Q2 2025 Webster Financial Corp Earnings Call

Please wait the conference will begin shortly.

Operator: Good morning. Welcome to the 2Q25 Webster Financial Corporation earnings call. Please note, this event is being recorded.

Good morning. Welcome to the 2q 25 Webster, Financial Corporation earnings call.

Emlen Harmon: I would now like to introduce Webster's Director of Investor Relations, Emlen Harmon, to introduce the call. Mr. Harmon, please go ahead.

Please note this event is being recorded.

I would now like to introduce Webster's director of investor relations and Harmon to introduce the call.

Emlen Harmon: Good morning. Before we begin our remarks, I want to remind you that comments made by management may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are subject to the Safe Harbor rules. Please review the forward-looking disclaimer and Safe Harbor language in today's press release and presentation for more information about risks and uncertainties which may affect The presentation accompanying management's remarks can be found on the company's investor relations site at investors.websterbank.com.

Harmon: Mr. Harmon please go ahead.

Good morning. Before we begin our remarks, I want to remind you that comments made by management. May include forward-looking statements, within the meaning of the private Securities. Litigation Reform, Act of 1995, and our subject to the safe harbor rules. Please review the forward-looking disclaimer and safe harbor language in. Today's press release and presentation for more information about risks and uncertainties, which may affect us

Emlen Harmon: The Q&A portion of the call, we ask that each participant ask just one question and one follow-up before returning to the queue.

The presentation accompanying Management's. Remarks can be found on the company's investor relations site at investors.com websterbank.com.

Jon Ciulla: I'll now turn it over to Webster Financial's CEO and Chairman, Jon. Thanks, Emlen. Good morning, and welcome to Webster Financial Corporation's second quarter 2025 earnings call. We appreciate you joining us this morning. I'm going to start with a recap of our results and the competitive positioning that drives them.

For the Q&A portion of the call, we ask that each participant asks, just 1 question and 1 follow-up before returning to the queue. I'll now turn it over to Webster Financial CEO and chairman John Sula.

Harmon: Webster Financial Corporation, second quarter, 2025 earnings call. We appreciate you joining us this morning.

Jon Ciulla: Our President and Chief Operating Officer, Luis Massiani, is going to provide an update on exciting developments in our operating segments, and our CFO, Neil Holland, will provide additional detail on financials before my closing remarks and Q&A. Highlights for the second quarter are provided on slide two of our earnings presentation. Our results were solid, with a return on tangible common equity of 18%, ROA of nearly 1.3%, and growth in both loans and deposits of over 1% in quarter. Overall revenue grew 1.6% over the prior quarter.

I'm going to start with a recap of our results and the competitive positioning that drives them. Our president and Chief Operating Officer, Luis masani is going to provide an update on exciting developments in our operating segments and our CFO. Neil Holland will provide additional detail on financials before my closing remarks and Q&A.

Jon Ciulla: Our financial results put our company on a trajectory to meet the outlook we established in January, despite a less certain macroeconomic picture at points in the first half of the We achieved this outcome while maintaining our strong operating position and balance sheet flexibility. Our common equity tier one ratio increased, and our loan to deposit ratio remained roughly flat. With our strong capital position and new capital generation, the board authorized an additional $700 million in share repurchases, and we bought back 1.5 million shares in the quarter. Additionally, the inflection point in asset quality that we projected to occur in mid-2025 is materializing.

Jon Ciulla: Both criticized commercial loans and non-accruals were down in the quarter. Our net charge-off ratio was 27 basis points within our long-term normalized charge-off range of 25 to 35 bits. We do not see new pockets of credit deterioration developing anywhere across any industry or sector. Similar to our view a quarter ago, we have not yet seen any impact of credit related to various tariff proposals. While remaining vigilant, any potential effects from proposed tariffs, we don't have disproportionate exposure to industries we believe could be most impacted, and our borrowers have had additional time to develop strategies to manage costs, their supply chains, and prices.

Highlights for the second quarter are provided on slide 2 of our earnings presentation. Our results were solid with a return on tangible. Common Equity of 18% Roa have nearly 1.3% and growth in both loans and deposits of over 1%. Link quarter, overall Revenue, grew 1.6% over the prior quarter, our financial results, put our company on a trajectory to meet the Outlook, we established in January, despite a less certain macroeconomic picture at points. In the first half of the year, we achieved this outcome while maintaining our strong operating position and balance sheet flexibility, our common Equity Tier 1 ratio increased and our loan to deposit ratio. Remained roughly flat with our strong Capital position and New Capital generation. The board, authorized an additional 700 million in Cherry purchases and we bought back 1.5 million shares in the quarter. Additionally, the inflection point and asset quality that we projected to occur in. Mid 2025 is materializing. Both criticized commercial loans

Harmon: and non across were down in the quarter, our net charge off ratio was 27, basis points within our long-term normalized, charge of range of 25 to 35 bits,

Harmon: We do not see new pockets of credit, deterioration developing anywhere across any industry or sector.

Jon Ciulla: Our strong operating position and distinctive businesses provide us a lot of flexibility and growth opportunities, an advantage that will serve us well as tailwinds accumulate for the banking industry. We feel we have the most differentiated deposit profile within our peer group. In particular, our health care financial services segment comprised of HSA Bank and Mitra. are a growing source of low-cost, long-duration, and very sticky deposits. The B2B2C model of these businesses enables efficient operation and distribution. Provisions included within the recently passed reconciliation bill should also accelerate growth in HSA deposits.

Harmon: Similar to our view a quarter ago, we have not yet seen any impact to credit related, to various tariff proposals. While remaining Vigilant any potential effects from proposed tariffs. We don't have disproportionate exposure to Industries. We Believe could be most impacted and our borrowers have had additional time to develop strategies to manage costs, their supply, chains and pricing.

Our strong operating position and distinctive businesses. Provide us a lot of flexibility and growth opportunities and advantage that will serve us. Well as Tailwind accumulate for the banking industry.

We feel we have the most differentiated deposit profile within our peer group in particular, our Healthcare Financial Services, segment comprised of HSA Bank and ametros.

