Q4 2024 STMicroelectronics NV Earnings Call

[music].

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the S. T Microelectronics full year 2024 earnings release conference call and live webcast I am Sandra the chorus call operator.

I would like to remind you that all participants have been listen only mode and the conference is being recorded.

A presentation will be followed by a Q&A session.

You can register for questions at any time by pressing star one on your telephone.

For operator assistance, Please press Star NGO the.

The conference must not be recorded for publication or broadcast.

At this time, it's my pleasure to hand over to CFO Mohamad.

VP corporate development and integrated external communications. Please go ahead Sir.

Speaker Change: Thank you. Thank you everyone for joining our fourth quarter and full year 2024 financial return call hosting the call today is on Marshall <unk>, <unk> and Chief Executive Officer.

Speaker Change: Joining Jean Marc on the call today are Lorenzo Grandi, President and CFO, and Marco Cassis, President analog power and discrete Mems and sensor group and head office, Mike who electronic strategies, just general research and application and inhibition of <unk>.

Speaker Change: The slide with gas and presentation materials can be accessed on ESG Investor Relations website.

Speaker Change: Replay will be available shortly after the conclusion of this call.

Speaker Change: This call will include forward looking statements that involve risk factors that could cause <unk> results to differ materially from management's expectations and plans. We encourage you to review the safe Harbor statement contained in the press release issued with the result, this morning and also in ESG Muskie sand, we get it to refining for a full description of these.

Speaker Change: Risk factors also to ensure all participants have an opportunity to ask a question during the Q&A session. Please limit yourself to one question and a brief follow up no.

John Marshall: I'd like to turn the call over to John Marshall <unk>.

Speaker Change: So thank you Shea walnut.

Good morning, everyone and thank you for joining ESG, so while Q4 and the full year 2020 for Celanese fulfill in school.

Speaker Change: So today I will start with an overview of the fourth quarter and full year 2020 as well.

Speaker Change: Including business dynamics.

Speaker Change: And I will hand over to Lorenzo for the detailed financial overview.

Speaker Change: I will then comment on the outlook and conclude before answering your questions.

Speaker Change: So.

Speaker Change: Starting with Q4.

Speaker Change: You look persisting challenging or beyond them.

Speaker Change: We achieved our Q4 2000 2012 financial advisors.

Pretty much in line with the midpoint of our guidance.

Speaker Change: A well control net revenues decreased.

Speaker Change: 22, 4%.

Speaker Change: No.

Speaker Change: <unk> increased two 2% sequentially.

Speaker Change: <unk> three point $32 billion.

Speaker Change: Our gross margin was 37, 7%.

Speaker Change: All while operating margin was 11, 1%.

Speaker Change: Net income was $341 million.

Speaker Change: Although Q4 net revenues were in line with the midpoint of our business outlook hedge.

Speaker Change: Divert volume.

Speaker Change: Ideal who've been using better than eight colonies.

Speaker Change: Offset by lower who've been using your new CEO.

The automotive and communications equipment.

Speaker Change: Compute updating shareholders therefore.

Speaker Change: Victor.

Speaker Change: Q4 gross margin was broadly in line with the midpoint of our business outlook.

Speaker Change: Looking at the full year 2024.

Speaker Change: Net revenues decreased 23, 2%.

Speaker Change: $230 27 billion dollar.

Speaker Change: Mainly driven by U S total decrease in industrial.

Speaker Change: And to a lesser extent in automotive.

Speaker Change: Gross balance sheet.

Speaker Change: It's nine 3%.

Speaker Change: Oliver from 47, 9%.

Speaker Change: Full year 2023.

Speaker Change: Operating margin was 12, 6%.

Speaker Change: Compared to 26, 7% in full year 2023.

Speaker Change: And net income decreased 63% to $1 $56 billion.

We invested $2 $53 billion in net Capex.

Speaker Change: While generating free cash flow of $288 million.

Let's now discuss our.

Speaker Change: Business dynamics during Q4, and a recap of our 2000 to a default business highlights.

Speaker Change: Eager to them with you.

Speaker Change: During the fourth quarter, we continued to face a slowdown, particularly in Europe.

Speaker Change: And overall book to Bill ratio remains below one.

Speaker Change: Through 2024, we continued to execute our strategy <unk> is a position of the automotive industry to golf electrification.

Speaker Change: <unk>.

Speaker Change: And then a clarification, we won business with a walk power discrete and module.

Speaker Change: Both silicon and Silicon carbide.

Speaker Change: Great.

Speaker Change: Marco will take no disease, it's Massachusetts solutions.

Speaker Change: We the silicon carbide products.

Speaker Change: Oh, well the new for the Yale was $1.1 billion.

Speaker Change: Yeah.

During the year.

Speaker Change: We had multiple <unk> wins with both silicon carbide devices and modules for automotive customers.

Speaker Change: Including the gold bearing shed reason of Vale.

Speaker Change: I swear to us broadly in industrial applications.

Speaker Change: In China.

Speaker Change: Which is the fastest growing markets wanting to go to Vegas.

Speaker Change: We have a very strong Weber W depths of design in activities.

Speaker Change: And as of today, we have more silicon count by your engagements, we stopped Chinese gummy goals that.

Speaker Change: Although suppliers.

Speaker Change: Does this respect in June we announce we signed the low down the silicon carbide supply agreements.

Speaker Change: G D O two.

Speaker Change: We also introduced a false generation of Silicon carbide MOSFET technology.

Speaker Change: Bringing new benchmarks Boa efficiency power density and obviously.

Speaker Change: Although automotive Microcontrollers cutoff would you.

Speaker Change: Supports both electrification and digitalization.

Speaker Change: And doing the Yale we saw continued design, we'd blood across applications.

Speaker Change: Such as software defined vehicle would actually take deals and garlic tissue kitchen systems.

Important trends.

Speaker Change: All of the integration of multiple you see us.

Speaker Change: Towards the single BOP over 40 unit as a result, obviously takes you how much.

