Q1 2024 Rush Enterprises Inc Earnings Call

Operator: Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Rush Enterprise's first quarter 2024 earnings results call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1-1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising that your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 1-1 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Rusty Rush, Chairman, CEO, and President. Please go ahead.

Good day and thank you for standing by welcome to the Rush Enterprises first quarter 2024 results call. At this time all participants are in listen only mode.

Operator: Good day. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Rush Enterprises Q1 2024 Earnings Results Call. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Rusty Rush, Chairman, CEO, and President. Please go ahead.

After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session.

Ask a question during this session you will need to press star, one one or telephone.

Then here an automated message advising your hand is race to withdraw your question. Please press star one again please.

Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded I would now.

Like to hand, the conference over to your first speaker today, Rusty Rush Chairman CEO and President. Please go ahead.

Rusty Rush: Good morning, and welcome to our first quarter 2024 earnings release call. On the call are Mike McRoberts, Chief Operating Officer; Steve Keller, Chief Financial Officer; Jay Hazelwood, Vice President and Controller; and Michael Goldstone, Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary. Now, Steve will say a few words regarding forward-looking statements.

Rusty Rush: Good morning, and welcome to our first quarter 'twenty earnings release call on the call are Mike Mcroberts, Chief Operating Officer, Steve Keller, Chief Financial Officer, Jay Hazelwood, Vice President Controller, and Michael Goldstone Senior Vice.

Rusty Rush: Good morning, and welcome to our Q1 2024 Earnings Release Call. On the call are Mike McRoberts, Chief Operating Officer, Steven Keller, Chief Financial Officer, Jay Hazelwood, Vice President and Controller, and Michael Goldstone, Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary. Now, Steve will say a few words regarding forward-looking statements.

Rusty Rush: As President and General Counsel and corporate segment now.

Steve Keller: Now Steve will say a few words regarding forward looking statements.

Steven Keller: Certain statements we will make today are considered forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Because these statements include risk and uncertainties, our actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, those discussed in our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended 31 December 2023, and in our other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Steve Keller: Certain statements we will make today are considered forward-looking statements, as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Because these statements include risk and uncertainties, our actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, those discussed in our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ending December 31, 2023, and in our other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Steve Keller: Certain statements we will make today are considered forward looking statements as defined in the private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

Steve Keller: These statements include risks and uncertainties, our actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward looking statements important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward. Looking statements include but are not limited to those discussed in our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31 2000.

Steve Keller: 23, and in our other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Rusty Rush: As indicated in our news release, we achieved first quarter revenues of $1.9 billion and net income of $71.6 million, or $0.88 per diluted share. We are proud to declare a cash dividend of $0.17 per common share.

Rusty Rush: As indicated in our news release, we achieved Q1 revenues of $1.9 billion and net income of $71.6 million, or $0.88 per diluted share. We are proud to declare a cash dividend of $0.17 per common share. Class 8 new truck production has caught up with market demand, that, along with other economic factors, led to a decline in our Class 8 new truck sales in Q1. The freight recession and elevated interest rates are negatively impacting over-the-road customers, both small carriers and large fleets. We are pleased to significantly outpace the industry in Class 4 through 7 truck sales, we achieved year-over-year growth in used truck sales, which were the bright spots in a challenging quarter. In the aftermarket, our parts, service, and body shop revenues were $649.2 million, flat compared to Q1 of 2023, our absorption ratio was 130.1%.

Steve Keller: As indicated in our news release, we achieved first quarter revenues of $1 9 billion and net income was $71 6 million or 88 cents per diluted share were <unk>.

Steve Keller: Route to declare a cash dividend of <unk> 17 per common share.

Rusty Rush: Class 8 neutral production has caught up with market demand, and that, along with other economic factors, led to a decline in our Class 8 neutral sales in the first quarter. The freight recession and elevated interest rates are negatively impacting over-the-road customers, both small carriers and large fleets. However, we are pleased to significantly outpace the industry in class four through seven truck sales.

Steve Keller: Class eight neutral production.

Steve Keller: As caught up with market demand and that along with other economic factors led to a decline in our class eight new truck sales in the first quarter the.

Steve Keller: The freight recession and elevated interest rates are negatively impacting over the road customers, both small carriers and large fleets. We are pleased to significantly outpace the industry and class four seven truck sales and we achieved year over year growth in used truck sales.

Rusty Rush: And we achieved year-over-year growth in used truck sales, which were the bright spots in a challenging course, and the aftermarket. Our parts, service, and body shop revenues were $649.2 million, flat compared to the first quarter of 2020, and our absorption ratio was 130.1%. Our results were consistent with the industry, which is experiencing slowing aftermarket demand driven by a depressed freight market. We did, however, see some healthy aftermarket demand from the public sector, refuse, and medium-duty leasing customers.

Steve Keller: Bright spots in a challenging quarter.

Steve Keller: In the aftermarket our parts service and body shop revenues were $649 2 million flat compared to the first quarter of 2023, and our absorption ratio was 131%.

Rusty Rush: Our results were consistent with the industry, which is experiencing slowing aftermarket demand driven by a depressed freight market. We did, however, see some healthy aftermarket demand from the public sector, refuse, and medium-duty leasing customers. That, along with our commitment to support large national fleets and diversifying our customer base, helped us to somewhat offset the challenging industry conditions we faced in Q1. As we look forward, we believe aftermarket demand in Q2 will be fairly consistent with Q1, though we expect some seasonal uptick as we enter the summer months. We anticipate the current freight recession will continue to impact aftermarket demand, but we remain committed to executing on our strategic aftermarket initiatives. We believe that our Q2 aftermarket performance will align with our Q1 results.

Steve Keller: Our results were consistent with the industry, which is experiencing slowing aftermarket demand driven by the depressed freight market. We did however, see some healthy aftermarket demand from the public sector refuse and medium duty leasing customers that along with our commitment to support large rash looking at leads and diversifying our customer base.

Rusty Rush: That, along with our commitment to support large national leads and diversifying our customer base, helps us to somewhat offset the challenging industry conditions we faced in the first quarter. As we look forward, we believe after market abandonment in the second quarter, we'll be fairly consistent with the first quarter, though we expect some seasonal uptick as we enter the summer months. We anticipate the current freight recession will continue to impact aftermarket demand, but we remain committed to executing on our strategic aftermarket initiative. We believe that our second quarter aftermarket performance will align with our first quarter results.

Steve Keller: Helping us to somewhat offset the challenging industry conditions, we faced in the first quarter.

Steve Keller: As we look forward, we believe after market demand in the second quarter will be fairly consistent with the first quarter.

Steve Keller: Though we expect some seasonal uptick as we entered the summer months.

Steve Keller: Anticipate the current freight recession will continue to impact aftermarket demand, but we remain committed to executing on our strategic aftermarket initiatives.

Steve Keller: We believe that our second quarter aftermarket performance will align with our first quarter results.

Rusty Rush: Turning to new truck sales, we sold 3,494 Class 8 trucks, accounting for 6% of the total US Class 8 market and 1.4% of the Canadian market. As expected, economic pressures such as high interest rates and low freight volumes, along with production levels of new Class 8 trucks catching up with pent-up demand, led to a 13% decline in US retail sales in Q1. While most of the decline in Class 8 truck sales was attributable to the over-the-road carriers, it is worth noting that we experienced healthy demand from vocational customers, and we expect this to be a good year for vocational truck sales. ACT Research forecasts US Class 8 retail sales to be 228,000 units in 2024, down 16% compared to 2023.

Rusty Rush: Turning to new truck sales, we sold 3,494 Class 8 trucks, accounting for 6% of the total U.S. Class 8 market and 1.4% of the Canadian market. As expected, economic pressures, such as high interest rates and low freight volumes, along with production levels of new Class 8 trucks catching up with pent-up demand, led to a 13 percent decline in U.S. retail sales in the first quarter. While most of the decline in Class A truck sales was attributable to the over-the-road carriers, it is worth noting that we experienced healthy demand from vocational customers, and we expect this to be a good year for vocational truck sales. ACT Research forecasts U.S. Class VIII retail sales to be 228,000 units in 2021, down 16% compared to 2023.

