Q2 2025 Sun Life Financial Inc Earnings Call
Speaker #3: Thank you and good morning, everyone.
Speaker #4: Good morning and welcome to Sun Life Financial Q2 2025 conference call. My name is Gayleen and I will be your conference operator today. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise and the conference is being recorded.
Speaker #4: After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To join the question queue, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad.
Speaker #4: The host of the call today is Natalie Brady, Senior Vice President, Capital Management and Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Ms. Brady.
Speaker #5: Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Sun Life's earnings call for the second quarter of 2025. Our earnings release and the slides for today's call are available on the Investor Relations section of our website at sunlife.com.
Speaker #5: We will begin today's call with opening remarks from Kevin Strain, President and Chief Executive Officer. Following Kevin, Tim Deacon, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will present the financial results for the quarter.
Speaker #5: After the prepared remarks, we will move to the question and answer portion of the call. Other members of management are also available to answer your questions this morning.
Speaker #5: Turning to slide two, I draw your attention to the cautionary language regarding the use of forward-looking statements and non-IFRS financial measures, which form part of today's remarks.
Speaker #5: As noted in the slides, forward-looking statements may be rendered inaccurate by subsequent events. And with that, I'll now turn things over to Kevin.
Speaker #6: Well, thanks, Natalie, and good morning to everybody on the call this morning. Turn to slide four. Our results this quarter, once again, highlight the strength and the resilience of our balanced and diversified business model.
Speaker #6: Our underlying EPS was $1.79 up 4% year over year. Underlying net income was strong at just over $1 billion. Underlying ROE was 17.6%. These results were solid across all of our es, with Asia, Canada, and SLC management having strong quarters.
Speaker #6: The US employee benefits business hit record earnings this quarter. And our stop-loss business in the US performed well, at a time when the industry is seeing challenges.
Speaker #6: This reflects our leadership position in this stop-loss market. We continue to take a long-term view on our US dental business, which has recently been affected by impacts to the US healthcare vironment.
Speaker #6: Tim will go through this in more detail. MFS continues to have solid earnings. While we experienced outflows this quarter, we continue to see strong signals of clients' confidence and interest in our offerings evidenced by our strong total gross sales.
Speaker #6: Reported earnings were up over last year. The difference between underlying and reported earnings was primarily driven by real estate and market-related impacts. These impacts were timing-based, not structural, and are expected to be neutral over the medium term.
Speaker #6: There was also a write-down of an intangible asset related to the U.S. dental contract. Our capital position continues to remain strong. Reflecting our focus on financial discipline and capital-light businesses, our LICAP ratio at SLF was 151%, and we bought back close to $400 million of Sun Life shares through our share buyback program this quarter.
Speaker #6: Turning to slide five, we highlight our progress against our strategic imperatives asset management, Asia, health, digital, and people. We saw good momentum and resilience across our asset management and wealth platforms this quarter.
Speaker #6: At SLC management, our performance continues to track well for the year. We had strong quarter for capital raising with $6 billion of assets being raised doubling over last year.
Speaker #6: Some notable highlights include the continued strength in present US direct lending and present solutions funds. MFS continues to experience outflows this quarter, reflecting the volatility in equity markets.
Speaker #6: Despite this, we're encouraged by MFS's total gross sales which are up year over year and demonstrate client commitment to MFS. Our active ETF business continues to build momentum and our fixed income business saw good net inflows this quarter at MFS.
Speaker #6: This quarter, MFS was named Best New ETF Issuer at the 2025 ETF.com Awards. MFS continues to play a strategic role in Sun Life's overall financial strength, delivering solid margins and cash flow to the organization.
Speaker #6: We continue to manage this business with a focus to achieve strong performance over the long term. In Canada, our asset management and wealth businesses driven by GRF saw continued strength with assets exceeding $200 billion this quarter.
Speaker #6: In Asia, our asset management and wealth businesses delivered a record quarter. In our India asset management joint venture, strong inflows to newly launched equity funds contributed to nearly doubling net wealth sales this quarter.
Speaker #6: While favorable markets helped drive wealth assets up 21% year over year. Individual protection also contributed significantly to Asia this quarter with sales up 22% year over year.
Speaker #6: Our bank assurance distribution is delivering good results overall with sales up 14% year over year. We're pleased with the sustained growth in Asia CSM, which was up 23% since last year, ending the quarter at $6.2 billion.
Speaker #6: In Hong Kong, our diversified channel strategy continues to yield strong results, we achieve protection sales growth of 35%, supported by robust performance across our agency, bank assurance, and broker channels.
Speaker #6: We also launched an index universal life insurance product for professional investors, becoming the first insurer in the market to bring this innovative solution to clients. This product addresses the growing market demand for high-end wealth management solutions and shows our ongoing dedication to supporting our clients' evolving needs.
Speaker #6: Shortly after the close of the quarter, we announced a further investment in Bowtie. We've been on the ground with Bowtie since the beginning of their journey and it's incredible to see their growth.
Speaker #6: They were recently recognized as the fastest growing company in Hong Kong by the Financial Times in their rankings of high growth companies in Asia Pacific.
Speaker #6: We're excited to continue our partnership with them and to advance our shared goals of making health insurance simple, accessible, and affordable for clients. In Canada, we saw strong sales performance for Sun Life Health, up 41% year over year primarily driven by large case wins.
Speaker #6: In the US, our employee benefits business achieved record earnings and margins this quarter. In stop-loss, our industry-leading capabilities expertise and scale have served us well in this competitive market and stop-loss continues to be a foundational part of our US business and strategy.
Speaker #6: We made substantial progress this quarter in advancing our digital leadership, including the deployment of new generative AI capabilities, making it easier for clients and advisors to do business with us as well as helping us enhance our productivity and our operations.
Speaker #6: In Canada, we're excited about the launch of our reimagined mobile application. This new app features an enhanced health, wealth, and protection experience facilitating easier access to health services and simplifying key tasks.
Speaker #6: We also launched advisor notes assistant in Canada, a generative AI tool designed to enhance client ience and streamline workflows. In Malaysia, we enhanced operations with a real-time underwriting capability to speed up the sales cycle.
Speaker #6: And in Hong Kong, we piloted advisor Buddy, an AI chatbot to support advisors across the entire sales journey. In the US, we implemented straight-through processing for our supplemental health accident insurance to improve productivity and client experience.
Speaker #6: These are just a few examples of the work we're doing to drive digital leadership across our businesses. Sun Life people and culture remain central to our success.
Speaker #6: This quarter, we were named one of the best workplaces in financial services and insurance in Canada as well as one the best workplaces for health and well-being in Ireland.
Speaker #6: Before I pass the call over to Tim, I want to acknowledge some leadership changes. Last night, we announced that Dan Fishbein, President of Sun Life US, plans to retire in March 2026.