Speaker Change: During Q4, we added.

Speaker Change: Let's take then hopefully fall well I'd volts.

Speaker Change: Basically stayed off microcontroller sales.

Speaker Change: That's the way to us, but glad you series in the 30 to February designed for activation of Gaba.

Speaker Change: Convenience and off board charging applications.

Speaker Change: You got that.

Speaker Change: We worked closely with the outlook that gets them out of a barbell mobilized.

Speaker Change: The focus of their latest marketing project. So in production the IQ six semi.

Speaker Change: This obviously includes the IQ six L design.

Speaker Change: Designed for peso those by way of Augusta Ciszewski.

Speaker Change: For Levered, one driver assistance.

Speaker Change: What is that.

Speaker Change: IQ six H.

Speaker Change: Which delivers a best edge.

Speaker Change: Several view function that is.

Do you need to clear.

Speaker Change: During Q4.

Speaker Change: We continued to face delays are equally and invent doing like <expletive>.

Particularly in Europe.

While book to Bill <unk>.

Jeff: Looking at our 2024 I liked it definitely my dashboard application, we had the ball at all Jeff design wins.

Speaker Change: Including that dozen deaths.

Speaker Change: EV charging stations video Vornado GC steps.

Speaker Change: White goods.

Speaker Change: And factory automation.

Speaker Change: We told you why as well as a few products solutions and Haynesville designs.

Speaker Change: Also including IPF, almost silica applications and.

Speaker Change: I say about the loss of life.

Speaker Change: Are those the bulk of our growth opportunity or a I S. T. A.

Speaker Change: Offer waffle juice.

Speaker Change: Yeah.

Speaker Change: Neither of the dairy processing solutions, we felt just thanks, David STM 32 by Coke will tolerate microprocessors diabetes.

Speaker Change: Ecosystem.

Speaker Change: Until you see maybe you products indoors.

Speaker Change: But particularly our focus was on edge I E. They Benjamin for a walk estimates.

Speaker Change: He joined the S T edge AI suite came online.

Speaker Change: Again to get the doors.

Speaker Change: Software and <unk> to certify it accelerates edge AI application development.

Speaker Change: Initial bill we made a robust boa food MCU series.

Speaker Change: The S. G M 72, and six other.

Speaker Change: Enable saw broad bucket Adobe shifts.

Speaker Change: This series is the first to feature Oh, well opioid <unk>, Hey, Archie exit I hate to I view.

Speaker Change: Making it possible to IBM computer vision.

Speaker Change: How would you have pluses sheet solved.

Speaker Change: These edmar.

Speaker Change: And local shoe bell and industrial applications at the edge.

Speaker Change: The microcontroller.

Speaker Change: We also introduced a needle that gee the smart sensor all these edge AI processing for Moshe catchy in industrial and <unk> applications.

Speaker Change: The combination of software and ecosystem.

Speaker Change: Could you use to low world that buy out two and three for developers to take advantage of a I would say that the default malls for real time operating system.

Speaker Change: You talked about adults and youth club does your collaboration with Qualcomm technologies.

Speaker Change: For the unusually I should also just feeling consumer Iot solutions.

Speaker Change: Together, we are seeing.

Speaker Change: Quite good leading wireless connectivity technologies.

Speaker Change: Well, if you have a substitute cyclical corneal ecosystem.

Speaker Change: We also introduced the industry's first albeit at C. B G.

Speaker Change: Yesterday may still Dahl for E C Iot deployment.

Speaker Change: To support the participation of secure cloud connected.

Speaker Change: So that it continues.

Speaker Change: Q4 was slightly better than expected widened.

Speaker Change: In communication equipment, the compute don't get he showed was in line with our expectations.

Speaker Change: In personal electronics during 'twenty 'twenty four we continue to be successful with our focused approach.

Speaker Change: Who did the execution of all engaged customer programs.

Speaker Change: Securing sockets in flagship devices.

Speaker Change: With differentiated products.

Speaker Change: And literally zynga wallboard portfolio to address Iot applications.

Speaker Change: In communications equipment.

Speaker Change: Well, our communication business they developed cities resorts.

Speaker Change: We continue to poor guy Swehla with engaged christabel called jobs, each satellite instituted a communication foster Jill.

Speaker Change: And do we see a loss for the new player is.

Speaker Change: I'll buy Saturdays bucket.

Speaker Change: Let me know share was familiar for 2024 manufacturing initiative.

Speaker Change: In May we are adults, who construction of the new volume to absorb adjusted he could come by the manufacturing facility you can get that yeah, Italy.

Speaker Change: To manufacture probably they seasoned produce including distinct buckets.

Speaker Change: Along with the Silicon carbide substrate manufacturing facility on the <unk> side.

Speaker Change: These facilities will fall STC cowboy competes with fully vertically integrated manufacturing hub for silicon carbide devices.

Speaker Change: Yes.

Speaker Change: It's just that ADT.

Speaker Change: The overall strategic manufacturing initiatives are aligned with our assisted ability strategy.

Speaker Change: <unk> commitment to assist that they build manufacturing eat del Mar energy consumption greenhouse gas emissions.

Speaker Change: And what the wage.

Speaker Change: We are on target to be carbon neutral by 2020, you said that or do you like they'd be Directv should fob scope, one and two.

Speaker Change: And focusing on product coastal they should business covered Oh boy he could be cheeky sheds for scope three.

Speaker Change: And we all talk for what what a bloodbath search with your body definitely goal by 2027.

Speaker Change: I swear to asphalt wholesale consistent ability commitments.

Speaker Change: <unk> will play a measure of all either walk clause he should.

Speaker Change: Following the first visit E. R. G advanced lids in Q4 2023.

Speaker Change: We had two more in 2024.

Speaker Change: Why didn't you Debbie we felt like.

Speaker Change: And what is Malaysia, we said Gee.

Speaker Change: You will also notice.

Speaker Change: We just are those are those are already falls.