Turning to new truck sales, we sold 3400 94 class a trucks accounting for 6% with total U S class eight market and one 4%.

Steve Keller: Ryan market as.

Steve Keller: As expected economic pressures, such as high interest rates and low freight volumes.

Steve Keller: Along with production levels of new class eight trucks catching up with pent up demand led to a 13% decline in U S retail sales in the first quarter.

Steve Keller: Most of the decline in class eight truck sales was attributable to the over the road carriers. It is worth noting that we experienced healthy demand from vocational customers and we expect this to be a good year vocational truck sale.

Steve Keller: ACD research forecast U S class eight retail sales with 228000 units in 2020.

Down 16% compared to July 23.

Rusty Rush: Due to the timing of deliveries of certain to certain of our large customers and due to our diverse customer base that includes strong support and vocational markets, we believe our second quarter truck sales will improve compared to the first quarter. However, we expect the current freight recession to continue, causing class A truck sales to decrease in the second half of 2024 compared to the first half of 2021. That said, there is plenty of time for us to sell trucks into the second half of the year, and our sales teams are well positioned to take advantage of every opportunity possible to help us navigate these difficult market conditions.

Rusty Rush: Due to the timing of deliveries to certain of our large customers and due to our diverse customer base that includes strong support of vocational markets, we believe our Q2 truck sales will improve compared to Q1. However, we expect the current freight recession to continue, causing Class 8 truck sales to decrease in H2 2024 compared to H1 2024. That said, there is plenty of time for us to sell trucks into H2 of the year, and our sales teams are well-positioned to take advantage of every opportunity possible to help us navigate through these difficult market conditions. Our Class 4 through 7 new truck sales reached 3,331 units in Q1, or 5.4% of the US market and 2.7% of the Canadian market.

Steve Keller: Due to the timing of deliveries of certain to certain of our large customers and due to our diverse customer base that includes strong support vocational markets. We believe our second quarter truck sales will improve compared to the first quarter. However, we expect the current freight recession to good day, causing class eight truck sales to decrease in the second half of 2024.

Steve Keller: Compared to the first half of 'twenty with.

That said there is plenty of time for us to sell trucks into the second half of the year and our sales teams are well positioned to take advantage of every opportunity possible to help us navigate through these difficult market conditions.

Rusty Rush: Our Class 4-7 new truck sales reached 3,331 units in the first quarter, or 5.4% of the U.S. market and 2.7% of the Canadian market. New and medium duty truck supply is less constrained than it has been recently. And lead times have decreased. Though deliveries continue to be somewhat delayed by issues with the body, with steady widespread demand from our customer base and our focus on supporting large national accounts. We are proud of our Class Strong, Class 427 results this quarter.

Steve Keller: Our class four through seven new truck sales reached 3300 31 units in the first quarter or five 4% of the U S market and two 7% of the Canada Canadian market.

Rusty Rush: New and medium-duty truck supply is less constrained than it has been recently, and lead times have decreased, though deliveries continue to be somewhat delayed by issues with body manufacturers. With steady, widespread demand from our customer base and our focus on supporting large national accounts, we are proud of our strong Class 4 through 7 results this quarter. ACT Research forecast US Class 4 through 7 retail sales to be 262,000 units in 2024, up 3.7% from 2023. As we look ahead, we will continue to monitor concerns regarding consumer spending and high interest rates, and their potential impact on Class 4 through 7 demand. Currently, we believe Class 4 through 7 commercial vehicle sales will improve in Q2 compared to Q1 and remain strong for the remainder of the year.

Steve Keller: <unk> and medium duty truck supply is less constrained than it has been recently and lead times have decreased low deliveries deliveries continue to be somewhat delayed by issues with body manufacturers with steady widespread demand from our customer base and our focus on supporting large national accounts. We are proud of our class strong class four through seven.

Steve Keller: Our results this quarter.

Rusty Rush: ACT Research forecasts U.S. Class 4-7 retail sales to be 262,000 units in 2024, up 3.7% from 2023. As we look ahead, we will continue to monitor concerns regarding customer spending and high interest rates and their potential impact on Class 4-7 demand. Currently, we believe Class 4-7 commercial vehicle sales will improve in the second quarter compared to the first quarter and remain strong for the remainder of the year. Our used truck sales reached 1,818 units in the first quarter, up 8% compared to 2023.

Steve Keller: Research forecasts U S class four through to retail sales to be 262000 units in 2024.

Steve Keller: Three 7% from 2023.

Steve Keller: As we look ahead, we will continue to monitor concerns regarding customer consumer spending and high interest rates and their potential impact on class four through seven demand.

Steve Keller: Currently we believe class four through seven commercial vehicle sales will improve in the second quarter compared to the first quarter and remains strong for the remainder of the year.

Rusty Rush: Our used truck sales reached 1,818 units in Q1, up 8% compared to 2023. We continue to experience weak demand and depressed values for used trucks, largely due to low freight volumes and high interest rates. Even with those difficult conditions, great execution on our used truck inventory and sales strategy allow us to achieve strong results in Q1. As we look forward, the rate of decline in used truck values is slowing, but we believe it may continue to decline somewhat. With our strategically diverse product mix, we expect our Q2 used truck sales to be similar to our Q1 results. Looking ahead, we're closely monitoring economic issues and the current freight recession impacting over-the-road carriers, which we expect will continue for at least the next several months.

Steve Keller: Our used truck sales reached 1800 18 units in the first quarter up 8% compared to 2023, we continue to experience weak demand and depressed values for used trucks, largely due to lower freight volumes and high interest rates.

Rusty Rush: We continue to experience weak demand and depressed values for used trucks, largely due to low freight volumes and a high... even with those difficult conditions. Great execution on our used truck inventory and sales strategy allowed us to achieve strong results in the first quarter. As we look forward, the rate of decline in used truck values is slowing, but we believe it may continue to decline somewhat. But with our strategically diverse product mix, we expect our second-quarter used truck sales to be similar to our first quarter.

Steve Keller: Even with those difficult conditions, great execution on our used truck inventory and sales strategy allowed us to achieve strong results in the first quarter.

Steve Keller: As we look forward the rate of decline in used truck values are slowly, but we believe we may continue to decline somewhat.

Steve Keller: But with our strategically diverse product mix, we expect our second quarter used truck sales to be similar to our first quarter results.

Rusty Rush: Looking ahead, we're closely monitoring economic issues and the current freight recession impacting on the road curves, which we expect will continue for at least the next several months. We believe that the second half of the year will be tough with respect to new Class A truck sales. But we also believe that demand should remain solid for new Class 4 through 7 commercials when it comes to the aftermarket. Challenging operating conditions will likely continue, but we should experience some seasonal lift in the warmer months. To help offset the challenges facing our industry, we are taking action to reduce expenses throughout our organization. With these experience management measures, along with our diverse customers, and our focus on supporting large national fleets, we are confident that we can successfully navigate this difficult market cycle through the second quarter and the remainder of 2024.

Steve Keller: Looking ahead, we are closely monitoring economic issues and the current freight recession impacting over the road carriers, which we expect will continue for at least the next several months.

Rusty Rush: We believe that the H2 of the year will be tough with respect to new Class A truck sales. We also believe that demand should remain solid for new Class 4 through 7 commercial vehicles. When it comes to the aftermarket, challenging operating conditions will likely continue, but we should experience some seasonal lift in the warmer months. To help offset the challenges facing our industry, we are taking action to reduce expenses throughout our organization. With these expense management measures, along with our diverse customer base and our focus on supporting large national fleets, we are confident that we can successfully navigate this difficult market cycle through the Q2 and the remainder of 2024.

Steve Keller: We believe that the second half of the year will be tough with respect to new class eight truck sales, but we also believe that demand should remain solid for new class four to seven commercial leader.

Steve Keller: When it comes to the aftermarket challenging operating conditions will likely continue but we should experience some seasonal lift in the warmer months.

Steve Keller: The offset the challenges facing our industry, we are taking action to reduce expenses throughout our organization with.

These expense management measures, along with our diverse customer mix and our focus on supporting large rational place. We are confident that we can successfully navigate to navigate this difficult market cycle through the second quarter and the remainder of 2024.

