Back to News
Market Impact: 0.6

Cattle Bulls Look to Continue Strength

CMENDAQ
Commodities & Raw MaterialsCommodity Futures
Cattle Bulls Look to Continue Strength

Live cattle and feeder cattle futures saw gains on Monday, with front-month live cattle up $0.35 to $0.70 and feeder cattle futures increasing $1.47 to $1.57. Cash cattle trade last week ranged from $225-232 in the South and $240-244 in the North, while boxed beef prices rose, narrowing the Choice/Select spread to $8.32. Monday's estimated federally inspected cattle slaughter was 115,000 head, even with last week but down 7,172 from last year.

Analysis

The cattle market complex exhibited broad strength on Monday, with live cattle futures for front months posting gains ranging from 35 to 70 cents; for instance, June 25 live cattle settled at $227.000, up $0.700. This futures market buoyancy was underpinned by robust cash cattle trading in the prior week, which saw prices reach $225-$232 in the South and as high as $244 in Northern regions. Feeder cattle futures experienced even more significant advances, climbing $1.47 to $1.57, exemplified by the August 25 contract closing at $311.650, up $1.500. The CME Feeder Cattle Index further reflected this strength, rising $4.30 on June 6 to $310.46, and Monday's OKC feeder cattle auction reported prices $5-10 higher with 4,293 head sold. Concurrently, wholesale boxed beef prices advanced, with Choice boxes increasing $2.17 to $367.25 and Select up $2.20 to $358.93, thereby narrowing the Choice/Select spread to $8.32. A critical supply-side indicator, Monday's federally inspected cattle slaughter was estimated at 115,000 head, consistent with the previous week but notably 7,172 head below the corresponding week last year, suggesting tighter cattle availability.

AllMind AI Terminal

AI-powered research, real-time alerts, and portfolio analytics for institutional investors.

Request a Demo

Market Sentiment

Overall Sentiment

strongly positive

Sentiment Score

0.75

Ticker Sentiment

CME0.00
NDAQ0.00

Key Decisions for Investors

  • Investors might consider maintaining or initiating long positions in live and feeder cattle futures, given the strong upward momentum in futures, supportive cash markets, rising wholesale beef prices, and notably lower year-over-year slaughter numbers.
  • Closely monitor weekly cattle slaughter figures and wholesale demand indicators, as continued lower slaughter rates against steady or strong demand would reinforce the current bullish thesis.
  • Analyze the current backwardated structure in live cattle futures contracts (e.g., June 25 at $227.000, August 25 at $219.250) for potential spread trading opportunities or as a gauge of immediate market tightness and near-term supply constraints.