> per share.
Adjusted earnings for the first quarter were $732 million or <unk> 36 per share up <unk> versus the prior year comparable period.
Contributions from new investments increased <unk> <unk> per share year over year.
Contributions from our existing clean energy portfolio were lower by <unk> <unk> per share primarily due to less favorable wind and solar resource compared to the prior year.
The contribution.
From our customer supply and trading business increased by <unk> <unk> per share, primarily due to higher margin and our customer facing business.
And compared to a relatively weaker contribution in the prior year comparable quarter.
Gas infrastructure and all other impacts reduced earnings by <unk> <unk> five per share respectively versus 2022.
Energy resources had another strong quarter of origination capitalizing on strong renewables demand environment.
Since the last call. We added approximately 2020 megawatts of new renewables and storage projects to our backlog, including roughly 1370 megawatts of solar 450 megawatts of storage and 200 megawatts of wind.
With these additions our renewables and storage backlog now stands at over 24 Gigawatts net of projects placed in service and provides strong visibility into our future growth.
With more than a year and a half remaining before the end of 'twenty. Two before we are now within the 2023 to 2024 development expectations range.
Given the volatility in gas and power prices over the last year and a half we continue to see economics, driving long term decision, making and renewables remain the clear low cost option for many customers.
On the supply solar supply chain front, we continue to take constructive steps to mitigate potential future disruption.
Nearly every one of our suppliers has repositioned their supply chain to manufacture solar panels, and south East Asia, using wafers and cells produced outside of China, and all of our suppliers are expected to meet the criteria established and the Commerce Department preliminary determination in the 2022 circumvention case by the end of 2023.
Additionally, we are focused on further diversifying our supply chain and are currently advancing discussions to support the domestic production of solar panels.
Finally, we are encouraged by the improvement in the flow of panels into the U S and suppliers continue to provide the requested traceability documentation to U S customs and border protection.
Also during the quarter, we closed on the previously announced transaction to acquire a large portfolio of operating landfill gas to electric facilities that I mentioned earlier the.
Approximately $1 $1 billion transaction represents an attractive opportunity for energy resources to realize double digit returns on this investment while expanding its portfolio of renewable natural gas assets and growing is in house capabilities and rapidly expanding renewable fuel market.
Turning to Green hydrogen we are excited about the role it is expected to play a solution to help our customers cost effectively lower emissions.
As the World leader in renewables and a leader in battery storage. We believe we are the logical partner for green hydrogen with significant interconnection and land inventory positions and deep market expertise to help our potential partners optimize some of the best green hydrogen sites around the country.
As a result with the right regulations, we see hydrogen quickly, becoming a significant technology for our customers and a new growth driver for energy resources, given the number and size of the opportunities we are evaluating.
Earlier this month next era energy joined the coalition of 45 other companies with a combined approximately one.
Trillion in market capitalization and sending a letter to the secretary of energy in Treasury and the White house advocating programmatic policies for the implementation of the Iras Green hydrogen production tax credit.
This coalition is advocating for prudent policy that will foster investment in green hydrogen technology.
<unk> the way for the U S to become the world leader in hydrogen technology.
A key aspect of this policy is for the electricity consumed for green hydrogen production to be matched to its renewable power generation on an annual rather than an hourly basis.
We believe that an annual matching construct has several benefits over hours, including lower green hydrogen prices more renewables being built a significant reduction in carbon emissions and green hydrogen achieving cost parity with grand blue hydrogen both of which rely on fossil fuels for their production.
This viewpoint as supported by numerous third party studies from respected entities, such as Wood Mackenzie Rhodium group Energy Futures initiative.
G and environmental Economics and Energy Institute.
As we continue to work with the industry and government representatives to progress a smart hydrogen policy. We are also advancing our green hydrogen development efforts, including a recently executed a memorandum of understanding for a joint venture with CF industries, the world's largest producer of ammonia to develop excuse me to deliver green hydrogen.