Rusty Rush: It is very important that I express my gratitude to our employees for their hard work and for continuing to provide superior service to our customers while staying focused on our long-term goals. With that, I'll take your questions. Thank you.

Steve Keller: It is very important that I express my gratitude to drive employees for their hard work for and for continuing to provide superior service to our customers, while staying focused on our long term goals with that I'll take your questions.

Rusty Rush: It is very important that I express my gratitude to our employees for their hard work and for continuing to provide superior service to our customers while staying focused on our long-term goals. With that, I'll take your questions.

Speaker Change: Thank you at this time, we will conduct a question and answer session. As a reminder to ask a question you will need to press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced to withdraw. Your question. Please press star one again, please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster.

Operator: Thank you. At this time, we'll conduct the question and answer session. As a reminder, to ask a question, you'll need to press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A list. Our first question comes from the line of Justin Long of Stevens. Your line is now open.

Operator: Thank you. At this time, we will conduct a question and answer session. As a reminder, to ask a question, you need to press star one one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from the line of Justin Long of Stephens. Your line is now open.

Speaker Change: Our first question comes from the line of Justin Long of Stephens. Your line is now open.

Justin Trennon Long: Thanks, and good morning.

Justin Trennon Long: Thanks and good morning.

Justin Long: Thanks, and good morning.

Rusty Rush: Well, good morning, Justin.

Rusty Rush: Well, good morning, Justin.

Justin Trennon Long: Well good morning, Justin.

Justin Trennon Long: Maybe I'll start with one on the expense side of the equation because Rusty I know you mentioned some cost initiatives that are going to be kicking in any sense, you can give us for the timing and magnitude of those expense reductions and how we should think about those flowing through.

Justin Trennon Long: Maybe I'll start with one on the expense side of the equation. Because, Rusty, I know you mentioned some cost initiatives that are going to be kicking in. Any sense you can give us for the timing and magnitude of those expense reductions and how we should think about them flowing through SG&A in the next 2, 3 quarters?

Justin Long: Maybe I'll start with one on the expense side of the equation. Rusty, I know you mentioned some cost initiatives that are going to be kicking in. Any sense you can give us for the timing and magnitude of those expense reductions and how we should think about those flowing through SGA in the next two, three quarters?

Justin Trennon Long: SG&A in the next two to three quarters.

Justin Trennon Long: Well.

Rusty Rush: Well, you know, the timing of them will obviously flow in through the second quarter, Justin. You know, to take full effect, I would imagine by the time we get into the first part, when we get into Q3 and Q4. As I've said, you know, we feel pretty good about where we're going to in Q2. We expect better truck sales across the board timing. But we do expect, you know, decreased truck sales right now in the second half. But you know, as far as getting, you know, that's the one thing you can always tell by looking at our absorption rate, right? That gives you a good gauge of where you're at.

Rusty Rush: Well, the timing of they will happen, obviously flow in through Q2, Justin. To take full effect, I would imagine by the time when we get into Q3 and Q4. As I've said, we feel pretty good about where we're going into Q2 at. We expect better truck sales across the board timing. We do expect decreased truck sales right now in H2. As far as that's the one thing, you can always tell by looking at our absorption ratio, right? That gives you a good gauge of where you're at. As I said, when you look at Q1, we were off about 6 points compared to last year in absorption, and that's with flat gross profit, right?

Rusty Rush: The timing they will happen obviously flow in through the second quarter adjustment.

Rusty Rush: To take full effect I would imagine by the time, we get into the first part when we get into Q3 and Q4 as I've said, we feel pretty good about where we're going into Q2.

Rusty Rush: We expect better truck sales.

Rusty Rush: Across the board timing, but.

Rusty Rush: But we do expect decreased trucks sales right now in the second half but.

Rusty Rush: As far as getting.

Rusty Rush: The one thing you always tell by looking at our absorption rate right that gives you a good.

Rusty Rush: Where you're at as I said when you look at Q1.

Rusty Rush: As I said, when you look at Q1, we were off about six points compared to last year's absorption. And that's with flat gross profit, right? So you can probably gauge that that was caused by some expense creep that got a little out of line considering the gross profits from parts and service flattened out some, which we're not used to for a while, but we've been doing a heck of a job, if you ask me, fighting it off. So that's the one good thing is that we have two levers, right?

Rusty Rush: We were off about six points compared to last year assortment and thats with flat.

Rusty Rush: As with flat gross profit right. So you can probably gauge that.

Rusty Rush: You can probably gauge that that was caused by some expense creep that got a little out of line, considering the gross profits from parts and service flattened out some, which we're not used to for a while, but we've been doing a heck of a job, if you ask me, fighting it off. That's the one good thing, is we have two levers, right? You got the gross profit and absorption, and you got expenses. We will manage the expenses to where we're at currently and where we believe that the gross profit side is going to go. It's flattened out. We'll try to get some of that back, of that absorption rate, that 6 points. I'll try to get somewhere around half of that back, if you want to know the truth. Maybe a little more. We'll see how it all falls out.

Rusty Rush: That was caused by some expense creep.

That got a little out of line considering the gross profit from parts and service flattened out so we're.

Rusty Rush: We're not used to for a while but we've been doing a heck of a job.

Rusty Rush: Fighting at all so that's the one good thing is we have two levers right you've got the gross profit and absorbed and <unk>.

Rusty Rush: You've got gross profit and absorption, and you've got expenses. So we will manage the expenses to where we are currently and where we believe that the gross profit side is gonna go. It's flattened out. So we'll try to get some of that back, that absorption rate, that's six points. I'll try to get somewhere around half of that back, if you wanna know the truth, maybe a little more

Rusty Rush: Expenses. So we will we will we will manage the expenses too to where we're at currently and where we believe that.

Rusty Rush: The gross profit side is going to go has flattened out. So we will try to get some of that back that absorption rate that six points, while prior to get somewhere around half of that back to you on behalf of drew maybe a little more we will see how it all falls out but.

Rusty Rush: We'll see how it all falls out, but it's just normal. What you do, we're in a cyclical business. This is nothing new or not something this company is not pretty experienced at managing. And the good part is we run a whole lot higher absorption rate, do a whole lot more parts and service business than we ever have. So we feel good about being able to do the right thing and manage through.

Rusty Rush: It's just normal what you do. Look, we're in a cyclical business. This is nothing new or not something this company's not pretty experienced at managing. The good part is, we run a whole lot higher absorption rate through a whole lot more parts and service business than we ever have. We feel good about being able to do the right proper thing and manage through. That's the good part of what we've done over the last decade is shifting the earnings of the company, where they used to be very so reliant upon truck sales to the parts and service side, where you can manage the expense side of it along with it. Not necessarily dollar for dollar, but because that's not the way it works.

Rusty Rush: It's just normal what you do but we're in a cyclical business. This is nothing new or not something this company is not.

Rusty Rush: Pretty experienced at managing and the good part is we run a whole lot higher absorption rate go up more.

Rusty Rush: Parts and service business than we ever have so we feel we feel good about being able to do the right proper thing and manage through that's the good part.

Rusty Rush: That's the good part of what we've done over the last decade is shifting, shifting the earnings of the company from where they used to be so reliant upon truck sales to the parts and service side, where you can manage the expense side of it along with it. Not necessarily dollar for dollar, but because that's not the way it works. You still have inflation and things that you have to deal with, and you've got services that you have to provide for customers.

What we've done over the last decade shifting.

Rusty Rush: Shifting the earnings of the company or they used to be so reliant upon truck sales to the parts and service side, where you can manage the expense side of it along with it not necessarily dollar for dollar, but because thats not the way. It works you still got inflation.

Rusty Rush: You still got inflation and things that you have to deal with, and you've got services that you have to provide for customers. There's a balancing act in what you do. It does give you a lever, and I think we've proven in the past we know how to do that, and we'll do it prudently like we have done then, and according to the market.

Rusty Rush: Things that you have to deal with and you've got services that you have to provide for customers. So there's a balancing act and what you did but it does give you a lever and I think we've proven in the past we know how to do that.

Rusty Rush: So there's a balancing act in what you do, but it does give you a lever. And I think we've proven in the past that we know how to do that. And we'll do it prudently like we did then and according to the market.

