Zacks' Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) methodology, which compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, has historically identified stocks likely to beat quarterly earnings. When combined with a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better, this strategy has predicted positive surprises 70% of the time and generated an average annual return of 28.3% over a decade. Currently, medical stocks Organon (OGN) and United Therapeutics (UTHR) are highlighted as potential earnings beat candidates, with positive ESPs of +1.40% and +3.05% respectively, ahead of their upcoming reports.
Zacks' Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) methodology, which compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, has a historical ability to identify stocks likely to exceed quarterly earnings. Combined with a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold) or better, this strategy has predicted positive earnings surprises 70% of the time, generating an average annual return of 28.3% over a 10-year backtest. Currently, medical sector stocks Organon (OGN) and United Therapeutics (UTHR) are highlighted as potential candidates for positive earnings surprises. Organon (OGN), a Zacks Rank #3 stock, exhibits an Earnings ESP of +1.40% (Most Accurate Estimate $0.95 vs. Consensus $0.93) ahead of its October 30, 2025 release. United Therapeutics (UTHR), also a Zacks Rank #3, shows a higher ESP of +3.05% (Most Accurate Estimate $7.10 vs. Consensus $6.89) for its October 29, 2025 report. The positive ESP figures for both OGN and UTHR suggest a higher probability of these companies reporting earnings above analyst consensus, potentially leading to positive stock price movements post-announcement. This aligns with the optimistic tone emphasizing the profitability of identifying such earnings beats, supported by the Zacks Rank system's long-term track record of outperforming the S&P 500.
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Overall Sentiment
strongly positive
Sentiment Score
0.80
Ticker Sentiment