Q2 2023 Omnicom Group Inc Earnings Call
Speaker 3: Good afternoon and welcome to the Omnicom second quarter 2023 earnings release conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session.
Speaker 3: to participate please press one then zero if you need assistance during the call please press star then zero as a reminder this conference call is being recorded at this time i'd like to introduce you to your host for today's conference senior vice president of investor relations gregory limbert please go ahead
Speaker 3: Thank you for joining our second quarter 2023 earnings call. With me today are John Wren, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Phil Angelo-Astro, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
Speaker 3: On our website, omnicomgroup.com, we've posted a press release along with a presentation covering the information we'll review today, as well as a webcast of this call. An archived version will be available when today's call concludes.
Speaker 3: Before we start, I'd like to remind everyone to read the forward-looking statements and non-GAAP financial and other information that we've included at the end of our investor presentation.
Speaker 3: Certain of the statements made today may constitute forward-looking statements, and these statements are our present expectations. Relevant factors that could cause actual results to differ materially are listed in our earnings materials and in our SEC filings, including our 2022 Form 10-K .
Speaker 3: During the course of today's call, we will also discuss certain non-GAAP measures. You can find the reconciliation of these to the nearest comparable GAAP measures in the presentation materials.
Speaker 3: We will begin the call with an overview of our business from John , and then still we'll review our financial results for the quarter.
Speaker 3: After our prepared remarks, we will open up the line for your questions.
Speaker 3: And I will now hand the call over to John .
Speaker 4: Thank you, Greg. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. We're pleased to share our second quarter results.
Speaker 4: Organic growth was a solid 3.4% for the quarter, which is in line with our expectations.
Speaker 4: Adjusted operating income margin was also in line with our expectations at 15.1%. Adjusted diluted earnings per share for the quarter was $1.81 up 7.7% vs. the comparable amount in 2022.
Speaker 4: on a constant currency basis, the increase was 8.9%.
Speaker 4: Our cash flow continues to support our primary uses of cash, dividends, acquisitions, and share repurchases.
Speaker 4: and our liquidity and balance sheet remain very strong.
Speaker 4: We are pleased with our financial results for the quarter and first half and are increasing our full year organic growth target to 3.5 to 5% and maintaining our 15 to 15.4% operating margin target.
Speaker 4: Phil will cover our results in more detail during his remarks.
Speaker 4: Operationally, we had a very successful quarter.
Speaker 4: We made significant progress on our AI strategy by adding generative AI to Omni, a market leading technology platform and entering into significant first of a kind technology partnerships. We enhanced our capabilities and management team in e-commerce and retail media.
Speaker 4: Solidified our position as the most creative holding company in the world at Khan and completed a couple of important strategic acquisitions.
Speaker 4: While we have engaged in AI for over a decade, generative AI will have a profound effect on our industry and omnicom.
Speaker 4: We are quickly embracing the technology as we see massive opportunities to boost the productivity of our people and deliver better work to our clients.
Speaker 4: As with any new technology, we're working closely with our clients to take advantage of the benefits while being mindful of its limitations, risks, and privacy concerns.
Speaker 4: We have a significant competitive advantage in harnessing the power of generative AI through our open operating system, Omni.
Speaker 4: For over a decade we've invested in the development of Omni. Today more than 50,000 people use the platform in over a hundred countries and it houses over 1 billion IDs globally with data from first, second, and third parties. Generative AI will turbo charge Omni users by helping...
Speaker 4: our clients remain in control of their first party data.
Speaker 4: In June at the Cannes Lions Festival of Creativity, we announced the launch of Omni 3.0.
Speaker 4: The next generation operating system for AMI where every experience will be powered by generative AI.
Speaker 4: The experience is delivered through OmniAssist and is the result of our partnership with Microsoft, which allowed us to be one of the first companies to be given full access to their chat GPT model. OmniAssist is a custom-trained enterprise-level OmniCOM proprietary version of chat GPT.
Speaker 4: that enhances every task within Omni including research, creating, planning, and executing marketing campaigns.
Speaker 4: Omni Assist will give our agency teams the power to do their jobs more efficiently and focus on high impact work for our clients.
Speaker 4: Following the launch of Omni 3.0, we unveiled several other collaborations at W3.com that will introduce generative AI capabilities directly to our creative work.
Speaker 4: The first was Google Marketing Cloud, which offered us the unique access to Vertex AI platform and imagined.
Speaker 4: Imagine is a text-to-image model with copyright protections built in, enabling agency and client teams to accelerate the content development process for marketing campaigns. Next, we announced we were the first holding company to have access to Adobe's Firefly Creative Generative AI models.