Speaker #6: Over the past 11 years, under Dan's leadership, our US business has transformed into a leader in health-related benefits and services connecting the broader healthcare ecosystem and helping people access the care and coverage they need.
Speaker #6: Dan brought Sun Life further into the health space with services like care navigation, digital health programs, and clinical innovations interventions that complement core health coverage.
Speaker #6: I've been a teammate of Dan's on executive team since he joined in 2014. I've been impressed by the impact he has had and how he has helped Sun Life evolve into a leader in the group benefits space in the US.
Speaker #6: He has truly made a difference. And I want to congratulate David Healy. David will become President Sun Life US on September the st. At a time which Dan will assume the role of Executive Chair of Sun Life US until his retirement to ensure a smooth leadership transition.
Speaker #6: David is a seasoned ecutive at Sun Life with over 20 years of experience and is currently the President of Sun Life US Dental Business.
Speaker #6: Throughout his tenure, he has led and grown the employee benefits business, headed operations and technology teams, and managed the integration of key acquisitions including assurance employee benefits, and Maxwell Health.
Speaker #6: His experience and leadership have contributed significantly to Sun Life's growth and success in the US market. David's combination of technology and operations experience and his employee benefits background are perfectly aligned to our ambitions for the US business.
Speaker #6: You will get to meet David and no one more in the coming months. I also want to recognize Kevin Morsey, our Chief Actuary, whose voice has been a familiar presence on these earnings calls for nearly a decade.
Speaker #6: This will be Kevin's last earnings call as he prepares to retire this fall after an impactful 37-year career with Sun Life. Kevin and I have worked closely together throughout my entire 28 years at Sun Life, and I have personally watched him develop into a strong leader for us.
Speaker #6: His remarkable journey with Sun Life's companies has left an indelible mark on our organization. And he has helped train and develop many of our actuaries and has been an important voice in the industry.
Speaker #6: I'd also like to take this opportunity to welcome our incoming Chief Actuary, Brendan Kennedy. Brendan is currently our Senior Vice President of Global Asset Liability Management and brings over 20-25 years of experience with Sun Life to this new role.
Speaker #6: Both Kevin Morsey and I have worked closely Brendan over his entire career at Sun Life, and we are really pleased to see him take this next step.
Speaker #6: His deep expertise, spanning actuarial risk management, finance, and of course, ALM. Brendan will be a valuable addition to our global leadership team. I want to congratulate both David and Brendan on joining the global leadership team.
Speaker #6: Dan and Kevin, on behalf all Sun Life employees, thank you for your leadership and all of your many contributions over the years. We wish you both the very best in the future as you begin the next well-deserved phases of your lives.
Speaker #6: And with that, I'll turn the call over to Tim, who will walk us through the second-quarter financial results in more detail.
Speaker #7: Thank you, Kevin. Good morning, everyone. Turning to slide seven, overall, we are pleased with our second quarter 2025 results, which demonstrated the resilience of our business in the current environment.
Speaker #7: We reported underlying net income of $1.015 billion up 2% year over year, while underlying earnings per share of $1.79 was up 4% over the same period.
Speaker #7: Asset management and wealth underlying earnings were flat compared to the prior year on higher fee income at SLC management in Asia, offset by lower fee income at MFS and lower investment spread income in Canada.
Speaker #7: Group health and protection underlying earnings were up 7% year over year from higher US dental results and favorable mortality experience in Canada. Individual protection underlying net income was down 10% over the prior year from unfavorable mortality experience in Canada and the US.
Speaker #7: Underlying return on equity was 17.6% down from the prior year from higher average equity from earnings growth and changes to other comprehensive income from foreign exchange and interest rates.
Speaker #7: Reported net income for the quarter was $716 million. The variance between reported and underlying net income was driven by market-related impacts and an impairment charge on a customer relationship intangible related to the early termination of a US group dental contract.
Speaker #7: Market-related impacts reflected unfavorable interest rate impacts and real estate experience. Interest experience includes the impact of risk-free rates, swap, and credit spreads, and other timing-related items arising from the market volatility experienced during the quarter.
Speaker #7: Real estate returns were flat for the quarter below our long-term expected returns. Total contractual service margin, or CSM, which reflects future profits, increased 9% year over year to $13.7 billion driven by strong organic CSM growth.
Speaker #7: New business CSM of $435 million was flat compared to prior year. Organic capital generation, net of dividends, was strong at $673 million above our target range of $30 to 40% of underlying net income.
Speaker #7: Our balance sheet and capital positions remain robust with the SLF LICAP ratio of 151% up two points from prior quarter as organic capital generation more than offset the impact of dividends, share buybacks, and markets.
Speaker #7: Bold co-cash remains solid at $1.1 billion after returning almost $1 billion to shareholders during the quarter, and our leverage ratio remains low at 20.4%.
Speaker #7: Finally, book value per share increased 5% over the prior year, demonstrating our ability to generate strong growth while returning value to our shareholders with $4.8 million shares repurchased this quarter under our share buyback program.
Speaker #7: Turning our business group performance in slide nine, MFS's underlying net income of $184 million US was down 5% year over year, primarily reflecting lower fee income from lower average net assets.
Speaker #7: Pre-tax operating net margin of $35.1% decreased by $1.4 percentage points from the prior year on lower fee income from a decline in average net assets and interest income.
Speaker #7: Assets under management of $635 billion US were up 3% over the prior year and up 5% over the prior quarter. The sequential movement in AUM was driven by market appreciation, particularly in the latter half of the quarter, partially offset by net outflows.
Speaker #7: Outflows of $14.3 billion US included retail outflows of 5.9 billion and institutional outflows of $8.4 billion. Retail outflows continued from market uncertainty and institutional outflows reflected primarily climate rebalancing activity.
Speaker #7: Overall long-term investment performance for MFS remains strong with 90% of fund assets ranked in the top half of their respective Morningstar categories for 10-year performance.
Speaker #7: Fixed income performance was also strong with 98% of fund assets ranked in the top half of Morningstar on a 10-year is. Turning to slide 10, SLC management generated underlying net income of $45 million up 7% year over year, but down from a record result last quarter.
Speaker #7: The sequential decline is attributable to catch-up fees and seed investment gains recorded in the prior quarter. This quarter's results included a modest seed investment loss, which contributed to the below-trend result.
Speaker #7: Fee-related earnings of $89 million were up 37% year over year driven by strong capital raising and lower expenses. Reported net income was nil this quarter driven by acquisition expenses and market-related impacts.
Speaker #7: SLC management continues to demonstrate strength across the platform with capital raising of $6 billion this quarter, reflecting strong activity in SLC fixed income, crescent, and BGO.
Speaker #7: Deployments remain strong also at $6 billion for the quarter, reflecting continued attractive investment opportunities for private assets. SLC's fee-earning AUM of $194 billion was up 9% year over year driven by deployments and market appreciation.