Speaker Change: We stood out for 15 years.

Speaker Change: We also continue to work closely with external bodies to bad debt that was pumped puzzles the measure sustainability indices.

Speaker Change: Let me close this section with a recap of our 2000 Twenty's walk up on development activities.

Speaker Change: S T I estimated that they'll see if he can change it.

Speaker Change: The way it work, but he spoke to and operates during 2024.

Speaker Change: Generally we don't go out and get these issues of our product groups into two groups split you default he bought Edwards stigma.

Speaker Change: As well as the creation of a new application buckets, you don't get these they should buy it bucket.

Speaker Change: Implemented across all divisions with the existing <unk>.

Speaker Change: Marketing organization.

Speaker Change: You bet.

Speaker Change: Was pleasing to be reappointed as a member and shuttle diminishing ball for them to expire at the end of 2000.

Speaker Change: 2027.

Speaker Change: At the World meeting of shareholders.

Speaker Change: Zoo was appointed as member of the managing Board pauses said treat yep Yep.

Speaker Change: Either dobell, Lloyds zelle, because he thought that the CFO.

Speaker Change: Responsibility is to go with oil supply should corporate development and he thinks that the external communication either you should to find those global procurement.

Speaker Change: Did you tell somebody should edit formation, thank rajeev I'll.

Speaker Change: I'll talk about that.

Speaker Change: But it appears your deals.

Speaker Change: You talked about.

Speaker Change: We also adults the launch of a new co pay you why pick up too.

Speaker Change: To reshape our manufacturing footprint.

Speaker Change: Oh, well wafer fab capacity.

Speaker Change: You bet Bill.

Speaker Change: Citi good either got the and cool.

Speaker Change: Two O blood medium adjusted he called Chalybite, you'd get that y'all, and if he says Oh, well global cost base.

Speaker Change: This program should result in defense did you give us capability to go or what was it used with an improve up there I think if you should see.

Speaker Change: T E.

Speaker Change: Cds is I.

Speaker Change: People visit median dollar hedge exiting 2020, you said that.

Speaker Change: Specifically he depths of opioid cheek expenses.

Speaker Change: S G&A and R&D.

Speaker Change: So Paul club is now going to stop.

Speaker Change: And we expect other all cost savings.

Speaker Change: That evening field taught me your daughter to appeal to about $60 million.

Speaker Change: <unk> 2027.

Speaker Change: Compare to the.

Speaker Change: Of course base of 2024.

Speaker Change: Now over to Lloyd Xu.

Key financial figures.

Lloyd Xu: Thank you Mark and good morning, everyone, let's start with a detailed review of the fourth quarter.

Lloyd Xu: Starting with revenues on a year over year basis by reportable segment.

Lloyd Xu: I know, probably some mems and sensor was down 15.5% male.

Lloyd Xu: Mainly due to the crazy in analog that Andy mentioned.

Lloyd Xu: Discrete products decreased 22 going to 1% that we.

Lloyd Xu: The decline in both power and discrete microcontroller revenue dip.

Lloyd Xu: Klein, 30.2%, mainly due to general Clark was microcontroller.

Digital Ic's and thereafter products declined 22, 8% mainly.

Lloyd Xu: Mainly due to Adas and infotainment.

By end market industrial declined by about 41%.

Lloyd Xu: Outdoor motiva by about 20%.

Lloyd Xu: Personal electronics by about 17% and communication equipment and computer peripheral that increased by about 2%.

Lloyd Xu: The year over year sales a decrease of 19.

Lloyd Xu: Eight percentage to Oems and 28, 7% to distribution.

Lloyd Xu: On a sequential basis.

Lloyd Xu: Revenue increased one point to one for the same day in analog Mems and sensor.

Lloyd Xu: Seven point.

Lloyd Xu: Seven zero percent in microcontroller and 13% in digital Ics and their life, while decreasing 6.8% the empowering discrete.

By end market.

Industrial grew by about 12 pressing communication I keep my computer peripheral by about 13% and Altamonte event by about 1%, while personal electronic decrease by about 8%.

Lloyd Xu: Turning now to profitability.

Lloyd Xu: Gross profit in the fourth quarter, what was that one point at $25 billion.

Lloyd Xu: Decreasing 35, 7% on a year over year basis.

Lloyd Xu: Gross margin was 37, 7% decreasing 780 basis points year over year.

Lloyd Xu: Mainly due to one from where they were product mix and to a lesser extent the sales price and higher unused capacity charges.

Lloyd Xu: Total net operating expenses amounted to $884 million in the fourth quarter.

Lloyd Xu: This was better than anticipated, reflecting higher level of R&D grants that are stronger dollar as well as the continued strict monitoring of our expenses in the current market environment.

Lloyd Xu: Talking about the net Opex, let me give you an indication for the first quarter of 2025.

Lloyd Xu: In the first quarter of 2025, we expect them to stand at about $850 million.

Lloyd Xu: As a reminder, these amounts that I've met the other income and expenses.

Lloyd Xu: Coming back to the fourth quarter as a result, our fourth quarter operating income decreased 64% to $369 million.

Q4 operating margin was 11 point to 1% down from the 23 point to 9% in the year ago period.

Lloyd Xu: We that analog Mems and sensor at 14, 7% power and discrete at 11, 9% their microcontroller at 14, 3% and digital Ics and arrive at 31%.

Lloyd Xu: Q4, 24, 19 camera was at $341 million compared to $1.08 billion in the year ago quarter.

Lloyd Xu: Any deal you eat that sure where.

Lloyd Xu: Zero point $37 compared to one point $14 last year.

Lloyd Xu: One year ago.

Lloyd Xu: As a reminder, the fourth quarter of 2023 net income include a onetime noncash income tax benefit of $191 million.

Lloyd Xu: Looking now at our full year 2024 financial performance net revenue decreased 23, 2% to $13 $27 million.

Lloyd Xu: By end market.