Jon Ciulla: In addition to the health care financial services segment, we also have strong deposit franchises in our consumer and commercial bank.

Harmon: Our growing source of low-cost long duration, and very sticky deposits. The B2B Toc model of these businesses, enables efficient operation and distribution, Provisions included, within the recently passed reconciliation, bill should also accelerate growth in HSA deposits.

Jon Ciulla: We also operate InterSync, previously known as InterLink, and rebranded this quarter. InterSync provides us access to granular deposits and is another differentiating feature for Webster as a source of liquidity. As a predominantly commercial bank, we have a diversity of loan origination channels with distinct risk-reward characteristics. These provide us the opportunity to add assets in the loan categories that provide the most appealing risk-reward characteristics at a given point in time.

Harmon: In addition to the healthcare Financial Services segment, we also have strong deposit franchises in our consumer and Commercial Bank. We also operate inter sink previously known as Interlink and rebranded this quarter. Interesting provides us access to granular deposits. And there's another differentiating feature for Webster as a source of liquidity.

Jon Ciulla: We anticipate that the asset management partnership with Marathon we announced last year will be effective as of later today, and we believe that it will enhance sponsor loan growth and drive fee revenue in 2026 and beyond. Combination of our funding advantage and diversified loan origination engine allow us to grow at an accelerated rate relative to peers over the long term. Ultimately, with our distinctive business composition, we have a lot of liquidity, we run a highly efficient and profitable bank, and we generate a lot of capital. This provides us with both a solid defensive position and a great deal of optionality on offense, whether that be organic growth, strategically compelling tuck-in acquisitions, or returning capital to shareholders.

As a predominantly Commercial Bank, we have a diversity of loan, origination Channels with distinct risk reward characteristics. These provide us the opportunity to add Assets in the loan categories that provide the most appealing risk reward characteristics at a given point in time.

Harmon: We anticipate that the asset management partnership with Marathon. We announced last year will be effective as of later today, and we believe that it will enhance sponsor, loan growth and drive few Revenue in 2026 and Beyond.

Combination of our funding advantage and diversified loan. Origination engine, allow us to grow at an accelerated rate, relative to peers over the long term.

Luis Massiani: I will now turn it over to Luis to discuss emerging strategic opportunities for Webster, including at HSA Bank and within the commercial segment, each of which have recently experienced strategically important development. Thanks, Jon. Starting with HSA Bank, we were pleased to see three favorable provisions for HSA Accounts Incorporated in the Reconciliation Bill, which was signed into law earlier this year. In our view, these provisions will significantly increase the addressable market for the HSA industry and HSA Bank, mainly driven by Bronze ACA plan participants' newly gained eligibility to fund an HSA account as part of their Heffernan.

Ultimately with our distinctive business composition, we have a lot of liquidity, we run a highly efficient and profitable bank and we generate a lot of capital. This provides us with both a solid defensive position and a great deal of optionality on offense whether that be organic growth, strategically compelling, tuck-in Acquisitions, or returning Capital to shareholders. I will now turn it over to Louise to discuss emerging strategic opportunities for Webster, including at HSA Bank, and within the commercial segment, Each of which have recently,

Louise: Experience strategically. Important developments.

Louise: Thanks John.

Starting with HSA Bank, we were pleased to see 3 favor Provisions for HSA accounts. Incorporated in the reconciliation bill which was signed into law earlier this month.

Luis Massiani: We estimate the potential deposit opportunity for HSA Bank over the next five years ranges from $1 billion to $2.5 billion of additional deposits, starting with incremental growth next year of $50 to $100 billion. There is likely to be a somewhat lengthy ramp-up period for adoption as newly eligible consumers begin to understand the benefits of an HSA account and how best to use it for their health and financial well-being. We are further encouraged that for the first time, eligibility for HSA accounts has been decoupled from high deductible health. and that several provisions that were initially included but didn't make the final spending bill have strong support in both the House and Senate.

In our view, these Provisions will significantly increase the addressable market for the HSA industry and HSA Bank mainly driven by bronze. ACA plan. Participants, newly gained eligibility to fund an HSA account. As part of their healthcare plan, we estimate the potential of deposit opportunity for HSA Bank, or the next 5 years, ranges, from 1 billion to 2.5 billion of additional deposits. Starting with incremental growth, next year of 50 to 100 million,

Appeared for adoption as a newly eligible. Consumers begin to understand the benefits of an HSA account and how best to use it for their health and financial Wellness.

Luis Massiani: Additional substantive legislation in 2025 is likely, including the possibility of another reconciliation. If all of the provisions that were in the original spending bill passed by this House were to become law, we believe this could double our range of opportunity for incremental spending.

Louise: We were further encouraged that for the first time eligibility for HSA accounts has been decoupled from high deductible health plans and that several Provisions that were initially included but didn't make the final spending Bill have strong support in both the House and Senate.

Louise: Additional substantive legislation in 2025 is likely including the possibility of another reconciliation bill.

Louise: If all of the provisions that were in the original spending, bill passed by the house were to become law. We believe this could double our range of opportunity for incremental deposits.

Luis Massiani: Turning to asset management, we have reached operational realization of the private credit joint venture we had previously announced with Marathon Asset Management. In the second quarter, we moved $242 million of loans into help-for-sale status, as these loans will be contributed to the joint venture, which we expect will be up and running in the third quarter. The economics of our asset management strategy will be determined by the long-term performance of the joint venture, but we anticipate the benefits will be significant as we strengthen our competitive position in the private credit. Webster will be able to lead larger bilateral deals, participate in larger syndications, accelerate on-balance sheet loan growth and spread income, and offer clients a broader set of deal structures beyond senior secured positions without changing our existing on-balance sheet credit program.

Louise: Turning to Asset Management. We have reached operational realization of the private credit joint venture. We had previously announced with Marathon Asset Management.

Louise: In the second quarter, we moved 242 million of loans into help for sale status. As these loans will be contributed to the joint venture, which we expect will be up and running in the third quarter.

