Q1 2024 Signet Jewelers Limited Earnings Call
Financial measures.
Speaker 1: Call, we will cut certain non-GAF financial measures.
For further discussion of the non- GAAP financial measures, as well as the recommendations of the non- GAAP financial measures, the most directly comparable GAAP measures , investors should review the news release. We posted on our website at www.SingitJewlers.com forward slash investors. With that, I'll turn the call over to Jenna.
Thank you Rob. We're happy to have you joining your first Signet earnings call today and appreciate the extensive experience you bring. And thanks to all of you for joining us today. Before getting into our prepared remarks, I want to thank our Signet team. Our company continues to be recognized as a great place to work.
because of the outstanding people we work alongside. In a pressured quarter, we delivered on our commitment thanks to their agility and excellent customer service. I'm proud to leave this team.
There are three key messages I'd like to reinforce in my remarks today. First, we achieved our revenue and bottom line commitment in Q1 despite macroeconomic headwinds that worsen the late in the quarter.
Additionally, as we predicted, there were fewer engagements in the corner, resulting from COVID's disruption of dating three years ago.
Given softening trends in late April , we've leveraged high margin innovation in services and fashion, as well as strategic promotion to quickly respond to competitive pressures. These results reflect the agility we built in our team and our flexible operating model.
Second, we are adjusting our guidance for the year reflecting current market conditions, lower in revenue expectations based on increasing macro pressure on consumer spending. On the bottom line, our operating model continues to deliver at a double digit annual rate.
However, we are intentionally choosing to invest in the capabilities that we believe are creating sustainable competitive advantages and driving market share growth to expand the moat around our business. We have the advantage of having built a four-trick balance sheet.
that fuels our ability to invest in a period of disruption, which we believe gives us a significant competitive advantage.
Third, we remain confident in our midterm goals that we outlined at our April and best of today. In fact, our proprietary consumer insights give us increased confidence that engagements will begin to recover at the end of fiscal 24th and we're positioning ourselves to accelerate market share growth. Thank you.
Starting to the quarter, we delivered nearly $1.7 billion in sales and more than $106 million in non-gap operating income, both at the high end of our guidance. We achieved this despite 50% of our business being in bridal, which we expected to decline.
and in an environment that deteriorated late in the quarter, which we've seen continue in the second quarter. The swing factors in recent consumer confidence, lower tax refunds, economic concerns triggered by regional bank failures, and continued inflation.
led to a weakening trend in spending across the jewelry industry of an additional 10 points that we estimate based on external reports. Bridal and macroeconomic conditions were two important drivers in the quarter, so I'll comment on both of them. Thank you.
We expected the low double digit decline in engagement that we saw this quarter. Similar to the fourth quarter, we expected to see units decline, but we also expected growth in average transaction value, which did not materialize. This reflects the accelerated macrocrustures on spending.
as well as a heightened promotional environment, both factors that we expect to continue. We believe we are growing market share and bridal in this environment. We are growing market share and bridal in this environment.
In fashion, we continue to see pressure at lower price points, as has been the case for the past year. However, later in the quarter, we began to see degradation at higher price points, between $1,000 and $5,000 in fashion. Price points remain strong at $5,000 and above.
This price erosion continued into the second quarter. Nonetheless, our intentional focus on building out our fashion category over the last three years, which has grown 36% in that time to become a bigger portion of our mix has positioned us to gain market share.
and is having the positive impact you've designed for in this current environment.
I'll talk more about our guidance update shortly, but I want to first look at the value of the investments we've made to differentiate signals from competitors and position us to gain market share. In particular, our banner portfolio, our services business.
and our digital and data capabilities, all of which were important strengths in Q1. Our broad portfolio of banners is working as it is designed to do. As we've repositioned it, Jared is a good example. Jared now represents an important mezzanine between fine jewelry and love.
more.