Lloyd Xu: On a year over year basis, industrial revenues decreased 49%.

Lloyd Xu: Out of Monty was down 14% accidentally thrown it declined 11%.

Lloyd Xu: And communication and they keep in a computer but he said however were down 2%.

Lloyd Xu: Although market represented about 46% of our total 24 revenues.

Speaker Change: So now, let Ronnie about 21% industrial 20% and communication and they keep in computer Betty you put up about 15%.

Speaker Change: My Gosh somebody channel sales to Oems and distribution represented 73% and 27% respectively.

Speaker Change: Of the total revenues in 2024.

Speaker Change: The lowest channel distribution compared to 2023, reflecting the inventory correction in the industrial end market.

Speaker Change: Which is mainly address through distributors.

Speaker Change: By region of Casto model with 40% of our 2024 revenues were from the Americas.

Speaker Change: 30% from Asia Pacific and 30% from EMEA.

Speaker Change: Looking at the safety performance by reportable segment analog and Mems and sensor was down 13% with all groups declined.

Speaker Change: Power and discrete or decreased $18 eight per center with a decline in both power and discrete there Mike.

Speaker Change: Microcontroller revenue was declined 38.

Speaker Change: 8%, mainly due to general purpose microcontrollers.

Speaker Change: Yeah.

Speaker Change: Digital Ic's and RF products declined six seats 16 at 0.5.

Speaker Change: And that's mainly due to Adas and.

Speaker Change: And infotainment.

Speaker Change: Okay.

Speaker Change: In 2020 for gross margin decreased to 39 three.

Speaker Change: <unk>, 3% compared to 47, 9% for 2023.

Speaker Change: Mainly due to product mix and to a lesser extent pip usage pricing and higher unused capacity charges.

Speaker Change: In 2024 operating margin decreased to 12 point.

Speaker Change: <unk> gone back to 26, 7% in 2023.

Speaker Change: By reportable segment.

Speaker Change: Analog and Mems.

Speaker Change: Mems and sensor operating margin decreased to 14, 3% up from 21 seven per se.

Speaker Change: In discrete operating margin decreased to 14.

Speaker Change: 7% up from 26, 1%.

Speaker Change: Microcontroller operating margin decreased to 14, 4% from 35, 6% and D. G dialog Ics.

Speaker Change: And so operating margin decreased to 29, 7% up from the 35, 6% of the previous year.

Net income what was that.

Speaker Change: One point $56 billion and earning per share what was that dollar one point 66.

Speaker Change: Net cash from operating activities decreased 55% in 2024 totally.

Speaker Change: Point at $97 billion.

Speaker Change: Net capex sense stood.

Speaker Change: Stood that debt too.

Speaker Change: Two points to $53 billion since 2024 in line with our expectation.

Speaker Change: Come back to four point $11 billion in 2023.

Speaker Change: Free cash flow.

Speaker Change: What was it $188 million in 2024 compared to $177 billion.

Speaker Change: Previous year.

Speaker Change: Inventory at the end of the year 2024, what was that two point $79 billion compare to <unk>.

Speaker Change: 2.7.

Speaker Change: Beyond all of us in 2023.

Speaker Change: Days sales of inventory.

Speaker Change: Yeah, Andy what was the 122 days substantially in line with our expectation.

Speaker Change: Back to 130 days at the end of Q3, 24, and 104 basis at the end of the previous year.

Speaker Change: Cash dividends paid to stockholders in 2024 total at $188 million.

Speaker Change: In addition, during 2024 X S T execute that share buyback totaling $359 million.

Speaker Change: I see net financial position of three point $23 billion as of December 31st 2024 reflects that that total liquidity.

Speaker Change: Six.

Speaker Change: Point $18 billion and total financial net debt.

Speaker Change: Two point at $95 million.

Speaker Change: Now back to John Macke, who will comment on our outlook.

John Macke: Well, thank you Lorenzo.

John Macke: Now, let's move to our business outlook for Q1 2025.

John Macke: Oh well business.

John Macke: Remains challenging.

John Macke: As we continue to face a delayed equals, Italy and invest to legal action in this field.

John Macke: And the slowdown in automotive.

John Macke: Both particularly in Europe.

John Macke: As a result, we headed up for 2024 with a book to Bill is still below poverty.

John Macke: As we indicated during our Q3 2024.

John Macke: As always we will expect junior Oh, well Q1, 2020 cycle then use quit.

John Macke: What Tony decline.

John Macke: Compared to Q4 2024.

John Macke: To be well above the notices of LNG.

John Macke: Lastly, due the lower the Lille scheduled down days as Q1 2025, we love it six less days than Q4 2024.

John Macke: We are comfortable easy right.

John Macke: We are expecting the Q1 2025 and use it.

John Macke: $251 billion plus.

Les: Les named Us their blood 50 basis points.

John Macke: Adobe Burns.

John Macke: Our Q1 2025 vehicles that use will decrease by 27, 6% and 24, 4% seek luxury.

John Macke: We expect our gross margin to be about 33, 8% plus.

John Macke: Gross named us toward blood business points.

John Macke: In terms of Capex.

John Macke: 2025, we plan to invest about two to $2 3 billion dollar EBIT capex.

John Macke: So to conclude.

John Macke: 2024 down how to be one of the worst yes, many decades for the industries we sell.

John Macke: Prosecute all either just scale.

John Macke: With you.

John Macke: It was characterized by unexpectedly weak head you bet.

John Macke: And I got a lot of inventories, which significantly impacted S. G.

John Macke: Good thing or would you still itchy.

John Macke: We had to postpone our rough 20 billion dollar plus live and youll be should that too.

John Macke: 220 <unk>.

John Macke: Julian you want capital market day, that's another bill.

John Macke: As we said to you in double digits triangle should model it for 27 28.

John Macke: We are all of them engage it did sound like to execute well manufacturing reshaping our cost saving program or.

John Macke: To restore profitability compared to your board with the rubber did.

