Q4 2024 Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc Earnings Call
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Speaker Change: Good day ladies and gentlemen and welcome to Consensus Q4 2024 earnings call
Paul: My name is Paul and I will be the operator assisting you today.
Speaker Change: At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation.
Speaker Change: If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad.
Speaker Change: On this call from ConsenSys will be Scott Taricki, CEO, Jim Malone, CFO, Johnny Hecker, CRO and Executive Vice President of Operations, and Adam Varon, Senior Vice President of Finance.
Speaker Change: I will now turn the call over to Adam Varon, Senior Vice President of Finance at ConsenSys. Thank you. You may begin. Good afternoon, and welcome to the ConsenSys Investor Call to discuss our Q4 and year-end 2024 financial results.
Speaker Change: other key information, and our 2025 full year and Q1 2025 guidance.
Speaker Change: Joining me today are Scott Taricki, CEO, Johnny Hecker, CRO and EVP of Operations, and Jim Malone, our CFO.
Speaker Change: The earnings call will begin with Scott providing opening remarks. Johnny will give an update on our operational progress.
Jim Malone: since our Q3 2024 investor call, and then Jim will wrap it up to discuss Q4 2024 and full year 2024 financial results, then provide our full year 2025 and Q1 2025 guidance range.
Jim Malone: After we finish our prepared remarks we will conduct a Q&A session. At that time the operator will instruct you on the procedures for asking a question.
Jim Malone: Before we begin our prepared remarks, allow me to direct you to the forward-looking statements and risk factors on slide two of our investor presentation.
Jim Malone: As you know, this call and the webcast will include forward-looking statements.
Jim Malone: Such statements may involve risks and uncertainties that would cause actual results to differ materially from the anticipated results.
Jim Malone: Some of those risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the risk factors that we have disclosed in our 10-K SEC files.
Scott Taricki: Now let me turn the call over to Scott for his opening remarks. Scott, take it away.
Scott Taricki: Thank you, Adam. Q4 was another solid quarter for consensus. We saw an improving revenue growth rate in our corporate channel and a continuation of the slowing rate of revenue decline in our SOHO channel, both of which resulted in reaching the high end of our quarterly revenue guidance.
Scott Taricki: Based in part on planned increased marketing spend, we expected an EBITDA margin in Q4 of 51%, which we were able to obtain.
Scott Taricki: We were also able to repurchase approximately $20 million in debt during the quarter, bringing us closer to our goal of total debt to EBITDA of less than three times.
Scott Taricki: Looking at the full year, it was very successful against our stated objectives for 2024. We were able to exceed our expectations for corporate revenue growth, coming in just shy of 5% for the year, against an expectation of 3.1% at the midpoint of our guidance.
Scott Taricki: Similarly, in our SOHO channel, we saw a decline of 13.3% against an expectation of a decline of 14.5%.
Scott Taricki: This combination allowed us to exceed our midpoint of guidance by 5.3 million dollars in revenues for the year.
Scott Taricki: As we stated each quarter, our focus was on driving EBITDA productivity while rationalizing our online marketing spend. We achieved margins for the year of approximately 54%, which is at the high end of our range of 50-55%.
Scott Taricki: More importantly, this EBITDA translated into a record $88 million in free cash flow.
Scott Taricki: Additionally, we continued to add customers to our corporate channel, especially in the healthcare sector, increased the pace of rollout to the VA facilities, and started to see traction with our clarity offerings.
Speaker Change: We are excited for 2025 and beyond. Johnny and Jim will provide granular detail for our guidance, but I will make a few observations.
Speaker Change: We see a continuation of the trend for improved corporate growth and a slowing of the decline in SoHo. This combination has us flat for the year in revenues at the midpoint of our range and improvement over the revenue decline of 3.4 percent experienced in 2024.
Speaker Change: From an operational perspective, we believe that we could hold EBITDA margins flat with 2024, but view this as a mistake given the opportunity in our space.
Speaker Change: Based on the two years of work that Johnny and his team have done to realign the sales and marketing teams in the corporate channel, we will be adding personnel to our go-to-market operations throughout the year.
Speaker Change: While it will negatively impact our margin by approximately one percentage point in 2025, we believe that it will provide us with the momentum to return to total revenue growth in 2026.
Speaker Change: We have also begun to look at our capital structure in anticipation of the 6% notes maturing in October 2026.