And we're piloting a preferred assortment in select stores that has driven a 600 basis point improvement in sales versus the balance of the fleet and a 1500 basis point improvement to average ticket sales. We expect to roll it out more broadly in the months ahead.
The value and potential of our services business continues to be evident.
Services grew more than 5% compared to this time last year, reflecting the notable progress across our services offerings.
A key driver with our Extended Service Agreements, or ESAs.
The attachment rate for ESA has increased more than two points exiting the quarter with higher velocity. This is a particularly impressive result since our highest attachment is typically in bridal.
Custom is another good example. We expect a custom to decline in the quarter at a similar rate to merchandise sales. Yet this growing service brought to the trends, increasing connotations and contributing to core margin expansion. deducted rates for KUMG
We've been building our services offerings based on deep consumer research, and it's working.
The improvements we've made in custom and repair drove a service margin increase of 340 basis points compared to the prior year.
Our loyalty program is demonstrating meaningful growth as well. We recently introduced the option to enroll in our loyalty program when first creating an account on one of our banner sites.
Creating a frictionless point of entry for our customers.
This enhancement has enabled a more than 50% increase in members in the quarter. This matters because our loyalty numbers are more frequent purchasers and have a 20% higher sense than non- loyalty members.
These examples represent continued progress toward our midterm goal of $1.2 billion in service business revenue, as well as an important step change in the way services perform as a category. Historically, services revenue has trended alongside merchandise.
often impacted by the same drivers. This quarter, services is a standout category and a clear reflection of our investments. We've changed the trajectory of this part of our business through ESA product differentiation, increased digital access and visibility, and increased training. This is a standout category and increased training.
The final strength I'd like to highlight is the value of our digital and data analytics capabilities.
Our investments in digital continue to be a differentiator and a bright spot for us in the current environment, increasing penetration in the quarters. We believe that both in indication of the macro environment where consumers are browsing and researching more before they buy.
and also the investments we've made to create a great customer experience.
Our digital net promoter score or NPS is now at an all time high, having grown three points over the last quarter and nine points compared to this time last year. And 96% of promoters say they will shop with us again.
As consumer expectations continue to increase, we are updating our digital experience, meeting customers how and where they want to shop with us at a scale that's hard to match.
We implemented more than it does in new priority feature launches this quarter and we're on track for an additional 20 in the second quarter. These features include enhancements to online merchandise presentation, messaging, appointment booking and services. With these and future improvements to come, we are sharply focused on customer development.
identified and track a proprietary list of 45 milestones that trace a couple's journey through four major relationships stages, meeting exclusivity committed and engagement.
What our data has shown is that once couples experience at least 27 of these milestones, it becomes highly likely that they will move to engagement.
For example, couples traveling together is one of the top milestones later in a couple's journey to engagement.
We see evidence of this milestone currently across our data sources, including online search activity.
Searches for couples vacations on TikTok are currently twice what they were in Q4.
Google searches for travel or vacation together are up more than 30%.
In fact, multiple data sources that we track for other key proprietary indicators are also up significantly. The key point is that we're seeing the engagement milestones occurring as expected, which reinforces our competence.
that engagements will begin to recover as we approach the end of the year. We are investing to win as this unfolds. We are investing to win as we approach the end of the year.
Personalized marketing is another example of our data capabilities. Our marketing efficiency and effectiveness continue to improve as we personalize our approach, including a 9% increase to our return on ad spend in the first quarter, with advertising as a percent of sales flat compared to this time last year.
Our customer data platform, which enables our personalized journeys, is still relatively new in implementation. That said, we've already built nearly 30 million customer profiles, and the platform is configured to activate across channels like email, SMS texting, web,
been adding over 1 million new profiles every month.
The marriage of these two things, our proprietary consumer insights and our leading customer data platform is a powerful combination that doesn't exist at our scale anywhere else in the North America jewelry industry. Our unique consumer insights capability enables us to see.
and understand pre-engagement couples as they may progress through their relationship toward engagement.
and our personalization capability enables us to interact with them at important steps, increasing the likelihood that they'll come to us when they're ready to get engaged.
