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Credit Risk in Asia Poised for Biggest Monthly Spike Since 2023

Credit & Bond MarketsDerivatives & VolatilityEmerging MarketsGeopolitics & WarSovereign Debt & RatingsBanking & LiquidityInvestor Sentiment & Positioning

The cost to insure better-rated Asian debt (CDS) is set to rise in March by the largest monthly increase since 2023, reflecting growing concern about the economic fallout from the Iran War on regional borrowers. Expect wider credit spreads, higher funding costs for Asian sovereigns and corporates, and increased EM credit volatility as investors adopt a more risk-off stance.

Analysis

The cost to insure better-rated Asian debt (CDS) is set to rise in March by the largest monthly increase since 2023, reflecting growing concern about the economic fallout from the Iran War on regional borrowers. Expect wider credit spreads, higher funding costs for Asian sovereigns and corporates, and increased EM credit volatility as investors adopt a more risk-off stance.

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