Rusty Rush: And we'll do it prudently we have done that.

Rusty Rush: According to the market.

Speaker Change: Got it that makes sense.

Justin Trennon Long: Got it. That all makes sense.

Justin Long: Got it. That all makes sense. Maybe to follow up on parts and service, you talked about your expectations for Q2. Any updated thoughts on the back half of this year? Do you think it is possible for parts and service to start seeing a little bit of growth on a year-over-year basis? Given the environment for truck sales, could that be a challenge?

Justin Trennon Long: Maybe to follow up on parts and service. You talked about your expectations for the second quarter. But any updated thoughts on the back half of this year? Do you think it's possible for parts and service to start seeing a little bit of growth on a year over year basis? Or, given the environment for truck sales, could that be a challenge?

Speaker Change: Maybe to follow up on parts and service. So you talked about your expectations for the second quarter, but any updated thoughts on the back half of this year do you think it's possible for parts and service to start seeing a little bit of growth on a year over year basis or given the environment for truck sales could that be.

Speaker Change: The challenge.

Rusty Rush: Well, obviously, the environment for drug sales, really, it's not just truck sales. It's our customer base, right? You know, when you look, if you own something I'm extremely proud of, and anybody that has studied the organization or been around for a while should be also, it's the fact that I haven't seen a two-year freight recession that I can remember for decades, okay? And we truly are dealing with a two-year freight recession.

Speaker Change: Well, obviously environment drug sales really its not just truck sales into our customer base right.

Rusty Rush: Well, obviously, the environment for truck sales, really, it's not just truck sales, it's our customer base, right? If you want to know something I'm extremely proud of, and anybody that has studied the organization or been around it a while should be also, it's the fact that I haven't seen a two-year freight recession that I can remember for decades, okay? We truly are dealing with a two-year freight recession. While we have a diversified earnings streams in parts and service, something we're very proud of, we talk about all the different markets, we manage a dozen different market segments. That's the good thing, that if we were so reliant on just the over-the-road business or the large customer or the small fleet. Our unassigned accounts, we call it, which is the small customer, they're down, again, continue to be down double digits from last year, 12%.

Speaker Change: When you look at.

Speaker Change: I'm extremely proud of and anybody that has started the organization have been around and while it should be also it's the fact that I haven't seen a two year freight recession that I can remember for a decade. So okay and we truly are dealing with the two year freight recession, while we have a diversified earnings streams and parts of <unk>.

Rusty Rush: Now we have diversified earning streams in parts of service, something we're very proud of. We talk about all the different markets we manage, a dozen different market segments, you know? And that's the good thing, that if we were so reliant on just the over-the-road business or the large customer or the small fleet, I mean, our unassigned accounts, we call them, which is the small customer, they're down, again, continue to be down double digits from last year, 12%, actually, you know? So to answer your question, you bet I believe we can get some growth in the Now, from which sector? I'm not exactly sure.

Speaker Change: Something we're very proud of what we talk about all the different markets, we manage a dozen different market segments.

Speaker Change: And that's the good thing that if we weren't if we for silver line on just the over the road business and the large customer and a small small fleet.

Speaker Change: Our unassigned accounts, we call it which is the small guys, where they're down again continue to be down double digits from last year, 12%.

Speaker Change: Actually so but.

Rusty Rush: To answer your question, you bet I believe we can get some growth in the H2. From which sector? I'm not exactly sure. The good thing is we attack all different market segments, okay? That's how we go to market. We don't just go to market attacking one, just trucks. We look at each market segment. We have assigned from the top of the corporation to the store level. We have people assigned to different segments. Do I believe there's room for some low single to small, mid-single digit growth in the H2? Yeah. We're not looking at any kind of double-digit growth this year.

Speaker Change: To answer your question <unk> bin I believe we can get some growth in the second half naphtha, which sector im not exactly sure but the good thing is we attack all different market segments. Okay. That's how we go to market. We don't just go to market against adding one just trucks. We look at each market segment. We have assignment, we havent assigned from the top of the corporate.

Rusty Rush: But the good thing is we attack all different market segments, okay? That's how we go to market. We don't just go to market attacking one of these trucks. We look at each market segment. We have it assigned from the top of the corporation to the store level.

Speaker Change: <unk> to the store level, we have people assigned to different segments. So do I believe there is room for some.

Rusty Rush: We have people assigned to different segments. So do I believe there's room for some low, low single digit to small, you know, mid-single digit growth in the back half? Yeah.

Speaker Change: So low single to small.

Speaker Change: Mid single digit growth in the back half, yes, we're not looking at any kind of a double digit growth this year, but I do believe given our approach to the market that I'm, telling you is more.

Rusty Rush: We're not looking at any kind of double-digit growth this year, but I do believe, given our approach to the market, which I'm telling you is more sophisticated than most with our systems and such, that we have the opportunity to grow some in the back half of the year. I really do believe that. So, without getting too much into proprietary stuff, you know, you better believe it.

Rusty Rush: I do believe given our approach to the market, that I'm telling you, is I would say more sophisticated than most, with our systems and such, that we have the opportunity to grow some in the back half of the year. I really do believe that. Without getting too much into proprietary stuff, you better believe it. Hopefully, that along with some better expense management as we get into it, will allow us to maintain levels similar to where we were last year from an absorption perspective. I don't know that we'll be all the way there because you do have inflationary pressures that gets you on the expense side. There are market segments, I could tell you right now, year-over-year, oil and gas was down in Q1. You go, What. Well, it was. It was a little softer.

Speaker Change: More sophisticated than most.

Speaker Change: With our systems and such that we have the opportunity to grow some of the back half of the year I really do believe Brad.

Speaker Change: So I mean without getting too much into the proprietary stuff.

Brad: You better believe it so hopefully that along with some better expense management as we get into it will allow us to maintain.

Rusty Rush: So hopefully, that, along with some better expense management as we get into it, will allow us to maintain levels similar to where we were last year from an absorption perspective. I don't know that we'll be all the way there because you do have inflationary pressures that get you on the expense side. But there are market segments, I mean, I could tell you right now, year over year, like oil and gas were down in Q1. And you go, what?

Brad: Maintain levels similar to where we were last year from an absorption perspective, I don't know if it will be all the way there because you do have inflationary pressures that gets you on the expense side, but there are market segments. I can tell you right now year over year like oil and gas was down in Q1 and you go what it was.

Rusty Rush: Well, it was. It was a little softer. You know, the small customer was a little softer. But we were up, say, in refuse. We were up in the public sector. We were a little off in wholesale.

Brad: Was it was a little softer the small customer it was a little soft, but we were up say in revenues, we were up in the public sector.

Rusty Rush: The small customer was a little softer. We were up fair in refuse. We were up in the public sector. We were a little off in wholesale. Without me going into every market segment, we have our arms wrapped around it tightly, I promise, and we are putting more resources or focusing where we do believe that there are opportunities to grow in those certain market segments. To answer your question, I know I'm long-winded as always, and I'll be happy to answer plenty of questions this morning. Yes, we're not talking about big double-digit growth, but we're talking about growth. We do believe it's possible.

Brad: But wholesale without me going into every market segment, we have our arms wrapped around and tackling promise and we're putting more and more resources are focusing where we do believe that there are opportunities to grow in those certain market segments. So to answer your question I don't have a long winded as always but I'll be happy to answer.

Rusty Rush: Without me going into every market segment, we have our arms wrapped around it tightly, I promise. And we are putting, you know, more resources or focusing where we do believe that there are opportunities to grow in those certain market segments. So to answer your question, I know I'm long-winded as always, and I'll be happy to answer plenty of questions this morning. But, nothing. We're not talking about big double-digit growth, but we're talking about growth. We do believe it's possible.

Speaker Change: Plenty of questions. This morning, but yes nothing.

Speaker Change: Talking about being double digit growth, but we're talking about growth. We do believe is possible.

Speaker Change: Okay. That's good to hear and I guess I'll just ask one more question to your point about the freight downcycle lasting for two years now I think it has lasted longer than everybody anticipated has that changed your view at all on the trough earnings and free cash flow potential.