This also generates insights into all the milestone moments that come later in their lives and enables us to build lifetime relationships with them.
This integrated approach to our insights and customer data is at the heart of our transformation and our long-term growth potential. We will continue to invest behind it as we get better and better every year. Thank you.
One final example of how we're leveraging data is the way we're driving out product costs without compromising quality and innovation. A recent example is a sourcing technology that we've activated, which we call the ROOC. This is a leading sourcing system that allows us to benchmark standardized components.
We're early in our implementation, but already in Q1, we estimate that we avoided mid-single-digit cost increases to lose stones.
Based on our early success, we are now doubling our expectation of savings from $20 million to $40 million this year. And believe we can ultimately save up to $200 million annually over time.
This level of cost transparency gives us a clear competitive advantage, particularly with current macro headlines.
The point of these examples is to underscore that the investments we've made and continue to make to strengthen critical capabilities and create competitive advantages are working.
Our financial strength allows us to keep investing to widen the mode around our business and position-signate for ongoing market share gains.
I'll touch briefly now on our guidance update.
As a result of the deteriorating macro environment and impact on consumer spending patterns, we saw Lading Q1 and throughout May. We are revising guidance to reflect continuation of these trends for the balance of the year. We have updated our forecast to account.
for a lower range of top-line outcomes and now expect revenue for the year to be between $7.1 billion to $7.3 billion. Based on sales data in May and June for the industry, we believe this guide positions us to grow market share as current trends are pointing to a larger decline across the industry.
As I said earlier, our model provides double-digit operating margins even in a tough macro environment. We are maintaining investments this year of nearly $75 million in objects to enhance our digital and IT capabilities and up to $200 million in capital.
which is a demonstration of our increasing confidence in the recovery of engagement and our ability to achieve our midterm goals. These investments will pressure margins by approximately one point, placing a temporarily below our double digit target in a range of 8.9% to 9.2%.
Importantly, these investments strategically position us to take advantage of the expected recovery and bridle that will begin later this year and capture share when the current macro headwinds recede. Our flexible operating model is in place and working.
and our fortress balance sheet gives us this opportunity. We're also taking action in three key areas. We're heightening our focus on innovation at the right price point, working to stimulate demand through relevant newness within our assortment.
Personalized customer journeys and strategic promotions, all while balancing our inventory position. We believe our lean inventory and heightened turn gives us the opportunity to bring newness to market faster than our competition and our scale allows us to create excellent value. Thank you.
Secondly, we are more than doubling our cost savings initiatives from $100 million this year to $225 to $250 million.
And third, we're accelerating our ongoing fleet optimizations and plan to close up to 150 stores over the next 12 months that are not meeting our expectations for productivity.
Shown will provide more perspective, but I'll close just by coming back to the core messages we're focusing on today. Dr. James Rabhe, premierakhrabh i&c.net
We delivered our revenue and bottom line commitments in Q1 despite significant pressure, reflecting our agility and flexible operating model.
We are adjusting our guidance to reflect current macroeconomic conditions while continuing to invest intentionally in the capabilities that we believe are driving market share growth, and we remain confident in both the recovery of engagement and in our ability to achieve the midterm goals.
that we outlined at our April investor day. On that note, I'll pass it over to Joan.
Thanks, Dina, and good morning, everyone. I want to reinforce today's message by focusing on one of the most important factors in our control, our flexible operating model.
We are able to proactively respond to the current business environment and continue to strategically invest to drive market share gains precisely because of our model and our strong balance sheet.
Turning to the quarter, we delivered nearly $1.7 billion in sales. This represents a sales decline of 193% and 13.9% on a same store-failed basis.
Traffic was down in the quarter in a mid-single digit range on a relatively flat ATV and lower conversion.
We leveraged strategic promotion towards the end of the quarter as we saw trends soften.
In addition, we were able to drive growth and services of over five percent, notably outperforming merchandise performance in the quarter.