The economics of our asset management strategy will be determined by the long-term performance of the joint venture, but we anticipate, the benefits will be significant as we strengthen our competitive position in the private credit markets.

Luis Massiani: Webster will retain full banking relationships, including opportunities for cash management, capital markets, and deposits.

Webster will be able to lead larger bilateral deals, participate in larger syndications accelerate on balance sheet loan growth and spread income and offer clients. A broader set of deal structures Beyond senior secured positions, without changing our existing on balance sheet, credit profile

Luis Massiani: The asset management platform will also drive economic value by generating the income, which we anticipate will be limited for the remainder of 2025, but will begin to ramp in 2021. We also continue to invest across all other areas of our bank, both in our lines of business, as well as operations, technology. Business pipelines are building nicely for the second half of 2025, with a well-diversified mix of commercial and consumer loan and deposit operations. We have continued to make targeted investments in technology and business development in areas including METROS, HSA, InterSync, and the Consumer and Commercial Banking.

Louise: We are also continuing to invest across all other areas of our bank, both in our lines of business, as well as operations, technology and risk.

Louise: Business pipelines. Are building nicely for the second half of 2025 with a well Diversified mix of commercial and consumer loan and deposit opportunities.

Luis Massiani: which should allow us to further strengthen our deposit channels and funds.

Louise: We have continued to make targeted investments in technology and business development in areas, including emeto HSA inter sink and the consumer and Commercial Banking groups.

Neil Holland: I'll turn it over to Neal for a detailed review of financial... Thanks, Luis. And good morning, everyone. I'll start on slide four with a review of our balance. Total assets were $82 billion at period end, up $1.6 billion from last quarter, with growth in loans, cash, and security. The deposits were up over $700 million. The loan-to-deposit ratio held flat at 81% as we maintained a favorable liquidity position. Our capital ratios remained well-positioned, and we grew our tangible book value per common share to $35.13, up over 3% from last quarter. At the same time, we repurchased 1.5 million shares.

Which should allow us to further, strengthen our deposit channels, and funding profile.

Louise: I'll turn it over to Neil for a uh detailed review of financial performance.

Neil: Thanks, Louise and good morning everyone. I'll start on slide 4 with a review of our balance sheet. Total assets were 82 billion of period end up 1.6 billion from last quarter with growth and loans, cash and securities.

Louise: Deposits were up over 700 million.

The loan to deposit ratio, held flat at 81% as we maintained, a favorable liquidity position.

Neil Holland: Loan trends are highlighted on slide 5. In total, loans were up $616 million, or 1.2% late quarter. Excluding the one-time transfer of $242 million of loans moved to held for sale, loan growth would have been $858 million, or 1.6%.

Louise: Our Capital ratios remained. Well positioned and we grew. Our tangible Book value for common share to $35.13 up over 3%. From last quarter. At the same time. We repurchased 1.5 million shares.

Louise: Loan Trends are highlighted on slide 5.

Neil Holland: We provide additional detail on deposits on slide 6. We grew total deposits by $739 million. Deposit costs were up three basis points over the prior quarter, as we experienced the seasonal mixed-shift effects of the second quarter in HSA and public deposit.

Louise: In total loans were up 616 million or 1.2% link quarter, excluding the 1 time. Transfer of 242 million of loans. Moved to help for sale loan growth would have been 858 million or 1.6%

Louise: We provided additional detail on deposits on slide 6.

Neil Holland: On slide seven are income statements. Interest income was up $9 million from Q1, and non-interest income was up $2.1 million. Expenses were up $2 million.

Louise: We grew total deposits by 739 million. Deposit costs were up 3 basis points over the prior quarter. As we experienced the seasonal mix shift effects of the second quarter in HSA and public deposit accounts.

Louise: On slide 7, our income statement trends.

Neil Holland: At an efficiency ratio of 45.4%, we maintained solid efficiency while investing in our franchise. Overall, net income to common shareholders was up $31 million relative to the prior quarter. EPS was $1.52 versus $1.30 in the first quarter.

Interesting income was up 9 million from q1 and non-interest income was up 2.1 million expenses. Were up to 2 million and an efficiency ratio of 45.4%. We made the same solid efficiency while investing in our franchise.

Neil Holland: In addition to a solid PPNR trend, we also saw a significant reduction in the provision this quarter. Our tax rate was 20%.

Neil Holland: On slide 8, we highlight net interest income, which increased $9 million driven by balance sheet growth in the higher day count quarter over quarter. The NIM was down four basis points from the prior quarter to 3.44%. There was a discrete benefit from a non-accrual reversal that added two basis points to the NIM this quarter. Excluding this, the NIM would have been 3.42%. Drivers of lower NIM include seasonal deposit mix shift, higher cash balances, and slight organic spread compression.

Overall, net income to Common shareholders was up, 31 million relative to the prior quarter, EPS was $152 cents versus $1.30. And the first quarter, in addition to a solid pp&r Trend, we also saw a significant reduction in the provision this quarter. Our tax rate was 20%.

Louise: On slide 8, we highlight net interest income, which increased 9 million driven by balance sheet growth in the higher Day, Count quarter over quarter. The Nim was down 4 basis points from the prior quarter to 3.44%.

Louise: There was a discrete benefit from a non non-accrual reversal that added 2 basis points to the Nim. This quarter excluding this, the Nim would have been 3.42%.

Neil Holland: Slide nine illustrates our interest income sensitivity to rate.

Louise: Drivers of lower Nim include seasonal deposit, mix shift, higher cash, balances and slight organic spread compression.

Neil Holland: We remain effectively neutral to interest rates on the short end of the curve, with modest shifts expected in our net income for up-and-down rate scenarios.

Louise: Slide 9 illustrates our interest income sensitivity to rates.

Neil Holland: On slide 10 is non-interest. Non-interest income was $95 million, up $3 million over the prior quarter. The modest increase reflects growth in deposit service fees and a lower impact from the credit valuation adjustment.

Louise: On the short end of the curve, with modest, shifts expected and our net income for up and down rate. Scenarios.

Louise: On slide. 10 is non-interest income.

