Back to News
Market Impact: 0.32

Kohl's (KSS) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?

KSS
Corporate EarningsAnalyst EstimatesAnalyst InsightsCompany FundamentalsConsumer Demand & RetailCorporate Guidance & OutlookInvestor Sentiment & Positioning
Kohl's (KSS) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?

Kohl's is due to report results for the quarter ended October 2025 on Nov. 25, with the street expecting a quarterly loss of $0.19 per share (year‑over‑year -195%) on revenues of $3.49 billion (-5.9%). Recent analyst revisions have lifted the consensus about 15% over the last 30 days and the Most Accurate Estimate sits above consensus, producing a Zacks Earnings ESP of +1.77% alongside a Zacks Rank of #3—an ESP/Rank combination that historically raises the odds of an EPS beat (Zacks cites ~70% when ESP is positive and Rank is 1–3); Kohl's has beaten estimates in three of the last four quarters (most recent surprise +69.7%). A confirmed beat coupled with constructive management commentary could drive near‑term upside, whereas a miss or weak guidance would likely pressure the stock despite the positive signal from estimate revisions.

Analysis

Kohl's is scheduled to report fiscal-quarter results on November 25, 2025, with the street expecting a quarterly loss of $0.19 per share (a year‑over‑year decline of 195%) on revenues of $3.49 billion (down 5.9% YoY), setting a low consensus baseline against which management commentary will be judged. The Zacks data show the consensus EPS estimate has been revised up 14.97% over the past 30 days and the Most Accurate Estimate now sits above consensus, producing a positive Earnings ESP of +1.77% alongside a Zacks Rank of #3, a combination Zacks indicates has historically increased the odds of an EPS beat. Kohl’s recent beat history supports that signal: the company outperformed by +69.7% in the prior quarter (actual $0.56 vs. expected $0.33) and has beaten in three of the last four quarters, implying analysts have incorporated improving near‑term information. The market sentiment and impact scores are mildly positive (sentiment 0.28, market impact 0.32), but Zacks cautions that upside from a beat can be offset by disappointing guidance or other negative disclosures. The key drivers investors should watch on the print are management’s comments on U.S. consumer demand, same‑store sales trends, inventory levels and margin trajectory; absent constructive guidance, even an EPS beat may produce only transient stock strength. Given the mixed signals—positive EPS revision/beat history but continued revenue decline—the report is a high‑information event that will likely determine near‑term price direction rather than a standalone buy signal.