Speaker #7: Sequentially, fee-earning AUM was down 4% driven mostly by currency impacts. Turning to slide 11, Canada's underlying net income of $379 million was down 6% year over year as strong business growth was more than offset by lower investment results and less favorable insurance experience.
Speaker #7: Reported net income of $33 million was up 13% year over year on more favorable market-related impacts. Asset management and wealth underlying earnings were down 4% year over year from lower investment spread income driven by lower yields on investment contracts.
Speaker #7: Wealth AUM of $203 billion was up 12% year over year on market appreciation and net inflows. Group health and protection underlying earnings were up 1% year over year, reflecting more favorable mortality experience and business growth, partially offset by less favorable morbidity experience due to higher cost disability claims in the quarter.
Speaker #7: Group sales were up 41% year over year driven by large case sales. Individual protection earnings were down 16% year over year due to unfavorable mortality experience, which mostly offset a corresponding gain in the CSM.
Speaker #7: Individual protection sales were down 19% year over year driven by third-party sales. Turning to slide 12, Sun Life US underlying net income was $143 million US down 4% from the prior year.
Speaker #7: In group health and protection underlying earnings were higher by 10% year over year driven by business growth and employee benefits in dental, partially offset by unfavorable experience.
Speaker #7: US group health and protection sales of $226 million US were down 7% year over year, reflecting the impact of pricing discipline in a competitive market for medical stop-loss partially offset by higher government and commercial dental sales.
Speaker #7: In medical stop-loss, results this quarter were in line with recent expectations. Morbidity results reflected the expected reserve accumulation on January 1st, 2025 business, including the previously indicated 2% pricing shortfall.
Speaker #7: In dental, this quarter's results reflected higher Medicaid claims from higher per-member utilization and severity. In addition, the uncertainty around Medicaid funding in the U.S. has slowed repricing actions with both states and health insurers and is contributing to elevated dental loss ratios in the near term.
Speaker #7: As a result, we no longer expect the business to achieve $100 million US in earnings this year. Given the near-term challenges, we are reforecasting our expected earnings trajectory for the business.
Speaker #7: We are confident in the long-term outlook for dental and remain committed to the 12% plus medium-term underlying earnings growth objective we set out for the overall U.S. business segment.
Speaker #7: Going forward, expect dental to contribute at least one-third of the overall US earnings growth. Individual protection underlying earnings were down 46% year over year driven by unfavorable mortality experience and credit impairments.
Speaker #7: Reported net income of $74 million was down 19% year over year and included an impairment charge, which more than offset improved market experience.
Speaker #7: Turning to slide 13, Asia posted record underlying net income $206 million up 13% year over year. Individual protection earnings were up 7% year over year on business growth and higher investment contributions, partially offset by higher expenses from investments in the business.
Speaker #7: Asset management and wealth earnings grew 67% over the prior year on higher fee income from strong AUM growth. Reported net income of $98 million was lower year over year from unfavorable market-related impacts.
Speaker #7: We continue to see strong sales in individual protection, up 22% year over year, driven primarily by momentum in Hong Kong across all channels, solid contributions from our bank assurance deal in Indonesia, and sales growth in India.
Speaker #7: Asia's total CSM of $6.2 billion grew 23% year over year driven by strong organic CSM growth. New business CSM of $299 million was up 34% from strong sales and margins in Hong Kong.
Speaker #7: We're pleased with the overall results we've delivered this quarter despite the challenges in the macroeconomic and geopolitical environment. We remain confident that our strong fundamentals, diversified business mix, and geographies and robust capital levels will continue to support our ability to achieve our medium-term objectives and deliver on our purpose.
Speaker #7: In closing, my executive team colleagues and I would like to extend our congratulations to Kevin Strain, who has been named the 2025 International Business Leader of the Year by the Canadian Chamber of Commerce.
Speaker #7: This award celebrates Kevin's leadership and strategic pursuit of global opportunities which have significantly elevated Canada's international presence. On behalf of all Sun Life employees, Kevin congratulations on this outstanding achievement.
Speaker #7: With that, I will pass it back to Natalie for the questions and answers.
Speaker #3: Thank you, Tim. To help ensure that all participants have an opportunity to ask questions this morning, please limit yourselves to one or two questions and then re-queue with any additional questions.
Speaker #3: I will now ask the operator to pull the participants.
Speaker #8: Thank you. To join the question queue, you may press star, then one on your telephone keypad. You'll hear a tone acknowledging your request. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing any keys.
Speaker #8: To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Our first question is from Doug Young with Desjardins Capital Markets. Please go head.
Speaker #9: Hi, good morning. Just maybe starting out, on the US group and the dental side, you ow, you no longer think you can hit $100 million of earnings US in 2025.
Speaker #9: I don't think that'll be a shock to most people, but you also put out a target of $250 by 2029. No mention of that.
Speaker #9: Just wondering how we uld think of the evolution of the US dental business over, call it the next five years and if you can weave in, I think you said you think, you know, one-third of US earnings growth is going come from the dental business.
Speaker #9: Maybe if you can kind of wrap that all together, and then you know there's viously a lot of goodwill and intangibles. You know, related to the business, you spent $3.1 billion on it.
Speaker #9: My questions I'm getting is that does that need get written off? At what point in time do you look at that as a potential write-off?
Speaker #9: And can you talk about the size of the goodwill and the intangibles related to dentist quests?
Speaker #10: Hi, good ning, Doug. This is Tim. Maybe I'll kick this off. So in light of the near-term uncertainties that I referenced in my opening remarks, and particularly around Medicaid and the repricing, we're having to reforecast our earnings outlook for the business.
Speaker #10: And rather than provide a single point estimate on earnings number, for a number of years out, I would really refer you back to our medium-term earnings growth objective for the US segment overall.
Speaker #10: As I said, we're committed to the 12% plus objective that we shared at Investor Day, and as mentioned, expect the dental will be at least a third of that overall earnings growth for the segment.
Speaker #10: And then looking ahead, we're confident in the long-term outlook for the business. You know, we're the largest dental benefits provider in the US by membership and have a strong brand presence in the market.
Speaker #10: And we see a lot of growth opportunities in the commercial space, which has higher margins. You know, the opportunity synergies with our employee benefits business, the opportunities we have to reduce expenses and invest in the business to make it more efficient, and then ultimately the repricing actions to get back to the pricing target levels over time is really what's giving us confidence in the business in the long term.
Speaker #10: And then on your second part of the question related to intangibles, at the time of the acquisition, we set up customer relationship and system intangibles of about a billion two, and we had goodwill on the books of about $2 billion.
Speaker #10: And when I look ahead for the business, the customer relationship intangibles, you know, those are tied to specific contracts. And so in the case of this quarter, there was one contract that terminated early, but overall, because the outlook that I referenced over the long term, we still remain confident in our goodwill.