Speaker Change: We will continue to evaluate the various options and markets available to us. However, based on what we know today, it appears that our most cost-effective and expeditious financing option will be to expand our bank line of credit.
Speaker Change: This, combined with our intention to pay down an additional $30 to $40 million of debt by October 2026, will give us ample proceeds to retire the notes in maturity. While we have looked at refinancing both tranches of debt, the cost of retiring the currently non-callable 6.5% notes is prohibitive.
Speaker Change: We will update you throughout the year as our thinking gels on our refinancing options. I will now turn the call over to Johnny.
Johnny Hecker: Thank you, Scott, and hello everyone. Today, I'd like to discuss our Q4 and full year 2024 results, focusing on revenue, customer count, and go-to-market strategy for both our corporate and Soho business channels.
Speaker Change: Additionally, I'll provide an operational update and share some insights into our 2025 outlook.
Speaker Change: The corporate business demonstrated strong growth and increased momentum in Q4 with a revenue increase of approximately 7.1%. Revenues grew from $49.4 million in Q4 last year to $52.9 million this year, contributing to a full-year corporate revenue of $209.1 million.
Speaker Change: This represents a 4.8% growth rate year-over-year compared to $199.6 million in 2023.
Speaker Change: The extraordinary growth rate in Q4 was driven by several factors. Q4 of last year was impacted by a focus on collections, resulting in increased customer terminations and customer loss. These factors significantly impacted Q4 2023 revenues and the 2024 entry run rate.
Speaker Change: Therefore, normalized for these impacts on business days, we still achieved growth of approximately 5.5% in Q4 of 2024. I am very pleased with the business showing strong performance considering seasonality.
Speaker Change: We are seeing continued consumption growth, especially in CloudFacts within the healthcare sector. Our existing customer base is using our services more and new customers are being implemented and ramping up.
Speaker Change: This results in a revenue retention rate of 100.5% for fiscal year 2024, a notable improvement of 170 basis points from 98.8% one year ago and also increasing from 99.8% in Q3.
Speaker Change: Our go-to-market strategies' emphasis on customer retention, upselling, and cross-selling has produced positive results.
Speaker Change: which we are very happy to see. The success and momentum in the corporate revenue channel are further evidenced by this encouraging indicator which we believe to be sustainable going forward.
Speaker Change: We have achieved a record high corporate customer count of approximately 59,000. Just with eFacts Protect, which is a fully automated e-commerce offering for corporate customers, and the Soho Upsell to Corporate program alone, we were able to add more than 3,000 customers to the corporate account base in Q4. This is another successful quarter for customer acquisition.
Speaker Change: The Corfid Arpa remains seasonality related stable at $304 roughly matching the $306 figure from the same period in the previous year.
Speaker Change: Full year ARPA ended at a robust $311 for the entirety of 2024 compared to $316 in 2023.
Speaker Change: This is explainable with our e-commerce success and the large number of customers we added at the lower end of the corporate customer continuum throughout 2024.
Speaker Change: Our 2024 go-to-market strategy has proven successful, and I am delighted with the results providing tailwind for this new fiscal year.
Speaker Change: Let me quickly provide an update on the VA. The e-C-FACS solution offered in partnership with Accenture Federal Services has shown great progress in its initial deployment at the Department of Veterans Affairs.
In 2024, ECFAC's revenue exceeded $2.6 million.
Speaker Change: With the recent FedRAMP High Impact Authorization awarded just last week, we expect this growth to continue in the coming years, potentially reaching up to $5 million in corporate revenue contribution in 2025.
Speaker Change: The conclusion of the FedRAMP High Authorization will make the solution more attractive to other government agencies. Additionally, with a fully operational platform in place, future deployments are expected to be faster than our experience with the VA, which required us to build the entire platform in a government-approved cloud environment.
Speaker Change: Moving on to the Soho Channel, revenue for Q4 was $34.1 million, down 11.1% from $38.3 million in the same period last year.
Speaker Change: 2024 fiscal year SOHO revenues were $141.3 million versus $162.9 million in 2023, a planned decline of better than expected 13.3%.
Speaker Change: The total SOHO account base also saw a slight decrease from $768,000 to $747,000 during the quarter.
Speaker Change: So, revenue for the fourth quarter exceeded our initial projections due to the strength of our brand portfolio and targeted marketing initiatives across multiple brands.
Speaker Change: We are continually optimizing self-revenue management through close monitoring of these initiatives and marketing programs.