John Macke: And investing easier, though they should to capture user wasn't used schools helps us secure trades, we all as wishy.

John Macke: Okay.

John Macke: Thank you and we all know we're ready to answer all your questions.

John Macke: We will now begin the question and answer session anyone who wishes to ask a question or make a comment.

John Macke: On the touch tone telephone.

John Macke: I want to confirm that you have to enter the queue.

John Macke: At least from the question queue.

John Macke: It just depends.

John Macke: Okay at this time.

John Macke: Please limit yourself to one question only.

Speaker Change: First question comes from from.

Speaker Change: From UBS.

John Macke: Go ahead.

Speaker Change: Thanks, a lot. So my question would be I mean, given the outlook that you see in Q1 and the book to Bill.

Speaker Change: That doesn't bring a lot of confidence at this stage, especially in terms of visibility.

Speaker Change: What what should we think about the rest of the year I mean, I'm I'm sorry, Mike you said, the I have to get them. Because there you are comfortable about you know the consensus numbers, which has.

Speaker Change: Minus 3% at the time.

Speaker Change: Following these results how should we think about the rest of the year and given the book to Bill you know how I should see that.

Speaker Change: Thank you very much.

Speaker Change: Hello, we are the business that led me to that of Q4 and the specific any of them to motiva.

Speaker Change: But we believe it's too early to communicate the lower or the new blood.

Speaker Change: For the full year of 2025.

Speaker Change: Considering again, the visibility we have eaten into steel, but boston or too much either.

Bob <unk> the visibility remains extremely low.

Speaker Change: Except.

Speaker Change: For the man on Geis Christa.

Speaker Change: In which we should grow.

Speaker Change: Susan that EG English too.

Speaker Change: So sichuan, but levered by content increased.

Speaker Change: While normal seasonality between Q2 and Q O Q1 is a July speaking of flattish for the news.

Speaker Change: And at this stage, we do not see any specific reason.

Speaker Change: Why it should be much detail that deposits is kettle dollar effect.

Speaker Change: So plus 3% Q2 versus Q1.

Speaker Change: Oh well.

Speaker Change: We think it's Phil.

Speaker Change: To expect to weather at the low point of 2025.

Speaker Change: Thank you folks like that'd be great. Thank you very much.

Speaker Change: All of it.

Speaker Change: Yeah.

Speaker Change: Been a weakening in the channel has been a fairly Uh huh, yeah. How do you see the level I mean do you see it and if he does so strong just talking if you can maybe disclose in the 10 out of where you are versus just a normal are you should see any lighting and the destocking.

Speaker Change: Pop this quarter in Q1 and of course Q4 is what I was thank you.

Lorenzo: Bezeq mission to Lorenzo.

Speaker Change: Damn all inventory in distribution are in that in the quarter.

Speaker Change: We have not seen a significant destocking got lets say steel at Citi.

Speaker Change: Situation I would say that there is some excess inventory.

Speaker Change: These X X. So it means that inventory and spacing that angel, one or two months, let's say depending on the problem, they're higher in respect of what we can see our north mine that.

Speaker Change: Situation in that email in distributions so yeah.

Speaker Change: And the speed we see.

Speaker Change: Anthony.

Speaker Change: Inventory and distribution.

Speaker Change: Well, the only pushing for that.

Speaker Change: The only positive point is.

Speaker Change: The largest could be T O H, so the wholesale Inc.

Speaker Change: The increase was slightly versus Q3.

Speaker Change: Basically as I see it has been driven by improved merchandise yeah.

Speaker Change: Why do you open up that he just did.

Speaker Change: Did those improve.

Speaker Change: But oh weather, causing a good time to visit BG, we have.

Speaker Change: The.

Speaker Change: Decrease in Chula Vista is Q4, so that's always a hawaii, but the legal action.

Speaker Change: In full doses.

Speaker Change: Thanks.

Speaker Change: Thank you Paul.

Speaker Change: Next question please.

Speaker Change: The next question comes out and you can be in it from Citi. Please go ahead.

Speaker Change: Hi, good morning, gentlemen, thanks for taking the question.

Mark: Mark given what you have just described in terms of.

Speaker Change: Despite the lack of visibility, but also use your current expectation is that that's a steadying too cheap how are you planning for fab loadings.

Speaker Change: The Underutilization charges and then also if you've got any steer on the net opex as we move beyond first quarter, starting the year at 850 effectively implying zero.

Speaker Change: <unk> operating profit.

Speaker Change: It'd be helpful to understand what your plans are for the next couple of quarters intensive, but net opex as well. Thank you Martin.

Lloyd Xu: Xu with Brexit question, what I can.

Lloyd Xu: They also share with you immediate T E that AR in Q1.

Lloyd Xu: We have already taken.

Lloyd Xu: Significant.

Lloyd Xu: Closure of Paducah someday.

Lloyd Xu: Across the world.

Lloyd Xu: Hubs in the assembly and test plants.

Lloyd Xu: Then that's doses.

Lloyd Xu: On a related to AR.

Lloyd Xu: Unload charges and no big student loans that would come in.

The loading eh.

Lloyd Xu: Let's say that in <unk>.

Lloyd Xu: You know the nice quarter.

Lloyd Xu: Yes.

Lloyd Xu: They passed over downloading tranches. So are you, saying he is a bold and 500 basis points or so you're saying is quite a heavy.

Speaker Change: And we have a plan also for temporary closing golf on manual blah Blah blah.

Lloyd Xu: Fabs.

Lloyd Xu: During this quarter.

Our expectation is that as well in Q2.

Lloyd Xu: We will continue let's say to have a significant amount in Panama unloading may.

Lloyd Xu: Maybe slightly improving and getting a respect to the first quarter, but still that are impacting <unk>.

Lloyd Xu: Significantly our gross margin.

Lloyd Xu: But in term of Opex intermodal back say as we said that.

Lloyd Xu: In this quarter, we do expect Alex.

Lloyd Xu: Net opex around $850 million.