Speaker #10: We test that for impairment regularly. We have ample cushion of fair value above that at this point. So nothing further to indicate at this time.
Speaker #10: And then just to maybe follow up on this, just like why did the, there was an ASL group dental contract that terminated. Can you talk a bit about why that happened?
Speaker #10: And then on the repricing side, I think a lot of this hinges on repricing. It seems like it's going slower. Can you talk a bit about what you're seeing on that front?
Speaker #10: Yeah, it's good morning. It's Dan Fishbein. Just on both of those items, first of all, the client that terminated was a commercial ASO arrangement that was a related party to the seller.
Speaker #10: So we had established a separate intangible for that reason for that contract. You know, there is a natural ebb and flow of existing business.
Speaker #10: There will always be some clients that will leave. of course, new clients that come on. Without going into all the details on this particular client, our assessment is they were a nonprofit client and they felt more comfortable working in the future with a related party from their nonprofit world.
Speaker #10: And perhaps we're not completely comfortable being in a public company relationship. Overall, the relationship has been good with that client, and they will remain with us until August 2026.
Speaker #10: And we're currently working closely with them on transition. So this is a rather unique situation. We don't think 's necessarily indicative of broader issues.
Speaker #10: And then, 'm sorry, remind me your second question? Repricing. The repricing, thank ou. There's no question that the reconciliation bill that moved through Congress and was signed recently by the president has created a chilling effect on negotiations for appropriate pricing with states and also with the health plans that we work with.
Speaker #10: Now, long term, we don't expect significant impact on the business. We serve from the bill because we 80% of our Medicaid membership is kids.
Speaker #10: And the changes in the bill largely affect adult coverage. However, the uncertainty around future Medicaid funding has caused states and health plans to slow down on bringing rates back to where they need to be.
Speaker #10: Correcting them after the mix shift that we've talked about before that resulted from the end of the public health emergency. We are continuing to make progress on pricing, but unfortunately, it will take longer than we had anticipated.
Speaker #10: Okay. And then just quickly, Kevin.
Speaker #7: It's me, Kevin, Doug. I just anted to reinforce a couple of messages around the dental business because it is an important part of the US group space.
Speaker #7: And it is a part that is repricable and has low capital usage. And the acquisition of DentalQuest, we weren't ally a player in dental business.
Speaker #7: It added scale and new capabilities for us. You know, we weren't the Medicare, Medicaid business at all. And that's an important part of the US healthcare system.
Speaker #7: It's definitely going through a lot of impacts right now. Not that different than what we're seeing our competitors go through. And those impacts are higher usage by members, higher usage by providers, which you tend to see when people think their benefits may be going away.
Speaker #7: So that's not unusual to see. And that's partially public health emergency, but also the funding that Dan discussed. And you're eing a rational approach by the states, which is saying 're uncertain about funding.
Speaker #7: So they're not changing pricing as aggressively we would have, you know, sort of anticipated. But longer term, you know, we see the opportunity, Tim mentioned this, to go more into the commercial space.
Speaker #7: And to optimize the Medicaid, Medicare space, which are going to be important parts of the US healthcare system and dental is an important part of the group benefit system.
Speaker #7: So, you ow, it's a difficult, challenging time, not just for us, for everybody who's in that space. And we're ing to work our way through it.
Speaker #7: And we're ing the right things to do that. So I think that that's, it's important to keep that context.
Speaker #10: No, I do appreciate that. And just one follow-up, may I just, BMPF, I know ou're a big player manually, obviously kind of quantify what the impact that has on underlying earnings.
Speaker #10: Can you quantify what the impact is for your MPF business? Or for your own collaboration earnings? Yeah. Sure. Good morning, Doug. It's Manjit. Yeah, so you're right.
Speaker #10: The, as you heard yesterday, the monetary provident fund scheme authority will take on the administrative capabilities for responsibilities for the MPF assets. So the fee that we earned on administering those will no longer be there.
Speaker #10: You know, the impact for us will be around Canadian dollars, $10 million a quarter. Overall, this is a very good business for us. We've seen good growth in this business over the years.
Speaker #10: It generates a good ROE and we expect that to continue.
Speaker #7: I might also mention that we are pivoting to do more asset management. In that space, and Manjit and the team have been working on that.
Speaker #7: And that'll be an important part of that, the EMPF business model going forward.
Speaker #3: Our next question is from Paul
Speaker #8: Holden with CIBC. Please go ahead.
Speaker #7: Yeah, thanks. Good morning. I ant to ask a question on the particular on the US medical stop-loss business. So just trying to, ou know, looking at the group benefits underlying earnings of 121 for the quarter versus 124 a year ago, in the same quarter.
Speaker #7: So trying to get a sense of what proportion of that might be stop-loss versus employee plans. And then also sort of any need to accelerate repricing actions in stop-loss given claims loss trends across the industry.
Speaker #10: Thanks. So, you know, we were actually pleased with the stop-loss results in the second quarter. As you may recall, in the fourth quarter, we and everyone else saw a significant spike in medical expenses in our stop-loss business.
Speaker #10: We headed into this year, obviously, with some concern about where that would go. However, the experience has largely stabilized and has been in line with the expectations that we set at that time.
Speaker #10: Our earnings in for stop-loss in the quarter, you know, we don't break it down between stop-loss and employee benefits. It was down a little bit compared to last year, but, you know, very much in line with the expectations that we laid out.
Speaker #10: We've actually also seen some improvement in the loss ratio for the January 1st, 2024 cohort, which is now almost entirely complete. Certainly not back to where it was prior to the fourth quarter, but there has been improvement since then, which is quite reassuring.
Speaker #10: We also are now starting to get some experience on the January 1st, 2025 cohort, but we're very early in that process with only about 12% of the claims in.
Speaker #10: But what we've seen so far is similarly reassuring about the experience. As we mentioned at that time, we thought that our pricing for 2025 was about 2% less than it probably needed to be.
Speaker #10: We have certainly put through those price increases. We put them through during the first quarter. Largely for effective dates 7/1 and beyond. And we have been able to get those increases.
Speaker #10: So we feel that the business going forward is properly priced to reflect the experience that we're eing.
Speaker #7: Right. Okay. That's a good update. Second question then, would be with respect to SLC. So fairly big difference between the year-over-year growth in C earnings up 37% and then the underlying up 7.
Speaker #7: And I guess there are some accounting differences, and I don't need an explanation for that viewpoint. But just more like which one do you think is more of an indication of true run-rate earnings growth in that business? Or maybe answer somewhere in between?
Speaker #7: But just trying to, you know, get a better understanding of what really is indicative of how this business is growing from an earnings perspective.
Speaker #10: Yeah, thanks. It's Steve. I think the things to look at, and you can see, you can track this in the supplement, are to look at the things that, you know, our core business is actually very stable and will track with AUM over time.
