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Market Impact: 0.6

SoftBank sinks over 10% as Nvidia-fueled rout sweeps Asian chip shares

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SoftBank sinks over 10% as Nvidia-fueled rout sweeps Asian chip shares

Asian chip stocks plunged Friday after Nvidia slid more than 3% in U.S. trading despite beating Q3 estimates and issuing stronger-than-expected Q4 guidance, with SoftBank leading losses (down >10%) and major suppliers and partners retreating—SK Hynix -8.76%, Samsung -5.77%, TSMC -4.81% and Foxconn -4.86%—while equipment and smaller suppliers such as Tokyo Electron, Renesas, Lasertec and Advantest also posted sharp declines. Traders and analysts attributed the selloff to a mix of risk-off forces — a Bitcoin rout, concerns about a delayed Fed rate cut and tighter financial conditions — and renewed talk of an AI valuation bubble, suggesting sentiment-driven contagion may mute the sector’s upside even as Nvidia’s results could boost longer-term earnings expectations across the semiconductor supply chain.

Analysis

Asian semiconductor names suffered a broad, sentiment-driven selloff Friday after Nvidia fell just over 3% in U.S. trading despite beating third-quarter estimates and issuing stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter sales guidance. SoftBank led losses with a drop of more than 10% in Tokyo (it recently sold Nvidia shares but still controls Arm and is involved in the $500 billion Stargate data-center project), while suppliers and manufacturers declined sharply: SK Hynix -8.76%, Samsung Electronics -5.77%, TSMC -4.81% and Hon Hai (Foxconn) -4.86%; equipment and smaller suppliers also retraced (Tokyo Electron -7.14%, Advantest -12.1%, Lasertec -5.15%, Renesas -2.65%). Market participants and analysts cited a mix of a Bitcoin rout, the risk that a Fed rate cut may be delayed, tighter financial conditions and renewed talk of an AI valuation bubble as drivers of a risk-off rotation, with Billy Toh of CGS highlighting these flow-based pressures. Though Nvidia’s beat and upbeat guidance could lift forward earnings expectations across the supply chain, the immediate response reflects positioning and liquidity dynamics rather than a fundamental revision of demand assumptions. The provided signals underline a moderately negative sentiment score (-0.55) and a material market-impact reading (0.6), implying continued near-term volatility and potential decoupling between company fundamentals and share-price moves. Investors with exposure to memory (SK Hynix, Samsung), foundry and chipmaking (TSMC, Tokyo Electron), systems/manufacturing (Foxconn) and conglomerate/AI-exposure (SoftBank/Arm) should monitor order books, Nvidia-led demand signals and macro/flow indicators to determine whether this pullback is tactical or the start of a broader re-pricing of AI-related assets.