Speaker 4: Combining these models with Omni data, we will be able to embed the power of Firefly into our clients' ecosystems to generate automated content in a brand's unique style and language. Finally, we shared our first mover collaboration with Avons OnWeb Services, pairing OmniComm's open operating system with AWS's
Speaker 4: We further expanded and strengthened our e-commerce and retail media capabilities by launching OmniCommerce, the industry's first connected commerce and orchestration solution.
Speaker 4: OmniCommerce provides a single standardized and customizable view of the commerce journey. With the retail media landscape becoming increasingly fragmented, OmniCommerce helps our clients harness the full power of retail media with a holistic view of their ROI.
Speaker 4: In June , we announced the appointment of Jacqueline Baker as CEO of the Omnicom Commerce Group. Jacqueline succeeds Sophie Durrani who is stepping down to pursue consultancy and nonprofit opportunities.
Speaker 4: With over 20 years of commerce and brand building experience, Jacqueline has an established track record of driving innovation within the commerce landscape.
Speaker 4: While we've made substantial progress with Omni and General of AI, it's critically important to note that AI can never replace the inspiration and genius that comes from our people and their creativity.
Speaker 4: These technological advances will simply make it easier and faster for them to develop and deploy creative ideas.
Speaker 4: That's why I'm especially pleased we are recognized as the most creative company in the world at the Cannes Lions Festival of Creativity.
Speaker 4: Omnicom agencies from more than 40 countries won over 175 lions throughout the week.
Speaker 4: Two of our creative networks, DDB and VVZO placed in the top 3 in the Network of the Year competition with DDB coming in 1st and VVZO coming in 3rd.
Speaker 4: We continue to invest in our global creative capabilities. In early July , we announced the acquisition of German-based GABARZ and partner, a world-class creative agency headquartered in Hamburg. GABARZ has been named to prestigious industry lists.
Speaker 4: such as Cannes Lions top 10 independent agencies of the decade and Campaign UK's world leading independent agencies. Following the announcement of GABARS and together with certain management changes we recently made, President Germany's leading industry trade magazine.
Speaker 4: noted Omnicom has significantly strengthened its position in the world's fourth largest advertising market.
Speaker 4: Also in July we expanded our media services through the acquisition of Tomergan Media. Headquartered in London with several offices around the world, Tomergan is a specialist agency providing end-to-end media and marketing solutions to financial services brands.
Speaker 4: The agency's capability within the Omnicom Media Group will enable an unprecedented and singular depth of financial service industry and media planning and buying expertise.
Speaker 4: Overall, we're very pleased with our first half financial results and our progress in key strategic initiatives.
Speaker 4: While we remain optimistic for the second half of the year, we continue to plan cautiously given the number of uncertainties in the macroeconomic environment.
Speaker 4: I'll now turn the call over to Phil for a closer look at our financial results. Phil? Hi, Phil.
Speaker 3: Thanks John . As you just heard, we had a solid quarter and first half of the year and we were on track with our expectations for both revenue growth and operating margin.
Speaker 3: Let's now go into some more detail on our results.
Speaker 3: Starting with the summary income statement for the second quarter on slide 3.
Speaker 3: Starting with the summary income statement for the second quarter on slide 3, reported revenue increased by 1.5%.
Speaker 3: and by 3.4% organically. Reported operating income increased by 1.7%.
Speaker 5: operating margin was 15.3 percent.
Speaker 5: Reporting that income in Q2 increased by 5.1%.
Speaker 5: And our Q2 diluted earnings per share was up 8.3% on a reported basis.
Speaker 5: During the quarter, we recognized the gain of approximately $79 million on the disposition of our research businesses.
Speaker 5: which were included in our execution and support discipline.
Speaker 5: We also incurred repositioning costs of approximately $72.5 million related to severance.
Speaker 5: We have also included slide 9 in the deck, which summarizes our reported results alongside our non-GAAP adjusted results.
Speaker 5: which exclude the net impact of $6.5 million pre-tax.
Speaker 5: from these two items. We'll review that analysis in a few minutes. Let's now turn to revenues on slide 4.
Speaker 5: Organic growth in the second quarter was 3.4 percent.
Speaker 5: which brings our year-to-date organic growth rate to 4.3 percent.
Speaker 5: The impact from foreign currency translation only reduced reported revenue by 0.7%.
Speaker 5: compared to a reduction of over 3% in Q1 2023. And if rates stay where they are currently, we estimate the impact of foreign currency translation will be a benefit of approximately 1.5% for Q3 and Q4, and close to flat for the year.
Speaker 5: The impact of acquisition of disposition revenue was negative 1.5 percent.
Speaker 5: primarily reflecting the sale and Q2 of our research businesses. We expect a similar reduction of 1.5% for the balance of the year, although acquisitions we recently completed will moderate this somewhat.
