Q2 2025 Invitation Homes Inc Earnings Call
Welcome to the invitation home. Second quarter, 2025 earnings conference call.
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As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.
At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Scott McLaughlin, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, operator. And good morning. I'm joined today, from Invitation, Homes with Dallas Tanner our chief executive officer Charles young, our President, John Olsen our Chief Financial Officer, Scott E, our chief investment officer, and Tim looner. Our chief. Operating officer following our prepared, remarks will open the line for questions from our covering sell side analysts.
During today's call, we may reference our second quarter 2025 earnings release in supplemental information.
we issued this document yesterday afternoon after the market closed and it is available on the investor relations section of our website at
Certain statements, we make during this call may include forward-looking statements relating to the Future performance of our business, Financial results, liquidity and capital resources and other non-historical statements, which are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual outcomes or results to differ materially from those indicated.
We describe some of these risks and uncertainties in our 2024, annual report on form, 10K and other filings, we make with the SEC from time to time.
Except to the extent, otherwise required by law. We do not update for looking statements and expressly disclaim any obligation to do. So
we may also discuss certain non-gaap Financial measures during the call.
You can find additional information regarding these non-gaap measures including reconciliations to the most comparable gaap measures in yesterday's earnings release.
With that, I'll now turn the call over to Dallas Tanner. Please begin, Dallas. Thank you, Scott, and good morning, everyone. We appreciate you joining us today. I'm pleased to share our second quarter results that once again reflect the outstanding work of our associates, the disciplined execution of our long-term strategy, and the strength of our resident-focused experience.
Before we dive in, I want to take a moment to acknowledge the devastating flash floods, that struck the Texas Hill Country. Earlier this month, the images and stories have been heartbreaking with some of our own friends and family having been impacted in response. We've made a donation to support the red cross's local Aid. Work in addition to our annual support of their National relief efforts and we're matching associate donations dollar for dollar.
As a Texas based company. It's our responsibility and privilege to support our neighborhoods and their times of need and by investing in communities. During both good and difficult times, that's who we are, and it's what genuine care is all about.
Speaking of genuine care, there's been no greater ambassador of that mindset than my friend and colleague, Charles Young.
As many of you know, Charles has accepted an exciting opportunity to lead, another public read.
While we're excited to what lies ahead for him. We're also mindful that today marks his final earnings call with us.
Charles it's been an incredible 8 and a half year Journey, your leadership integrity and Heart have left a lasting mark on our company and we're all better for having worked alongside you.
We wish you nothing but continued success in your next chapter.
Not say earlier is with us in the room today. Tim has been with Invitation Homes, since 2012, and is an exceptional and experienced leader. Having overseen, our repairs turns and maintenance teams since 2014 and more recent Years, also let our field and leasing teams
they'll continue in his role as our chief operating officer and we assumed the title of President and what we expect to be a seamless transition
Let's turn now to our second quarter performance and highlight the key drivers behind our results.
What really stands out is the continued validation of our approach. During the second quarter, our average resident tenure was 40 months, and our renewal rate approached 80%—a continued testament to the quality of our homes, our service platform, and the trust we've built with our residents.
Zooming out to the broader housing landscape, the macro environment continues to reinforce the value of our offering.
According to recent research from John Burns.
The US needs an average of nearly 1.5 million new homes each year through 2034.
That includes 600,000 rental units per year just to restore balance within the market.
And given that our average new Resident age is in the late 30s and John Burns estimate. That there are 13,000 people turning 35 every day for the next 10 years. We believe there should be a long-lasting demand Tailwind for our business over the next decade and will be on.
And this is where Invitation Homes is uniquely positioned to unlock the power of home for the millions of Americans who choose to lease a home.
In the second quarter, we acquired just under a thousand wholly owned homes. Most of which were newly built and often in communities. Offering a mix of both for sale and for lease options
The approach brings high-quality homes into our portfolio while helping builders to accelerate the needed housing delivery in markets where we have high conviction and long-term performance.