Speaker Change: In the fourth quarter, the ARPA increased slightly to $14.99 from $14.88 in Q3 of 2024, and the cancer rate remained stable at 3.38%, the same as in Q3.
Speaker Change: The full year cancel rate for 2024 showed improvement, decreasing to 3.4% from 3.54% in 2023 at an overall ARPA of $14.92 down from $15.31 in fiscal year 2023. This is due to the introduction of the discounted first month versus a free trial period.
Speaker Change: Our focus on automating and optimizing customer acquisition programs has yielded continuous improvement.
Speaker Change: This strategy's success is evident in performance across all brands exceeding our initial projections. We will continue on the path of integrating digital advertising and SEO with a focus on a healthy LTV to CAC ratio.
Speaker Change: In conclusion, I'd like to share our outlook for 2025 and an update on the current market conditions. First for Soho, and then in a bit more detail for our corporate channel.
Speaker Change: In 2025, we will continue to prioritize profitability and stability by optimizing our current operations and resources for the Soho business, just as we did in 2024.
Speaker Change: Our focus will be on leveraging existing strengths and offerings to ensure long-term sustainability. We will not pursue aggressive growth strategies.
Speaker Change: For 2025, we are planning for approximately $128 million in SOHO revenue at the midpoint of guidance, down from $141 million in 2024.
Speaker Change: The decline rate will slow down from 13.3% in 2024 to approximately 9.5% in 2025.
Speaker Change: We intend to maintain this trend while continuing to carefully control and optimize our marketing expenses.
Speaker Change: Looking at 2025 for the Corporate Channel, despite macroeconomic and political uncertainties, we remain cautiously optimistic in light of the encouraging signs that we are currently observing.
Speaker Change: The healthcare sector experienced a period of slow decision-making and reluctance to invest following the rapid growth due to the pandemic. However, we are now seeing encouraging signs in our market performance and a return to normality.
Speaker Change: The 2023 realignment of our go-to-market strategy and our focus on customer retention and product suite optimization have proven successful.
We will continue to prioritize our core FACTS business.
Speaker Change: Our advanced solutions, specifically Unite and Clarity, are perfect additions to effects and are generating significant market interest.
Speaker Change: Unite and Clarity, featuring AI technology for data extraction and conversion, facilitate interoperability and advanced data processing.
Speaker Change: We are happy to share that we are in full production with Clarity with accelerated implementation and promising proof of concepts for clients.
Speaker Change: Advanced solutions only marginally contribute to corporate revenue at this point and in 2025. However, they are strategically irrelevant from a go-to-market perspective, especially with healthcare being of such relevance to our business.
Speaker Change: Our entrenched market position, our strategic partnerships, and our rigorous execution set us up for continued improvement in our growth rate.
Speaker Change: Our goal is to achieve corporate revenue of $222 million at the midpoint of guidance in 2025.
Speaker Change: which would reflect a 6-6.5% growth rate compared to 2024 and keep us on track to exceed 5% despite 0.5% fewer business days in 2025 compared to 2024.
Speaker Change: Within the next two to three years, we aim to accelerate growth in the corporate business channel into the double digits.
Speaker Change: Overall, at the midpoint of our guidance, we anticipate a flat revenue year at 350 million dollars and growth in the years thereafter, which is encouraging and an improvement from what we had projected just a year ago.
Speaker Change: I want to wrap up by expressing my sincere gratitude to our employees for their exceptional dedication and to our customers and partners for their ongoing collaboration and trust.
Speaker Change: And now, I'll hand the call over to our CFO, Jim Malone, who will provide an update about our financial results and guidance. Over to you, Jim.
Thanks for watching!
Jim Malone: Thank you, Johnny, and good afternoon, everyone. In our press release and on this earnings call today, we are discussing Q4 2024 and full-year 2024 results.
Jim Malone: plus 2025 full year and Q1 2025 guidance. We expect to file our fiscal 24, 10 K by close of business today.
Let's start with our corporate business results.
Jim Malone: Q4 2024 revenue of $52.9 million increased $3.5 million or 7.1% versus prior year, performing better than expectations.
Full year estimated share count and income tax
Jim Malone: rate are 20 million shares and 20.5% to 22.5% with 21.5% taxes at midpoint, respectfully.
Jim Malone: As Johnny mentioned, the strong growth in Q4 2024 was influenced by AR cleanup and customer terminations previously mentioned in our Q4 2023 call.