Speaker 5: Now let's turn to slide 5 to review our organic revenue growth by discipline.
Speaker 5: During the second quarter advertising in media similar to Q1 of 23
Speaker 5: posted 5.1% growth driven by strength in our media business. Precision marketing grew 2.3%.
Speaker 5: Certainly clients, especially those in the tech and telecom industries, have become more cautious with their spending as reflected in our tech consulting and transformation agencies.
Speaker 5: This also reflects in part the business coming off a strong 21% growth comp last year.
Speaker 5: We expect our investments in generative AI will naturally benefit this discipline.
Speaker 5: and we expect growth in this discipline to accelerate in the future. Commerce and brand consulting grew by 2.4 percent, driven primarily by our branding and design consulting agencies.
Speaker 5: Experiential growth was 9.2%, driven by strong results in Europe and France in particular.
Speaker 5: as well as China for clients in the automotive and luxury categories.
Speaker 5: Execution and support revenue fell 3.8%, due primarily to declines in our merchandising and field marketing agencies.
Speaker 5: Public relations was flat in Q2, coming off a 16% growth comp last year.
Speaker 5: which reflected the benefit of some revenue from the US election cycle that wasn't present this year.
Speaker 5: Finally, healthcare performance was solid at 3%. And our outlook for this discipline remains very good over time.
Speaker 5: Turning to slide six, we once again grew organically in every region globally.
Speaker 5: Notably, there was strong growth in Asia Pacific, led by China, which had the benefit of easier comps due to lockdowns in Q2 of 2022.
Speaker 5: Looking at the revenue by industry sector on slide 7.
Speaker 5: Compared to the second quarter of 2022, we had higher relative weights in food and beverage, pharma and health, and automotive, offset by lower relative weights in technology and telecom.
Speaker 5: Other categories were relatively stable. Turning to slide 8, which is our operating expense detail, you can see a more granular view of our operating expense levels.
Speaker 5: Slide 16 in the appendix also shows these expenses on a constant dollar basis.
Speaker 5: Salad related service costs were again down as a percentage of revenues year over year.
Speaker 5: We saw reductions driven by some of our repositioning actions and through changes in our global employee mix.
Speaker 5: Third party service costs increased due to an increase in organic revenue.
Speaker 5: particularly in proprietary media and events. These costs include third-party supplier costs when we act as principal in providing services to our clients.
Speaker 5: They are an integral part of our service offering to our clients and we generate a profit on them. Third party incidental costs, which we began breaking out separately last quarter, decreased a bit compared to the prior year.
Speaker 5: These costs primarily consist of client related travel and incidental out-of-pocket costs that we bill back to clients directly at our cost at no profit. Occupancy and other costs were up slightly in dollar terms, but flat as a percentage of revenue.
Speaker 5: As discussed last quarter, we saw increased occupancy costs associated with higher levels of in-office work.
Speaker 5: offset by lower rent from the reductions in our real estate portfolio in the first quarter of 2023.
Speaker 5: SG&A expenses decreased in both dollar terms and as a percentage of revenue due primarily to lower professional fees.
Speaker 5: Now let's turn to slide 9. As I mentioned earlier, this is a clear presentation which summarizes our reported and non-GAAP-adjusted results for both the three and six months ended June 30.
Speaker 5: As a reminder, the non-GAAP-adjusted amounts in the second quarter of 2023 include a gain of approximately 79 million on the disposition of our research businesses.
Speaker 5: as well as repositioning costs of approximately $72.5 million related to severance.
Speaker 5: for a net impact of $6.5 million pre-tax.
Speaker 5: Operating income was up 1.7% on a reported basis.
Speaker 5: and up 50 basis points on a non-gap adjusted basis.
Speaker 5: The related operating income margins were 15.3% and 15.1% respectively.
Speaker 5: both of which were close to flat with the operating income margin of 15.2% from the second quarter of 2022.
Speaker 5: For the full year, we're comfortable with the expected range of our operating income margin of between 15 and 15.4 percent.
Speaker 5: Net interest expense was $27.4 million for the quarter.
Speaker 5: a reduction of $12.7 million primarily from higher levels of interest income compared to Q2 of 2022 given comparable higher short-term investing rates were in place in the second half of 2022.
Speaker 5: The second half of 2023, we expect that net interest expense will be flat to up slightly relative to the second half of 2022.
Speaker 5: Our reported income tax rate was 27%. The non-GAAP adjusted tax rate excluding the gain, the repositioning costs, and the related taxes was 26.3%.
Speaker 5: We still expect a rate of 27% for the balance of the year. Reporting net income in Q2 increased by 5.1%.
Speaker 5: and non-GAAP adjusted net income increased by 4.7%. Our diluted earnings per share was up 8.3% on a reported basis.