<unk> to an existing CF industries ammonia production facility, which it intends to expand and incorporate green hydrogen into its production process.
The proposed facility includes an approximately 450 megawatt renewable energy solution powering a 40 tons per day hydrogen facility.
This project combined with other opportunities we are pursuing represent significant momentum for green hydrogen, which we believe will continue to be a driver of new renewables growth going forward.
Our team continues to engage with multiple potential partners and customers on hydrogen projects, representing over $20 billion of capital investments and requiring more than 15 gigawatts of new renewables to support.
As we focus on leading the de carbonization of the U S economy building additional transmission is essential to support long term renewables deployment.
We believe our ability to build own and operate transmission is a key competitive advantage for our renewables business. In addition to being a terrific investment opportunity.
We are pleased that the California, ISO recently recommended for approval approximately $400 million in transmission and substation upgrades for Nextera energy transmission subject to approval by the <unk> Board of Governors in May.
We believe these projects along with others could unlock up to 11 gigawatts of new renewable generation that could be built to support California's ambitious clean.
Clean energy goals.
Turning now to the consolidated results for Nextera energy for the first quarter of 2023.
GAAP earnings attributable to Nextera energy were 2.086 billion or $1 <unk> per share.
Nextera Energy's 2023 first quarter adjusted earnings and adjusted EPS were approximately $1 67 8 billion.
And <unk> 84 per share respectively.
Adjusted earnings for the corporate and other segment decreased results by <unk> <unk> per share year over year, primarily driven by higher interest rates.
In March S&P affirmed all its ratings for Nextera energy and lowered its downgrade threshold for its funds from operations or <unk> to debt metric from the previous level of 20% to the current level of 18% in.
In making this favorable adjustment S&P acknowledged improvement in energy resources business risks following the passage of the IRA, particularly noting the improved visibility and clarity into long term cash flows at.
At the same time S&P adjusted his treatment of nonrecourse project debt associated with FERC regulated investments to bring it back on credit. We believe this overall favorable adjustment, which creates roughly 50 bps of additional headroom against the downgrade threshold highlights the attractive risk profile of renewables and acknowledges the long term.
Stable cash flows and energy resources business, particularly given the benefits of the IRA.
Finally, as we have discussed in the past we actively enter into various interest rate swaps products to manage interest rate exposure on future debt issuance.
Today, we have $21 billion of interest rate swaps at Nextera energy to help mitigate the impact of potential future increases in rates, which exceeds the notional value of our 2023 and 2024 maturities and as always the current interest rate environment is taken into account.
Our financial expectations.
Our long term financial expectations, which we extended earlier this year through 2026 remain unchanged and we will be disappointed if we're not able to deliver financial results at or near the top end of our adjusted EPS expectation ranges and each year from 2023 to 2026, while at the same time, maintaining our strong balance sheet.
And credit ratings.
From 2021 to 2026, we're also continue to expect that our average annual growth in operating cash flow will be at or above our adjusted EPS compound annual growth rate range.
We also continue to expect to grow our dividends per share at roughly 10% per year through at least 2024 off a 2022 base.
As always our expectations assume our usual caveat, including normal weather and operating conditions.
Turning to Nextera energy partners. We believe we have never had more visible growth opportunities than we have today.
We have the ability to grow in three ways acquiring assets from energy resources growing organically and buying assets from other third parties.
With significant tailwind from the IRA energy resources operating portfolio combined with the backlog of projects and development expectations through 2026 total approximately 58, gigawatts, providing terrific visibility for Nextera energy partners.
And energy resources, and continuing is continuing to grow in innovative ways, adding new technologies and clean energy assets to its portfolio, such as RMG and hydrogen.
In addition to acquiring assets from energy resources Nextera Energy partners also has the ability to repower as existing assets with approximately 1300 megawatts of potential wind repowering.
<unk> identified and many more opportunities expected to come as well as potential to locate storage at its existing renewable asset given the new stand alone storage ITC.
Finally, there are significant acquisition opportunities with renewable portfolios continuously being brought to market.