Jim Malone: Normalized for these factors and seasonality, we achieved a strong Q4 2024 corporate growth rate of approximately 5.5%. Q4 2024 corporate ARPA of $304 was essentially flat and when adjusted for seasonality in Q4 2024 versus
Jim Malone: Q4 2023 was roughly in line with $306 of the prior year comparable period. Full year corporate revenue of $209 million.
Jim Malone: is up 9.5 million or 4.8% versus prior year, continuing an upward growth trajectory into 2025. Full year 2024 corporate offer ended at a solid $311 compared to $316 in the prior comparable period and in line with the last several quarters range of 305 to 320.
Jim Malone: Q4 2024 revenue of $34.1 million decreased $4.3 million or 11.1% over the prior year
Jim Malone: As mentioned previously, this decrease is driven by our plan reduction in advertising spent and the corresponding year-over-year base reduction due to fewer paid ads. Offer of $14.99, a decrease of approximately 1% year-over-year, has resulted in shifting
Versus a free trial
These plans continue to be net economically beneficial.
should be noted that year-over-year paid ads were up.
Jim Malone: 3,000 despite an approximate 30% reduction in Q4 2024 24 year-over-year advertising spent
Thanks for watching!
Speaker Change: Churn of 3.38% while up slightly year over year is in line with the last several quarters and within expectations.
Full year, SOHO revenue was $141.3 million.
Speaker Change: down $21.7 million or 13.3% versus prior year as we reduced our advertising spend by approximately 50% in 2024 versus 2023.
Soho opera revenue of $14.92
Speaker Change: down from $15.31, largely driven by the discounted first month promotion.
Speaker Change: with full year customer churn of 3.4% versus 3.54%, a 14 basis point improvement.
Speaker Change: Moving to consolidated results, Q4 consolidated results, revenue of $87 million is a decrease of 0.8 million or 0.9% over Q4 2023, performing better than expectations.
Speaker Change: Just an EBITDA of $44.4 million versus $47.2 million in Q4 2023 delivered a 51% EBITDA margin in line with expectations. Just a net income of $25.8 million is an increase of $4.4 million or 20.8% over prior year primarily
Speaker Change: higher share count. Q4 2024 non-GAAP tax rate and share count was 20.6%, approximately 19.6 million shares. Full year consolidated results. Full year 2024 revenue of 350.4 million is a decrease of 12.2 million or 3.4% over the
Speaker Change: prior year, largely driven by the planned decline in our solo business, partially offset by a better than expected growth in corporate.
Speaker Change: This was approximately 5 million more than the midpoint of our guidance.
Speaker Change: Full year 2024 EBITDA was $188.4 million, an increase of 1.8 million, or 1% from the prior comparable period. Improvement is driven primarily by lower advertising spend and cost optimization efforts.
Speaker Change: partially offset by higher taxes. The 2024 non-gap tax rate and share count was 20.6% and approximately 19.4 million shares respectively. Moving to our capital allocation strategy.
Speaker Change: As mentioned in our November 2023 earnings call, we announced a $300 million three-year bond repurchase program.
Speaker Change: Q4 2024, we repurchased $20.1 million face value for $20 million in cash. Our continued strong cash flow has allowed us to repurchase $207 million face value bonds for our $193 million cash program to date. And we have $93 million remaining under our current authorized program.
Speaker Change: We expect our free cash flow to be similar to 2024, providing us with sufficient cash to meet our leverage target by the maturity of our 6% notes.
Speaker Change: With the debt repurchases just mentioned, total debt to adjusted EBITDA is 3.2 times. Net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio is 3 times and we are getting very close to achieving our total debt to adjusted EBITDA target of 3 times. We end at fiscal 24 with cash of $34 million which is sufficient to fund our operations.
Speaker Change: Thank you for joining us on Repurchase Our Debt and Equity. Full year 2024 free cash flow is 88 million.
Speaker Change: vs. $77 million in the prior comparable period on strong cash flow from operating activities with CapEx of $33 million down $3 million or 8% vs. the prior year. Moving to 2025 guidance, full year, revenue between $343 million and $357 million with $350 million at midpoint.
Speaker Change: Trusted EBITDA between $179 million and $190 million with $185 million at midpoint. Trusted EPS between $5.03 to $5.42 with $5.22 at midpoint. Full year estimated share count and interest tax rate are 20 million shares and tax rate between 20.5%.
and 22.5%, or 21.5% at midpoint, respectfully.