Neil Holland: Slide 11 has non-interest expense. We reported expenses of $346 million, a $2.1 million linked quarter. The modest increase in expenses was primarily the result of investments in human capital partially offset by seasonal benefits expenses.

Louise: Non-interest income was 95 million Up, 3 million over the prior quarter, the modest increase reflects growth, and deposit service fees, and a lower impact from the credit valuation adjustment.

Louise: Slide 11 has non-interest expense.

Neil Holland: We continue to incur expenses that enhance our operating foundation as we prepare to cross $100 billion in assets. One significant investment came to fruition in the second quarter.

I'm happy to say that this is the first quarter we are reporting earnings on our new cloud native general ledger.

We reported expenses of 346 million up, 2.1 million link quarter, the modest increase in expenses was primarily the result of investments in human capital partially offset by seasonal benefits. Expense, we continue to incur expenses that enhance our operating Foundation, as we prepare to cross a 100 billion in assets. 1, significant investment came to fruition in the second quarter, I'm happy to say that this is the first quarter we are reporting earnings on our new Cloud, native general ledger.

Louise: On slide 12 details, components of our allowance for credit losses, which was up 9 million relative, to the prior quarter. The increase in the allowance was predominantly tied to balance sheet growth.

Louise: Our ciso macroeconomic scenario was relatively stable, and we saw good asset quality Trends quarter over quarter.

Louise: After booking 36 million in net, charge offs, we recorded a 47 million provision.

Louise: This increased, your allowance for loan, losses to 722 million or 1.35% of loans.

Louise: Our provision was down. 31 million from the prior quarter.

Louise: Slide 13 highlights. Our key asset quality metrics. As you can see on the left side of the page non-performing assets were down 5%, a commercial classified loans were down 4%,

Louise: On slide 14.

Louise: Our Capital ratios remain above well capitalized levels and we maintain excess Capital to our publicly stated targets.

Our tangible book, value per share, increased to 35.13 from 33.97 when that income partially offset by shareholder Capital return.

Our full year 2025 Outlook, which appears on slide, 15 points to improvements in knee and the tax rate for the year. We now expect nii of 2.47 billion to 2.5 billion, on a non- FTE basis, this assumes 2 fed funds rate Cuts. Beginning in September, we expect a full year. Tax rate will be in the range of 20 to 21%.

Speaker Change: Year to date. We are at a 20% effective tax rate due to discrete benefits. But we expect the rates to return in 21% and the second half of the year with that. I will turn back to John for closing remarks.

John: Thanks Neil in summary. It was a good quarter for Webster. We're generating solid growth and high returns were executing a new opportunities to grow our business. And our proactive approach on credit risk, management has allowed us to remain in front of potential problems. Tailwinds are building for regional Banks, some additional time to digest and plan for tariffs, our clients are moving forward with business development plans. And it appears that loan growth is set to accelerate. We are starting to observe changes in banking regulations such as they are appropriately, tailored to the complexities and size of individual institutions, and they should help enable US Banks to strengthen their competitive position as I stated last quarter Webster, is positioned to prosper in a variety of operating environments including an accelerating investment cycle and we are excited to demonstrate Webster's full potential. We have excess Capital to deploy diverse loan origination channels a differentiated and competitively advantageous funding profile and our focused on new business.

Speaker Change: Business opportunities.

I want to take a moment to welcome. Jason shugal to our executive management committee. Jason joined us as Chief risk officer. This week, as we had previously announced Dan ble intent to retire. Jason has 15 years of experience at a category 4 Bank. Most recently, as Chief risk officer, particularly valuable experience as we grow, our bank toward 100 billion in assets.

Speaker Change: Dan serves as our chief risk officer for 15 years and built an exemplary, risk team over a period of substantial, change for Webster and the banking industry. We wish him the best in his retirement.

Speaker Change: we were also happy to announce recently that we added Fred Crawford, as a new board member Fred joins the board with impressive, SE Suite, large financial institution expertise

Speaker Change: Finally, I'd like to thank our colleagues for their efforts so far. This year we saw a positive financial and strategic outcomes virtually across the board. This quarter, this type of result doesn't materialize without a significant amount of effort and engagement throughout our organization.

Speaker Change: On the line to questions.

Speaker Change: At this time, I would like to remind everyone in order to ask a question. Please press star. Followed by the number 1 on your telephone keypad.

Speaker Change: Your first question comes from the line of Chris McGrady with KBW.

Speaker Change: Please go ahead.

Andrew LeRon: Hey, how's it going? This is Andrew LeRon for Chris McGrady.

Speaker Change: Hey, how are you?

Speaker Change: Hey. How's it going? Just starting on Capital. Um, just given the current environment and I'll look for potential deregulation. What is your willingness to reduce ct1 and then just overall thoughts on your term pace of the buyback. Thanks.

Speaker Change: Sure. Uh, I know, we stated that our mid medium-term and short-term goal is 11% uh and that over the long term as markets stabilized that we could see that Target moved back towards a 10 and a half percent range. I would still say that for the balance of 25 that 11% Target is probably the right amount and we'll talk further about that going forward. But we do think over time that we can reduce the level comfortably and safely of our cet1 ratio. Um, and the second question I think was on Capital Management and share BuyBacks, you know, I think we say every quarter, we take a really disciplined approach to it. You know, first prize is continuing to grow our balance sheet with good full relationship loans. Uh, if that's not available to us, we do have and we continue to look, uh, seriously at opportunity.

Speaker Change: To continue to enhance our Healthcare Services, vertical and other areas of the bank where we think we can grow deposits and fees in organically through tuck and Acquisitions. If not of those are available, we look to our, uh, return Capital, to shareholders through dividends, or, or share BuyBacks. And so, I think, if the first 2 don't materialize, given our Capital level, you'll likely, see us continue some level of share buyback in the second half.

KC Hair: Your next question comes from the line of KC hair with autonomous research.

Please go ahead.