Justin Trennon Long: Okay, that's good to hear. And I guess I'll just ask one more question on your point about the freight down cycle lasting for two years now. I think it's lasted longer than anybody anticipated. Has that changed your view at all on the trough earnings and free cash flow potential of the business this year?

Justin Long: Okay. That's good to hear. I guess I'll just ask one more question.

Rusty Rush: Sure. Go ahead.

Justin Long: To your point about the freight down cycle lasting for two years now, I think it's lasted longer than everybody anticipated. Has that changed your view at all on the trough earnings and free cash flow potential of the business this year?

Speaker Change: All of the business this year.

Speaker Change: Well you would reflect on something I threw out there a couple of years ago that will be proper answer the answer is no way.

Rusty Rush: Well, you would reflect on something I threw out there a couple years ago, and that would be trial and error. And the answer is, no way. Okay, that's not happening. Okay, I'm more confident in that than I ever have been when I look at the organization right now and how we're going to market. So, you know, I put that out there a couple years ago, but no, I'm extremely confident in that statement, more confident now than when I made it then.

Rusty Rush: Well, yeah, you would reflect on something I threw out there a couple of years ago, and that would be trough earnings, and the answer is no way, okay. That's not happening, okay. I'm more confident in that, than I ever have been when I look at the organization right now and how we're going to market. I put that out there a couple of years ago, but no, I'm extremely confident, and in that statement, more confident now than when I made it then. Also in what I think peak will be. If things fall out the way everybody believes it will in 2026, that should be the peak earnings of the organization based upon projections now. Everything can change. The economy can move and change.

Speaker Change: That's not happening that more confident of that.

Than I ever have been when I look at the organization right now and how we're going to market. So.

Speaker Change: I put that out there are a couple of years ago with no <unk>.

Speaker Change: Namely confident.

Speaker Change: And those in those in that and that stayed with more government now than when I made it then and also what I think <unk>.

Rusty Rush: And also, what I think the peak will be. If things fall out the way everybody believes they will in 2026, you know, that should be the peak earnings of the organization based on projections. Now, everything can change, the economy can move and change, but based upon all the information we have with all the new EPA guidelines coming into the first of 27, etc., you know, we're very confident in both the trough, which, look, 24 is nothing more than what I've told you the last couple of years, okay?

Speaker Change: If things fall out the way everybody believes it will in 2026.

That should be big.

Speaker Change: The earnings of the organization based upon projections know everything can change the economy can move and change but based upon all the information we have with all the new EPA guidelines coming into our first of 2007.

Rusty Rush: Based upon all the information we have with all the new EPA guidelines coming in 1st of 2027, et cetera, we're very confident in both the trough, which I Look, 2024 is nothing more than what I've told you the last couple years, okay. I've told you 2024 was gonna be the, you had a great 2022 and 2023, and a good 2024, but off. I still think we're gonna be, what is it, 13% off in truck sales so far, but 20% in the month of March, okay. The Q1 was off 13. I know ACT is at 16. This is one time I'm gonna say it's probably gonna be a little more off than that. I do believe there's gonna be a large free buy in 2025 and 2026. It's just difficult for folks.

Speaker Change: Et cetera.

Speaker Change: We're very confident in both the trough.

Speaker Change: Look 24, so nothing more than what I've told you the last couple of years Okay.

Rusty Rush: I've told you 24 was going to be the, you know, you had a great 22 and 23, and a good 24, but off. I mean, I still think we're going to be, what is it? 13% off in truck sales so far, but 20% in the month of March. Okay, but the first quarter was off by 13. I know ACT is at 16. This one time, I'm going to say it's probably going to be a little more off than that, but I do believe there's going to be a large free buy on 25 and 26. It's just difficult for folks.

Speaker Change: 24 was going to be.

Speaker Change: Great 'twenty, two and 'twenty, three and a good 24, but all I mean.

Speaker Change: We're going to be 13% and truck sales so far with 20% in the month of March Okay, but first quarter was all of 13.

Speaker Change: <unk> is one time I am going to say, it's probably going to be a little more often that but I do believe there's going to be a large free by 'twenty five 'twenty six.

Speaker Change: It's difficult for folks Golar that all of the public earnings.

Justin Trennon Long: Go look at all the public earnings, all the over-the-road truck loads now. LTL is obviously still doing extremely well with what happened with Yellow last year and, you know, the way the dynamics are in the distribution business, but look at what's going on out there. Everybody's suffering, so that's why I'm extremely proud of what we've done and more confident than ever that we will handle both that and the free cash flow side will still be extremely strong this year, without question in my mind. Not as strong as last year, but it'll be extremely strong when you look at the historical data.

Rusty Rush: Go look at all the public earnings, all the over-the-road truckload now. LTLs are obviously still doing extremely well. With what happened with Yellow last year and the way the dynamics are in the distribution business. Look at what's going on out there. Everybody's suffering. That's why I'm extremely proud of what we've done and more confident than ever that we will handle both that and the free cash flow side will still be extremely strong this year, without question in my mind. Not as strong as last year, but it'll be extremely strong when you look at historicals, for sure.

Speaker Change: All all the over the road trucks truckload, Lpl's, obviously still doing extremely well.

Speaker Change: With yellow last year.

Speaker Change: Where they.

Speaker Change: The dynamics are in the distribution business, but look at what's going on out there everybody suffer.

Speaker Change: That's why I'm extremely proud of what we've done and more confident than ever that we will handle both that and the free cash flow side will still be extremely strong this year without question in my mind.

Speaker Change: Not as strong as last year, but it will be extremely strong when you look at historical is for sure.

Speaker Change: Okay, that's great way to wrap it up I appreciate the time.

Rusty Rush: Okay, that's a great way to wrap it up. I appreciate the time. You betcha.

Justin Long: Okay. That's a great way to wrap it up. I appreciate the time.

Rusty Rush: You betcha. Thank you.

Speaker Change: You bet. Thank you.

Operator: Thank you. One moment for our next question. Again, as a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star 11 on your telephone. Our next question comes from line worker Andrew Obin of Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Speaker Change: Thank you one moment for our next question.

Operator: Thank you. One moment for our next question. Again, as a reminder, to ask the question, you will need to press star one one on your telephone. Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Obin of Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Speaker Change: Again as a reminder to ask a question you will need to press star one on your telephone.

Speaker Change: Our next question comes from the line of Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Speaker Change: Okay.

Andrew Obin: Yeah, the star one one thing is confusing, Rusty. Sorry. Question, can you talk about your confidence, given the weakness in over-the-road freight? What's your confidence of actually sort of being able to manage your inventory into the Q2? You said that you sort of have confidence in your used truck, but maybe a little bit of granularity of why you're so confident given the weakness in the market. Thank you.

Speaker Change: One thing its contributors being arrested sorry.

Andrew Burris Obin: Yeah, this 511 thing is confusing, Rusty, sorry. So, question, can you talk about your confidence given the weakness in

Speaker Change: So question.

Speaker Change: You talked about.

Speaker Change: Youre confident given the weakness in.

Speaker Change:

Speaker Change: Over the road freight.

Speaker Change: What's your confidence of actually sort of being able to manage your inventory into the second quarter.

Rusty Rush: You bet. Well, it goes back to, first off, I'm going to take them in an inverted order here, Andrew. I'm going to go to the used ones first. Why?

Speaker Change: You said that you sort of have confidence in your used truck, but maybe elaborate granularity why you're so confident given the weakness in the market. Thank you.

Rusty Rush: We took down our used inventory, which is traditionally carried by 40% over a year ago. We took it down that much, right? Traditionally, we probably had closer to 2,500 units. We carry somewhere around 1,500 units. Because when you got into this very accelerated, declining environment that used cars were in over the last two years, you had to be turning fast. So your turns had to accelerate from what maybe they had been historically.

Speaker Change: You bet well it goes back to that first of all we.

