American Express (AXP) is projected to report Q3 2025 earnings of $3.96 per share, a 13.5% year-over-year increase, on $17.99 billion in revenue, up 8.2%, with the report expected around October 17. While consensus EPS estimates have seen a 1.04% upward revision over the past month and AXP has a history of beating estimates, its current Zacks Earnings ESP of -0.77% combined with a Zacks Rank #3 indicates it is not a strong candidate for an earnings beat in the upcoming release.
American Express (AXP) is anticipated to report Q3 2025 earnings of $3.96 per share, a 13.5% year-over-year increase, alongside revenues of $17.99 billion, up 8.2%. While the consensus EPS estimate saw a 1.04% upward revision over the past 30 days, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the consensus, resulting in a negative Earnings ESP of -0.77%. This negative Earnings ESP, coupled with AXP's Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicates the company is not a strong candidate for an earnings beat in the upcoming report, despite a history of beating consensus EPS in the last four quarters. The model's predictive power for a beat is diminished with a negative ESP, even though it does not conclusively predict a miss. Conversely, industry peer Synchrony (SYF), also with a Zacks Rank #3, shows a positive Earnings ESP of +2.58%, suggesting a high probability of beating its Q3 2025 EPS estimate of $2.20 (+13.4% YoY). This divergence in Earnings ESP provides a comparative insight into near-term earnings surprise potential within the financial services sector.
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