Speaker Change: Great. Thanks. Good morning everyone. Um,

Question on the uh, the Nim Outlook. Um, the cache build. Are you guys good with with where the cash balances are today? And then also the uh I think you guys talked about a long-term debt issue coming in the second half of the year. Um, just wondering whether how that's going to impact

Speaker Change: Yeah. Um, on the cash we're getting right to the levels that we're hoping to get to um, in in this quarter. Um, the building cash had a 1 basis point impact to them. Uh, we expect an additional 1 basis point throughout the rest of this year, over the next 2 quarters. So, uh, a little bit of impact there but not overly material and and we are still expecting uh, or or re a re, uh, a new debt issuance in the back half of the year that will have 1 basis point impacting them.

Speaker Change: The next question comes from the line of Mark Fitzgibbon with Piper Sandler.

Mark Fitzgibbon: Please go ahead. Hey guys. Hey guys. Good morning. Just just to follow up. I, I was curious on deposit costs for the second half of the Year, given your expectation, for 2 rate cuts and also interesting, sort of strong deposit growth. How are you thinking about deposit costs?

Mark Fitzgibbon: Interest rate, sensitivity for a second. So we we've positioned pretty neutral. So if we don't get the 2 Cuts in the back half of the year, we don't expect any material impact to our overall. Net interest margin, but going specifically to your deposit question. Um, it obviously, if we get additional Cuts, we expect to continue to move our deposit cost down. If we don't get 2 additional Cuts, you know, we are seeing some pretty significant competition on the deposit side. So don't see material opportunity to continue to move down to deposit costs. But uh, the team is actively focused in that area. And um, it it's something that we're closely monitoring.

Speaker Change: Okay, and then just to follow up John. Um, unrelated. If if the category 4 threshold gets lifted, how important is Bank m&a become for Webster and and if so, um, you know what, what would you be sort of looking for in potential targets, um, whether business line or geography or any other, any comments on, that would be much appreciated.

We're, we're attuned to it. There's no question about the fact that we've said that, you know, we, we're not, uh, really in the market for whole Bank m&a. Part of the reason was, is that we do something transformational if we did, and we were not going to do that, until we were ready to cross a 100 billion. I think that the clear thing we want to get across is, that's not our primary goal regardless of whether the 100 billion dollar, Mark moves or not. So I think it's fair to say for you, that, that gives us more optionality. If that number either moves up or is eliminated. And if the right circumstances exist, we would be more, uh, able to, uh, engage in in whole Bank acquisition. But I think if you think about what we're talking to our board about and what we're doing, as a management team right now, it's really a focus on, you know, organic growth, tuck and Acquisitions that. Continue to build out our deposit profile and strengthen our Healthcare Services vertical. So I would still say it's unlikely.

Speaker Change: To see us engage in the short to medium term in active Bank m&a.

Thank you.

Speaker Change: Next question comes from the line of Jared, Shaw with Barkley's Capital. Please go ahead.

Jared: Hey, good morning.

Good morning. Um,

Speaker Change: I guess maybe on the on the HSA news and you know, it's great that the, the total addressable Market is expanding, does that require you to make any investments in new, uh, delivery channels or new Outreach channels to, to capture, uh, that additional pool? Or, you know, how should we think about the expense associated with, with going after that market?

Speaker Change: Yeah, no great question Jared. No no material. Change in the expense trajectory of HSA. Uh, you know, we actually today already run a, you know, pretty significant direct to Consumer Channel, and this is going to be the opportunity that's presented itself. For these changes is slightly different than what we typically do through the employers, and it is more of a direct to Consumer Channel, but we actually do have a direct consumer Channel today that generates a not insignificant amount of new accounts and, you know, new account openings and pretty sizable business that we, that we run direct to Consumer today already so, no, no, major change. Uh, there will be obviously, some elements of different types of marketing. And so, marketing spend that will have to, you know, that will have to figure out as we go. Uh, and you know, the, um, you know, the reason for, uh, you know, for being, you know, somewhat cautious on just the ramp up that we're going to see, is that, you know, HSA is uh, you know, just because everybody getting over the new eligible consumers that can have an HSA can now, have an HSA doesn't mean that they're going to take it up, you know, immediately and so we do Envision that there's going to be some spend on the marketing and

Speaker Change: Education front, no changes that we need to make from a technology or operational perspective, but this is going to be a long-term investment in, uh, you know, identifying the new consumers, educating them on how they should be using an HSA benefits, uh, both short term and long term and so there will be some element of of investment that will make in that education process, but it's not going to materially change Opex, trajectory of the business.

Speaker Change: All right, thanks and then if I could follow up um on the on the allowance and provision, um, you know, with the with the improving broader credit backdrop, how should we think about uh, the the allowance build from here? And the provision is that being targeted as a percentage of of loan originations or should we be thinking of that as a as a percentage of the average loans?

Speaker Change: Jared as we as we say, every quarter of the Cecil Pro, you know, program and processes is pretty much tied to risk rating. Migration loan growth weighted, average risk ratings in the portfolio, and and we generally don't give guidance on it. I think we are comfortable in our total coverage ratio of when you triangulate and look at peers and our category, 4 peers and our current peer group. I think we're in a pretty good place right now. Uh, you know, I think the growth growth in our coverage would come from balance sheet, growth or credit. Deterioration. I think, you know, we took a great move. I thought strategically in the first quarter of changing our waiting for

A recession scenario. So we really felt like that was a good move to get us in the right spot. We did not back off. Uh our our sense of what the future holds. So I think 1 of the things we're proud of is that our provision came down significantly driven by credit performance. Underlying not driven by a change in what we think the Outlook is we still have a pretty good, uh, balance in a pretty good assessment of, uh, or or a pretty good portion of of, of assuming that there could be recession risk in the future. So I, I feel like where we are, is conservative appropriate, uh, and you know, it'll be driven by loan growth and credit performance in the second half of the year.

X.

Matthew Breeze: Your next question comes from the line of Matthew Breeze with Stevens Incorporated.

Speaker Change: Please go ahead.

Matthew Breeze: Hey, good morning.