Rusty Rush: You bet. Well, it goes back to, first off, I'm going to take them in inverted order here, Andrew Obin. I'm going to go to used first. Why? We took down our used inventory we traditionally carry by 40% over a year ago. We took it down that much. We traditionally probably had closer to 2,500 units. We carry somewhere around 1,500 units. Because when you got into this very accelerated, declining environment that used was in over the last two years, you had to be turning fast. Your turns had to accelerate from what maybe they had been historically. By doing that, we've been able to really mitigate any losses that we might have been undertaking in some of our used truck inventory because our turns were accelerated. With that, what it has allowed us to do is take advantage of opportunities that are out there, right?

Speaker Change: I'm going to take a minute and emerge inverted order here, Andrew I'm going to get abused burst why we took down our used inventory, which traditionally carry by 40%.

Speaker Change: Over a year ago, we took it down that much right. We've traditionally probably closer to 2500 units, we're carrying somewhere around 1500 units because when you got into that.

Speaker Change: Very accelerated declining environment to use was added over the last two years you had to be turned and fast. So your turns had to accelerate from what maybe they had been historically so by doing that we've been able to really mitigate any losses that we might be.

Rusty Rush: So by doing that, we've been able to really mitigate any losses that we might have been taking in some of our used truck inventory because our turns were accelerated. And with that, what it has allowed us to do is take advantage of opportunities that are out there, right? So we've been able to take advantage of other opportunities because we don't have an inflated used truck inventory. We keep it at a level, and we turn it fast.

Speaker Change: Had been taking and some of our used truck inventory because our turns were accelerated.

Speaker Change: And with that what it has allowed us to do is take advantage of opportunities that are out there right.

Rusty Rush: We've been able to take advantage of other opportunities because we don't have an inflated used truck inventory. We keep it at a level, and we turn it fast. Our used, we had as good a used quarter as we've probably, I don't want to say ever had, but we had extremely strong used quarter, which is quite unusual. Not necessarily volume, but just turning it fast has allowed us to maintain a higher margin. Because we're not getting caught with used trucks that are decelerating valuations quicker than what historical norms are. When it comes to medium-duty, medium-duty, I can look at the order board, and I feel good about it. It's solid.

So we've been able to take advantage of other opportunities because we don't have an inflated used truck inventory, we keep it at a level and return it fast and so are used.

Rusty Rush: And so our used car, you know, our used car, we had as good a used quarter as we probably, not I don't want to say ever had, but we had a strong, extremely strong used quarter, which is quite unusual.

Speaker Change: As good a use quarters, we'd probably.

Speaker Change: So ever had but we had strong extremely strong unused quarter, which is quite unusual not necessarily volume or but just turning it faster has allowed us to maintain a higher margin. So because we're not getting caught with used trucks that are decelerating valuations quicker than what historical norms.

Rusty Rush: Not necessarily volume or, but, you know, just turning it fast has allowed us to maintain a higher margin because we're not getting caught with used trucks that are, you know, decelerating valuations quicker than what historical norms are. When it comes to medium duty, I mean, medium duty, I can look at the order board, and I feel good about it. It's solid, we're, I'm not gonna say we're all sold out, but unlike the heavy side, we're way further along to selling out because, in some ways, on our medium duty side, we still have some allocation when it's involved.

Speaker Change: When it comes to medium duty medium duty I can look at the order board.

Speaker Change: Feel good about mid solid where I'm not going to say were all sold out but unlike the heavy side.

Rusty Rush: I'm not going to say we're all sold out, but unlike the heavy side, we're way further along to selling out because in some ways in our medium duty side, we still have some allocation inputs involved on medium duty. Because remember, medium duty, when we had that huge markets in 2022 and 2023, medium duty got, especially in 2022, the manufacturers that build medium and heavy shifted towards the heavy side because they made more margin. Medium duty still has some pent-up demand, and along with consumer spending remaining extremely strong the last couple of years, that has a lot to do with driving medium duty sales, okay? When you put it all together, we feel really good about where medium duty is at for the year. As I said, we've had a good Q1. Q2 is going to be stronger than Q2.

Speaker Change: Way further along to selling up because in some ways in our medium duty side, we're still have some allocation imports involved on medium duty because remember medium duty.

Rusty Rush: On medium duty, because remember medium duty, when we had those huge markets in 22 and 23, medium duty got, especially in 22, the manufacturers that built medium and heavy shifted towards the heavy side because they made more margin.

Speaker Change: When we had a huge markets in 'twenty, two and 'twenty three medium duty got.

Speaker Change: So, let's say 20 to everybody people could be manufacturers that build medium and heavy.

Speaker Change: Shifting towards the heavy side, because they make more margin so medium duty still have some pent up demand.

Rusty Rush: So medium duty still has some pent-up demand, and along with consumer spending remaining extremely strong for the last couple of years, that has a lot to do with driving medium duty sales. So when you put it all together, we feel really good about where medium duty is at for the year. We've had a good first quarter, the second quarter is going to be stronger than Q2, and I believe that, you know, remember there are fluctuations by the quarter. Sometimes people get so caught up in quarters, but I would expect our second half to be, I'm right now believing it will be just as strong as our first half based on looking at the backlog of where we're at with medium duty.

Speaker Change: Along with <unk>.

Speaker Change: Consumer spending is remaining extremely strong in the last couple of years that has a lot to do with driving medium duty sales. Okay. So when you put it all together, we feel really good about where medium duty is that for the year as I said, we've had a good first quarter.

Speaker Change: <unk> waterflood will be stronger is going to be stronger than Q2, and I believe that.

Rusty Rush: I believe that, remember, there's fluctuations by quarter. Sometimes people get so caught up in quarters. I would expect our H2 to be, I'm right now believing it will be just as strong as our H1 based upon looking at the backlog of where we're at with medium duty. Now, heavy duty. Well, heavy duty, timing has a lot to do with things sometimes, especially at least in the H1 of the year. When I look at the H1 of the year, I have a large inventory right now. If you were to look at my inventory, you're going, Oh, my gosh, your inventory, Rusty. I'm going to say yeah, but understand that the vast majority of that is sold. What's happening is we're in the process of delivering a lot of that right now into Q2.

Speaker Change: Remember there is fluctuations by quarter, sometimes people get so caught up quarters.

But I would expect our second half to be black now, believing it will be just as strong as our first half based upon looking at the backlog of where we're at with medium duty.

Rusty Rush: Now, heavy duty. Well, heavy duty, you know, timing has a lot to do with things sometimes, especially in the first half of the year. I have a large inventory right now. If you were to look at my inventory, you'd say, oh my gosh, your inventory, Rusty.

Speaker Change: Heavy duty.

Speaker Change: Heavy duty.

Speaker Change: Timing has a lot to do with takes sometimes especially at least in the first half of the year what would be the first half of the year.

Speaker Change: Large inventory right that we were looking at my inventory going Oh, My gosh heretical by Rusty I don't say, yes, but understand that the vast majority of that is so and so what's happening is we're in the process of delivering a lot of that right now into Q2.

Rusty Rush: I'm going to say, yeah, but understand that the vast majority of that is sold. And so what's happening is we're in the process of delivering a lot of that right now into Q2. So we do believe that, for sure, in Q2, we will deliver more class A drugs. There's just no question about it.

Rusty Rush: We do believe that Q2, for sure, we will deliver more Class A trucks. There's just no question about it. The stuff's on the ground already. We're already almost through April. I'm pretty solid as to where we're going to be in Q2. We look into Q3 and Q4. Are there concerns? You better believe it. Is the backlog pretty far off? You better believe it. You know what? We're not on allocation anymore. You want a truck? I can start one for you in eight weeks or so. It's not like, I can still start a truck in the back half of Q2 that'll deliver to you in Q3 and Q4. We feel pretty good about. I do believe we'll be softer. There's no question in my mind.

Speaker Change: So we do believe that Q2 for sure we will deliver more class eight trucks or there's just no question about it the steps on the ground already we're already almost through April pretty solid as to where we're going to be in Q2, now we look into Q3 and Q4.

Rusty Rush: The stuff's on the ground already. We're already almost through April. I'm pretty solid as to where we're going to be in Q2. Now, we look into Q3 and Q4. Are there concerns?

Speaker Change: Other concerns you better believe it is the backlog of 44, all you better believe we're not our allocation anymore. You want a truck I can start with 48 weeks or so so it's not like.

Rusty Rush: You better believe it. Is the backlog pretty far off? You better believe it. But you know what? We're not around occasion anymore.