Our Builder Partnerships remain a key growth engine for us giving us access to a thoughtfully designed home and master plan communities, while allowing us to maintain high standards for quality.
We're also expanding our tool kit with the recent launch of our developer lending program, which positioned us to participate earlier in the value chain.
typically, with the goal of purchasing the communities upon stabilization,
we're just getting started in our excited about the possibilities combined with our home builder Partnerships and third-party Property Management relationships. These initiatives enhance our acquisition strategies and boost our trust in the opportunities ahead.
On that front. We're confident that we will meet or exceed our acquisition guidance of 500 to 700 million this year.
our pipeline has robust and we continue to Target attractive yields, with upside, through operational, efficiencies and improved scale,
In closing our strategy remains clear.
To consistently deliver high-quality housing in desirable neighborhoods, backed by a service platform that puts the resident. First
With strong demographic, Tailwind at disciplined investment approach, and our best-in-class team, we are well, positioned to drive long-term value for our shareholders and meet the evolving needs of American families.
With that, I'll turn it over to Charles young to walk through our operating results in more detail.
Thank you, Dallas. And I truly appreciate your kind words earlier. It's been a privilege to work with you and this great team.
To all of our Associates, the success of our company starts with you.
What I'll miss most are the relationships and camaraderie we've built together over the years.
I'm deeply grateful for the pride dedication and commitment you bring to work every single day.
It's been an honor to be a part of this journey with you.
Following my last day on September 1st. I'll leave confident that you're in. Great hands with Dallas 10 in the entire team.
The future of Invitation Homes is bright and I look forward to watching what you accomplished together.
Now on to our second quarter, operational results on the revenue side. We've delivered solid growth through a combination of strategic rate, optimization and healthy occupancy.
Bad debt continued to improve returning to the high end of our historical, range of reflection of both the stability of our resident base and the strength of our screening processes.
We also maintained effective cost controls while continuing to invest in our homes maintenance and repair costs, remained well-managed through Procare and our in-house maintenance teams.
Preventative maintenance programs and prompt response times help contain costs while supporting High resident satisfaction.
At the same time, our investments in technology and process improvements continue to drive operational efficiencies across the portfolio.
Our team's ability to balance cost discipline with high quality service.
As Dallas mentioned, our average resident, stay is now 40 months, a strong indicator of this success.
Longer stay is not only reflect resident satisfaction but also contribute to lower turnover costs and better condition of our homes.
Satisfied residents tend to stay longer and take better care of their homes, supporting long-term asset performance.
Altogether, we achieve second quarter, same story, core Revenue, growth of 2.4% year-over-year, while core operating expenses Rose, 2.2% resulting in a 2.5% noi growth.
Turning now to leasing performance, we saw a strong results across key metrics.
During a second quarter Blended. Rent growth was 4% driven by 4.7% renewal rank growth and 2.2% growth in new leases.
This demonstrates, our ability to capture Market opportunities during the peak leasing season and underscores, the importance of renewal rate growth. Given that over 3/4 of our business is renewals
The year continues to unfold in line with our expectations, including with our preliminary July results, same store, average occupancy is coming in at 96.6% for the month of July while renewal lease rate growth remains strong at 5% combined with new lease rate growth of 1.3%. This brings our Blended lease rate growth for
To 3.8%.
To wrap up our second quarter operating results, reflect the platform, the quality of our portfolio in a dedication of our best-in-class Associates.
As we look ahead to the second half of the year, the teams remain. Well, positioned to build on this momentum.
I have strong confidence in their ability to deliver and to continue setting a higher standard with each step forward with that. I'll turn the call over to John Olsen to walk through our financial results and capital position
Thanks Charles. Today, I'll provide an update on our financial position and capital markets activities and then wrap up by discussing our second quarter Financial results. Before I do, I'd like to take a moment to Echo Dallas's earlier comments, it has been my great pleasure to work with Charles over the last 8 years. As a leader Charles is both calm and inspirational and as a colleague and friend, he sets a standard to which others can Aspire. I wish Charles great success in his next Endeavor and I look forward to watching what he achieves.