Terra Energy partners also has numerous ways. They can finance this growth and we believe it can do so efficiently given us ample liquidity and access to capital.
At the end of the first quarter Nextera energy partners add $2 $8 billion of liquidity and approximately $6 billion of interest rate swaps to manage future interest rate volatility on debt maturities through 2026.
With regard to convertible equity portfolio financings, we can fund equity buyouts by delivering common units or utilizing our at the market or ATM program or a combination of both and we believe we have ample liquidity to fund cash payments.
Importantly, we have flexibility.
And we expect to leverage this flexibility to manage future buyouts to select the most efficient option.
Using this flexibility next era G partners has now bought out 50% of the SPX midstream convertible equity portfolio financing through funds generated from a combination of the ATM program for Nextera energy partners was able to be opportunistic and cash from our subsidiaries revolving credit.
<unk>.
With the buyouts of the 2018 convertible equity portfolio financing and 50% of the SPX midstream convertible equity portfolio financing complete.
We estimate that the convertible equity portfolio financing structure has resulted in approximately 55% and 64%, respectively, or <unk> 16 million fewer units being issued compared to raising capital with underwritten block equity.
All for the benefit of unit holders.
For the balance of the year buyouts are now expected to be limited to the remaining 50% of the SPX midstream convertible equity portfolio financing and 15% of the net renewables to convertible equity portfolio financing.
The equity portion of these buyouts, requiring common units of approximately $280 million and $130 million respectively.
Over the next eight months, we have flexibility and time to Opportunistically manage these buyouts in the most efficient way.
For each buyout, we have the flexibility to deliver common units to the convertible equity portfolio financing investor utilize the ATM program or some combination of the two.
Ultimately, we will select the most efficient option in any event the potential unit issuance from these buyouts are not expected to exceed an average of three days of total trading volume per quarter, which we expect will make them quite manageable.
Most importantly, nextera energy partners' growth expectations through 2026 already factor in its financing plan, including convertible equity portfolio financing buyouts at current trading yields.
Turning to distribution growth yesterday, the Nextera energy Partners' Board declared a quarterly distribution of <unk> 84 to five per common unit or $3 37 per common unit on an annualized basis up approximately 15% from a year earlier inclusive of this quarter next LNG partners has grown as LP does.
Distribution per unit up nearly 350% since the IPO.
Today, we are pleased to announce that Nextera energy partners has entered into an agreement with energy resources to acquire an approximately 690 megawatt portfolio of long term contracted operating wind and solar projects and attractive cash available for distribution yield.
The high quality portfolio has a cash available for distribution Wade.
Weighted average remaining contract life of approximately 16 years and average customer credit rating of Triple B at S&P.
S&P and be double H, two at Moody's investors service.
Nextera energy partners to acquire the portfolio for approximately $708 million subject to closing adjustments and is inclusive of the portfolio of existing project debt and interest rate swaps, which are estimated to be approximately $142 million.
In addition to the approximate at least $708 million purchase price.
<unk> partners is also expected to assume the portfolio's existing tax equity financing balance.
The remaining purchase price is expected to be funded by a combination of new project finance debt and the corporate revolving credit facility.
The portfolio of assets is expected to contribute adjusted EBITDA.
Approximately $110 million to $130 million and cash available for distribution prior to the existing project debt service of approximately $62 million to $72 million each on a five year average annual run rate basis, beginning December 31 2023.
The transaction is expected to close in the second quarter of this year.
Additional details.
On the portfolio of assets to be acquired by Nextera energy partners can be found in the appendix of today's presentation.
Nextera energy partners will remain opportunistic pursuing acquisitions in 2023 and with the closing of the transaction announced today Nextera energy partners expects to be well positioned to meet its year end 2023, adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distribution run rate expectations.
Turning to the detailed results Nextera energy partners delivered first quarter, adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distribution results in line with management's expectations.
Adjusted EBITDA of $447 million increased by $35 million versus the prior year, driven primarily by favorable contributions from the approximately 1200 net megawatts of new projects acquired in 2022.