Speaker Change: Please remember that our 2025 guidance and results exclude foreign exchange gain losses on revaluation of intercompany accounts.
Speaker Change: I'd like to comment on this change and how we will report adjusted net income beginning in our Q1 2025 financial statements.
Speaker Change: Our adjusted net income calculation will eliminate foreign exchange gains and losses on intercompany balances in both periods 2025 and 2024.
Speaker Change: This line item can fluctuate significantly from period to period and its operating metric does not represent the company's operating performance. Therefore, we are eliminating it from our results.
Speaker Change: As stated in our press release file today, the impact on the full year 2024 EPS was $0.18, resulting in a pro forma EPS of $5.45, excluding the 2024 foreign exchange gain.
Thank you for watching!
For more information visit www.fema.gov
Speaker Change: For the first quarter of 2025, we are providing guidance as follows. Revenues between $85 million and $89 million, with $87 million at the midpoint.
Speaker Change: Trusted EBITDA between $44.8 million and $47.8 million with $46.3 million at the midpoint.
Adjusted EPS $1.26 to $1.36 with a $1.31 at midpoint.
Estimated
Speaker Change: 2025 share count and income tax rate are 20 million shares.
and a tax rate between 19.5% to 21.5%.
Speaker Change: This concludes my formal remarks and I'd like to turn the call back to the operator for Q&A. Thank you.
Thanks for watching!
Speaker Change: Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. In the interest of time, we ask that you please limit yourself to one question.
Speaker Change: If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 if you would like to remove yourself from the queue.
Speaker Change: For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys.
Speaker Change: Once again, please press star 1 if you wish to ask a question and one moment, please while we pull for questions
David Larson: And the first question today is coming from David Larson from BTIG. David your line is live
David Larson: Congratulations on the good quarter. Can you maybe talk about the uptake of your advanced products, in particular like Clarity and J-Sign at the Vive conference? There was a lot of talk about the use of AI to basically like submit appeals, letters to health plans to basically
David Larson: convert written data into structured data to assist with the adjudication of claims. Any color on the uptake there and processes there would be helpful. Thank you.
Johnny Hecker: Yeah, hi David, this is Johnny. Very good question, thank you for that. Yeah, so we're excited about where we are with Clarity today. The product is in full production and maybe to give a little bit of insight of what the product does.
It applies artificial intelligence and the underlying LLM models.
Johnny Hecker: to extract or to understand basically unstructured documents primarily for us obviously coming from the fax world but is also capable of ingesting documents from other channels and then extract
Johnny Hecker: based on the prompts that were programmed individual data points and put those into a structured data format and then import those in for example an EHR system or any kind of system.
Johnny Hecker: through a variety of file formats. We can customize those for our customers.
Johnny Hecker: There's a lot of demand for that. There's a lot of POCs. We have a few systems actually in production already. So we're able to win customers to sign contracts. We're in deployment. We're in production.
Johnny Hecker: There's a lot of ideas of what can be done with a technology like that, which makes it
Johnny Hecker: A little bit more difficult on the deployment side, which is why we need a lot of, you know, proof of concepts to really fine-tune this for individual customers.
Johnny Hecker: But we're also very much focusing on, you know, developing replicable solutions. We've mentioned this in the past. We have two models that are out there right now. One for prior authorization purposes, so understanding a prior authorization request, extracting data points there, and accelerating the processing of those.
Johnny Hecker: and secondly basically categorizing and classifying clinical documents and then extracting primarily patient demographics but also additional data points regarding insurance
and those kind of things, and then...
Johnny Hecker: creating a CCDA document and then, you know, forwarding that document in a, in a structured format and basically
Johnny Hecker: providing two things, the unstructured document, so it can still be read by the human eye, plus a structured data file with these demographics. So that accelerates...
Johnny Hecker: the process of filing these documents within, for example, EHR systems.
Johnny Hecker: What we're currently not doing is really extracting things like a diagnosis or or you know more more complicated text. We're really very much focused right now on the on the structured data fields.
Speaker Change: that's that's great thank you and then just at a high level of corporate revenue growth I think it was up 7% year-over-year that's a pretty substantial
Speaker Change: acceleration from I think you're at like 2.7 earlier in the year. I mean what do you what are your expectations for corporate revenue growth going forward on a quarterly basis and just any general color on the on the demand environment? Have we turned the corner? Thanks very much.