Speaker 5: and up 7.7% on a non-gap-adjusted basis. Year-to-date reported diluted EPS is up 16.3% and up 9.4% on a non-gap-adjusted basis.
Speaker 5: This diluted EPS growth was also driven by lower shares outstanding, resulting from sharer purchases.
Speaker 5: Slide 10 shows our cash flow performance so far this year. We define free cash flow as net cash provided by operating activities.
Speaker 5: excluding changes in operating capital.
Speaker 5: which historically we expect to be neutral for the year.
Speaker 5: Pre-cash flow for the second quarter of 2023 was $880 million, an increase of 14.7% from last year.
Speaker 5: Regarding our uses of cash, we use $285 million of cash to pay dividends to common shareholders.
Speaker 5: and another $32 million for dividends to non-controlling integer shareholders.
Speaker 5: Our capital expenditures were $40 million. Acquisition payments were $55 million, excluding net proceeds from dispositions of approximately $180 million.
Speaker 5: Our stock of purchase activity, net of proceeds from stock plans, continued in the second quarter bringing our year date amount to $506 million.
Speaker 5: Slide 11 is a summary of our credit, liquidity, and debt maturities. At the end of the second quarter of 2023, the book value of our outstanding debt was $5.6 billion.
Speaker 5: There were no changes in outstanding balances during the quarter other than foreign exchange translations. Our $2.5 billion dollar revolving credit facility.
Speaker 5: which backstops our $2 billion US commercial paper program, remains undrawn, and our cash equivalents and short-term investments.
Speaker 5: or $2.8 billion. Our next debt maturity is not until November of 2024.
Speaker 5: Slide 12 presents our historical returns on two key metrics for the 12 months ended June 30, 2023.
Speaker 5: We generated a return on invested capital of 22%.
Speaker 5: and a return on equity of 46%. These metrics are a strong reflection of the strength of our business on our conservative capital structure. Slide 13 is a summary of all our recent Technology Partnership announcements.
Speaker 5: As a reminder, our historical development of Omni, our current investments in technology and services
Speaker 5: that prepare our business for the future are largely reflected in our operating income.
Speaker 5: We expect to continue to grow our revenues, improve our operations, return cash to shareholders through dividends and share of purchases.
Speaker 5: We expect to continue to grow our revenues, improve our operations, return cash to shareholders through dividends and share of purchases, while we manage with the current economic environment.
Speaker 5: And as John discussed...
Speaker 5: continue to prepare for a dynamic future.
Speaker 5: Operator, please open the lines up for questions and answers.
Speaker 5: please open the lines up for questions and answers. Thank you.
Speaker 6: Thank you. And if you wish to ask a question, please press 1 then 0 on your telephone keypad. You may withdraw your question at any time by repeating the 1-0 command. Using the speakerphone, please pick up the handset before pressing the numbers.
Speaker 6: We'll start with...
Speaker 6: Michael Nathanson with Moffitt Nathanson. Please go ahead. Thanks. Thanks, good afternoon. One for John and one for Phil.
Speaker 6: John , as you noted in your opening comments, Omnicon has always had a really strong position in the creative side of the business, especially with your global networks. I wonder, do you think that generative AI lowers that structural advantage or brings new engines into this industry? I know you feel it's a positive outcome, but we're worried about competition or…
Speaker 6: Just people breaking off and doing it on their own. And Phil, any help on the repositioning charge? What is that related to? Is this the end of it for the year? And what type of benefit do we see in the margins from these actions?
Speaker 4: Thanks. Technology will impact every aspect of our business, I believe.
Speaker 4: when you stay focused on
Speaker 4: the best and the brightest and
Speaker 4: used to call them creators and now call them knowledge workers. They're always going to be
Speaker 4: what differentiates
Speaker 4: companies like ours from everyone else.
Speaker 4: I don't think that
Speaker 4: I don't think that the technology is simply
Speaker 4: there to
Speaker 4: make it simpler and faster to gain insights from which great creative ideas will be generated.
Speaker 4: So, will it have an impact? Yes, of course, over a period of time.
Speaker 4: But it won't reduce the importance of creativity to...
Speaker 4: the IP of Omnicom.
Speaker 5: As far as the second question, Michael, I'm not sure if you can hear me, but I'm not sure if you can hear me.
Speaker 5: related to severance actions that we took.
Speaker 5: to get our cost structure in line with our revenue expectations for the year.
Speaker 5: pretty pretty aggressive in trying to make sure that
Speaker 5: we made the appropriate changes that we thought we needed to make. Some of it was a swap out of skills and some of it was realignment of the cost structures to be more conservative in the forecast for the balance of the year. We don't expect
Speaker 5: the level that we experience in Q1 and Q2 as far as repositioning in the second half. But Roe is going to continue to look at the business.