Rusty Rush: You want a truck? I can start one for you in eight weeks or so. So it's not like, you know, I can still start a truck in the back half of Q2 to deliver it to you in Q3 and Q4. So we feel pretty good about that. I do believe we'll be softer. There's no question in my mind.

Speaker Change: I can still start extra kicks in the back half of Q2.

Speaker Change: Delivered to you in Q3 and Q4, so we feel pretty good about it I do believe we will be softer. There is no question of online I do mean second half will be less class eight deliveries in the first half.

Rusty Rush: I do believe the second half will be less class A deliveries than the first half. Like I said, Q2 more than Q1, and the second half less than the first half. But given the diversification of our market, look, most all your big carriers have already placed all their orders for this year. The little guys, we're still way oversupplied with trucks out there. Just look at contract rates, look at spot rates; it'll tell you what's going on. So that market's gonna be tough, but given our diversification into the sectors that we sell into, we're going to be extremely strong in refuse. That's all booked out.

Rusty Rush: I do believe H2 will be less Class A deliveries than H1, okay. Like I said, Q2 more than Q1, H2 less than H1. Given the diversification of our market, look, most all your big carriers have already placed all their orders for this year. The little guys, we're still way over-supplied in trucks out there. Just look at contract rates, look at spot rates, it'll tell you what's going on. That market's going to be tough. Given our diversification into the vocations that we sell into, we're going to be extremely strong in refuse. That's booked out. I already know where I'm at. I'm going to have more construction.

Speaker Change: Like I said Q2 more than Q1, the second half less than the first half, but given the diversification of our market look.

Speaker Change: All most all your big carriers are already placed all of it.

Speaker Change: All the orders for this year.

Speaker Change: The little guys, we're still way oversupplied and trucks out there I just look at car drag race Logan spot rates I will tell you what's going on so that market is going to be tough, but given our diversification into the vocations that we sell into we're going to be extremely strong and revenues that's booked out already know where I'm at.

Rusty Rush: I already know where I'm at. I'm gonna have more construction. Now, we do have some supply issues from one transmission manufacturer we're dealing with and some other things on the vocational side, but we still have the opportunity to sell into that. And there are still some private carriers out there that are looking at purchases, right? Not for hire, but private stuff, that we believe we can sell into.

Speaker Change: I'm going to have more construction now we do have some supply issues from one patient manufacturer, we're dealing with and some other things on the vocational side, but we still have the opportunity to sell into that.

Rusty Rush: Now, we do have some supply issues from one transmission manufacturer we're dealing with and some other things on the vocational side, but we still have the opportunity to sell into that. There are still some private carriers out there that are looking at purchases, right? Not for hire, but private stuff that we believe we can sell into. Okay, the year's not done. I'll put our sales team out there and challenge anybody, and we're going to be out there, we're going to be looking for business, and there's going to be some. It's just not going to be what it has been until this freight recession clears itself up. Everybody's got to remember, still over half the market is the over-the-road market. LTL is in good shape, but all those orders are pretty much placed.

Speaker Change: And there are still.

Speaker Change: There is still some private carriers out there that are looking at purchases right.

Speaker Change: Not for hire but private stuff.

Speaker Change: And we believe we can sell into okay. So the year is not done.

Rusty Rush: Okay, so the year's not done. I'll put our sales team out there and challenge anybody, and we're going to be out there looking for business, and there will be some. It's just not going to be what it has been until this rate recession clears itself up. Everybody's got to remember that, still, over half the market is the over-the-road market. And it's in, you know, LTL is in good shape, and all those orders are pretty much placed. There are one or two little small ones out there we're working on.

Speaker Change: I'll put our sales team out there and challenge anybody and we're going to be out there we will be looking for business and theres going to be some it's not it's just not going to be what it has been until this freight recession clears itself up everybody's got to remember it's still over half the market.

Speaker Change: The over the road market.

Speaker Change: <unk> is in good shape, but all of those orders are pretty much place theres, one or two small ones out there we're working on but most of that business. So the second half is going to be tougher.

Rusty Rush: There's one or two little small ones out there we're working on, but most of that business. The H2's going to be tougher. I believe that when you end up the year, when you look at our total market, we will be in a lot better shape when you look at our 2024 compared to what the US retail market went down in 2024, given our diversification. There's just some timing stuff. I do expect that as we get into the Q4, you will start to see Let's not get too shortsighted here. We're going to produce when it comes to the company, I promise you, just like I've answered a minute ago to Justin. I'm solid as ever about where we're at.

Rusty Rush: But most of that business, the second half is going to be tougher. But I believe that when you end the year. When you look at our total market, we will be in a lot better shape when you look at our 24 compared to what the US retail market went down in 24. Given our diversification, there's just some timing stuff. But I do expect that as we get into the fourth quarter, you will start to see that let's not get too shortsighted here.

I believe that we ended up the year.

Speaker Change: When you look at our total market, we will be a lot better shape. When you look at our 24 compared to what the U S. Retail market went down in 2004, given our diversification. There's just some timing stuff, but I do expect that as we get into the fourth quarter.

Speaker Change: You will start to see it does not.

Speaker Change: Too shortsighted here.

Rusty Rush: When we, we're gonna have good, we're gonna produce when it comes to the company, I promise you, just like I answered a minute ago to Justin, I'm solid as ever about where we're at. But when we get into that last quarter, people will really start, I do believe you're gonna see the order intake go up, and I do believe you're gonna see 25 and 26 as we just finished passing the last greenhouse gas law just three weeks ago.

Speaker Change: We're going to have good we're going to produce when it comes to the company I promise you just like Ive answered.

Speaker Change: A minute ago to adjust it as solid as ever about where we're at but but when we get into that last quarter people will really start I do believe you're going to see the order intake go up and I do believe you're going to see 25 and 26.

Rusty Rush: When we get into that last quarter, people will really start, I do believe you're going to see the order intake go up, and I do believe you're going to see 2025 and 2026 as, we've just finished passing the last greenhouse gas law just 3 weeks ago, and they're pretty strenuous, that are out there, that folks are going to have to start focusing on. Right now, a lot of the road business, they're focused on their own business currently. They're going to have to focus on their fleets and the makeup of their fleets and having to deal with all the new technology and the inflationary price increases to meet the demands that are going to be put on in 1 January 2027. I would expect that those markets will, regardless, the overload market will understand they're going to have to invest.

Speaker Change: We've just finished pass in the last greenhouse gas largest three weeks ago and Theyre pretty strenuous.

Rusty Rush: And they're pretty strenuous activities that are out there that folks are gonna have to start focusing on. Right now, a lot of our own business, they're focused on their own business right now, but they're going to have to focus on their fleets and the makeup of their fleets and having to deal with all the new technology and the inflationary price increases to meet the demands that are gonna be put on January 1 or 27.

Speaker Change: Let her out there that folks are going to have to start focus at all right now there are a lot of it.

Speaker Change: Our own business their focus on their own business currently, but theyre going to have to focus on their fleets in the makeup of their fleets and having to deal with all the new technology and the inflationary price increases to meet the demands there are going to be.

We put on in January one of 2007, so I would expect that those markets will.

Rusty Rush: So I would expect that those markets, regardless of the overlord market, will understand they're going to have to invest, not the small carrier so much, but the large carrier, regardless of where they are in their own business. Hopefully, the freight recession will be clearing up by the back half of this year, sometime in the third. Look, I've been watching everybody kick the can for a year about when freight was going to pick back up, so I'm not going to be the economist here and tell you when, but I know it's got to turn around sometime.

Speaker Change: Regardless, the overall market will understand theyre going to have to invest a small carrier so much but the large carrier irregardless of where they are.

Rusty Rush: Not the small carrier so much, but the large carrier, regardless of where they are in their own business. Hopefully, the freight recession will be clearing up by the back half of this year sometime in Q3. Look, I've been watching everybody kick the can for a year about when freight was going to pick back up, I'm not going to be the economist here and tell you when. I know it's got to turn around sometime. The further we go, the closer we get to the end of it, you've got to believe. You tie that up with the 2027 EPA laws, you're going to start to get, I do believe 2025 and 2026 will still be the kind of years that everybody's been predicting.