This is a clear competitive advantage for us in the jewelry industry given our scale and skilled network of artists and jewelers.
Our e-commerce penetration increased 500 basis points to nearly 23% compared to a year ago, reflecting our strategic investments in digital.
During now the gross margin, we delivered non-GAAP gross margin of $633 million, or 38% of sales, a decline of 160 basis points compared to the prior year.
Core merchandise margin expanded for then 100 basis points compared to last year, including the positive contribution of services, discount controls, and strategic sourcing initiatives that generated product cost savings. That benefit was offset by de-leveraging.
or 31.4%, with 240 basis points higher than last year, and reflects deleveraging of fixed costs on lower sales and incremental investments and capabilities.
And we delivered on our cost savings expectations for the quarter as we continue to identify sourcing opportunities and leverage the flexibility inherent in our labor model. Importantly, in the quarter, our financial services team reached a three year extension with red financial to further secure stability and the cost of our financial services program.
and the Blue Nile acquisition, for which we expect the margin pressure to abate in the third quarter.
The balance of the reduction in rates is related to deleveraging of costs on a mid-team comp sales decline.
Turning to the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with over $650 million of cash and equivalent, down $270 million compared to a year ago.
Excluding $200 million in legal settlements paid this quarter and the nearly $390 million acquisition of Blue Nile in the third quarter of last year, we would have increased our cash by over $300 million.
The end of the quarter was just under $2.2 billion in inventory. Our inventory was down $33 million compared to last year.
Excluding Blue Nile, our core inventory was down $128 million, or 6% lower, reflecting our use of data analytics to inform working capital management on a store-by-store basis.
We've maintained nearly a 1.4 times turn with our capital efficiency efforts and our inventory is healthy, paving the way for continued newness in our assortment.
We continue to value the strength of our debt position. With an adjusted debt to EBITDA leverage ratio of 2.1 times and 1.7 times on a net debt basis, we remain in a healthy position to execute on our capital priorities and well below our target of less than 2.75 times.
Capital returns to shareholders continue to be a priority for Cigna.
Year to date, we have repurchased $39 million, or 500,000 shares, and have $761 million in repurchase authorization remaining.
We also announced a quarterly cash dividend on common share of this morning of 23 months per share for the second quarter, payable August 25th to share holders of records on July 28th of this year.
Consistent with our rigorous cost controls, we are proactively flexing our model to respond to trends in our business.
As Jenna mentioned, we are increasing our cost savings targets for the year from $100 million to a range of $225 to $250 million. We expect to achieve this by maximizing our flexible labor model, which allows for dynamic staffing both in scores and in the
and in our customer care centers, leveraging AI as a growing capability across many business areas to drive costs out of the system.
Accelerating the benefits of vertical integration while working with our supply chain to drive cost transparency. Driving out administrative costs that do not impact customers.
And finally, accelerating the benefits of our investments and capabilities to build competitive advantages. Further, as part of our ongoing evaluation of underperforming stores, we now expect to close up to 150 stores over the next 12 months, largely at expiration.
We take a holistic approach to drive share, market by market, leveraging our leading consumer insight capabilities at scale.
We perform a continuous review of mall, off-mall, and digital channel activity in a given trade area to ensure we are most effectively supporting our connected commerce experience.
Most of these closures will likely be in traditional mall locations. Compared to fiscal 2020, off-mall and outlet comparable revenues have outperformed malls by over 800 basis points and we've seen over 70% growth in comparable e-commerce revenue.
Further, compared to fiscal 20, COPS sales of stores in our top seven markets have outperformed our remaining fleet by more than 500 basis points as we continue our strategy to drive share in top markets.
I'll now turn to guidance. As a result of declining trends in late April and through the second quarter to date, we expect the current softness will continue throughout the year and have updated our guidance to account for a lower range of top-line outcomes.
We believe the current trend reflects the impact of increasing macro pressure on discretionary categories including the jewelry industry.