Speaker Change: So, I think in terms of the numbers, as Johnny pointed out, Dave, the 7.1, while it is a correct mathematical calculation,
We did have
Speaker Change: a variety of account cleanups in Q4 of 2023. So we believe that's not the best comparison. And I think as Johnny noted in his...
Johnny Hecker: prepared remarks that more normalized year-over-year growth is about five and a half percent.
Johnny Hecker: still the best of the four quarters in 2024 and you're correct we had a low of 2.7 so just under three percent in one of the preceding quarters so as we look out you'll see the midpoint of the guidance about six and a quarter percent growth in corporate
Johnny Hecker: As Johnny mentioned, there's fewer business days in 25 versus 24, that matters to us, particularly in corporate.
Johnny Hecker: I think that, you know, it will not, as you saw in 24,
Johnny Hecker: equal in each of the four quarters because there is some volatility in terms of timing of wins and onboarding of customers. But, you know, I think if you look at the exit rate of five and a half and you look at the annual target of six and a quarter, there's obviously not a lot of variation between the two.
Johnny Hecker: So you should expect a, I think a, from an analytical standpoint, a reasonably smooth progression from where we exited Q4 to getting to that number for the full fiscal year. And our expectation is we'd be at a somewhat higher run rate going into 26.
Johnny Hecker: And then you might want to talk about some of the demands that we're seeing. Yeah. So I mentioned it on the call, right? I think I called it cautiously optimistic. We're seeing more than just green shoots. We're actually able to close fields. We see a little bit of acceleration in the decision making. We're collecting the fruits.
Johnny Hecker: and and there was there's there's two factors to this on the one hand I think the market has normalized a little bit like I mentioned it on the call there was
Johnny Hecker: There was a lot of tailwind during the pandemic. There was a lot of fast decision-making. People just needed to get stuff done, so we profited from that. But then post-pandemic, we had the exact opposite, so it was more of a headwind.
and I think that market condition has finally normalized.
Johnny Hecker: That is one of the things that happened. And secondly, we did align our go-to-market on the sales side as well as on the marketing side. And we started early in 2023 to adjust to changed market conditions. And we have done a lot of things operationally. We have...
Johnny Hecker: made some structural changes in our go-to-market and and build the foundations that we need to now accelerate our growth so
Johnny Hecker: We feel like we're in a very good position to, and to your question, if we have turned the corner, yes, that's what it feels like. I think we're on an upward path.
Johnny Hecker: And I mentioned on the call, our ambition is to get to double-digit growth in our corporate channel. Is that going to happen?
Johnny Hecker: 2025 or 2026? Probably not, but the years thereafter that's what we're expecting. That's what we're aiming for.
Johnny Hecker: Usual copy. Obviously it assumes that the economy doesn't completely implode sometime between now and then, but you know, I would expect you would have that as a basic assumption.
Johnny Hecker: Thanks very much. You guys have a good quarter. Thanks David.
Appreciate it. Thank you.
Speaker Change: Thank you and once again it will be star one if you wish to ask a question on today's call.
The next question is coming from Fatima Bulani
From Citigroup, Fatima Yearline is live.
Speaker Change: Hey, great. Good afternoon. This is Mark Osler for Futenma. Thanks for taking our questions. Maybe can you guys give some finer details in terms of how the 25 go-to-market investments will be allocated?
So, you know, looking to...
Speaker Change: I guess like, you know, is it towards adding more sales headcount to go out to new customer cohorts or even new industries or pursuing new partnerships? And then just on timing, is there a ramp up period associated with these investments to really put the revenue acceleration in 26? Thanks.
Yeah, thank you, Mark. Very good questions.
There's multiple ways that we're investing.
Speaker Change: On the one hand, yes, it's particularly go-to-market and sales headcount, which we're expanding. That will be ramping throughout the year.
Speaker Change: and most of that impact will not happen in 2025. We will see some of it, obviously, but most of it is really investment into the future in 2026 and beyond.
Speaker Change: Like I mentioned in the earlier question or the response to the earlier question, we had to build out that foundation and that structure to actually scale up. And that's what we're focusing on right now. Obviously still keeping our EBITDA margin.
in mind and managing that at a pace rate.
Speaker Change: You know, monitoring very closely our spend on SOHO, and we have shifted over the last year and a half, and we'll continue to do so. Some of those marketing funds.