And their own business hopefully the freight recession will be clearing up by the back half of this year.

Speaker Change: Look I've been watching everybody kick the can for a year about when freight was going to pick back up so I'm not going to be the economist here and tell you when but I know, it's got a carrier out sometime but further we go in the closer we get to the end of it you have got to believe but did you tie that up with the 27 EPA loss youre going to start to get I do believe 25.

Rusty Rush: The further we go, the closer we get to the end, you've got to believe, but then you tie that up with the 27 EPA laws, you're going to start to get, I do believe, 25 and 26 will still be the kind of years that everybody's been predicting because, look, engine prices are going to go up $20,000 plus just for diesel and more when we get into 27. You're going to have demands, you have to do this much electricity, you're going to do this much of that, so people are going to be a little nervous and fearful of that, so I do believe that will guide 25 and 26 to be super solid.

Speaker Change: 26 will still be the kind of years that everybody's been predicting.

Rusty Rush: Look, engine prices are going to go up $20,000 plus just for diesel or more when we get into 2027. You're going to have demands that you have to do this much electric, you're going to do this much of that. People are going to be a little nervous and fearful of that. I do believe that will guide 2025 and 2026 to be super solid. We'll just deal with 2024, as I said, given the diversification, I'm comfortable. Will it be backwards in H1? Yes. We've still got time to try to make it a little more decent. There you go. I know I rambled on for a while, but I'm trying to give you a larger look at what we see coming in front of us for the next two and a half years.

Speaker Change: Because look engine prices are going to go up 20000, plus dollars just for diesel or when we get into 2007 youre going to have demands we have to do this much electric.

Speaker Change: Much of that so people are going to be a little nervous and fearful of that so I do believe that will guide 'twenty five 'twenty six to be Super solid.

Rusty Rush: We'll just deal with 24, and as I said, given the diversification, I'm comfortable. Will it be backward in the first half? Yes, but we've still got time to try to make it a little more decent, so there you go. I know I rambled on for a while, but I'm trying to give you a larger look at what we see coming in front of us for the next two and a half years

Moody's deal with 24, as I said, given the diversification of our comfortable whether it be backwards. The first app, yes.

Speaker Change: We've still got that to try to make it a little more basis. So I don't want rambled on for a while but I've tried to give you a larger look at what we see in front of us for the next two and a half years.

Andrew Obin: Sure. Just looking at the ACT forecast, which you referenced, what do you think are puts and takes for the ACT forecast? What do you think is potential upside to the numbers, and what do you think is potential source of the downside to the numbers?

Speaker Change: Sure Jess.

Andrew Burris Obin: Sure, and just, you know, looking at the ACT forecast which you referenced, what do you think it puts and takes for the ACT forecast? What do you think is the potential upside to the numbers, and what do you think is the potential source of the downside to the numbers?

Jess: Looking at the ACC or forecast, which you referenced what are you seeing.

Jess: Puts and takes with ACP or forecast what do you think is potential upside to the numbers and what are you seeing as potential source of the downside to the numbers.

Jess: Well I don't see any upside this year.

Rusty Rush: Well, I don't see any upside this year.

Rusty Rush: Well, I don't see any upside this year. Okay? If you take the US Q1 retail, multiply it by four, you're going to get the 228 number they got out there. Okay? I don't see a lot. If I see anything, I see a little bit of downside in this year. I do believe that there will be upside in 2025 and 2026. I just believe, especially as people, it comes into focus what this really is. Remember, CARB already went in. Implementation of CARB in California already happened 1 January of this year. The effects of it have not been seen because we're still delivering stuff that was bought in late 2023, and everybody really accelerated their purchases. You really won't see the real effect of that till you get into the last part of this year, I think.

Okay.

Rusty Rush: I mean, if you take the U.S. first quarter retail sales, multiply it by four, you're going to get the 228 number they got out there, right? So I don't see a lot. If I see anything, I see a little bit of downside this year, but I do believe that there will be upside in the 25 and 26. I just believe, especially as people, it comes into focus what this really is. Remember, CARB already went in, implementation of CARB in California already happened on January 1 of this year, but the effects of it have not been seen because we're still delivering stuff that was bought in late 23 and everybody really accelerated their purchases.

Jess: I mean, if you take the U S first quarter retail multiply it by four you're going to get the 228 number they got out so I don't see a lot of IOC anything I see a little bit of downside in this year.

Jess: But I do believe that there will be upside into 2020 I, just believe especially as people. It comes into focus what this really is remember carhartt.

Jess: Implementation of Carb, and California already January one of this year, but the effects of it.

Jess: I have not been seen because we are still delivering stuff that was bought in late 'twenty three and everybody really accelerated their purchases. So you really wont see the real effect of that until you get into the last part of this year I think.

Rusty Rush: You really won't see the real effect of that till you get into the last part of this year, I think. And as people see that, I think they're gonna get really nervous around the rest of the country. As to what these new EPA laws are going to mean from a cost perspective, I have concerns, no disrespect to anybody, about performance and the aftertreatment side of it. I've watched us deal with aftertreatment issues for decades.

Rusty Rush: As people see that, I think they're going to get really nervous around the rest of the country as to what these new EPA laws are going to mean from a cost perspective. I have concerns, no disrespect to anybody, about performance and the aftertreatment side of it. I've watched us deal with aftertreatment issues in the last decades. Every time we roll out something new, we do have issues, and I think people will be concerned about performance around that. For us, it's diversification. That's why I'm confident that we'll end up the year in a better shape than what the overall Class 8 sales are, just because of the diversification of our customer base. I believe 2025 and 2026 are still going to be great years as people get their heads around what the true costs are going to be when you get to 2027.

Jess: As people see that I think theyre going to get really nervous around the rest of the country.

Jess: As you know.

Jess: <unk>.

Jess: As to what the new EPA walls are going to mean from a cost perspective, I have concerns no disrespect anybody but about performance in the after treatment side of it ive watched this deal with after treatment issues over the last decades.

Rusty Rush: Every time we roll out something new, we do have issues, and I think people will be concerned about performance around that. So, for us, it's diversification. That's why I'm confident that we'll end up the year in a better shape than what the overall Class A sales are, just because of the diversification of our customer base. I believe 2025 and 2026 are still going to be great years as people get their heads around what the true costs are going to be when you get to 2027. And I think, you know, we'll be back. I do believe we'll be back on allocations sometime later in the year, probably. Thank you very much, Rusty.

Jess: Every time, we roll out something new we do have issues and I think people would be concerned about performance around that so.

Jess: I don't see for US is diversification and that's why I'm confident that we will end up the year in a better shape than what.

Jess: The overall class eight sales are.

Jess: Just because of the diversification of our customer base.

Jess: I believe 25, and 26% are still going to be great years as people get their heads around what the true costs are going to be.

Jess: When you get to 2007.

Rusty Rush: I do believe we'll be back on allocation sometime later in 2025. Probably.

Jess: I think we'll be back I do believe we'll be back on allegations sometime later in 'twenty five.

Jess: Probably.

Andrew Obin: Thank you very much, Rusty.

Jess: So very much rusty.

Speaker Change: You bet.

Rusty Rush: You betcha. Okay. All right. Operator? Well, I guess I'll be the operator too today. Do we have any more questions? I see no more questions on the board, so I get a second job for the day. With that, I look forward to speaking to everybody sometime in mid-late July with our Q2 results. Other than that, everyone have a great day. Thank you.

Rusty Rush: You betcha.

Speaker Change: Okay.

Speaker Change: Alright, operator.

Rusty Rush: All right, I'm ready. Well, I guess I'll be the operator too today. Do we have any more questions? I see no more questions on the board. So I get a second job for the day. With that, I look forward to speaking to everybody sometime in late, mid, late July with our second quarter results. And other than that, everyone have a great day.

Speaker Change: Well I guess I'll be the operator today.

Speaker Change: Do we have any more questions I see no more questions on the board so I get a second job for the day.

Speaker Change: With that I look forward to speaking to everybody sometime in the late mid late July with our second quarter results.

Speaker Change: Have a great day.

Speaker Change: Thank you.

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