Speaker #10: So if you look at management fees, fundamental management fees, if you look at distribution fees, property management fees, those are going to tie very directly with AUM.
Speaker #10: One, you know, one variable component of management fees are catch-up fees, which can vary a lot quarter to quarter because they're all dependent upon when funds flow or when funds close.
Speaker #10: And certain funds, when they close, result in catch-up fees. They're never negative. They're only positive, but they're very lumpy. And I think fee-related earnings is really the best view of kind of the core earnings power of the business.
Speaker #10: Because that is before any marks on seed investments. And so while fee-related earnings will be impacted by, you know, quarterly fluctuations and things like catch-up fees, it's a pretty stable number.
Speaker #10: And we'll track with AUM. Below that line between there and underlying net income, you get some noise around marks on seed assets. We had some noise this quarter that I think is probably reversed at some point on our investment in a very strong industrial portfolio that was seeded to be potentially sold into wealth channel.
Speaker #10: That is under, that is below the fee-related earnings line but does impact underlying net income. So I would track management fees and fee-related earnings, and also, of course, what is our fundraising experience and what are our net flows?
Speaker #10: And those are clearly trending up. You know, our fundraising for the quarter was $6 billion, up double over last year, and up from $4.4 billion from last quarter.
Speaker #10: And we had positive net flows again of about between $4 and $5 billion this quarter.
Speaker #7: Got it. That's all.
Speaker #10: Thanks . It's Kevin. I was just going to add we're, you know, we're on track to achieve the $235 that we gave at Investor Day.
Speaker #10: So if you're looking at the next two quarters, that $235 gives you a sense at what we're expecting. As Steve mentioned, we had hired seed gains and catch-up fees in the first quarter and the catch-up fees this quarter were actually zero and the seed investment was a loss.
Speaker #10: And so you're seeing a little bit of volatility, but would think of it as targeting the $235. And then on our Investor Day, we gave you numbers around 20% growth in underlying earnings and 20% FRE growth over the medium term.
Speaker #10: And that's the way to think about that. We feel like we're on track on SLC and we're seeing flows that are consistent with that.
Speaker #10: And the big piece we needed to do, and we talked about this last quarter, was getting ready for the buyups and the leadership team.
Speaker #10: And we've some really significant announcements there, which we think are really positive under Steve's leadership. If I could just inject one other quick comment.
Speaker #10: The underlying net income this quarter, $45 million, I would say was below the run rate that I've mentioned. And I think it was marginally below. It was a fairly normal quarter.
Speaker #10: We had kind of two negatives. One was a markdown on an SIRE portfolio, which I think was kind noise. And the was that we had zero catch-up fees this quarter.
Speaker #10: Usually, we have some. And that was partially offset by some adjustments to some expenses. And so I would say that impacted us. The net impact of that on you I was probably, I don't know, mid to high single digits versus what I would consider our normal run rate at this point.
Speaker #7: Okay. I'll respect the two-question limit and let someone else fire away. Thank you.
Speaker #3: Question is from John Aken with Jeffries. Please go head.
Speaker #11: Good morning. Manjit, in terms of the growth that you've been experiencing in Asia, obviously quite positive. But moving forward, as we're expecting to continue to grow the business, do you think that margins are defensible?
Speaker #11: And you know, what are you being as a competitive response?
Speaker #10: Good morning, John. It's Manjit. Obviously, as you know, we're in eight different markets. There are different dynamics in different markets. But overall, you know, we feel good about the growth that we've seen over the last little while.
Speaker #10: We feel we're in the right markets. We're making investments into our business. We're focusing on the client. And we're doubling down on execution. And I expect that to continue.
Speaker #10: And for the foreseeable future, to kind of continue to deliver good results. And Manjit, can you give some more detail in terms of the investment in Bowtie?
Speaker #10: What does it bring to Manual Life? Sorry to sound like this is an apology. And what does Sun Life bring to Bowtie other than capital? As Kevin mentioned, we've been in partnership with Bowtie for quite a number of years.
Speaker #10: They are a digital company. That helps with insurance for our clients in Hong Kong. And they're a direct-to-consumer model and that complements our distribution force.
Speaker #10: So I think it's a good partnership. It has been, and we expect that to continue.
Speaker #11: Thanks. So I'll peat.
Speaker #3: The next question is from Gabrielle Duchesne
Speaker #8: with National Bank Financial. Please go head.
Speaker #12: Hi. Just to address the driver of that severity and frequency trend, I think Kevin touched upon one factor there. People are worried about losing their coverage.
Speaker #12: I guess, is there more of that to come? ecause it sounds like it, but could get worse even because Q3 is the seasonal uptick in dental claims back to school stuff.
Speaker #12: And then beyond that, I'm just trying to get a sense of what the pipeline for these claims activity looks like.
Speaker #10: Yeah, thanks. You're absolutely right that the third quarter is the most adverse in terms of seasonality. We fully expect that. So that's something to, you know, look ahead to.
Speaker #10: And of course, that's because we mostly cover kids. And back to school, toward the end of the summer, parents take their kids to the dentist.
Speaker #10: So the third quarter usually has the least favorable experience of the year. Conversely, the fourth quarter has the best. During the holidays, etc., there's less utilization.
Speaker #10: So we would expect that pattern this year. To, you know, see some challenge in the third quarter and then very good results comparatively in the fourth quarter.
Speaker #10: In terms of what's driving the increase in utilization and severity, first, in the second quarter for us, there were some unique aspects there, in that we did have some claim backlog that we were working down.
Speaker #10: We also had one plan that asked us to go back and reprocess some claims that they had submitted incorrectly. Up to a year ago, so there's some one-time effect in our experience, some of that led to some increased severity.
Speaker #10: And we would not expect that to recur. But as far as the longer-term trend, we are seeing—and of course, all of the health insurers are seeing as well.
Speaker #10: It's just in dental. A meaningful increase in severity as well as in some in utilization. We do think that billing practices by providers, aided by AI, is driving some of the change in severity.
Speaker #10: So we're certainly both upping our game on how we handle that, but also we're going to need to make sure that that's fully reflected in pricing going forward.
Speaker #10: Because that does seem to be a dynamic that's happening across segments and across the entire landscape.
Speaker #11: Okay, great. And then the pricing issue, I mean, it's a lever that's frequently been identified to help address margin issues. You know, what's the, you know, in a normal course, what kind of situation are we looking at compared to your normal timing?
Speaker #11: And then I guess a more silly question, what's your pricing power if you say, oh, we need to raise our prices by 5%? Can't the state just say no?
Speaker #11: Suck it up? I mean, I don't know how, you ow, what the mechanisms are.
Speaker #10: Sure. Let me go through that a little bit, particularly with a focus on Medicaid, which I think is your question. In Medicaid, the rates are reset annually.