Both adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distributions were negatively affected by lower resource from existing projects.
Additionally, cash available from distribution was lower versus the prior year comparable period due to incremental debt service and timing of Paygo payments.
Going forward in the second half of 2023, we expect strong double digit growth in adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distribution to support Nextera Energy partners LP distribution per unit growth expectation range of 12% to 15% for the full year 2023 additional details are shown on the accompanying slide.
Nextera Energy partners continues to expect run rate contributions for adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distributions from its forecasted portfolio at December 31, 2023 to be in the ranges of $2 2 billion to $2 four 2 billion.
$770 million to $860 million respectively.
As a reminder.
Year end 2023 run rate projections reflect calendar year 2024 contribution from the forecasted portfolio at year end 2023 and include the impact of <unk> fees, which we treat as an operating expense as always our expectations are subject to our usual caveat, including normal weather and operating conditions.
From a base of our fourth quarter 2022 distribution per common unit at an annualized rate of $3 25.
We continue to see 12% to 15% growth per year in LP distributions as being a reasonable range of expectations through at least 2026.
We continue to remain comfortable with these growth expectations and in fact, even at the current trend yield energy Resources' portfolio alone is just one way next era energy partners believes it can meet its growth expectations through 2026.
For 2023, we expect the annualized rate of the fourth quarter 2023 distribution that is payable in February 2024 to be in a range of $3 64 to $3 74 per common unit. We also continue to expect to achieve our 2023 distribution growth of 12% to 15%.
<unk>.
In summary, we continue to believe that both Nextera energy and Nextera energy partners are well positioned to continue delivering on their long term growth prospects at FPL that means executing on smart capital investments to deliver on its customer value proposition of low bills high reliability and outstanding customer service and energy resources.
That means leading the de carbonization of both the power sector and non past sector and leveraging its competitive advantages to capitalize on low cost renewals and new emerging technologies like green hydrogen.
And next LNG partners, we expect to capitalize on its unmatched growth visibility to further expand as best in class clean energy portfolio to provide long term distribution growth for unit holders with that we're happy to address your questions.
Thank you we will now begin the question and answer session.
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Sure.
Yeah.
The first question.
Firm.
Fleishman with Wolfe Research. Please go ahead.
Okay.
Yes. Thank you good morning.
So first.
A couple questions on the MEP drop so just.
Sure.
I think you're looking at the.
The cap the yield is kind of the.
The mid point of the Caf II range over the $708 million, which I guess would be about 95%.
If you were to.
Kind of overtime exclude the project debt and exclude the.
The project debt.
Project debt from the base and exclude the payments of the project debt.
Does that compare to the nine five.
Yes.
Yields.
Yes, so yes. Good morning, Steve. Thank you. Thank you for the question so.
Youre right the math Youre doing is correct. So youre.
You're taking on.
On an unlevered basis. It is a nine five cap the yield so the at the midpoint of the Kathy that we provided is a nine and a half caf the yield and the reason for that Steve is because the debt that is included.
<unk> is going to be.
Is going to be paid off in about three years and so we felt like that was the appropriate way to.
To present.
The cap to yield if you included the debt it would actually be a much higher cap yield it would be a 10 for cat.
Kathy yields and so.
But as you as you are probably aware, we've we've typically provided that.
That that figure is as an unlevered asset unlevered number.
Okay, Great. That's helpful. And then the amount of tax equity just to kind of round. This out sure sure. Yes. The amount of tax equity is $165 million and that will be disclosed in the in the 10-Q that will be filing either later today or tomorrow.
Okay.
And Kirk I think you said something about the growth through 'twenty six could just come from the I don't know if that was from the ADP portfolio is or I guess, maybe the front of.
The near portfolio could you just.
Or could you just clarify what you said there.
Yes, yes happy to do that Steve So look as I shared in our prepared remarks.
We have now.
Energy partners the growth visibility that Nextera energy partners has.