Lloyd Xu: Then you'll know that we have that are started now I'll watch a programmer in Panama.

Lloyd Xu: Eddie sizing our opex.

Lloyd Xu: We think of that in 2025, we would start to see some first benefit all of our cost saving program on Opex.

Lloyd Xu: Overall, the saving program, where we sat this should be OLED or is on all three asset, but beyond that right around that $60 million.

Lloyd Xu: Compared to the cost base of 2024.

Lloyd Xu: We we think we estimated that that for 2025, we laugh at compared to the basic cost in 2024, something in the range of between 100 120 million BARDA impact that reduction on our expenses.

Lloyd Xu: On the other Randy you either not to forget that that that that we'd be buying back there, albeit inflation, meaning salary increase these kinds of things.

Lloyd Xu: Overall, we expect that the net Opex will decrease low single digits in 2025 compared to 2024. Despite the fact that that we have a lot of R&D grants in that took that as expected the lower R&D grants in 2025 to come back to the day to day in 2000.

Paul: Thank you Paul.

Paul: Do you have any follow up thank you very much.

Paul: It's just.

Speaker Change: A separate one that was just interested your mark on the comment you made regarding the visibility.

Paul: On the industrial side, I think that's pretty clear.

Paul: Given the weakness you saw in the fourth quarter and what Youre seeing in terms of the channel, but in full Q automotive was let's say okay in.

Paul: In line with your expectations.

Paul: You're also pointing out that the visibility that looking into this year was particularly weak.

Paul: What has perhaps changed for the worse or is it just the customers are so uncertain by not giving you.

Paul: Visibility on the normal lead time, just a bit of color around what's happening in automotive would be helpful.

No maybe we all could mean to the old way of working between <unk> and <unk>.

Paul: So that means.

Speaker Change: Oh the green.

Paul: Coming within two to three weeks of visibility.

Paul: So this is point number one.

Paul: It is also clear that are taking to account the actual situation of the overall automotive industry.

Paul: Between the mix change on the Delaware can we send in June.

Paul: Okay, but you're doing it.

Paul: Changed on the electrical <unk> Betsy base.

Paul: I believe what.

Paul: In Q1, Okay, we see our find them and Oh Sir.

Paul: The inventory adjustment.

Paul: That's the reason why you we anticipated.

Paul: And and we shared that gave us a market that to Q1 will be significantly.

Paul: Significantly below is the seasonality that generally speaking only due to personnel at clinique in.

Paul: China and ASEAN, Okay, because of Chinese new year, but this year refi by Billy Glacier.

Paul: Ultimate team.

Paul: Well I'll still Q1, Okay, we know that the sub tier one.

Paul: The adjusted EBITDA did easily swap guest but again.

Paul: Which is only a forecast, but the visibility of the pooling from the consignment inventory of very short tail.

Paul: So we are not protected against some fluctuation on diesel.

Paul: The reason why it would be we'd get bankruptcy situations.

Paul: Understood. Thanks, so much.

Andriy Sand: Thank you Andriy sand.

Paul: Sandra Ryan next question please.

Speaker Change: The next question comes from DDA Shimano from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

DDA Shimano: Good morning. Thank you for taking my question, Mitch or Mark if you could give us an update also on the manufacturing footprint.

DDA Shimano: Obviously the company is structured.

DDA Shimano: A substantially higher level of revenue, let me see you communicated you opex cuts over the next.

DDA Shimano: Three years can.

Speaker Change: Can you can you help us understand a little bit the rest of the opex or Cogs I should say a reduction.

Speaker Change: And we're the manufacturer manufacturing footprint will be will be reduced.

Speaker Change: And that would that would be helpful. Thank you.

Speaker Change: So long way with governments and yeah, maybe I take this question as you remember at our capital market day, we were indicating that that we wanted to celebrate our transformation of their manufacturing footprint accelerating I'll walk around they really need digital moving debt from 200 millimeter for silicon up to 300.

Speaker Change: Do you need that and for Silicon carbide that from the 150 million meet that towards the 100 million.

Speaker Change: So these blend now of course I.

Speaker Change: Cannot yelled at a significant benefit that already this year.

Speaker Change: Because definitely we need that.

Speaker Change: Our production now.

Speaker Change: From a <unk>.

Speaker Change: <unk> 200 millimeter fab, but two 300 millimeter fab as we said that overall the product program.

Speaker Change: Easily yielding including expenses are high triple digit, let's say savings.

Speaker Change: And what we have to be buying that do you, let's say database is a sizing going over the next three years, let's say in time will be expensive and as you have seen substantially we think that this would come in in our P&L.

Speaker Change: Quite evenly.

Speaker Change: In the next three years for what concern the Cork. So it will be mainly we will stop it to impact the 2026.

Speaker Change: The significant impact that will be in 2027, so the broken them out is that is a program that.

Speaker Change: Yeah, there are some benefits there.

Speaker Change: In 2026.

Speaker Change: And DCP would mainly let's say, thanks that will be accelerated.

Speaker Change: The move of the Silicon carbide, <unk> 150 to 200 millimeter and we'll email that they most of them were saving in 2020.

Speaker Change: Okay. Thank you.

Speaker Change: Follow up I, just wondered if you could give us an update on where you are in terms of general purpose microcontroller market share I think Mark you mentioned last quarter.

Speaker Change: If I remember correctly, that's about a quarter of the revenue contraction came from market share loss in China I think in consumer.

Speaker Change: Do you have any sort of a.

Speaker Change: Fresh thoughts on this.

Speaker Change: And I guess the question from here on the magnitude of the decline is such that people are starting to wonder whether it's much more than a cyclical downturn.

Speaker Change: Much market share you've actually lost.

Speaker Change: In China and elsewhere, So just give us a sense of your comfort level that this is this is cyclical and not structural.

Speaker Change: No I mean, we could see them basically as a relative weight of the.

