These 2 Computer and Technology Stocks Could Beat Earnings: Why They Should Be on Your Radar

Zacks Research highlights ASML (ASML) and MongoDB (MDB) as computer and technology stocks potentially poised to beat upcoming earnings estimates, based on their positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) figures. ASML, with a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), has an ESP of +1.03% with its Most Accurate Estimate at $5.86, while MongoDB, also with a Zacks Rank #3, has an ESP of +0.61% with its Most Accurate Estimate at $0.64; both are calculated against their respective consensus estimates. The Zacks Earnings ESP tool, when combined with a Zacks Rank of #3 or better, has historically resulted in a 70% positive bottom-line surprise rate and an average annual return of 28%, according to their 10-year backtest.

Analysis

Zacks Research identifies ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) and MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) as technology stocks potentially poised to beat upcoming earnings estimates, based on their positive Zacks Earnings Expected Surprise Prediction (ESP) figures. ASML, holding a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and with earnings due July 16, 2025, has a Most Accurate Estimate of $5.86 per share against a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.80, resulting in an ESP of +1.03%. MongoDB, also a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and slated to report on September 4, 2025, has a Most Accurate Estimate of $0.64 per share and a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.64, with an Earnings ESP of +0.61%. The Zacks ESP methodology, which prioritizes recent analyst revisions, indicates that stocks with a positive ESP and a Zacks Rank #3 or stronger have historically delivered positive earnings surprises 70% of the time. This system, according to a 10-year backtest, has also been associated with average annual returns of approximately 28%.

Key Decisions for Investors

• Investors could monitor ASML and MDB ahead of their respective earnings reports on July 16, 2025, and September 4, 2025, as their positive Earnings ESP figures of +1.03% and +0.61% suggest a heightened probability of beating consensus estimates.
• Despite both companies carrying a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), which typically implies market-perform expectations, the positive ESP serves as a specific potential catalyst for share price appreciation post-earnings if a beat materializes.
• Consider utilizing the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter as a supplementary tool for identifying other equities with a statistically supported likelihood of positive earnings surprises, particularly for tactical trades around earnings season.