Speaker #10: So that's good. That's a very good aspect of this. But they are reset by the state Medicaid authorities, either directly to us in where we have those direct relationships or through health plans where we're subcontracting with those health plans.
Speaker #10: So, we can have influence over the rates. We've dramatically increased our actuarial staff and our capabilities in that area over the past couple of years.
Speaker #10: And we provide a lot of data, insight, and opinions to the states, which they do take into account. But to your point, ultimately, they set the rate.
Speaker #10: Now, they are required under the law to set actuarially sound rates, which typically means they look at the last three years of experience and then set the rate based on that experience plus whatever trend in dental expense they apply to that.
Speaker #10: Part of the challenge here, of course, has been that in the wake of the public health emergency ending, the business mix shifted rather suddenly.
Speaker #10: And is not completely yet reflected in the past three years of experience. That emerges over a three-year timeframe. Obviously, all our work with the states had been to get them to accelerate recognition of that effect.
Speaker #10: And in some cases, that was effective. In other cases, that's been less effective. Now, with the overhang of uncertainty about funding in Medicaid, that has certainly slowed that process down.
Speaker #10: We do believe that the rates will get to the right place once we get through that full three-year cycle. That's what the law requires.
Speaker #10: And certainly has been the history. But it is taking longer than we had originally hoped for sure. That was part of my question. Like how much longer would your ectation?
Speaker #10: And now given these dynamics with the new expectation? Yeah, I can give you a little bit of perspective on that. You know, last year we were able to achieve about $140 million in rate increases.
Speaker #10: We expect to achieve additional rate increases this year, but not as much as last year. And we anticipate that it likely will take through 2026 to get the rates back to, you ow, full expected margins.
Speaker #10: Okay. All right. I appreciate that. And congrats on the retirement. If you're not on the XT call, that's it. Thanks. All right. Thank you.
Speaker #3: The next question is from Alex Scott with Barclays. Please go head.
Speaker #12: Hey, thanks for taking the question. The first one I had, I wanted to touch on stop loss. I think it was mentioned in some of the remarks that there was a little bit of favorable development on 2024.
Speaker #12: I just wanted to see if you could size that for us. Only because, you know, small percentage changes on like full year '24. You can have a pretty magnified impact on the current quarter.
Speaker #12: I just want to ake sure I was understanding the impact of that correctly embedded in, you know, the segment reporting you guys gave.
Second, I had is on MFS and just wanted to see if you could talk a little bit about what you see in the back half for flows. I mean, it sounds like you're optimistic on the inflow piece of things. Do you have any visibility on?
You know, that the outflows and just what it all, uh, may mean going into the back half of the year.
Hi, this is Ted. Um, it's always very difficult to predict flows on a quarter to quarter basis. We think the trends that have been in place are are likely to see to remain in place, uh, until they're not. So we've got institutional rebalancing from, uh, Equity to fixed income where our current balance, uh, leads to outflows there. We also have the retail Market um, at a elevated reduction rate, which again, we would not expect to be sustainable for the long term but see, no near-term abatement. So I think we wouldn't predict the back half of the year but the trends in the near term will probably stay in place in long term. Remain optimistic about returning to net flows in the future.
Yeah, thank you.
The next question is from Tom Gallagher with evercore isi. Please go ahead.
Morning. Um, just a couple of questions on the US, the, um,
and the commentary on Dental. I just want to understand.
Would you expect to shrink Medicaid, uh, Dental for a while and grow commercial while you're going through this transition or you? Would you still expect to be growing your uh, the Medicaid business, uh, while you go through this transition and it sounds like it's really just a 1 year. Through the end of 2026 issue. Not not longer than that.
Uh, that's my first question.
Owned by 200 million since, uh, since we acquired Dental Quest. So, you know what's happening there. Obviously, we're making a lot of sales. At the same time, uh, now that that 19.5% loss is obviously in the past, that's already happened. Um, and we actually have quite a bit of new business coming on board between June 1st of this year and January 1st of 2026. We have 6 million new members, uh, most of it Medicaid, but also some Medicare Advantage and also Commercial Business that is in various stages of being implemented into our business. Uh, so the sales pipeline is still very robust. And in fact, you know, following up on what Kevin said earlier, Medicare and Medicaid government programs now represent more than half of the U.S. healthcare market. So, it's very important that we be in that space, and we are continuing to grow.
Uh, in that space. It's a very important space for us. As the market leader, we are continuing to grow, and we expect the business to continue to grow at a very healthy pace. Not just over the long term, but even during this next 1- to 2-year period.
Thanks, thanks for that. And then my, it's Tommy, sorry, it's Kevin. And I, I just may add that, um, the you started with the commercial side and and that isn't a side that we are emphasizing Dan. And I talked about that a lot and David and I as we were going through the process have been and he's leading Dental have been talking about the commercial space and how do we leverage the capabilities that we've bought with Dental Crest? And they were small in the commercial space or are almost non-existent and we were small in the commercial space. So we think there's a lot of opportunity over the medium term to continue to build that out as a as a strength for us. And we like the fact that we could have a more aligned mix of of business in terms of the US. So, having Medicare Medicaid, is important as Dan said, but but growing the commercial alongside of it is, is really important to us strategically
And I think it's worth worth noting that the commercial has grown at a significantly faster Pace over the past 3 years than even the Medicare and the Medicaid. And we would expect that faster Pace to continue uh commercial right now represents less than 20% of the total business mix. We'd like to see that. Be a significantly higher uh proportion in the future and that's what we expect.
Thank thanks for that guys. The uh my quick follow-up is Dan. You you mentioned that there was also some 1-time ish type charges in the quarter. Um in Dental can you quantify that how um you know relative to the break even earnings in the quarter? What what would it have been if we stripped out that charge? Thanks.
Yeah, I think, you know, just to give it a little bit of perspective, particularly looking at the first quarter compared to the second quarter because I know those 2 numbers are, you know, create a big contrast. You may recall in the first quarter that we had a retroactive premium payment from 1 of our largest state partners that was in the high single digits. We also had some non-recurring favorable uh investment income. And in this quarter we did have I mentioned there was 1 uh client that asked us to reprocess claims. They had submitted incorrectly going back about a year. If you just take those 3 items that amount accounts for the entire difference between the first quarter uh and the second quarter. Uh so if you took the first 2 quarters and uh you know, the first half and divided it in half, that's probably a better picture of what the results would have been in the first 2 quarters.
That's helpful, thanks.
The next question is from Tom McKinnon with BMO, please. Go ahead.