Speaker Change: Would cause a delay when you would decline in 2012 gives you sense the tree. So zanesville equation, okay. It was 60%.

Speaker Change: Then okay.

Speaker Change: Lower market <unk>, 2% in market share loss clearly.

Speaker Change: Mainly in the mainstream microcontroller in the U S yet in China.

Speaker Change: With the competition and mainly on the beach. There is no reason the kit that <unk> change in basic way, we believe of how we weight really was whether that's to be true.

Speaker Change: But we believe that in Q4, we have leased up there to win market share.

Speaker Change: A D C, so well or what have you.

Speaker Change: What we are convinced.

Well then.

Speaker Change: Okay in order to construct a well says.

Speaker Change: A broad statement.

Speaker Change:

Speaker Change: The ECP U K to control and to continue to grow in this market.

Speaker Change: We remain the same so the the most compelling <unk> all the way on software stack.

Speaker Change: He is the most compelling Steve Okay, I'll dwell and surplus stuck India G suite.

Speaker Change: The most advanced ecosystem, we are basically more than one 2 million on the <unk> around the overall ecosystem.

Well, you know that the <unk> technology roadmap.

Speaker Change: We have one of the 14 nanometer all the.

Speaker Change: The enabling it would be Uh huh, that's almost to <unk> microcontroller, we are introducing.

Speaker Change: No no material additional or you will be a really competes achieve versus all the other boats or Phil harbert.

Speaker Change: Z or integrate the people.

Speaker Change: Then we have the manufacturing capacity.

Speaker Change: <unk>.

Speaker Change: And then okay. We are completing a well microcontroller with odd way like I said I suppose you'll fill in the eye.

Speaker Change: The wholesale connectivity, so and as we saw okay, although ecosystem or get that continuously.

Speaker Change: Switching Daisy Yoki, a well or two for you.

Speaker Change: No I I can feel yes, the competition is.

Speaker Change: Is.

Speaker Change: And Chad on G E, China, Indonesia, with a let's say a new player I would like to repeat that yeah in China to compete.

Speaker Change: We are developing a China for China strategy.

Speaker Change: It is a exhaustive strategy. It is not only about the manufacturing is a leg of manufacturing, but there is a leg of product development and product support and the result of business development and business people. So we are adapting ourselves completely.

Speaker Change: [noise] ecosystem of microcontroller in China in order to keep growing our market share.

Speaker Change: Yes, I could feel we lost 10% <unk>.

Speaker Change: Because okay doing a shortage valued we have six or eight bit microcontrollers as low entrusted to beat of the midstream.

Speaker Change: We do believe that partially will equal they'll moving footwall hopefully, okay microcomponent shop.

Speaker Change: Super competitive.

Speaker Change: <unk> features.

Speaker Change: Okay very helpful.

Speaker Change: Thank you D J.

Speaker Change: Next question.

Speaker Change: The next question comes from Min on John <unk> from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Speaker Change: Okay.

Speaker Change: Hi, good morning, Thanks for taking the question.

Speaker Change: I was just trying to get a feel for the gross margin possible progression through the year.

Speaker Change: Lorenzo you were saying that you won't get much L. B.

Speaker Change: The effect on the Cogs reduction in 2025 Ah and do you have the you have a 500 basis point on the utilization charge.

Speaker Change: Which is hitting your right now in Q1, so assuming that would be under utilization.

Speaker Change: Gradually improve through the course of the year I'll be in a situation where even by Q4 you may be you know 102 hundred basis points below the 40% level because because you know you're at it there is no other factor there or is there any other factors, which could come into play in the second.

Speaker Change: Half of the year in terms of product mix, so all cost reduction or anything like that oh, which which could which could improve your gross margin does you get to the end of the year.

Speaker Change: Thank you for your question and clearly.

Speaker Change: Clearly, let's say at this stage that is easily beat that in difficult times, they pay to give an indication for the gross margin all in.

Speaker Change: And these these also related to the fact that these stages.

Speaker Change: Z ability on the evolution of their revenues.

Speaker Change: It sounds like not get there, but I didn't go very innovative and regarding the unused capacity charges.

Speaker Change: For sure we will have a significant level of unloading named H one.

Speaker Change: But we think it should improve in H two.

Speaker Change: If it Didnt go from the additional content in personal electronics that busy supporting fab slowed Inc, especially let's say if loading on our 300 millimeter.

Speaker Change: Accounting bucket more and unloading charges. So as you can image.

Speaker Change: Clearly the level of unloading.

It will also depend on the magnitude of the recovery in industrial.

Speaker Change: This is another important factor.

Speaker Change: Then you have to consider that when we look at let's say.

Speaker Change: Yeah, No we we lavish on Matt David Windsor.

Speaker Change: Yeah.

Speaker Change: It definitely one is the price dynamic in Cogs, we have a positive impact that.

Speaker Change: Due to the cost of energy or lower cost for our foundry.

Speaker Change: There is stronger U S dollar debt, we'd gradually materialize there.

Speaker Change: Wouldn't let's say, yeah, Youll know that we have but not the full benefit due to our hedging policy.

Speaker Change: Assuming that the dollar we stay at this level, we will see positive impact of materializing during the year.

Speaker Change: <unk> will be also the mix the mix is I mean, one of the main thereafter in 2024.

Speaker Change: Clearly E depending on their recovery in the industrial the mix it will play a positive impact.

Speaker Change: Over the gross margin moving forward.

Speaker Change: But then we have some headwinds one of these as they come.

Speaker Change: I see the reservation fees.

Speaker Change: If you remember the capacity for repurchase reserve ratio on visa will decline this year.

Speaker Change: Yeah, we'd be declining by more than $200 million compared to 2024.

Speaker Change: And then we will expect the price erosion.

Speaker Change: The Roadrunner is expected in that answer off air.

Speaker Change: And meet their single digit I would say these are the dynamics there to quantify at this stage as a little bit complex to say.

Speaker Change: And then just on the sorry continue.

