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Lowe's (LOW) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release

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Corporate EarningsAnalyst EstimatesCompany FundamentalsCorporate Guidance & OutlookConsumer Demand & RetailInvestor Sentiment & Positioning
Lowe's (LOW) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release

Lowe's (LOW) is anticipated to report Q4 2025 earnings of $2.98 per share, a 3.1% year-over-year increase, on revenues of $20.9 billion, up 3.6%. However, the consensus EPS estimate has seen a 0.29% downward revision over the past 30 days, and a negative Zacks Earnings ESP of -2.23% combined with a Zacks Rank #3 suggests it is difficult to conclusively predict an earnings beat for the upcoming November 19 release, despite the company's history of surpassing EPS estimates in the last four quarters.

Analysis

Lowe's (LOW) is anticipated to report Q4 2025 earnings of $2.98 per share, representing a 3.1% year-over-year increase, with revenues projected at $20.9 billion, up 3.6%. These figures reflect the current consensus outlook for the home improvement retailer, indicating expected growth. However, the market's overall sentiment for LOW is currently categorized as 'mixed' with a 'cautious' tone, and a per-ticker sentiment score of -0.2. The consensus EPS estimate for Lowe's has been revised 0.29% lower over the last 30 days, signaling a recent bearish shift among analysts. This is further underscored by a negative Zacks Earnings ESP of -2.23%, which, when combined with a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), makes it difficult to conclusively predict an earnings beat for the upcoming November 19 release. Despite the recent downward revisions and negative ESP, Lowe's has a strong track record of surpassing EPS estimates, having beaten consensus in all of the last four quarters. This historical performance introduces a degree of uncertainty regarding the immediate earnings surprise, contrasting with the current analyst caution. The cautious outlook is not isolated to Lowe's, as industry peer Home Depot (HD) also exhibits similar signals, with a negative Earnings ESP of -0.28% and a Zacks Rank #3, making a beat difficult to predict for its upcoming report as well.

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