Speaker 5: Balance the cost base with revenue expectations as those change. Could that change in the second half? Not likely, but...
Speaker 5: We're always going to be looking at the cost base pretty aggressively, especially in the uncertain times we're in right now. As far as margins go, our expectations are still where they were at the beginning of the year. We expect to be within the range of 15 to 15.4 that we talked about.
Speaker 5: Back in February we don't have any reason to change that as far as the full year margins go
Speaker 5: So, we're, we're still expecting that we're making quite a few investments as. As came through on the prepared remarks. With respect to Jen and others, and as, you know. For us, most of those investments run to the P now. As opposed through as opposed to through large acquisitions. So.
Speaker 5: our expectations haven't changed as far as margins for the year.
Speaker 6: Thanks Phil, thanks John . Next we'll go to the line of David Karnovsky with JP Morgan. Please go ahead. ThanksProfessor.
Speaker 6: Thanks. John , I wanted to see if you could just give any additional context around the organic guide. I think it may you frame the discomfort with 3% and 5% of scratch.
Speaker 6: Would you now sort of put it similarly with, you know, sort of three and a half as a point of comfort and five still as the stretch?
Speaker 6: to put it similarly with, you know, sort of three and a half as a point of comfort and five still as the stretch? Yes, I would.
Speaker 4: I couldn't answer it any better than you asked it. Based upon known uncertainties out there and those of you who have been following us for a long time, there's always
Speaker 4: budget flush and projects in the fourth quarter which are not our focus at the moment but will increasingly become focus.
Speaker 4: as we get into and out of the summer.
Speaker 4: and just as a bit of color
Speaker 4: I think in the last 22 years
Speaker 4: I think I can only recall two years where that project revenue didn't come through, but there were... One other thing is, in order to pull money from corporation to corporation,
Speaker 4: the years that that occurred were when there was economic uncertainty to the level that Is potentially there for the balance of this year?
Speaker 6: Okay, and then I think a couple months back you mentioned some clients pausing but not necessarily cutting their digital transformation work maybe as a reaction to Gen AI. I wanted to see if you could just update on that and how clients are approaching some of these larger projects. So, good luck.
Speaker 6: Okay and then I think a couple months back you mentioned some clients pausing but not necessarily cutting their digital transformation work maybe as a reaction to Gen AI. I wanted to see if you could just update on that and how clients are approaching some of these larger projects. Yeah I mean you know I think
Speaker 4: If you look at, I think, a chart, it's probably number seven, which outlines and compares revenue by industry. I think Phil mentioned this in his comments, where we saw the biggest pause.
Speaker 4: was really in our tech sector and in our telecommunications sector.
Speaker 4: We didn't lose any clients in those areas, but they threw some pretty severe restructions of their own during the first half and they were conservative about most of our costs.
Speaker 4: I have to make a general statement. Since the beginning of the year, CEO's
Speaker 4: to make a general statement, since the beginning of the year, CEOs have been
Speaker 4: looking for flexibility. They haven't, they're not walking away from their commitments, and PepsiCo even mentioned earlier today in its conference call that it was increasing its spending.
Speaker 4: So, I believe we're in a very good place, a sound place, but as certain clients suffer, we'll go along for a bit of the ride. But we haven't lost anything. We've been winning business, so that helps us as well.
Speaker 4: I believe we're in a very good place, a sound place, but as certain clients suffer, we'll go along for a bit of the ride. But we haven't lost anything. We've been winning business, so that helps us as well. Thank you.
Speaker 6: Next we'll go to the line of Ben Swinberg with Morgan Stanley . Please go ahead. Thanks. Good afternoon. John , if you guys are successful with AI, what would we see in your reported results over the longer term on maybe a three to five year basis? Is this an end? Yeah. I guess so.
Speaker 7: I was going to say, all of the above.
Speaker 4: Certainly productivity.
Speaker 4: Certainly productivity for sure. Because ever since I turned 17.
Speaker 4: naturally it will make the gathering of data and the refinement of data which
Speaker 4: leads to better insights in a much more rapid, labor less intensive way.
Speaker 4: leads to better insights in a much more rapid, labor less intensive way.
Speaker 7: in terms of our growth
Speaker 7: of growth, I believe that
Speaker 4: In the last several years, increasingly we're able to prove to the client the ROI of a dollar spent.
Speaker 4: several years, increasingly we're able to prove to the client the ROI of a dollar spent. And so......
Speaker 4: as a result of that productivity and with the complexity that will come with all the questions which all surround.
Speaker 4: how we use generative AI in various markets given different laws and different regulations.