For example, going into Mother's Day, we expected to see a $40 to $50 million shift from Q1 to Q2 as a result of timing, and we did not see this shift materialize.
Additionally, we began to see softening at higher price points, which previously had been relatively insulated and lower price points remained under pressure.
With this in mind, we expect revenue in the second quarter to be in the range of $1.53 to $1.58 billion.
We expect non-GAAP operating income in the range of $85 to $100 million.
This outlook includes a small portion of the cost action we detailed earlier, as well as the continuation of strategic investments and the impact of the Blue Nile acquisition in the quarter.
Looking to the full year, we now expect fiscal 24 revenue in the range of $7.1 to $7.3 billion, with the fourth quarter year-over-year performance expected to be slightly higher than the second and third quarters. The first quarter year, we expect revenues expected to be slightly higher than the second quarter year-over-year performance expected to be slightly higher than the second quarter year.
In addition to bridal recovery and the 53rd week in the fourth quarter this year, we will be lapping the UK strikes during last year's holiday season.
We now expect revenue for the year to decline between 7 to 9 percent after reducing our full year revenue expectations by approximately $550 million.
We anticipate that we will outperform the industry despite a higher bryoness, thus driving market share gains.
We now expect non-GAAP operating income in the range of $635 to $675 million, reflecting lower revenue, the additional cost savings impacting both gross margin and SG&A, primarily in the second half of the year, and maintaining strategic investments.
This represents a non-GAAP operating margin of approximately 9% or a low double-digit margin, excluding the investments, showcasing the true flexibility of our model.
This translates to a non-GAAP earnings per diluted share in the range of $9.49 to $10.09, which reflects a reduction of interest expense for the year and share repurchases through today to partially offset reduced expectations in operating income.
Before we move on to Q&A, I want to thank our team members who exemplify our culture for their resilience and agility which consistently drive results and serves our customers.
Now I would like to open the line for Q&A. Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question today, please do so now by pressing start followed by the number 1 on your telephone and keypads. If you change your mind and would like to be removed from the queue, please press start followed by 2. We ask that you please limit your questions to one question and one follow up.
Our first question today comes from the line of Ike Berachow with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead Ike, your line is open. Hey, good morning. Excuse me. I guess two questions, I think one for Joan, one for Jenna. Joan, on the 150 store closures.
Any chance you could tell us that you said they're underperforming, but what's the revenue and EBIT associated with those stores? Are they actually losing money? Just kind of curious if there's any more color there. And then Jenna, understanding the lowering of the guide, you talked about accelerating some of the investments, which is why the margins are below your double digit target. Does that mean that when...
Up to 150 stores that we believe are underperforming are a mix, in fact, of stores that are not cash flow positive and stores that are down trending. And we believe with the current view of the year in terms of our guidance that
they're not on the good trajectory, they're not meeting our labor productivity, or I'm sorry, our store productivity targets. So it's a mixture. And on the margin, I thanks for that question. So our operating model is working exactly as we've designed it to, and we are operating at a double digit rate. We've chosen this year because we see an opportunity.
to lean in, to invest about a point, to continue to expand our digital and consumer personalized marketing capabilities. We think this really sets us up to drive an accelerated share growth, especially as engagements come back. But on an ongoing basis, we are
Well positioned to deliver those double-digit operating margins. This is a temporary decision intentional decision to invest.
deliver those double-digit operating margins. This is a temporary decision, intentional decision to invest. Great. Thank you.
Our next question comes from Lorraine Hutchinson with Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Lorraine, please go ahead. Your line is open. Thank you. Good morning. I wanted to follow up on the new three year agreement with BRED. How has the lending standards changed, if at all?
practices, approval rates. Lorraine, what I'd say about what we're seeing within our own credit business is that approval rates are, in fact, down. However, it's because we see an increase in applications online. So, as you recall, we have the...
the ability to, the customers have the ability to apply for credit, you know, online and those approval rates are lower and I think, you know, you would see that across, you know, the industry. So that's what we're seeing with approval rates and our payment penetration rates are up overall.
and roughly 300 basis points. And I would also say that the amount financed is also up the range. So we're seeing, you know, a good response within the financial services offering. Our partners, of which Brett is, you know, on the prime portfolio, a partner for that.