Speaker Change: to our corporate marketing expense. So we're attending a lot of trade shows.
Speaker Change: We're doing digital advertising. We're working on a thought leadership program. So there's a lot of marketing programs that we're doing to establish ourselves More and more in the market and and generate demand for the corporate channel
Speaker Change: And I would just add to that, I think in terms of the expense, if you're looking at how the expense spread, it's not perfectly routable over the four quarters, but it does ramp from right now, so we actually are in the mode of hiring as we speak, and actually already 45 days into the quarter, over the balance of the year.
So
Speaker Change: You know, you should expect that you're going to get some impact in Q1. It's going to be larger in Q2. Your biggest impact will be in Q4 because you have the cumulative effect of the four quarters of the incremental heads. So, you know, roughly it's a million dollars a quarter, but it's going to be much lower than that in Q1. It'll be slightly higher than that in Q4.
in terms of the effect. Sorry.
Thank you.
Speaker Change: Great. Thanks for the detail. And maybe if I could just follow, I know, Johnny, you mentioned, you know, you're building out the foundation and structure this year already in terms of global market spend. So, you know, why aren't we seeing a little bit more call it acceleration or, you know, optimism on 25 guide? Is there something that's holding you guys back? You know, it seems like you're the demand is turning the corner.
Speaker Change: That's, you know, keeping you guys from being a little bit more progressive on 25. Thanks.
Speaker Change: Yeah, good question. I think we are seeing acceleration, right? If you compare it to our last year's growth rate, we're now going, you know, above 5%. That is significant, significant change. Looking at
Speaker Change: where we're coming from. One of the key reasons why we don't see the speed that you're asking about is the majority of that investment goes off market.
Speaker Change: So, I think our e-commerce engine, our down-market and mid-market sales engine, they're operating very efficiently and very well. And they're adding a lot of customers, so a number of accounts to our corporate base.
Speaker Change: But the revenue impact is, you know, by no means the size if you add like five or six of these very, very large customers, with the VA probably being on the very top end. So.
Speaker Change: I've talked about the customer continuum in the past and those upmarket customers have way longer sales cycles and then once you have closed then they also have longer ramp cycles.
So if you think about sound cycles of six...
Speaker Change: six to nine, maybe sometimes 12 months, it takes a while to bring on those customers and then they ramp over another period of six to 12 months.
Speaker Change: So sometimes it's a two-year effect until you see the full impact of a customer like that onboarding. In the case of the VA, it's even longer. It took us two to three years to close the deal, and now we're in the process of rolling that out, which is another three, maybe five-year process.
for full penetration.
Great, thank you guys very much.
Thank you.
Thank you. And there were no other questions.
Go ahead.
Speaker Change: Apologies. Yeah, I'm sorry. There were no other questions, but we did get one more come in.
Speaker Change: Okay, we do have some questions via email, so let me take those while you queue the additional live questions.
Speaker Change: There's a few questions that came in by email. One is talking about the drivers of the range of growth for corporate, which would be four and a half to eight and a half percent, six and a quarter roughly is the midpoint in terms of our guidance. That will be driven predominantly through new customer additions as opposed to material changes in the ARPA.
Speaker Change: As you've noticed, the ARPA tends to be in a fairly tight range of maybe $20 plus or minus $3.10. And we don't expect that that's probably going to shift materially this year. So the driver's going to come from...
Speaker Change: new customer ads more than a material move in the ARPA? The second question, I think, is an interesting one, but I don't think it is
Speaker Change: It's not the way we look at the business and the question has to do with the Soho churn rate Which obviously we report and then there's a corporate churn rate and the corporate churn rate as we've discussed before If you look at the actual cancel rate that's measured on accounts And it's everything from the small SMBs to the very largest customers we have
We actually think that's not that important a metric.
Speaker Change: given the diversity of base that exists within corporate as opposed to SOHO, which is very homogeneous.
Speaker Change: The question though is, at what point do we expect the two cancer rates to converge? And I'm not sure if we ever expect them to converge. Because what we do in Soho now, with the discounted first month...
Speaker Change: as an elevation of the cancer rate. And you've seen it be very stable in a tight range of about 10 basis points over the last four quarters since we introduced the new discounted first month.
Speaker Change: So if we were to stop that program, yes, we'd expect the cancer rate to come down.
Speaker Change: But as long as we maintain that program, and we're thinking about, you know,
Speaker Change: 230-250,000 gross ads in a year, most of which will come under that program.