Turning. Now, to the second quarter as of quarter end, our investment grade rated ballot sheet, offered robust, liquidity of approximately 1.3 billion dollars in unrestricted cash and undrawn capacity on a revolving credit facility. This provides us with substantial dry powder and the flexibility to pursue compelling growth initiatives and capitalize on strategic opportunities.
Our capital structure remains strong.
with our net debt to trailing 12-month adjusted ibida ratio at 5.3 times as of quarter end,
This remains slightly below our target range of 5 1/2 to 6 times. Underscoring our disciplined approach to leverage and balance sheet management
In addition, over 83% of our debt is unsecured, and nearly 88% of our debt is fixed-rate or swapped to fixed rate.
This includes the benefit of 400 million of new interest rate swaps. We executed during the second quarter which brings our total swap book to over 2 billion dollars with a weighted average strike rate of just over 3%.
The quality of our balance sheet is further enhanced by our substantial pool of unencumbered assets that provide additional Financial flexibility.
We have well laddered debt maturities with no debt. Reaching final maturity until mid 2027 and we continue to evaluate opportunities in the capital markets to optimize our maturity schedule and cost of capital.
Let me now turn to our financial results and outlook for the remainder of the year.
In the second quarter, we reported core ffo of 48 cents per share and year-to-date core ffo of 97 cents per share. Positioning us well relative to our full year guidance range of 188 to 1.94 per share.
Afo which reflects the impact of recurring Capital expenditures was 41 cents per share for the quarter, bringing our year-to-date total to 84 cents per share, which is also tracking while relative to our full year. Guidance, range of 1.58 to 1.64 per share
We're pleased with our strong first half performance, and the momentum we've built, which gives us High conviction in our original Outlook.
We remain focused on execution, and on, carrying our momentum into the back half of the year.
With that operator, we're ready to open the line for questions.
We will now begin our question-and-answer session. To ask a question, please press star, then 1 on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star, then 2.
If you are using a speaker-phone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys.
In the interest of time, we ask that participants limit themselves to 1 question. And then req by pressing star 1 to ask a follow-up question.
1 moment, please while we Poll for questions.
The first question comes from Eric wolf with City.
Hey, thanks. Um yeah I can see guidance implies a pretty large acceleration in the back half of the year to think around. 96%, maybe even a little bit lower. I think you said July was around 96.6%. So it was just curious, you know, whether that's sort of a, a conservative projection for the rest of the year. If you're actually seeing something in your future expirations, that that would cause that occupancy to keep coming down.
Yeah. So the years, uh, unfolding uh, as we expected and um, you know, first half of the Year turnover was a little lower so I could see stayed a bit higher. But, uh, you know, we expected that, you know, come Q3, uh, seasonal, turnover, which show up. And that's what you're seeing in the July occupancy numbers. And you know, that's typical for the, for how the year kind of unfolds through Q3 you'll
Get some turnover. Um and you know as we get towards the end of the year, we're kind of build back hard to predict exactly where it's going to end up, but it's right in line with what we expected. The other thing that I'd mentioned is, um, we know that there's a little bit of Supply, especially in some of our markets, as we think about, you know, Central Florida, Texas, and others where we're having to stay on Market, a little longer bringing our days, uh, days to resonant up slightly. And so that, that's another thing that's adding towards the what we expected was a bit of a reset year, on occupancy to get down into the, uh, mid 966.
The next question comes from Steve sakoa with evercore isi.
Yeah, great thanks. Good morning. I guess. Sort of following up on Eric's question it. You know, the I guess the inverse of that is kind of the new newly side, um, which obviously has been slower than the renewals and I realize it's only maybe 20 to 25% of the business but you know, I guess what gets the kind of the new lease pricing to to kind of move higher. And would it be your expectation as we move into next year? As some of the supply comes down that you would see an acceleration in in new lease pricing.
