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Galp Energia's quarterly core profit rises 11%, surpassing estimates

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Galp Energia's quarterly core profit rises 11%, surpassing estimates

Portugal's Galp Energia reported an 11% increase in adjusted third-quarter core profit (EBITDA) to 911 million euros, significantly surpassing analyst estimates, primarily driven by a near-doubling of refining margins and robust gas trading volumes, bolstered by new LNG deliveries. Adjusted net profit also climbed 53% to 407 million euros, exceeding expectations. Despite a 14% decline in EBITDA from crude oil extraction due to lower Brent prices, the company is well-positioned to exceed its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance and is in advanced talks to sell a stake in its substantial Mopane field in Namibia.

Analysis

Galp Energia reported a robust third quarter, with adjusted EBITDA increasing 11% to 911 million euros, significantly surpassing the 865 million euro consensus. Adjusted net profit also surged 53% to 407 million euros, beating estimates, primarily driven by a near-doubling of refining margins to $9.5 per barrel and a substantial increase in gas trading EBITDA to 315 million euros, supported by new LNG deliveries. Despite these gains, EBITDA from crude oil extraction, Galp's main business, declined 14% to 464 million euros due to lower Brent crude prices, which averaged $69.1 per barrel. However, the company's oil and gas production volumes increased by 2% to 115,000 barrels per day, indicating operational resilience. Management projects surpassing its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of 2.7 billion euros. The company is also in advanced talks to sell a 40% stake in its Mopane field in Namibia, which boasts over 10 billion barrels of estimated oil-in-place. This strategic divestment is anticipated to be a "value accretive partnership," potentially unlocking significant capital and optimizing its portfolio. The overall strongly positive sentiment (0.85 for GALP) reflects market confidence in these developments.

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