Yeah, thanks very much. Um,
want, if we look really at
Abaso fees, maybe other things like that and how we should be thinking about the Outlook with respect to this. Uh number that came in better than anticipated and I have a follow-up as well. Thanks,
Hi Tom, it's Tim. I'll I'll kick that off. And uh if Dan wants to supplement on the US, uh you're right. The other fee income line includes a number of items. So we have our health group businesses in Canada, and the US, that's our administrative Services, only businesses, that's where it earns fees. It also includes our we businesses across Canada and Asia. And so uh, we had a very favorable
Uh, quarter, this this quarter, I was up a year on year about 18 million. In total up quarter over, quarter about 22 million and a large part of that was the the growth in um, asset and wealth management that we saw in particular in Asia as well as in Canada. Um and so those businesses have performed very well with with higher markets and that's driving the bulk of of the change in the US. It does include care delivery services that we provide. Those are fee income services. That was up moderately in the quarter as well. Um, I wouldn't expect that necessarily that trend line to repeat but, um, it was favorable for this particular quarter and then, in Canada, we have, uh, our cdcp program, our dialogue business Etc. And that's, um, performing very well so that that's where you're seeing the growth in the fee income.
Is this a run to be thinking about this as a run rate here or sorry? Um, I'll let you go again and then maybe the 2 of you can, uh, let me know if you think this is more of a run rate. What we see in this quarter for this line
It's elevated. There was a couple of times that I alluded to, but as long as funds continue to perform in the wealth businesses, you'd expect the continued growth in that line item.
Okay. And I was going to make a different but related point because part of your question was, you know, the results were even despite the dental results? The results were still pretty close to Q1. The biggest uh.
um,
Positive there, and one that I think is worth highlighting was the really exceptional performance from our Employee Benefits business. That's the business with group life, disability, and voluntary products. That business had the best results it has ever had. That was driven both by growth and by margins.
Okay. Um, and then
Also, if we look at other expenses, um,
That number is down to 50 million, quarter over quarter; kind of down, 10 million.
From the second quarter of 2024, uh, at uh, $440 million. Um, is this the trend that we should be thinking about with respect to this? Were there any, um, one-time there? Um, or is it lower incentive comp, better expense control? How should we be thinking about that number and how it should go going forward? Thanks.
Hi Tom. It's Tim again. So as you write, we did have favorable results in our other expenses. The numbers you referenced for the quarter compared to last year are correct. Most of that's coming from our corporate segment, and you can see the favorable result we had there.
This is driven mostly by the timing of initiatives, the spend that we have, and as well as incentive compensation. As you highlighted, we do expect that initiative spend will ramp up a bit in the second half of the year. So, we will give back some of this favorability, but we haven't revised our overall expectation of roughly $100 million a quarter for the corporate segment. So you can use that as a better indicator. We are seeing great traction from our overall expense program.
We had 25 million of savings in the quarter. We're we're still well, on track for the 200 million in total cost efficiencies, by the end of 2026, uh, we have delivered about 66% of that to date. So we are taking, uh, action and and have been very disciplined on expenses. But there was some timing of favorability in that particular in the corporate segment.
In the corporate segment, it was 110.
And are you saying that it should be 100 going forward per quarter? So it was actually a little bit higher.
Yeah, we get some volatility in that line. As I said, there's a number of things that go through that. Um, we have the incentive composite, referenced earlier. We also had lower.
Interesting. Come on, debt. We had a repayment of the loan that we had, which was financing the bank insurance agreement we had in Indonesia. I think the $100 million is a more realistic number. We haven't tipped over that, actually, in recent quarters. And so,
That's generally the range that we expect to be in going forward. Okay. Thanks.
The next question is from Lamar Pad with Cormark Securities. Please go ahead.
Here. So, just to be clear, you have 1.2 billion of these customer related and tangibles on the, uh, the balance sheet in this quarter 61 million write off was uh, 1 client. So, presumably if if other clients continue to leave sunlight, here that are attached to these intangibles. There could be further write down to these intangible. Is that is that correct?
the yeah, the
Go ahead. Tim, go ahead.
I was just going to say the the um and tangible that we had for this quarter related to a very specific uh, customer. So that was set up as a standalone, contract be, it was unique in the the, for the reasons that Dan mentioned earlier, it was with the seller. So that's pretty unique. And just given the size of that contract. All the other contracts are bundled together and we look at that in aggregate as part of the administrative Services clients or in the case of the risk type clients. So, those are aggregated. So, you know, we can expect some volatility and customer relationships but there's also growth opportunity there. So, um, we're we're comfortable with the caring values that we have on those intangibles,
Okay. Okay. And then just moving on to to MFS. And the question is on margins. I wonder if you could talk about the outlook for margins on this business, another seasonality here, it's quite well understood. So I'm talking about the 1.4% year-over-year Drop Inn in margins here. It's a bit.
A bit steeper than I had expected. And if I have it right, there's been year-over-year drops in 3 of the past 4 quarters. So I'm just wondering, is there an emerging trend here where margins are starting to move structurally lower at MFS? Or am I just kind of reading too much into it?
Sure. This is Tim. I'll start and see if Ted wants to supplement. So the the decline year on year that we saw in margin was really driven by lower average. Net assets, we had average net assets last
year in the second quarter of 620 million billion. And we and for a Q2 of this year it was 608. Now we saw a large spike in the AUM at the end of the quarter at um the funds really rallied, but it was uh, lower During the period given all the market uncertainty. So that is the single biggest driver to the margin. Change is the average net asset. And so the the 140 basis points that you reference year on year is is driven by that. The other Dynamic is uh, MFS. Earns interesting, come on cash, and short-term balances, and not dissimilar to sunlight overall, those balances have have come down in the case of MFS, it's because some of those short-term Investments have been used to seed funds like the ETF launches and and other products. So those balances are down and that coupled with lower. Short-term rates has has declined that but the biggest driver is going to be that average net assets. And as you said, there is seasonality. So the first 2 quarters, we have incentive comp that goes through, that's when the, the awards mature. And then in the SEC, the third and fourth quarter.
What are we typically? Get much stronger results. So you'll see that margin Improvement. Uh, you know, when we look back at it was hit hit, 40% in in Q3 and Q4 in the past. And so as averaging in assets improve, you'll see that margin come back.
Gotcha. Thanks.
So this is Ted. Just to be clear, um, to summarize: no change to how we think about margin structurally through a cycle. And over time, um, as Tim just outlined, nothing that Tim discussed talked about the fundamental cost structure items. We manage costs extremely tightly through all points of the cycle, um, so that at times when assets are down, we've got the other items that Tim talked about. We don't need to think about cutting into things that will harm long-term results. So, um, again to wrap up: no change to long-term views on margins.
The next question is from Mario. Mandana with TD security, please go ahead.
Uh good morning. I have a sort of a related question about MFS margins. Um clearly the flows as well as what happened, inter quarter hurt the AUM.
But 1 could sort of easily come up with a period where markets are not accommodating markets are down. 10%, that's certainly.
Um, something we've all seen.
And outflows remain at this level.
We could clearly see a day or an environment where AUM is down.
Somewhat materially.
The question is, what is your capacity to manage expenses down?
