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Palantir has been sitting out this latest leg of the bull run. What the charts say happen next

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Palantir has been sitting out this latest leg of the bull run. What the charts say happen next

Palantir (PLTR) is projected to break out towards $200 around its November 3 earnings, following a period of consolidation after an August sell-off driven by valuation concerns for AI growth stocks. Despite a high 2026 forward valuation of 181x non-GAAP earnings, the AI software leader demonstrates strong fundamentals, including projected free cash flow of $1.1 billion this year growing to $2 billion next year with over 40% FCF margins, and expected revenue growth of 48% next year. Technical analysis indicates a potential breakout from current levels, with support around $160 and a key resistance at $190.

Analysis

Palantir (PLTR) is anticipated to break resistance and target $200 around its November 3 earnings, following a period of low volatility and volume since an August sell-off driven by valuation concerns in AI growth stocks. This consolidation phase is interpreted as a precursor to a potential upward movement. Fundamentally, Palantir demonstrates robust growth metrics despite its "extremely rich" 2026 forward valuation of 181 times non-GAAP earnings ($0.85). The company is projected to generate $1.1 billion in free cash flow this year, increasing to nearly $2 billion next year, with FCF margins consistently above 40%. Additionally, topline revenues are expected to grow 48% next year, complemented by 131% GAAP EPS growth in 2026. Technically, a floor of support is identified around the $160 zone, aligning with the 20-week moving average and parallel channel support. A sustained move above $190 is considered a breakout, with higher prices expected above $180, indicating a potential increase in institutional exposure as the analyst plans to raise allocation on these triggers.

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