We have, just as a reminder, we don't have credit risk on our balance sheet, and as you know we removed that several years ago.
Can you provide us with some insight on how you're thinking about growth margin for the rest of the year? I imagine we'll continue to have the fixed cost leverage, but what do you think the merchandise margin trajectory will look like in this environment?
Well, what I'd offered there, Lorene, is that the cost savings that both Jenna and I commented on, which increased from 100Million to 125Million to 250Million, half of those impact, roughly half impact gross margin.
and largely in the back half of the year. And what did they relate to? Clearly, product cost savings, Jenna talked about it, upping that from 20 to $40 million. We're also seeing opportunity given the clearance and the health, the clearance position and health of our inventory.
first quarter we saw core merchandise margin expansion of 100 basis points. So we were very pleased to see that. So our continued health of our inventory helps us manage margin and just use promotion as a strategic lever.
for us. So, back half, just to recap, half of the cost savings is gross margin and SG&A positioned, and we're just leveraging the initiatives and the competitive advantages we've put in place to deliver that. Thank you.
Our next question comes from Paul with City. Paul please go ahead, your line is open.
Thanks guys. Can you talk about the promotional landscape out there? I'm curious who's driving it. You guys have pretty large market share, so I would think that you would typically take more of a lead rather than follow. So I just want to understand that dynamic a little bit in terms of what you're seeing. And then also on your expectations for the bridal business, watch 360x swallows even day.
Thanks, Paul. So let me comment kind of on those in reverse. So on BRIDAL, our predictive models, you know, which incorporated trends from, you know, many years and 45 different factors that we are tracking on consumers are spot on.
in terms of the number of consumers who are getting engaged and the units of engagement rings that we sold in the quarter. What's changed a bit is the pressure on consumer spending from the macro environment. So we saw some degradation in ATV in bridal late in the quarter. That's
different from what we saw in Q4. So that's a changing trend and our revised guidance reflects an assumption that units will continue to track in line with our predictions.
but we'll continue to see some pressure on ATV. So what's the pressure coming from? It's a combination of two things. One is a bit of consumer trade down, so people still getting engaged, but buying a ring at a slightly lower price. And we don't think that everyone in the bridal category predicted this.
downturn in engagements as accurately as we did, and have some excess inventory in bridal, and so we've seen a slightly heightened rate of promotion in bridal that we wouldn't typically have seen. We're assuming both of those things continue for the rest of the year in the revised guidance.
Our next question comes from Mauricio Serna with UBS. Mauricio, please go ahead, your line is open. Hi, my name is Mauricio Serna, I'm a senior at UBS, I'm a senior at UBS, I'm a senior
Great, good morning and thanks for taking our questions. First, I guess I'd like to ask on the growth margin guidance, are you expecting to maintain the or merchandise margins expanding in the next couple of quarters?
And then if I think about industry dynamics, is there anything you can tell us about how lab-grown diamonds are disrupting maybe the ATB or the discounting that you're seeing across the space? And just very lastly on the cost savings, the increase that you are expecting, would you say like that changes like mostly attributed?
to the, you know, the savings from the store closures that you're expecting now or what are the other main drivers behind that, you know, increase of 100 to 150 million on the cost savings target.
from the store closures that you're expecting now or what are the other main drivers behind that increase of 100 to 150 million on the cost savings target. Thank you.