2 things on originations. You know, first cni, originations picked up quite a bit, this quarter over 2 billion dollars, how much of that fuel sustainable and how are spreads holding up there and then 2 commercial real estate originations were strong as well. At 1.2 billion. Balances were actually down

Matthew Breeze: so, maybe you could talk about that Dynamic and how

Matthew Breeze: Payoffs are playing a role in commercial real estate today.

Speaker Change: Yeah, I'll take a shot and then asked, Lisa Neil, if they want to add anything. I mean I think another thing we were proud of this quarter is that our originations can really cross the entire Bank in all categories commercial and consumer. We had a really nice quarter with respect to, you know, commercial Middle Market, traditional cni. And as you mentioned at the end of the day, we actually reduced uh, our our Creeks concentration. Quite frankly, not intentionally that pipeline is building. We've said we're really comfortable where we are in that, 250 is range. Uh and so we we do have a building pipeline in Cree with high quality full relationship loans. And you know, hopefully you'll see that category contribute to what we believe will be strong back half of the year loan growth uh across across the board. And with respect to your specific question about, is it replicable? Uh, given the fact that it wasn't in

Speaker Change: Any 1 category and we're seeing pipelines build. We do think that we can see similar loan growth, uh, quarterly over the course of the rest of 25.

Speaker Change: Matt, the only thing that that you know, I'd add there is that the you know, can you

Speaker Change: There was a little bit of a pent-up demand where you saw earlier in the year. You know, first quarter with all the noise that we were seeing with Terrace and so forth, I think that a part of this is just uh, you know, back-ended growth and originations and volumes that we saw uh, ramping up over the course of the second quarter and 1 of the things that gives us you know a lot of uh you know confidence going into the second half of the year is that the pipeline of activity?

Speaker Change: In both commercial, you know, cni and Commercial Real Estate has gotten better over the course of May and June. And today, we sit in a place where we have I think greater visibility in what we're going to be seeing from a loan growth perspective for, you know, for the second half of the year. So nothing specific to point to as to why there's 2 billion dollars in originations. It was, uh, you know, on on the, you know, the cni side.

Speaker Change: It was across the board and the positive is that we're starting. You know, we we're continuing to see that type of activity across all of the business lines and vertical. So we feel pretty good about the second half of the year for for originations.

Great. And my second question is just in, in light of mom dies, that send it to here towards the mayorship in New York City. And of course, this is if he wins, you know, how much of a valuation impact do you think there could be to, you know, the the heavier rent regulated buildings?

Speaker Change: Could this asset class become more of a problem for you and and do you have at your fingertips? What kind of allowance uh, against this asset class you already have?

Regulated itself. Uh, you know, obviously we can track it down while we're while we're here. But, you know, you you kind of hit the nail on the head and the question Matt, which is it's an, if you know, it's not for sure and for certain that, uh, that xorn is going to win. But, you know, maybe he does, uh, you know, we had moved away from the regulated business particularly from A New originations Perspective for quite some time.

Speaker Change: Anything that we feel would derail what we're doing.

Speaker Change: The origination side.

Speaker Change: Uh, and the portfolio that we have is very seasoned. It was originated, you know, well, in a long time ago with good debt service coverage, ratios and ltvs. And so, even though we do have, you know, it it not, you know, a sign, you know, a decent sized portfolio.

Speaker Change: Regulated. It's not anything that we've originated recently. It's well seasoned and the credit stats on the portfolio are very very good but you know it's not you know it's not a portfolio that we have historically reserved for significantly because the credit profile has been very good and we expect that that's going to continue to be the case particularly where the types of properties that we have there.

Really small average uh, loan size, uh and you know, really good ltvs and current debt services. So I think, you know we we don't, we think of that as we, we are not overly exposed to that asset class. And I think more than 60% uh or somewhere between around 60% of what we underwrote in rent, regulated multi family was underwritten after uh the rent regulated laws came into effect in 2019. Meaning we weren't anticipating significant rent increases in order to service the debt. So, really granular very small part of our overall portfolio, and so again, we don't see a material credit impact, even if, uh, even if there's further regulation,

Speaker Change: appreciate all that. Thank you.

Speaker Change: In that your next question comes from the line of Anthony Ellen with JP Morgan.

Please go ahead.

Speaker Change: Hi everyone. The credit quality metrics inflected as you would expect to buy this far of the year, but should we expect the metrics? You highlight on slide 13 to improve further in the coming quarters? I understand there will be a 1-off. But, you know, is this declaring Victory on credit quality now, or should we expect these metrics to, uh, improve even further. Thank you.

Speaker Change: Yeah, I think you you kind of asked and answered the question you know, we we're we're always low to to predict credit performance and I probably get myself in trouble for not being more aggressively positive uh but we underlying here is the fact that our, our risk rating migration has really stabilized. And we're not seeing any new pockets of problems either in any sector any geography, or any business line, which is really encouraging. And the other thing that I would remind everybody is even the, the npls and classifies that are outstanding. They're really concentrated in those 2 portfolios that we continue to talk about for a long time. So, 45% of our npls on the balance sheet, right now are are either free office or health care services and 25% of our classified loans are in those 2 categories. 2 categories now, which are both well, below a billion dollars. We've

Worked through them significantly, we don't have significant originations in either of those 2 categories, so that gives us another sense. That yes, directionally over time. We think, uh, we should continue to see trending down in those 2 asset categories. Uh, and obviously with the caveat that because we're a commercial bank with larger, exposures that in any 1 quarter, you could see things bump around.

Speaker Change: That's fair. Thank you.

David Smith: Your next question comes from the line of David Smith with truist Securities. Please go ahead.

David Smith: Good morning.

David Smith: Just on the um on the topic of credit continuing to improve. Is there any uh further benefit uh to recovery of interest income, you know in the knee forecast as um as other non-accruals you know, work down over time

Yeah, I I again that's 1 where uh you know obviously if we had line of sight to it and we would we would be dealing with it, accelerating it. So I would say if you look at every single 1 of our quarters, ins and outs and non-accruals tend to have an impact you either. Accelerate, if you have a resolution, you know, previously deferred income, or you start to get a drag, if you've got a new non-performer I guess the best thing to say would be, we anticipate non-performers to Trend down so we hope that the positive impact outweighs the negative impact but nothing in our forecast would lead us to believe that we have sort of any material impact on knee either way in the second half of the year.