Speaker 7: Our ability to navigate that
Speaker 7: to navigate that
Speaker 4: those issues, increased efficiency and effectiveness, and improvements in our ability to measure the benefit of a dollar spent. isolation
Speaker 7: I believe will lead to increased organic growth over
Speaker 6: the near and long term. That's helpful. And then if I could just ask you guys a follow up.
Speaker 6: That's helpful. And then if I could just ask you guys a follow up.
Speaker 6: You talked about a pause in spending particularly in tech and telecom and I think we're all probably a little bit surprised to see the precision marketing number this quarter, but advertising and media your biggest, you know revenue source, you know is one of your fastest growing. I guess I'm just curious like why do you think clients continue to spend there and are pulling back in areas that I don't know I would have thought maybe
Speaker 6: some of this business transformation stuff would have been more sticky than on the advertising side. I don't know if maybe there's more nuance there, but just we'd love your thoughts on the continued strength in media versus the softness we're seeing in some of the other areas we thought of as growth areas or think of as growth areas.
Speaker 4: I might address that in the reverse of how you...
Speaker 4: Sure. Pause it. First, in terms of precision marketing, we expect it to continue to grow. It is a core, long-term part of our business. It is a core, long-term part of our business.
Speaker 4: to pause it first in terms of precision marketing we expect it to continue to grow it is a core long-term part of our business and what you saw
Speaker 4: What really happened in the first part of the year is that
Speaker 4: you take a Facebook which cut 20,000 jobs. So if you're the CEO of that company cutting 20,000 jobs, you can't let everything else go on.
Speaker 8: in a normal sense, plus...
Speaker 4: And I'm not picking on Facebook. I'm just using it as an example or proxy for the rest of the industry
Speaker 4: And I'm not picking on Facebook, I'm just using it as an example or proxy for the rest of the industry.
Speaker 4: As you do that, you disrupt your own company for a very short period of time. They've been able to recover pretty quickly. Well, as you do that, the people who have been working on certain projects, pause, change, may have different bosses, and there might be a pause and a reevaluation. What's key is not that, because
Speaker 4: We're a service company, so we'll succeed with our clients and we'll suffer with our clients.
Speaker 4: The beauty of Omnicom is its depth, its climate base, and the geographic base in which we operate
Speaker 4: but we can't expect everything to remain constant for us as companies go through
Speaker 4: whatever level of reorganization they have to go through.
Speaker 4: whatever level of reorganization they have to go through.
Speaker 4: reorganization they have to go through.
Speaker 4: That's really that. The media wins and media, you know, in the back of last year, if you take 2022, our media group
Speaker 4: one more new business than the rest of the industry.
Speaker 4: That winning streak continues. We only bat 800. We don't bat 1,000. So that's why you see the continued strength in that area.
Speaker 4: Great, thank you. Next to the go-to line is Stephen Cahall with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead. Thank you. Maybe first, just, John , on the slowdown in US Organic, I think it was kind of mid-2s in the second quarter. It was about 5 in the first quarter.
Speaker 9: Is that kind of entirely attributable to that weakness that you called out in Tech and Telecom since you suggested that you didn't really have any meaningful account losses? Or is there anything else going on in the US market that we should be attuned to that might kind of lead into the way we look out for the back half of the year?
Speaker 9: And then Phil, I just wanted to be really clear on the margin guide, the 15.1 to 15.4. I think on the last call you ended by saying that you were comfortable at the top end of the range. You did say that now you're going to have some generative AI investments this year, so I wanted to see if it's still realistic that you'd be at the top end of that range closer to 15.4.
Speaker 9: and should we exclude some of the repositioning charges from that guidance? Thank you. Okay, probably one of the things...
Speaker 4: It's hard to project or to forecast.
Speaker 4: It's hard to project or to forecast, but...
Speaker 4: in the area in the US in events and and Entertainment type of events we had a reduction in the quarter of that that sector of 9.1% so Even though I pointed to those two areas
Speaker 4: It's because it's very evident when you look at our presentation materials, but I would never say always, only, or never. That's just one of the areas which dragged our growth down a little bit in the US. More growth.
Speaker 5: outside the US and events overall down a little bit in the US specifically
Speaker 5: Right, so which had an impact and then on top of that the precision marketing production certainly was impacted by
Speaker 5: the tech and telecom clients that had dialed back some spending in that area.
Speaker 5: Let me just address the margin comment. I think overall in terms of our outlook for the year, nothing's really changed. I think
Speaker 5: Let me just address the margin comment. I think overall in terms of our outlook for the year, nothing's really changed.
Speaker 5: You know we've always been conservative about those projections And certainly we're always trying to find the right balance in terms of the appropriate sustainable growth Making the investments we need to make.
Speaker 5: to support that long-term sustainable growth and find the right balance for the margins to deliver to shareholders. So those are all part of the equation. I don't think our our overall expectations for the year from a margin perspective have changed.