Yeah. Uh this is Charles you know, we expected that was that this is the year in terms of new lease that we're going to have a little bit more pressure given what we were seeing with the builder rent Supply and some of our bigger markets. The good news is we're past the peak of deliveries and we're watching that. Now we expect that they're going to continue to kind of come down at the second half of the year, but we still have some absorption absorbing to do. And as we do that, uh I think we'll be pretty set. Well, set up for 26. Um, how quickly each market kind of absorbs is going to vary. We're seeing good signs. As you look at Orlando, um, you know, Texas Phoenix, uh, Tampa. You know, we're keeping an eye on it, you know, demand is still here, uh, just in those bigger markets, we're having to absorb and stay on Market, a little longer and, and fight for that rate on the newly side and balance that with the occupancy. But you mentioned it, we're also, you know, really the strength has been renewals and that's 2/3 of what we do. And we've been accelerating on renewals since April, um, with July being at, um, you know, 5 5%.
Uh, which is great. And it just says Testament to the resiliency of the platform and our residents, um, and that they're choosing to stay with us, which is great.
The next question comes from Jana gallon with Bank of America.
Thank you. Good morning. Um, question on the transaction markets and kind of views around any potential portfolios of size that that could, you know, come to Market. And then just also curious what you're seeing, um, for your dispositions kind of, what are the cap rates there and are these going to owner occupants or potentially other investor groups
We purchase opportunities and evaluate them as they come. Um, and so I think, uh, we see a pretty consistent Market, we're being cautious. We're, we're trying to find the right deals in the right markets at the right cap rate and well continue to be cautious about, um, the acquisition side in terms of dispos, I think, you know, most of that market continues to be an end-user Focus for us. Um and you know we continue to try to dispose in the markets that we've already been identified. And obviously it's California and Florida and places like that. And we continue to execute mostly to end users wanting a time. And you know, we'll see how that market evolves.
Question comes from.
Jamie Feldman.
Fargo.
Great I guess uh just following up on Jana's uh question here. So you know you think about second quarter some of your largest acquisition markets are also or like campus specifically is 1 of the markets where it seems like you're having
Uh, some of the weaker fundamentals.
So how do we, how do you think long term about, you know, buying in some of these more active home, build Market, home builder markets with more Supply risk. Over the long term where, you know, Cycles may put more pressure on fundamentals, uh, as you think about building out the portfolio and expanding your, you know, your relationships.
Yeah, hi. This is Dallas. Take a step back. I mean, you have to zoom out and remember that we have a view that on a long-term risk adjusted basis. We want to be, you know, primarily Sunbelt and Coastal, uh, with our footprint. And and so, you're totally right in saying that there's been a little bit of near-term noise, specifically on the newly side in some of these markets. But on the renewal side of the house, once you get a customer in place, it's actually quite strong. Even in a market where maybe there is a bit more Supply, that you're competing against if something goes vacant. Um, that being said, Scott sort of touched on this. When we're looking at some of these opportunities specifically right now things that are coming in from the builders um where there's sort of inventory that they want to move. We're getting pretty significant discounts going in which allows us to be really conservative on our under underwritten rents specifically in the end of month. Sort of end a quarter tapes by market. Um we're able to be pretty aggressive there and so we definitely think about those types of things like a t.
Where maybe we're seeing some softness on the new lease side of things in, in our same store pool but you just have to underwrite that risk on the front end going in. And so we feel very comfortable with the Acquisitions that were made in the second quarter. Um we talked about this in the script that most of these are brand new homes either. Um 1-off that fills in North our scattered business really well and or some of the BTR deliveries um that were scheduled. And as a reminder and some of these markets for us are doing Capital Recycling and so we've got some some markets
Where we've got older homes or homes that we have a gain on, and we're trying to recycle capital into newer inventory and brand-new homes. So, it's both being in markets where we have a big presence and we see resiliency, but also recycling capital in some of our selected homes.
The next question comes from Michael Goldsmith with UBS.
