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Market Impact: 0.8

Spiking Pump Prices Dent Trump’s Willingness to Extend Iran War

Geopolitics & WarEnergy Markets & PricesCommodities & Raw MaterialsTrade Policy & Supply ChainInflation

Conflict involving the US, Israel and Iran is choking off oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, and gasoline, diesel and jet fuel prices have jumped. The supply disruption represents a near-term energy supply shock that should lift crude and refined fuel prices, add upside pressure to inflation and raise costs for transportation and aviation until flows normalize.

Analysis

Conflict involving the US, Israel and Iran is choking off oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, and gasoline, diesel and jet fuel prices have jumped. The supply disruption represents a near-term energy supply shock that should lift crude and refined fuel prices, add upside pressure to inflation and raise costs for transportation and aviation until flows normalize.

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Market Sentiment

Overall Sentiment

mildly negative

Sentiment Score

-0.35