Never been better and when you think about the.
The visibility that has been enhanced really with the passage of the IRA and just take it through the three the three steps that we go through the three ways that Nextera energy partners can grow.
Energy resources.
And you look at the existing portfolio that exist today at energy resources, and then you combine that with the current backlog, which today is.
As 2000.
2024, Gigawatts and then you combine that with the development expectations.
As we as we disclosed that's 58 gigawatts.
And then you also consider the organic both opportunities that Nextera energy partners has and.
The passage of the IRA has really unlocked.
That.
Optionality that exists in the portfolio at Nextera energy partners.
And so we now have a tremendous opportunity.
To grow organically through Repowering and as we said we're pursuing one three gigawatts of Repowering.
Now and we also have the ability to look at co locating stores within the footprint as well and then obviously as you know Steve there is just a.
Tremendous number of renewable portfolios coming to the market and and Nextera Energy partners has had a history of being able to execute on those opportunities those third party opportunities because of many of the advantages that we have in terms of being able to operate and cost of capital advantages. So nextera energy partners has tremendous growth.
Visibility, but with respect to your question. The statement we made is.
When youre looking at when we look at the ability to achieve the 12% to 15% LP distribution growth.
We believe we can achieve that just it looking at energy resources portfolio alone.
And that space at the current trading yield as well and and includes <unk> and includes our current financing plan.
<unk> the buyout of all the convertible equity portfolio financing as well.
Okay. That's helpful. I'm sure others will have questions on that topic, but one other thing I guess just on the overall.
Renewables development environment, maybe Rebecca you could just talk to what the.
We've now seen.
I think some stabilization and a lot of the pressures last year, but we've also seen <unk>.
Lower gas prices just when you look at the overall environment could you give us some kind of color what you're seeing in conviction.
Conviction on hitting.
The development targets that you have out there.
Maybe hopefully better.
Thank you Dave Good morning, So we continue to see a very strong renewables development environment and I think the two gigawatts that we added to the backlog is a great sign that and.
And it's a mix of wind solar and battery storage in that portfolio.
And the conversations that we continue to have both with customers in the power sector as well as customers outside of the power sector remain quite robust and if anything I am concerned about whether or not we have we and everybody else have enough renewables in order to support the demand and in short and of course <unk>.
<unk>, we are planning accordingly to make sure that we have all of the projects available for our customers I would say if there was one thing that I've seen change over the last year and our discussions with our customers. It's really an increased emphasis on our.
Partners that have the ability to execute.
It's not lost on anybody inside the power sector outside the power sector.
The demand for renewables is really strong.
And if there are challenges to building projects successfully and ultimately operating and long term for the benefit of customers and our conversations with customers now reflect that I think appropriately.
And we've had some terrific engagements with customers across the board about making sure that we are building what they need for the long term and their needs are quite significant.
The other thing I would highlight that has been very significant development over over the last year and really in the last nine months since the passage of the inflation reduction Act.
It's really around hydrogen and I know, we've talked about it flat and today, we wanted to give you some additional color on what we're seeing.
I think that $20 billion of pipeline projects with partners and customers.
We're now working on and honestly, that's growing by the day.
And requires just for that $20 billion worth of projects over 15, gigawatts of new renewables to be built to support them.
It is unlike any time that we've seen in our industry and of course in our customer in our company's history.
It would have significant visibility to tremendous growth and tremendous innovation across the board, we couldnt be more excited about what's ahead.
Okay. Thank you.
Okay.
The next question comes from Julien Dumoulin Smith with Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Hey, good morning team. Thank you for the time just first following up on the backlog just can you elaborate a little bit on what youre seeing here. It seems like youre, adding beyond 2026, how are you thinking about potential for acceleration here off of the.
The numbers that you've articulated it thus far the four year period.
Related how much of that is hydrogen in total if you concur.
Got to give us at least some initial disclosure of electrodes.
Julian This is Rebecca I'll take that so we continue to feel and I didn't directly answer Steve's question. So I. Appreciate you, giving me another shot at it I feel very good about our development expectations across the board.