Hi thanks. This is Amy, I'm from Michael. Um I was hoping that you could dig in a little bit more in terms of BTR Supply and some of the large markets to maybe help put some contacts or numbers around what you're seeing. Um and additionally are you seeing any incremental pressure from scatter site supply? Thank you.
Let me take the last part of your question on scattered site Supply. Uh, there's no doubt that as the home buying and selling Market on the resale side is, you know, sort of stuck right now in terms of where the bid ass spread is between somebody's current mortgage rate a home they may or may want to go by. We've certainly seen in some of these markets a little bit of that inventory. Creep into the overall sfr scattered site, sort of inventory, that's out there. And that's probably putting a little bit of some additional pressure in the near term on rents and new lease rent growth and some of the markets we've talked about. In terms of BTR, it actually feels like it's getting a bit better and and I'll let Scott comment on this in a little bit differently. But, you know, if you went back to last year, you would see a lot of concessions as people were kind of leasing things up. We're still seeing some of that from our peers.
But by and large, it's just sort of normal absorption albeit that the markets in in some of those kind of key Sun, Belt markets, we talked about this last fall, we're going to have a pretty significant amount of Supply that's coming through it. It's not, it actually feels in my view based on our own data and things. We're seeing a bit better than it was maybe last year but that that too. Well, Wayne I mean Burns has talked about, um, deliveries being down significantly year-over-year as we go into 26 and all the data that we're following suggests the same.
The next question comes from hindle St. Jess with Mizzou.
Uh, Hey guys. Uh, good morning. Thanks for taking the question and uh congratulations. Charles uh, it's been a pleasure and look forward to uh, following your your next chapter. Um, my question is is more on the uh, the investment side on the the uh investment book. The M investment book, The I guess the lending lending book. So, um, can you I know you're just getting started there, but can you talk about kind of the, the opportunity that you see there, um, maybe putting some, some numbers around what? Potentially, you can deploy capital in uh that that that Niche. Over the near-term could look like and perhaps over the longer term. Thank you.
Thanks in terms of this program. Like we said, we we announced it in June. We closed on our first loan. It's early days for this program, we're out in the market, as we speak building, relationships with the developers building relationships with the brokerage Community. We've got a lot of lines in the water in terms of understanding the opportunity and engaging with prospective borrowers here. So I think we continue to be excited about the program and I think it's going to be the same thing targeting. You know, build to rent, communities and markets, where we have an operational presence, where we feel like we understand rents where we feel like we understand the market. And ideally on project that eventually we'd like to to own those communities. But, you know, it's kind of hard to put an exact number around it in this term point in terms of volume. But we're out there engaging every day. We've got term sheets and lines in the water and we'll report back to you when we have more progress.
The next question comes from Jesse, Letterman with zelman and Associates.
Hey, thanks for taking the question, another 1 on the Acquisitions, maybe for Scott. Um,
So roughly a thousand Acquisitions during the quarter but only, you know, 485 or so delivery. So were their remaining. I, I understand those are probably still new homes but not categorized as deliveries per se in the supplemental. So I mean, were those existing homes? Were those just 1 off from Builders and they're not categorized as deliveries? Because they're not like
Bfr communities, maybe some more clarity. There would be great, thanks. Yeah, no great question. Jesse. In terms of that, you're exactly right that the 485 identifies, the forward purchase communities, where we had a forward contract with the builder to have them deliver over a 12-month period Etc. And then the rest was a combination of buying end of month. Builder tapes, in terms of 1-off opportunities where we saw attractive pricing on the builders, some of this is you've noted, we bought some homes from our partners. Um, and we had some of our JB 3pm partners that were interested in getting a little bit of liquidity. And there were houses that we very well and we already managed and there was an opportunity for us to purchase them in an attractive price. And so, when you put it all together, it was a combination of that. I think we've got another stabilized Bill to rent community that was an attractive acquisition opportunity at a good cap rate for us. So you're right. It was a combination of both forward, deliveries and buying on a
Small basis. Thank you.
The next question comes from Julian buen with Goldman Sachs.