Abruptly in a period where AUM is under pressure.
Our expenses come down, um, as assets and and revenues come down. The the remainder that is not um, completely variable. Um, as I mentioned before, we managed pretty tightly and and we probably wouldn't pull those levers. So in a strong Market, correction downward. Um, you would see some hit to margins but uh, very much Buffet buffered by the variable nature of our cost structure. Um, also while we're not a bare market shop per se, um, it would be more likely than not that our performance relative to benchmarks would be strong in a down Equity Market environment, a sharp down Equity Market environment, um which would obviously be a good setup for future flows.
Did you see that I want. Did you see those? Sorry Mario. Could I just add a a piece too? Is that, uh, we we, we look at MFS long-term as a strategic important, part of the company and in a downturn, uh, we we would be seeing, as, as Ted said, likely you'd be seeing inflows because we believe in their active management, uh, investment, performance investment performance, and how they do that. And so we'd be careful not to damage the business in a downturn that that's going to be really important to us. That we think about this as uh long-term uh long-term important to us markets will go up and down and whatever we did on the expense side we would make sure we did not do anything to damage MFS. I know that Ted's 100% behind that.
Comment. But he's also got sunlife 100% behind that comment.
Did you see that sort of, um, those sort of inflows early in the quarter, when things got messy? Or, you know, during 2022, um, sorry, 2022, and markets are soft. And did you see that sort of recovery in your net flows then?
you wouldn't see flows be that shortly following performance. So we did see the performance that would have led to, uh, we believe longer term flow Tailwind. Um, but in an experience where the market is down sharply, and we're outperforming that doesn't translate 1 in 1 to Flows. In fact, uh, what it tends to translate to in the retail side of particular is, um, redemption's, broadly, not not specific to MFS, but redemptions broadly is, um, retail clients, um, sell into weakness that perhaps they should be buying.
Okay. Uh, second question then is, if we go back, Tim, you, you made you expressed some confidence that there was no need for.
Goodwill on dens Quest, and
You suggested that the fair value still provided a lot of room, but my question is this:
How do you get there? Uh, what sort of fair value approaches? Are you using? Is it a? I I presume. It's a discounted cash flow approach or P or some kind of terminal value. But how do you get to that value? Considering where the profitability is currently,
Yeah, thanks Muriel. So, the Goodwill testing is a long-term test, right? And so the challenges that we've been describing on this, call are the near-term headwinds. Uh, but through the fullness of time with the repricing actions that Dan spoke about, uh, we expect that to recover. So I think that's the first main principle. This is a multi-year, uh, approach. It is typically a present value.
Of cash flows approach. We use external appraisals to help support that and we combined that, um, business with our Commercial Business in the US already. So we did have some extra, uh, business that was combined with that, because we've integrated that now within our overall business. So there is other cash flows that help support that, but it's really the long term Outlook that that we take on Goodwill and that's what's giving the the cushion. Now, we'll have that short-term pressure but when you the impact of that won't be, as significant versus the long term expectations,
That's clear. Thank you for the explanation.
The next question is from Darko Mitch with RBC Capital markets, please go ahead.
Hi, thank you. My question is for Kevin strain and I just wanted to touch on uh how you view the quarter and year-to-date results from a slightly different angle. I mean now that we've seen all the life goes report we you know investors and analysts sort of live in a relative world.
and when I look at things like business drivers,
I see some areas that seem to suggest that we won't get stronger EPS growth in the future. I'm talking about things like CSM growth.
Um and certainly not as strong as peers. So Kevin should we think about? Like if we stand back and
And look at these really important high-level drivers.
um, am I correct in thinking that it's signaling slower growth and does this sort of require much more much more buyback activity
Well, thanks for that question, Darko that's uh, that's not how I would view the quarter. And if I if I stem back and look at the the medium-term objectives that we have for the organization, you know, we're talking about an overall growth rate of 10% halfway through the year. We're around 10% a little bit higher, actually, on an EPS basis. Uh, if you look at, um, I talked about what we expect from the US, which is 12%, plus, and we're not changing that medium-term objective. For the us, we're not changing it for Canada or Asia either. Asia is uh, fast growing region for us and 15% plus and, and Canada at 6% plus where we're Big Brand, a big player in the Canadian Market. We have scale across all the businesses where leaders across all the businesses. And you saw the results that that manage is doing. I talked to about SLC um, driving towards the 235, that we set an investor day and our commitment to the growth targets we put at out at investor day. Last investor day for SLC and the the
The momentum we've got in flows and the momentum. We have there and we like the balance across Asset Management from, um, the uh, public equity and public fixed income, space under MFS into the alt space under SLC, and the combination of those things. So, you know, if I look at our meat, in terms of objectives, I feel like we're
right on plan for Roe. And for earnings I I think about the goal of 20% for earnings and the 17.6 and the quarter and it we're we're exactly where we would expect to be um and for cash flow, we continue to see really good cash flow in the dividend support which is the uh the other measure that we do. So I step back and look at it darker and say you know we're seeing momentum uh strong momentum in, Asia Canada. Uh the the us we do have a different mix of business from MFS and so some of that comes through where the CSM isn't as important to some of the group businesses and where a large group player in the US and in Canada, and I think it's important to to keep that perspective. And when I look at at the asset side, uh, we're performing,
Strongly against competitors in the active Asset Management. Space MFS is and in the alt space. So I I step back and look at it and go I I work fully committed to our medium-term objectives. We're fully committed to our plan, we like our our mix of business. I talked about that at the start that the the model for our mix of business is strong, so, uh, I, I have a different, I have a different takeaway, and
And I have a deep understanding of all the businesses, and I think that we're driving towards the achievement of those medium-term objectives.
And and I appreciate that but I guess I'm, I'm coming at it from the angle. Is it at the margin Top Line?
Do you see that? I mean, that's where I see on a relative basis, a bit of a Slowdown um and I guess you know, your ability to manage towards your objectives. May not necessarily depend on Top Line um at least not in the shorter term or do you view the top line as really not having any challenges here.
Well, if you look at the top line, our growth flows for wealth sales and asset management are up 23% year to date over the last year. Group health and protection sales are up 9% from last year, and individual protection sales are up 15% from last year. New business CSM is up 7%, so I'm looking at that— that's halfway through the year, that's year to date numbers. Um, and we continue with a really strong capital position that gives us flexibility, as you mentioned, in terms of buybacks. We are committed to our buybacks, and we have an active buyback program, and we'll be active in that program. But, it also gives us flexibility for organic growth and also inorganic growth, and I think that we've got all the levers to continue to meet those medium-term objectives.
Okay, great. Thank you very much.
Thanks.
Who's next for the question-and-answer session? I'll turn the call back over to Natalie Brady for closing remarks.
Thank you, operator. This concludes today's call a replay of the call will be available on the investor relations section of our website. Thank you and have a good day.
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