Obviously, we are now at least we're at the low end of the range for 'twenty, three and 'twenty four.
And continue to feel very well positioned to meet the longer term expectations across the four year period.
And with the comments I just made an incorrect made on the call.
We couldn't be more excited about what's beyond 2006 timeframe I do think the hydrogen opportunity is probably more not probably it is definitively more past 2026, then in 'twenty six.
For a lot of practical reasons, not the least of which is meeting clarity on the treasury guidance we kept.
Of course affects the customer discussions that we're having today.
It also affects the way manufacturers are committing to there.
On top of their capabilities to produce <unk> in particular.
And of course.
That clarity comes to fruition and hopefully in particular, we realize the annual matching guidance for the hydrogen production tax credit all of that will start to accelerate.
And then on top of that we've continued to see tremendous innovation across the clean Tech space and I was just over the last two years I was looking at the numbers from Bloomberg New Energy Finance is $100 billion invested in clean Tech.
Across the venture capital space. So just tremendously exciting innovations that we're seeing and I think we're really make a huge difference in that latter part of this decade.
Excellent. Thank you and just quickly going back to that quickly how do you think about using the ATM to buy out the remaining surface as they come due further should we assume issuing new surface on a rolling basis as credit facilities are refinanced right again, obviously right. Now this is a temporary financing in some respects and then ultimately how do you think about the IV or it doesn't.
Holiday is another tool in the current environment.
Alright, so julien.
I'll try to work off all of those all of those questions and team will make sure I get to them. All so the first question was.
Around the use of the ATM. So so look as we as we shared in the prepared remarks.
And we have.
The flexibility.
To be.
Opportunistic to us.
To deliver to the investor.
Either directly units or to use the ATM.
On the on the buyouts and so you should expect us to.
To use that flexibility and to be to be opportunistic.
Around around that those options and.
And so if we if we go to the ATM theres some value to go into the ATM at times.
Two two.
Two.
To deliver and Theres also.
There'll be times, where it's just beneficial to deliver the units. So we have both of those tools and we can use them.
In terms of.
Using.
<unk> in the future.
As we share today.
The <unk> have provided.
Benefits for unit holders.
<unk>.
When you compare it to the alternative which is doing an underwritten.
Okay.
Block block equity deal when you compare those two as we presented on the slide.
It has saved unit holders.
Considerably.
More than 60 million units and when you compare those two.
I think that slide is does a really nice job laying out.
The benefits and so as we've always done.
We'll.
Look at what's the best financing option when it's time to fine.
<unk> finance, an acquisition and we look at all the different financing tools that we have.
And as we shared today.
When we when we build our financing plan and when we think about delivering on our LP distribution growth, we build a financing plan into those finance financing expectations and that includes.
<unk>.
The conversion of the outstanding units and certainly if we're going to.
Use a new <unk>, we will build that into the financing plan and what that means in terms of being able to continue to deliver on the expectations.
And I believe your third question was around.
What are the other is there going to be something around.
<unk>.
Our holiday or something like that.
Look.
As I shared in responding to Steve's Steve's comment we have tremendous.
Growth opportunities and tremendous growth visibility at Nextera energy partners.
A lot of flexibility in terms of being able to finance that growth.
The acquisition that we announced today I think is a real.
Really strong indication of how we can.
Sure.
Acquire a very attractive set of assets for unit holders and so we.
We feel we feel very good about being able to.
Acquire.
Acquire assets and in support and support growth and so.
We are we're focused on being able to.
<unk>.
Tap into that growth visibility.
And deliver to unit holders that way.
Hey, Julien This is John let me just add on a little bit about the ATM and.
The ability to issue shares directly to surface investors.
Our first preference I think would be the issue shares directly to <unk> investors.
This was a situation where we.
Where we were able to use the ATM.
For the first 50% of the SPX buyout.
Very opportunistically and we could do it basically at zero discount and it made a lot of sense to be able to do it that way it is.