Thank you for taking my question. Uh, maybe just digging into the newly side. Um, so positive 1.3% in July, I guess, should we expect it to weaken seasonally further into August and September? And then how should we think about the 4q deceleration just thinking about sort of the rent curve last year? Could it look similar or does sort of your willingness to flex occupancy this year? I mean, you might hold on to more rate.
Yeah, this is Charles, you know, it it, it is, as I said earlier, the year's kind of unfolding as we expected, we peaked in Q2, which is typical. And then in Q3 you kind of, you know, kind of balance out and, you know, depending on what's going on with that market. So, you know, uh, Q4 typically as it gets to the holidays, it does slow down a little bit, so we'll see where we end up. Um, you know, at at, as you think about the newly side, um, you know, that that balance really is being affected by some of our larger markets as we talked about, and I think that's what makes it a bit more unpredictable. Uh, we do see line of sight though that the, um, you know, uh, the absorption in those markets. We're, we're, we're chopping through that. And ultimately, um, we think, uh, we're seeing as Dallas said earlier that there's going the, uh,
The next question comes from John Paloski with Green Street.
On the proportion of the book. That's multi-year term leases, a 24-month leases. I think it's 25% of total. Leases are the in place rents of that proportion uh of tenants, well above Market at this point and is is that kind of kind of a slow, but consistent drag on the headline new and renewal figures reported
Yeah, I I wouldn't necessarily say that John. I mean, I think if you look at at loss to lease right now and, you know, I would caution everyone not to read too much into it because it does bounce around a little bit, you know, it
You know.
Call it a a little bit kind of between 1 and a half, and 2%, is probably the, the right rule of thumb. I I don't think that the multi-year leasing um,
Profile of our book is substantially above Market. You know, we do think that we continue to have opportunities to go capture sort of market rate growth and and do think that particularly in the case of residents, who've been with us for a long time, who've renewed several times over, you know, average length of stay is now approaching 40 months.
Um, we are probably below Market on a number of those, uh, and we'll be looking to try to extract what we can, uh, when those, when those leases do turn.
The next question comes from Juan Sanabria with BMO Capital markets.
Hi, uh, thanks for the time. Just curious on the expense side, seems like you're running ahead um, as a whole in particular on taxes and insurance, which you kind of flush out more concretely in God. And so just curious on
The expectations for the second half, is there a tougher comp? Or is there just some conservativism into the, the unchanged Guidance with the, the range is still pretty wide.
Thanks, Juan. It's John. Yeah, I think it's the latter, really. Um, you know, as Charles said, we feel very comfortable with where we sit relative to our guidance. The year is unfolding about how we anticipated. We're sort of in line with, or maybe slightly ahead of, where we expected to be. Um, but at the same time, I think it's important to acknowledge that, you know, we're right in the depths of peak leasing season. It is a more challenging new lease environment.
Um, it is taking a little bit longer to get stuff absorbed and I think we want to be mindful of the fact that, um, you know, it's a little bit of a grind in a few of our markets. Now that said um we are also waiting on Florida and Georgia property tax. Uh we'll have a lot more information on those in the next 60 days.
So if I put it all together, you know, just to be clear. We feel really good about where we are. I think, if I look at the balance of risks and opportunities, I feel, uh, I feel good. Um, but it just didn't make sense, given the information in hand uh, to go revised guidance today. When we're going to know a lot more 60 days from now. And, and we can do it with uh, a much greater level of clarity and confidence.
the next question comes from Adam, Kramer with
Hey, thanks for the time. Um maybe just I think it's sort of similar to some of the earlier questions but maybe just to put a fine point on it. Um I think you guys in the past have talked about sort of a mid 3% Blended rate growth guide or informal guide for the year.
You're giving what you've done today. Obviously, renewal has been really strong uh and I think you've sort of covered what's happening on the new lease side wondering if you know if there's any change to that number or how you're thinking about that, the 3 and a half percent or mid 3% Blended rate growth guidance for the full year at this point.
