TLT ETF stock forecast as outflows rise, US 30-year bond yields soar

TLT fell to its lowest level since July 2025 as long-term U.S. government bond yields surged to a 19-year high this week. The ETF was also hit by its biggest weekly outflows in years, signaling weaker demand for long-duration Treasuries. The move points to pressure across the long-end rates market and tighter sentiment toward bond exposure.

Analysis

TLT fell to its lowest level since July 2025 as long-term U.S. government bond yields surged to a 19-year high this week. The ETF was also hit by its biggest weekly outflows in years, signaling weaker demand for long-duration Treasuries. The move points to pressure across the long-end rates market and tighter sentiment toward bond exposure.