To have the flexibility when you have opportunities like that that are presented by the ATM to be able to execute on them. So it's a nice tool to have in the toolkit, but again, we have ultimate flexibility in terms of if opportunities present themselves that are very attractive under the ATM. We can we can we can.
Explore those opportunities, but again, we always have the chance to just give the shares directly to the Super Bowl. There, we're always going to do whatever is most efficient.
For unit holders, we had a slide in the deck today that I think.
Demonstrates the value of the <unk>.
The 54% savings on the Blackrock conversion back in 'twenty.
<unk> roughly the $65, 66% savings in <unk>.
The 50% SPX buyout that we've accomplished.
Accomplish so far today, but at Nap right now we're very focused on execution for the things that Kirk has already gone through we've got great growth visibility attractive acquisition that at a nine 5% cap.
<unk> yield.
And we have a lot of ways to finance the business going forward. There has never been more capital chasing renewables than there is today, there are billions and billions and billions of dollars sitting on the sidelines waiting to find a home around renewable assets. So feel very good about the way net.
His position NEP is also very important to nee.
It's a great way to recycle capital provider taxes tax optimization benefits.
We continue to get distributions from assets that we dropped into end to any piece of the relationship between the two companies is.
Is very strong has been very successful both we've got a lot of levers NEP is very well positioned.
Okay.
Thank you guys.
Thanks, John .
The next question comes from Shar <unk> with Guggenheim Partners. Please go ahead.
Hey, guys good morning.
Okay.
Just just real quick on rounding out on NEP. So I guess the latest portfolio acquisition, the midpoint of <unk>, 95%, it's a bit higher than some of the prior ones. I guess do you still see attractive economics on new acquisitions is that enough to balance out the dilution from that legacy.
Conversions, so I guess I'm kind of asking a question on accretive economics versus the cost of capital there.
Sure.
I think the answer very simply is yes, we think there are tremendously attractive acquisitions for MEP.
And as John just highlighted energy resources finds itself in a position of wanting to recycle capital.
So there is a lot of synergy in that and I think we will always continue to focus on current market conditions.
When we're thinking about it.
Divestitures from in your perspective in acquisitions from a net perspective.
And as Kirk highlighted and John emphasized we factor all of that in as.
As we think about the expectations for <unk> going forward and remain very comfortable with nep's ability to grow at 12% to 15% distributions per unit through 2006, as we've iterated and having a tremendous amount as both financing flexibility and visibility to that growth through all of the avenues that Kirk highlighted.
Got it and then just just on Nextera in general in terms of sort of the inputs. We've seen you guys have announced several earnings accretive data points since last year, Brian you've got the R&D acquisition hydrogen organic transmission growth and some incremental visibility on.
<unk> solar deployment.
Any of these investments kind of displace the Capex you guys embedded in plan at the analyst day is there any sort of headwinds we should be thinking about and ultimately do you anticipate this to start being accretive to your plan from let's say 25 to 26 timeframe, especially.
We're thinking about the six to eight.
So so so shar this is kirk.
<unk>.
Look.
We are always as you know capital is fungible, we are always looking at what all kinds of investment opportunities we have.
We lay out when we laid out the plan at the Investor Conference.
That was certainly pre IRI the world has changed a little bit.
As a result of that but fundamentally we feel very good about executing and delivering on.
The adjusted EPS.
Our expectations that we laid out.
We obviously are.
Before at the time of the Investor Day.
Hydrogen wasn't economic project green hydrogen without an economic product that it is today because of the IRA.
So we're running hard at it but as as Rebecca also outlined.
The reality is that as probably a post 2026.
Realization in terms of what it how it is going to translate into an a benefit so.
There is a lot that we're we're running after.
And a lot we're looking at.
Right.
Most of this is things that we were.
Evaluating and thinking about at the time of the.
Investor conference or its towards things that.
Are going to really come to fruition post 2026.
And.
Really either part of the plans post post plans, but all things that are.
Supporting ultimately.