Speaker Change: All right. Thank you.

Speaker Change: Your next question comes from the line of Bernhard Von gizicki.

Speaker Change: Please go ahead.

Speaker Change: Uh, Hey guys, good morning. Uh, Neil first question just on non-interest bearing deposits. Uh, there's a nice uptick of about 200 million and a quarter, uh, and I know that, uh, previous guidance was expecting the ddas remain flat on a full year basis. Uh, just any thoughts on how you're thinking about uh, any potential growth uh, in the second half and how we should think about full year.

Speaker Change: We continue to believe that, you know, if you Trend back historically over the last 5 or 6, quarters, obviously, as an industry and banking we've seen decline in DDA accounts. Uh, our belief is, we're at the bottom of that Decline and we'll start to see, uh, some, you know, mild growth coming in the back half of the year, uh, we're not counting on outside growth to hit our guidance, but we do believe we've kind of reached that bottom and should should see a return to the trend for Webster bank and for the banking industry as a whole

Okay, great. And just want to follow up uh, for lease, uh, just on HSA, uh like you mentioned on the 3, provinces uh, HSA plan participants but the other 2 regarding the direct primary care and tella Health, anything? Um, how how big were those would you say of the uh the 1 to 2 and a half billion? You kind of cited was just you know kind of like a rounding error or just anything you can give um just on like sizing uh since the bronze is like the bigger component.

Speaker Change: Yeah.

Speaker Change: it's uh,

Speaker Change: slightly more than a rounding error, but I think you could still characterize it as a

Speaker Change: Rounding error on the last 2. The the Big Driver of this is the fact that you now have, you know? So you know, under today's enrollment rates in, uh, in the bronze packages about 7 million consumers that are now going to be eligible to, uh, you know, to, you know, prepare up their their bronze package with the, uh, with an HSA account. That's largely the driver of this and that's again. Why this, uh, you know, for us is a long-term path of, you know, identifying the 7 million consumers. And then trying to figure out where, uh, you know, kind of how how best to educate them on, how to use an HSA, which is going to take some time to do. But it is it is largely that that is the driver of the, uh, of the deposit growth opportunity. For the most part. Yeah, that clearly is the big 1. The other 2 are valuable, you know, the the tella health, for example, was a risk to the industry and it's great to see that um passing and that risk removed from the industry. So so we're very happy by the other 2 but I agree with Louise that it, it really is majority uh that the 1 providing, that's driving our estimate.

Speaker Change: Okay. Great. Thanks for taking my questions.

Speaker Change: Thank you.

Speaker Change: Next question comes from the line of Daniel TMO with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Daniel TMO: Hey, good morning guys, thanks for taking my questions. Um,

Daniel TMO: Most of my questions asked and answered at this point. But but I guess first just, um, you've talked about the cni and CRA, uh, broadly. But, um, curious on the sponsor side that's been a little bit light lately. Um, if you're seeing any changes in in demand there, if you're kind of baking in any, any pickup in in that book in the back, half of the year, is the uh, as the other categories start to, to pick up.

Daniel TMO: Yeah, short answer is yes. Uh, it was very late in the first and, you know, early part of the second quarter of uh of this year even going back to, you know, the third and fourth quarter of last year, there was, you know, we had already started to see a, you know, a, a downward Trend in, uh, you know, origination activity that, uh, you know, pipeline of business on the sponsor side as you know, has ramped up nicely in uh, in the second part of the second quarter, uh, and we do Envision that we're going to get back to uh you know, to to a a better growth trajectory and growth profile there. And we do think that the, you know, edition of the, you know, just becoming a improving and strengthening our competitive position through the, you know, through the 8 joint venture with with marathon is also going to be helpful to uh, on balance sheet origination. So we're going to be able to look at more deals and what we've looked at in the past we're going to be able to Target slightly larger deals than what we have been able to do in the past. And so when you factor in return to Greater just sector activity for, you know, for PE in general combined with what we are doing on on, just improving our

Daniel TMO: Our competitive position is an originator, all of that should result in uh, in a better growth trajectory in the back half of this year.

Come down as those public deposits move up and you'll see that Trend reverse again in Q4. But uh, we we really run our broker deposits kind of in that 3 to 5% of deposit range. So range, we're real comfortable with and um, that that's how we think about the seasonal movements, uh, in the Brokers deposits.

Speaker Change: The next question comes from the line of tomorr. Brazil with Wells Fargo.

Please go ahead.

Speaker Change: Hi, good morning.

Speaker Change: Hey Tamara following up following up on the marathon commentary. I'm just wondering to what extent does that loan growth come just from looking at larger deals and is that a 2-way street where things that Marathon might originate will end up on on your balance sheet? Or is that just what your originating will end up on the JV?

Speaker Change: Um it it uh it it largely, we think that the more swings at the plate will come from the fact that we can participate and compete for larger transactions without increasing the on-balance sheet hold sizes. I would say that. Yes, there is a 2-way street there that could benefit us from an origination perspective, Although our origination Channel and capabilities will be the majority of the originations related to what we would put in the uh in the joint venture.

um,

so excited about it again, this will be as, as Luis mentioned in his comments, they'll be a ramp period before we start to get, uh, non-interest income. But we do think that, uh, we'll benefit relatively shortly from a more competitive offering, uh, and a larger implied, balance sheet.

Okay, great. And then as a follow-up, just looking at margin trajectory.

Speaker Change: Realizing that a benefit a little bit from some interest recoveries here in 2 Cube. But can you just maybe talk to some of the competitive Landscapes around the deposit side? Some of the spread tightening uh new Loan Production and is the expectation that we are still kind of tracking towards a 340 margin. As we go through the back end of the year or does maybe some of the loan growth commentary, mitigate some of those pressures.