No, I I don't think we're, we're in a position where we're going to. As I said, revised guidance today. Um, you know, we're certainly watching it, uh, renewals is Charles said have been really healthy very resilient and that's 3 quarters of our business. So, um, if we can continue to sort of, uh, see positive results on the renewal side, um, you know, continue to get homes absorbed. Um, you know, I feel comfortable with where we are relative to our guide, as I said earlier,
But I don't think we're in a position where we're going to, um, you know, go back and sort of speak to how that number may change. Well, obviously, no more here. By the time of our next call, and we'll have a couple opportunities, I think, before then to meet with some of y'all.
the next question comes from Brad, heer, with RBC
California. Yeah. Um, so Cal's been a strength for us uh, running High occupancy, High Blended High new lease. You know, new lease is affected by ab1482 where we're limited on the renewal. So there's kind of built-in kind of loss to lease when we get to the new lease side, you know, given the lack of Supply, uh, of homes, uh, single family homes in California. Uh, it it puts our book in in good shape. Um, yeah, there, you know, on the operating side, there's been some noise but we're, we're improving on the bad debt side. So overall, it's been a, uh, a nice portfolio and kudos to the team for their execution.
The next question comes from Jade ramani with KBW.
Clear that the Midwest.
Growth recently. So do you view this trend as sustainable and have you evaluated any acquisition opportunities there to diversify? Thank you.
Hey, great question. Um, look, we we've been in the midwest now since 2012, and we really enjoy the numbers that we've seen out of it. The last year year and a half. That being said, generally speaking. It's been a tougher Market tougher Marketplace for us to on a risk. Adjusted basis to both see, great home price appreciation and great Revenue growth. And so, the short answer is no, we don't see it as a reason to strategically pivot or do anything different. With our long-term lens. We certainly enjoy.
Enjoy the footprint that we have there. We kind of kept a flag in the midwest with a little bit in Chicago and Minneapolis and we're grateful for all the good growth fundamentals there but it's because basically there was no development or building for 10 years and so it's nice to see it get its Pop um but we're still long on kind of these
High growth, you know, kind of net. Migration markets in the South and Southeast and Southwest where we think both household information. Um, demographic information, the amount of 35 year, olds moving their year in and year out, all lend themselves to a good long-term lens on growth on a risk adjusted basis.
Next question, comes from Anthony pallone with JP Morgan.
Uh, thanks and congratulations. Charles, uh,
I guess apologies if I missed this, but you guys had another quarter of pretty strong dispositions at very low cap rates. Can you talk about just how much more of those you think you could do uh, over the next few quarters. And also Beyond just maybe selling to users like any commonality, uh, among those assets as to, why they they've gone off at such low cap rates.
No, I think look taking us. Uh this is Dallas, jumping in here. Uh look you have to think about things a couple different ways 1, many times. Some of our assets have a higher in place, sort of use for a retail buyer and we target those as part of our asset management strategy. So as a home in California, for example, gets to such a low cap rate on a relative retail basis. We're not
Seller. Um and as you think about where we can recycle uh, those those those Capital rates, you know, into sorry, excuse me. Not capitalized into cap rates on the buy side, you know, Scott and the team have done a really nice job. Like, basically selling in the high 3s low fours, maybe mid fours right now because things are a little bit more competitive, um, and we're moving that into basically 6 cap properties of today's pricing and so as we look at sort of, you know, it's hard to forecast. We we definitely feel good about our initial guide of what we said we would do both from a buy and a sell and look, we're probably a little bit on the high side of our acquisition guide because we're seeing really good opportunities. But you know, they'll be measured in terms of what we sell and when we sell it. Um, and it's a great way to continue to recycle. And to also offset risk in the portfolio. So, if, if Scott sells a 45 year old home in Southern, California and reinvests in a brand new home in Atlanta. We, we, we, we, we definitely like that as part of our Capital recycling strategy,
The next question comes from Michael Goldsmith with UBS.
