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Market Impact: 0.4

Cattle Extends to New All Time Highs on Monday

CMENDAQ
Commodities & Raw MaterialsCommodity FuturesFutures & Options
Cattle Extends to New All Time Highs on Monday

Live cattle futures rose on Monday, with gains ranging from 35 to 70 cents ahead of the June contract's first notice day, which saw no deliveries. Cash cattle trade last week was mostly in the $225-232 range in the South and $240-242 in the North, while feeder cattle futures also saw gains, closing up $1.47 to $1.57; the CME Feeder Cattle Index was up $4.30 on June 6. Wholesale boxed beef prices increased, narrowing the Choice/Select spread to $8.32, while Monday's federally inspected cattle slaughter was estimated at 115,000 head, matching last week's figure but down from last year.

Analysis

Live cattle futures registered gains ranging from 35 to 70 cents on Monday, with the June contract passing its first notice day without any deliveries. Cash cattle markets demonstrated robust activity last week, with southern trades primarily between $225-232 and northern transactions largely at $240-242, reaching up to $244 in specific instances. Feeder cattle futures also advanced, closing $1.47 to $1.57 higher, complemented by a $4.30 rise in the CME Feeder Cattle Index to $310.46 as of June 6, and stronger prices at the OKC feeder cattle auction where sales were $5-10 higher. Further supporting the positive market sentiment, USDA's National Wholesale Boxed Beef prices increased, with Choice boxes up $2.17 to $367.25 and Select boxes climbing $2.20 to $358.93 per cwt, thereby narrowing the Choice/Select spread to $8.32. Monday's federally inspected cattle slaughter was estimated at 115,000 head, aligning with the previous week's figure but significantly 7,172 head below the same week in the prior year, suggesting a potentially tighter supply situation or sustained demand.

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Market Sentiment

Overall Sentiment

strongly positive

Sentiment Score

0.70

Ticker Sentiment

CME0.40
NDAQ0.00

Key Decisions for Investors

  • Investors should note the broad-based bullish signals across the cattle complex, evidenced by gains in futures, strong cash prices, and rising wholesale beef values.
  • Monitor weekly cattle slaughter figures closely, as the year-over-year decline, if persistent, could continue to support higher prices.
  • Consider the strength in feeder cattle, reflected in both futures gains and the CME Feeder Cattle Index, as an indicator of underlying demand for placements and future beef supply.