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Market Impact: 0.25

Supply Risks and Brazilian Real Strength Lifts Coffee Prices

ICE
Commodities & Raw MaterialsCommodity FuturesMarket Technicals & FlowsGeopolitics & War

Arabica coffee (KCN26) is up $9.00, or 3.11%, to a 1-week high, while ICE robusta coffee (RMK26) is up 113 points, or 3.19%, to a 4-week high. The move is being driven by concerns that a prolonged US-Iran war could disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, supporting broad commodity risk pricing. The news is constructive for coffee futures, but the impact is likely limited to the soft commodities complex rather than the broader market.

Analysis

Arabica coffee (KCN26) is up $9.00, or 3.11%, to a 1-week high, while ICE robusta coffee (RMK26) is up 113 points, or 3.19%, to a 4-week high. The move is being driven by concerns that a prolonged US-Iran war could disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, supporting broad commodity risk pricing. The news is constructive for coffee futures, but the impact is likely limited to the soft commodities complex rather than the broader market.

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