The things that.
We laid out and feel comfortable about in terms of delivering adjusted EPS.
Sure.
26.
Terrific. Thank you guys appreciate it.
Yeah.
The next question comes from Jeremy Tonet with JP Morgan. Please go ahead.
Hi, good morning.
Hi, good morning.
Just wanted to touch base, a little bit more in supply chain. If we could if you might be able to provide a bit more commentary on how flow panel stand today versus a few years back and also as well as bringing the supply chain onshore just wondering if you could provide a little bit more color on what timeline you see that.
Finally, I think.
Sure. So as we as we shared in our prepared remarks, I mean, we've spent a lot of time thinking about supply chain working with suppliers.
It has been a.
Very comprehensive comps.
Comprehensive effort it's been.
Looking both both globally and then obviously here domestically as well.
Look there is there is lots of lots of things to think through the domestically where.
We're continuing to work through that.
As well it is.
It is.
About trying to evaluate where in the supply chain.
There might be opportunities in terms of.
How to how to participate.
But the way to think about that Jeremy is our view has always been we could be supportive through an anchor order.
We could help provide.
Support through through that mechanism that continues to be our.
Our preferred approach.
We're working with various potential.
Potential partners.
And in discussions that way.
Yes.
Continued continued those discussions continue to.
Continue to.
Yeah.
Continue to occur.
Got it and just outflow panels today, just wondering how that stacks up versus where it was a few years ago.
Yes. This is John so the flow of panels.
Going very well as Kirk said, we've been active with customs and border patrol and panels are now flowing through the ports.
Really don't see any material delays to any of our projects. So feel good about that and as Kirk said I mean were enacted the great thing about.
A company like Nextera with the capital spend that we have and the sophistication that we have around running a global supply chain. We have a lot of options a lot of options a diversified set of options globally.
And we're exercising those options and we're exploring new opportunities.
Well, obviously there is a lot of interest in working directly with Nextera given the amount of buying power that we have we will always be the preferred.
The preferred customer for for each of these <unk> just given the scale at which we purchase and that allows us to drive attractive.
Attractive arrangements, which we think will really help make the business even more competitive going forward and so we're we have launched a number of those efforts both domestically and looking at some other diversification.
Opportunities globally that will even better position the business.
Than it's ever been before.
Going forward to really capitalize on the competitive advantage, we have in terms of the buying power.
Around the supply chain.
Got it that's helpful I'll leave it there thanks.
The next question comes from Doug <unk> with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.
Hey, good morning, Thanks for taking my question.
All my other questions have been asked and answered just just quickly wanted to follow up on the 10 year site plan maybe.
Maybe can you just remind us what are the key milestones for us to watch from from here on from a regulatory standpoint.
For you to get approvals et cetera, et cetera, and then.
Just second would this be the spending here you mentioned post 2025.
Some of this spending investment and be accretive to the current plan you have 2026. Thank you.
So its armando.
The way to think about it is for the rest of the time under the settlement agreement that we have at FPL. So through the end of 2000.
25, what you see in the 10 year site plan is what we have in our in our plan right Theres no additional amounts that that will be added to.
To that Capex. So it's really about 2006 moving forward in terms of approval at the public Service Commission Youll see that.
As we as we provide.
The information for our for our next rate case, most of that will all of that all of the big generation and there is a solar and there is also some.
Some storage in there so there's no additional capex through 2025, and most of that you will see when we update our expectations at some point beyond 'twenty six.
So the approval reminder, thank you for that I appreciate it the approval of this discipline comes to the to the rate case process.
While the approval comes through the either the rate case process, because we've got capex that we've invested just as general infrastructure.
Or it will come through one of the two solar programs that we have today. So our sopra solar program and also our solar together solar program, the sober and solar together solar program as long as we stick within the guidelines that we reached in the last settlement those will get approved on an annual basis.
Got it thanks, so much much appreciate it thank you guys.
Sure.
This concludes our question and answer session. The conference has also now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may all now disconnect.