So as I mentioned by RISIO on Gross Margin, we are very pleased with our inventory position and the health of our inventory, which really reflects it within our core businesses. So yes, we would expect to see continued positivity in our positive results.
in our core merchandise margin. In May, just importantly, in May, we've also saw the continued decline in inventory year over year. So I'm very pleased with how the team is managing inventory to continue to position us well, to take strategic promotion as needed.
and really paving the way for newness for us, which is a critical component of continuing to deliver that margin expansion. The other point I'd make on margin is services. Services as we said at our investor day carries a 20% premium to merchandise margin, and we're seeing services grow out of the 5%, outpacing clearly merchandise.
merchandise grows and services itself when we are advancing repair, we're advancing our warranty programs as well and the customer continues to respond to those and we're holding very importantly holding our attachment rate in bridal and overall.
raising attachment rate 200 basis points in the first quarter, as Jenna mentioned. And then, Marie-Cio on lab created diamonds. We do not see ATV in bridal being driven by LCDs. They're less than 15% of our overall sales. And, you know, just an important consumer trend in offering for us.
We believe that the majority of our customers still prefer the rarity that comes from buying a one-of-a-kind natural diamond. What tends to happen is that engagement shoppers begin their journey with a predetermined budget. And so for those who are open to lab-created diamonds, we've consistently seen them trade up to a larger stone.
And then with respect to cost savings Mauricio, the 150 million increase, a portion of that clearly relates to our store closings. However, we continue to lean into our store, the dynamic store labor model that we have and we apply that as well.
that the sourcing opportunities itself are, you know, that provide cost transparency. We believe we can take costs out of the product without compromising quality and innovation. And, you know, that is factored into here as well as driving out administrative costs.
that the customer just doesn't see. And our team is very much, this is a muscle and a rigor that we've built over the last two to three years. And we are in step and plan and see the path to delivering this incremental cost savings. Got it, that's very helpful. And did you provide or can you talk about the signing bonus?
helps us really stabilize a view of cost of funds as we navigate into the future together.
Thank you very much and best of luck.
Our next question comes from Jim Sanderson with North Coast Research. Jim, please go ahead, your line is open.
Thanks for the question. I wanted to dig in a little bit more to the same store sales expectation based on the revised guidance. Should we anticipate a continued negative double digit team comp pretty much through the holiday quarter? Can you give us a sense of how you're looking at that balance between transaction value and declines in actual?
transactions throughout the rest of the fiscal year.
So I'll take that, Jim. So in terms of the pace across the year, I mentioned that we would expect second and third quarter to continue the trends that we saw in first quarter, fourth quarter.
We see it slightly higher due to a few things. And we don't really give comp guidance as you know. So when you look at it on a total revenue basis, there are a few things in there. One is the fact that we have a 53rd week. We're laughing the UK labor strikes.
And we also had a significant impact over holiday, the last three days of holiday due to weather, although, you know, bear in mind, we were very well aware that that could happen again. And then I'd say, you know, lastly, the bridal recovery is, you know, factored into the fourth quarter as well. But to Jim's point, we are, you know, very mindful and positive.
You know, we saw in the first quarter, we made it to bridle and we're positioned for, you know, with good inventories and healthy inventories to take the appropriate promotional actions that we believe we would need to take throughout the year. Okay, okay. Just to follow up a question on the 150 store closer announcement, I think that will be complete.
some time in fiscal 2025. Can you give us a sense first of all of what you would expect based on your history with closing stores? How much of the sales from the closed stores you would expect to recapture from Omni Channel? And then wondering if you can provide any thoughts on what type of positive impact that we'll have on Ibbah Merge and going forward?
We haven't mentioned the overall impact of the store closing, but clearly it's part of our $250 million cost savings program. What I would say is that what we see in transference is, we have stronger transference in our largest banners, the K and sales banner.
And as I said, we would expect most of these closures to occur in traditional mall locations. So we've seen nice transfer and spare. We have been able to capture if you look at our sales per square feet over the last several years. We've seen significant increase.
and sales per square feet indicating that as we, as you know, over the last five years, we've closed five to six years, we've closed over a thousand stores, and we've had a significant increase in sales for scrolling, selling square foot.