Speaker Change: Yeah, um, so we we are still expecting uh a net interest margin of approximately 3.4% this year. And so, if you think about that in the first half of the year, we were obviously a little bit above that 3.4% level. So we kind of expect to exit the year somewhere between 3:35 and 3:40. And I I mentioned a couple items. Um, you know, we'll have a little bit more cash in the balance sheet. We've got a, a debt restructure in the back, half of the year, um, we've got a little bit of pressure on our Securities. Portfolio call to basis point or 2 as we uh have some mixed shifts there.

And then there'll be some modest spread impacts and and that really depends on how fast we grow the balance sheet. Uh, and so that there's some variables there on, on where we can end on the back half of the year. But as you mentioned, um, and I mentioned earlier, uh, deposit competition is challenging in the market right now. I think our teams are doing a great job, uh, maintaining clients and winning new relationships, but it's a, it's a, it's a challenging environment. And we're also, uh, have put on some, uh, if you look at the risk rating of our new loan, originations they're at a even a higher quality than our overall loan portfolio. So that's causing a little bit of organic spread compression as we move forward. So, uh, we're, we're reiterating our full year, Nim guidance, uh, but do expect the the back half of the year to be a little bit less so than that interest mortgage side of the first half. And I I always want to add that we don't manage the organization in NM uh you know, we're most focused on knee and ends and outcome. Um, but uh, we did want to provide that color on some of the factors we're thinking about,

Speaker Change: In the back, half of the year.

Speaker Change: And the 1 thing I would say to tie that to the earlier question, if we do see continued to increase m&a activity, and what Louise talked about, with respect to sponsor pipeline improves, that gives us a chance to outperform as, as our higher yielding loans, uh, could impact positively the the margin.

Great. Thank you.

Yeah, next question comes from the line of Ben gerlinger with City.

Please go ahead.

Speaker Change: Morning.

Speaker Change: morning been

just kind of following up a little bit or tangential. If it's question about the marathon.

The contribution to fee income, are we talking like a couple million incremental per quarter or are we talking like tens of million per quarter once you get to the whole thing going? So probably more like a Runway late 26.

Yeah, I think that there's, uh, there's 2 opportunities as we think about the potential for what the impact of the of the joint venture is going to be, uh, when we're referring to the, you know, the fee income. That's you know, we're talking about Asset Management income and you know, that is, you know, for you know, for the first vehicle that we're going to be running it's going to be more the you know you said tens of millions. It's not that big, it's going to be smaller than that but it's going to be a good recurring source of the income that we will. That will be generating and we'll continue to provide no more details and you'll see those uh you know, you'll see it ramping up in the uh, you know, through the p&l over time.

Speaker Change: Uh the just as good of an opportunity, if not better and you and I think you hit the nail on the head when you said, you know, larger you know, larger transactions, being larger companies, which will mean larger opportunity to be able to do Capital markets business, swaps indications.

Speaker Change: As well as, uh, you know, just treasury management and and, and deposit opportunity plays there as well. You're going to start seeing that fee income being generated, uh, you know more, you know, more closely tied to the origination activity of the vehicle which is going to be up and running in the third quarter. And we, we're going to start originating, you know, we anticipate uh, you know, loans into the um, into the vehicle at that time. So it's a 2-prong approach, you know, a good impact of the JV is what's going to happen on our own balance sheet with just, you know, greater

Speaker Change: Origination activity and then all of the loan uh fee activity. That happens off of those originations, which we were largely going to retain at Webster bank. And then, you know, longer term, you'll have, you know, an income stream that will be driven off of the, uh, you know what? The eventual performance of the portfolio becomes in the vehicle as well as, uh, you know, how large the vehicle becomes in the prospective of, uh, of, you know, kind of the number of loans that are held in in, you know, on the platform and, and 1 important point. I want to make on this is and and because I think it's this isn't new activity for us. This isn't us having to go out and find new sponsors. Or we're chasing things. This is simply gives us the capacity to continue to deliver full relationships. Cash management, deposits loan fees, originations with existing sponsors who as the markets change with private credit, have moved more to private credit. We still do tons of business with them. But on the larger Deals, they move away from us because of our balance sheet. So I think it's important point to know that this isn't changing risk.

Speaker Change: Profile, this isn't changing activity. We don't need to hire new people. We have very sophisticated people in that sponsor group, it's just giving them more tools to take advantage and deliver for their existing clients.

Speaker Change: Gotcha. That's helpful. I just want to dig a little deeper than that.

Speaker Change: You have the kind of let's call it back office or banking opportunity for for kind of Legacy Marathon relationships now. Or is it really trying to keep separate church and state between Webster JV and marathon on like opportunity? Yeah.

I I wouldn't comment on that now. I think over the long term, they're a great firm and and and I think there are more things we can do together. Uh, 1 of them would be what you talked about, with respect to to to having a good banking services product for for other borrowers. But that's not on the drawing board now and I, I wouldn't comment on that.

Speaker Change: Thank you, appreciate it.

Lori Hunsiker: Next question comes from the line of Lori hunsiker with Seaport.

Speaker Change: Please go ahead.

Great. Hi thanks. Good morning. Um, 2 questions, number 1. What was your share buyback price on the million and a half shares in the quarter and the number 2, just going back to the the rent regulated multi family that 1.4 billion. Do you have an approximate debt service coverage and then anything to think about or know about on that 185 million of maturities coming up over the next 12 months.

Speaker Change: Yeah, our Q2 share repurchases. We're at $1.69, John, and our, and our, and our current debt service coverage ratio on the portfolio is 1.56 times.

Speaker Change: Perfect, thank you so much.

Speaker Change: Oh, and anything on that. Um, the 185 million in maturities that we should be thinking about.

Speaker Change: No, normal course.

Speaker Change: Great. Thanks guys.

Thank you, Lori.

Speaker Change: I will now turn the call back over to John Sula. For closing remarks. Please go ahead.

Speaker Change: Morning. Have a great day.

Speaker Change: Ladies and ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining and you may now disconnect

Speaker Change: please wait the conference will begin shortly.

Q2 2025 Webster Financial Corp Earnings Call

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Webster Financial

Earnings

Q2 2025 Webster Financial Corp Earnings Call

WBS

Thursday, July 17th, 2025 at 1:00 PM

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