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Klarna tops third-quarter revenue estimates in first earnings report since IPO

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Klarna tops third-quarter revenue estimates in first earnings report since IPO

Klarna topped Street revenue expectations in its first post‑IPO quarter with $903m in Q3 revenue (vs. $882m expected), up 26% year‑over‑year, but swung to a $95m net loss from a $12m profit a year earlier and saw shares dip about 2% pre‑market (off more than one‑third from highs). Gross merchandise volume rose 25% to $32.7bn, led by 43% U.S. growth as new products — the Klarna Card (launched in July, >4m customers, 15% of transactions by October) and “fair financing” (GMV more than tripled) — gain traction, while merchants increased 38% to 850,000 even as average revenue per active customer fell. For Q4 Klarna guided GMV of $37.5–38.5bn, revenues roughly $1.065–1.08bn and transaction margin dollars of $390–400m (Q3 was $281m); management emphasized continued upside from under‑penetrated financing products and AI investments that have cut headcount and sped service, but flagged macro and consumer‑spend risks as monitoring priorities.

Analysis

Klarna reported third‑quarter revenue of $903 million versus LSEG expectations of $882 million, a 26% year‑over‑year increase from $706 million, but the company swung to a net loss of $95 million from a $12 million profit a year earlier; shares fell about 2% pre‑market and have declined more than one‑third from prior highs. Gross merchandise volume rose 25% to $32.7 billion, driven by a 43% U.S. increase, while merchants grew 38% to 850,000 even as average revenue per active customer declined. New product adoption is a clear growth lever: the Klarna Card (launched in July) reached over four million customers and accounted for 15% of transactions by October, and fair financing saw GMV more than triple, yet fair financing has only penetrated about one‑fifth of merchants. Management highlights AI-driven efficiency — a roughly 40% workforce reduction over time and sub‑two‑minute customer service resolution — which supports operating leverage but also signals aggressive cost restructuring. For Q4 management guided GMV of $37.5–38.5 billion, revenues around $1.065–1.08 billion and transaction margin dollars of $390–400 million versus $281 million in Q3, implying expected margin recovery; realization of those targets would materially improve the path to profitability. Key risks are a potential slowdown in consumer spending and changes in payback behavior, which management says it has not yet observed materially, so near‑term execution on GMV, ARPU and margin metrics will determine investor sentiment.