Speaker Change: That will keep the churn on a more elevated basis relative to the corporate, which has the benefit of, yes, some higher churn at the lower end, but offset by almost negligible churn at the larger account or strategic account level. So I'm not sure. Certainly we don't expect them to converge this year.
Speaker Change: We haven't done enough work to look at whether there might be a convergence point two to three years out. And then the final question coming from email is...
As we look out beyond 25.
Speaker Change: you know, the presumption will continue to build cash. We would agree with that in terms of the dynamics of the business and the free cash flow.
Speaker Change: What are the intended uses for it? As I noted in my prepared remarks, to get to our number, between now and October of 26, there's probably 30 to 40 million of debt repayment.
Speaker Change: that we would need in order to go under that three times total debt to EBITDA. Obviously, we expect to have much more cash beyond that $30 to $40 million.
Speaker Change: Some of that will be jurisdictionally trapped, so not all of it is readily available for what we call U.S. activities. But I would say that cash beyond what we need for the debt service...
would be allocated primarily going forward to...
Speaker Change: stock repurchases. You'll notice our board today did extend the stock repurchase program, which expired. It was a three-year program that was put in place shortly after the spin. This is the third anniversary. We bought about one-third of the stock under that original authorization. The board has extended that out another three years.
Speaker Change: We're keeping the amount that's remaining, which is about $68 million. So certainly based on the stock valuation, that would be an opportunity. And then I think as we start to march farther out...
Speaker Change: And we've obviously done, I think, an excellent job of rationalizing our debt structure to date.
We start to bring M&A into play.
Speaker Change: And so we'll start to look at, not only the returns that we think we get in buying in our stock at whatever the spot price is,
Speaker Change: but also what are opportunities in terms to add to our business and that can occur in many different flavors. There's obviously some that are more fact centric, there's some that are more in the interoperable space, there's some that bridge across both.
Speaker Change: But those are things that increasingly, while I wouldn't say we're completely done with the debt piece
Speaker Change: Given the progress we've made, we can start to turn our attention, at least in part, to allocating some of our future cash flow and, for that matter, potential borrowings to M&M. Okay, back to the live questions.
Speaker Change: Okay, we did have a question come in from Matthew Sandshaffer from Mesero. Matthew, your line is live.
Speaker Change: Hi everyone. How much of the corporate growth in 2025 is derived from the VA rollout specifically and do you expect any of the
Speaker Change: Disruption currently going on in the federal bureaucracy and in HHS in particular, as well as potentially the VA, to have any effect on the VA business or the larger healthcare space for you.
Speaker Change: Yeah, short answer to that I think is Johnny mentioned that we did a little over 2.5 million of revenues last year. We're obviously on a run rate exiting 24 at a higher level than the booked amount.
Speaker Change: We're assuming about 5 million contributions from the VA this year.
Speaker Change: and we don't anticipate that based on what's already been done to date, the rollouts...
Speaker Change: that the VA contract would be impacted. Obviously, you gotta have the usual caveats. Every day there's new executive orders, there's new.
Speaker Change: People in charge of various departments. There's threats that various departments may not exist. You all know that.
Speaker Change: But from what we see in our conversations, both with what would now be Accenture, who is the acquirer of Cognizante, who was our partner, as well as people within the VA, we see that the rollout will continue unimpeded.
Speaker Change: Do you see any potential impact across the healthcare space overall?
Now.
Okay, thank you.
Thank you.
Speaker Change: And there were no other questions from the lines. I'll now hand the call back to Scott Drakey for closing remarks.
Scott Drakey: Great. Thank you, Paul. We appreciate you all joining us today for a review of 2024 and our first look into 2025.
Speaker Change: amount and size and timing of the refinancing of the 26 notes
Speaker Change: As I mentioned in my remarks, at this point, it looks like we will go a bank debt route.
Speaker Change: which will get a line in place such that we'll have the proceed necessary that upon maturity we can draw upon that line to repay whatever's left of the six percent notes.
Speaker Change: I look forward to, as we have our next call in May, to discuss Q1 results. We'll give you whatever update is available on that. Between now and then, we're at a variety of conferences. There will be press releases out. There are a combination of equity conferences as well as...
Speaker Change: leverage or debt conferences and of course if you have any questions between now and the next earnings call feel free to email us. Thank you.
Speaker Change: Thank you. This does conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time and have a wonderful day. Thank you for your participation.