So we expect as well to pick up volume within our e-commerce channel.
All right, just one quick last question on blue Nile. That will be fully included in the comp based by the fourth quarter.
It's yes, and as you recall, we acquired it in mid-August, acquired Blue Nile, and that business is doing quite nicely for us in terms of the combination of the digital banners has really demonstrated strength. Synergies are pacing to expectation.
and really expect to have the re-platforming done for the start of the third quarter. So really, as you recall, we said last quarter that we expect a one-point impact on our EBIT margins related to that acquisition in the first and second quarter, and that begins to abate in the third and fourth quarter.
Good morning everyone. As you think about the current environment and the volatility, the market share opportunities given the large size that independents are of the jewelry industry, what do you see as the any quantitative market share opportunities you have, especially with the new businesses that you've acquired that expand the customer base?
is there maybe even into next year revenue opportunities that you can leverage with services that you're thinking about as we move forward. And then lastly, in the current environment, obviously, you know about the vital business. What are you seeing in self-purchase and what are you seeing by grand there?
and just one other quick thing. Any shift in the exit rate of the business versus during the quarter and did it vary by region? Thank you.
So in terms of market share, Dana, we see this as a huge opportunity. One of the things we've done in our transformation is created the flexibility by having, you know, lean inventory, by paying down our debt, by creating a fortress balance sheet. We've created the flexibility.
to invest in the midst of disruption. That's what we did when we acquired Blue Nile at what we think was a very favorable price. We were able, because of our cash position, to do that. And we find ourselves in a similar position now where we see significant disruption in the industry. And so we're leaning in and playing offense. If you look at the first quarter,
We believe that we grew share in bridal relative to independence. If you look at fashion, we have been building our fashion business to increase it as a percent of our total mix for the last three years in preparation for this moment that we anticipated that engagements would be down based on the COVID lack of dating three years ago. So we've grown our fashion business 36%.
over the last several years in preparation for this moment. So that's why we've made the choice to lean in and continue those investments so that especially as engagements return, which we think happens toward the end of this school year in our fourth quarter.
And ultimately, as macro pressures abate, we are ready to really put our foot on the accelerator and move ahead more quickly. So we are seeing that as a big opportunity this year. And I appreciate you asking that because I hope that's a key takeaway from this call, is that we are leaning in to accelerate our competitive advantages.
In terms of self-purchase, we are seeing self-purchase at higher price points continue, lower price points continue to be pressured, but we're very pleased with the breadth of our banner portfolio and how that is allowing us to play into consumer trends at all price points.
So for example, banter represents a strong self-purchase opportunity for us. We've seen the lower price points a bit challenge, but with our scale we can bring excellent value. So we believe that we're performing better as a result, and we lean into services like piercing, which really has been growing. I think I mentioned a couple of quarters ago that we've expanded from just ear piercing to also needle piercing.
which has really been a great new service offering for us. In the quarter we leaned in heavily on services. It's a high margin competitive advantage for us and we saw that really work with services totally changing the trajectory of how they've ever been in the past. Typically they follow merchandise comps almost, you know, point-for-point. We were able to grow services five percentage points in the quarter even though merchandise was down. So we're pleased with how they're...
services, we saw actually late in the quarter, services, attachment rates go up higher than the 200 basis points that we saw during the quarter. And then it continued. The trend continued really across the sleeve and online we continued to
You know, see the same trends throughout May and June . What we're really pleased with is that...
Inventories continue to be well controlled and managed by the team. Those are all the questions we have for today. So I'll turn the call back to the management team for any concluding remarks. Well, I want to thank all of you again for joining us today.
What I hope you took away is that despite the pressured environment in which we're operating, our flexible operating model and strategic investments are working. We are confident in our capabilities, and so we're playing offense, leaning in to widen our competitive advantages to drive market share growth. Thank you. Thank you everyone for joining us today.
This concludes the Signet Jewelers Q1 earnings call and you may now disconnect your lines.