Hi. Thanks for the follow up. Um, I was wondering kind of a bigger picture item. If we do see a rate cut and then we do see an increase in home sales. How would that, how would you expect that to impact your ability to continue to achieve strong Market rent growth? Um, so with that more liquid home buying Market, be any sort of a headwind for rent or perhaps a Tailwind
Gives us great marks on where our portfolio values are and where they should be trading. And it also creates, you know, near-term demand both for rental space. And it takes existing inventory off the market at times in the for lease space. So, if you look at some of our markets where we're currently operating, and we're talking about new lease rate being a little bit softer, there's definitely been homes that have converted from the 4 sales side of the house, into the 4, Le side of the business. And so that's additional competition for both of us and for our peers. And so I would say yes, we would view more home, volume and transaction buying and selling as a better Tailwind for our business. Generally and candidly it just creates a more healthy environment. People should have Choice flexibility and options across all the different parameters of housing.
The next question.
With Green Street.
Thanks for taking the follow-up. John I wanted to pick your brain on the swap book and 2 billion in notional amount of swaps is not a not a small number. So can you just give me a sense of the total upfront costs? We paid to execute these swaps um and maybe I'm old-fashioned but it kind of prefer you to simplify things. Just turn out the debt naturally with fixed rate longer day bonds and took the medicine and took your medicine on higher rates. But I'm not that smart on how cost-effective swaps are, could you, could you just flush out the thought process and this, um, kind of unique strategy.
Sure, thanks for the question, John. And and I'll start off by saying, I agree with you. You know, over time and distance our expectation is that our balance sheet is going to become more and more fixed rate. Um, you know, our our swap book is sort of a
Uh, a legacy of what our historical capital structure looked like, um, but I think you know, for us, if you think about the cost of a swap, basically there is a credit charge baked into the spread we pay. So if you look at that strike rate column on schedule 2D typically in addition to a, a true kind of cost related specifically to the swap, there's a credit charge that the counterparty charges to us. It's fairly diminish. Um, and then you know, there is um, obviously the the sort of Mark to Mark effect over time whereas these swaps can become either an asset or a liability. And there have been instances where we've amended swaps to take advantage of the asset position. And there have been times when when that's been a more substantial liability. But our overall strategy is to try to make um, the interest expense related to our capital structure, uh, more knowable, you know, more transparent and more sort of um,
Uh, I would say less volatile over time.
But I think your point is well taken. And, and I would say that, you know, as the years continued to pass, we will expect to be less reliant on sort of hedging to, uh, to manage a fixed rate sort of, uh, capital structure.
The next question comes from Nick.
Uh, thanks. I, I just want to go back to the topic of property taxes. And, you know, you have the guidance this year 5 to 6%, you did just under 6%, uh, last year and you were talking about it, it comes down. Uh, but I so I guess what I'm wondering is, you know, at this point, you know, I don't think home values are appreciating as they were nor rental any sort of rental product. So, you know, what point do you start seeing? Um, you know, some tax relief is that, is that, is that a possibility? And in 2026 just trying to think about like a longer term, uh, property tax, uh, rate of growth? Thanks.
Yeah, thanks for the question. And it's obviously the right one. I would say that, you know, over the long term, our expectation is that our property tax expense growth starts to look more like what it did historically. You know, we've talked on and off over the last couple of years about the degree to which assessed values sort of lag market values, and there's a bit of a catch-up.
Um, I think your point is well taken, and we are certainly cognizant of the fact that home price appreciation has slowed pretty significantly, particularly in some of the Florida markets. I think what's important to remember is that...
And my expectation, is that over the longer term period. We should be back in that sort of 4 to 5% annual property tax, expense growth, zip code. It's just a question of, uh, you know, when we get back to that more historical run rate.
This completes our question and answer session, I would now like to turn the conference back over to Dallas Tanner for any closing remarks.
We want to thank everyone for joining us again. Also want to thank Charles for his leadership, his partnership and extend all our gratitude to our entire leadership teams and the associates and our business. They're working really hard every day and doing a great job. We appreciate, you know, everyone's continued support. We look forward to talking to everyone soon.
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