Speaker 5: But we're certainly not going to get ahead of ourselves Halfway through the year when when there's still some uncertainty around the second half out there
Speaker 5: to get ahead of ourselves halfway through the year when there's still some uncertainty around the second half out there. Great. Thank you.
Speaker 9: Sure. And next we'll go to the line of Tim Nolan with Macquarie. Please go ahead. Thanks. I'd like to come back to the generative AI topic, please. On your slide 13, and John you ran through a number of these names, it's practically a who's who.
Speaker 9: of big tech companies that you're partnering with. I wonder if you could fill us in a little bit more on what it is about the Omni platform that makes it attractive to these kinds of companies. And it looks like these are largely creative efforts. I wonder if you could speak if there's other.
Speaker 9: components in terms of media planning and buying functionality as part of these. Thanks. Sure. There's slightly different reasons associated with each one of these partnerships, but a central theme......
Speaker 4: is we do have the Omni platform, which does service and we have it deployed to over 50,000 people around the world. So that makes us attractive. Our open architecture is key.
Speaker 4: to why I think we were
Speaker 4: considered and given the opportunities we were given with these companies because connecting to them enhancing and how their products will be utilized being flexible
Speaker 4: across a large number of clients using different types of systems or different applications.
that open architecture means that
We're not protecting a base and then trying to ingest something brand new.
We were established from the very, very start to operate in an environment that we couldn't predict what was going to change or what was going to come, but we wanted to build in the flexibility in the architecture that we developed.
so that whatever came along, it would be very simple to discard what was no longer useful and to incorporate what was going to be meaningful.
So, I think those are the key items that put us to the front of the queue with many of these companies. So, I think that's the key item that put us to the front of the queue with many of these
fully expect that as they get further along down the road with their their products that they're going to open their apertures up to
Others in the industry that that won't come as a surprise but
But the platform, that omni platform, I know you hear us talking about it a lot, but
I can't explain enough the value of the open architecture and the fact that we have complete flexibility.
I can't explain enough the value of the open architecture and the fact that we have complete flexibility and
as the primary reason. Also, these tech companies know that we take very seriously.
the primary reason. Also these tech companies know that we take very seriously
transparency and we look to be a leader in privacy, which are all concerns of these organizations as their products may be questioned by legislation and governments..
You see it in threats that people are perceiving.
to employment in certain industries. The fact that we've been hypersensitive to that and always have been hypersensitive to that also makes us an attractive partner to do business with.
Great. And in terms of the functions you'll be performing with them, again, a lot of them seem like, you know, efforts to improve creativity. Could you talk a little bit more about, like, the clean room technologies or the, you know, some of the delivery data that you're speaking about in the slide here, but more on what beyond using generative AI for creative functions?
client's first party data and then enrich it with the second party and third party data we have.
That data remains the data of our clients. We don't take and reuse or resell that data. It is exclusively theirs.
And that's in effect what we're doing in the clean rooms. Um, simplification, but.
That's in effect what we're doing in the clean rooms, simplification, but that's what we're doing and
Clients, the more sophisticated clients, are increasingly attracted to the
Clients, the more sophisticated clients, are increasingly attracted to that guarantee.
That's also a terribly important element of why we're considered. There's even a major supplier here, or a partner. And we're not Linden when we're in the middle of COVID.
And so that's also a terribly important element of why we're considered. And there's even a major supplier here or a partner that hadn't opened up.
to open up their clean rooms to anyone, but to us and
to open up their clean rooms to anyone, but to us, and as a result of this partnership.
we pointed that out again to them, but at a very high level and We're now We we're now doing clean rooms with them But it's even though it it seems like it's well it is focused on creativity
out again to them, but at a very high level, and we're now doing clean rooms with them. But even though it seems like it is focused on creativity or creative products, but...
really driving efficiencies. And we'll be creating APIs for CRM, for Commerce, for PR across the board.
John Curies, can you talk a little bit further about the tone of business out there, the tone of the client conversation that you're having? And what are the key things that you're doing to help you get to the point where you're not just going to be a part of the business, but you're going to be a part of the business that you're having?
clients wanting to create flexibility.
That doesn't mean that they want to cut back at all on their spend, but they want to have the flexibility to react so they're not committing
and preserved their rights to enter into the scatter markets as we get later into the year. It's not an election year, so they know that inventory will probably be available, but I'm in over my head.
with that last statement because I have experts who can speak much more eloquently about that than I can. But it's that preservation of...
flexibility that
that has been a constant theme throughout the year.
that has been a constant theme throughout the year. You know, COVID...
All the negative impacts of COVID, for most sophisticated large companies, was a pretty easy time because there was a lot of governmental support throughout the world, so people could make commitments.