Speaker Change: If you want I can add to that that we think any way that that Q1 that for gross margin it will be the bottom.

Speaker Change: I have to say that we expected that Q1 will be the bottom. So we see progressively recover in Panama Brewers match.

Speaker Change:

Speaker Change: And just on the last two points the capacity reservation fee and the price erosion.

Speaker Change: You know the capacity reservation fee is that the linear steady effect through the four quarters or is there some kind of a linearity you added improved reduces into the second half. The items can you give us the same issue on price pressure is price pressure.

Speaker Change: Now is that any expectation that it could reduce in the second half as demand recovers or something about that.

Speaker Change: Well in term of a capacity reservation fees.

Speaker Change: Specially linear, albeit over the various quarters, you may add a plus or minus but not a significant change you're seeing in the core in downward pricing, but yes. If you want is impacted there.

Speaker Change: On a sequential basis, mainly for the renegotiation of the contract you know with the most people. So it will be a step down there that is not a repeatable over are they the other quarter. So at the end of let's say in the a we will see.

Speaker Change: Yeah, right now and are we expecting there and meet the single D. G a week.

Speaker Change: Significant portion has been already let's say.

Speaker Change: Factoring in that already in Q1.

Speaker Change: And can you just sort of my last one can you just remind us what your sensitivity on currency what.

Speaker Change: Do you have a formula.

Speaker Change: Date us off.

Speaker Change: In Panama that affect Sac.

Speaker Change: Lastly, we can say that is impacting that and drove a band 12 million.

Speaker Change: <unk> operating income.

Speaker Change: Per quarter.

Speaker Change: Or any one percentage change in debt in the euro dollar loss impact the business more or less a boxer. Then that then you know may change a little bit there because there is a portion of revenues that are in your own. These there is no hedging, but if you want that actually this is Jerry.

Speaker Change: Roulette that you may consider.

Speaker Change: Thank you very much thank you Jonathan.

Speaker Change: So now we have time for the last question. Thank you.

Speaker Change: The last question comes from Stefan <unk> from Adobe Hs. Please go ahead.

Speaker Change: Okay. Thank you very much.

Speaker Change: Actually I have a question on the honor to booties in on the secret Callbacks and now you've made a few comments.

Speaker Change: About the fact that you had some wins.

Speaker Change: In China, So I would like to understand if you think you can grow this year in in in Silicon carbide, and what would be the mix between new customers and the main customer that has been using your product. Thank you.

Speaker Change: But overall I will.

Speaker Change: Governments are food he also into 2020 on silicon carbide.

Speaker Change: Similarly.

Speaker Change: We don't want to Cummins is a food yet with the visibility we have well then specifically.

Speaker Change: On the on Silicon carbide.

Speaker Change: I will let <unk>.

Speaker Change: Michael two comments a few points.

Speaker Change: Really until you can tell I was important crucial for a season for doing.

Speaker Change: First of all Okay, we want to convey.

Speaker Change: As far as possible well manufacturing in eight inch. This is what we love. We have engaged you can get that you all and I repeat okay.

Speaker Change: Ish 2025, we started production in atg and get Danielle and partially okay.

Speaker Change: <unk> integrated the resort I'll tell you all and these two other daseke, mainly the western market.

Speaker Change: In China, Okay, I would like to insist that we started the issuance in 2026 Senate.

Speaker Change: <unk> two inhibitor and we will be fully integrated in China, Okay, with a well or a change in fab and similarly to the microcontroller.

Speaker Change: Will it be a let's say a China for China strategy for manufacturing for product development, and Super Bowl and for business development and Sioux Falls.

Speaker Change: 2025, we'd be towards Asia, but again it is too early to speak.

Speaker Change: And we expect to get them to exit out of Google's, 26, 27 and moving forward.

Speaker Change: More detail look at muscle can make some conclusions.

Jean Marc: Yes, Thank you Jean Marc.

Speaker Change: We presented during the capital markets day, the positioning that we have in this moment.

Speaker Change: In terms of sockets, where we are in the.

Speaker Change: The Chinese makers.

Speaker Change: Is this surely strong I think we are.

Speaker Change: Relative to peers, we have strong positions in terms of sockets. How these we spend a lot to do in 2025 in terms of top line, considering and overall as you know slowdown in stem cell battery electric vehicles is too early to see what I can say is that our.

Speaker Change: Our growth and that's what I can be shown in the long term is to retain the 30% market share.

Speaker Change: Is there and these will be driven by four elements.

Speaker Change: Innovation, because our technology is extremely strong we just introduced our generally shop floor and we are continuing to work to implement further generations our.

Speaker Change: Our manufacturing footprint.

Speaker Change: Some out in China, and get that and that is helping us to position ourselves strongly pursue both let's say the issue of the Chinese market and the wisdom of the world and we expect that beyond this transition period being 2025 to see a recovery and acceleration of the <unk>.

Speaker Change: And we will of course push not only for the automotive market, but in terms of city won't come back we want to enlarge our positioning in terms of industrial and.

Speaker Change: Data centers.

Speaker Change: How do you see the game the positioning in terms of sockets, where we are present in the Chinese market, we choose at this stage.

Speaker Change: Let's call. It has is that relatively to rfps.

Speaker Change: Extremely slow.

Speaker Change: Thank you Stefan on potency, we don't have.

Speaker Change: Our following question.

Speaker Change: So thank.

Speaker Change: Thank you everyone I think it is ending our call for this quarter. Thank you for attending and we at your disposal should you need any follow up question sorry for the one that you don't have time to ask a question. Thank.

Speaker Change: Thank you very much.

Speaker Change: Ladies and gentlemen, the conference is now over thank you for choosing chorus call and thank you for participating in the conference you May now disconnect your lines Goodbye.

Q4 2024 STMicroelectronics NV Earnings Call

Demo

STMicroelectronics

Earnings

Q4 2024 STMicroelectronics NV Earnings Call

STM

Thursday, January 30th, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Transcript

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