With that gone, as it should be, people have had to adjust their businesses.
in various ways depending on the industry that you're in and and the consumer is Dem still has money to spend but you see changes in behavior. You see the travel industry Going through the roof because everybody Probably was locked up for
three years and you see conservatism and maybe some other spending. So we watch that as every one of our clients do and we look to see what our clients are doing.
as signals about how we should adjust our own portfolio and services. Then my follow-up question, John , just touch on wins and losses out there for Omicom in the first half of the year and just what is your characterization of the amount of accounts that are up for review that you want to talk about in the first half of the year? Is it slower than normal? Is it above average?
Is it about the same as you've seen historically? What's sort of going on out there, your view? Because the trade press clearly is not picking up as much as they used to. No, they're not, because the world is a lot more complex. And many of the reviews that go on are closer reviews.
We've been fortunate in that we continue to bat, I think, above.
We've been fortunate in that we continue to bat, I think, above average.
That's a standard that's expected here. We've had very, very few losses and we've had quite a number of gains.
We've had very, very few losses and we've had quite a number of gains.
especially in the area of media that continues. PR, the if you see slowness year over year is principally because a section of our business
dedicated to elections and to government activity and so that that happens every cycle so just continues this year but we continue to win business as we sit here today. CRM remains strong even though we may suffer with a client or two as that client suffers.
government activity and so that that happens every cycle so just continues this year but we continue to win business as we sit here today. CRM remains strong even though we may suffer with a client or two as that client suffers but
Now, in terms of looking out and forward for the balance of the year, there are a number of pitches which are pretty enticing and exciting for us, and we're hoping to be successful in all but a very few number of cases. They're offensive for Omnicom. They're not defensive. You'll see details about where all how and what happened with that in a little over a
So we're very secure in our base of revenue and what we can expect. And we'll invest whatever new business.
funds we have to invest in to try to continue to outpace others in terms of our ability to win.
And John , if I could just sneak in one more about the two ongoing strikes in Hollywood. If this drags on for a number of more months here and stuff, and people start to look at what their ad budgets for traditional television, etc., some streaming stuff is up with the change in the content not being as good as before.
Can you make a case that could actually be a positive for Omnicom in your industry? It adds to further complexity and your customers would need, say, more hand-holding for Omnicom to figure out what to do in that sort of environment, sort of unknowable and stuff.
How do you view that? I kind of view it that I hope this ends more quickly than it's being predicted to end.
How do you view that? You know, I'm Kind of view it that I hope this ends more quickly than it's being predicted to end But we remain
completely agnostic to any form of media and
With the technology and the database and the collection of information that we have married with clients first party data we're able to
create other ways to attract audiences if one road closes down even temporarily.
we know how to go down the other road.
We know how to go down the other road. I hope that answers your question.
Okay great, thank you John , that's helpful, thank you. And next we'll go to the line of Jason Bazinay with Citi, please go ahead.
There's so much hype out there about generative AI. I'd just like to ask a basic sort of calibration question. Let's say five years from now, what percent of your revenues do you think would be using generative AI?
type out there about generative AI, I'd just like to ask a basic sort of calibration question. Let's say five years from now, what percent of your revenues do you think would be using generative AI? Roughly.
I think the last guy to do five-year plans was Akita Khrushchev.
I think the last guy to do five-year plans was Akita Khrushchev. Okay.
You know, we're responding with AI as if our head were on fire.
We're responding with AI as if our head were on fire, but...
Companies are complex and change at various paces, not always at the cutting edge of the
what's available to them. visual transformation
which started in the mid 90s, is still going on to a lesser extent than maybe it was.
It's still going on to a lesser extent than maybe it was.
So, I wouldn't, I haven't even given a thought about how to answer your question. Because if you Michelle, if you, if you're acting…
that we want to be leaders in this area. We want to be in the unique position to offer to clients and potential clients the best possible way to do that. And that is to make sure that we are not just a community organization, but that we are a community organization.
the best technology, the best tools that can be offered in the marketplace at any given time.
technology, the best tools that can be offered in the marketplace at any given time. We know that.
If we're providing a premium service, we can expect to be paid fairly for that.
providing a premium service, we can expect to be paid fairly for that.
That's about as much as my five-year plan says. But I do. Okay. Thank you. I don't spend a second worrying about the past. I only spend time worrying about the present and the future, but not quite that far out. Okay. Thank you. I can probably give you a pretty good guess of the second quarter of next year, but I won't. Very good. Thank you. Okay.
much as my five-year plan says. But I do. I don't spend a second worrying about the past. I only spend time worrying about the present and the future, but not quite that far out. I can probably give you a pretty good guess of the second quarter of next year, but I won't. Very good. Thank you.
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